I agree with you: Mexico will MOST LIKELY win this game. But nothing ever is a lock. And because you never know what could happen, laying a C-note on the dawg at +520 looks like a plan.
There was a good thread about this game on the board yesterday:
-SLIM-'s thread
This is -SLIM-:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>bob, I guess we disagree on this one, being Costa Rica I'm accustomed to suffering the offensive futility which we've always had to deal with. It seems like we need a 10 X 10 meter goal to put the damn thing in and even then we'd have trouble.
Another factor to look at in my opinion is that our head coach likes Winston Parks for some reason and so far he's proved to be inept on offense. Him and Erick Scott aren't really big offensive threats like our real guns, Wanchope and Ronald Gomez.
At the same time I think both teams will take about 30 minutes to measure each other and we'll see a very cautious first half. Mexico, having lost their last game to CR at the Coloso de Santa Ursula won't want to go down a second time....
The only thing I fear with this under is, if Mexico gets on the board early, it might turn into the stereotypical blow out that many teams have had to endure at the DF....(e.g. Jamaica losing 5-0 the other day). Though I dont think we can be blown out that easily, it takes 3 goals to go over.
I'll have to say this one stays under the 2.5 barrier.... <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
This is what I think about this game:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>C.R. - Mex DRAW +240
C.R. +370 (strictly value plays, Mexico will most likely win this matchup)
As little as an opinion without a write-up is worth, there's really nothing much to say here. Anybody that has seen the games, will agree the U.S. have a real shot at that Snoopy Cup once again. And odogg25 is absolutely right, Costa Rica has lost his best defender. Martinez not only did his job, but it also made players on the field feel comfortable to do theirs.
C.R. under Sampson's lead, will probably play a very deffensive game, with little or no creativity at all. If you add the everlasting problem Costa Rica has -the total absence of an effective scorer-, you guys will be watching the following:
-POOR defense in C.R. last 1/4 of field.
-Probably Lopez will bring in some organizing in the midfield
-But most of the C.R attacks will be killed effectively by the Mexican last line, especially with Marquez coming in fresh ( I agree with odogg25 again)
-From there, what C.R. should try to avoid the most is the Mexican counterstrike. That'd get them every time. And the C.R. goalkeeper hasn't really seen any action yet.
After Colombia losing to Brazil, my units are flatliners. I will never lay any $$$ on them Colombians again. No matter how much apparent value they have.
Good luck to all<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
No matter what happens, enjoy those brews brother