uppy:What we need here is a "line reader". Someone that caps games based on the line. Someone that can read into the line that the line makers set for each game.
Line makers know who the superior team, he also know the perception of the public on each team, just to name a couple of factors that go into making a line.
Do we have any line readers in the house?
Line makers know who the superior team, he also know the perception of the public on each team, just to name a couple of factors that go into making a line.
Do we have any line readers in the house?
I felt the exact same way about the Sunday and Monday night games. If I was a bookie I think I would have gotten killed on those games. And the line movement made me think...."TRAP." And I DO believe in trap games in the sports. I don't always believe Vegas wants even money on both sides. There are certain situations where it seems like they know something that we don't. It seems like I notice it a lot more in the NBA but I haven't actually kept track of it long-term. That's why a season or two ago in the NBA I remember I used to post "fishy" lines and see where the line moved before I played the game. I think somebody is doing NFL fishy lines now and we should really come up with some qualifications and try to keep track of the results. Also, reverse line movement on a Primetime game like the Steelers on Sunday night scared the hell out of me and I didn't play Pittsburgh. Obviously, I was wrong. It's a fascinating subject.
QUESTION: When we see the % of public tickets ATS from these "consensus sites," these are only counting straight tickets right? They don't include parlays or anything else do they? Also, I think it's safe to assume that if there is an accurate consensus showing most of the public "betting tickets" one side, those "Average Bettor Money" will almost ALWAYS outweigh the "sharp money."
