I'm not pissed at all...Lewis. I am simply pointing out that your reasoning for this play is full of holes. By all means, go ahead and bet on Folrida because you think they have an offense and LSU doesn't. Load up on the Gators because you "feel" they can't lose another game at home. Put your game of the year money on Meyer because you think he'll utilize some trick plays.
However, the people that may read this thread should be aware that LSU has much better offensive and defensive lines...and they have a better rushing game. Miles has a winning record against Meyer and LSU has won 3 out of the last four straight up.
I'll leave your thread now.
GL Lewis, mostly a lurker on this board, but wanted you to know that I for one have always appreciated your picks and views on each week's action the last few years. Easily your one of the 1/2 dozen top threads each week to read before wagering imo. Ignore the homers (especially this one) and keep up the good work.
here is some more reasoning...........lower ranked favored over higher ranked.......thats not my reason but it is a reason......I never said anything about their OL and DL......they might have better lines but they dont have better skilled players and you can tell me thats wrong too........La Fell is a stud no doubt but Florida has two to three guys with the same type of skills.......I never said that Miles didnt have a winning record over Meyer but that doesnt mean he is a better coach......I also never said that LSU hasnt won 3 of the last 4 but they havent covered and thats what we are doing playing ATS........With all the talent he has had he should have a winning record against Meyer but this year I think that Meyer has more skilled players and that will show on Saturday and the Gators IMO will beat Miles and the Tigers.......There is more to say but like I said before it wont matter you are a LSU FAN and its not going to change your mind on this game so I am through filling my holes........I guess we will see on Saturday..............
Sometimes gut feeling is more trustworthy than any stats, Lewis. Usually my POW's come from gut feeling first, then I try to justify it with reasoning. To make this your GOY, you must've seen something from both FLA and LSU to make this call.
In any case, I'm following your gut and going with the Gators. Thanks for your posts, and BOL!
In any case, I'm following your gut and going with the Gators. Thanks for your posts, and BOL!
The line isn't moving up....it opened at UF -6 at Chris (bookmaker) on Sunday night and was immediately bet down (by sharps) to -4.
so who moved it back up??????? the public??????????? nope not when 65% of the bets have been placed on LSU.........my guess the heavy hitters saw a great opportunity and banged it......
no more responses from me to you about this game.........its a waste of typing.....You like LSU this week and I like Forida...........and nothings going to change that..........gl with the rest of your plays
Thanks Lewis, Youre doing a helluva job this year bro....Good call on the Viks....I was on the same side and sweatin the hell outta that game late last night! BOL this week big guy!
BTP
By the way, do you have any leans for tonights Sun Belt Match-up....I think Troy is the better team but I Hate taking road favorites....what do you think bro??? thanks
BTP
By the way, do you have any leans for tonights Sun Belt Match-up....I think Troy is the better team but I Hate taking road favorites....what do you think bro??? thanks
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Weekday leans
Tuesday
Florida Atlantic +3.5 It will be hard for me to play this team agian this week after they totally screwed me last week..... MOST LIKELY A NO PLAY
Thursday
Clemson +2.5 My numbers have the Tigers winning by 3 in this game which puts them on the list but I dont think I can trust a team with Bowden as the coach........He has proven he doesnt know how to win with talent over the years at Clemson.....Their running game does make them a good dog play but will Clemson be smart enough to run????? I mean WF lost to Navy at home which means they are not a great team.....but they are good and Grobe is a great coach so for now it is just a possibility
Friday
Memphis +6.5 It hurts me to type them but LOU is not a powerhouse and to giving up basically a TD on the road is ridiculous but so is the Memphis defense.........The Underdog has covered 8 out of the last 9 in this series and my numbers have this game right at the line so I will wait and see what the line does and possibly play it on Friday
back in a minute with the Saturday leans
lewis
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Tuesday
Florida Atlantic +3.5 It will be hard for me to play this team agian this week after they totally screwed me last week..... MOST LIKELY A NO PLAY
Thursday
Clemson +2.5 My numbers have the Tigers winning by 3 in this game which puts them on the list but I dont think I can trust a team with Bowden as the coach........He has proven he doesnt know how to win with talent over the years at Clemson.....Their running game does make them a good dog play but will Clemson be smart enough to run????? I mean WF lost to Navy at home which means they are not a great team.....but they are good and Grobe is a great coach so for now it is just a possibility
Friday
Memphis +6.5 It hurts me to type them but LOU is not a powerhouse and to giving up basically a TD on the road is ridiculous but so is the Memphis defense.........The Underdog has covered 8 out of the last 9 in this series and my numbers have this game right at the line so I will wait and see what the line does and possibly play it on Friday
back in a minute with the Saturday leans
lewis
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