England Champ 2:45
QPR/Bournemouth under 2.5 1.03u to win 1u
- numbers will say this one is very risky as Bournemouth are #2 at 3.18 gpg but looking inside the number you'll see this is heavily skewed by four games...two ending with 6, two ending with 7. In fact they're basically 50/50 on overs with 8 unders, 9 overs. QPR are defense-first and lead the league with 13 unders out of 17 and just 2 home goals allowed. After allowing 2 goals including an 89th minute winner on Saturday they will be very tuned up defensively in this one and really don't have the offense to score 3 or more so it's really Bournemouth's 3.18 gpg that gives us a 2.5 total. QPR have not played a midweek over since they were in the PL while Bournemouth are 1-3 o/u in midweek games this year.
QPR/Bournemouth under 2.5 1.03u to win 1u
- numbers will say this one is very risky as Bournemouth are #2 at 3.18 gpg but looking inside the number you'll see this is heavily skewed by four games...two ending with 6, two ending with 7. In fact they're basically 50/50 on overs with 8 unders, 9 overs. QPR are defense-first and lead the league with 13 unders out of 17 and just 2 home goals allowed. After allowing 2 goals including an 89th minute winner on Saturday they will be very tuned up defensively in this one and really don't have the offense to score 3 or more so it's really Bournemouth's 3.18 gpg that gives us a 2.5 total. QPR have not played a midweek over since they were in the PL while Bournemouth are 1-3 o/u in midweek games this year.
just to note that QPR scored 3 just one time last year in EPL, March vs Sunderland, and before that it was August 2012 
12:45 Holland
Den Haag/Heerenveen over 3 goals 1u to win .73u
lots of EPL thoughts later....will type them up around 1pm i'd say but likely will wait for lineups before placing bets.
12:45 Holland
Den Haag/Heerenveen over 3 goals 1u to win .73u
lots of EPL thoughts later....will type them up around 1pm i'd say but likely will wait for lineups before placing bets.
Liverpool 1H -0.75 1u to win .87u
- Pool have been about as good as you can be in 1H of games this year, 9-3-1 19/5 with 5-1-0 10/0 at home. Norwich 2nd worst 1H team, 2-3-8 2/12 and dead last away with just 1 goal scored and 9 conceded and trailing in 5 of those 6. They haven't won b2b games this year and Pool haven't lost b2b league games since summer of 2012. Norwich injury list is huge and of course Sturridge will be missed for Pool but you have to expect them to get all over Norwich, early and often
- Pool have been about as good as you can be in 1H of games this year, 9-3-1 19/5 with 5-1-0 10/0 at home. Norwich 2nd worst 1H team, 2-3-8 2/12 and dead last away with just 1 goal scored and 9 conceded and trailing in 5 of those 6. They haven't won b2b games this year and Pool haven't lost b2b league games since summer of 2012. Norwich injury list is huge and of course Sturridge will be missed for Pool but you have to expect them to get all over Norwich, early and often
Manchester United 1.25u to win 1u
United vs Everton
- could be THE pivotal match of the season for United as a win could jump them into top 5 with a rather comfortable but busy next 3 weeks (newcastle, villa, stoke, hammers, hull, norwich) that should see them sitting top 4 by the new year. that is, if they win tonight....
obviously the big storyline is Moyes and Sideshow Bob vs Everton but that Everton defense was torn apart by Liverpool so can certainly be taken down by Rooney and company. United haven't lost a league match here to Everton since I was still in college. United routinely beat Wigan's ass and while Martinez has better talent now the system is the same. Everton will start their table descent today as they've been very fortunate with first half schedule playing only one top 10 team away from home, 3-1 loss at City. Other than that they've faced Norwich, Cardiff, Villa, Palace, and West Ham.
lineup is solid today....Sideshow in front of the back 4, Giggs and Kagawa in central mid, Rooney up front, Welbeck/Valencia out wide. Key is to destroy the fill-in left back, Oviedo, with Valencia down the right as that is a major mismatch
United vs Everton
- could be THE pivotal match of the season for United as a win could jump them into top 5 with a rather comfortable but busy next 3 weeks (newcastle, villa, stoke, hammers, hull, norwich) that should see them sitting top 4 by the new year. that is, if they win tonight....
obviously the big storyline is Moyes and Sideshow Bob vs Everton but that Everton defense was torn apart by Liverpool so can certainly be taken down by Rooney and company. United haven't lost a league match here to Everton since I was still in college. United routinely beat Wigan's ass and while Martinez has better talent now the system is the same. Everton will start their table descent today as they've been very fortunate with first half schedule playing only one top 10 team away from home, 3-1 loss at City. Other than that they've faced Norwich, Cardiff, Villa, Palace, and West Ham.
lineup is solid today....Sideshow in front of the back 4, Giggs and Kagawa in central mid, Rooney up front, Welbeck/Valencia out wide. Key is to destroy the fill-in left back, Oviedo, with Valencia down the right as that is a major mismatch
yeah he's basically going with their cup team today. tons of injuries and a lot of tired looking guys, according to him, plus a brutal dec schedule with SUN-WED-SAT matches next week
looks like Den Haag match will come up short. tons of offense but two posts and a number of great saves.
Gala and Benfica both have big CL matches next week but a Friday match should still keep them focused on league. Gala won 3-1 last year at home and 1-0 away and player values are 160M vs 14M. Elazig have lost 4 away games by 15-1 differential
Benfica are one of the great home teams in world football on a 20-4-0 league home streak and have only lost to Porto in last 60 games. Arouca new to top league this season and value disparity here is 230M vs 15M....basically Benfica have one midfielder, Matic, worth 2x the entire Arouca squad.
Cerro Porteno play for undefeated season in front of home crowd vs Nacional who will use just one regular, 3 reserves, and 7 guys that have never played at this level before. Their best 18 players are in Mexico for a friendly match vs Monterrey
Benfica are one of the great home teams in world football on a 20-4-0 league home streak and have only lost to Porto in last 60 games. Arouca new to top league this season and value disparity here is 230M vs 15M....basically Benfica have one midfielder, Matic, worth 2x the entire Arouca squad.
Cerro Porteno play for undefeated season in front of home crowd vs Nacional who will use just one regular, 3 reserves, and 7 guys that have never played at this level before. Their best 18 players are in Mexico for a friendly match vs Monterrey
