Cnotes Sports Page For Saturday June 27th Best Bets-Trends-News !

[CNOTES]

Saturday, June 27

5:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

 

[CNOTES]

CFL need-to-know Week 1 betting stats and trends


Easy Riders


Saskatchewan, unlike Hamilton, has been quick out of the blocks each year over the past decade. The Roughriders are an impressive 8-2 SU and ATS in their season opener since 2005, including a 5-1 SU and ATS count at home during that span. The Riders play host to rivals Winnipeg as 7.5-point home favorites Saturday.


Saskatchewan is also 7-3 Over/Under in those last 10 openers, going 4-2 O/U at home in that stretch. The Roughriders have scored an average of 34.3 points while allowing 24.1 points against during those Week 1 outings. Saturday’s total is set at 48.


Home sweet dome


The Edmonton Eskimos travel to the “Big Smoke” to take on the Toronto Argonauts in Week 1 Saturday, with Toronto set as a 4.5-point underdog in the Rogers Centre. The Argos have actually been a solid play at home during Week 1, going back to 2005, with a 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS mark in that span. However, the Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Toronto, so take that trend with a grain of salt.


The Argonauts are also a profitable 2-8 Over/Under in Week 1 games the last 10 seasons, with a 1-3 O/U count at home. Toronto has scored an average of 23.6 points in those games while giving up 25 points against. Saturday’s total is set at 49.5 points.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, June 27

Edmonton @ Toronto

Game 125-126
August 15, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
113.270
Toronto
119.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 4 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+4 1/2); Over

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 127-128
August 15, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
110.492
Saskatchewan
115.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 8
48
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+8); Over

 

[CNOTES]

CFL

Saturday, June 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Eskimos at Argonauts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edmonton Eskimos at Toronto Argonauts (+7.5, 48.5)

Toronto will be without standout quarterback Ricky Ray and Edmonton signal caller Mike Reilly might not be at full strength when the Argonauts host the Eskimos in Saturday's CFL opener for both teams. Ray is still recovering from offseason shoulder surgery while Reilly mysteriously was in for just two plays in Edmonton's preseason finale.

Reilly bristled as speculation swirled that he was dealing with a concussion issue. "I find that to be a bit of a shame," Reilly told reporters. "I think that's a problem when members of the media are speculating there's an injury of any kind, let alone a concussion." The situation is clearer for Toronto as Trevor Harris will start in place of Ray, who passed for a league-best 4,595 yards last season. "It's a little bit different knowing that you're going to play but it's just a different feeling," Harris told reporters. "It's not any different in preparation or the way I study my game plan, watch film or anything of that nature."

TV: 5 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Eskies as 5-point road faves but that has moved to -7.5. The total opened at 50 but has come down to 48.5.

INJURY REPORT: Eskimos - OL Greg Wojt (Out, neck), DT Gregory Alexander (Out, undisclosed), WR Wallace Miles (Out, undisclosed). Argonauts - OL Brandon Braxton (Questionable, suspension).

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2014: 12-6 SU, 12-6 ATS, 5-13 O/U): Edmonton suffered a huge blow in the preseason as leading rusher John White (852 yards) ruptured his left Achilles' tendon, leaving the unproven duo of Shakir Bell and Kendial Lawrence and recently signed Chad Simpson (1,039 yards for Winnipeg in 2012) to battle for playing time. Reilly passed for 3,327 yards and 16 touchdowns last season and his favourite target will again be Adarius Bowman, who set career bests for receptions (112) and yardage (1,456) last season. The Eskimos led the CFL in scoring defense (18.9) and total defense (279.4) last season with linebacker Dexter McCoil (tied for the CFL lead with six interceptions, while adding 67 tackles and four sacks) bursting on the scene to win Most Outstanding Rookie honours.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (2014: 8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS, 8-10 O/U): Harris has thrown 94 passes in three previous seasons with Toronto and passed for 281 yards, two touchdown and one interception against Ottawa in his lone 2014 start. He has a solid duo of targets in Chad Owens (86 receptions for 989 yards and seven touchdowns last season) and Andrew Durie, who had just 19 catches in 2014 due to a broken collarbone after having 92 catches for 986 yards in 2013. The defense is led by second-year lineman Tristan Okpalaugo (team-high 12 sacks) and veteran lineman Ricky Foley, who played for the Argonauts from 2010-12 and tied his career high of 12 sacks last season for Saskatchewan.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Eskimos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Eskimos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 1.
* Under is 10-2 in Argonauts last 12 games in Week 1.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-six percent of users are on the Argos.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL

Saturday, June 27


Eskimos-Argos meetings tend to be explosive affairs

The Edmonton Eskimos and Toronto Argonauts meet in the lone CFL game Saturday and if history is any indication, we could be in store for some offensive fireworks.

Over wagers have cashed in five consecutive meetings between the two teams thanks to an average of 65.2 points scored per game over that stretch.

The Argos have a 4-1 edge straight up in those five meetings, while the Eskies have won at the betting window going 3-2 against the spread.

Oddsmakers opened Saturday's tilt with a total of 50, but that has come down to 48.5 as of Friday evening.

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, June 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (2 - 5) at SAN ANTONIO (1 - 6) - 6/27/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 95-65 ATS (+23.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (3 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 2) - 6/27/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-7 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-6 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Saturday, June 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Phoenix is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Seattle is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Seattle

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, June 27


Seattle @ San Antonio

Game 651-652
June 27, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
108.214
San Antonio
106.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+4 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Minnesota

Game 653-654
June 27, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
112.803
Minnesota
116.708
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 7
151
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+7); Under

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, June 27


National League
Braves @ Pirates
Teheran is 1-1, 4.55 in his last five starts; eight of his last nine went over.

Morton gave up nine runs in 0.2 IP in his last start, after going 6-0, 1.88 in his previous six starts. Under is 4-2-1 in his last seven starts.

Pirates won seven of last nine games with Atlanta; four of last six series games went over total. Pittsburgh lost five of last seven games overall; four of their last five went over. Braves lost last five road games, outscored 24-8.

Nationals @ Phillies
Gonzalez is 1-2, 4.15 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1).

Morgan allowed one run in 5.2 IP in winning his first MLB start (78 PT), after being 0-6, 4.74 in AAA..

Nationals won last seven games, allowing seven runs; six of those seven games stayed under. Philly won three of last five games; eight of their last ten games went over the total. Phils lost their manager yesterday. Washington won seven of last nine games with Philly; three of last five stayed under.

Reds @ Mets
Lorenzen is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts (over 3-2 in last five).

Harvey is 1-1, 0.66 in his last two starts; three of his last four went under.

Cincinnati lost seven of last nine games with the Mets; under is 6-2-2 in last ten series games. Reds won six of last nine games overall, with three of last four going over the total. Mets won last two games after losing previous seven, with ten of last 11 going under total- they're 27-11 at home.

Dodgers @ Marlins
Kershaw is 0-2, 3.66 in his last three starts; six of his last nine went over.

Koehler is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three home starts; they all stayed under.

Dodgers won five of last seven games with Miami; last ten series games went over the total. LA won last three games; under is 4-1 in their last five. Marlins lost five in row (outscored 27-8) and eight of last nine games- under is 4-2-1 in their last seven

Cubs @ Cardinals
Roach allowed four runs in three IP in his only MLB start, in Denver LY; he is 7-1, 2.29 in 14 AAA starts this season. This is his first MLB game in '15.

Wacha is 1-2, 5.50 in his last three starts; his last three home starts stayed under the total.

Cubs lost four of last five games with St Louis; three of those five went over total. Chicago lost last three games, scoring total of four runs- under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen. St Louis won six of last seven games (over 4-2-1).

Diamondbacks @ Padres
Hellickson is 1-1, 5.17 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Cashner is 0-2, 10.04 in his last five starts; his last six starts went over.

Arizona is 8-6 in its last 14 games, eight of which stayed under- they won three of last five games with San Diego- five of last eight series games went over. Padres are 4-7 since changing managers; three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Rockies @ Giants
Rusin is 1-2, 9.39 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Lincecum is 3-2, 7.33 in his last six starts, all of which went over.

Giants are 6-4 in last ten games, but lost ten of their last 13 at home. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games overall. Rockies won five of last six games after losing seven of previous eight- 10 of their last 11 games went over. Giants lost eight of last 11 vs Colorado; four of last five series games went over.

American League
Rangers @ Blue Jays
Gallardo is 3-0, 1.70 in his last six starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Boyd is making MLB debut; he is 7-2, 1.26 in 14 minor league starts, only two of which were in AAA. Boyd is a distant relative of Bob Feller.

Texas lost nine of last 11 games with Toronto; eight of last 11 series games stayed under. Rangers lost last six games, outscored 40-17; over is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Blue Jays are 6-3 in last nine games; over is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games.

White Sox @ Tigers
Danks is 0-4, 8.87 in his last four starts, all of which went over.

Ryan is 0-1, 7.59 in his last three appearances.

White Sox lost three of last four games with Detroit; all four went over total. Chicago are 4-6 in last ten games; over is 3-0-2 in their last five. Detroit won four of last six games-- their last nine games went over the total.

Indians @ Orioles
Anderson blanked Tampa Bay for 7.2 innings (94 PT) in his first MLB start.

Tillman is 3-0, 6.98 in his last four starts; last three went over. Orioles scored 43 runs in his last four starts.

Cleveland lost four of last five games with Baltimore; seven of last eight games stayed under total. Indians lost five of last seven games- three of their last four went over. Baltimore won five of last six games; three of its last five went over.

Red Sox @ Rays
Miley is 3-1, 3.42 in his last four starts, last three of which went over.

Andreise is 1-1, 4.91 in his last three starts; his last four went over.

Boston lost four of last six games with Tampa Bay; six of last seven in series stayed under. Red Sox won four of last five road games; five of their last seven games overall went over. Rays lost four of last five games; last two in extra innings- under is 5-1-1 in their last seven.

Bronx @ Astros
Tanaka is 0-2, 6.75 in his last two stars; four of his last five stayed under.

Oberholtzer is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Astros split last six games; four of their last five stayed under. Houston won five of last eight games with Bronx Bombers- 10 of last 11 series tilts went under the total. Bronx lost four of last six games- eight of their last nine games stayed under.

Royals @ A's
Young is 2-1, 1.78 in his last four road starts, three of which stayed under.

Kazmir is 2-0, 1.77 in his last three starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five.

Royals won six of last seven games with Oakland; KC won eight of its last 11 games overall. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven. A's won nine of their last twelve games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Mariners @ Angels
Happ is 0-3, 6.75 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over.

Richards is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over.

Seattle lost four of last six games with the Angels; seven of last nine series games went under total. Mariners lost three of last five games; over is 3-2-1 in their last six tilts. Angels won three of last five home games; five of their last six overall went under.

Interleague
Twins @ Brewers
Gibson is 0-3, 5.29 in his last three starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Garza allowed 26 hits, 16 runs in losing his last two starts (12 IP); six of his last seven starts went over.

Twins lost four of last five games with Milwaukee; five of last seven in series went over total. Minnesota lost four of its last six games. Milwaukee won three of its last four games; four of its last six stayed under.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Wsh-Phil-- Gonzalez 9-5; Morgan 1-0
Atl-Pitt-- Teheran 9-6; Morton 5-1
Cin-NY-- Lorenzen 5-4; Harvey 8-6
LA-Mia-- Kershaw 8-7; Koehler 7-6
Chi-StL-- Roach 0-0; Wacha 11-3
Az-SD-- Hellickson 6-8; Cashner 4-11
Col-SF-- Rusin 2-3; Lincecum 7-7

Tex-Tor-- Gallardo 7-8; Boyd 0-0
Chi-Det-- Danks 5-9; Ryan 1-2
Clev-Balt-- Anderson 1-0; Tillman 7-7
Bos-TB-- Miley 8-6; Andreise 3-2
NY-Hst-- Tanaka 5-3; Oberholtzer 4-2
KC-A's-- Young 6-3; Kazmir 6-8
Sea-LAA-- Happ 6-8; Richards 8-5

Min-Milw-- Gibson 6-8; Garza 5-9

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Wsh-Phil-- Gonzalez 2-14; Morgan 0-1
Atl-Pitt-- Teheran 6-15; Morton 4-6
Cin-NY-- Lorenzen 3-9; Harvey 4-14
LA-Mia-- Kershaw 3-15; Koehler 1-13
Chi-StL-- Roach 0-0; Wacha 4-14
Az-SD-- Hellickson 5-14; Cashner 6-15
Col-SF-- Rusin 2-5; Lincecum 4-14

Tex-Tor-- Gallardo 6-15; Boyd 0-0
Chi-Det-- Danks 6-14; Ryan 1-3
Clev-Balt-- Anderson 0-1; Tillman 2-14
Bos-TB-- Miley 4-14; Andreise 1-5
NY-Hst-- Tanaka 2-8; Oberholtzer 2-6
KC-A's-- Young 0-9; Kazmir 2-14
Sea-LAA-- Happ 5-14; Richards 1-13

Min-Milw-- Gibson 3-14; Garza 6-14

Umpires
Wsh-Phil-- 10 of last 12 Emmel games went over total.
Atl-Pitt-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Tumpane games.
Cin-NY-- Since start of '14, over is 13-10-1 in Woodring games.
LA-Mia-- Four of last five Timmons games went over.
Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of last seven Johnson games.
Az-SD-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Cederstrom games.
Col-SF-- Five of last seven Holbrook games stayed under.

Tex-Tor-- Since start of '14, under is 9-6 in Pattillo games.
Chi-Det-- Last four Kellogg games went over the total.
Clev-Balt-- Five of last seven Vanover games stayed under.
Bos-TB-- Last three Hamari games stayed under the total.
NY-Hst-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Drake games.
KC-A's-- Four of last five Culbreth games stayed under.
Sea-LAA-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.

Min-Milw-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Barry games.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Saturday, June 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:07 PM
TEXAS vs. TORONTO
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas
Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

2:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games at home

3:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

4:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

4:05 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

4:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PITTSBURGH
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Pittsburgh is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games

4:08 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

4:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Boston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston

4:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MIAMI
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Miami
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. HOUSTON
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

4:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets are 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

7:15 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:15 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle

7:15 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Saturday, June 27


Lincecum starts have been an Over bettors' dream

The Over has been on fire in San Francisco Giants righty Tim Lincecum's recent starts, cashing in six-straight games heading into Saturday's meeting with the Colorado Rockies at AT&T Park.

There has been an average of 9.7 runs scored per game over that stretch, with the Giants coming out on top in three of those.

Lincecum's 14 starts have resulted in an 8-5-1 Over/Under record so far this season.

Christopher Rusin is scheduled to get the ball for the Rockies. Oddsmakers have a total of 7 on the board as of Friday evening.


Top Over pitcher scheduled to start Saturday

The Atlanta Braves are expected to start Julio Teheran Saturday afternoon. Among pitchers with at least 10 starts on the season, Teheran is tops for Over bettors with a 12-3 Over/Under record in 15 starts in 2015.

The 24-year-old righy has a personal record of 5-3, a 4.67 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP on the season. He had a streak of eight consecutive Overs snapped in his last outing when he went seven strong innings surrendering just one hit in a 1-0 win over the New York Mets.


Over wagers sizzling in this pitcher's starts

Over bets have cashed in three straight and seven of the past eight starts by Milwaukee Brewers righty Matt Garza.

Garza owns a 6.85 ERA in those previous eight starts, over a full run more than his season-to-date ERA of 5.48. Twice in those eight starts, including his last trip to the mound, he surrendered 10 runs.

Garza is scheduled to get the start against the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park Saturday afternoon.


Jays' lefty Boyd expected to make debut Saturday

The Toronto Blue Jays are expected to give southpaw Matt Boyd the start when the host the Texas Rangers Saturday afternoon.

Boyd was scratched from his Thursday start for Triple-A Buffalo, where he has made two starts since a call up from Double-A. He has allowed one run in each start at Buffalo and hasn't walked hitter while fanning a dozen.

Yovani Gallardo is expected to start for the visitors.


Rays cashing against lefty starters recently

The Tampa Bay Rays have won their last nine games when going up against a left-handed starting pitching. The Rays, and their backers, will to make it 10 as they face the Boston Red Sox and southpaw Wade Miley Saturday afternoon.

The recent trend began against Wei-Yin Chen and continued with wins against C.J. Wilson, Hector Santiago, Roenis Elias, J.A. Happ, Mike Montgomery, John Danks, Chris Sale and, most recently, Gio Gonzalez.

The Rays opened -111 with Matt Andriese scheduled to take the bump Saturday.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, June 27


Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
June 27, 2015 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Gonzalez) 14.342
Philadelphia
(Morgan) 15.441
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-185
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+165); Over

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
June 27, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 15.342
Pittsburgh
(Morton) 14.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-165
7
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+145); Over

Colorado @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
June 27, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Rusin) 13.097
San Francisco
(Lincecum) 16.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-145
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-145); Under

Cincinnati @ NY Mets

Game 907-908
June 27, 2015 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Lorenzen) 12.798
NY Mets
(Harvey) 15.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-175
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-175); Under

LA Dodgers @ Miami

Game 909-910
June 27, 2015 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 16.239
Miami
(Koehler) 14.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-230
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-230); Under

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 911-912
June 27, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Roach) 14.195
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.716
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A

Arizona @ San Diego

Game 913-914
June 27, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Hellckson) 16.463
San Diego
(Cashner) 13.097
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-140
7
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+120); Over

Texas @ Toronto

Game 915-916
June 27, 2015 @ 1:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gallardo) 15.472
Toronto
(Boyd) 13.547
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+105); Over

Kansas City @ Oakland

Game 917-918
June 27, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Young) 15.472
Oakland
(Kazmir) 14.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+125); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 919-920
June 27, 2015 @ 4:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Danks) 15.509
Detroit
(Ryan) 14.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
10 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-170
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+150); Over

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 921-922
June 27, 2015 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 16.221
Houston
(Obrhltzer) 14.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-125); Under

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 923-924
June 27, 2015 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Miley) 13.547
Tampa Bay
(Andriese) 19.067
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 5 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-120); Under

Cleveland @ Baltimore

Game 925-926
June 27, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Anderson) 14.542
Baltimore
(Tillman) 16.067
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-130); Under

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 927-928
June 27, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Happ) 15.852
LA Angels
(Richards) 17.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-165); Under

Minnesota @ Milwaukee

Game 929-930
June 27, 2015 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 15.388
Milwaukee
(Garza) 13.729
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+100); Over

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Saturday, June 27


These clubs love going Under totals

When the Texas Rangers and Toronto Blue Jays have met recently, Under bettors have been profiting.

The Under is 9-2 in the last 11 contests between the two clubs. They'll face off once again Saturday where Matt Boyd and Yovani Gallardo take the bump for the Jays and Rangers, respectively.

As of this writing, the line was off the board.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, June 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (41 - 33) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 49) - 3:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ADAM MORGAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
GONZALEZ is 116-81 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 115-77 (+33.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-4 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 7-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 8-6 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.5 units)

ADAM MORGAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (35 - 39) at PITTSBURGH (41 - 32) - 4:05 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 112-121 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 91-99 (-15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 226-178 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 126-76 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 49-27 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 139-95 (+43.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 224-177 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 102-60 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 75-43 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-17 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ATLANTA is 36-34 (+22.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 77-45 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 59-57 (-31.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
MORTON is 1-9 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
TEHERAN is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.066.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MORTON is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (33 - 40) at SAN FRANCISCO (40 - 35) - 4:05 PM
CHRIS RUSIN (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 151-271 (-64.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 37-78 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 37-78 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-59 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 140-114 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 54-37 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 140-114 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 249-158 (+55.5 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
LINCECUM is 16-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 12-4 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 16-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-29 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-15 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-3 (+4.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

CHRIS RUSIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
RUSIN is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. COLORADO since 1997
LINCECUM is 11-10 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 13-16 (-7.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-16. (-6.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (34 - 38) at NY METS (38 - 37) - 4:10 PM
MICHAEL LORENZEN (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 31-59 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 27-11 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 16-6 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 27-11 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 23-10 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 19-5 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
NY METS are 67-49 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 703-799 (+34.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 511-577 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
NY METS are 11-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MICHAEL LORENZEN vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT HARVEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HARVEY is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.214.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (42 - 33) at MIAMI (30 - 45) - 4:10 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. TOM KOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 15-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 15-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 69-68 (-17.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 14-18 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 403-397 (+37.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
KERSHAW is 47-19 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 30-45 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 30-42 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 15-29 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. MIAMI since 1997
KERSHAW is 5-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.99 and a WHIP of 0.906.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
KOEHLER is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.431.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (39 - 33) at ST LOUIS (49 - 24) - 7:15 PM
DONN ROACH (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

DONN ROACH vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

MICHAEL WACHA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WACHA is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (35 - 38) at SAN DIEGO (36 - 40) - 10:10 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 99-136 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 99-136 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
CASHNER is 0-7 (-7.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 6-5 (+0.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.374.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CASHNER is 2-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.112.
His team's record is 5-6 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-8. (-6.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (37 - 37) at TORONTO (40 - 35) - 1:05 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. TORONTO since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MATT BOYD vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (42 - 28) at OAKLAND (34 - 42) - 4:05 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 161-84 (+61.6 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
KAZMIR is 32-15 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 42-28 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 24-15 (+11.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 72-51 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-5 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-28 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 81-62 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNG is 23-15 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 23-14 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 35-24 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 34-42 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 14-21 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 23-26 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-40 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. OAKLAND since 1997
YOUNG is 3-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.316.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-1. (+5.8 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
KAZMIR is 4-7 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 7-11 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-9. (-0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (32 - 41) at DETROIT (38 - 36) - 4:05 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. KYLE RYAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-49 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-24 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-53 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-82 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
DANKS is 4-19 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 25-14 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 64-56 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 64-56 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 60-60 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-5 (+0.6 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. DETROIT since 1997
DANKS is 6-11 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.566.
His team's record is 11-12 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-11. (-1.6 units)

KYLE RYAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
RYAN is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.846.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (40 - 34) at HOUSTON (43 - 33) - 4:10 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. BRETT OBERHOLTZER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 43-33 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 43-30 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 27-16 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 42-47 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 33-21 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 32-24 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 24-14 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

BRETT OBERHOLTZER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
OBERHOLTZER is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.225.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (33 - 42) at TAMPA BAY (41 - 34) - 4:10 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. MATT ANDRIESE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 33-42 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 12-23 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 25-31 (-12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 11-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 12-18 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 25-6 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 575-655 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 118-119 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 55-65 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 15-25 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 56-66 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 63-72 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-35 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.1 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MILEY is 3-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.47 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

MATT ANDRIESE vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (33 - 39) at BALTIMORE (39 - 34) - 7:15 PM
CODY ANDERSON (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 33-39 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-39 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-22 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 139-104 (+40.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 72-56 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-7 (+8.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
BALTIMORE is 25-14 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 50-30 (+15.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-8 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-13 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 95-62 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 106-77 (+33.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 76-61 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 64-41 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 33-18 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 12-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 29-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 23-13 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 17-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 14-5 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-3 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

CODY ANDERSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.454.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (34 - 40) at LA ANGELS (37 - 37) - 7:15 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 34-40 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 29-39 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 13-20 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 63-52 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-7 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 155-138 (-67.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-3 (+1.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HAPP is 0-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.83 and a WHIP of 2.366.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
RICHARDS is 3-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.66 and a WHIP of 0.877.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.5 units)

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MINNESOTA (39 - 34) at MILWAUKEE (28 - 47) - 2:10 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 39-34 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-52 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 39-34 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 19-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 28-14 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GIBSON is 11-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 28-47 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-25 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 55-82 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-47 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-40 (-20.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

MATT GARZA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GARZA is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.65 and a WHIP of 1.025.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Saturday, June 27


Twins, Gibson beating up on lesser competition

The Minnesota Twins are cruising against sub-.500 teams behind Kyle Gibson.

The Twinkies are 8-1 in Gibson's last nine starts versus teams with losing records. Minny takes on the lowly Milwaukee Brewers (28-47) in Wisconsin Saturday afternoon.

Oddsmakers have tabbed the Twins as slight +109 pups with an Over/Under of 8.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Saturday, June 27


Pitcher change announced - Steven Matz, NY Mets

NY Mets vs. Cincinnati on June 28 at 1:10 PM. Previous Starter: Jon Niese.


Which team is on an 8-game Over streak?

The Philadelphia Phillies have been participating in a lot of high-scoring games lately, and Over bettors are reaping the rewards.

The Over has paid out in each of the Phillies' last seven games. Philly turns to southpaw Adam Morgan on the bump for Friday's clash with the Washington Nationals. The Nats are slated to counter with Gio Gonzalez.

Sportsbooks are currently dealing an 8 run total for the NL matchup.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Pointspreads for six of college football's more interesting games this year:

-- Oct 3: Alabama at Georgia (even)

-- Oct 15: UCLA at Stanford (-4.5)

-- Oct 24: Tennessee at Alabama (-10)

-- Nov 21: USC at Oregon (-6.5)

-- Nov 28: Ohio State (-16) at Michigan

-- Nov 28: Florida State (-4) at Florida

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.....

13) Max Scherzer won again, 5-2 over Philly; runs he allowed ended an amazing streak where Washington starters didn't allow a run for 47 innings.

12) Cleveland is now 3-13 in Kluber starts; he won the Cy Young last year. Been a tough year for the Indians, but this is very surprising.

11) Horrendous news for the Miami Marlins and my fantasy baseball team: last night in Miami, Giancarlo Stanton hurt his left hand swinging a bat and will have an MRI this morning. No bueno.

10) Kid named Matt Boyd makes his MLB debut for Toronto this afternoon; 24-year old from Oregon State is a distant relative of the great pitcher Bob Feller.

9) Graphic contrast between NBA and NHL drafts; at NHL draft, the whole front office of a team comes on stage to make first round selections. All you see at the NBA Draft are the kids selected and their families. Team executives aren't there.

NHL moves its draft all over the league; NBA stays in NYC. Advantage, NHL.

8) Eight of the top 13 picks in the NBA Draft played one year of college, which is a rule that needs to change. It makes college a joke; you know kids aren't going to class second semester, since they know they're gone anyway.

Kids should be able to go straight from high school to the pros, like in baseball.

7) David West is expected to sign with the Knicks as a free agent; good luck there.

6) Analysis of Kelly Oubre on NBA TV Wednesday night: "The only way he gets drafted this high is if someone is afraid they'll look foolish if he becomes great." Now there is a ringing endorsement for a player. Just pick players who play well in games, not ones who excel in workouts or have great potential. It is a simple thing.

5) If my $1M+ a year job running a basketball team depended on the team I assembled winning games, I would never, ever, ever select a player whose effort was an issue. Ever. Effort has to be a non-negotiable thing; great players bring great effort every day

4) It drives me nuts when I hear an analyst say "that kid's a winner" as if it is pre-ordained that he will always win. For every winner there has to be a loser but I refuse to believe there are people in this world who are pre-ordained losers.

3) One quick NFL note: Patriots beat Jets twice last year, 27-25/17-16; in the two games, they were outgained by 80 and 76 yards. Go figure.

2) SI.com had Christian Wood listed as the #26 pick in the draft; there are 30 teams, two rounds- thats obviously 60 picks, yet Wood wasn't selected. What geniuses are giving this kid such bad information? Wood could've gone back to UNLV, become a better player, gotten stronger, now he is off to the obscurity of the D-League, where he may or may not ever get a shot at the NBA.

1) The picture of Wood in the Las Vegas paper, slumped in a chair, head in hands, is both sad and aggravating. The kid heard what he wanted to hear, but he got bad advice, life-altering bad advice. He had a reputation for not working hard enough and his thin frame betrayed a lack of effort in the weight room. He better start working harder now, or else his great opportunity is going to go to waste.

 

[CNOTES]

Scenes from Sin City: NCAAF Games of the Year release is a special time for one N.J. couple


Jun 26, 2015


How big is the Golden Nugget’s annual unveiling of its College Football Games of the Year? So big that for the past five years, professional bettor Joe Fortuna has traveled all the way from New Jersey to get his bets down, at $1,000 a pop.


This year, though, he’s made it a little easier on himself. Fortuna and his wife Marissa moved to Las Vegas 2 1/2 months ago, so the trip to the Golden Nugget on Friday afternoon was a short one.


“I was trying to hold out for sports betting in New Jersey, but it’s just the same old, same old there,” Fortuna lamented, before quickly putting a happy face back. “It’s like my Christmas every year. As soon as I find out the dates, I’m out here.”


Marissa is fully engaged in the process, too. The two of them occupied a table in the back of the book about a half hour before the lines officially posted Friday afternoon. Betting sheets and spreadsheets covered the table, along with their iPad – with a spreadsheet open that basically breaks down every college football team and every game for the 2015 season.


“She helps a lot,” Joe said, noting Marissa's Excel expertise helps in the process.


It probably wasn’t what Marissa expected when she and Joe got together six years ago – at a New York Yankees game – but it’s second nature now.


“It’s been my life since I met him,” she said. “It’s definitely exciting, and I’m definitely a fan. I’ve always liked sports, so it’s something we do together.”


With this being a pretty slow time of year, Joe said it’s great to have Games of the Year roll out every June.


“Nobody likes baseball,” he said. “It shows that college football is right around the corner. It gets you ready. Plus, you can get a lot of value out of these numbers. I got 22 points off the TCU-SMU game last year. I got TCU -10, and it went off at TCU -32.”


TCU flattened the Mustangs, 56-0. Joe said he made 30 bets last year and came out about $10,000 ahead. Looking over this year’s numbers, he said the sledding might be a little tougher.


“They’re a little harder,” he said, tipping his cap to those who set the lines for the 166 games – the Nuggets’ Tony Miller and Aaron Kessler, and The Gold Sheet editor Bruce Marshall. “Kudos to them. There are a couple of half-point games I’m not gonna take. I may not get to $30,000. These are real tight numbers.”

 

[CNOTES]

Scenes From Sin City: Father and son make trip from TN to LV


Jun 26, 2015


Every year, Trey Vantrease and his dad, Brownie Vantrease, make a summer sojourn from Nashville, Tenn., to Las Vegas to play some poker and get down on some college football. On past trips, they’ve generally arrived within a week of the Golden Nugget posting its college football Games of the Year.


But this year, for the first time, they were actually here the day all 166 games were revealed. And they found out it was a whole different ballgame.


“Oh man, it’s exciting,” Trey said, as bettors crowded the window at the intimate sportsbook. “There’s a lot of action going around, people trying to get in early before the lines start moving. Next year, we’re hoping to be out here on the day it opens again.”


Said Brownie: “We were afraid it was gonna be chaos, which it is, but it’s not as bad as we thought. It’s amazing that $1,000 bets can move the line. But we understand the book doesn’t want to get exposed.”


Trey said he was near the front of the line, but even that wasn’t quite good enough to keep intact all the lines he wanted to bet
.
“There were a couple games that by the time we got up there, they’d already moved a point. It surprised me,” he said. “Stuff is moving early and often, that’s for sure.”


Though they hail from Tennessee, Trey and Brownie have little allegiance to the Vols. Trey was sporting an Alabama baseball cap, and they were firing away against the home-state squad.


“We took Oklahoma as a dog and Georgia as a pick ‘em, and Alabama to cover against Tennessee. Those are the three I liked the most,” Trey said.

 

[CNOTES]

Scenes From Sin City: Games of the Year unveiling like Christmas morning


Jun 27, 2015

Brian Leonard has been betting sports for quite some time and has lived in Las Vegas for the past 17 years. So when late June rolls around and the Golden Nugget sportsbook puts up lines for its college football Games of the Year, Leonard definitely wants in on the action.


“I’ve bet nine games so far,” he said, about a half-hour after the numbers went up Friday afternoon.


He might have bet more, but Leonard has found that those making the numbers – sportsbook director Tony Miller, assistant director Aaron Kessler and The Gold Sheet editor Bruce Marshall – get better at this every year. They’ve been doing this since 2007, and this year’s slate features 166 games scattered throughout the season.


“They did a really good job,” Leonard said. “Sometimes I get up to 27 points. But the games I’m looking at, they seem to be doing well with the numbers.”


But he did find one he liked quite a bit: Nevada as a hefty home favorite against instate rival UNLV.


“I laid the 14,” he said, noting UNLV has a new coach in Tony Sanchez who is making the huge jump from Bishop Gorman High School, a Las Vegas program that’s gained national recognition. “UNLV has got a high school football coach. A handful of coaches have done that, and not really done it with any success. Plus, this is a huge rivalry game that means more to Nevada.”


After making his wagers, Leonard stood back and soaked in the vibe as bettors continued to crowd the wagering windows.


“This is like Christmas morning for me,” he said. “I only got three hours of sleep last night.”


Indeed, Leonard said what makes him so eager for this day every year is that he feels he’s got much less competition.


“Lots of people don’t want to put money out so far in advance,” he said. “But I’m going up against one person’s opinion, versus millions of opinions during game week.”

 

[CNOTES]

Scenes From Sin City: Ohio State-Michigan line movement suprises Golden Nugget sportsbook


It was a busy first couple of hours after the Golden Nugget sportsbook released its 2015 college football Games of the Year. Just the way sportsbook director Tony Miller likes it.


“It’s been good, and this is just the first wave,” he said around 2:15 p.m., 40 minutes after the Nugget posted the lines and began taking wagers. “After 5 o’clock, the second wave comes in. The handle was really good, so I’m really happy with it.”


But it’ll be months before he knows how well his lines will hold up.


“The wiseguys have a lot of opinions against us, so we’ll see how we come out against them,” Miller said.


So in the early going, what was the one line movement that most surprised Miller?


“Ohio State-Michigan,” he said, noting the major rivalry game at the Big House on Nov. 28. “It went from Ohio State -16 to -14. They bet Michigan, thinking Jim Harbaugh is gonna give the Buckeyes a game.”