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SuperContest Picks - Week 13
December 5, 2015

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry, and it’s all a 100% payback. Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

This year's contest has 1,727 entries, which is an all-time record. The winner of this year's top prize will be given a check for $906,675, plus the top 50 finishers will collect cash prizes too.

Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.


Through 12 weeks of the season, the Top 5 Consensus Picks have gone 32-26-2 (55%) in the SuperContest.

Week 13

1) Seattle (484)
2) Houston (439)
3) New Orleans (432)
4) N.Y. Giants (424)
5) Kansas City (414)

SUPERCONTEST WEEK 13 MATCHUPS & ODDS
Away Team Selections Home Team Selections
Green Bay (-3) 153 Detroit (+3) 66
San Francisco (+7) 141 Chicago (-7) 314
Cincinnati (-9.5) 235 Cleveland (+9.5) 182
Jacksonville (+2.5) 127 Tennessee (-2.5) 190
Houston (+3.5) 439 Buffalo (-3.5) 197
Baltimore (+4) 190 Miami (-4) 159
Carolina (-7) 325 New Orleans (+7) 432
Seattle (PK) 484 Minnesota (PK) 324
Arizona (-5.5) 336 St. Louis (+5.5) 269
Atlanta (+1.5) 336 Tampa Bay (-1.5) 206
N.Y. Jets (-2.5) 144 N.Y. Giants (+2.5) 424
Denver (-4) 366 San Diego (+4) 234
Kansas City (-2.5) 414 Oakland (+2.5) 259
Philadelphia (+9.5) 195 New England (-9.5) 190
Indianapolis (+7) 180 Pittsburgh (-7) 268
Dallas (+4.5) 215 Washington (-4.5) 246
 

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Essential Week 13 betting notes for NFL Sunday


The Chiefs are one of the hottest teams in football, winning five straight, while covering the spread in each game.


New York Jets at New York Giants (+2, 46.5)


* Cornerback Darrelle Revis is expected to miss his second straight game due to a concussion. "Just got to move on," Odell Beckham Jr. said of missing out on the matchup. "We've still got to play the Jets. It would have been fun to go against a guy like that, and it's unfortunate that he's not playing, but maybe we'll get that matchup down the road. We're still focused on playing the Jets. This is a game we need to win."


* Chris Ivory recorded his third score in four weeks with a 31-yard scamper to seal the win last week and faces a Giants' rushing defense that is yielding 100.5 yards per contest (4.1 yards per carry). On the other side of the ball, the top-ranked Jets' rush defense set a franchise record by limiting the Dolphins to just 12 yards on the ground last week and faces a Giants' rushing attack that is 28th in the league.


Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (+4, 43)


* Impressive victories over Arizona and Seattle were part of a 4-3 (4-3 ATS) start for the St. Louis Rams, who then fell off with a four-game losing streak (0-3-1 ATS).


* Rookie running back David Johnson is expected to take over for Chris Johnson and Ellington as the team’s top option in the backfield, and the team doesn’t expect much drop off. “I think running back is one of the easier ones (to replace),” coach Bruce Arians told reporters.


Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Pick, 46)


* The Falcons kept pace with Carolina in the NFC South for a month, winning their first five games and six of their first seven (4-3 ATS) before enduring a four-game skid (0-4 ATS) that prompted a players-only meeting on Monday. “I think that’s a good part of a team, to have good, solid leadership, guys that voice stuff to get it all going in the same direction,” quarterback Matt Ryan told reporters.


* Atlanta’s losing streak began with a 23-20 overtime loss at home against Tampa Bay in Week 8, starting a string of three wins in five games (3-2 ATS) for the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay had its two-game winning streak snapped with a 25-12 loss at Indianapolis last week but is just one game behind Atlanta and Seattle for the second wild card.


Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (+2, 42)


* The Seahawks, usually known for their defense, have been riding their offense to victories as of late, averaging 33.33 points per game over their last three contests, cashing the over in each.


* After having their streak of eight consecutive covers in a row snapped, the Vikings cashed once again for bettors last week, topping the Atlanta Falcons 20-10 as 2-point road dogs. They are the second best bet in the NFL this season at 9-2 ATS.


Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 41.5)


* The resurgent Texans defense has allowed just 7.25 points per game during their four game winning streak, covering the spread in each.


* Time is running out for Buffalo, which may be further short-handed against the Texans, as defensive end Mario Williams remains questionable with a foot injury and Kyle Williams was placed on injured reserve on Tuesday.


Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-3.5, 42)


* "December football is when football matters, and we’re relevant in December," said Ravens coach John Harbaugh, who owns a perfect 5-0 (5-0 ATS) record versus the Dolphins. "That's what we needed to be."


* Although it shares the same 4-7 mark as Baltimore, Miami hasn't shown much fight lately with losses in two straight and four of its last five. Ryan Tannehill threw for 351 yards and three touchdowns in Miami's 38-20 setback to the AFC East-rival New York Jets last Sunday, with offensive coordinator Bill Lazor being relieved of his duties the following day.


Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+8.5, 43.5)


* After a short two-game losing streak, the Bengals got back on track last Sunday, thumping the Rams 31-7. Even despite the loses the Bengals remained the league's best bet at 9-1-1 ATS this season.


* The quarterback carousel made yet another turn this week as Pettine announced that Austin Davis will be the 24th starter for the club since 1999. "He deserves this opportunity," Pettine said of the 26-year-old Davis, who gets the nod after Josh McCown broke his right collarbone on Monday while former Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel tries to escape the doghouse.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-2.5, 43.5)



* The Jaguars, just 1-4 (3-2 ATS) on the road, are paced by quarterback Blake Bortles, who has thrown 22 touchdowns but 13 often-costly interceptions.


* Tennessee is 0-6 (2-4 ATS) at home on the season and has lost 11 straight at the not-so-friendly confines in Nashville. The Titans’ last home win was a 16-13 decision over the Jaguars in Week 6 of last season.


San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears (-7.5, 43)


* The San Francisco 49ers seek their first road win of the season when they visit the home-challenged Chicago Bears on Sunday. San Francisco fell to 0-5 (1-4 ATS) away from Levi's Stadium in Week 11, when it suffered a 29-13 setback against Seattle.


* Chicago dropped to 1-4 (2-3 ATS) at Soldier Field with Week 11's 17-15 loss to Denver. The Bears also have had trouble scoring recently, recording 15 and 17 points in their last two games, but are coming off a four-point win at Green Bay that put them in position to get to .500 for the first time since they were 3-3 on Oct. 12, 2014.


Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 43)


* Brock Osweiler has stepped in for an ineffective and injured future Hall of Fame quarterback and has righted the ship for the Denver Broncos. Osweiler will look to lead the AFC West-leading Broncos to their third straight victory when they visit the division cellar-dwelling San Diego Chargers on Sunday.


* While Denver is making decisions with an eye on the postseason, San Diego simply was happy to snap a six-game skid with a 31-25 victory at Jacksonville last week. Philip Rivers threw for four touchdowns in that contest, but has tossed 10 interceptions while losing six of his last seven meetings with his AFC West rival.


Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3, 44.5)


* After losing five of its first six contests this season, Kansas City has gone on a winning streak that reached five games with a 30-22 triumph over Buffalo in Week 12, covering the spread in each of those games.


* The Raiders, who are looking to reach the .500 mark in the month of December for the first time since 2011, have lost three of their last four meetings with the Chiefs.


Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (+6.5, 50)


* The Carolina Panthers have won 15 consecutive regular season games dating back to Dec. 7, 2014, going 11-4 ATS in that stretch. They are 5-0 SU/ATS on the road this season.


* The Saints have lost three straight, failing to cover in each of those games, following a three-game winning streak and are coming off a 24-6 defeat at Houston.


Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-8.5, 49)


* While the absence of Sam Bradford may partially explain the three-game skid (0-3 ATS), Philadelphia's defense has been shredded for 45 points in each of the last two games by a pair of offenses that rank among the bottom half in the league.


* The Patriots' bid for a perfect season was derailed in an overtime defeat at Denver last week, but they have gone 56 consecutive regular-season games without suffering back-to-back defeats.


Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5, 49)


* The 40-year-old Hasselbeck has been a savior while subbing for an injured Andrew Luck, improving to 4-0 after guiding Indianapolis to a 25-12 win over Tampa Bay last week.


* The Steelers got a scare of their own at quarterback when Ben Roethlisberger was knocked out of last weekend's loss at Seattle with a concussion, but he received medical clearance this week. Pittsburgh is among four AFC teams tied with 6-5 records battling for the final two postseason slots.
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 6


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NYJ at NYG 01:00 PM


NYG +2.5 *****


U 46.0 *****




ARI at STL 01:00 PM


ARI -3.5 DOUBLE PLAY


U 43.0




ATL at TB 01:00 PM


TB +1.0 TRIPLE PLAY


O 46.0




SEA at MIN 01:00 PM


MIN +2.5 DOUBLE PLAY


O 43.0 DOUBLE PLAY





HOU at BUF 01:00 PM

BUF -3.0 BLOW OUT


U 42.0




BAL at MIA 01:00 PM


MIA -3.5 TRIPLE PLAY


O 43.0 TRIPLE PLAY





CIN at CLE 01:00 PM


CIN -7.5 TRIPLE PLAY


U 43.5




JAC at TEN 01:00 PM


TEN -3.0 DOUBLE PLAY


O 43.5




SF at CHI 01:00 PM


SF +6.5 TRIPLE PLAY


O 42.5 TRIPLE PLAY





DEN at SD 04:05 PM


DEN -6.0 BLOW OUT


O 44.5 BLOW OUT




KC at OAK 04:05 PM


OAK +3.0 DOUBLE PLAY


U 45.0




CAR at NO 04:25 PM


CAR -6.5 TRIPLE PLAY


U 50.0 TRIPLE PLAY





PHI at NE 04:25 PM


NE -8.0 DOUBLE PLAY


O 49.0
 

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NFL


Monday, December 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Dallas at Washington
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Washington will have sole possesion of first place in the NFC East if they can find a way to defeat rival Dallas on Monday Night Football.


Dallas at Washington (-3.5, 42)


Few teams have a wider disparity in their performance between home and away games than Washington, who look to maintain at least a share of the lead in the NFC East when they host the division-rival Dallas Cowboys on Monday night. Washington extended their home winning streak to five games with last week's 20-14 win over the New York Giants to grab a share of first place in the division.


Washington's last three road defeats have come by a total of 59 points, including a 44-16 thumping at Carolina before last week's bounce-back victory. ''I'm proud of the team to be in this position, how hard they worked, how much they've overcome from a week-to-week basis," Washington coach Jay Gruden said. The Cowboys are still in position to contend for the NFC East title, sitting only two games back of Washington despite their 3-8 record. The road got considerably tougher, however, when Tony Romo refractured his collarbone in a Thanksgiving Day loss to Carolina.


TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.


LINE HISTORY: Washington opened as 4-point home favorites and have been bet down slightly to the current number of -3.5. The total has remained at its opening number of 42.


INJURY REPORT:


Dallas -
WR D. Bryant (probable Monday, knee), CB M. Claiborne (probable Monday, hamstring), OL C. Green (questionable Monday, hip), WR B. Butler (questionable Monday, hamstring), QB T. Romo (out for season, collarbone).


Washington - S D. Goldson (probable Monday, knee), WR D. Jackson (probable Monday, illness), WR A. Roberts (questionable Monday, knee), DL C. Baker (questionable Monday, illness), DE J. Hatcher (questionable Monday, knee), RB C. Thompson (questionable Monday, shoulder), LB P. Riley (questionable Monday, foot), LB K. Robinson (questionable Monday, shoulder), CB D. Everett (questionable Monday, hamstring), TE D. Carrier (questionable Monday, ankle).


WEATHER REPORT: It will be mostly cloudy at kickoff with a slight 14 percent chance of rain. There will also be a five-to-seven mile per hour wind blowing towards the southeastern end zone. Temperatures should be in the mid 40's.


POWER RANKINGS: Dallas (+3) - Washington (+1) + home field (-3) = Washington -5


ABOUT THE COWBOYS (3-8, 3-8 ATS, 5-6 O/U): Matt Cassel will be back at quarterback for Dallas, which lost all seven games when Romo was sidelined the first time - including four starts with Cassel under center. The Cowboys could do little against Carolina, getting 11 yards on 10 carries from Darren McFadden and two catches for 26 yards from Dez Bryant while being held to 14 points or fewer for the fourth time in the last seven contests. Dallas' defense is eighth overall with an average of 332 yards allowed per game, but it has forced a league-worst seven turnovers.


ABOUT WASHINGTON (5-6, 5-6 ATS, 5-6 O/U): Like his team, quarterback Kirk Cousins is a different quarterback at FedEx Field, throwing for 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions while compiling a passer rating of 121.2 during the five-game home winning streak. DeSean Jackson has a catch of at least 42 yards in three consecutive games while tight end Jordan Reed remains Cousins' favorite target with a career-high 55 receptions and six touchdowns. The ground game has been inconsistent and the defense has been up and down, although it has held four opponents to 14 points or fewer at home.


TRENDS:


* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Dallas is 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Dallas is 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Washington.
* Under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Washington.


CONSENSUS: A good majority of bettors are backing Washington in this NFC East showdown, with 63 percent wagers on them. As for the total, 65 percent of wagers are on the over.
 

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MNF - Cowboys at Redskins
December 7, 2015



The NFC East race is turning into a slugfest to the finish and not in a positive way. Not one of the four teams in this division owns a record above .500, as the Redskins own a slim half-game lead over the Giants and Eagles heading into tonight’s matchup with the Cowboys. The Giants squandered a 20-10 halftime lead in an overtime loss to the Jets to fall to 5-7, while the Eagles woke up from the dead by stunning New England to improve to 5-7.


Amazingly, Washington (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) hasn’t won consecutive games all season but reside in first place of the NFC East. The Redskins picked up a season split with the Giants last Sunday in a 20-14 victory as one-point home underdogs. Kirk Cousins threw for 302 yards, including a 63-yard touchdown strike to DeSean Jackson as Washington improved to 5-1 this season at FedEx Field. In four of six home games this season, the Redskins have allowed 17 points or less, resulting in a 4-2 mark to the ‘under.’


Since Tony Romo broke his collarbone in a Week 2 win at Philadelphia, the Cowboys (3-8 SU, 3-8 ATS) have been mired in a 1-8 slump the past nine weeks. Dallas lost seven straight games while Romo was sidelined as Brandon Weeden and Matt Cassel couldn’t get the Cowboys in the win column. Of course when Romo returned to the lineup in Week 11 at Miami, the Cowboys snapped their skid in a 24-14 victory.


However, Romo re-injured his collarbone and exited a 33-14 Thanksgiving home loss to undefeated Carolina as the Panthers returned a pair of interceptions for touchdowns. There weren’t many positives to come out of that loss, as Romo was picked off three times before getting hurt, while the Cowboys rushed for 31 yards on 14 carries against the stout Carolina defense. The home field has been no advantage for Jason Garrett’s club, who has dropped five consecutive games at AT&T Stadium since rallying past the Giants in the season opener.


Cassel will start in place of Romo for the foreseeable future, as the journeyman quarterback is 0-4 this season in four starts for Dallas. The last time Cassel won a start came in Week 1 of last season as a member of the Vikings against the Rams, while his previous outing of throwing for at least 300 yards came back in 2013 in a 382-yard performance against Philadelphia.


The Cowboys and Redskins are meeting up for the first time this season as these two rivals will hook up in Texas for the season finale in Week 17. Last season, the road team captured each meeting, as Cousins never faced the Cowboys. Colt McCoy led the Redskins as nine-point road underdogs in a 20-17 overtime victory last October, a game in which Romo suffered a back injury late in regulation. Romo returned for the rematch in Washington in December, as the Cowboys routed the Redskins, 44-17 as six-point favorites. The Redskins are favored for only the second time in the last 11 meetings with the Cowboys, as Washington beat Dallas as 3-point chalk, 28-18 in Week 17 of the 2012 season.


The underdogs continue their domination on Monday night football this season by owning a spectacular 10-2-1 ATS record, capped off by Baltimore’s last-second victory over Cleveland last week. Five road underdogs have won outright on Monday night this season, including three of the last four weeks (Chicago – Week 9, Houston – Week 10, Baltimore – Week 12). The ‘under’ started on a 10-2 run on Mondays, but the ‘over’ of 41 ½ easily hit in Baltimore’s 33-27 triumph over Cleveland.


Both Washington and Dallas haven’t appeared on Monday night football this season, as the Redskins have stumbled to a 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS record on Mondays since 2008. Jay Gruden’s club split a pair of Monday nighters last season, including the overtime victory at Dallas, but the Redskins have lost seven of the last eight at home on Monday night. The Cowboys have dropped three of their previous four on Mondays since 2010, while playing on the road on Monday night football for the first time since edging Buffalo back in 2007.


Since the start of the 2014 campaign, the Cowboys have put together a 4-4 ATS record in the role of a road underdog, which includes a 2-2 ATS mark against division foes. Dallas has been a nearly automatic ‘under’ play away from AT&T Stadium this season, cashing the ‘under’ in four of five tries, while limiting four opponents to 20 points or less in regulation.


The Redskins opened as four-point favorites at most books, are dipping down to 3 ½-point chalk at several outlets. The total is set between 42 and 42 ½, as many bettors will probably look to a low-scoring affair without Romo playing and Washington’s strong defensive showing at home this season. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.
 

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NFC East heats up MNF
December 4, 2015





DALLAS COWBOYS (3-8) at WASHINGTON REDSKINS (5-6)


Sportsbook.ag Line: Washington -4.5, Total: 42


The Redskins will be looking to keep themselves atop the NFC East standings when they host the Cowboys on Monday night.


Dallas has had a miserable season and things will not be getting much better either. The Cowboys started the year off 2-0 and have since lost eight of their past nine games. Matt Cassel is entrenched as the team’s starting quarterback for the remainder of the season and the Cowboys have not won a single game with a quarterback other than Tony Romo under center this year.


The Redskins have won three of their past five games SU and two of their past three ATS. Washington is currently in first place in the NFC East and will be looking forward to this extremely winnable meeting with Dallas. The Cowboys have, however, won three of the four meetings between these teams over the past three seasons SU and that includes wins in both games in Washington.


Dallas enters this contest 15-3 ATS in road games after trailing in its previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992. That bodes well for the team, as it is also up against a Washington squad that is 4-13 ATS in home games when playing on Monday night in that span.


The Cowboys are not completely dysfunctional on both sides of the ball. They have a middle of the pack defense, allowing 23.7 PPG (18th in NFL) on the season. The problem for Dallas is really that the team is averaging just 18.5 PPG (29th in NFL). This Cowboys offense has been plagued by a lack of productivity at the quarterback position and that will not change with Tony Romo out of the lineup.


If Dallas is going to win some games the rest of the way, it will be thanks to the legs of Darren McFadden. The Cowboys still have one of the best offensive lines in football, so they will be looking to pound away at Washington on Monday night. McFadden has rushed for 634 yards with two touchdowns on the season and he has added 31 receptions for 257 yards in the receiving game. He did rush for just 11 yards on 10 carries in a blowout loss to Carolina last week and will likely need to rush for at least 100 yards if Dallas will have any shot at coming away with a road upset.


The Redskins have a golden opportunity to improve to 6-6 on the season and keep themselves atop the NFC East, but this team will need to play some mistake-free football. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,787 yards with 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, but he is prone to throwing some awful picks. If he can make high percentage throws and take good care of the ball then his team will be in an excellent position to win.


Another guy who will need to avoid letting the ball get in Dallas’ hands is Matt Jones. Jones is an explosive runner for this Redskins team, racking up a total of 618 yards rushing and receiving and also punching in four total touchdowns. He has, however, fumbled the ball six times and he has lost four of those. He will need to grip the rock tight and make sure he does not lose it on Monday. Ball security combined with the Redskins shutting down the run would likely mean that the team comes away as a winner in this game.
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 7


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


DAL at WAS 08:30 PM

DAL +2.5 TRIPLE PLAY


O 42.5 TRIPLE PLAY
 

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