Cnotes Sports Page For Friday July 24th Best Bets-Trends-News !

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MLB


Friday, July 24




Chance of rain at Fenway Park Friday


According to weather forecasts, there is a 43 percent chance of rain at Fenway Park as the Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers Friday evening.


The chance of rain dips to around 15 percent later in the evening, but showers are in the forecast before the scheduled start time.


Rick Porcello is slated to start for the Sox (-133) while Justin Verlander is probable for the Tigers (+123).




D-backs RHP Godley enjoys historic debut


Right-hander Zack Godley was predictably pumped for his first major league start Thursday.


"One hundred percent," Godley said. "It's hard not to be."


However, Godley said some advice from Hall of Famer Tony La Russa helped him combat the nerves and adrenaline.


"He said you know you are going to have nerves," Godley said. "Everyone does. It's just being able to take a deep breath and settle in and throw strikes."


Godley listened so well that he made major league history, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.


Godley, 25, pitched six scoreless innings in his major league debut, an 8-3 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers, and he struck out seven without walking a batter. He is the first pitcher in the modern era (since 1900) to hit those numbers in his major league debut, according to Elias.




Escobar inches closer to return for Nationals


PITTSBURGH -- Washington Nationals third baseman Yunel Escobar got good medical news Thursday, just not good enough to get back into the lineup.


Escobar underwent a CT scan on his left wrist and hand and no damage was found. However, he sat out Thursday night's 7-3 loss at Pittsburgh and may be limited to being a late-inning defensive replacement or pinch runner for a least a few days.


In Wednesday's win over the visiting New York Mets, Escobar left in the second inning when he hurt his wrist and hand on a check swing and couldn't grip the bat well on the next pitch, which he fouled off.


Escobar is hitting .321 with five home runs in 84 games this season. He wears a pad on his hand as protection after being hit on it a handful of times this season.




Pirates bring back old friend in Ramirez


PITTSBURGH -- Exactly 12 years and one day after giving Aramis Ramirez away to the Chicago Cubs while under financial duress, the Pirates got the 38-year-old third baseman back Thursday night in a bid to make the postseason for a third consecutive season.


The banged-up Pirates acquired Ramirez and cash considerations in a trade from the Milwaukee Brewers for Triple-A Indianapolis right-handed reliever Yhonathan Barrios.


Pirates third baseman Josh Harrison is recovering from surgery to repair a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his left thumb. Shortstop Jordy Mercer is also not expected back until September after spraining the medial collateral ligament in his left knee Sunday in a game at Milwaukee.




Santana boosting Twins rotation


ANAHEIM, Calif. -- The Minnesota Twins did not need to make a trade to invigorate their pitching staff this month.


Right-hander Ervin Santana won his second successive game while extending his streak of consecutive scoreless innings to 16 on Thursday with a 3-0 win over the Los Angeles Angels.


Since returning July 5 from an 80-game suspension for using performance-enhancing drugs, Santana compiled a 2-0 record with a 2.60 ERA, the best among the Twins' starters. In four starts spanning 27 2/3 innings, Santana has conceded just 20 hits and seven walks while striking out 21.


"Three out of his four starts were outstanding," Minnesota manager Paul Molitor said. "It's a nice lift to get a talented guy like that with his make-up and his personality to come back to your club."


Against the Angels on Thursday, Santana conceded only four hits and a hit batter while striking out seven as he won his 300th career start.




Greinke's paternity leave muddles Dodgers' plans


NEW YORK -- With right-hander Zack Greinke scratched from Friday's start due to the impending birth of his child, Los Angeles Dodgers manager Don Mattingly hoped that left-hander Clayton Kershaw could prepare the Dodgers for a likely "bullpen day" on Friday by throwing six or seven innings in his start Thursday night.


Kershaw did that and plenty more, throwing a three-hit shutout in the Dodgers' 3-0 win over the New York Mets at Citi Field. It was the 19th time in 20 starts this season he lasted at least six innings, the sixth straight time he threw at least seven innings and the 12th time overall he pitched seven-plus innings.


"Kind of count on him being able to do six to seven pretty solidly, and we were hoping to get seven to eight out of him tonight and then leave those guys alone out there," Mattingly said. "And we were able to do it."


As a result, Mattingly will have a full and fully rested bullpen Friday, when left-hander Ian Thomas makes his first major league start. It almost surely will be a short outing for Thomas, who hasn't pitched since July 7 and has never thrown more than three innings in a major league game.


The Dodgers may be mixing and matching within their rotation throughout the four-game series against the Mets, which concludes Sunday. Mattingly said Thursday afternoon he hopes Greinke, who called the manager at 5 a.m. Thursday to tell him he was flying home to Los Angeles to be with his wife, can come back and pitch either Saturday or Sunday. The Dodgers do not have a listed starter for either day.


The Sunday turn normally would be taken by left-hander Brett Anderson, who left his Tuesday start due to a sore left Achilles tendon. He threw on flat ground Thursday and will throw a bullpen session Friday before the Dodgers decide if he is a candidate to start Sunday.


"Lots of plans right now, lots of plans," Mattingly said with a grin Thursday afternoon. "Had lots of plans before this happened. This is an added plan."




Indians' Bauer trying to 'figure it out'


CLEVELAND -- What began as a great start to the 2015 season by Trevor Bauer has slowly slipped into a three-month malaise.


Bauer had an odd pitching line in his 8-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Thursday. In six innings, he struck out nine and only walked two. Bauer also gave up six runs on six hits, three of them home runs. At one point in the game, from the fourth through the sixth innings, 12 of the 14 batters Bauer faced either struck out or got a hit.


It's been an inconsistent year for Bauer, who at times can be dominating, but at other times can be wildly inconsistent. In four starts in the month of April, Bauer was 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA. But in 15 starts since then he is 6-7 with a 4.98 ERA.


In four starts in the month of July, Bauer is 2-2 with a 5.55 ERA. His start Thursday against the White Sox was like many of his starts this season: bursts of untouchability followed by stretches when he struggles to limit the damage.




Mets optimistic Cuddyer can return soon


NEW YORK -- The 23rd day of the Michael Cuddyer Watch went a lot like the first 22. There were mixed signals sent by the New York Mets, Cuddyer didn't play, and the team didn't score a lot of runs.


Or any runs, for that matter.


Cuddyer, who has been battling a sore knee since June 30, remained on the bench Thursday, when Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw went the distance and allowed just three hits in a 3-0 win at Citi Field. It was the eighth "DNP" of the month for Cuddyer and the 12th time in 18 July games he didn't start.


Mets general manager Sandy Alderson said before the game that Cuddyer was feeling lightheaded from the anti-inflammatory medication he was taking and hinted strongly that Cuddyer would be placed on the disabled list by Friday.




Cardinals' Rosenthal thrives amid heavy usage

ST. LOUIS -- Scott Boras put the St. Louis Cardinals on notice during the All-Star break regarding their usage of closer Trevor Rosenthal, but the memo from baseball's most prominent agent must not have made it to manager Mike Matheny.


Appearing for the 45th time in 95 games this year -- and the third time in as many nights -- Rosenthal needed 25 pitches to escape the ninth inning Thursday and preserve St. Louis' 4-3 win over the Kansas City Royals for his 30th save.


After taking three days off following a 33-pitch ninth inning Friday night in a save against the New York Mets, Rosenthal was more efficient in saves Tuesday and Wednesday night at the Chicago White Sox.


Matheny cited Rosenthal's brevity Wednesday night, when he used only 10 pitches, as a reason why he let him work a third straight game.
 

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Pro Baseball Trend Report


PHILADELPHIA (34 - 63) at CHICAGO CUBS (51 - 43) - 4:05 PM
JEROME WILLIAMS (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)



Top Trends for this game.


PHILADELPHIA is 34-63 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-37 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-63 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 124-130 (+0.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 41-10 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 123-112 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 358-389 (+47.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 398-378 (+46.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1438-1596 (-277.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 769-746 (-165.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 153-194 (-59.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 48-69 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1055-1190 (-216.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 667-772 (-202.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 703-704 (-159.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 208-179 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History


There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


JEROME WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.


JON LESTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997


LESTER is 4-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.912.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)




WASHINGTON (51 - 43) at PITTSBURGH (55 - 40) - 7:05 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JEFF LOCKE (L)



Top Trends for this game.


PITTSBURGH is 240-186 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 84-47 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-4 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-3 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 84-47 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 102-72 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 69-37 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-19 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PITTSBURGH is 370-372 (+52.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SCHERZER is 61-27 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History


WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)


MAX SCHERZER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997


SCHERZER is 4-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 0.771.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)


JEFF LOCKE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997


LOCKE is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


LA DODGERS (55 - 42) at NY METS (49 - 47) - 7:10 PM
IAN THOMAS (L) vs. JON NIESE (L)



Top Trends for this game.


LA DODGERS are 55-42 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 26-23 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 55-42 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 13-19 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 28-28 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 128-130 (+4.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 32-15 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 39-31 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 32-15 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 26-38 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 174-218 (-56.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History


NY METS is 2-2 (+1.7 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)


IAN THOMAS vs. NY METS since 1997


No recent starts.


JON NIESE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997


NIESE is 2-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-0. (+6.4 units)




ATLANTA (45 - 50) at ST LOUIS (61 - 34) - 8:15 PM
MANNY BANUELOS (L) vs. TIM COONEY (L)



Top Trends for this game.


ST LOUIS is 61-34 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-12 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 61-34 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-24 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-21 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 14-3 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
ATLANTA is 38-34 (+25.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 35-31 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MANNY BANUELOS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997


No recent starts.


TIM COONEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997


No recent starts.




CINCINNATI (42 - 51) at COLORADO (40 - 53) - 8:40 PM
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) vs. EDDIE BUTLER (R)



Top Trends for this game.


CINCINNATI is 50-78 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-78 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 53-63 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-25 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 514-580 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
COLORADO is 106-149 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 208-282 (-82.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 106-149 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-37 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 78-110 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 58-92 (-29.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 86-108 (-31.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History


COLORADO is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)


ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.


EDDIE BUTLER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997


BUTLER is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




MILWAUKEE (42 - 54) at ARIZONA (44 - 50) - 9:40 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)



Top Trends for this game.


MILWAUKEE is 42-54 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-54 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-73 (-20.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-22 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-27 (-24.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-15 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-7 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 108-148 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-72 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 108-148 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 41-65 (-24.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History


ARIZONA is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)


JIMMY NELSON vs. ARIZONA since 1997


NELSON is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)


PAT CORBIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997


CORBIN is 2-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)


MIAMI (41 - 55) at SAN DIEGO (44 - 52) - 10:10 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)



Top Trends for this game.


HAREN is 186-183 (-39.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 173-176 (-45.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 123-127 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 20-31 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 27-39 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
DAN HAREN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997

HAREN is 7-5 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.181.
His team's record is 11-9 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-8. (+2.4 units)


ANDREW CASHNER vs. MIAMI since 1997


CASHNER is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.086.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)


BALTIMORE (46 - 48) at TAMPA BAY (48 - 49) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)



Top Trends for this game.


BALTIMORE is 17-29 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 5-12 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-33 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 12-25 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 8-18 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 193-314 (-98.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 578-660 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 146-118 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 177-201 (+41.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 72-52 (+22.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 67-43 (+22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-10 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 36-19 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 9-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 17-8 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 26-13 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 13-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 18-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 125-134 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-26 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 59-70 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-18 (-11.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 60-71 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 68-79 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 89-100 (-25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-39 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-29 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


BALTIMORE is 5-4 (+0.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)


CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997


TILLMAN is 5-8 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 9-8 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-4.7 units)


CHRIS ARCHER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997


ARCHER is 1-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)




CHI WHITE SOX (43 - 50) at CLEVELAND (45 - 49) - 7:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)

Top Trends for this game.


CHI WHITE SOX are 17-28 (-15.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
QUINTANA is 8-19 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
QUINTANA is 17-32 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 117-71 (+29.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-28 (+29.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 78-80 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 372-375 (+32.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 45-49 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-27 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-23 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 41-49 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-21 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
KLUBER is 6-14 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 0-8 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
KLUBER is 5-14 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)




Head-to-Head Series History


CLEVELAND is 5-5 (+0.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.8 Units)


JOSE QUINTANA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997


QUINTANA is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.246.
His team's record is 5-6 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.6 units)


COREY KLUBER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997


KLUBER is 4-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.128.
His team's record is 5-6 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.6 units)




DETROIT (47 - 48) at BOSTON (42 - 54) - 7:10 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)



Top Trends for this game.


DETROIT is 24-31 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 32-40 (-11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 58-63 (-19.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 65-64 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 34-42 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 33-41 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 18-24 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 11-17 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 42-54 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 607-548 (-80.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 56-71 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-27 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-26 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-48 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 27-36 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 33-39 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 30-39 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-51 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997


VERLANDER is 3-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.142.
His team's record is 5-7 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.6 units)


RICK PORCELLO vs. DETROIT since 1997


No recent starts.




NY YANKEES (53 - 41) at MINNESOTA (51 - 44) - 8:10 PM
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)



Top Trends for this game.


MINNESOTA is 51-44 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 31-16 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-44 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 26-23 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-30 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-11 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
HUGHES is 30-21 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 29-21 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 19-7 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 32-20 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 29-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.




Head-to-Head Series History


There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MICHAEL PINEDA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997


PINEDA is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)




PHIL HUGHES vs. NY YANKEES since 1997


HUGHES is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)




HOUSTON (54 - 43) at KANSAS CITY (57 - 37) - 8:10 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)



Top Trends for this game.


KANSAS CITY is 57-37 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 32-17 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 28-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 57-37 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 37-26 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-12 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 74-58 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 54-40 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 33-20 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 33-19 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 36-24 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 23-16 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 54-43 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 20-11 (+11.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 54-37 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 85-93 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-23 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 31-22 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 15-6 (+7.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
HOUSTON is 12-4 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


HOUSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)


SCOTT KAZMIR vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997


KAZMIR is 4-8 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.462.
His team's record is 7-12 (-7.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+0.8 units)


JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. HOUSTON since 1997


GUTHRIE is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)




TEXAS (45 - 49) at LA ANGELS (54 - 41) - 10:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R)



Top Trends for this game.


TEXAS is 11-31 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 54-41 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 65-37 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 15-3 (+11.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
LA ANGELS are 50-20 (+20.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 32-12 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 284-205 (+56.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 143-103 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 44-26 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 65-42 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 85-47 (+26.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-13 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 45-49 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 29-23 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 13-8 (+10.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TEXAS is 55-39 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 42-45 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 34-33 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 30-28 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 24-15 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LEWIS is 14-9 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 14-8 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 12-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History


LA ANGELS is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)


COLBY LEWIS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997


LEWIS is 5-10 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.09 and a WHIP of 1.448.
His team's record is 7-12 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-11. (-5.7 units)


NICK TROPEANO vs. TEXAS since 1997


TROPEANO is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)


TORONTO (49 - 48) at SEATTLE (44 - 52) - 10:10 PM
DREW HUTCHISON (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)



There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.




Head-to-Head Series History


SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)


DREW HUTCHISON vs. SEATTLE since 1997


HUTCHISON is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 9.52 and a WHIP of 1.587.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)


FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997


HERNANDEZ is 6-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.303.
His team's record is 7-7 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-1.0 units)


Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 44-53 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 34-45 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-12 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
OAKLAND is 42-51 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 85-79 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHAVEZ is 3-11 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 151-123 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 151-123 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1054-884 (+116.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-20 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-17 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-23 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
PEAVY is 15-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 14-24 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 7-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History


There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


JESSE CHAVEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997


CHAVEZ is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)


JAKE PEAVY vs. OAKLAND since 1997


PEAVY is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.031.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
 

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Pro Baseball Standings


2015 American League Central Standings


Team W L Pct. Units Ov-Un-P Home Away Div Grass Turf


KANSAS CITY 57 37 0.606 +18.80 40-43 32-17 25-20 24-15 57-37 0-0


MINNESOTA 51 44 0.537 +16.75 39-46 31-16 20-28 23-22 51-44 0-0


DETROIT 47 48 0.495 -4.35 54-39 25-27 22-21 27-17 47-48 0-0


CLEVELAND 45 49 0.479 -14.95 45-47 19-27 26-22 14-23 41-49 0-0


CHI WHITE SOX 43 50 0.462 -8.30 36-53 24-22 19-28 17-28 42-45 1-2




2015 American League East Standings


Team W L Pct. Units Ov-Un-P Home Away Div Grass Turf


NY YANKEES 53 41 0.564 +4.00 45-45 30-17 23-24 24-17 48-36 1-2


TORONTO 49 48 0.505 -3.40 44-45 28-19 21-29 23-21 19-25 28-19


TAMPA BAY 48 49 0.495 -2.90 40-50 23-25 25-24 22-22 20-20 4-3


BALTIMORE 46 48 0.489 -4.00 39-50 29-19 17-29 24-23 41-42 2-4


BOSTON 42 54 0.438 -18.55 44-47 22-23 20-31 17-27 35-48 4-3




2015 American League West Standings


Team W L Pct. Units Ov-Un-P Home Away Div Grass Turf


LA ANGELS 54 41 0.568 +8.65 42-49 31-19 23-22 27-18 50-38 2-2


HOUSTON 54 43 0.557 +7.72 45-47 33-17 21-26 24-17 54-37 0-3


TEXAS 45 49 0.479 +9.87 42-47 16-26 29-23 12-25 42-45 1-2


SEATTLE 44 52 0.458 -13.38 40-52 20-27 24-25 21-21 39-51 2-1


OAKLAND 44 53 0.454 -17.95 49-40 21-29 23-24 21-24 42-51 0-0




2015 National League Central Standings


Team W L Pct. Units Ov-Un-P Home Away Div Grass Turf


ST LOUIS 61 34 0.642 +22.20 37-54 34-12 27-22 25-13 61-34 0-0


PITTSBURGH 55 40 0.579 +7.65 40-46 33-16 22-24 17-24 55-40 0-0


CHICAGO CUBS 51 43 0.543 +2.75 38-50 25-20 26-23 21-21 51-43 0-0


CINCINNATI 42 51 0.452 -10.55 48-41 25-22 17-29 17-21 42-51 0-0


MILWAUKEE 42 54 0.438 -11.95 49-42 20-29 22-25 18-19 42-54 0-0




2015 National League East Standings


Team W L Pct. Units Ov-Un-P Home Away Div Grass Turf


WASHINGTON 51 43 0.543 -0.90 48-42 28-19 23-24 25-16 50-42 0-0


NY METS 49 47 0.510 +1.65 43-47 32-15 17-32 24-17 49-45 0-2


ATLANTA 45 50 0.474 +4.17 48-42 26-20 19-30 21-21 43-49 2-1


MIAMI 41 55 0.427 -13.05 43-48 24-23 17-32 14-20 41-52 0-3


PHILADELPHIA 34 63 0.351 -18.60 51-38 23-26 11-37 15-25 34-63 0-0




2015 National League West Standings


Team W L Pct. Units Ov-Un-P Home Away Div Grass Turf


LA DODGERS 55 42 0.567 -8.40 47-47 33-17 22-25 29-20 55-42 0-0


SAN FRANCISCO 51 44 0.537 +2.45 49-42 25-22 26-22 27-23 51-44 0-0


ARIZONA 44 50 0.468 -3.15 48-41 24-26 20-24 24-26 44-50 0-0


SAN DIEGO 44 52 0.458 -7.65 53-40 21-25 23-27 24-23 44-52 0-0


COLORADO 40 53 0.430 -9.35 48-42 22-26 18-27 17-29 40-53 0-0
 

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Lester helping bettors cash Under wagers


If you've been backing the Under in Chicago Cubs games when Jon Lester gets the start, you've been doing quite well for yourself.


The Under has gone 7-0-1 in the southpaw's last eight starts overall and he's slated to take the bump against the Philadelphia Phillies Friday afternoon.


Lester owns an Over/Under record of 5-12 in 19 starts so far this season, making him one of the best Under hurlers with at least 10 starts under his belt in 2015.


-------------------------


Mets riding the suddenly hot Niese


Jon Niese seems to have bounced back after some struggles, with the New York Mets winning their past three games with the leftie starting.


Since the start of July, Niese has posted a 1.21 ERA and has held batters to a .169 batting average. While pitching 22.1 innings in his past three starts, Niese has allowed only 13 hits and three runs.


The Mets are currently +161 when they host the LA Dodgers Friday.


----------------------------


Rangers' Lewis has been horrendous versus Angels


Texas Rangers pitcher Colby Lewis is 0-6 with an 11.35 ERA in his last six starts versus the Los Angeles Angels. He is probable to take the mound against the Halos in Los Angeles Friday evening.


The 35-year-old is 0-2 with a 12.00 ERA in nine innings of work in two starts versus the Angels this season.


He won his first start versus the Angels in 2014 (May 2) before being demolished over the course of the next four. He surrendered 25 runs in 20 1/3 innings, losing those four starts in the process.


Lewis and the Rangers are presently +143 while the Angels, who are expected to counter with Nicholas Tropeano, are -155.


----------------------------


Williams not helping the struggling Phillies


The Philadelphia Phillies have dropped their past six contests when Jerome Williams takes to the mound.


Williams, who is expected to come off the 15-day DL for the Phillies Friday, has allowed four or more runs in five of those games. This season has seen Williams post a 6.43 ERA while allowing opponents to hit .376.


The Phillies are currently a massive +232 dog when they visit the Chicago Cubs.
 

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Holt $hit Betting Stat of the day: Quintana, Kluber have the worst run support in American League


Jul 24, 2015


It does not seem to matter how well either Jose Quintana or Corey Kluber pitch, their teams just do not seem interested in helping them.


Quintana ranks dead last in the American League in run support, with the Chicago White Sox tallying a mere 2.63 runs when he starts. Not to be outdone, the Cleveland Indians are plating 2.65 runs of support in Kluber's starts this season, the second-worst mark in the AL.


Despite both Quintana and Kluber posting solid ERA's, 3.83 and 3.38 respectively, they have a combined over/under record of 14-25 in their starts this season thanks to the lack of run support.


On the season as a whole, the White Sox are the second best Under team in the MLB with a 36-53-4 mark. The Indians have been a middle-of-the-pack total bet this season as they have gone 46-47-1 O/U.


The two pitchers will face off against one another Friday, with the total currently set at 7 and the Indians a -168 home favorite.
 

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Stature symbols: Biggio, Big Unit lead Baseball HOF class


Jul 23, 2015


COOPERSTOWN, N.Y. -- Less than one-half of one percent of all Major League Baseball players are elected to the Hall of Fame, which means that every inductee has already overcome long odds.


But even by that measure, the four newest members of the Hall of Fame -- second baseman Craig Biggio, left-handed pitcher Randy Johnson, right-handed pitcher Pedro Martinez and right-handed pitcher John Smoltz -- authored unlikely paths to immortality.


The quartet -- the largest class of inductees elected by the Baseball Writers Association of America since Joe DiMaggio headed a class of four in 1955 -- will be officially enshrined Sunday on the grounds of the Clark Sports Center. Johnson, Martinez and Smoltz all earned induction during their first year on the ballot while Biggio made it in on his third try.


For Biggio, Johnson, Martinez and Smoltz, the bulk of their careers were spent making the adjustments that would allow them to survive, not thinking about eventually joining the most exclusive club in sports. But the last few months have provided them plenty of time for reflection. Here's what each inductee had to say last week, during separate conference calls, about the roundabout route he took to Cooperstown


***


At 25 years old, Craig Biggio was already a Silver Slugger-winning, All-Star catcher for the Houston Astros. And the Astros were already worrying how playing catcher would shorten his career.


As enticing as it was to keep Biggio at an offensively challenged position -- he had 97 extra-base hits and 65 stolen bases from 1989 through 1991 -- the Astros also knew his slight frame (5-foot-11, 185 pounds) wasn't made to stand up to the rigors of catching.


"I probably would have never played 20 years if I would have stayed behind the plate," Biggio said. "The beating that you take back there eventually probably would have taken its toll on me. I wasn't the biggest guy in the world."


So shortly before the Astros convened for spring training in 1992, management proposed Biggio shift to second base, a position he'd played just three times in his first four major league seasons.


Biggio was used to hard work and taking on challenges -- he emerged as a big leaguer despite growing up in the cold weather of Long Island and playing college baseball at Seton Hall in New Jersey -- but the marathon sessions with Astros bench coach Matt Galante were unlike anything he'd ever done.


"We spent a lot of time together and a lot of hours together on some hills where the sun was just barely coming up and the sun was just going down," Biggio said.


The sessions were strenuous, as well as stressful. Biggio admitted he and Galante -- both native New Yorkers -- sniped at each other, though any cross words were forgotten the next day as the two refocused on their mutual task.


"You've got to understand something," Biggio said. "He had six weeks to turn me into a big league second baseman. And in the history of the game it's never been done before."


Biggio did it, seamlessly. He played 1,617 out of a possible 1,717 games for the Astros from 1992 through 2002, during which he won four Gold Gloves and four Silver Sluggers.


There were more shifts to be made during Biggio's twilight years -- he played the outfield in 2003 and 2004 before moving back to second base for his final three seasons, during which he completed his march to 3,000 hits. But there wouldn't have been future position switches, nor Hall of Fame milestones to chase, if not for the unprecedented move to catcher.


"At the time, it was a nervous decision," Biggio said. "But once we made our decision to do it, we zipped up the catcher's gear and didn't look back."


***


Randy Johnson was the ideal student-athlete at the University of Southern California. Upon graduating in 1985, he knew more about his major, photojournalism, than the sport he played.


Of course, having a better idea how to take a picture than how to throw a baseball is not normally how a Hall of Fame career begins. But the 6-foot-10 Johnson continued to struggle with his mechanics, as well as with the control of his 100 mph fastball, as a minor leaguer in the Montreal Expos organization. In 1987, he struck out 163 batters and walked 128 for Double-A Jacksonville.


"I think I took more away from USC knowing photography than I did with my own pitching skills and development there," Johnson said. "And that's no disrespect to anything, I just didn't develop probably as fast as I was hoping. It took a long time in the minor leagues. And then it took me two or three years in the major leagues to really hit my stride."


Johnson threw a no-hitter for the Seattle Mariners in 1990 -- the first of the three consecutive seasons in which he led the American League in walks. His career didn't take off until late in the 1992 season, when he fixed his mechanics following a meeting with all-time strikeout king Nolan Ryan and his pitching guru, Tom House.


Johnson, now landing on the ball of his foot instead of the heel, set then-career bests in wins (19), ERA (3.24), complete games (10) and strikeouts (308) in 1993, the season in which he turned 30.


But still, a Hall of Fame career seemed unlikely given his late start -- Johnson's 61 wins through his 30th birthday are the second-fewest for any 300-game winner, behind knuckleballer Phil Niekro -- and with a body that would soon begin breaking down.


"I'd be remiss if I didn't thank some doctors and physical therapists," Johnson said. "Over 26 years, I've had three back surgeries, four knee surgeries."


But despite his injury woes, Johnson won five Cy Youngs -- one for the Mariners in 1995 and four straight for the Arizona Diamondbacks from 1999 through 2002 -- following his 30th birthday. He also won six strikeout titles and four ERA crowns in his 30s. As a 40-year-old in 2004, he threw a perfect game for the Diamondbacks and earned his final strikeout title.


His 300th career win, which he notched with the San Francisco Giants in 2009, was the bow on a Hall of Fame career, not the achievement that got him over the top. He earned more than 97 percent of the vote in January.


"I had so much fun in Seattle, I learned how to pitch and I had many great years there," Johnson said. "But I got to a whole other level after I left there and I really got to a whole other level of what I never envisioned."


***


Tommy Lasorda cruised into the Hall of Fame by leading the Los Angeles Dodgers to two world championships as their manager from 1977 through 1996. Who knows how many more rings he and the Dodgers would have earned if had a little more faith in Pedro Martinez?


As a 20- and 21-year-old in 1992 and 1993, Martinez worked almost exclusively out of the bullpen for the Dodgers and went 10-6 with a 2.58 ERA and 127 strikeouts over 115 innings. He earned two saves, both of which came in one-run games in which Martinez recorded more than three outs.


He might have become a Mariano Rivera had he remained in the bullpen. But Lasorda wasn't even sure Martinez, who was listed at 5-foot-11 and 170 pounds, could last as a reliever, so he was traded to the Montreal Expos in exchange for second baseman Delino DeShields prior to the 1994 season.


The trade fueled the famously prideful Martinez.


"I was always self-motivated," Martinez said. "And at the same time, every time I saw adversity in front of me, I saw it as a reason to push forward, to push harder.


"Even though I was always denied that opportunity, I wanted to actually see if I could get just a small chance, even though I felt like I had no space to fail. And I was able to pull it off."


Martinez arrived as one of the best pitchers in baseball in 1997, when he struck out 305 batters while leading the National League with a 1.90 ERA and 13 complete games. But with free agency looming, the perpetually rebuilding Expos dealt him to the Boston Red Sox following the season.


His first three years in Boston -- during which Martinez went 60-17 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP while striking out 848 and walking just 136 over 664 innings -- may be the most dominant three-season run in history, especially given Martinez's small size and the beefed-up sluggers he faced in the heart of the steroid era.


What might he have done today? Martinez admits to being curious, but also finds it rewarding to have achieved what he did while remaining clean.


"I can only imagine what it would have been like," Martinez said. "But you know what? I wouldn't want it any other way. This is the way I wanted it. This is the way I got it.


"I just look back at facing, probably, the best I could face, and doing it right. And doing it the right way."


***


Struggling as a 20-year-old in Double-A is tough enough. Add getting traded by his hometown team into the equation and it's easy to understand how down John Smoltz was in the summer of 1987, when the Detroit Tigers traded the Michigan native to the Atlanta Braves in exchange for right-hander Doyle Alexander.


"I was having a miserable year," said Smoltz, who had a 5.68 ERA and almost as many walks (81) as strikeouts (86) at the time of the trade. "I didn't know which way was up. I didn't know what my future held and how I was going to get out of this funk.


"And then the trade happened, and I just associated (it with a) bad year. This is bad if somebody doesn't want me."


Smoltz quickly emerged from his mental funk, though the results didn't initially improve. He posted a 6.19 ERA and walked 11 while striking out just five for the Braves' Triple-A affiliate. But he figured things out in a hurry after working in the Braves' instructional league with Leo Mazzone, who fixed Smoltz's mechanics and told him he'd be fine once he found some consistency with his stuff.


Smoltz reached the majors in 1988, when he recorded a 5.48 ERA in 12 starts. Over the next 11 seasons, he went 155-106 with a 3.29 ERA and 2,061 strikeouts and exceeded 180 innings pitched in every season but two, one of which was the strike-shortened 1994 campaign.


He might have made it look easy, but remaining on the mound was a constant battle for Smoltz, who battled chronic shoulder and elbow injuries while tinkering with his arsenal, which originally featured just a fastball and slider.


"Started working on a changeup and a split-finger, and every year it took time to get better and better," Smoltz said. "At least the idea was to get better and better in the process. Because I needed to.


"When I capture my career, there was not a stretch of like nine, 10 straight years where it was just dominant and clicking. It was work every year."


Smoltz's elbow finally tore in spring training 2000, when he underwent Tommy John surgery. To minimize the stress on his arm, Smoltz returned as a closer in 2001 and notched 154 saves over the next four seasons. He moved back into the rotation as a 38-year-old in 2005 and led the National League in wins (16) and starts (35) while striking out 211 batters in 2006.


Smoltz will be the first Tommy John survivor to reach the Hall of Fame, as well as the first enshrined pitcher with 200 wins and 150 saves.


"My philosophy was 'I'll find a way,'" Smoltz said. "And the great pitchers always find a way."
 

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Jays fell out of Kazmir bidding


Jul 23, 2015


OAKLAND, Calif. -- One loss might have cost the Toronto Blue Jays a chance at acquiring a starting pitcher.


Multiple sources said the Blue Jays were a serious bidder for Oakland left-hander Scott Kazmir until A's general manager Billy Beane got a first-hand view just how desperate they are for a starter Wednesday night.


Beane's price went up, the Blue Jays dropped out, and Kazmir was dealt to the Houston Astros on Thursday for two Class A prospects.


After watching his team send Blue Jays fifth starter Felix Doubront to the showers before the end of the fifth inning Wednesday, Beane is said to have asked for Toronto's top pitcher at Triple-A, left-hander Daniel Norris, in exchange for Kazmir.


Why not? The Blue Jays clearly are reluctant to promote Norris at a time of need, and Kazmir is about as pennant-race-friendly as anyone available at a reasonable price this month.


However, reasonable price and Norris were not synonymous in the Blue Jays' minds, so they were left exploring their many other options with the trade deadline still more than a week away.


Toronto, which bounced back to beat Oakland 5-2 Thursday, recently was linked to Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Mike Fiers, Cleveland Indians righty Carlos Carrasco and San Diego Padres right-handers Tyson Ross and Andrew Cashner.
 

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CFL Betting Recap - Week 4


July 21, 2015


League Betting Notes


-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 4
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 4
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 4
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 4
-- The 'Under' went 4-0 in Week 4


Team Betting Notes


-- Montreal (2-2) kicked off Week 4 with a 17-13 victory against Hamilton (1-2), who was coming off a bye. It was the first non-cover for the TiCats in three tries. The road odyssey continues for Hamilton next Sunday in Regina against the Roughriders.


-- Saskatchewan (0-4) dropped their fourth straight game in as many tries, losing 27-24 against the BCLions (2-1). The Roughriders are 0-3-1 ATS, and Friday marked their first 'under' in four games. The Roughriders have lost their four games by an average of just three points.


-- It doesn't get any more consistent than Calgary (3-1), as they fell to 0-4 ATS with four 'under' results in four games this season. The hit the road to face Ottawa (2-2), a team averaging just 19.0 points per game. Another 'under' could be in the offing.


-- Edmonton (2-1) completed a home-and-home series sweep of the RedBlacks with a 23-12 win Friday in Canada's capital city. It was the second 'under' for the Eskimos, and the second straight cover for the Esks.


-- Winnipeg (2-2) has been hard to figure out. They have alternated wins and losses, and they're 2-1-1 ATS. The 'over' is also 2-1-1 through four games heading into Saturday's game in Edmonton.
 

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Dunkel

Week 5

Calgary @ Ottawa

Game 121-122
July 24, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
112.620
Ottawa
113.729
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 5 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+5 1/2); Under

Toronto @ BC Lions

Game 123-124
July 24, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
114.415
BC Lions
113.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+3); Under

Winnipeg @ Edmonton

Game 125-126
July 25, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
112.171
Edmonton
114.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 6
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+6); Under

Hamilton @ Saskatchewan

Game 127-128
July 26, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
116.024
Saskatchewan
111.815
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 4
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+1); Under
 

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Long Sheet

Friday, July 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (3 - 1) at OTTAWA (2 - 2) - 7/24/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996. CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-0 against the spread versus
OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-0 straight up against
OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (2 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 1) - 7/24/2015, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 against the spread versus
TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 straight up against
TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (2 - 2) at EDMONTON (2 - 1) - 7/25/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. WINNIPEG is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-0 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-0 straight up against
WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, July 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (1 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 4) - 7/26/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-81 ATS (+25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, July 24

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games

10:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Toronto is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
British Columbia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
British Columbia is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Toronto


Saturday, July 25

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg


Sunday, July 26

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Hamilton
 

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Friday, July 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Friday CFL doubleheader
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary Stampeders at Ottawa RedBlacks (+5, 47)

The Calgary Stampeders look to continue their hot start when they travel to Ottawa to face the Redblacks on Friday. The Stampeders erased a 16-point deficit en route to a 26-25 victory over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Week 4 to take sole possession of first place in the West Division.

The defending Grey Cup champions haven't exactly steamrolled their way to the best record in the CFL, winning their three games by a combined seven points, but are a sparkling 18-4 in their last 22 regular-season contests. The Redblacks' 2-0 start seems like a distant memory following back-to-back losses to the Edmonton Eskimos. Ottawa suffered a humiliating 46-17 setback in Edmonton before dropping a 23-12 decision in the nation's capital, and hopes its sputtering offense can get back on track in order to notch its first win in franchise history against Calgary. "We have good enough players on offense if we can get the ball in their hands," Redblacks coach Rick Campbell told reporters. "Calgary is a big challenge but it's doable."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Ottawa as a 5.5-point home dog. The total opened 47.5.

INJURY REPORT: Stampeders - WR Kamar Jordan (Questionable, undisclosed), OL Karl Lavoie (Questionable, shoulder). RedBlacks - WR Khalil Paden (Questionable, undisclosed), RB Jeremiah Johnson (Questionable, undisclosed).

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS, 0-4 O/U): Bo Levi Mitchell struggled with his accuracy against the Blue Bombers as he went 12-of-21 for 165 yards and a touchdown while Jon Cornish was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after racking up season-high 120 rushing yards on 15 carries. "I just have to play better," Mitchell told reporters. "My team got it done for me man." Calgary's patchwork offensive line will need to be reshuffled once more as Karl Lavoie injured his left knee in the first half against Winnipeg and was to have an MRI to determine the severity of the injury.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Ottawa quarterback Henry Burris has looked all of his 40 years in the last two weeks, throwing two interceptions while being held without a passing touchdown. "That's not acceptable," Burris told reporters. "We have the personnel that can get it done and now we just have to make it happen." Chris Williams caught seven passes for 90 yards against the Eskimos and is ranked fifth in the CFL with 270 receiving yards and Zack Evans recorded two sacks to bring his season total to three.


TRENDS:

* Stampeders are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 10-2 in RedBlacks last 12 Friday games.
* Under is 6-0 in Stampeders last six games in July.
* Under is 7-2 in RedBlacks last nine home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-six percent of users are backing the Stamps.


Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-3, 54)

The Toronto Argonauts look to get back into the win column when they stay out West to take on the BC Lions on Friday. The Argonauts suffered a 25-20 setback to the Calgary Stampeders in the second of four straight road games and have lost nine of their last 12 contests away from home since the start of 2014.

Toronto has dropped 11 of its last 12 games in Vancouver but hopes to build off its 40-23 victory at BC Place last year, and improve to 3-1 for the first time since 2010 in the process. The Lions look to win three consecutive games for the first time since August 2014 after squeaking out a 27-24 victory over the Saskatchewan Roughriders. BC quarterback Travis Lulay is showing no ill effects from the shoulder trouble that has hampered him for the last two seasons and is flashing the ability that won him the CFL's Most Outstanding Player in 2011. BC's offense is starting to rev up too, putting up 62 points in its last two games as the players get more comfortable in Jeff Tedford's new high-powered system.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Lions as 3.5-point home favorites. The opening total was 54.

INJURY REPORT: Argonauts - OL Branndon Braxton (Questionable, suspension), SB Andre Durie (Out indefinitely, knee). Lions - G Cody Husband (Questionable, undisclosed), DB Ryan Phillips (Questionable, hamstring), LB Jason Arakgi (Questionable, hamstring).

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Trevor Harris continues to be a revelation in his first year as a starter as he threw for 223 yards and two touchdowns to give him a CFL-best nine on the year. Vidal Hazelton caught a team-high six passes for 98 yards and Tori Gurley and Kevin Elliott each hauled in a score to pace the aerial attack for Toronto. Defensive tackle Cleyon Laing and defensive back Devin Smith were fined after being penalized for late hits as the league continues to crack down on unnecessary roughness.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-1 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U): Lulay threw for 127 yards and two touchdowns and added 105 yards on the ground to become the first BC quarterback since Casey Printers in 2005 to rush for more than 100 in a game. "Travis is a very special player," running back Andrew Harris told reporters. "When he can do that for us it's going to change a lot of things." A.C. Leonard caught the first two touchdown passes of his CFL career and Harris was his usual reliable self, running for 94 yards and a score versus the Roughriders.

TRENDS:

* Under is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.
* Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in Week 5.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Lions last four home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-two percent of bettors are backing the Lions.
 

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CFL


Friday, July 24




Underdogs up north are crushing it through four weeks


CFL underdogs have not stuck to the script this season and are cashing for their backers at a ridiculous rate.


After another good weekend, going 3-1 against the spread, underdogs are now an incredible 11-2-1 ATS through four weeks of the CFL season. That is a cash rate of an unthinkable 84.62 percent.


Being a road dog hasn't intimidated anyone either, with away dogs going 7-1-1 ATS, good for a 87.50 success rate. Home dogs are 4-1 ATS.


Not only are underdogs covering the spread, the are doing so with ease. In the 11 games they have covered, they have done so by an average of 10.73 points per game.


The Edmonton Eskimos are the only team to cover the spread as a favorite, topping the Ottawa RedBlacks in consecutive weeks.


The lines for Week 5 are currently off the board, but make sure to check out our Live Odds pages as soon as they are released.




It was a big week for unders up north


The under remained hot in Canadian Football League action this past weekend, going a perfect 4-0.


The under is now 10-5 through four weeks of play, cashing 66.67 percent of the time.


The best under bets so far are the Montreal Alouettes and the Calgary Stampeders both at 0-4 O/U.


The totals are currently off the board for Week 5.
 

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2015 Regular Season Standings


West Division

GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV STREAK


Calgary 4 3 1 0 6 86 97 3 - 0 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 W2


BC 3 2 1 0 4 78 83 1 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 2 - 0 - 0 W2


Edmonton 3 2 1 0 4 80 55 1 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 W2

Winnipeg 4 2 2 0 4 106 127 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 L1


Saskatchewan 4 0 4 0 0 122 134 0 - 3 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 0 - 3 - 0 L4

East Division

GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV STREAK


Toronto 3 2 1 0 4 88 76 1 - 0 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 0 - 0 - 0 L1


Ottawa 4 2 2 0 4 76 101 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 1 - 0 - 0 L2


Montreal 4 2 2 0 4 85 69 2 - 1 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 1 - 1 - 0 W1


Hamilton 3 1 2 0 2 88 67 0 - 0 - 0 1 - 2 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 L1
 

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CFL.ca Game Notes: A look at Week 5


TORONTO – The rain wreaked havoc on some of Week 4. The weather forecast calls for more CFL football in Week 5, beginning with a double-header on Friday night.


The Stampeders travel to Ottawa looking to remain atop the CFL standings while the REDBLACKS hope to break a two-game funk with a win.


Toronto is coming off a bye week and taking on a Lions team that looks like it is beginning to get on a roll.


The Eskimos, coming off a pair of wins, host the Bombers. Will Shakir Bell be able to match his impressive debut for Edmonton? Or will Drew Willy lead the Bombers to a win?


Finally, Riders hope to earn their first victory of the year as they take on the Ticats. Will they be able to get on the board?


Equipped with the most up-to-date storylines, stats, milestones and trends, enjoy this week’s CFL.ca Game Notes.




Friday, 7:00 pm ET: Calgary at Ottawa


Friday, 10:00 pm ET: Toronto at BC


Saturday, 7:00 pm ET: Winnipeg at Edmonton


Sunday, 7:00 pm ET: Hamilton at Saskatchewan





Trends and Highlights


Close games in 2015: Three of last week's games were decided by 4 points or less and that is now 9 out of 16 games in total. That is 56% of the games this year compared to just 22 % (1 in every 4 or 5) in both and 2014 and 2013.


Margin of victory: The average margin of victory of just 8.7 points is unprecedented in the modern era of Canadian football and lowest since 1947. Since 1958 and the unification of professional football across Canada the average margin of victory has been has been just under a 14-point differential in our games.


Close losses: Calgary has won three games to lead the CFL and by a total of only 7 points combined. Saskatchewan has lost four games by a total of 12 points. Only one other time in over 100 years of Canadian football has a club ever lost 4 games in a row all by margins of 4 points or less. The current parity trend has seen this happen twice since 2013 – Edmonton lost 4 in a row by margins of 1, 3, 3 & 3 points in August-September of 2013.


Penalties Update: Each week in 2015 has been high, all above the 2014 average of 21.6/game. However, each week has also dropped from the previous one from a max of 30.0 per game in Week #1 to just 23.0 last week. The cumulative average is now down to 27.13 per game and this matches the trend of a declining running average in 5 of the last 6 seasons as the year progresses.


Pace of play: Despite horrible weather conditions, Ottawa and Edmonton played their game last week in just 2:39. Only one game in all of 2014 took less time than that (Edmonton and BC took 2:37 to play on November 1st). The key last week’s 2:39 game was the first sub-20 penalty game in 2015 (17 in total). Last week’s games averaged 2:49.




CFL Pick'Em Marquee Matchup: Week 5


CFL.ca presents Best in the League


Dunk's CFL Rookie Report: July rankings


On Pace: CFL is on pace for eight 1000-yard rushers compared to only seven in the last three years combined. 15 receivers still on 1000-yard pace. Eight QBs are on pace to go over 4000 yards in 2015. One QB passed for 4000+ yards last year.


Completion %: The 70.0 completion % mark has been exceeded only 4 times in CFL history led by Ricky Ray’s 77.2% in 2013. Dave Dickenson did it twice and Anthony Calvillo once. In 2015, there are five CFL quarterbacks at 70%+ led by Winnipeg’s Drew Willy at 77.0%.


Kicking Converts: An odd pattern in one-point convert success and it has been anything but uniform so far in 2015. Four kickers are 18-of-29 combined with 11 of the 12 misses among them (Hajrullau, Shaw, Paredes and Bede). The others are 30-of-31 for 97%, not far from the CFL-wide rate in 2014 (99%). Another oddity: For field goal attempts at or around the new convert length, our kickers have made ALL 10 in 2015. No FG misses from 30-33 yards out.


Drop in 2-and-outs: In 2014 QBs completed an average of 10.7 passes per game on 2nd down to extend a series. In 2015, that is up to 12.9 per game (+20%).


Officials getting it right: In the first 11 games, there were 15 coach's challenges or 1.4 per game and 7 were successful (47%). Since then over the last 5 CFL games there have been just three coach's challenges (0.6 per game), and none of those were successful.


Almost TDs: There have been just two kick return TDs in 2015 but another four called back by return holding/illegal block calls.


A new sort of offence: Kickoff singles! There have been 7 already and were only 9 all last season.


SSK at 504 net yards per game: The 1990-94 era of the CFL game is when most team offence records were set; In 1991, BC set the single-season record of an unbelievable 506.5 yards per game. That era was referred to as “Basketball on Grass” and the top three single game averages all come from that time. In 1991, BC started with four straight 500+ yard games averaging 523 per game through Week #4. In 2015, Saskatchewan has the second-highest average ever after four weeks at 503.5.


CFL Punting: In the last 65 years, there have been only 59 seasons where a punter has averaged 46 yards or more per kick. That’s just less than once per season on average. In 2015, there are seven punters currently at 46 yards or more led by rookie Richie Leone at 49.0. The average CFL punt in 2015 is 46.1 yards – the highest league-wide average in CFL history (#2 1983 at 45.8).


Offensive scoring rebound: Last season, the CFL hit a low mark for offensive TDs averaging only 3.81 per game, the lowest average since 1979. This year that has gone back up to 4.44 per game or about 17% more than in 2014.


Looking Ahead


Pass Protection #1: The Lions lead the CFL with only two sacks allowed and have not allowed any in their last 31 possessions and covering their last 77 pass plays.


Lulay Loves Home: In his career as the Lions’ starting QB, Travis Lulay has compiled a record of 22-6 in his 28 home starts. His first 9 starts were at Empire Field and BC went 4-5. At B.C. Place however, the Lions are 18-1 in his 19 starts.


Andrew Harris: BC’s tailback has gained 262 yards from scrimmage in his last two games, his second highest output in back-to-back games since July 20-30/13 (275
yards: 133 & 142). The other pair of great consecutive games was July 12-19/14 when he had a career-best pair of outings with 203 yards followed by 150 on July 19th. Harris is on pace for 2,016 yards in 2015.


Travis Lulay: Despite only 127 yards passing, Lulay became the first BC QB to rush for 100+ yards since Casey Printers in 2005 (125 on Oct 16th). Lulay surpassed his career high with 105 yards on just 6 carries. The only other BC QB to rush for 100+ yards in game was Jim Walden in 1960 (116 yards).


Feasting on Argos: The Lions’ best two records in club history against any opponent are against Ottawa at 41-19-2 .669 and against Toronto at 53-33-2 .608. Since 2004 the Lions are 19-4 vs Toronto but only 1-2 in the last three meetings. Toronto snapped an 11-game losing streak at BC last year winning 40-23.


#1 in Fewest Giveaways: BC has only 3 turnovers in 3 games and has yet to lose a fumble (only team without one to date). Last year the Lions finished #4 at +5 and are #3 at +2 this season.


Getting back to Even: The Lions have been in and around the .500 mark across club history over the last two seasons and finally went over that mark in 2014. Since then 6 losses in the last 10 games have them back one game below .500. A win this week would make that even once again.


Richie Leone: He is #1 in the CFL in punting at 49.0 yards (#3 net at 39.1), has made all 8 of his FG attempts including a club and B.C. Place record 56-yarder and 66.1 yards.


Bighill & Elimimian: The club’s dynamic pair of linebackers have 23 and 21 tackles thus far and each ranked in the Top 4 in the CFL despite playing just 3 games. Bighill’s average of 7.7 tackles per game is #1 in the CFL and both are on pace for 120+ in 2015.


Dynamic Duo: Collie and Arceneaux have been targeted 44 times in three games by Travis Lulay and that is as many as the next four BC receivers in total.


Western Schedule: The Argos have yet to play an Eastern rival yet in 2015 and with this week’s game will make it four in a row in inter-divisional play. They play 6 of their first 7 games against western clubs before a stretch of 6 of 7 against East Division teams.


No Dispute: Scott Milanovich and the Argos have yet to throw a challenge flag this season, the only club yet to do so in 2015.


Trevor Harris: Harris has easily been the CFL’s most efficient QB this year with a passer rating of 121.5 through 3 games. That pace is just behind the league record set by Ricky Ray in 2013 at 126.4 and would be #2 in CFL history if kept up. He has been sacked 9 times however in 2015, the most of any QB.


Coming Off a Bye Week: With the return to 9 teams, bye weeks have become a larger issue. Toronto had three byes last year and were 2-1 in those games.


A.J. Jefferson: The 100-yard interception return by Jefferson on Jul 5/15 vs Saskatchewan was the second 100-yard plus ‘pick 6’ by a Toronto defender in the last two seasons – but the one before that was way back in 1977 by Eric Harris (115 yards).


2nd Half Strong: Toronto has been especially good in the 2nd half of games this year outscoring opponents 40-15 and 54-27 including their one overtime victory.


What's the Rush?: The Argos are the only CFL club yet to score a rushing touchdown this season as all 9 of their offensive drive TDs have been via the pass.


#1 in the Red Zone: Toronto has been the strongest so far inside their opponents’ 20-yard line picking up a touchdown on 8 of their 10 opportunities.


Preview: Toronto at BC Wk. 5


Strong start: Ronnie Pfeffer is 4-of-6 on his FG attempts but one more stat needs to be taken into account- his average attempt has been from a CFL-high 44.2 yards.


Chad Owens: On a per game basis, no player has been thrown to as often as Owens. He has 28 targets for a 9.3 per game average making 18 catches for 209 yards.


Scoreless 1st Quarter Streak: The REDBLACKS have yet to score in the 1st Quarter this year but they are far from the CFL record. The expansion BC Lions in 1954 went a record 8 games in a row without scoring in the first 15:00 of the game.


Fewest flags: Ottawa has been the CFL’s least penalized team through Week #4 at just 11.3 calls per game.


Canadian Catches: Brad Sinopoli leads all Canadian receivers with 28 targets and 243 yards (#8 in the CFL) and 7 second down conversion catches.


Slow starters: In 2015 the two lowest scoring 1st Quarter clubs are Ottawa and Calgary. The REDBLACKS have yet to score in the first 15:00 and trail 28-0 cumulatively. Calgary has scored only 15 points in the 1st Quarter in 2015 and is -30 at 15-45 to date.


Slim Wins: 2015 matches the lowest cumulative winning margin by any Stampeders club across their first three victories of any season. Their first three wins in 2011 were also by 7 points total (2, 1 & 4) as well as 1987’s first three wins.


Rene Paredes: Has three clutch FGs made inside the final 2:14 in 2015 (Gm#1 from 50 yds with 0:00 left to win; Gm #3 from 30 yds with 1:27 left to make it 25-20; and Gm #4 from 40 yds to win with 2:14 left). He is 2-of-4 on his remaining attempts in 2015.


Fantasy Notes


QB: Trevor Harris (28.4%), Kevin Glenn (25.6%), Travis Lulay (11.9%), Matt Nichols (7.9%), Bo Levi Mitchell (7.5%)


RB: Jerome Messam (42.5%), Paris Cotton (13.1%), Shakir Bell (12.6%), Kendial Lawrence (12.1%), Brandon Whitaker (4.7%)


REC: Weston Dressler (38.0%), Eric Rogers (33.5%), Austin Collie (16.0%), Andy Fantuz (11.7%), Brad Sinopoli (10.1%)


Flex: Jerome Messam (14.6%), Kendial Lawrence (11.8%), Paris Cotton (8.4%), Shakir Bell (7.3%), Weston Dressler (5.9%)


Kicker: Richie Leone (62.1%), Paul McCallum (11.2%), Delbert Alvarado (7.8%), Lirim Hajrullahu (3.4%), Justin Medlock (2.9%)


Defence/ST: Calgary (26.4%), Ottawa (17.4%), Hamilton (15.0%), Toronto (12.3%), Edmonton (11.0%)
 

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WNBA Betting Recap - 7/13-7/19


July 20, 2015


League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 13 through Sunday, July 19)


-- Favorites went 10-6 straight up
-- Underdogs went 8-7-1 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 12-4 SU record
-- Home teams posted a 10-5-1 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 10-6


Team Betting Notes


-- It was a good week to be at home, as home teams won 12 of their 16 games with the home side going 10-5-1 ATS. Bucking the trend was Atlanta (7-9), as they posted a 2-1 ATS mark on the road in three tries.


-- New York (10-5) picked up three straight wins this week, and they posted covers in each of the outings, too, including a win at Phoenix (9-6).


-- The Mercury were cooled off in their loss at home to the Liberty, and they have now failed to cover in three consecutive outings. Bettors also love the fact the 'under' has hit in three straight games for Phoenix.


-- Tulsa (10-7) had another rough week, going 0-3 SU/0-2-1 ATS in their three outings on the road. They have won just once in the past six games away from home, going 2-3-1 ATS during the span.


-- Chicago (10-6) got back on track Sunday against San Antonio (4-12). The Sky did fail to cover the 11 1/2-point number, however, making them just 3-5 ATS over their past eight games.


-- Indiana (8-7) was limited to just one game this week, as their game in Connecticut (7-6) was postponed due to airport/travel delays. Indiana was set to travel from D.C. to Hartford, Conn., but weather and mechanical problems forced their commercial flight back to the gate. No makeup date has been announced.


-- The Sun was probably thrilled with the postponement, as they haven't been able to get anything right lately. After a 7-1 SU/ATS start, the Sun have dropped five consecutive games while going 2-4 ATS in the past six overall.


-- Minnesota (12-3) won for the fourth straight game, and they're 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS over the past six away from home. At home the Lynx have posted a 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS mark, and they'll look to keep it up with three straight home dates from July 22-31.


-- Los Angeles (2-12) continues to struggle, as they enter the new week with five straight losses. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four games, and the 'under' has hit in four in a row after a 7-0 'over' run from June 21-July 5.
 

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Dodgers, Mets clash in N.Y.


July 24, 2015




LOS ANGELES DODGERS (55-42) at NEW YORK METS (49-47)


First pitch: Friday, 7:10 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Los Angeles -105, New York -105, Total: 7.5


The Dodgers will be looking to take a 2-0 series lead on the Mets on Friday night.


The Dodgers will be heading into Friday’s contest having won four of their past six games and six of their past 10. They’ll look to continue their hot stretch with a win over a Mets team that has scored three or fewer runs in six of their past seven games. New York has won just two of those seven and will need to find a way to start hitting the ball or they will have no chance of making it to the postseason.


These teams have split wins against one another in four meetings this year, but the Dodgers are 5-2 when hosting the Mets over the past three seasons.


The pitching matchup in this one will be between LHP Ian Thomas (0-1, 5.23 ERA, 8 Ks) for the Dodgers and LHP Jon Niese (5-8, 3.36 ERA, 73 Ks) for the Mets. It is Thomas’ first career start and he has pitched just 10.3 innings on the year. The Mets are a lousy 7-17 against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded three or less runners on base over the past three seasons. They are, however, 32-15 against the money line when playing at home this season.


Los Angeles will be relatively healthy coming into this game, but New York could be without RF Michael Cuddyer (Knee) and is already without C Travis d’Arnaud (Elbow) and 3B David Wright (Back).


The Dodgers are going to try to stay hot with a win in New York on Friday and it’ll be up to Ian Thomas to give them some solid innings in this game. This will be Thomas’ first career start and he was 4-1 with a 4.14 ERA in the minors this season before being called up and throwing a few bullpen innings. If he can give the Dodgers something close to a quality start then he will have done his job well. With Thomas being inexperienced, Los Angeles will need to get some run support in this game.


That will all begin with 1B Adrian Gonzalez (.297, 21 HRs, 60 RBIs), who is 0-for-9 against Niese in his career. It will be very difficult for his team to win if he can not figure out New York’s starter on Friday. RF Yasiel Puig (.259, 5 HRs, 20 RBIs) has also struggled against Niese, going 0-for-6 with two strikeouts against him. He does, however, come into this game with six RBIs in his past six games. He’ll look to keep himself going in this one.


One guy who has done well against Niese in his career is RF Andre Ethier (.281, 10 HRs, 33 RBIs). Ethier is 4-for-10 with two RBIs in his career against the Mets starter and will need to provide a solid presence at the plate on Friday.


The Mets have been struggling lately and they will need to start hitting the ball better in order to support their elite starting rotation. One guy who has taken it upon himself to get on-base is RF Curtis Granderson (.251, 14 HRs, 31 RBIs). Granderson has just two RBIs over the past six games but has also gotten a hit in eight straight contests.


He’ll need to start doing so when there are runners on the bags though. 1B Lucas Duda (.237, 12 HRs, 38 RBIs) has not homered in eight games now and New York needs him to start hitting for power. He was one of the bright spots offensively for this team early in the year but has really slowed down as of late. CF Juan Lagares (.254, 3 HRs, 25 RBIs) has two multi-hit games in the past five contests and three in the past 10. He could provide a spark for the Mets in this one.


Fortunately for New York, the team is loaded with arms and Niese has been one of them. The lefty has been on a tear of late, allowing three or less earned runs in eight straight games.


His most recent start against the Cardinals might have been his best of the season, going 7.2 innings and allowing no earned runs on just five hits. The Mets will need another performance like that on Friday.
 

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At the Gate - Friday


July 24, 2015


It is opening day at Saratoga on Friday afternoon, and the meeting kicks off with an outstanding 10-race card with plenty of good betting opportunities and a couple of graded stakes.

The traditional opening day stake is the $150,000 Schuylerville (G3) for two-year-old fillies going six furlongs on the main track. The race drew a field of eight.

Trainer Wesley Ward sends out a pair, with Moment is Right (5-2) coming off a win in the Astoria and Banree a fifth place finish in the Tremont at Monmouth Park.

Both are training well, but while Ward is well known to win plenty of juvenile races, he has struggled at the Spa dating back three years, winning just three races from 54 starters.


Trainer Todd Pletcher will send out Positively Royal (2-1) who was well backed at the betting windows when she won her debut at Belmont Park on June 18. Dating back three years Pletcher has won 49 juvenile races from 165 starters.

Pletcher has won the Schuylerville five times including last year with Fashion Alert.

The co-feature on the card is the $200,000 Lake George (G2) for three-year-old fillies which drew a field of 12 and is one of the most wide-open races on the day.

I settled for longshot Jellicle Ball (10-1) from the Graham Motion barn. The filly is Group 3 placed and is making her U.S. debut.

Saratoga will be running six days a week with Tuesday the lone dark day. Over the 40-day meeting, we have 69 stakes worth over $18 million on tap.

The highlight of the meeting is the $1.25 million Travers Stakes (G1) which will bring together some of the horses that went down the Triple Crown trail, possibly including American Pharoah.

The Travers Day card on Aug. 29 includes five other Grade 1 stakes, including the $1 million Sword Dancer Invitational at 1 1/2 miles turf. Also on the card are the $750,000 Personal Ensign for fillies and mares and the $700,000 Forego at seven furlongs.

The $500,000 Ballerina for fillies and mares and the $500,000 King’s Bishop, both at seven furlongs, and the $400,000 Ballston Spa (G2) for turf fillies and mares round out the day’s stakes.

With racing six days a week now is the perfect time to purchase my monthly package for just $99.95. You will receive my daily Saratoga full card report along with my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday which will include my strongest plays from Del Mar and Saratoga.



Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 1 OClm $40,000N2X (1:00 ET)
3 Beyond Empire 5-2
5 Sea Raven 3-1
1 Royal Posse 5-1
2 Groupthink 7-2

Analysis: Beyond Empire made a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out at this level on his return from Dubai. The gelding was making his first start off a five-month layoff. He passed his first state bred condition over the Spa main track here last summer and should be tighter second off the bench.

Sea Raven stalked the early pace, took over the lead and could not match strides late with the winner in a runner up finish last out at this level. It took him five tries to pass his first condition and ran well in both starts at this level, both runner up finishes. He owns a solid pace profile throughout and he broke his maiden here last summer at today's nine furlong distance.

Wagering


WIN: #3 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 3,5 / 1,2,3,5
TRI: 3,5 / 1,2,3,5 / 1,2,3,4,5

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 9 Lake George G2 (5:28 ET)


3 Jellicle Ball 10-1
1 Celestine 8-1
12 Partisan Politics 5-1
2 My Year Is a Day 12-1

Analysis: Jellicle Ball makes her U.S. debut here for the Graham Motion barn that is 33% winners (with a +ROI) with runners with Euro shippers. She ran second in a Group 2 at Newbury in her second career start and was fourth last out in the Coral Distaff at Sandown Park for John Gosden. It looks as if Motion's other filly My year Is a day should move forward second off the layoff yet Johnny V. jumps off to ride our top pick.

Celestine has won four in a row, winning the Wild Applause last out going a mile here by a nose over Partisan Politics, who looks good in here but drew a lousy post. This will be the farthest the filly has had to travel but she looks up to it and her 8-1 morning line looks generous.


Race Rating: $$$
Wagering

WIN: #3 to win at 6-1 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,2,3,12
TRI: 1,3 / 1,2,3,12 / 1,2,3,10,12

Live Longshots:


These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga


R2: #9 Corinthian’s Joy 12-1
R2: #5 Argyle Gal 8-1
R3: #4 Little Mary Ellen 8-1
R3: #6 Wild in the Streets 12-1
R5: #2 Daisy a Day 10-1
R7: #4 Lahinch Classics 10-1
R8: #3 Doubledown Again 8-1
R9: #3 Jellicle Ball 10-1
R9: #1 Celestine 8-1
R9: #2 My Year in a Day 12-1
R10: #13 Swagner 8-1
R10: #2 Bracigliano 10-1
R10: #1 Igotthediscoinme 15-1

Good luck today!
 

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Backing the Badgers


July 24, 2015




Paul Chryst has returned to Wisconsin to take over the program after Gary Andersen shockingly bolted out of Madison to take the Oregon State job. Chryst, who spent the three previous seasons as the head coach at Pitt, was born in Madison, played quarterback for the Badgers and was the offensive coordinator under Bret Bielema from 2005-2011 when UW had five double-digit win campaigns.


Chryst kept defensive coordinator Dave Aranda around for his third year at UW. Under Aranda, Wisconsin has given up 20.8 and 16.3 points per game in '13 and '14, respectively. The new OC will be Joe Rudolph, who had the same position at Pitt the last three years and was TEs coach at UW from 2008-2011.


Wisconsin has the easiest schedule in the Big Ten this season. From the Big Ten East, the Badgers draw Rutgers and Maryland, who they beat by a combined score of 89-7 last year. They bring back five starters on offense and six on defense from a squad that went 11-3 with an overtime win over Auburn at the Outback Bowl.


I like a pair of preseason wagers on Wisconsin, including its win total to go 'over' 9.5 wins at a -105 price. I'm also bullish on the Badgers to win the Big Ten West for a +155 payout (risk $100 to win $155).


Before we break down UW's schedule, let's touch on the team's personnel. As a freshman and sophomore, QB Joel Stave made 19 starts and posted a 28/16 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Then just days before last year's opener vs. LSU, former DB Tanner McEvoy was named the starting QB over Stave, who was struggling with his accuracy due to a shoulder injury.


A week later, reports out of Madison indicated that Stave was done for the season. Those reports turned out to be inaccurate and Andersen went back to Stave as his starter in the sixth game. Although he threw only nine touchdown passes compared to 10 interceptions, the Badgers went 8-1 in his nine starts. Stave now has a 21-7 record in 28 career starts going into his senior campaign.


Although Heisman finalist Melvin Gordon is gone to the NFL after rushing for 2,670 yards and 29 TDs while averaging 7.5 yards per carry, the UW backfield is in good shape as usual. Junior RB Corey Clement is poised for a breakout year. Clement rushed for 969 yards and nine TDs while averaging 6.5 YPC in 2014.


Phil Steele ranks UW's offensive line as the third-best in the Big Ten. The Badgers bring back their top WR in Alex Erickson, who had 55 receptions for 772 yards and three TDs last year. With a solid o-line, veteran QB, explosive RB and reliable No. 1 WR, there's no reason to think Wisconsin won't be able to average 30-plus points per game.


How consistent has UW's defense been since 2009? The Badgers haven't given up more than 21.8 PPG during this span. This unit gets McEvoy back to start at free safety. Also, leading tackler and first-team All Big-Ten selection Michael Caputo returns at strong safety. Vince Biegel, a junior OLB, is also back after making 7.5 sacks and earning second-team All Big-Ten honors in 2014.


How easy is the schedule?


Sat, Sept 5 vs. Alabama * (from Arlington)
Sat, Sept 12 vs. Miami (Ohio)
Sat, Sept 19 vs. Troy
Sat, Sept 26 vs. Hawaii
Sat, Oct 3 vs. Iowa
Sat, Oct 10 at Nebraska
Sat, Oct 17 vs. Purdue
Sat, Oct 24 at Illinois
Sat, Oct 31 vs. Rutgers
Sat, Nov 7 at Maryland
Sat, Nov 21 vs. Northwestern
Sat, Nov 28 at Minnesota


Well, if Nebraska isn't ranked on Oct. 10, there's a strong possibility that UW's opener against Alabama in Arlington (Jerry World) will serve as the only game the Badgers play against a ranked opponent.


Wisconsin figures to be a double-digit favorite in all seven home games vs. Miami (OH.), Troy, Hawaii, Iowa, Purdue, Rutgers and Northwestern. The Badgers get an open date before hosting the Wildcats on Nov. 21.


According to the Games of the Year lines at 5Dimes.eu, UW will be favored in all 11 games after facing Alabama as an underdog. The Badgers are currently two-point 'chalk' for their toughest road game at Nebraska. The other road games are at Illinois, at Maryland and at Minnesota. In the last five seasons, Wisconsin is unbeaten in 10 games against the Illini, Terrapins and Gophers, with all of those victories coming by double-digit margins.


I think Alabama will beat Wisconsin in the opener, but we've seen much stranger things happen. If Gordon doesn't get hurt in the opener against LSU last season, the Badgers probably win what turned into a 28-24 loss thanks to a second-half rally by the Tigers. Like 'Bama, UW beat Auburn last year and both schools got smoked by Ohio State.


I think Wisconsin has a great chance at going 11-1. Even if the Badgers fall to Alabama and lose at Nebraska, we'll still be good with our 'over' win total bet if they win out from there. They'll undoubtedly be favored in all those games, so bettors will have the option of hedging.


In other words, if UW already has two losses and is favored by 14 at Illinois, one could back the Illini on the money line or plus the points. I'm confident UW will win at Illinois and at Minnesota, so I don't recommend the aforementioned hedge scenario. I'm just recognizing that option will be available for gamblers if either of those two road assignments cause any angst.
 

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