tmader....good conscience about other peoples money, I respect that. But we are all big boys, I followed you with the same thoughts and I have to admit the line is moving a little odd, but nothing outrageous at this point. Lots of public money on Creighton, and the public isn't ALWAYS wrong (just statistically a disadvantage over the long haul
). Creighton is definitely a public "favourite" and the books know it.
Everything I have seen (opinion/data) doesn't scream a huge homecourt advantage and I don't see any real pride/revenge factors here.
I still like Crieighton in this matchup. They live and die by the three with almost half their FGA coming from beyond the arc. If Creighton slows the pace down, Tulsa is not shooting particularly well and I believe it will keep the game very close. The ultimate decider here will likely be whether Creighton can get hot from beyond the arc and build a big lead or, more likely, whether Tulsa can get do better from the free throw line - they are definitely outclassed by Creighton.
I still like Creighton with points, the more the better (duh). If Creighton is up at the half I would back them to win the game too, worth looking at the 2H for a potential follow-up.
Just my thoughts and I have proven myself to be completely wrong many times.
Oz