Cnotes Sports Page For Tuesday August 4th Best Bets-Trends-News !

[CNOTES]

Diamond Trends - Tuesday


August 4, 2015




SU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Cardinals are 15-0 since May 15, 2014 as a favorite and after a walk off win.


PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- When John Lackey starts the Cardinals are 0-10 O/U since Sep 10, 2014 after his team scored a total of fewer than three runs in his last start.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Rays are 0-10-1 O/U since Apr 26, 2015 and when they won their last two games and their opponent has lost their last two games.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Dodgers are 0-10 ML since May 31, 2007 on the road as a 140+ favorite and when they are off two wins in which they never trailed.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Pirates are 10-0 ML since Sep 23, 2011 as a home dog when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.

 

[CNOTES]

Torrid offense has the Lynx cashing the over


The Minnesota Lynx have gone over in four consecutive games and has seemed to simply turn those contests into shootouts.


Over their past four the Lynx are averaging four points (82.8) more than their season average (78.8), but they are also allowing nearly six more points (76) than their season average (70.4).


Minny visits the lowly LA Sparks Tuesday with the total currently set at 152.


----------------------------


Shock's ugly losing streak has bettors running away


The Tulsa Shock have dropped their past six games on the court, but have been just as abysmal at the betting window as they have not covered a single game during that span.


The Shock are being outscored by seven points per game during their skid, but have seen an average closing spread of +1.


Tulsa is currently +8.5, the largest dog they have been since their opening game, when thet visit the Phoenix Mercury Tuesday.


------------------------------


Braves dropping games at alarming rate behind Miller


The Atlanta Braves have been an awful bet when Shelby Miller has been on the mound recently, dropping 11 out of his last 12 starts.


That's a trend Braves backers will be hoping reverses itself Tuesday when Miller faces off against Jake Peavy and the San Francisco Giants.


As of this writing, the Braves were +103 on the moneyline.

 

[CNOTES]

Holy $hit betting stat of the day: Arrieta has been money on the road


Aug 04, 2015


Jake Arrieta has been thriving in hostile territory this season and it has meant wins for the Chicago Cubs. In Arrieta's 11 road games this season, the Cubbies are 9-2.


The right-hander has posted a 2.21 ERA away from Wrigley Field this season, which is almost a full point lower than his mark at home (3.07 ERA). Those 11 starts have seen Arrieta give up 58 hits and 18 earned runs over 73.1 innings pitched.


The good stats keep flowing for Arrieta, as the Cubs visit the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday. In two starts against the Buccos this season, Arrieta has a 1.29 ERA and has only allowing batters to hit .180.


Arrieta and the Cubs are currently -118 when they take to PNC Park Tuesday.

 

[CNOTES]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores


7:05 PM EDT


651 SA STARS 148 148 / 149 / 149.5 150 +160
652 CONNECTICUT SUN -4.5 -4.5 -4 -05 -185


CON-F-Chiney Ogwumike-OUT


8:05 PM EDT


653 INDIANA FEVER 162.5 162.5 / 161.5 / 162 163 +215
654 CHICAGO SKY -5.5 -5.5 -6 -260

TV: NBA, DTV: 216


10:00 PM EDT


655 MINNESOTA LYNX -2 -2.5 / -2 / -2 -21 -2.5 -145
656 LOS ANGELES SPARKS 152.5 152 / 151 / 150 151.5 +125

MIN-G-Seimone Augustus-OUT | TV: ESPN2, DTV: 209


10:05 PM EDT


657 TULSA SHOCK 152 151.5u16 / 151.5 / 152.5 152 +345
658 PHOENIX MERCURY -10 -10 / -8.5 -8.5 -05 -425

Tul-G-Skylar Diggins-OUT | Tul-F-Glory Johnson-OUT | PHO-G-Diana Taurasi-OUT | TV: ESPN3.com

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA Consensus Picks




SIDES (ATS)


Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds


7:00 PM San Antonio +4 211 36.76% Connecticut -4 363 63.24% View View


8:00 PM Indiana +6 264 46.73% Chicago -6 301 53.27% View View


10:00 PM Tulsa +8 301 54.53% Phoenix -8 251 45.47% View View


10:00 PM Minnesota -2 352 61.32% Los Angeles +2 222 38.68% View View




TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)


Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds


8:00 PM Indiana 162.5 190 40.08% Chicago 162.5 284 59.92% View View


7:00 PM San Antonio 150.5 206 44.49% Connecticut 150.5 257 55.51% View View


10:00 PM Minnesota 152 255 53.91% Los Angeles 152 218 46.09% View View


10:00 PM Tulsa 152 302 63.71% Phoenix 152 172 36.29% View View

 

[CNOTES]

Team Pitcher Open Line Movements Current Runline Scores


7:05 PM EDT


901 CHICAGO CUBS (R) Arrieta, J -130 -131 / -132 / -134 -144 -1.5(+120)
902 PITTSBURGH PIRATES (L) Happ, J 7o15 7 / 7u15 / 7u18 7u20 +1.5(-140)

TV: ROOT-Pittsburgh, WGN (America), DTV: 307, 659 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND OUT TO LEFT CENTER 6-11. GAME TEMP 79, RH 38% HEAT INDEX 79


7:05 PM EDT


903 LOS ANGELES DODGERS (L) Wood, A -185 -215 / -220 / -205 -210 -1.5(-125)
904 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (R) Williams, J 8o15 8.5o15 / 8.5o20 / 8.5u14 8.5u15 +1.5(+105)

TV: Time Warner LA, CSN-Philadelphia | PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. WIND LEFT TO RIGHT 9-14. GAME TEMP 88, RH 46% HEAT INDEX 91


7:05 PM EDT


905 ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (L) Corbin, P 6.5o15 6.5o15 / 6.5o20 / 6.5o30 6.5o25 +1.5(-140)
906 WASHINGTON NATIONALS (R) Scherzer, M -200 -194 / -195 / -193 -190 -1.5(+120)

TV: FS-Arizona, MASN, DTV: 640, 686 | PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. WIND IN FROM LEFT 5-10. GAME TEMP 91, RH 43% HEAT INDEX 95


7:10 PM EDT


907 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (R) Peavy, J -135 -125 / -127 / -125 -126 -1.5(+140)
908 ATLANTA BRAVES (R) Miller, S 7.5 7.5u28 / 7.5u25 / 7o20 7o15 +1.5(-160)


TV: CSN-Bay, SportSouth, DTV: 649, 696 | MOSTLY FAIR, WIND LEFT TO RIGHT 4-9. GAME TEMP 91, RH 36% HEAT INDEX 92


7:10 PM EDT


909 NEW YORK METS (L) Niese, J -125 -132 / -124 / -126 -125 -1.5(+140)
910 MIAMI MARLINS (L) Hand, B 7.5u15 7.5u15 / 7.5u19 / 7.5u20 7.5u25 +1.5(-160)

MIA-RF-Giancarlo Stanton-OUT | TV: FS-Florida, SNY, DTV: 639, 654 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND IN FROM CENTER 6-11. GAME TEMP 88, RH 61% HEAT INDEX 96 (MARLINS STADIUM ROOF MAY CLOSE IN HOT WEATHER)


7:10 PM EDT


911 ST LOUIS CARDINALS (R) Lackey, J -140 -127 / -128 / -126 -125 -1.5(+135)
912 CINCINNATI REDS (R) Desclafani, A 7.5 8o15 / 8o20 / 8o22 8o25 +1.5(-155)

STL-LF-Matt Holliday-OUT | TV: FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio, DTV: 660, 671 | MOSTLY FAIR, WIND OUT TO RIGHT 4-9. GAME TEMP 84, RH 42% HEAT INDEX 84


8:10 PM EDT


913 SAN DIEGO PADRES (R) Cashner, A 8u20 7.5u15 / 7.5u20 / 7.5u25 7.5u15 +1.5(-205)
914 MILWAUKEE BREWERS (R) Nelson, J -106 -122 / -120 / -117 -120 -1.5(+175)

TV: FS-San Diego, DTV: 694 | MOSTLY FAIR, WIND OUT TO LEFT 5-10. GAME TEMP 79, RH 40% HEAT INDEX 79


7:05 PM EDT


915 KANSAS CITY ROYALS (L) Duffy, D 8.5 -105 / -108 / -107 -109 -1.5(+145)
916 DETROIT TIGERS (R) Verlander, J -107 8.5 / 8.5o20 / 8.5 8.5o20 +1.5(-165)


DET-1B-Miguel Cabrera-OUT | TV: FS-Detroit, FS-Kansas City, DTV: 663, 672 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND OUT TO LEFT 7-12. GAME TEMP 79, RH 40% HEAT INDEX 79


7:05 PM EDT


917 MINNESOTA TWINS (R) Hughes, P 9u25 8.5u11 / 8.5u15 / 8.5 8.5o15 +1.5(-145)
918 TORONTO BLUE JAYS (R) Estrada, M -175 -171 / -170 / -163 -164 -1.5(+125)

TV: FS-North, DTV: 668 | PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. WIND IN FROM LEFT 10-15. GAME TEMP 76, RH 51% HEAT INDEX 78 (ROGERS CENTRE ROOF CLOSES IN WET WEATHER)


7:05 PM EDT


919 BOSTON RED SOX (L) Owens, H 8.5o15 9u20 / 9u15 / 9 9u15 +1.5(-140)
920 NEW YORK YANKEES (R) Tanaka, M -210 -172 / -171 / -170 -171 -1.5(+120)

TV: NESN, YES, DTV: 628, 631 | PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. WIND OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 8-13. GAME TEMP 89, RH 43% HEAT INDEX 91


8:05 PM EDT


921 HOUSTON ASTROS (R) Straily, D -120 10o15 / 10o19 / 10u15 9.5o20 +1.5(-195)
922 TEXAS RANGERS (R) Gallardo, Y 9o15 -107 / -109 / -110 -109 -1.5(+165)

Overnight Pitching Change: Houston - D. Straily for Undecided HOU | TV: FS-Southwest, ROOT-Southwest, DTV: 674, 676 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 6-11. GAME TEMP 97, RH 32% HEAT INDEX 100


8:10 PM EDT

923 TAMPA BAY RAYS (R) Archer, C 6.5o15 6.5u18 / 6.5u20 / 6.5u14 6.5u15 +1.5(-195)
924 CHICAGO WHITE SOX (L) Sale, C -140 -129 / -130 / -131 -134 -1.5(+165)

TV: CSN-Chicago, SunSports, DTV: 653, 665 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND OUT TO LEFT 4-9. GAME TEMP 79, RH 38% HEAT INDEX 79


10:05 PM EDT


925 BALTIMORE ORIOLES (R) Gonzalez, M -115 -117 / -114 / -116 -115 -1.5(+145)
926 OAKLAND ATHLETICS (R) Bassitt, C 7.5u25 7.5u25 / 7.5u27 / 7o15 7o20 +1.5(-165)


TV: CSN-California, MASN2, DTV: 641, 698 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, WIND OUT TO RIGHT 11-16. GAME TEMP 71, RH 56% HEAT INDEX 71


10:05 PM EDT


927 CLEVELAND INDIANS (R) Carrasco, C 7o30 7o30 / 7o15 / 7u20 7u25 +1.5(-200)
928 LOS ANGELES ANGELS (R) Shoemaker, M -105 -122 / -123 / -125 -128 -1.5(+170)

TV: FS-West, SportsTime Ohio, DTV: 662, 692 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 6-11. GAME TEMP 78, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 80


8:40 PM EDT


929 SEATTLE MARINERS (L) Nuno, V 11 11u20 / 11u15 / 10.5o15 10.5 +1.5(-195)
930 COLORADO ROCKIES (R) Gray, J -105 +101 / +100 / -108 -110 -1.5(+165)

TV: ROOT-Northwest, ROOT-Rocky Mountain, DTV: 683, 687 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND IN FROM LEFT CENTER 10-15. GAME TEMP 82, RH 24% HEAT INDEX 79

 

[CNOTES]

MLB Consensus Picks




SIDES (ATS)


Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds


7:05 PM Arizona +165 314 27.30% Washington -179 836 72.70% View View
7:05 PM Boston +159 326 28.70% NY Yankees -173 810 71.30% View View
10:05 PM Cleveland +114 320 29.30% LA Angels -123 772 70.70% View View
7:07 PM Minnesota +150 378 33.01% Toronto -163 767 66.99% View View
8:10 PM Tampa Bay +123 422 38.93% Chi. White Sox -133 662 61.07% View View


8:05 PM Houston +100 488 46.61% Texas -108 559 53.39% View View


8:40 PM Seattle -100 457 48.31% Colorado -108 489 51.69% View View


8:10 PM San Diego +111 537 52.54% Milwaukee -120 485 47.46% View View


7:10 PM San Francisco -120 618 57.12% Atlanta +111 464 42.88% View View


7:05 PM Chi. Cubs -135 667 57.30% Pittsburgh +125 497 42.70% View View


7:08 PM Kansas City -106 648 58.75% Detroit -102 455 41.25% View View


10:05 PM Baltimore -115 624 61.12% Oakland +106 397 38.88% View View


7:05 PM LA Dodgers -220 725 66.33% Philadelphia +201 368 33.67% View View


7:10 PM St. Louis -123 803 70.62% Cincinnati +114 334 29.38% View View


7:10 PM NY Mets -120 861 74.93% Miami +111 288 25.07% View View




TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)


Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds


8:10 PM Tampa Bay 6.5 296 43.92% Chi. White Sox 6.5 378 56.08% View View


7:10 PM San Francisco 7 296 47.36% Atlanta 7 329 52.64% View View


7:10 PM St. Louis 7.5 298 47.60% Cincinnati 7.5 328 52.40% View View


7:05 PM Chi. Cubs 7 300 49.59% Pittsburgh 7 305 50.41% View View


7:08 PM Kansas City 8.5 337 52.49% Detroit 8.5 305 47.51% View View


7:05 PM Arizona 6.5 348 52.57% Washington 6.5 314 47.43% View View


8:10 PM San Diego 7.5 334 56.13% Milwaukee 7.5 261 43.87% View View


7:07 PM Minnesota 8.5 377 58.00% Toronto 8.5 273 42.00% View View


7:10 PM NY Mets 7.5 365 59.35% Miami 7.5 250 40.65% View View


10:05 PM Cleveland 7 369 60.00% LA Angels 7 246 40.00% View View


8:40 PM Seattle 10.5 397 60.15% Colorado 10.5 263 39.85% View View


8:05 PM Houston 9.5 289 63.38% Texas 9.5 167 36.62% View View


10:05 PM Baltimore 7 402 64.11% Oakland 7 225 35.89% View View


7:05 PM Boston 9 447 67.22% NY Yankees 9 218 32.78% View View


7:05 PM LA Dodgers 8 463 67.99% Philadelphia 8 218 32.01% View View

 

[CNOTES]

RECAPPING YESTERDAY'S ACTION:


MLB: 4 - 5


CFL: 1 - 1


WNBA: 0 - 0 - 0




WNBA JUNE/ JULY RECORD/ AUGUST :


*****...............................12 - 13 - 2
DOUBLE PLAY....................32 - 27
TRIPLE PLAY......................13 - 10
SLAM DUNK.......................18 - 13


MLB RECORD FOR JUNE/JULY/AUGUST:


*****.............................79 - 100 - 1 .....................,........- 16.82
double play......................133 - 144 - 2 ..........................- 24.62
triple play........................58 - 53 - 1 .............................. - 2.67
grand slam......................81 - 82 - 3................................- 25.54
double grand slam.............0 - 2........................................- 16.00
.
CFL JUNE/JULY/ AUGUST RECORD:


SINGLE PLAY.................................1 - 1
DOUBLE PLAY................................7 - 9
TRIPLE PLAY..................................3 - 1
BLOW OUT.....................................3 - 2

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, AUGUST 4


Game Score Status Pick Amount


San Antonio - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio +4 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Connecticut - Over 150.5 500 *****


Indiana - 8:00 PM ET Indiana +6 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Chicago - Over 162 500 *****


Tulsa - 10:00 PM ET Phoenix -8 500 GRAND SLAM
Phoenix - Over 152 500 GRAND SLAM


Minnesota - 10:00 PM ET Los Angeles +2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Los Angeles - Over 152.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, AUGUST 4


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Boston - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -173 500 TRIPLE PLAY
NY Yankees - Over 9 500


Arizona - 7:05 PM ET Washington -175 500
Washington - Over 6.5 500


Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs -129 500 DOUBLE GRAND SLAM
Pittsburgh - Over 7 500


LA Dodgers - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia +201 500 GRAND SLAM
Philadelphia - Over 8 500


Minnesota - 7:07 PM ET Toronto -163 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Toronto - Over 8.5 500


Kansas City - 7:08 PM ET Kansas City -113 500
Detroit - Over 8.5 500


San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco -120 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Atlanta - Over 7 500 TRIPLE PLAY


St. Louis - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati +114 500 *****
Cincinnati - Over 7.5 500


NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -120 500 DOUBLE GRAND SLAM
Miami - Over 7.5 500


Houston - 8:05 PM ET Texas -108 500
Texas - Under 9.5 500


Tampa Bay - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -131 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Chi. White Sox - Over 6.5 500


San Diego - 8:10 PM ET San Diego +111 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500


Seattle - 8:40 PM ET Seattle -100 500
Colorado - Over 10.5 500


Baltimore - 10:05 PM ET Baltimore -116 500 *****
Oakland - Over 7 500


Cleveland - 10:05 PM ET Cleveland +114 500 *****
LA Angels - Under 7 500

 

[CNOTES]

It's going to be a big week for the contending Cubs


Coming into Monday's slate, Sportsline gave the Cubs a 50.7 percent chance of making the postseason. That's in essence a coin-flip, and that means the little things matter especially so. Given the sprawl of the baseball season, one week may be considered one of those "little things that matter especially so."


Take the Cubs' week this week, for instance ...






As you can see, the Cubs have three road games against the Pirates followed four home tilts against the Giants. Speaking of those three teams, here's a look at your NL wild card standings as of Monday night ...




There they all are! The Pirates are in the top spot and four games clear of the Cubs, while the Cubs are just a hairsbreadth in front of the Giants in the race for the second wild card berth. Now let's circle back to those Sportsline playoff odds invoked earlier. While they give the Cubs, as noted, better than 50-50 odds of making the playoffs, they give them just a 0.4 percent chance of winning the NL Central. That's what happens when you're in August, in third place, and 9 1/2 games behind the division leader. Ergo, if the Cubs are to make the playoffs, then it will almost certainly be via the service entrance (i.e., the wild card).


So, the wild card ... Baked into those standings above is the Cubs' Monday rainout in Pittsburgh. The game will be made up at a later date yet to be determined, and it may be when the Cubs return to PNC in mid-September. So nothing happened on that front.


Something did happen to the Giants, though ...


That's a lacerating loss if you're the Giants (as mentioned in the video, they were up 6-0 at one point), but that's a very welcome "assist" if you're the Cubs. That's especially significant because it's really the Giants that the Cubs are worried about, at least right now. The Pirates have a cushion ahead of them, and, suffice it to say, the line between first wild card and second wild card is vastly less important than the line between second wild card and "not in the playoffs." As for the Giants, prior to the loss above Sportsline gave them a 43.9 percent chance of making the postseason, and this loss will of course nudge that figure downward just a bit.


Before the Cubs directly worry about those Giants, they'll wrap up in Pittsburgh. A key game for reasons beyond the standings will be Wednesday, when deadline acquisition Dan Haren makes his Cubs debut. Haren is a veteran command guy who mixes up a four-pitch repertoire in order to work around steep velocity loss. The key for decline-phase Haren is limiting homers, and that'll be more of a challenge in Wrigley than it was in Marlins Park. Will the Cubs seek to toggle his usage so as to primarily use him in road games in pitcher-friendly parks (PNC certainly qualifies)? That might be a challenge, as the Cubs after Haren's Wednesday start have just five remaining off days to play with.


Looking ahead -- and getting back to the Giants -- the Cubs have an ever-so-slightly easier shedule the rest of the way than the Giants do, and they get four of seven games versus those Giants at home. For the series in the immediate offing, maybe manager Joe Maddon can play with his rotation a bit and move up Jon Lester, who threw just 31 pitches in Monday's rain-shortened affair.


Something else to watch for? Maybe this week Javier Baez (and his shortened swing) makes his way back to the bigs for the first time this season. Coming into Monday night, he was batting .311/.389/.551 in 43 games for Triple-A Iowa, and then he went out and did this


In any event, come Sunday night we'll know more about the Cubs and the NL wild card race. Maybe we'll know that we still don't know much, but that's a knowing of a kind. Regardless, the most important week of Cubs baseball in some time is underway.