Cnotes NHL April's Picks Thru the Playoffs - Trends - News - Etc. !!

[CNOTES]

SERIES AT A GLANCE


GAME 1
Predators at Sharks
Fri, Apr 29 Final 2 to 5
Recaps


GAME 2
Predators at Sharks
Sun, May 1 Final 2 to 3
Recaps


GAME 3
Sharks at Predators
Tue, May 3 Final 1 to 4
Recaps


GAME 4
Sharks at Predators
Thu, May 5 Final 3 to 4
Recaps


GAME 5
Predators at Sharks
Sat, May 7 Final 1 to 5
Recaps


GAME 6
Sharks at Predators
Mon, May 9 Final 3 to 4
Recaps


GAME 7
Predators at Sharks
Thu, May 12 - 9:00PM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

NHL MONEYLINE


NHL > (83) NASHVILLE@ (84) SAN JOSE | 2016-05-12 21:05:00 - 2016-05-12 21:05:00
Play ON SAN JOSE using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 17 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+12.85 units)


NHL > (83) NASHVILLE@ (84) SAN JOSE | 2016-05-12 21:05:00 - 2016-05-12 21:05:00
Play AGAINST SAN JOSE using money line in All games in a home game where where the total is 5 or less
The record is 19 Wins and 29 Losses for the last two seasons (-30.1 units)


--------------------


NHL PUCKLINE


NHL > (83) NASHVILLE@ (84) SAN JOSE | 2016-05-12 21:05:00 - 2016-05-12 21:05:00
Play ON SAN JOSE in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 17 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+12.85 units)


NHL > (83) NASHVILLE@ (84) SAN JOSE | 2016-05-12 21:05:00 - 2016-05-12 21:05:00
Play AGAINST SAN JOSE in All games in a home game where where the total is 5 or less
The record is 19 Wins and 29 Losses for the last two seasons (-30.1 units)


-------------------


NHL TOTALS


NHL > (83) NASHVILLE@ (84) SAN JOSE | 2016-05-12 21:05:00 - 2016-05-12 21:05:00
Play OVER SAN JOSE on the totalin Home games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 13 Overs and 3 Unders for the this season (+10.15 units)

 

[CNOTES]

5/11 - YESTERDAY'S RESULTS: 1 - 0 + 1.00
OVERALL : + 9.18


THURSDAY, MAY 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NAS at SJ 09:00 PM


SJ -180


O 5.0

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


-- From Katie Sharp, pitch counts for the five 20-strikeout games: Clemens (1996) 151, Clemens (1986) 138, Randy Johnson 124, Kerry Wood 122, Scherzer 119


-- In those five games, pitchers struck out 100, didn't walk one batter.


-- Scherzer/Johnson are only pitchers with a 20-strikeout game and a no-hitter.


-- Nine of Scherzer's 20 Ks came on 3-pitch at-bats.


-- Only 20.7% of big league strikeouts come on 3-pitch at-bats.


-- Victor Martinez was 3-4 against his former teammate with no strikeouts.


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.......


13) Its not that I'm old, its just that I'm not young anymore.


I'm watching TV the other night and a commercial for some reality dating show comes on; the host says to the contestant: "I need your swag level up to the tril!!!"


WTF does that even mean? When did I stop understanding English?


12) Kansas City Royals put two starting pitchers (Young/Medlen) on DL, as they continue to flounder, having lost 11 of their last 16 games.


11) Scott Skiles abruptly quit as coach of the Orlando Magic after only one season, during which the Magic improved 10 games from over last season.


10) Braves-Marlins are playing a game at Fort Bragg, NC on July 3 to honor our troops; they're putting up a new ballpark for the occasion.


9) UNLV added a couple of recruits from Chicago this week and now 6-11 Canadian Jordy Tshimanga will visit UNLV with his 7-1 brother Link Kabadyundi, a JC transfer who played a year at TCU. Rebels are up to nine players as they rebuild under Marvin Menzies, who had several Canadian players at New Mexico State.


8) Speaking of Las Vegas, WCC wisely decided to keep its postseason tourney at Orleans Arena thru 2019. Nice arena, good size for that league's tournament.


7) NBA Combine stuff is on TV this week on ESPN2 during the day; interesting to see the kids fightning hard as they try to impress NBA teams. Kids who are really good players in HS/college have to be shocked at how hard it is to make an NBA roster.


6) Nashville Predators are 21st NHL team to play two Game 7's in same season.


5) Noah Sydergaard homered twice in LA Wednesday night, first pitcher to do that since Micah Owings in 2007, first Met pitcher since Walt Terrell in '83.


4) Fernando Rodney saved two games Wednesday as Padres swept a twinbill; only other time a Padre reliever did that was Rollie Fingers at Candlestick in 1977.


3) Max Scherzer and John Lackey are only two active pitchers who've beaten all 30 major league teams.


2) It is odd that the Cowboys look like they're going into training camp with only two backup QBs, Kellen Moore and rookie Dak Prescott. Tony Romo is 36; he played in four games LY. Would be nice to have a competent backup QB.


1) RIP Dayton C Steve McAlvene, 20, who collapsed and died at his Indiana home this week. Very tragic to pass away so young.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, May 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (54-33-0-5, 113 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (56-28-0-9, 121 pts.) - 5/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 12-22 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-26 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 56-37 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
PITTSBURGH is 38-18 ATS (+9.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 12-3 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-18 ATS (+9.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 200-209 ATS (+444.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 45-53 ATS (-30.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-4 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, May 13

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 8:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay: 2-10 SU as an underdog
Pittsburgh: 13-4 SU after 3 consecutive division games




NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 13

Tampa Bay-Pittsburgh (0-0)
Lightning won first two series in five games each; they're 3-1 on road in playoffs. Pittsburgh won first round in five games, last round in six; they're 5-1 at home in playoffs. Tampa Bay won four of its last five games with Penguins, but losing three of last four played in Igloo. Last seven series games got over total (over 9-1 in last 10). Under is 4-2-2 in last eight Tampa Bay games, over is 3-0-2 in last five games played in Pittsburgh. Lightning last played on Sunday; Penguins last played on Tuesday.

Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
2nd round-- Home: 16-9, Over: 11-5-9




NHL

Friday, May 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. PITTSBURGH
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

 

[CNOTES]

NHL

Friday, May 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NHL Conference Finals betting preview: Lightning at Penguins
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rookie goalie Matt Murray’s solid play has kept veteran Marc-Andre Fleury on the bench following his recovery from a concussion.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins (A: +155, H: -175, O/U: 5)

Series tied 0-0

The Pittsburgh Penguins have been the hottest team in the NHL over the past two months and hope to pass another test when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Friday in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals. The Penguins went 14-2-0 to end the regular season before knocking off the New York Rangers and the Presidents’ Trophy-winning Washington Capitals in the postseason.

“I think if you look at us, we kept improving as the year went on,” Pittsburgh defenseman Kris Letang told reporters. “I think we have to look at what we were capable of doing in the last few weeks and keep building on that.” The Penguins have made the conference final for the first time since 2013 with balanced scoring, improved defense and rookie goalie Matt Murray’s solid play that has kept veteran Marc-Andre Fleury on the bench. Pittsburgh must find a way to contain a lethal Tampa Bay offense that is led by Nikita Kucherov (nine goals, 12 points) and Tyler Johnson (13 points) while the Lightning’s top-pair defenseman Anton Stralman (broken fibula) and captain Steven Stamkos (blood clot) could return at some point in the series. Tampa Bay beat the Penguins three straight in the regular season, but were outshot 109-74 combined and Lightning coach Jon Cooper told reporters, “the way they were playing then to where they’re playing now is completely different.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS

PROBABLE GOALIES:

Lightning - Ben Bishop (W/L: 8-2, GAA: 1.89, SAVE %: .928)

Penguins - Matthew Murray (W/L: 7-2, GAA: 2.05, SAVE %: .932)

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (54-33-5, 37-43 O/U): Stralman has gone through full practice the last few days, but told reporters the leg “is not perfect,” and versatile forward J.T. Brown (upper body) could be back in the lineup after missing almost a month. While Kucherov, Johnson, Alex Killorn (nine points) and the emergence of Jonathan Drouin (eight assists) have played a big part, 6-foot-6 defenseman Victor Hedman was the key figure in the second-round series victory over the New York Islanders – holding captain John Tavares without a point the last four games and recording eight. “When the big boy’s rolling, we feed off that,” Cooper told reporters.

ABOUT THE PENGUINS (56-28-9, 41-35 O/U): It will be difficult for Cooper to pick which line Hedman will go up against the most because Pittsburgh’s four forward units have all produced in the postseason with three of them represented among the top four scorers. Sidney Crosby (10 points) and Evgeni Malkin (nine) each center a line while the trio of Phil Kessel (five goals, 12 points), Nick Bonino (eight assists) and Carl Hagelin may be their best in the playoffs thus far. “We really like how that line has come together,” Penguins coach Mike Sullivan told reporters of Bonino’s unit. “It allows us to kind of spread out talent a bit and create more balance.”

TRENDS:

* Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Penguins are 17-4 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 9-2-1 in Lightning last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
* Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Pittsburgh.
* Lightning are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh.

CONSENSUS: The public is hammering the Pittsburgh Penguins at a rate of 71 percent and the over is picking up a very sturdy 79 percent of the wagers.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, May 13


Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
May 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
13.692
Pittsburgh
12.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-175
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+155); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Lightning (46-31) at Penguins (48-26)
Date: May 13, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

PITTSBURGH (AP) On the calendar, the gap between the last time the Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning met and Friday night's Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals is less than three months.


Within the lifespan of a season, it seems a lot longer.


When the Lightning blew past the Penguins 4-2 on Feb. 20 - a victory that earned Tampa Bay a sweep of its three-game season series with Pittsburgh - Steven Stamkos was still scoring goals, Matt Murray was still the Penguins' third option in net and the Pittsburgh coach Mike Sullivan's midseason overhaul remained very much a work in progress.


Not anymore. Stamkos remains out indefinitely while dealing with a blood clot while Murray has become a revelation in near lockstep with the Penguins' evolution from enigmatic underachiever to Stanley Cup favorite. No wonder the Penguins couldn't help but laugh when asked if they could remember what happened on that sloppy Saturday in mid-winter when the Lightning built a quick three-goal lead and cruised.


'I couldn't even tell you,' Pittsburgh forward Phil Kessel said. 'I don't even remember when we played them last.'


Probably best to just block it out and press forward anyway at a time of year where short-term memory loss is an asset.


The Penguins wrapped up a 12-day highwire act against rival Washington on Tuesday night when Nick Bonino fired home the winner in overtime of Game 6. The cathartic celebration sent Pittsburgh to the conference finals for the fourth time since 2008. Less than 72 hours later, they face the only team that's been more dominant in the postseason.


The Lightning raced through the first two rounds of the playoffs, dropping one game each to Detroit and the New York Islanders. Remarkable, considering they've been without Stamkos and defenseman Anton Stralman, still recovering from a fractured left leg.


Stamkos is practicing but the five-time All Star hasn't been cleared for contact. Stralman appears to be on the verge of returning, though coach Jon Cooper is in no hurry to announce his lineup, saying Thursday 'it's just pointless to talk about whether they're going to play or not.'


Stralman scored four times against Pittsburgh during the regular season, though he's not exactly ready to proclaim himself the missing ingredient as Tampa Bay tries to reach its second consecutive Stanley Cup final.


'I don't think I ever scored a goal against the Penguins until this year, so I don't know what that tells you,' Stralman said. 'Stuff like that happens, just a fluke.'


Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay meeting with a spot to play for the Cup, however, is not. Shortly after fizzling against the Lightning in February, the Penguins put together a 14-2 surge to end the regular season they have carried into May. Tampa Bay's speed and comfort in close games - the Lightning are 5-0 in one-goal contests in the playoffs - are a sign their long postseason run a year ago wasn't just puck luck.


Some things to look for heading into what could be a wide-open two weeks (if necessary, of course):

WELL RESTED: Tampa Bay played 26 playoff games last spring, with the heavy workload eventually taking its toll in the Stanley Cup final, where the Lightning lost to the Chicago Blackhawks in six games. They've been well-rested this time around. They had six days off before taking on the Islanders and earned a four-day break before facing the Penguins. Veteran center Brian Boyle welcomed the break but said it's difficult to predict how it'll how it'll impact this series. 'It remains to be seen. Hopefully we're rested and focused,' Boyle said. Tampa Bay lost Game 1 against the Islanders, then won four straight to advance.


BIG GOALIES: Sullivan has yet to name a Game 1 starter in net, though the 21-year-old Murray has made a compelling case to stay on the job even with Marc-Andre Fleury back from a concussion. The 6-foot-4 Murray outplayed Vezina Trophy finalist Braden Holtby in the last round, now he'll see 6-7 Ben Bishop at the other end of the rink. Bishop is 8-2 with a 1.89 goals against so far.


'He takes up a lot of the net,' Kessel said. 'We've got to make him handle a lot of shots and get second opportunities on him.'


NOT SO DYNAMIC DUO: It's a testament to the depth the Penguins have built around Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin that they handled the Capitals without much help (on the scoresheet at least) from their two franchise cornerstones. The former MVPs combined for just four points against Washington while the Penguins relied heavily on the trio of Carl Hagelin, Nick Bonino and Kessel to provide the punch that sent the Capitals home for the eighth time in nine playoff meetings with Pittsburgh.


Pittsburgh general manager Jim Rutherford is hardly concerned about who puts the puck in the net, so long as it gets there.


'I don't care if Matt Murray gets the goals,' Rutherford said.

 

[CNOTES]

SERIES AT A GLANCE


GAME 1
Lightning at Penguins
Fri, May 13 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 2
Lightning at Penguins
Mon, May 16 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 3
Penguins at Lightning
Wed, May 18 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 4
Penguins at Lightning
Fri, May 20 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 5
Lightning at Penguins
Sun, May 22 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 6
Penguins at Lightning
Tue, May 24 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 7
Lightning at Penguins
Thu, May 26 - 8:00PM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

Eastern Conference Finals
May 12, 2016



Western Conference Finals


Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning


Head-to-Head Meetings (2013-2016)


Feb. 20, 2016 - Tampa Bay 4 at Pittsburgh 2 (Lightning -105, Over 5)
Feb. 5, 2016 - Pittsburgh 3 at Tampa Bay 6 (Lightning -115, Over 5)
Jan. 15, 2016 - Pittsburgh 4 at Tampa Bay 5 (Lightning -130, Over 5)
Jan. 2, 2015 - Tampa Bay 3 at Pittsburgh 6 (Penguins -120, Over 5.5)
Dec. 23, 2014 - Pittsburgh 3 at Tampa Bay 4 (Lightning -130, Over 5.5)
Dec. 15, 2014 - Tampa Bay 2 at Pittsburgh 4 (Penguins -120, Over 5.5)
Mar. 22, 2014 - Tampa Bay 3 at Pittsburgh 4 (Penguins -165, Over 5.5)
Nov. 29, 2013 - Pittsburgh 3 at Tampa Bay 0 (Penguins -135, Under 5.5)
Oct. 12, 2013 - Pittsburgh 5 at Tampa Bay 4 (Penguins -115, Over 5.5)
Apr. 11, 2013 - Pittsburgh 6 at Tampa Bay 3 (Penguins -120, Over 5.5)


Tampa Bay Recent Trends


-- 6-7 SU Last 13 Road Games


-- 8-2 SU Last 10 Games as a Favorite


-- 6-1 SU Last 7 Home Games


-- Team has held opponents to 2 goals or fewer in 9 of last 12 games


-- Penalty Kill Unit: 38/45 (88.4%) this postseason (#1 among remaining teams)


Starting Goalie


-- Ben Bishop: 14-4 SU Last 18 Starts Overall


-- Lifetime Record vs Pitt: 2-2, 3.97 G.A.A; .884 Sv% in 7 GP


Pittsburgh Recent Trends


-- 22-7 SU Last 29 Games Overall


-- 8-1 SU Last 9 Home Games


-- 6-1 SU Last 7 Games as a Favorite


-- 5-3-3 O/U Last 11 Games Overall


-- Power Play Unit: 11/40 (27.5%) this postseason (#1 among remaining teams)


Starting Goalie


-- Matt Murray: 16-5 SU in 21 GS (Season & Playoffs combined)


-- Lifetime Record vs TB: First-ever meeting

Series Odds
Lightning +185
Penguins -220


Exact Game Props
5 Games Penguins Win 5/2
7 Games Penguins Win 3/1
6 Games Penguins Win 7/2
6 Games Lightning Win 6/1
4 Games Penguins Win 7/1
7 Games Lightning Win 7/1
5 Games Lightning Win 8/1
4 Games Lightning Win 18/1


Odds Subject to Change

 

[CNOTES]

Western Conference Finals
May 13, 2016


St. Louis Blues vs. San Jose Sharks


Head-to-Head Meetings (2013-2016)


Mar. 22, 2016 - St. Louis 1 at San Jose 0 (Blues +120, Under 5)
Feb 22, 2016 - San Jose 6 at St. Louis 3 (Sharks +105, Over 5)
Feb 4, 2016 - San Jose 3 at St. Louis 1 (Sharks +100, Under 5)
Jan 8, 2015 - San Jose 2 at St. Louis 7 (Blues -175, Over 5.5)
Jan 3, 2015 - St. Louis 7 at San Jose 2 (Blues +110, Over 5)
Dec 20, 2014 - St. Louis 2 at San Jose 3 (Sharks -130, Push 5)
Dec 17, 2013 - San Jose 4 at St. Louis 2 (Sharks -110 Over 5.5)
Nov 29, 2013 - St. Louis 3 at San Jose 6 (Sharks -120 Over 5.5)
Oct 15, 2013 - San Jose 6 at St. Louis 2 (Sharks +115, Over 5.5)


-- San Jose has won 6 of Last 10 Meetings vs St. Louis


-- Over is 7-2-1 Last 10 Meetings


-- Underdog has won 6 of Last 8 Meetings


St. Louis Recent Trends


-- 10-2 SU Last 12 Road Games


-- Over is 10-5-4 Last 19 Games Overall


-- 11 of Last 16 Games have been decided by 1 Goal


Starting Goalie


-- Brian Elliott: 20-8 SU Last 28 Starts


-- Lifetime Record vs SJ:5-4, 2.67 G.A.A; .918 Sv% w/2 SO in 11 GP


San Jose Recent Trends


-- On a 9-4 SU Run Last 13 Games Overall


-- Over is 6-2-4 Last 12 Games Overall


-- 6-1 SU Last 7 Home Games


-- 13-6 SU Last 19 Road Games


Starting Goalie


-- Martin Jones:10-6 SU Last 16 Starts


-- Lifetime Record vs STL:2-2, 2.08 G.A.A; .925 Sv% in 4 GS


Series Odds
Blues -135
Sharks +115


Exact Game Props
7 Games Blues Win 3/1
5 Games Blues Win 4/1
6 Games Sharks Win 4/1
7 Games Sharks Win 9/2
6 Games Blues Win 5/1
5 Games Sharks Win 6/1
4 Games Blues Win 10/1
4 Games Sharks Win 12/1


Odds Subject to Change

 

[CNOTES]

Conference Finals Series Odds
May 13, 2016


Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-2-1-1-1)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)


Eastern Conference - Conference Finals


Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay
Penguins (-220)
Lightning (+185)


Western Conference - Conference Finals


St. Louis vs. San Jose
Blues (-135)
Sharks (+115)


Exact Game Props - Prior to Series (5/12/16)


Odds per Sportsbook.ag


Penguins vs. Lightning
5 Games Penguins Win 5/2
7 Games Penguins Win 3/1
6 Games Penguins Win 7/2
6 Games Lightning Win 6/1
4 Games Penguins Win 7/1
7 Games Lightning Win 7/1
5 Games Lightning Win 8/1
4 Games Lightning Win 18/1

Blues vs. Sharks
7 Games Blues Win 3/1
5 Games Blues Win 4/1
6 Games Sharks Win 4/1
7 Games Sharks Win 9/2
6 Games Blues Win 5/1
5 Games Sharks Win 6/1
4 Games Blues Win 10/1
4 Games Sharks Win 12/1


Odds Subject to Change

 

[CNOTES]

NHL TOTALS


NHL > (1) TAMPA BAY@ (2) PITTSBURGH | 2016-05-13 20:05:00 - 2016-05-13 20:05:00
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the totalin Home games after a division game
The record is 14 Overs and 3 Unders for the this season (+11.4 units)


NHL > (1) TAMPA BAY@ (2) PITTSBURGH | 2016-05-13 20:05:00 - 2016-05-13 20:05:00
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the totalin Home games second half of the season
The record is 18 Overs and 5 Unders for the this season (+13 units)

 

[CNOTES]

5/12 - 0 - 0 - 1 + 0.00
Overall : 9.18


FRIDAY, MAY 13

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TB at PIT 08:00 PM

PIT -172


O 5.0

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, May 15


San Jose @ St. Louis

Game 3-4
May 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.517
St. Louis
13.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
5 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-135); Over




NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, May 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (54-32-0-8, 116 pts.) at ST LOUIS (57-29-0-10, 124 pts.) - 5/15/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 57-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-22 ATS (+0.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-21 ATS (+4.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 21-12 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 21-8 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 18-8 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 11-3 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season.
SAN JOSE is 44-26 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 16-7 ATS (+7.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
SAN JOSE is 31-14 ATS (+13.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SAN JOSE is 23-10 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN JOSE is 18-4 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-34 ATS (-34.8 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 5-9 ATS (+5.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-3 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 6-3-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, May 15

San Jose at St Louis, 8:05 PM ET
San Jose: 11-3 SU in road games when playing with 2 days rest
St Louis: 2-6 SU in home games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more




NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, May 15

Sharks won six of last nine games with St Louis; over is 6-2-1 in those games. Blues won ten of last 12 road games; over is 10-5-4 in their last 19 games. 11 of last 16 St Louis games were decided by a single goal. San Jose won nine of last 13 games but just had tough 7-game series with Nashville; Blues also had a 7-game series win over Dallas. Sharks won six of last seven home games. Over is 6-2-4 in their last 12 games overall.

Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
2nd round-- Home: 16-9, Over: 11-5-9
Conference finals-- Home 0-1, Over 0-1




NHL

Sunday, May 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Jose's last 23 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 23 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose

 

[CNOTES]

Western Conference Finals
May 13, 2016




Eastern Conference Finals


St. Louis Blues vs. San Jose Sharks


Head-to-Head Meetings (2013-2016)


Mar. 22, 2016 - St. Louis 1 at San Jose 0 (Blues +120, Under 5)
Feb 22, 2016 - San Jose 6 at St. Louis 3 (Sharks +105, Over 5)
Feb 4, 2016 - San Jose 3 at St. Louis 1 (Sharks +100, Under 5)
Jan 8, 2015 - San Jose 2 at St. Louis 7 (Blues -175, Over 5.5)
Jan 3, 2015 - St. Louis 7 at San Jose 2 (Blues +110, Over 5)
Dec 20, 2014 - St. Louis 2 at San Jose 3 (Sharks -130, Push 5)
Dec 17, 2013 - San Jose 4 at St. Louis 2 (Sharks -110 Over 5.5)
Nov 29, 2013 - St. Louis 3 at San Jose 6 (Sharks -120 Over 5.5)
Oct 15, 2013 - San Jose 6 at St. Louis 2 (Sharks +115, Over 5.5)


-- San Jose has won 6 of Last 10 Meetings vs St. Louis


-- Over is 7-2-1 Last 10 Meetings


-- Underdog has won 6 of Last 8 Meetings


St. Louis Recent Trends


-- 10-2 SU Last 12 Road Games


-- Over is 10-5-4 Last 19 Games Overall


-- 11 of Last 16 Games have been decided by 1 Goal


Starting Goalie


-- Brian Elliott: 20-8 SU Last 28 Starts


-- Lifetime Record vs SJ:5-4, 2.67 G.A.A; .918 Sv% w/2 SO in 11 GP


San Jose Recent Trends


-- On a 9-4 SU Run Last 13 Games Overall


-- Over is 6-2-4 Last 12 Games Overall


-- 6-1 SU Last 7 Home Games


-- 13-6 SU Last 19 Road Games

Starting Goalie


-- Martin Jones:10-6 SU Last 16 Starts


-- Lifetime Record vs STL:2-2, 2.08 G.A.A; .925 Sv% in 4 GS


Series Odds
Blues -135
Sharks +115


Exact Game Props
7 Games Blues Win 3/1
5 Games Blues Win 4/1
6 Games Sharks Win 4/1
7 Games Sharks Win 9/2
6 Games Blues Win 5/1
5 Games Sharks Win 6/1
4 Games Blues Win 10/1
4 Games Sharks Win 12/1

Odds Subject to Change

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Sharks (46-30) at Blues (49-24)
Date: May 15, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

ST. LOUIS (AP) The rest of the postseason, the St. Louis Blues have home-ice advantage. Now, if they can only capitalize on it.


The Blues are in the Western Conference finals for the first time since 2001 not because of those rip-roaring, standing room crowds, but because they've been so good at blocking out the noise elsewhere.


They're 3-4 in the Scottrade Center and 5-2 in the other two rinks, including the 6-1 knockout blow in Game 7 of the second round at Dallas two days after they fumbled a chance to wrap up the series at home.


Heading into Game 1 Sunday night against the San Jose Sharks, the message from coach Ken Hitchcock to the players is time honored: Keep it simple, get the puck to the open man, avoid heroics.


'One-on-one hockey is for November and February,' Hitchcock said Saturday. 'Not now.'


Ensemble work, combined with sterling goaltending by Brian Elliott, has carried the Blues this far. Six players have at least 10 points and five others have at least a half-dozen points.


'I think it doesn't matter who you are playing now, both teams are going to be good home and on the road,' Blues defenseman Alex Pietrangelo said. 'So we have to make sure we play our game.'


The Sharks were the NHL's best road team during the season, although that hasn't carried over to the playoffs. They were 4-0 at home in the second round against the Predators, and 0-3 in Nashville.


'That's the playoffs,' San Jose forward Tommy Wingels said. 'You're expected to win at home and hold serve. If we can go in and continue winning games on the road, I'll be very happy.'


Both teams are strangers in recent years to deep playoff runs, and neither has won a Cup. San Jose, in the Western Conference final for the first time since 2005, took two of three during the season.


But this, every coach and player will tell you, is a different animal.


Some things to watch:


MAKING THE STOPS: The 31-year-old Elliott has thrived in his first extended postseason opportunity, making an NHL-high 441 saves. Elliott was a ninth-round pick in 2003 by Ottawa. 'It's something you wake up in the morning and you just try to have that same winning feeling,' Elliott said.


Goalie was one of the biggest questions facing the Sharks heading into the playoffs given Martin Jones, formerly undrafted, had not made a postseason start. Jones has passed the test so far, posting a 2.16 goals-against average and giving San Jose its first playoff shutout in six years in the Game 7 clincher last round against the Predators. 'We're confident in him,' coach Peter DeBoer said. 'He's been great all year for us.'

CLUTCH COUTURE: It took awhile for Sharks center Logan Couture to regain form after missing about two months early in the season with a broken leg. He's at the top of his game this postseason, leading the NHL with 17 points, including a franchise-record 11 in the second round. His presence gives the Sharks a second top center behind Joe Thornton and makes it tough for opponents to match up.


X FACTOR: Blues center Patrik Berglund is playing perhaps the best of his career with four goals, four assists and a team-leading plus-9 rating. He missed about half of the regular season, totaling 10 goals and five assists.


'Did you see me in Juniors? I was sick,' Berglund joked. 'No, I'm happy with how I'm playing right now but there's more to go, so I hope I can elevate it even more.'


POTENT POWER PLAY: The Sharks' top-ranked power-play unit has been together for years and has been a work of art this postseason. With playmaking from Joe Thornton, a big shot from the point from Brent Burns, Joe Pavelski's ability to find open space and versatility from Couture and Patrick Marleau, the Sharks have converted at 31 percent - the best of any team that made it past the first round. In its victories, San Jose has converted 41 percent. The best defense against that unit: Stay out of the penalty box.


'It keeps the other team honest,' DeBour said. 'Again, you need all the pieces. I think the further you get, you can't just survive on power play.'




SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Sharks at Blues
Sun, May 15 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 2
Sharks at Blues
Tue, May 17 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 3
Blues at Sharks
Thu, May 19 - 9:00PM EDT


GAME 4
Blues at Sharks
Sat, May 21 - 7:15PM EDT


GAME 5
Sharks at Blues
Mon, May 23 - 8:00PM EDT


GAME 6
Blues at Sharks
Wed, May 25 - 9:00PM EDT


GAME 7
Sharks at Blues
Fri, May 27 - 8:00PM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

NHL MONEYLINE


NHL > (3) SAN JOSE@ (4) ST LOUIS | 2016-05-15 20:05:00 - 2016-05-15 20:05:00
Play ON SAN JOSE using money line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+9.05 units)

NHL > (3) SAN JOSE@ (4) ST LOUIS | 2016-05-15 20:05:00 - 2016-05-15 20:05:00
Play ON SAN JOSE using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 18 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+13.85 units)


NHL PUCKLINE


NHL > (3) SAN JOSE@ (4) ST LOUIS | 2016-05-15 20:05:00 - 2016-05-15 20:05:00
Play ON SAN JOSE in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+9.05 units)


NHL > (3) SAN JOSE@ (4) ST LOUIS | 2016-05-15 20:05:00 - 2016-05-15 20:05:00
Play ON SAN JOSE in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 18 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+13.85 units)

 

[CNOTES]

5/12 - 0 - 0 - 1 + 0.00
Overall : + 9.18




SUNDAY, MAY 15


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SJ at STL 08:00 PM


SJ +122


O 5.0

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack


Some college football pointspreads for this fall, from the South Point casino:


-- Oct 15: Alabama (-3.5) @ Tennessee


-- Oct 20: BYU @ Boie State (-11.5)


-- Oct 29: Clemson (-1) @ Florida State


-- Nov 5: TCU @ Baylor (-7.5)


-- Nov 12: Stanford @ Oregon (-1.5)


-- Nov 26: Michigan @ Ohio State (-6.5)


**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......


13) Raptors 116, Heat 89-- Toronto is in NBA's Final Four for first time.


12) I've always wondered what the story was behind Russell Wilson transferring from NC State to Wisconsin, before his senior year, and the Wolfpack seemingly not caring if he left or not. Now Russell Wilson says coach Tom O'Brien basically fired him and told him he had no future in football. Curious to see what O'Brin has to say.


11) A's 7, Rays 6-- Danny Valencia homered three times, including the game-winner in the 9th inning, as Oakland salvaged a lousy road trip by going 2-1 in St Pete.


10) 15 baseball games Sunday; game-winning run scored in 7th inning or later in 11 of the 15 games. Pretty good day at the ballpark.


9) Rangers 7, Blue Jays 6-- Big-league brawl in this game, an offshoot of the tensions between these clubs in last year's playoffs. This was an actual fight, not the normal pushing/pulling baseball scuffle. Umps worked hard to keep the peace.


Matt Bush drilled Jose Bautista right before the brawl started; Bautista was smart enough not to go after Bush, who recently spent 3.5 years in jail. Don't want to be picking fights with guys who have done hard time.


8) Tom Dolan came up with a great stat Sunday: Lenny Dykstra had 81 HRs in 4,552 regular season career ABs. 10 HRs in 112 postseason ABs. That is a HR every 56.2 ABs in regular season games, one every 11.2 in postseason games.


7) Red Sox have scored in first inning in 12 of their 22 home games.


6) Rockies 4, Mets 3-- New Yorkers get swept in Denver.


5) Odd timing by MLB announcing Jose Reyes' suspension with New York media is in Denver for the weekend; then the Bronx Bombers brought up catching prospect Gary Sanchez the same day. There aren't many coincidences in this world........could the Bombers be interested in acquiring Reyes?


4) Why run differential is an overrated stat: Phillies are 22-16, but 14-3 in one-run games; they've got a -30 run differential but would be in the playoffs if they started today (they don't). They're maxing out on the talent they have, but wins are the only stat that truly matters and Philly has a lot of them.


3) Red Sox have scored 229 runs, 50 more than any other AL team.


2) If the baseball playoffs started today:
AL: Orioles-White Sox-Rangers. Wild Card: Boston-Seattle
NL: Nationals-Cubs-Giants. Wild Card: Phillies-Mets


1) Heading back from vacation this weekend on the Jersey shore; a tremendous place, lot of good places to eat, lot of good people, made some new friends. Walking on the beach is highly underrated.