Early degenerate Champions League picks

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wednesday

brügge -0.5 @ 1.844
München +0.5 @ 1.89
Barca -1.5 @1.78
Bremen -0.5 @ 1.826 (POD) and over 2.5 @ 1.80
Lille/MU under 2 @2.01
Villarreal pk,+0.5 @ 1.89
 

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Don't agree with those Unders :think2:

Brugge/Rapid match is a must win for both teams. Brugge have recently got back a couple of their key strikers and even though its critical to not concede I anticipate they will attack from the start. Rapid coach says he expects an open, entertaining encounter. Despite the 1-0 scoreline from last matchday there were quite a few good chances in that game that were not taken. I tried Over 2 here.

Lille/Man Utd. is a bit more of a feel. First match was a boring game as the score indicated but I trust Lille will have to open it up a bit more at home. I can't imagine them playing 10 men behind the ball again in front of their supporters. If this is the case I expect the open space to result in some goals, more likely to Man Utd. After that embarrassing loss I wonder if Ferguson will want more then a draw and push for a victory instead. A loss to Lille wouldn't be catastrophic and a win would put them in great position to advance. Gave the Over 2 a shot. Like Man Utd -1/4 better however.

QL - Keane, Neville and even Scholes help the under, only Giggs is missed for offense. Park is a decent replacement for Giggs but has limited skills.


Barca and Arsenal should get easy victories, most likely by a couple but not excited with the odds out there now. All other games pretty clueless.
 

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I totally agree with you on all accounts, HPark.

In particular, I think the Lille/Man U game is going to be a WIDE OPEN affair. Another OVER I like is Werder Bremen/Udinese, just like chriscol.

Also, Arsenal (-1.5) should cash today. Sparta have injury problems and are in TERRIBLE form. The inclusion of Henry at Highbury ensures Arsenal of at least a 2 goal victory.

One game I am having trouble with is Benfica/Villareal. I like Benfica's chances but the +0.5 on Villareal is tempting since a DRAW is a very real possibility.

MM
 

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benfica is struggeling in domestic league and is also not playing well in ECL, while villarreal has turned it around lately beinf 5 games undefeated..they are overall the better team IMO and to have a chance of advancing they have to get at least the draw, that why i like the pk,+0.5.

i doubt my under on the brügge game, as park has some good points, but i still like the MU under, but we cannot always be on the same side..
 

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Like both OVERS on Man Utd and Werder Bremmen, but also I like a lot Juventus -0.5 @-115...


I feel they are in a very good spot to pull off a win here, to get revenge for the loss Bayern put on them in Germany, and the drubbing they got from Milan in the weekend... I still feel they are a very solid team... Abbiati is back at goal, so Chimenti and that shaky start of his against Milan are long gone...

Anybody dissagrees on this???
 

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added info

I checked the info, and Juve is 8-1-1 in the last 10 games at home in European competition, while Bayern is 2-4-4 on the road in the last 10 games in Euro competition...
 

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Good stuff here guys. Thanks for the good feedback.

Most of you know how I like the favorites at home. Based upon some of the comments here I may put some down for Arsenal and Barca. Not to be counted in the record.
 

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i ve liked them both early on at -1.5, ut now at -1.5,-2 ????

would the over 2.5,3 maybe a better solution if you bet on the favs in these matches? any opinions?
 

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I can't trust Sparta or Pana to score. I suppose both home teams will open up their attack and give more space but I think its more likely you'll need three from the home sides to get the Over.

Looking at the lineups from Italy it appears the Over 2 there may also warrant a small play.
 

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chriscol said:
i ve liked them both early on at -1.5, ut now at -1.5,-2 ????

would the over 2.5,3 maybe a better solution if you bet on the favs in these matches? any opinions?

Good point there chris. I took the over 2.5/3 in the Bremen/Udinese match on your advice. It's at 2-0 now.
 

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Bremen just pissed away a 3-0 lead in 10 minutes....what a bunch of clowns:monsters-
 

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Bremen blows a 3 goal lead in less then 10 minutes? I don't think I have ever seen that happen before in champions league.:finger:
 

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jwunderdog said:
Bremen blows a 3 goal lead in less then 10 minutes? I don't think I have ever seen that happen before in champions league.:finger:

I'll bet you've seen that in the Premiership though haven't you? :)

I forgot to mention alfarac's suggestion on the OVER for Bremen/Udinese. Thanks to chriscol and alfarac for getting me to make some cash.
 

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Brugge 3, Rapid 2 -1.00
Lille 1, Man Utd. 0 +0.65

This series: -5.10

All soccer series: 13-2

I was able to make back some money on Arsenal, Barca and Bremen over thanks to the posters here.
 

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"I'll bet you've seen that in the Premiership though haven't you? :)"

I don't follow the Premiership to much, but see it in the lower divisions in Germany every so often. Thanks Criscol and the rest for a nice day, wish I would have bet more$$, but can't complain.
 

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brügge -0.5 @ 1.844 WINNER!
München +0.5 @ 1.89 Loss
Barca -1.5 @1.78 WINNER!
Bremen -0.5 @ 1.826 (POD) and over 2.5 @ 1.80 WINNER & WINNER!
Lille/MU under 2 @2.01 WINNER!
Villarreal pk,+0.5 @ 1.89 WINNER!
brügge/wien under 2.5,2 @ 1.99 Loss

Nice day today chris!
 

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