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MONDAY, MARCH 20


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at ORL 07:00 PM

PHI +6.0 ***********


UTA at IND 07:00 PM


UTA -2.0


U 192.0 **********


ATL at CHA 07:00 PM


CHA -6.0 **********


WAS at BOS 07:30 PM


WAS +3.5 **********


DEN at HOU 08:00 PM


DEN +8.5


O 236.0


GS at OKC 08:00 PM

GS -1.5


U 222.0


NY at LAC 10:30 PM


LAC -11.0


U 215.5
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


Odds on who will get the most saves this season (William Hill Sports):


4-1— Kenley Jansen


9-2— Zach Britton


7-1— Mark Melancon, Aroldis Chapman


8-1— Edwin Diaz


10-1— Jeurys Familia


12-1— Craig Kimbrel, Wade Davis


**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..


13) You don’t read enough uplifting stories these days; saw one on Twitter Sunday night on how former Indiana coach Tom Crean is a terrific guy, doing random acts of kindness around the Bloomington area throughout his seven years coaching the Hoosiers.


Crean was being mentioned for the LSU job (he didn’t get it); he got Marquette to the Final Four when he had Dwyane Wade. The man can coach; am guessing he’ll have a new job soon, but being selfish, would actually be curious to hear him on TV for a season.


12) In 1980, Duke’s basketball coach quit to go to South Carolina, in part because the Duke AD didn’t have the coaches’ parking lot paved, even though the coach requested it after he made the Final Four in ’78. When the coach left, Duke hired a young coach named Krzyzewski to replace him, so Duke fans shouldn’t be too annoyed the Blue Devils lost to Carolina Sunday.


If the Gamecocks hadn’t hired Bill Foster away from Duke 37 years ago, maybe the Coach K era never would’ve happened.


11) Counting all four postseason tournaments, ACC teams are 5-15 against the spread. All this “Which conference is best/worst?” arguments are cyclical, it changes from year to year.


10) Last three times Arkansas made the NCAA tournament, they were eliminated by North Carolina, in 2008, 2015, 2017.


9) Ominous stats for UCLA (South), Oregon (Midwest), who are playing in regional semifinals this week: since ’06, Pac-12 teams are 10-6 in West Region semis/finals, but 1-11 in other region’s semis/finals. Arizona is still playing in the West region.


8) Hey, they found Tom Brady’s Super Bowl jersey; now I can sleep better.


7) Since 2010, Wisconsin/Kentucky (six each) have most Sweet 16 appearances.


6) Greg Maddux faced 20,421 hitters in his career; of those, only 310 times did he have a 3-0 count. Of the 310 3-0 counts, 177 of them were intentional walks.


5) NFL is considering shortening overtime to 10:00 instead of 15:00. They should eliminate it altogether in preseason games.


4) QB Josh McCown gets $6M for one year from the Jets, where he’ll have a chance to start.


3) LIU went 20-12 this season, 13-5 in the NEC, but they fired their coach Monday. Must be an interesting backstory there. Guy went 46-42 in five years in the NEC, making the NCAA’s in his first year. Doesn’t seem like a record that merited a dismissal.


2) Philadelphia 76ers’ studio show is unique; former St Joe’s coach Jim Lynam is an analyst, and so is his daughter Dei Lynam. I’m old enough to remember when St Joe’s won a tournament game way back when and his daughter ran on the court and hugged him- she was a kid back then.


1— Our thoughts/prayers go out to former NFL WR Dwight Clark, who announced he has ALS and is fighting that crippling disease. One thing, though…….


My mother passed away in 2004; she had Alzheimer’s, dementia and arthritis in her knees, but she never played one down of football. Football isn’t responsible for everything.
 

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Tuesday, March 21



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-19 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 20 games when playing Detroit

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. MIAMI
Phoenix is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. NEW ORLEANS
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Orleans's last 16 games

8:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

9:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
San Antonio is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Antonio

10:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PORTLAND
Milwaukee is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Portland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Clippers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 7 games
 

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Long Sheet


Tuesday, March 21



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHICAGO (33 - 37) at TORONTO (41 - 29) - 3/21/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (34 - 36) at BROOKLYN (13 - 56) - 3/21/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
DETROIT is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DETROIT is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (22 - 48) at MIAMI (34 - 36) - 3/21/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (40 - 30) at NEW ORLEANS (29 - 41) - 3/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
MEMPHIS is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 7-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (56 - 14) at DALLAS (30 - 39) - 3/21/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 374-307 ATS (+36.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 318-265 ATS (+26.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 147-123 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 137-113 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 83-60 ATS (+17.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (53 - 16) at MINNESOTA (28 - 41) - 3/21/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 991-864 ATS (+40.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 81-66 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 183-140 ATS (+29.0 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 150-104 ATS (+35.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 404-323 ATS (+48.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 48-67 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (34 - 35) at PORTLAND (32 - 37) - 3/21/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (42 - 29) at LA LAKERS (20 - 50) - 3/21/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 66-83 ATS (-25.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 170-214 ATS (-65.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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NBA betting road map: Grizzlies mauling recent opponents


The Grizzlies had an impressive week. David Fizdale's crew won and covered four games, and capped it with a 104-96 upset win of the Spurs.


The NBA was probably happy that basketball fans turned their attention this weekend to the college version of the sport, as controversy surrounded the league for the second straight weekend when its nationally televised game lost its luster due to the resting of star players.


Of course, with the Playoffs on the horizon this issue will be soon forgotten. Al McMordie takes a look at what's ahead this week in the NBA.


Spread Watch


The Memphis Grizzlies had a most impressive week. David Fizdale's crew won and covered four games, and capped it with a 104-96 upset win of the San Antonio Spurs. And this stretch of strong play came out of nowhere, as Memphis had plunged to its lowest emotional point of the season right before, with five straight losses (including three at home).


This week, the Grizz will face three teams that they have beaten twice each this season: New Orleans (2-1), San Antonio (2-0) and Golden State (2-1). Remarkably, Memphis is the only team in the league to own multiple wins this season against both the Warriors and Spurs. And they have held the Spurs, who average over 106 points, to just 85 points per game.


Manu Ginobili touched upon exactly why that is after Saturday's loss, "They're a tough team. They are physical. They got us out of our comfort zone."


But as we saw in Memphis' third meeting this season vs. Golden State, it's tough to beat a great team three times in a row. After losing the season's first two tilts with Memphis, Golden State blew them out, 122-107, on February 10.


Look for San Antonio to react similarly Wednesday, as the Spurs are 18-5 SU and 15-8 ATS as a favorite when playing with double-revenge from losses in the first two meetings of a season.




Totals Watch


The Milwaukee Bucks' defense has finally started to click. It's held seven of its last 13 opponents to under 100 points, and has gone Under the total in three straight, and 11 of its last 13 games.


Coach Jason Kidd subscribes to the theory that defense wins games, and Milwaukee's 9-4 record in its last 13 games certainly supports that. And they currently own the NBA's second longest win streak (14 games) when holding its opponent to under 100 points (only the Rockets' streak, at 20 games, is longer).


Milwaukee currently sits in seventh place in the congested Eastern Conference - three games out of fifth place, but also two games out of tenth. Thus, you should expect the Bucks' intensity on the defensive end to remain constant as they makes a push toward the playoffs.


This week, the Bucks will travel out west to Portland and Sacramento, before returning home to host Atlanta and Chicago. The Kings (11-5 Under), Hawks (11-4 Under) and Bulls (9-2 Under) are all on extended streaks of their own playing low-scoring games, so consider taking the Under when the Bucks meet up with each of them this week.




Injury Watch


The Miami Heat have been sizzling hot since January 17, as they've won 23 of 29 games (24-5 ATS) to move into a tie for eighth place in the Eastern Conference. But the Heat's good fortune took a hit in Friday night's win over Minnesota when starting shooting guard Dion Waiters suffered a sprained ankle. Waiters - Miami's 3rd leading scorer - has been a big part of Miami's resurgence, but he's likely to miss several weeks. Josh Richardson and Wayne Ellington will pick up extra minutes, and are both capable players, but Waiters' absence will surely have a negative impact.


Indeed, in Miami's very first game following this injury, they were upset at home by Portland and saw their seven-game ATS win streak snapped in the process.
This week, the Heat will host the Phoenix Suns and Toronto Raptors, before heading north Sunday to play Boston. That game against the Celtics will be a tall task for Erik Spoelstra's men, as Boston's won all three meetings this season, and six straight, overall.




Schedule Watch


The Oklahoma City Thunder are in a dogfight with the Clippers and Grizzlies for the all-important fifth seed, which would enable them to avoid the Warriors, Spurs and Rockets in the first round. This week, the Thunder have to play two of the NBA's top three teams (Warriors, Rockets) sandwiched around a game on Wednesday vs. the league's hottest ATS team (76ers).


Oklahoma City has defeated Philly 15 straight times (10-5 ATS), which is the second longest active win streak against an opponent (only Cleveland's 16-game win streak vs. Orlando is longer).


The Thunder are also the second hottest ATS team, with five straight point spread wins, so they don't have to be too worried about the fact that Philly has covered six straight games, and 15 of 18.


But the games vs. the Warriors and Rockets are another matter, entirely, as OKC is on an 0-6 SU/ATS run vs. the Warriors (including all three meetings this season), and are 3-8 SU and 2-9 ATS vs. the Rockets.


The good news, though, for OKC in Monday's game vs. the Warriors is that it's a super 41-19 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win. So, don't be surprised if Russell Westbrook & Co. snap their losing streak to the Warriors.
 

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Dunkel


Tuesday, March 21




LA Clippers @ LA Lakers


Game 665-666
March 21, 2017 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.392
LA Lakers
108.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 11
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
221
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8); Over


Milwaukee @ Portland



Game 663-664
March 21, 2017 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.758
Portland
122.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 4
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A


San Antonio @ Minnesota



Game 661-662
March 21, 2017 @ 9:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
121.465
Minnesota
123.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 5
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+5); Under


Golden State @ Dallas



Game 659-660
March 21, 2017 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
124.576
Dallas
127.173
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); Under


Memphis @ New Orleans



Game 657-658
March 21, 2017 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.908
New Orleans
127.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 7 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-2 1/2); Over


Phoenix @ Miami



Game 655-656
March 21, 2017 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.668
Miami
126.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 17
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A


Detroit @ Brooklyn



Game 653-654
March 21, 2017 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
115.174
Brooklyn
117.699
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 2 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 5 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+5 1/2); Under


Chicago @ Toronto



Game 651-652
March 21, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
114.803
Toronto
118.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Under
 

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Inside the Paint - Tuesday
March 21, 2017



Four teams are laying points as visitors on Tuesday and all of them own winning straight up records in this role, but their numbers against the spread haven’t been as good.


Detroit (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS) – The Pistons have been surprisingly good in this role and two of the four losses came to very hot teams in Miami and Washington. The club has won and covered three of their last four as road favorites but one of the other losses did come against Brooklyn, who is tonight’s opponent. The ‘over’ has gone 8-2 when Detroit is a road favorite and the Nets have had no issues pushing the pace at home.


Opening Line: Pistons -4 ½


Golden State (27-9 SU, 15-20-1 ATS) – It’s truly amazing that the Warriors have been road favorites in all but one of their away games and the one instance occurred when they rested players. Dallas will get the shot to knock off Golden State tonight and it has gone 10-13 SU and 13-10 ATS in this role at home. Make a note that most of those losses came earlier in the season when the Mavericks were dealing with injuries and they enter this matchup with a 7-1 ATS run in their last eight as home pups.


Opening Line: Warriors -3 ½


San Antonio (23-7 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) – Similar to the Warriors, it’s very common to see the Spurs laying points on the road and they’ve been a better investment for gamblers. However, Pop’s club is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last three away games and they’ll be facing a Minnesota team that has gone 9-1 ATS (6-4 SU) in its last 10 as a home underdog on Tuesday. Before you run to the counter and back the Timberwolves, make a note that San Antonio has won 10 straight (7-3 ATS) in this series and that includes five consecutive wins at the Target Center by double digits.

Opening Line: Spurs -5



L.A. Clippers (12-9 SU, 8-13 ATS) – Tuesday’s matchup versus the Lakers isn’t your typical road game and the Clippers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when laying points away. In the last 20 encounters, the Clippers have gone 16-4 versus the Lakers and they’ve covered 11 of those games. The Lakers defeated the Clippers 111-102 on Christmas but Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were both out.


Opening Line: Clippers -8


Non-Conference Action


Phoenix (22-48 SU, 34-34-2 ATS) at Miami (34-36 SU, 43-27 ATS)



The Heat (-12) are laying a heavy price for this game but the number is deserving. Despite losing a 115-104 decision to Portland on Sunday at home, Miami is 15-2 both SU and ATS in its last 17 from American Airlines Arena.


Phoenix has decided to go with a youth movement down the stretch and they enter this game on a four-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The offense has lacked any pop (100 PPG) during this span and it will be facing a Heat team that has been shooting lights out at home recently.


Laying double digits is new territory for the Heat but they’ve owned the Suns at home in recent seasons, winning six straight (5-1 ATS) and five of the victories have come by double digits.


Phoenix has gone 4-6 SU and 6-4 ATS on the road this season versus Eastern Conference opponents.


Milwaukee (34-35 SU, 30-39 ATS) at Portland (32-37 SU, 30-39 ATS)


Tough game to handicap when you look at the overall ATS records for both clubs, but if your handicapping leans to current form then Portland (-5) would certainly be a look over Milwaukee.


The Trail Blazers just wrapped a five-game road trip and produced a solid 4-1 record both SU and ATS. With Denver losing last night, Portland is only a half game out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Blazers have gone 2-1 versus the Nuggets this season and face them one more time on Mar. 28 from the Moda Center.


The first game back from a long road trip is never easy and the Blazers will be facing a rested team that's been on the West Coast for the last week.


Milwaukee is also in the middle of the playoff hunt and currently sits in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks got drilled on Saturday at Golden State 117-92 but that was just their second loss in their last 10 games.


Jason Kidd’s team has been respectable versus the West this season with a 13-13 ledger but the road numbers (5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS) haven’t helped that cause. Portland’s inability to rack up wins versus the East (12-16) has hurt their postseason chances and going 6-7 both SU and ATS at home doesn’t provide much confidence for bettors.


Zero Days Rest


Only two teams playing back-to-back spots on Tuesday and below is their records and notable trends to watch.


Golden State (10-4 SU, 5-9 ATS) – You don’t want to make excuses for the Warriors but their record has been solid in back-to-back spots. They got caught early in the season to the Lakers (117-97), which could be the biggest surprise outcome of the season. Then, they lost on a buzzer beater to Miami and their rally versus the Wizards came up short in the game Kevin Durant got injured. The last setback was at San Antonio when Steve Kerr decided to not play his top four guys.


L.A. Clippers (7-8 SU, 7-8 ATS) – After dropping seven straight on no rest, Doc’s team has won and covered two of their last three on no rest.


Total Notes

-- Chicago has seen the ‘under’ go 44-26 this season, the best in the NBA, and the low side has posted identical 22-13 marks both at home and on the road.


-- Golden State has watched the ‘under’ cash in seven straight games and the low side has connected in 12 of the last 13.


-- The Warriors remain the best ‘under’ team in the NBA with a 26-11 (70%) record.


-- Phoenix has watched the ‘under’ go 5-0 in its last five.


-- The ‘over’ has gone 4-0 in the last four for San Antonio.


-- The Lakers have seen the ‘over’ go 6-1 in their last seven.


-- The ‘under’ has cashed in nine straight meetings between the Lakers and Clippers.


-- Milwaukee has watched the ‘under’ go 11-3 since the All-Star break.
 

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Silver tells owners to take note of rest
March 20, 2017



MIAMI (AP) NBA Commissioner Adam Silver sent a memo to the league's board of governors Monday, calling the way teams are choosing to rest starters in some games ''an extremely significant issue for our league'' and pressing owners to be more involved in the decision-making process.


Silver also told the owners that the matter will be discussed at league meetings next month after nationally televised games on back-to-back Saturday nights were diluted by decisions to rest star players.


''Decisions of this kind ... can affect fans and business partners, impact our reputation and damage the perception of our game,'' Silver wrote in the memo, which was obtained by The Associated Press. ''With so much at stake, it is simply not acceptable for governors to be uninvolved or to defer decision-making authority on these matters to others in their organizations.''


ESPN.com first reported the contents of the memo.


The rest issue has been an even hotter-than-usual talking point in the NBA of late with teams like Golden State and Cleveland - the last two NBA champions - electing to rest superstars in recent nationally televised games. Fans have complained on some occasions that they have paid a premium price to see stars play, then arrived at arenas only to find that those players are getting the game off.


It also can't sit well with the networks that paid $24 billion to the NBA in the latest television contract negotiations.


''Please also be reminded that under current league rules teams are required to provide notice to the league office, their opponent and the media immediately upon a determination that a player will not participate in a game due to rest,'' Silver wrote. ''Failure to abide by these rules will result in significant penalties.''


The Warriors chose to rest Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala for a nationally televised game against San Antonio on March 11. Coach Steve Kerr said he did it in response to a grueling stretch of the schedule that included eight games in eight different cities in 13 days.


''It's my call, and it's the right thing to do in terms of the way the season is playing out and the way the minutes have gone and (Kevin Durant's) injury,'' Kerr said when he announced the decision after a game against Minnesota the previous night. ''It's the right thing to do, so we're doing it.''


LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love rested for Cleveland against the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday night, though Irving and Love were both dealing with recent injuries.


It is not a new issue, though Silver noted that its frequency has escalated this season.


San Antonio was fined $250,000 by then-NBA commissioner David Stern in the 2012-13 season when coach Gregg Popovich sent Danny Green, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili home for rest on Nov. 29, 2012, rather than having them play Miami in the final game of a six-game road trip.


Stern said the fine was due to a litany of transgressions, but primarily because San Antonio did not alert the league or media of the players' unavailability prior to the game. Since then, the Spurs have announced in advance which players will rest.


Silver has said the league is very sensitive to players needing as much rest as possible to perform at their best and avoid injury. The league will start the regular season earlier next year so it can reduce the number of back-to-backs and stretches of four games in five nights that teams face.
 

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Continuity in question for Pelicans
March 20, 2017



METAIRIE, La. (AP) Pelicans forward Solomon Hill hopes New Orleans can sell its fan base on the benefits of patience and continuity - tough as that may be for a team on the brink of missing the playoffs for a second straight season.


Recently, though, the Pelicans have begun seeing more of the results they expected when they traded for 6-foot-11 All-Star DeMarcus Cousins and put him in their front court alongside fellow All-Star Anthony Davis.


The Pelicans have won four of five - with three of those victories coming by double digits.


With 12 games left, the Pelicans might not be able to make up the 4+ games in the standings separating them from the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. But they might be able to show the type of promise ownership needs to see to justify allowing the current regime of general manager Dell Demps and affable head coach Alvin Gentry more time to get it right.


''Hopefully we can just try to save this framework, whether we make the playoffs or not,'' said Hill, who has averaged around 20 points in the Pelicans' past two games while getting increased ball-handling opportunities in Gentry's up-tempo offense.


Hill added that he ''most definitely would like to'' see Gentry and his staff back next season, along with the current core of the roster, which includes free-agent-to-be Jrue Holiday.


''Everybody says coach's offense is a players' dream, and now he has the certain pieces to implement it,'' Hill asserted after Monday's practice. ''We really have a good framework to sustain this.''


The Pelicans traded three guards and this summer's first- and second-round draft picks to Sacramento for Cousins. Gentry warned that it normally takes time for a team to play efficiently after making such a significant lineup change during the season. That was the case for New Orleans, which lost six of its first seven games with Cousins in the lineup.


For Gentry, New Orleans' recent success has stemmed not just from improved chemistry, but also a concerted effort to involve more players on offense. The Pelicans had six players score in double digits in a victory over Minnesota on Sunday. Cousins scored 15 points, well below his season average of 26.5 points, but New Orleans scored 123 and won by 14.


In each of their past five games, the Pelicans have scored at least 100 points, eclipsing 120 three times, albeit once in overtime.


Gentry said the Pelicans must understand that Cousins and Davis might not get as many shots as they did before the Feb. 19 trade, and that ''when we get other guys involved in the game, that's when we're really better as a team.''


Another challenge has been figuring out how to fit Cousins, 270-pound, post-up player, into the run-and-gun style Gentry prefers. What the Pelicans have done recently is have Davis defend more near the perimeter so he can get out quickly in transition. If an early scoring opportunity doesn't develop, New Orleans can pull up while Cousins, who often trails the play after defending down low, works his way into a half-court set.


''We've been playing with a lot of good pace. We've been getting the ball out quick and pushing it down the floor, getting some easy looks,'' Davis said. ''When we don't have that, we try to play inside-out.''


What Cousins, who is under contract for more season, makes of the team's recent form is unclear. The mercurial big man has avoided meeting with media since the middle of last week.


Gentry agreed with Davis that the Pelicans are ''back to playing at a pretty good pace ... and we're figuring out ways that we can keep that pace.''


Gentry also has been pleased by his team's resolve to make a late-season run, no matter how improbable its playoff chances are. One thing the Pelicans have going for them is they have three games left against Denver, which currently holds the West's final playoff seed. They also have one game each against Dallas and Portland, who are between them and Denver in the standings.


''With this group, they've all continued to have confidence and feel like ... we can be a playoff team,'' Gentry said. ''Until we're mathematically eliminated, we're going to still have that goal.''
 

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Win Total Update
March 20, 2017



The marathon of the 82-game NBA regular season concludes on Wednesday Apr. 12 and we’re starting to see Win Total wagers start to cash.


Before the season began, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook released NBA Win Totals for all 30 teams.


As of Monday Mar. 20, we’ve seen seven teams go either ‘over’ or ‘under’ their numbers posted by the oddsmakers.


Winners


Over Philadelphia 76ers (25.5)
Over Houston Rockets (44)


Under New York Knicks (40.5)
Under Portland Trail Blazers (45.5)
Under Los Angeles Clippers (54)
Under Boston Celtics (52.5)
Under Minnesota Timberwolves (41)


Along with the above winners, we also have nine more teams that will likely see their outcome decided in the next couple weeks.

On the Cusp



Under Detroit Pistons (45)
Under Indiana Pacers (45)


Over Miami Heat (34.5)
Over Milwaukee Bucks (35.5)
Over Washington Wizards (43)
Over Denver Nuggets (36.5)
Over Memphis Grizzlies (43.5)
Over San Antonio Spurs (57.5)
Over Utah Jazz (47.5)


Listed below are all of the teams, their win totals, overall records through Mar. 19, 2017 and their projected result.


NBA WIN TOTAL UPDATE (3/20/17)


Eastern Conference Win Total Overall Record Projection



Atlanta Hawks 44 37-32
Boston Celtics 52.5 44-26
Brooklyn Nets 21.5 13-56
Charlotte Hornets 40.5 30-39
Chicago Bulls 39.5 33-37
Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5 46-23
Detroit Pistons 45 34-36
Indiana Pacers 45 35-34
Miami Heat 34.5 34-36
Milwaukee Bucks 35.5 34-35
New York Knicks 40.5 27-42
Orlando Magic 36.5 25-45
Philadelphia 76ers 25.5 26-43
Toronto Raptors 50.5 41-29
Washington Wizards 43 42-27

Western Conference Win Total Overall Record Projection

Dallas Mavericks 39.5 30-39
Denver Nuggets 36.5 33-36
Houston Rockets 44 48-22
Golden State Warriors 66.5 55-14
Los Angeles Clippers 54 41-29
Los Angeles Lakers 25.5 20-50
Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 40-30
Minnesota Timberwolves 41 28-41
New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 29-41
Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 40-29
Phoenix Suns 29 22-48
Portland Trail Blazers 45.5 32-37
Sacramento Kings 33 27-43
San Antonio Spurs 57.5 53-16
Utah Jazz 47.5 43-27
 

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TUESDAY, MARCH 21


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHI at TOR 07:00 PM


TOR -7.5


U 197.5


DET at BK 07:30 PM


DET -6.0


O 214.0


PHO at MIA 07:30 PM


MIA -12.0


U 216.5
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Match Play championship this week:


6-1— Rory McIlroy


7-1— Dustin Johnson


10-1— Jordan Spieth


13-1— Jason Day


20-1— Hideki Matsuyama


22-1– Jon Rahm


**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings………


13) Cam Newton is having rotator cuff surgery next Thursday; not sure of the recovery timeframe, or why the operation is happening now and not two months ago, but question is: Will he be ready for the regular season? Big question for the Panthers.


12) If I owned a major league baseball team, all my coaches would know both English and Spanish; have to be able to communicate with players. Would also want our players to know English; how the hell can you live in a country and not know at least some of the language?


Sometimes, players know more of the language than they let on, so they can avoid talking to the media. Being bilingual is a big advantage in today’s baseball.


11) Oklahoma State’s star guard Juwan Evans is leaving school for the NBA; at 6-1, he is a marginal prospect who could wind up in the D-League. He helped us some this year when we picked the Cowboys; we wish him well, but wish he was coming back for another season in Stillwater.


10) Will Wade leaves VCU for LSU and everyone on Twitter asks why; is it a better basketball job? Money is (surprisingly) similar, they care more about basketball at VCU, since there is no football and he had a top 20 recruiting class coming to VCU in September.


I’ve said this before here; sometimes big fish/smaller pond works better.


9) UMass hires Winthrop coach Pat Kelsey to take over its hoop program; Kelsey went 102-59 at Winthrop, 56-30 in Big South games- he replaced Gregg Marshall there.


8) New Jersey Jets have drafted six QB’s since 2009, yet still paid 37-year old Josh McCown $6M to come in and play for one year. This is called mismanagement; not the McCown part, but draft one guy who can play, will ya?


7) Went into a LIDS store in the **** the other day; had good talk with young person who works there, who happens to be a fellow A’s fan. Major league fitted caps are now $35; caps for the World Baseball Classic are $37. Glad my hat collection is already too big- no thanks.


6) They were talking on the Padres’ spring training game the other night how sometimes guys go down to the minor league camp and play in B games to get extra at-bats. A major leaguer would play in one of those games and lead off every inning, just to get more AB’s. Minor leaguers are not necessarily fond of that, since it costs them some AB’s, but thats how it works.


5) Cincinnati Reds’ announcers are different than most local baseball announcers- they’ll rip the home team if they deserve it. “Boy, this is like a circus.” moaned Thom Brennaman during a bad inning by the Reds in their game with the Angels Tuesday.


Two oddities from this Reds-Angels game:
a) Both teams wore red jerseys; it is 2017, we can’t get different color jerseys?
b) Angels used a DH, Reds did not. People bet on these games. Wonder how many people bet on this game not knowing that little nugget?


4) RIP Jerry Krause, 77— he was GM of the Jordan-era Bulls who later became a baseball scout after leaving the NBA. Krause brought Toni Kukoc over from Europe to join Jordan/Pippen, which didn’t go over well with his two stars. Krause probably didn’t get enough credit for the Bulls’ success.


3) Fans sitting behind the announcers at the Bakersfield-Colorado State NIT game Monday nite weren’t very happy with the officiating and were letting the refs know it— the mikes picked up some of their R-rated criticisms. I’m thinking someone with ESPN must’ve asked them to cool it, since they weren’t as vocal near the end of the game


2) Nicole Auerbach reports that of the 351 Division I basketball teams, only five haven’t had a kid transfer out in the last two years. North Carolina hasn’t lost a transfer since 2011.


1— The night the Knicks beat the Lakers to win the 1970 NBA title, when Willis Reed limped out and inspired the Knicks to win by scoring the first two hoops of the game on basically one leg, one of the ballboys that night was Steve Albert, now the Phoenix Suns’ play-by-play guy on TV.


1a) One of my heroes passed away late Tuesday night; Chuck Barris, the wacky host of The Gong Show, died at age 87. Creator of game shows like The Dating Game and Newlywed Game, Barris was a creative genius with a bizarre sense of humor. He made me laugh more than just about anyone other than Steve Martin. RIP, sir, you will be missed.
 

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NBA
Long Sheet


Wednesday, March 22



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHARLOTTE (31 - 39) at ORLANDO (26 - 45) - 3/22/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 29-41 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (36 - 34) at BOSTON (45 - 26) - 3/22/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (34 - 36) at CHICAGO (33 - 37) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
CHICAGO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (37 - 33) at WASHINGTON (42 - 28) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 31-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 9-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-7 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (26 - 44) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 30) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (46 - 23) at DENVER (33 - 37) - 3/22/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (34 - 35) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 43) - 3/22/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 354-426 ATS (-114.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 250-308 ATS (-88.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (27 - 43) at UTAH (43 - 28) - 3/22/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 211-168 ATS (+26.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
UTAH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Wednesday, March 22



Hornets won last two games, both at home; they lost three of last four on road, are 6-4 vs spread in last 10 road games- their last three games stayed under. Magic won last two games, are 4-10 vs spread in last 14 home games. Four of their last five home games went over total. Charlotte won its last six games with Orlando (5-1 vs spread); Hornets won/covered four of their last five visits here- four of those five games went over total.


Pacers lost its last four road games (0-4 vs spread); they’re 6-6 SU since All-Star break. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Boston won four of last five games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 12-1-2 in their last fifteen games. Celtics won three of last four games with Indiana; under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Pacers lost three of last four visits to Boston.


Detroit lost four of last five games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Bulls lost eight of last ten games; they blew a 15-point lead in 4th quarter in Toronto last nite. Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Pistons won seven of last ten games with Chicago; teams split last four series games played here. Six of last eight series games stayed under.


Hawks lost their last four games; they’re 5-8 against the spread in last 13 road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Washington lost four of last five games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 9-2 in their last eleven games. Wizards won three of their last four games with Atlanta (under 3-1). Hawks lost by 11-3 points in last two visits to Washington.


76ers are 4-9 in their last 13 games, but 16-3 vs spread in their last 19 games, covering last five games on foreign soil. Three of their last four games stayed under. OKC won five of last six games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 home games. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Thunder won their last ten games with Philly but 76ers covered four of last five; Sixers lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Seven of last eight series games stayed under.


Cleveland won three of its last four games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road tilts. Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Nuggets won three of last four home games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games overall. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Denver; Cavaliers won last three games here (2-0-1 vs spread). Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.


Milwaukee won nine of its last 11 games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 12-1-1 in their last 14 games. Sacramento lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen games. Bucks-Kings split their last ten games; Milwaukee lost three of last five visits to Sacramento. Last eight series games went over total.


New York lost five of last six games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games went over. Jazz lost their last three games, all on road; they’re 4-8 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of last four Utah games stayed under. Knicks lost four of last five games with Utah; they lost by 5-21 points in last two visits here. Last four series games played here stayed under.
 

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Wednesday, March 22



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. ORLANDO
Charlotte is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Charlotte's last 19 games
Orlando is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 15 games
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games

9:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DENVER
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. UTAH
New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home




------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Dunkel


Wednesday, March 22




New York @ Utah


Game 765-766
March 22, 2017 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New York
114.318
Utah
128.701
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 14 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-10 1/2); Under


Milwaukee @ Sacramento



Game 763-764
March 22, 2017 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.434
Sacramento
117.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+4); Under


Cleveland @ Denver



Game 761-762
March 22, 2017 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
118.509
Denver
127.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 8 1/2
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+3 1/2); Over


Philadelphia @ Oklahoma City



Game 759-760
March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
114.591
Oklahoma City
125.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 11
218
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+11); Over


Atlanta @ Washington



Game 757-758
March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
114.138
Washington
123.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7); Over


Detroit @ Chicago



Game 755-756
March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
119.271
Chicago
113.196
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+1); Over


Indiana @ Boston



Game 753-754
March 22, 2017 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.852
Boston
123.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+7 1/2); Under


Charlotte @ Orlando



Game 751-752
March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
117.935
Orlando
119.473
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5
208
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+5); Under
 

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Wednesday's NBA Essentials
March 22, 2017



Game of the Night - Cleveland at Denver, (FS Ohio, 9:05 ET)


After beating the Jazz in Kevin Love's return, the Cavs punted on being competitive against the Clippers and instead played all their regulars against the tanking Lakers, pulling out a comeback win. Up just 1.5 games on Boston for the top spot in the Eastern Conference, Cleveland faces a challenging final few weeks of the regular season. Tonight's visit to Denver will be one of its final seven road games, with stops still left in Charlotte, San Antonio, Chicago, Boston, Atlanta and Miami after this one.


None of those games will be easy, and there are even four back-to-backs remaining, so not letting this one slip away is important. The Cavs are 6-7 since Feb. 25, which includes losing five of eight on the road. This current stretch they're in has them playing six of seven in opposing arenas, so how they fare over the next week will dictate how much room for error they have between now and January.


A lack of practice time was considered a culprit when the Cavs lost six of eight in January as they struggled to successfully blend Kyle Korver into the mix upon his acquisition from Atlanta, so the past few days have been a blessing in trying to get Love back up to speed. For just the second time since the All-Star break, the Cavs have had two days between games. They spent them out in L.A., working out at UCLA, Love's alma mater, before flying into Denver yesterday.


Cleveland is 12-2 with multiple days of rest between games, so it will be interesting to see how they respond here. Love scored 21 points and grabbed 15 boards in just 26 minutes against the Lakers on Sunday night, coming up with his first double-double since Feb. 9. The Cavs went 7-6 as he recovered from a knee injury and although he'll likely not play in this week's back-to-back and is probably still on a minutes restriction that won't let him play more than 25-30 minutes, he's already proven he'll give this group a significant boost they badly needed.


Korver has been out since March 9 with a foot injury, but was a participant in practice on Tuesday and is likely to return. He shot 59 percent from 3-point range in February after settling in some and should be the x-factor the team envisioned he'd become going forward so long as there are no setbacks.


Having a few days off also allowed Deron Williams (thumb), Iman Shumpert (knee) and Tristan Thompson (mouth) opportunities to heal up, so it will be interesting to see how Cleveland responds now that it is working its way back to full strength. James will likely take another game or two off, but has worked his way into the MVP conversation. Despite the tremendous runs Russell Westbrook and James Harden have enjoyed, James has put together career-highs in rebounds (8.4) and assists (8.8) and authored one of his most efficient seasons. A strong finish would definitely make him a factor in the final vote.


Denver is coming off perhaps its most frustrating loss of the season, falling 125-124 after a botched late offensive possession that helped Harden secure a game-winning layup in the final seconds. They're still up on Portland for the final Western Conference playoff spot, but have been working short-handed without key forwards Danilo Gallinari (knee) and Wilson Chandler (groin), who could return for this game.


The Nuggets are viewing this one as a game they need to have, not only because they don't want the Rockets loss to linger, but because they're down to just four home games among their remaining 12. Cleveland beat Denver 125-109 on Feb. 11, getting 27 points a piece from James and Irving. Gallinari was absent, and the team had yet to acquire Mason Plumlee, who has become a key member of the rotation. Nikola Jokic led the way with 27.


Cleveland hasn't lost in Denver since James returned to the franchise and has won four of five there. The Cavs are 6-1 in their last seven meetings against the Nuggets and registered their highest scoring output in the series since 1990 last month. They scored 124 in the final meeting of the 2015-16 season.


Injury Concerns


Charlotte has won consecutive games and is making one last push to try and salvage a season that has gotten a way from them, so it's a relief to see Michael Kidd-Gilchrist set to play after he left Monday's over Atlanta with an ankle injury. The Hornets are in Orlando to play their only road game in a six-game stretch, so it's now or never for them.


Andre Drummond left Detroit's loss to Brooklyn with 13 points and 17 rebounds, so he wasn't on the floor for Brook Lopez's game-winner, limping off with a knee injury. He's expected to play in Chicago, where it's unlikely he'll see the other Lopez, Robin, who is expected to be suspended after fighting with Serge Ibaka in Tuesday's OT loss against Toronto.


The Kings have been without all three of their veteran wings of late, but should get a couple of them back for tonight's home date with Milwaukee. Buddy Hield has gotten major minutes, while Malachi Richardson has unfortunately been banged up. Ben McLemore hadn't been part of the rotation before paternity leave, but will be available tonight. Arron Afflalo (personal) and Tyreke Evans (knee) have also been out, so McLemore could be in for some minutes if they remain sidelined.


Head-head Trends

The Celtics and Pacers may wind up meeting in a playoff series, although the Pacers are hoping to end the season successfully enough to grab the No. 6 seed and avoid Cleveland and Boston. The Celtics have won five of the last eight in the series, with the under 7-1 in those games. Boston is up 2-0 this season, winning in November and December as a 1.5-point road favorite.


The Wizards have a five-game lead on Atlanta in the Southeast Division with just a dozen left to play, so they'll look to improve on a 27-10 home record against a potential playoff opponent. Paul Millsap will remain out with a knee injury which has contributed to the Hawks' four-game losing streak. Washington lost the season opener in Atlanta but has won the last two meetings.


Oklahoma City had its five-game winning streak snapped by Golden State on Monday, but have an opportunity to get back on track against a team they've beaten 15 consecutive times. The 76ers last beat OKC on Nov. 15, 2008 in one of the franchise's first games at the Thunder. Philadelphia has never won in Oklahoma City, last winning a road game in this series back on New Year's Eve of 2007, when the Supersonics played their final season in Seattle.


Utah will look to sweep the Knicks for the second time in three years, improving to 5-1 in the last six meetings against New York. The Jazz are just 15-18 against the number at home, while the Knicks are 17-19 ATS in road games.
 

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Identifying NBA Cinderellas
March 21, 2017



Even with the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament producing such few upsets, we've got Cinderella stories. South Carolina hadn't won an NCAA Tournament game since 1973 and have reached the Sweet 16 for the first time ever. They've got Alex English riding shotgun, just eliminated a Duke team that most love to hate and have a likeable head coach in Miami's Frank Martin, the tough guy with the heart of gold.


Michigan, survivors of a plane accident that could have been a lot worse, could end up wearing a slipper. The Wolverines were 14-9, 4-6 in the Big Ten, after opening February with a home loss to the worst Ohio State team in years. They're 12-2 since.


Xavier lost standout point guard Edmund Sumner in February. Butler and Gonzaga are still often thought of as little guys due to their past. Wisconsin is a big boy, but took out a No. 1. There isn't a UNC-Wilmington or Florida Gulf Coast in the group, but that falls in line with what this column is about.


There won't be a Cinderella to come out of nowhere in the NBA posteseason. If we get one, we should be able to see them coming. They won't be a No. 8 seed. The three top contenders for the NBA's realistic Cinderella have to be able to reach a Final Four, er conference finals, which knocks out this regular season's prime example, Miami (20/1 East, 60/1 title).


Reigning Eastern Conference Player of the Week Hassan Whiteside has led the Heat to six wins in the last eight games this month entering Tuesday's game with the depleted Suns. With a push that needs to continue this week, Miami may sneak into the playoffs, but unless they really thrive down the stretch against a tough schedule filled with East heavyweights, they're unlikely to get up to No. 6 to truly become a threat this postseason. It will be fun to see whether LeBron James and the Cavs rest in South Florida in an April 10 game that could be vital to the Heat's playoff hopes.


Cleveland is resting players now so that it can steamroll whoever ends up becoming the sub-.500 team that takes up the No. 8 seed against them since they're likely to outlast Boston for the top spot now that Kevin Love is back. The Celtics and Wizards don't qualify to be Cinderellas because both are now at 6-to-1 odds to get out of the Eastern Conference in the latest WestgateLV Superbook odds release.


That's more preferred uppity stepsister than Cinderella, if we're taking the comparison literally.


Damian Lillard earned the West's Player of the Week nod after scoring a season-high 49 points in Miami to snap the Heat's home winning streak at seven games on Sunday, leading the Blazers to a 3-1 week. Denver and Portland have gained a little separation in the race for the Western Conference's final playoff berth, but neither is beating out the Warriors or Spurs in a first-round series.


The Rockets are 10-to-1 to get out of the West, so they're not a true outsider. Instead, we'll go with the Clippers (15/1 West, 30/1 title), Raptors (12/1 East, 40/1 title), Grizzlies (50/1, 100/1) and Pacers (80/1, 200/1) as the best bets.


L.A. has been through the grinder. We've seen the Clippers' act fail for five straight years before they've even gotten to the conference finals. Outside of Dallas and Golden State, every franchise that has been really good in the West within that span has eliminated them in a series. Their brand is at an all-time low. Of course, they're also the only team that can say they've beaten both the Spurs and Warriors in a Game 7, which has to count for something.


With Chris Paul back from his injury and Blake Griffin also settled back in, it's time to make a move. Prior to the Cavs lying down on Saturday night, the Clips had dropped three straight, including a frustrating home loss to Milwaukee. This week's games against the Knicks, Lakers and Mavericks are games they'll be favored in and must take care of business in before a huge Saturday afternoon home date against Utah that could ultimately help decide homecourt advantage in a potential 4-5 series between the two. If you believe that this is the season everyone stays healthy and L.A. finally breaks through out West, now is the time to buy. Maybe they'll be this year's Wisconsin Badgers, taking out a No. 1 of their own.


The Raptors have seen their odds take a hit due to an inability to persevere without point guard Kyle Lowry, who won't be back any time soon. It's unlikely that they wind up faring better than the No. 4 seed in the East, which will put them in Cleveland's path early. Still, Lowry will return, and GM Masai Ujiri did upgrade their defense at the trade deadline, so they're still a team that could surprise before all is said and done. Their odds may continue to slip, although they showed signs of life in trouncing Indiana 116-91 on Sunday to post consecutive wins for the first time all month. Their schedule between now and the beginning of April looks pretty favorable too.


The final two candidates on the list are longshots, teams to retire on if everyone gets lucky enough. Memphis carries that South Carolina vibe, a defense-oriented team that struggled before the lights came on but is now fully engaged. They've won four straight, including upsets of the Hawks and Spurs and hit the road for a four-game stretch beginning Tuesday in New Orleans. Indiana has been absolutely dreadful, but in Paul George, they have the Eastern Conference's best player not on the Cavaliers. If they can avoid the No. 8 seed, the Pacers will be dangerous.
 

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 22


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at ORL 07:00 PM


CHA -4.5

O 206.5


IND at BOS 07:30 PM


BOS -6.5


U 207.5



ATL at WAS 08:00 PM


ATL +7.5


O 215.0


PHI at OKC 08:00 PM


PHI +12.0


U 218.5 ***********



DET at CHI 08:00 PM


CHI +1.0


U 199.0


CLE at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN +3.0 **********


O 227.0 **********



NY at UTA 10:30 PM


UTA -11.5


U 202.5


MIL at SAC 10:30 PM


MIL -5.0


U 202.0 ***********
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


Prop bets for tonight’s NCAA tournament games:


— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Purdue-Kansas game: 16.5


— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in West Va-Gonzaga game: 14.5


— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Michigan-Oregon game: 17.5


— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Xavier-Arizona game: 13.5


— Largest lead by either team in Purdue-Kansas game: 15.5 points


— Largest lead by either team in West Va-Gonzaga game: 14 points


— Largest lead by either team in Michigan-Oregon game: 12.5 points


— Largest lead by either team in Xavier-Arizona game: 16.5 points


**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….


13) Worlds colliding: Madcap comedian Carrot Top was at Phillies’ spring training Wednesday, and was seen talking to former Phils’ manager Charlie Manuel.


Carrot Top’s dad worked for NASA; he was a rocket scientist. Seriously.


12) You know it might be a bad day when you’re a marginal major league player, you get a start in a road spring training game, and you forget your jersey. Oy.


Happened to Allen Webster of the Rangers, a guy who has pitched in 28 big league games (23 starts), so he should know better. Webster wound up giving up three runs in three IP, putting eight guys on base in a game Texas won 7-4.


11) In the 1987-88 NBA season, home teams won 67.9% of games; this season, that number is down to an all-time low of 57.4%. Teams traveling on private planes plays into that some, but an article on ESPN.com says one of the main reasons why road teams win more now is that players on the road party a lot less than they used to.


10) Basketball TV guy Doug Gottlieb, who recently jumped from CBS to FOX, will interview for the head coaching job at Oklahoma State (his alma mater) today. Gottlieb’s dad was a high school coach; his brother is an assistant coach at Oregon State.


9) Didn’t take VCU long to replace Will Wade with former Rice coach Mike Rhoades, who went 23-12 with the Owls this season— he was 47-52 in three years at Rice, after inheriting a 7-23 team three years ago.


By the way, as part of Wade’s contract at VCU, LSU will have to play a home/home series with the Rams- that was part of Wade’s buyout in his contract.


8) At the WBC, Team USA was DH’ing Giancarlo Stanton and sitting Paul Goldschmidt; why? I’ve had Stanton on my fantasy team since he was an 18-year old in the Florida State League. He is one of my favorite players, but no way in hell is he as good a hitter as Goldschmidt.


7) Padres’ TV guys were saying the ballclub wasn’t real happy about how little Yangervis Solarte played for Venezuela; they used him mostly as a pinch-runner. Bottom line is this: these teams are getting ready for the season- they want their guys getting AB’s in late March, not being subs.


6) Rory McIlroy lost 2 & 1 to Soren Kjeldsen at the World Golf Match Play tournament, but he did hit a drive 410 yards. Don’t see that a lot.


Jason Day withdrew from the tournament to be with his ailing mother. We wish her well.


5) In 13 years as a major league manager, Terry Collins is 925-925.


4) It is amazing to me that in most states, high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock. There is a shot clock here in New York; protects the sport from overbearing coaches who strangle the game. Basketball is a much better spectator sport with a shot clock.


3) I don’t mind the WBC, I fully understand why it exists (to grow the game), but I’d much rather watch a spring training game. Just means more to me; I’m not a big nationalistic guy.


2) United States 8, Puerto Rico 0— Guy doing play-by-play on MLB Network oversold this tournament like he was Al Michaels in Lake Placid in 1980, but Americans win this event for first time ever. Puerto Rico didn’t get a hit until the 7th inning. Now everyone can go back to their major league teams and we can get ready for the season to start in ten days.


1— Mentioned yesterday that Chuck Barris passed away; the host of The Gong Show wrote an article for a magazine back in the 80’s, talking about how he was a vendor at Shibe Park during the 1950 World Series. He cut his hand at the same time one of the pitchers got hit with a line drive. In the First Aid room, everyone tended to the pitcher and ignored his bleeding hand. He got promoted as a vendor because they felt guilty about ignoring him.


Later in the same article, Barris tells a story about how he proposed to his second wife- they’re making out on the couch while he’s trying to watch the Raiders’ game on TV over her shoulder— he had bet on Oakland. She is bugging him to get married, so he tells her if the Raiders win this game, they’ll get married. Raymond Chester scores a touchdown, the Raiders win, and he was on the hook.


A great character; he was also a hell of a lot smarter than he let on.
 

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Thursday, March 23



Toronto won four of last five games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Miami won seven of last nine games; they’re 10-2 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won last six Toronto-Miami games; Raptors lost last three visits to South Beach (0-3 vs spread) by 7-12-15 points. Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here.


Phoenix lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Their last six games stayed under total. Brooklyn is 4-7 in last 11 games, 7-12 vs spread in last 19 home games. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Nets won last three games with Phoenix; they covered five of last seven series games, Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Suns lost three of last four visits to Brooklyn (1-3 vs spread).


Clippers won their last three games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six true road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Mavericks lost four of last six games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Clippers won three of last four games with Dallas; teams split last four series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.


Grizzlies won four of last five games, are 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. San Antonio won four of last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games went over. Spurs lost their last two games with Memphis but both games were on road; Grizzlies lost their last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread). Five of last seven series games stayed under.


New York lost six of last seven games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games went over. Trailblazers won three of last four games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Knicks lost seven of last nine games with Portland; they lost three of last four games in Oregon (1-3 vs spread). Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.








NBA


Thursday, March 23



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. BROOKLYN
Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
Phoenix is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

8:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DALLAS
LA Clippers are 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Dallas is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games when playing LA Clippers

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. PORTLAND
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing New York




------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Dunkel


Thursday, March 23


New York @ Portland


Game 809-810
March 23, 2017 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.220
Portland
125.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 13 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 9 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-9 1/2); Over


Memphis @ San Antonio



Game 807-808
March 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.908
San Antonio
125.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8
199
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+8); Under


LA Clippers @ Dallas



Game 805-806
March 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.179
Dallas
127.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 4 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); Under


Phoenix @ Brooklyn



Game 803-804
March 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.443
Brooklyn
118.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 9
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 4
223
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-4); Over


Toronto @ Miami



Game 801-802
March 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
116.473
Miami
125.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 9
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4); Over









NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 23



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (42 - 29) at MIAMI (35 - 36) - 3/23/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MIAMI is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (22 - 49) at BROOKLYN (14 - 56) - 3/23/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
PHOENIX is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (43 - 29) at DALLAS (30 - 40) - 3/23/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 374-308 ATS (+35.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (40 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (54 - 16) - 3/23/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 992-864 ATS (+41.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 82-66 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 504-420 ATS (+42.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 184-140 ATS (+30.0 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 277-229 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 175-128 ATS (+34.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (27 - 44) at PORTLAND (32 - 38) - 3/23/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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