WINNER! My books didn't have the +0.5 option so I took the X2 separately.
I've been watching these lines for the Scottish leagues. I'm thinking the bettors for these games know what they are doing by betting on bad lines from the books since a lot of last weekend's matches went according to line movement.
I'm going to have to watch more of your picks. You seem to know a bit about these teams.
i started working on a contract in stranraer (scotland) now. so i should get a good feel for what they are doing in these lower leagues..tonight i am going to watch the cup match Stranraer-Monroese (both 3rd scottish division)..it the first time i am going to a match here.it should be possible to make some money out of these lower division when you actually see the teams playing and can get a goof feeling for it..
for tonight i am on the home team stranraer -0.5,-1 @2.05 i think they are the better team and they are off a great start in the season
for tonight i am on the home team stranraer -0.5,-1 @2.05 i think they are the better team and they are off a great start in the season
I'm trying to get a handle on these line movement things. On the 8th I was noticing that most books had the line moving higher for East Fife so I thought maybe more people were betting on Queen of the South. So then I saw that Queen of the South is a Division 1 team and East Fife is a Division 3 team so I thought people were betting on Queen for that reason. Then Queen loses.
I noticed the same thing for Arbroath and Albion. Both are in Division 3 but Albion had won their last match in the Cup and Arbroath had lost. So Arbroath gets up 4-0.
One more example, the line moves higher against KTP in the Finland Veikkausliiga and lower for Inter Turku. So I think Inter has more people betting on them. I look at their respective records and find that KTP has a good home record and Inter has a bad road record. So I check the message boards and everyone is surprised at this line and no one has any info. Inter wins 2-0 on the road.
:WTF:
I noticed the same thing for Arbroath and Albion. Both are in Division 3 but Albion had won their last match in the Cup and Arbroath had lost. So Arbroath gets up 4-0.
One more example, the line moves higher against KTP in the Finland Veikkausliiga and lower for Inter Turku. So I think Inter has more people betting on them. I look at their respective records and find that KTP has a good home record and Inter has a bad road record. So I check the message boards and everyone is surprised at this line and no one has any info. Inter wins 2-0 on the road.
:WTF:
Sweden - Superettan
Östers IF Växjö/Bunkeflo IF under 2.5 2.14 (Pinnacle)
Östers scored 3 goals last home match so people are looking at the over. However, prior to that Östers had only scored 1 goal in 6 home matches and has only given up 6 goals in 7 home matches.
One odd note regarding line movement, the odds for Östers are dropping. I believe this is due to their 3-0 win last home match. I believe this is an over-reaction since they have been terrible at home before that.
Östers IF Växjö/Bunkeflo IF under 2.5 2.14 (Pinnacle)
Östers scored 3 goals last home match so people are looking at the over. However, prior to that Östers had only scored 1 goal in 6 home matches and has only given up 6 goals in 7 home matches.
One odd note regarding line movement, the odds for Östers are dropping. I believe this is due to their 3-0 win last home match. I believe this is an over-reaction since they have been terrible at home before that.
arty:Sweden - Superettan
Atvidabergs FF -0.25 1.80 over Örgryte IS (bet365)
Atvidabergs suffered their first home loss against Norrköping last time out. They will be looking to get back in the winning column against Örgryte who will be short a few players due to suspensions/injuries.
IFK Norrköping -0.75 1.75 over Enköpings SK (Pinnacle)
Classic example of a mismatch here. Enköpings is not that much better at home with 5 wins and 4 losses.
Enköpings SK/IFK Norrköping over 2.75 1.88 (bet365)
I've lost track of how many times Norrköping has gone over while only failing to go over once.
Ljungskile SK -0.5 1.83 Jönköpings Södra (Pinnacle)
Ljungskile a good home team.
Atvidabergs FF -0.25 1.80 over Örgryte IS (bet365)
Atvidabergs suffered their first home loss against Norrköping last time out. They will be looking to get back in the winning column against Örgryte who will be short a few players due to suspensions/injuries.
IFK Norrköping -0.75 1.75 over Enköpings SK (Pinnacle)
Classic example of a mismatch here. Enköpings is not that much better at home with 5 wins and 4 losses.
Enköpings SK/IFK Norrköping over 2.75 1.88 (bet365)
I've lost track of how many times Norrköping has gone over while only failing to go over once.
Ljungskile SK -0.5 1.83 Jönköpings Södra (Pinnacle)
Ljungskile a good home team.
