ESPN Simulation Tracker

[seanjohn007]

have you ever used the Simulation at whatifsports ?

i just ran across it yesterday, as they simulated the SB 10,001 times and predicted a Pitt 4 point win. I plan on checking it out a lil closer when i have time.

ive been on this site but where can you find the score of future games? i cant even find teams from this season, it seams there records only go up to last season in any sport

seanjohn007

 

[mush10]

Yea not a bad idea, just don't have the time to post all the information. If you want to add to this go ahead.

I will try and help out. You are only playing top 25 for now?

 

[Dolphins950]

I will try and help out. You are only playing top 25 for now?

Yes. But add any games you want the more the better idea we get as to if this is profitable in the future.

 

[mush10]

Looks like noone of the games are in the system tonight. I will check back later, but it looks like no plus plays.

 

[mush10]

Here are some of the earlier games plays and %'s. I am go to play every thing over 58% hit for now. If I notice any trends, or there are enough 60%+ games to keep us going I will bump it up. I don't expect great things from this, but maybe we can learn something and add the human element, to have something that works.

 

[mush10]

I am using the lines from the tracker. Your lines may vary.

Villanova -1 66.3%
Notre Dame +10.5 58%
Miami +14 59%
Nebraska +3 62.5%
UNC -25.5 61%

These are the top 25 through 4. I am going to play all for 1 unit, but UNC for 1 unit. Obviously for tracking purposes UNC counts, but I never would lay that many points in a conference game. It may very well hit, just not worth the risk.

 

[mush10]

Guys -- these may be off - Nova is -5 right now. I will check the rest of the lines. NOVA IS NOT A PLAY

 

[mush10]

The rest of the lines seem good.

Here are some non- top 25 plays
Providence +11.5 63%
Auburn +3.5 60%
Zona -4.5 58%
Missouri State -2 59%

I think going forward 60% will be the cut off, but I am leaving it at 58% for today. GL if you tail, but remember this is more a test than a proven track record.