For example, if I bet Michigan +4 @ the opening line, does it have a better chance of winning if the closing line is Michigan -1?
Seriously. of course a team +4 has a better chance of covering than if they were laying 1
You misunderstand the point. If I've ALREADY BET Mich at +4, does the Mich +4 bet have a greater chance of winning BECAUSE the public pushed the line from Mich +4 to Mich -2?
Or does it make no difference; the line movement simply means the public likes Michigan, and the public wins only 50% of the time (or worse the public wins less than 50% and the line movement shows you should've bet ND -4).
In short, are line movements "correct"?
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