Team to Watch - Georgia Tech
August 14, 2015
We were a bit surprised a year ago when many otherwise sharp college football observers who would gather across I-75/85 from campus at The Varsity were routinely dismissing Georgia Tech (11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS, 8-6 OU) and HC Paul Johnson after a couple of admittedly lackluster seasons in Atlanta. Those sorts, however, would eventually be reminded of Johnson’s acumen when the Yellow Jackets rallied from the middle of the pack to win the Coastal half of the ACC, then beating rival Georgia in a thrilling regular-season finale before narrowly missing an upset of then-unbeaten Florida State in the conference title game.
Georgia Tech Future Odds
To win ACC - 5/1
To win National Championship - 100/1
Over-Under Win Total - 7.5 (Over -140, Under +120)
Odds Subject to Change - Updated 8.14.15 per Westgate SuperBook
Proving that the 2014 renaissance was no fluke, Tech would then dismantle a Mississippi State squad that had ascended to the top of the polls earlier in the season. The Yellow Jackets were well worth their 49-34 romp on the Orange Bowl that restored some honor for the ACC and provided a much-needed boost of confidence for the conference thanks to handily beating a second well-regarded foe from the ballyhooed SEC in a five-week span.
Those in the know, however, have always realized that Johnson remains one of college football’s shrewdest game managers, and one who had long ago proven an ability to get his teams punching above their weight (remember all of the successes at Navy between 2002-07). Since moving to Tech in 2008, Johnson’s Jackets have been “bowling” each year. Granted, some campaigns disappointed, specifically when Johnson’s ill-advised hire of Al Groh as d.c. would boomerang a few years ago. In 2013, Tech also floundered somewhat as Johnson’s attempt to modernize his option-based offense by customizing the playbook for QB Vad Lee’s passing abilities would instead backfire.
But no one ever said Johnson was dumb, so it was no surprise to see Tech return to Johnson’s option-centric infantry roots last season while the “D” had stabilized post-Groh under the steady hand of respected d.c. Ted Roof, once upon a time the HC at Duke.
Having the proper option pilot in Justin Thomas was the key to last year’s offensive renaissance that produced a whopping 37.9 ppg (ranked 11th nationally). Thomas, perhaps the fastest-ever QB in a Johnson offense, ignited the option by rushing for over 1000 yards while proving a dangerous pass threat as well, tossing for 18 TD passes (almost Dan Marino-like for a Johnson “O”) last fall. Now a junior, Thomas has generated some peripheral Heisman mention entering the fall, though there is a bit of concern regarding a supporting staff that lost some established firepower to graduation after the Orange Bowl win.
Specifically, a productive RB corps would depart almost en masse, as the graduated trio of Synjyn Days (in the Dallas Cowboys camp this summer), Zach Laskey (in the St. Louis Rams camp this summer), and Charles Perkins would combined for 337 carries and 2218 YR last season as the Ramblin’ Wreck would rank tops nationally with 342 ypg rushing.
But no Johnson offense has ever been short of quality backs, and even potential season-ending injuries in spring to expected replacements C.J. Leggett and Quaide Weimerskirich might not slow the option which has added a Stanford transfer, Patrick Skov, to the RB mix along with a couple of well-regarded true frosh, Marcus Marshall and Mikell Lands-Davis, plus various RS frosh itching to contribute. ACC sources also suggest that position switches that have moved RS frosh Qua Searcy and former WR Marcus Allen to the backfield give Johnson plenty of coast-to-coast options in his backfield. Better yet, all will be motoring behind a vet OL that returns four starters led by likely NFL draftees LT Bryan Chamberlain and C Freddie Burden.
Thomas will also be aiming passes toward a restructured WR corps after the graduation of big-play threats DeAndre Smelter and Darren Waller, but jr. Michael Summers looks a capable heir apparent, and there will be plenty of speedy targets for Thomas to utilize. The Roof “D” was a bit permissive vs. the run in 2015 but has an experienced look about it with seven returning starters and several others who saw considerable action a year ago. Moreover, sr. Jabari Hunt-Days is eligible again after missing all of 2014 due to academics and is expected to make a significant impact at DT after being moved from DE in spring. Soph DE KeShun Freeman also earned various Frosh A-A accolades last fall and looms as an impact presence on the edge.
Roof, who junked Groh’s ill-advised 3-4 in 2013 for more-traditional 4-3 looks that often morph into 4-2-5 alignments as needed, also has plenty of veteran options in his back 7. Junior OLB P.J. Davis now appears comfy with Roof’s schemes and is another potential impact presence on the edge, while the secondary is the deepest in memory at Bobby Dodd Stadium, with an all-senior projected starting lineup led by big-play CB D.J. White, involved in game-saving takeaways vs. Virginia Tech and Georgia last season.
2014 was also a point-spread recovery for Johnson, whose superb marks vs. the number from earlier in his career (especially as a dog and on the road) took some hits in recent years. Tech covered 6 of 7 as a dog last season en route to covering 10 of 14 overall.
2015 Schedule
Sept. 3 vs. Alcorn State
Sept. 12 vs. Tulane
Sept. 19 at Notre Dame
Sept. 26 at Duke
Oct. 3 vs. North Carolina
Oct. 10 at Clemson
Oct. 17 vs. Pittsburgh
Oct. 24 vs. Florida State
Oct. 31 at Virginia
Nov. 12 vs. Virginia Tech
Nov. 21 at Miami, Fl.
Nov. 28 vs. Georgia
Every game looks winnable on the Tech schedule, but overall it looks a more-challenging slate than a year ago, especially a four-game stretch beginning in late September that includes trips to Notre Dame and Duke before hosting North Carolina and a 3-hour bus ride on I-85 to Clemson. November is not easy, either, with a trip to Miami sandwiched by home games vs. revenge-minded Virginia Tech and Georgia.
Those various banana peels make it unlikely for the Jackets to be involved in any Final Four discussion. But Johnson won the Coastal with a young team in 2014, and a more-experienced roster again looks the best in the GT half of the ACC. Don’t be surprised if, like a year ago, Tech sneaks its way back into the New Year’s Six, where another opposing coach (such as Mississippi State’s Dan Mullen last December) will be cursing his luck that he drew the Jackets and Johnson’s option.
The chili and slaw dogs and the frosted oranges at The Varsity will likely go down very easy for Tech backers this fall. - See more at:
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/story.cfm/story/1697568#sthash.HEhU8MWb.dpuf