Trump stands on the stage at his rallies and cherrypicks the few polls that show him as competitive, or he repeats conspiracy theories based on twisting of Wikileaks emails about how “oversampling” is distorting results for the polls where he’s far behind. The idea that the polls are “skewed” toward Hillary Clinton is at the heart of Trump’s claim that any loss on his part is a sure sign of election fraud. After all, if Trump doesn’t win Pennsylvania, etc. etc.
However, the truth is that
Donald Trump knows he is losing.
Despite Trump’s claim that he doesn’t believe the polls, his San Antonio research team spends $100,000 a week on surveys (apart from polls commissioned out of Trump Tower) and has sophisticated models that run daily simulations of the election. The results mirror those of the more reliable public forecasters—in other words, Trump’s staff knows he’s losing. Badly. “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale, referring to the polling analyst and his predictions at FiveThirtyEight, “except they lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.”
“Trump will get 40 percent of the vote, and half that number at least will buy into his claim that the election was rigged and stolen from him,” says Steve Schmidt, John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign chief and an outspoken Trump critic. “That is more than enough people to support a multibillion-dollar media business and a powerful presence in American politics.”
ointer:kth)(&^Loser!@#0Slapping-silly90))^^
azzkick(&^:tongue2::trx-smly0:madasshol:fckmad::Countdown
