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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 8​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TB at BAL12:05 PMTB +187
U 8.0		+500 +500
TOR at ATL01:35 PMTOR +235
O 7.5		+500 +500
CHW at BOS01:35 PMBOS -256
O 9.5		+500 +500
WAS at PIT01:35 PMPIT -152
U 8.5		+500 +500
CIN at NYM01:40 PMNYM -199
O 8.0		+500 +500
PHI at MIA01:40 PMMIA +117
O 8.5		+500 +500
COL at MIL02:10 PMCOL +234
U 7.5		+500 +500
MIN at KC02:10 PMKC -120
O 8.5		+500 +500
SEA at STL02:15 PMSEA -122
O 7.5		+500 +500
NYY at CHC02:20 PMNYY -153
U 8.5		+500 +500
LAA at TEX02:35 PMTEX -168
O 8.5		+500 +500
DET at OAK04:07 PMDET -101
O 8.0		+500 +500
CLE at LAD04:10 PMCLE +144
O 8.5		+500 +500
SF at SD04:10 PMSD -188
U 8.5		+500 +500
AZ at HOU07:10 PMHOU -136
O 8.5		+500 +500
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Messages
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Tokens
SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1.............................63.63%.......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1............................53.33%.......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0...........................36.84%.......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2............................45.00%......................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0.............................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1.............................50.00%.....................+ 0.90

TOTALS...............................87 - 82- 6...............................51.47%...................- 17.20

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96
 
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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Arizona 12, Astros 6- Pavin Smith hit 3 homers, had 8 RBI.
— White Sox 7, Red Sox 2- Chicago scored five runs in last inning.
— Royals 2, Twins 0- Michael Wacha tossed seven shutout IP.
— Reds 3, Mets 1- Loss snaps Mets’ 9-game winning streak.
— Dodgers 4, Guardians 0- Shohei Ohtani hit his 46th home run.
— Braves 4, Blue Jays 3 (11)- Sean Murphy had game-winning RBI

Quote of the Day
“Have you thanked a (Cleveland) Brown lately? Thank ’em for all of our players.”
Hannah McNair, Houston Texans vice president, wife of team owner Cal McNair
She is referring to the bonanza Texans got in the Deshaun Watson trade in 2022.

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, who was the last rookie QB to start.a game for the Washington Redskins/Commanders?
(Hint: It happened in 2012)

Sunday’s quiz
When Bryce Harper broke into the major leagues, he was on the Washington Nationals.

Saturday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was quarterback for the Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Bills 34, Cardinals 28
First three drives, Arizona ran 36 plays, 191 yards, 17 points.
Rest of game, Arizona ran 25 plays, 80 yards, 3 points.
Cardinals’ only TD in second half was a 96-yard kick return.
Last 5 years, Arizona is 2-3-1 SU/5-1 ATS in Week 1.
Cardinals are 21-11-1 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog.
Arizona led 17-10 at halftime.
Bills scored four TD’s, kicked FG on their first seven drives.
Cardinals were 7-13 on 3rd down, Buffalo 3-9.
Bills were 3-9 on 3rd down conversions, but 2-2 on 4th down.
Bufflo averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt.

Patriots 16, Bengals 10
Stevenson carried ball 25 times for 120 yards.
Joey Slye kicked three field goals (35-35-37 yards)
Bengals outgained New England, 324-290.
Last 10 years, Patriots are 7-3 ATS in road openers.
There were 14,206 entries in the Circa Survivor Pool in Las Vegas; 4,895 people had the Bengals, more than any other team.
Bengals went 3/out on first 3 drives (9 plays, 19 yards)
On their fourth drive, Bengals lost a fumble in red zone.
Cincinnati was minus-2 in turnovers, converted only 4-11 on 3rd down.
Last nine years, Bengals are 2-7 SU/ATS in home openers.
Since 2016, Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS as a favorite in a home opener.

Vikings 28, Giants 6
Vikings had an 11-play, 99 yard TD drive that took up 6:44.
LB Andrew Van Ginkel scored on a 10-yard pick-6.
Vikings outgained the Giants, 312-240
First time in eight years Minnesota won their road opener.
Under is 14-7 in Vikings’ last 21 road openers.
Giants averaged only 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
Giants were minus-2 in turnovers, had 9 penalties for 95 yards.
Last 14 years, Giants started season 0-2 12 times.
Since 2012, Giants are 2-11 SU/1-12 ATS in home openers.
QB Jones is 23-38-1 as an NFL starter.

Bears 24, Titans 17
Tennessee led 17-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
Bears scored two TD’s; a blocked punt, and a pick-6.
Teams combined to convert only 5-27 third down plays.
Tennessee averaged 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
QB Levis is 3-7 as an NFL starter.
QB Williams was 14-29/93 in his NFL debut, but his team won.
Bears averaged only 2.1 yards/pass attempt.
Titans outgained Chicago, 244-148.
Bears outscored Tennessee 14-0 in 4th quarter.
Three teams didn’t score an offensive TD; two of them won.

Steelers 18, Falcons 10
Steelers won without scoring a TD; they kicked six FG’s.
Last 2+ years, Steelers outgained Atlanta, 270-226.
Steelers OC Smith was Atlanta’s head coach the last three years (21-30 W-L)
Since 2017, Pittsburgh is 23-12-1 as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh won/covered its last five road openers.
Falcons in second half: 21 plays, 45 yards, two turnovers.
Atlanta was 2-9 on third down, Steelers 8-17.
Falcons were minus-3 in turnovers (0-3).
Raheem Morris is 21-39 as an NFL head coach.
Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 4-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Dolphins 20, Jaguars 17
Jason Sanders kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Tagovailoa threw a 80-yard TD pass to Tyreek Hill in third quarter
Dolphins were 8-16 on third down, Jaguars were 2-10.
Tagovailoa is 33-20 as an NFL starter.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Jaguars led 14-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
Miami outscored the Jaguars 13-0 in second half.
QB Lawrence is 21-31 as an NFL starter.
Last eight years, Jaguars are 3-5 SU/6-2 ATS in road openers.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 9-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Texans 29, Colts 27
Houston’s first 3 drives: 22 plays, 145 yards: FG-FG-TD
Texans led 12-7 at halftime.
Houston outgained the Colts, 417-303.
Fairbairn made three FG’s: 50-51-51 yards.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 11-7 as an NFL starter.
Colts’ first six drives: 30 plays, 160 yards, 7 points.
Colts’ last three drives: 13 plays, 143 yards, TD-TD-TD
Indy completed only 9-19 passes, but averaged 23.5 yards/completion.
Last 10 years, Colts are 0-10-1 SU/2-8-1 ATS in Week 1.
Texans won their third straight visit to Indianapolis.

Saints 47, Panthers 10
Saints scored on their first nine drives (5 TDs, 4FGs)
New Orleans led 30-3 at halftime.
Saints were 7-13 on third down, Carolina 1-10
Carolina averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 379-193
Last 3+ years, Carolina is 7-16-1 ATS as road underdog.
2nd year QB Young is 2-15 as an NFL starter.
Last six years, Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Panthers are 5-11 ATS in road openers.
Last nine years, Carolina is 11-16-1 ATS in NFC South road games.

Chargers 22, Raiders 10
Chargers outscored Las Vegas 16-3 in second half.
Raiders in 2nd half: 32 plays, 183 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Chargers were 9-15 on third down, Raiders 5-14.
QB Minshew is 15-23 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Riaders’ only TD was 31-yard pass from Minshew to Mattison.
Chargers ran ball for 176 yards, Raiders 71.
JK Dobbins rushed for 135 yards on 10 carries, including a 12-yard TD.
Cameron Dicker kicked three FG’s (53-25-24 yards).
Home team won last seven series games.
Chargers won their season opener five of last six years.

Seahawks 26, Broncos 20
Denver scored two safeties in first half, led 13-9 at halftime.
Seattle’s first three drives of 2nd half: 22 plays, 178 yards, 17 points.
Rookie starting QB’s went 1-2 this week.
Broncos averaged only 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks outgained Denver, 304-231.
RB Walker carried ball 20 times for 103 yards and a TD.
Seahawks won four of their last five games against Denver.
QB Smith is 31-37 as an NFL starter, 19-18 with Seattle.
Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last nine home openers.
So far this week, NFC teams are 3-2 vs AFC opponents.

Cowboys 33, Browns 17
QB Prescott signed a 4-year, $240M contract Sunday morning.
KaVontae Turpin ran a punt back 60 yards for a TD.
Brandon Aubrey kicked FG’s of 57, 50, 46 and 40 yards.
QB Prescott is 76-46 as an NFL starter.
Last 2+ years, Dallas is 7-4 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Cleveland went 3/out on seven of first eight drives.
Cowboys led 20-3 at halftime.
Dallas outgained the Browns 216-54 in first half.
Cleveland was 2-15 on third down, Cowboys were 4-14.
Over is 4-1 in Browns’ last five home openers.

Buccaneers 37, Commanders 20
Bucs had ball eight times; scored four TD’s, kicked three FG’s.
QB Mayfield threw for 289 yards and four TD’s.
Mayfield is 43-28 as an NFL starter, 11-9 with Buccaneers.
Last five years, Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
Buccaneers outgained Washington, 392-299.
Rookie QB Daniels had 88 of Washington’s 138 rushing yards.
Commanders were 2-8 on third down, Tampa Bay 9-13.
Last 6 years, Washington allowed 30+ points in road openers (1-5 SU/2-4 ATS)
Over was 5-1 in those six road openers.

Lions 26, Rams 20 OT
Detroit tied game 20-20 on 32-yard FG with 0:20 left in regulation.
Lions drove 70 yards for game-winning TD on first drive of overtime.
Detroit ran ball for 163 yards, Rams ran for 83 yards.
Under Campbell, Lions are 10-4 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Goff is 27-24-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Rams had ball and 20-17 lead with 4:10 left, but couldn’t run out the clock.
Cooper Kupp caught 14 passes for 110 yards and a TD.
LA gained 181 yards in first half, but scored only three points, trailed 10-3.
LA in second half: 37 plays, 237 yards, 17 points.
Rams WR Nacua hurt his knee in first half, didn’t return.
 
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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 9

8lYj7Pa.png
 
Udog

Udog

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MLB

Monday, September 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

Miami vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Cincinnati vs Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games

Kansas City vs NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City

NY Mets vs Toronto
NY Mets is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Mets is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games

Baltimore vs Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home

Cleveland vs Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

LA Angels vs Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
LA Angels is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels

Chi Cubs vs LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 9​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIA at PIT06:40 PMMIA +239
O 7.5		+500 +500
TB at PHI06:40 PMPHI -219
U 8.0		+500 +500
KC at NYY07:05 PMKC +154
O 8.5		+500 +500
NYM at TOR07:07 PMNYM -128
U 9.0		+500 +500
BAL at BOS07:10 PMBAL +111
O 9.5		+500 +500
CLE at CHW07:40 PMCLE -230
U 9.0		+500 +500
LAA at MIN07:40 PMLAA +163
O 8.0		+500 +500
CHC at LAD10:10 PMCHC +166
O 9.5		+500 +500
 
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SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 ..............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1.............................63.63%.......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1............................53.33%.......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0...........................36.84%.......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2............................45.00%......................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0.............................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1.............................50.00%.....................+ 0.90

TOTALS...............................95 - 86- 7...............................52.48%.................... + 8.25

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96
 
CNOTES

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Most passing yards in NFL in Week 1:
338—Tua Tagovailoa, Mia
317— Matthew Stafford, Rams
291— Patrick Mahomes, KC
289— Baker Mayfield, TB
278— Jalen Hurts, Phil
273— Lamar Jackson, Balt

Quote of the Day
“When one door closes, another one opens.”
Alexander Graham Bell

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Aaron Rodgers play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, Robert Griffin III was the last rookie QB to start a game for the Washington Redskins/Commanders; that happened in 2012.

Sunday’s quiz
When Bryce Harper broke into the major leagues, he was on the Washington Nationals.

**************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— 49ers 32, Jets 19
49ers scored on eight of their nine drives, led 16-7 at halftime.
Jake Moody kicked six FG’s: 46-51-31-53-23-42 yards.
49ers ran ball for 180 yards, outgained Jets 401-266.
McCaffrey was a late scratch; Jordan Mason ran 147 yards and a TD.
QB Purdy is 22-5 as an NFL starter.
Jets went 3/out on five of first six drives.
San Francisco ran 70 plays from scrimmage, Jets ran only 48 plays.
WR Lazard caught six passes for 89 yards, two TD’s.
Last 4+ years, Jets are 10-19 ATS as road underdogs.
Jets are 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC opponents.

— Philadelphia Eagles are only NFL team in the last 50 years to have:
a) the same head coach three years in a row, but…….
b) have 3 different offensive coordinators
c) have 3 different defensive coordinators

— Cleveland Browns’ QB Deshaun Watson is in year 3 of a 5-year, $230M contract that is fully guaranteed, which is highly unusual in the NFL. Watson has played in only 13 of a possible 35 games for the Browns; they’re 8-5 in those games, but in Sunday’s 33-17 home loss to Dallas, Watson was 0-10 on passes that went 15+ years downfield.
From Zach Pareles of CBS Sports: “Since 2006, there have been 1,752 times a quarterback threw at least 10 passes 15+ yards downfield in a game. Deshaun Watson (today) is THE ONLY ONE to not complete a single one.”
No bueno.
Word came out Monday that Watson is getting sued (again) for sexual assault in Houston, something that allegedly happened in 2020. Oy.

— Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield is thriving in Tampa; Mayfield was 30-31 as Cleveland’s QB before they traded for Watson- he makes $33.3M a year, and he isn’t the public relations disaster that Watson is. He might also be a better quarterback, which is kind of ironic.
Odd sidebar to this story: One of the Browns’ executives who helped facilitate the Browns trading for Watson is Paul DePodesta, who is the Jonah Hill character in Moneyball.
DePodesta played football/baseball at Harvard, was mostly a baseball executive before the Browns hired him in 2016. Go figure.

— Sunday morning, while in Cleveland ironically, Cowboys signed QB Dak Prescott to a 4-year, $240M contract. Prescott is 76-46 as the Dallas QB, but only 2-5 in playoff games; Dallas hasn’t been in a conference championship game since the 1995 season.
Dallas owner Jerry Jones will be 82 next month; he is spending lot of $$$ to get his Cowboys back to the Super Bowl in the next few years.

— NFL injuries:
Green Bay QB Jordan Love sprained his knee, not his ankle, is questionable for this week. Malik Willis will start at QB if Love can’t. Willis was 1-2 starting games for Tennessee in 2022.
Rams WR Puka Nacua (knee) is on IR, will miss the next four games.
Rams’ OL has lot of injuries right now, more injured guys than healthy guys.
49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (calf) was a surprise inactive for Monday night’s game.
Bills’ QB Josh Allen (left hand) was cleared to play in Thursday’s game vs Miami.
Chicago rookie WR Rome Odunze sprained his knee, is questionable for this week.

— When HBO’s Hard Knocks focused on the NFL’s Giants during the draft/free agency period,
Giants’ owner John Mara made it fairly clear in one scene that he wouldn’t be happy if Saquon Barkley wound up on the divisional rival Eagles.
Well, Barkley signed with the Eagles and in his first game last week, Barkley ran for 109 yards and scored three TD’s, one of them receiving. Had to be some tense moments between Mara and GM Joe Schoen this weekend. Giants are 16-20-1 in 2+ seasons with Schoen as GM.

— Famous birthdays, September 10th:
Charlie Waters, 76
Gary Danielson, 73
Amy Irving, 73
Sedale Threatt, 63
Randy Johnson, 61
Ben Wallace, 50
Joey Votto, 41
Neil Walker, 39
Paul Goldschmidt, 37

— RIP to James Earl Jones, a man with one of the best voices ever, who passed away at age 93.
In his legendary career, he earned two Tony Awards, two Emmy Awards, an honorary Academy Award and a Grammy; he was the voice of Darth Vadar in Star Wars, he was great in Field of Dreams and I remember him from a random appearance on David Letterman’s talkshow, when he read a list of “things that sound cool when James Earl Jones says them”
RIP, sir.

— Rob Lowe is a game show host now. Why?
Kind of weird to me that the guy who played Sam Seaborn on The West Wing now seems to be the face of FOX’s primetime TV, but it is what it is.

— NBA’s Denver Nuggets locked up G Jamal Murray with a 4-year, $208M deal; Murray helped Denver win their first NBA title in 2023. He’s scored 20+ points/game in his last three seasons.

— How NFL divisions did ATS outside their division this week:
NFC East- 2-2 ATS
NFC North- 2-0 ATS as home favorite, 1-1 as an underdog
NFC South- 1-1 ATS as home favorite
NFC West- 2-2 ATS
AFC East- 0-2 ATS as home favorite, 1-1 as an underdog
AFC North- 0-2 ATS as home favorite, 1-1 as an underdog
AFC South- 1-1 ATS as road underdog
AFC West- 2-0 ATS

Divisional home favorites were 2-0 ATS, home underdogs were 1-0.
 
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MLB

Tuesday, September 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 11 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Miami vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami

Atlanta vs Washington
Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta

Kansas City vs NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Kansas City

NY Mets vs Toronto
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

Baltimore vs Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Cleveland vs Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland

LA Angels vs Minnesota
LA Angels is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
LA Angels is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels

Cincinnati vs St. Louis
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati

Oakland vs Houston
Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Texas vs Arizona
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games at home

San Diego vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego

Milwaukee vs San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Chi Cubs vs LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home


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CNOTES

CNOTES

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Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,981
Tokens

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 10​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
COL at DET06:40 PMDET -178
U 8.5		+500 +500
TB at PHI06:40 PMTB +152
U 7.5		+500 +500
MIA at PIT06:40 PMMIA +133
O 8.5		+500 +500
ATL at WAS06:45 PMATL -130
U 7.5		+500 +500
KC at NYY07:05 PMKC +124
O 8.5		+500 +500
NYM at TOR07:07 PMNYM -128
U 8.0		+500 +500
BAL at BOS07:10 PMBAL +121
O 9.0		+500 +500
CLE at CHW07:40 PMCLE -218
U 8.5		+500 +500
LAA at MIN07:40 PMMIN -246
U 8.0		+500 +500
CIN at STL07:45 PMCIN +118
U 8.0		+500 +500
OAK at HOU08:10 PMHOU -183
U 8.5		+500 +500
SD at SEA09:40 PMSD +106
O 7.0		+500 +500
TEX at AZ09:40 PMTEX +155
O 7.5		+500 +500
MIL at SF09:45 PMSF +105
U 7.5		+500 +500
CHC at LAD10:10 PMCHC +142
U 8.0		+500 +500
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,981
Tokens
SEPT. BEST BET RECORD:

09/10/2024...................11 - 12 - 1.............................47.82%......................- 5.25
09/09/2024......................8 - 4 - 1 .............................66.66%......................+ 25.45
09/08/2024....................13 - 13 - 0............................50.00%...................... - 5.40
09/07/2024......................14 - 8 - 1............................63.63%......................+ 26.35
09/06/2024....................13 - 10 - 1............................56.52%.......................+ 13.15
09/05/2024.........................8 - 7 - 1...........................53.33%......................- 2.25
09/04/2024........................7 - 12 - 0..........................36.84%......................- 40.45
09/03/2024....................... 9 - 11 - 2...........................45.00%.....................- 11.15
09/02/2024........................11 - 9 - 0...........................55.00%.....................+ 1.65
09/01/2024......................12 - 12 - 1...........................50.00%.....................+ 0.90
47.82
TOTALS...........................106 - 98- 8...........................51.96%.................... + 3.00

*************************************************************

BEST BET TOTALS:

Mar - April : TOTALS................292 - 260 - 7...............52.98%..................+ 96.45
May.........: TOTALS....................336 - 300 - 18.............52.83%..................+143.50
June..........TOTALS...................289 - 313 - 12..............48.00%................. -186.21
July...........TOTALS.....................275 - 259 - 8...............51.98%..................- 2.98
Aug...........TOTALS....................331 - 301 - 12.............52.37.....................+ 9.96
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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Messages
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Tokens
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads for this week:
— Bills @ Miami (-2.5)
— Raiders @ Baltimore (-9.5)
— Chargers (-6.5) @ Carolina
— Saints @ Dallas (-6.5)
— Buccaneers @ Detroit (-7)
— Colts (-3) @ Green Bay

Quote of the Day
“I couldn’t coach bad players to play good.”
Nick Saban

Wednesday’s quiz
Who is the only major league pitcher to throw a no-hitter, and later become a US Senator after his playing days were done?

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, Robert Griffin III was the last rookie QB to start a game for the Washington Redskins/Commanders; that happened in 2012.

*************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— How college football conferences are doing so far ATS:
AAC- 9-4 ATS, 6-2 as a road underdog
ACC- 7-8 ATS, 1-4 as a home favorite
Big X- 7-9 ATS, 0-3 as a road favorite
Big 18- 10-12 ATS, 8-9 s a home favorite (only 2 lined road games)
C-USA- 3-5 ATS, 2-4 as a road underdog.
MAC- 8-9 ATS, 7-6 as a road underdog.
Mountain West- 6-6 ATS, 6-4 as an underdog
SEC- 9-7 ATS, 4-5 as a home favorite
Sun Belt- 8-8 ATS, 1-4 as a home favorite

— This was the first Week 1 in 45 years that three NFL teams won, after trailing by 14+ points. Dolphins, Bears, Bills all trailed by 14+, but wound up winning.

— Since Week 9 of the 2022 season, Detroit Lions are 23-8 ATS.

— Two NFL players share the current record for most teams played for:
9- Josh McCown (2002-19)
9- Ryan Fitzpatrick (2005-21)……both guys were quarterbacks.
Nobody has played for eight teams; 25 guys have played for seven.

— NFL kickers were 21-23 last week on kicks of 50+ yards. Pretty, pretty good.

— 10 WRs had 100+ receiving yards in Week 1; Dolphins were only team that had two guys with 100+ receiving yards, Tyreek Hill/Jayden Waddle.

— Seven guys had 100+ rushing yards last week, including QB Lamar Jackson; Houston’s Joe Mixon leads the league with 159 rushing yards.

— College football teams playing the fastest tempo so far this year:
Oklahoma State
Old Dominion
Pittsburgh
South Florida
Texas Tech
Mississippi State
Toledo……..all 7 teams are averaging less than 21 seconds/snap.

— Famous birthdays, September 11th:
Earl Holliman, 96
Tom Dreesen, 85
Rod Perry, 71
Kristy McNichol, 62
Gerald Wilkins, 61
Bern Brostek, 58
Harry Connick Jr, 57
Ed Reed, 46
Zay Flowers, 24

— NHL’s Edmonton Oilers are favored to win the Presidents’ Trophy (best regular season record) for the first time since 1987.

— This week, there are two college football games between two top 25 teams:
Friday: Arizona @ Kansas State
Saturday: Boston College @ Missouri

— Clemson DB Caleb Nix hurt his knee on the first play of the Tigers’ game vs Appalachian State last week, but he played the rest of the game.
Turns out he tore his ACL, and played the whole game with it.

— Remember in the movie Moneyball, where Billy Beane is sitting at a table with a bunch of A’s scouts, talking about prospects?
Chicago Cubs just fired four veteran scouts, Boston Red Sox fired three of them, as veteran scouts are becoming less prominent. Change is happening, not sure if it is change for the better, but it is happening.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Dodgers Wild Cards– Padres-Arizona-Mets
AL: Bronx, Cleveland, Houston Wild Cards– Orioles-Royals-Twins
 
Udog

Udog

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
17,964
Tokens
MLB

Wednesday, September 11

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Trend Report
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Miami vs Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami

Cleveland vs Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

NY Mets vs Toronto
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

Texas vs Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games

Colorado vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 12 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 21 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Atlanta vs Washington
Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

Kansas City vs NY Yankees
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
NY Yankees is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Baltimore vs Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games at home

LA Angels vs Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
LA Angels is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels

Cincinnati vs St. Louis
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Oakland vs Houston
Oakland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 11 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games when playing at home against Oakland

San Diego vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
San Diego is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

Milwaukee vs San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Chi Cubs vs LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home


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