Kevin Rogers
San Antonio at Sacramento
Play: Sacramento +11
Sacramento's season has been an absolute disaster, winning the fewest games in the NBA (16), as they play their home finale against San Antonio. The Kings are more than capable of hanging around with the league's best, covering as home dogs against the Cavs, Hornets, Nuggets, Lakers, and Hawks. Kings rookie forward Jason Thompson was quoted last week prior to their loss to the Lakers saying, "For most of the year, we have been playing to the competition. When good teams come in here is when we have the great starts." Kevin Martin will be out again tonight for the Kings with a sprained ankle, as Sacramento is 7-6 ATS as double-digit dogs without their leading scorer this season. The Spurs are just 5-9 ATS L14, and 5-5 SU/ATS L10 on the road, with only one win away from home by at least 11 points in this stretch. The Kings are part of a favorable end-of-the season system, coming off their blowout loss at the Clippers. Play on any game 80-82 home team coming off a straight up loss of 15 points or more against a team off a straight up win, as this system is 36-14 ATS (72%) since 1990. Sacramento will come out with some sort of pride in their final game in front of the home fans, as the Spurs just want to get through this game as they gear up for the playoffs. I'll take the points with the Kings.
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San Antonio at Sacramento
Play: Sacramento +11
Sacramento's season has been an absolute disaster, winning the fewest games in the NBA (16), as they play their home finale against San Antonio. The Kings are more than capable of hanging around with the league's best, covering as home dogs against the Cavs, Hornets, Nuggets, Lakers, and Hawks. Kings rookie forward Jason Thompson was quoted last week prior to their loss to the Lakers saying, "For most of the year, we have been playing to the competition. When good teams come in here is when we have the great starts." Kevin Martin will be out again tonight for the Kings with a sprained ankle, as Sacramento is 7-6 ATS as double-digit dogs without their leading scorer this season. The Spurs are just 5-9 ATS L14, and 5-5 SU/ATS L10 on the road, with only one win away from home by at least 11 points in this stretch. The Kings are part of a favorable end-of-the season system, coming off their blowout loss at the Clippers. Play on any game 80-82 home team coming off a straight up loss of 15 points or more against a team off a straight up win, as this system is 36-14 ATS (72%) since 1990. Sacramento will come out with some sort of pride in their final game in front of the home fans, as the Spurs just want to get through this game as they gear up for the playoffs. I'll take the points with the Kings.
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