I have no interest in betting the Pack, I am just accepting the fact that the public is all over these games to a far greater degree than the smart money can offset it. If you believe the common thinking, something I am not quite sold on, the public has even more money than usual this year to bet because favorites and overs are doing so well, even into the postseason here. And make no doubt, the Pack will be the most public team in that matchup. So many people talking about how they are destiny to win it. Whatever, I don't agree but I don't set the lines nor tell the public what to believe. They will hammer that number and the books are well aware of it.
We are trying to make a judgement on what the odds would be in the future, not trying to make predictions. That is why I suggest anyone that wants to back the Panthers to do it on the a money line parlay.
We are trying to make a judgement on what the odds would be in the future, not trying to make predictions. That is why I suggest anyone that wants to back the Panthers to do it on the a money line parlay.
Are players69 and vaulted treehouse brothers?
playersonly69
Too Legit To Quit!
posted January 05, 2004 09:02 PM
Maybe it is just me, but I wouldnt take Carolina at 200 to 1 to win the super bowl. They have NO CHANCE to win the super bowl. For that matter, I would take them at 25 to 1 to win the NFC. No chance to win this week much less next week and I usually LOVEEEE underdogs
Vaulted Treehouse
Certifiably Crazy
posted January 10, 2004 08:40 PM
People have no clue what bad weather games really are do they. Cold is not a bad weather game. Ice and rain is bad. They hammer this line down for me to unload on the over with 2 passing teams who are going to light it up. Unbelievable.
good luck today everbody, what a day of football yesterday!
playersonly69
Too Legit To Quit!
posted January 05, 2004 09:02 PM
Maybe it is just me, but I wouldnt take Carolina at 200 to 1 to win the super bowl. They have NO CHANCE to win the super bowl. For that matter, I would take them at 25 to 1 to win the NFC. No chance to win this week much less next week and I usually LOVEEEE underdogs
Vaulted Treehouse
Certifiably Crazy
posted January 10, 2004 08:40 PM
People have no clue what bad weather games really are do they. Cold is not a bad weather game. Ice and rain is bad. They hammer this line down for me to unload on the over with 2 passing teams who are going to light it up. Unbelievable.
good luck today everbody, what a day of football yesterday!
"but I wouldnt take Carolina at 200 to 1 to win the super bowl. They have NO CHANCE to win the super bowl. For that matter, I would take them at 25 to 1 to win the NFC"
Could be one of the squarest comments I've ever read. Futures are all about value and have NOTHING to do with ones opinion. If carolina is 20-1 to win the superbowl just about everywhere and some outfit is hanging 35-1 you grab it regardless if you like them or not. Finding value can balance your book and give you a free roll on the team you like
TryTry
Good luck! Carolina can beat any team still alive right now and would love to have them at 25-1.
Could be one of the squarest comments I've ever read. Futures are all about value and have NOTHING to do with ones opinion. If carolina is 20-1 to win the superbowl just about everywhere and some outfit is hanging 35-1 you grab it regardless if you like them or not. Finding value can balance your book and give you a free roll on the team you like
TryTry
Good luck! Carolina can beat any team still alive right now and would love to have them at 25-1.
Hey dumbass
My comment was, futures are about value! thats all. The comment did'nt have anything to do with Carolina winning DUMBASS. If Carolina was 20-1 everywhere and you you got 25-1 or better that may hold value depending on your book. And if you passed on 25-1 to win the NFC just because you did'nt like them that would make you a bigger dumbass then you already are you DUMBASS. And I did like Carolina to win it all and it's documented at a forum that you post at.
Please don't talk to me about betting you little contest whore
My comment was, futures are about value! thats all. The comment did'nt have anything to do with Carolina winning DUMBASS. If Carolina was 20-1 everywhere and you you got 25-1 or better that may hold value depending on your book. And if you passed on 25-1 to win the NFC just because you did'nt like them that would make you a bigger dumbass then you already are you DUMBASS. And I did like Carolina to win it all and it's documented at a forum that you post at.
Please don't talk to me about betting you little contest whore
The odds haven't turned out to be THAT good. If he bet the ML he would have had:
+190
+160
+215
2.9*2.6*3.15=23.73 for or about 23-1. The bet was a slight overlay, but by not betting it along the way he gave up the valuable option value of backing out and taking his winnings at any point in time if the team ran into a matchup he didn't like. It is far more efficient to just back away in this scenario than it would be to go out and bet the other way as a hedge. It looks good if he hits the 28-1 bet, but it may not have been the best way to go about it unless he was seriously convinced that the team would win at every step of the way.
+190
+160
+215
2.9*2.6*3.15=23.73 for or about 23-1. The bet was a slight overlay, but by not betting it along the way he gave up the valuable option value of backing out and taking his winnings at any point in time if the team ran into a matchup he didn't like. It is far more efficient to just back away in this scenario than it would be to go out and bet the other way as a hedge. It looks good if he hits the 28-1 bet, but it may not have been the best way to go about it unless he was seriously convinced that the team would win at every step of the way.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> The bet was a slight overlay, but by not betting it along the way he gave up the valuable option value of backing out and taking his winnings at any point in time if the team ran into a matchup he didn't like. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
He bet it on an exchange, so he could've sold the future if he wanted to back out or hedge.
He bet it on an exchange, so he could've sold the future if he wanted to back out or hedge.
