Bet #7:
Match: Holland vs France (Friday 20:45 CET/ 2:45 ET)
Pick: France PK (+101 @ Canbet/ +100 @ TheGreek)
Risking: 1.5 unit to win 1.51 units.
Result: 4-1
Record: 3-4 (-0.50 units)
Hmm, I didn't expect this. I am never an optimist when it comes to my own country, but I starting to believe that the Dutch can actually win this tournament if the team keeps playing like this.
This also gives us an interesting scenario for the last group match. Holland finishes 1st in the group no matter what. Holland can eliminate France and Italy if they lose to Romania. This could be a very likely scenario if we go back in history a couple of months.
Holland lost the last game in the Qualifying phase against Belarus as a last attempt to avoid getting in Bowl 1 for the Euro 2008 draw (Bowl 1 consisted of the weaker nations Austria, Switzerland, Greece and the team with the best qualifying record), Bowl 2 had alot the strong nations in it. A Holland loss and a german win, would give the Germans a place in Bowl 1 and Holland would go to Bowl 2 and avoid (Portugal, Spain and France/Italy). The germans destroyed the dutch plans, they didn't win their last game and they got into Bowl 2 instead of the dutch, the rest is history.
I am not sure if the Dutch will repeat this tactic and lose to Romania to eliminate Italy and France. A loss could break the momentum that this team has and Romania is a very tough opponent for the Dutch, we couldn't beat them during the qualifying phase and losing to them, could mean another meeting against them in the semi-finals (depending on the results in the quarter-finals). Holland will rest some key-players for this match, but I am sure that the Dutch will field Robben en van Persie to give them some extra match-exercise. A very interesting and luxurious position, the Dutch control the fate of Italy, France and Romania.
PS. I am still ashamed of our fans, they act like f*cking clowns....