i agree that sometimes the best teams don't win but you have to take that chance because how often does a Miss St beat Florida. Or Miami beat anyone. Yes Cincy could win the game but there is a far better chance of a Denver blowout than a Cin win.
Tonight's game features the NFL's #1 ranked rushing team against the NFL's 32nd or last place rushing defense. Plus Den is what 1st or 2nd in total defense. You have to like your chances taking Denver tonight. Yes the possibility exists that Cin covers but that's why it's called gambling and not a sure thing.