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8-6-3, +2.26

Day nine:

Poland/Czech Under 2.5 -114
Russia ML -133

I'll have some thoughts later - need to run now.

GL to all.
 

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yeah - i usually wait for line movement and such but i just took russia for 1 unit - line looks good and should really go south overnight....

GL - i am waiting for news of Cech and Rosisky before i take any bet with the cechs....the Arsenal boys i.e. Rosisky and taking over this cup..haha...maybe not .
 

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9-7-3, +1.96

Was really surprised how things turned out yesterday - I was expecting a tight Poland-Czech game, but the Czech's and Greece advancing is just crazy.

Netherlands ML +150
Netherlands/Portugal Over 2.5 -125

I'm going to ride the Netherlands again, which could be throwing good money after bad, but I have to believe this team can get it done and come away with a win. I'm expecting a 2-1 or possibly 3-1 win for the Dutch, so the total should clear the 2.5.

I have been back and forth on the Germany game, but have an odd feeling the Danes are going to give them a run. I'm liking a lower scoring game than most expect, possibly 1-0 Germany or 1-1. Looks like there are some +120/+125 available for under 2.5. I may give this a look, but need to think on that a bit.

GL to all.
 

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I am betting Germany, wish I got them at -130 but i waited and now its 170 :/, bol on your decision and on your netherlands game
 

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MP - nice hit with the Germans on Sunday, GL the rest of the competition.

10-8-3, +1.96

Ukraine +0.5 -115
France ML -130

I couldn't wrap my head around yesterday and passed - would have been a wash for me as I liked Ireland +1.5 and under Spain/Croatia.

I'm expecting the co-hosts to show up today and really push the battered English. I haven't been overly impressed with the defensive prowess of the English and expect the Ukrainians to be able to net one. I suspect England may ease off and tighten up if France is leading, which I expect knowing a point gets them through. I also give Ukraine a reasonable chance to pull the stunner and send England to another major disappointment. I'll take the half goal.

I expect France to cut through the Swedes defense and secure the win, avoiding Spain at all cost. Sweden certainly won't roll over and France could play for a draw especially as the game goes on, but if the French can strike early I expect them to get the three points.

GL to all.
 

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10-10-3, -0.49

I have hit the skids a bit here....hoping to bounce back a bit

0.5 units Czech +520
1.0 units Czech, +0.5, +1 +100

Sorry for the late post - been a hell of a day at work. No reasoning here other than I'm not in love with Portugal and am fading the masses, especially a couple of local mushes who are laying ten times there normal bet on the Portuguese. Teams don't simply roll over when they get to this point, so I expect an inspired effort from the Czech squad.

GL to all.
 

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10-11-4, -1.49

Been on a tough skid - the contrarian in me keeps telling me this tournament is going to go sideways and I'm going to go down with the ship if it doesn't.

0.5 France ML +450
France +0.5, +1 -125

My perception is the French always coast/glide in the opening stages of competitions, but are a dangerous draw at this stage. Spain has been very pedestrian of late and is ripe for the picking. A tough side like the French with a history of pulling out big games at this stage - this becomes the instant storyline of the competition, which quite frankly has lacked one thus far.

GL to all.
 

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On the road - will update record tomorrow evening -

Germany ML -110
0.5 under 2.25 -118

Germany too strong for a tough Italy squad. I certainly think the Italians have a better shot than most give them credit for, but if they fall behind early they are in trouble. Italy needs to attempt to lock this down and steal it late. If they open up a run and gun game with Germany they will be outclassed.

I expect Italy to hold for a bit, but Germany will eventually break through - looking for a repeat of Germany-Portugal.

GL to all.
 

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