Rushing Figures; net YPC for / against (offenses and defenses faced to date)
Atlanta 4.038 / 3.881 (28 / 14)
Arizona 4.956 / 4.017 (32 / 31)
Baltimore 4.338 / 3.774 (11 / 3)
Buffalo 4.295 / 3.806 (9 / 9)
Carolina 4.038 / 3.755 (31 / 32)
Chicago 4.063 / 4.433 (4 / 10)
Cincinnati 4.006 / 4.848 (21 / 28)
Cleveland 3.746 / 5.047 (14 / 24)
Dallas 4.116 / 3.934 (6 / 5)
Denver 3.315 / 3.672 (20 / 22)
Detroit 2.805 / 4.277 (7 / 8)
Green Bay 4.179 / 4.969 (29 / 29)
Houston 3.563 / 3.807 (3 / 26)
Indianapolis 3.898 / 3.836 (22 / 27)
Jacksonville 3.975 / 3.503 (5 / 19)
Kansas City 4.357 / 3.882 (15 / 18)
Miami 4.262 / 4.367 (24 / 11)
Minnesota 4.919 / 4.692 (30 / 25)
New England 3.936 / 4.698 (19 / 17)
New Orleans 3.650 / 4.467 (2 / 13)
NY Giants 3.591 / 3.474 (16 / 15)
NY Jets 4.172 / 3.752 (26 / 6)
Oakland 4.018 / 3.556 (10 / 23)
Philadelphia 3.789 / 3.533 (23 / 12)
Pittsburgh 4.561 / 3.855 (18 / 21)
San Diego 3.710 / 5.053 (17 / 7)
Seattle 4.844 / 3.534 (25 / 16)
San Francisco 4.448 / 4.060 (1 / 1)
St. Louis 4.782 / 4.079 (8 / 2)
Tampa Bay 4.053 / 3.884 (27 / 30)
Tennessee 4.060 / 4.374 (13 / 20)
Washington 4.060 / 4.357 (12 / 4)
Atlanta 4.038 / 3.881 (28 / 14)
Arizona 4.956 / 4.017 (32 / 31)
Baltimore 4.338 / 3.774 (11 / 3)
Buffalo 4.295 / 3.806 (9 / 9)
Carolina 4.038 / 3.755 (31 / 32)
Chicago 4.063 / 4.433 (4 / 10)
Cincinnati 4.006 / 4.848 (21 / 28)
Cleveland 3.746 / 5.047 (14 / 24)
Dallas 4.116 / 3.934 (6 / 5)
Denver 3.315 / 3.672 (20 / 22)
Detroit 2.805 / 4.277 (7 / 8)
Green Bay 4.179 / 4.969 (29 / 29)
Houston 3.563 / 3.807 (3 / 26)
Indianapolis 3.898 / 3.836 (22 / 27)
Jacksonville 3.975 / 3.503 (5 / 19)
Kansas City 4.357 / 3.882 (15 / 18)
Miami 4.262 / 4.367 (24 / 11)
Minnesota 4.919 / 4.692 (30 / 25)
New England 3.936 / 4.698 (19 / 17)
New Orleans 3.650 / 4.467 (2 / 13)
NY Giants 3.591 / 3.474 (16 / 15)
NY Jets 4.172 / 3.752 (26 / 6)
Oakland 4.018 / 3.556 (10 / 23)
Philadelphia 3.789 / 3.533 (23 / 12)
Pittsburgh 4.561 / 3.855 (18 / 21)
San Diego 3.710 / 5.053 (17 / 7)
Seattle 4.844 / 3.534 (25 / 16)
San Francisco 4.448 / 4.060 (1 / 1)
St. Louis 4.782 / 4.079 (8 / 2)
Tampa Bay 4.053 / 3.884 (27 / 30)
Tennessee 4.060 / 4.374 (13 / 20)
Washington 4.060 / 4.357 (12 / 4)
Had another big week in DFS, which is a far easier racket than this grind...
QB - Brady and Rodgers are the only two high priced options worth a look this week. I'll pass on Brady with expected ownership to be through the roof and back Rodgers in some cash games and go with a cheaper option in GPP. Looking at Fitzpatrick, Mariota and Hoyer.
RB - I'm not in love with any high priced options this week. Giving Forte the nod in a few cash games, a lot of Ivory. Vereen and Andrews could be nice cheaper options.
WR - Probably grab Cobb in cash to couple with Rodgers and Jones in GPP. Robinson is in my lineup nearly every week. Giving Marshall, Mathews, Wallace a peak. Will avoid Hopkins who will be in every lineup you face.
TE - Grabbing Gronk, as everyone chasing Brady/Edelman and likely lower than expected ownership here after the dud in Dallas. Eifert still underpriced.
D - Jets are appealing, Denver is money nearly every week.
QB - Brady and Rodgers are the only two high priced options worth a look this week. I'll pass on Brady with expected ownership to be through the roof and back Rodgers in some cash games and go with a cheaper option in GPP. Looking at Fitzpatrick, Mariota and Hoyer.
RB - I'm not in love with any high priced options this week. Giving Forte the nod in a few cash games, a lot of Ivory. Vereen and Andrews could be nice cheaper options.
WR - Probably grab Cobb in cash to couple with Rodgers and Jones in GPP. Robinson is in my lineup nearly every week. Giving Marshall, Mathews, Wallace a peak. Will avoid Hopkins who will be in every lineup you face.
TE - Grabbing Gronk, as everyone chasing Brady/Edelman and likely lower than expected ownership here after the dud in Dallas. Eifert still underpriced.
D - Jets are appealing, Denver is money nearly every week.
Projected Yards: (pass / rush)
Washington (215.35 / 60.90)
NY Jets (165.95 / 115.66)
Arizona (242.98 / 136.17)
Pittsburgh (266.96 / 81.66)
Kansas City (260.46 / 135.98)
Minnesota (225.76 / 99.08)
Cincinnati (309.16 / 117.23)
Buffalo (258.87 / 83.01)
Chicago (222.10 / 123.41)
Detroit (201.15 / 94.63)
Denver (228.29 / 87.29)
Cleveland (235.60 / 98.46)
Houston (311.73 / 90.19)
Jacksonville (251.53 / 70.95)
Miami (181.88 / 92.84)
Tennessee (212.02 / 175.13)
Carolina (172.57 / 106.04)
Seattle (195.99 / 141.87)
San Diego (290.95 / 90.18)
Green Bay (280.39 / 78.30)
Baltimore (294.28 / 106.45)
San Francisco (197.66 / 131.78)
New England (311.51 / 152.27)
Indianapolis (237.27 / 120.43)
NY Giants (269.61 / 102.16)
Philadelphia (287.21 / 92.75)
Washington (215.35 / 60.90)
NY Jets (165.95 / 115.66)
Arizona (242.98 / 136.17)
Pittsburgh (266.96 / 81.66)
Kansas City (260.46 / 135.98)
Minnesota (225.76 / 99.08)
Cincinnati (309.16 / 117.23)
Buffalo (258.87 / 83.01)
Chicago (222.10 / 123.41)
Detroit (201.15 / 94.63)
Denver (228.29 / 87.29)
Cleveland (235.60 / 98.46)
Houston (311.73 / 90.19)
Jacksonville (251.53 / 70.95)
Miami (181.88 / 92.84)
Tennessee (212.02 / 175.13)
Carolina (172.57 / 106.04)
Seattle (195.99 / 141.87)
San Diego (290.95 / 90.18)
Green Bay (280.39 / 78.30)
Baltimore (294.28 / 106.45)
San Francisco (197.66 / 131.78)
New England (311.51 / 152.27)
Indianapolis (237.27 / 120.43)
NY Giants (269.61 / 102.16)
Philadelphia (287.21 / 92.75)
Lines/totals via model:
NY Jets (-7.53, 30.00) v Washington
Pittsburgh (-5.59, 41.95) v Arizona
Minnesota (-0.97, 42.43) v Kansas City
Buffalo (-1.33, 44.59) v Cincinnati
Chicago (-2.76, 37.42) at Detroit
Denver (-2.38, 38.74) at Cleveland
Jacksonville (-1.55, 40.57) v Houston
Tennessee (-11.34, 40.68) v Miami
Seattle (-7.06, 33.93) v Carolina
Green Bay (-8.46, 45.03) v San Diego
Baltimore (-1.73, 44.45, at San Francisco
New England (-15.06, 48.60) at Indianpolis
Philadelphia (-3.57, 43.95) v NY Giants
NY Jets (-7.53, 30.00) v Washington
Pittsburgh (-5.59, 41.95) v Arizona
Minnesota (-0.97, 42.43) v Kansas City
Buffalo (-1.33, 44.59) v Cincinnati
Chicago (-2.76, 37.42) at Detroit
Denver (-2.38, 38.74) at Cleveland
Jacksonville (-1.55, 40.57) v Houston
Tennessee (-11.34, 40.68) v Miami
Seattle (-7.06, 33.93) v Carolina
Green Bay (-8.46, 45.03) v San Diego
Baltimore (-1.73, 44.45, at San Francisco
New England (-15.06, 48.60) at Indianpolis
Philadelphia (-3.57, 43.95) v NY Giants
Season:
Sides/Totals: 11-8, 57.1%, +2.510
ML: 10-13, 43.5%, +0.250
Total: +2.760
ROI: +9.0%
Week Six Selections:
254 Buffalo +3 (-105)
255 Kansas City +3.5 (-108)
259 Chicago +4 (-105)
266 Tennessee -1.5 (-108)
274 Indianapolis +9.5 (-108)
1/5 bet:
254 Buffalo ML +145
255 Kansas City ML +170
259 Chicago ML +175
274 Indianapolis ML +345
Note: The model is only one tool I use and certainly not the end all be all, especially this early in the season.
Best of luck with your action.
Continued success.
Sides/Totals: 11-8, 57.1%, +2.510
ML: 10-13, 43.5%, +0.250
Total: +2.760
ROI: +9.0%
Week Six Selections:
254 Buffalo +3 (-105)
255 Kansas City +3.5 (-108)
259 Chicago +4 (-105)
266 Tennessee -1.5 (-108)
274 Indianapolis +9.5 (-108)
1/5 bet:
254 Buffalo ML +145
255 Kansas City ML +170
259 Chicago ML +175
274 Indianapolis ML +345
Note: The model is only one tool I use and certainly not the end all be all, especially this early in the season.
Best of luck with your action.
Continued success.
Season:
Sides and Totals: 13-11, 54.2%, +1.300
ML: 10-17, 37.0%, -0.550
Total: +0.750
ROI: +2.0%
Week Seven Selections:
459 NY Jets +7 (+100)
464 Tennessee +6.5 (-108)
466 Washington -3 (-113)
467 New Orleans +4.5 (-107)
470 San Diego -3.5 (+100)
474 Carolina -3 (+105)
1/5 bet:
459 NY Jets ML +295
464 Tennessee ML +230
467 New Orleans ML +190
Best of luck with your action.
Sides and Totals: 13-11, 54.2%, +1.300
ML: 10-17, 37.0%, -0.550
Total: +0.750
ROI: +2.0%
Week Seven Selections:
459 NY Jets +7 (+100)
464 Tennessee +6.5 (-108)
466 Washington -3 (-113)
467 New Orleans +4.5 (-107)
470 San Diego -3.5 (+100)
474 Carolina -3 (+105)
1/5 bet:
459 NY Jets ML +295
464 Tennessee ML +230
467 New Orleans ML +190
Best of luck with your action.
I'm a bit under the weather and will update my record and other notables early this week.
Week Eight Selections:
257 NY Giants +3 (+107)
262 Cleveland +6.5 (-105)
264 Pittsburgh -1 (-107)
270 Oakland +3 (+105)
274 Denver ML +120
275 Indianapolis +6.5 (-105)
1/5 bet:
257 NY Giants ML +155
262 Cleveland ML +235
270 Oakland ML +155
275 Indianapolis ML +248
Best of luck with your action.
Week Eight Selections:
257 NY Giants +3 (+107)
262 Cleveland +6.5 (-105)
264 Pittsburgh -1 (-107)
270 Oakland +3 (+105)
274 Denver ML +120
275 Indianapolis +6.5 (-105)
1/5 bet:
257 NY Giants ML +155
262 Cleveland ML +235
270 Oakland ML +155
275 Indianapolis ML +248
Best of luck with your action.
I really haven't been gambling much and have been 100% focused on DFS. The little I played after the Ensor my threads I did pretty well in the NFL, but lost in CFB.
I'm playing these Saturday:
102 Houston +3 (-105)
106 Cincinatti +3 (-120)
1/5 bet:
102 Houston ML +143
106 Cincinnati ML +130
Best of luck with your action.
I'm playing these Saturday:
102 Houston +3 (-105)
106 Cincinatti +3 (-120)
1/5 bet:
102 Houston ML +143
106 Cincinnati ML +130
Best of luck with your action.
I played these for the Bowl. Haven't been gambling much, but couldn't pass up Denver here.
1.0 Denver +5.5 (-102)
0.5 Denver ML +205
0.3 Denver -3.5 (+350)
0.1 Denver -7.5 (+550)
0.1 First TD Gm Denver D/ST +2000
0.1 First TD Gm Caldwell +2500
Best of luck with your action and enjoy the game.
1.0 Denver +5.5 (-102)
0.5 Denver ML +205
0.3 Denver -3.5 (+350)
0.1 Denver -7.5 (+550)
0.1 First TD Gm Denver D/ST +2000
0.1 First TD Gm Caldwell +2500
Best of luck with your action and enjoy the game.
