Isn't it 50/50 with 1st rounders ?
Less than that. It's a complete crap shoot.
Playing QB in the NFL is all about how fast you can process information. You can't get that speed at the college level. Every touted QB coming out of college can throw the football and make plays at that level.
Flip a coin. A few times.
I'll cheer for the guy. He seems like a good dude. I root for guys that are loyal. If you look into his story, he was loyal to the Ducks his entire life.