Cnotes February's College Basketball PODS-Stats-News & Game of the Year !

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Purdue at Nebraska
The Boilermakers hit the road to face Nebraska today looking to bounce back from a 94-79 loss to Michigan State on Thursday and carrying an 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Purdue is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Cornhuskers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 23

Game 817-818: Purdue at Nebraska (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 64.085; Nebraska 66.944
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3; 134
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 6; 137
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6); Under

Game 819-820: Michigan State at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.778; Michigan 77.868
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 141
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-2); Over

Game 821-822: Yale at Columbia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 51.394; Columbia 57.875
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 6 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: Columbia by 2 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-2 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 49.159; Central Michigan 52.641
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-1 1/2)

Game 825-826: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.598; Western Michigan 61.829
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-3)

Game 827-828: Bowling Green at Miami (OH) (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 50.433; Miami (OH) 55.379
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 5
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-2)

Game 829-830: SMU at Connecticut (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 66.511; Connecticut 78.143
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 11 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-6 1/2); Over

Game 831-832: Drexel at Delaware (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 52.742; Delaware 54.805
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+4 1/2)

Game 833-834: Seton Hall at Creighton (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 61.651; Creighton 79.760
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 18; 143
Vegas Line: Creighton by 13 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13 1/2); Under

Game 835-836: Illinois State at Northern Iowa (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 52.357; Northern Iowa 62.312
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-7)

Game 837-838: Ball State at Toledo (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 43.480; Toledo 63.082
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 17
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-17)

Game 839-840: Florida State at Pittsburgh (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 61.523; Pittsburgh 74.352
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 136
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8); Over

Game 841-842: Providence at Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 64.077; Butler 62.686
Dunkel Line: Providence by 1 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+1); Over

Game 843-844: USC at California (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 54.865; California 71.330
Dunkel Line: California by 16 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: California by 13 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-13 1/2); Under

Game 845-846: Arizona State at Utah (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 68.681; Utah 68.807
Dunkel Line: Even; 134
Vegas Line: Utah by 4 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 847-848: Washington State at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 54.939; Oregon 67.332
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 12 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15; 139
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+15); Over

Game 849-850: Chattanooga at NC-Greensboro (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 48.567; NC-Greensboro 47.669
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 1
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+1 1/2)

Game 851-852: Iona at Marist (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 59.337; Marist 55.966
Dunkel Line: Iona by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+5 1/2)

Game 853-854: Siena at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.748; Rider 54.743
Dunkel Line: Rider by 6
Vegas Line: Rider by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-4)

Game 861-862: Bucknell at Boston U (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 47.071; Boston U 60.177
Dunkel Line: Boston U by 13; 128
Vegas Line: Boston U by 7; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston U (-7); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, February 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Michigan St - 12:00 PM ET Michigan St +1.5 500 *****
Michigan -

Bucknell - 12:00 PM ET Boston U -7 500
Boston U -

 

[CNOTES]

Spartans at Wolverines

February 23, 2014


Michigan State (22-5 SU, 15-10 ATS) at Michigan (18-7 SU, 12-10 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Michigan -1

No. 13 Michigan State will look to continue its hot shooting on Sunday as it travels to Ann Arbor to take on No. 20 Michigan in a game that could determine the Big Ten regular season title.

These two teams squared off in East Lansing earlier in the season on Jan. 25, with the Wolverines emerging with the 80-75 upset victory, to improve to 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS) in the past seven meetings of this in-state rivalry. However, the Spartans' second leading scorer, PF Adreian Payne was out due to injury in the game. Michigan did a terrific job shooting the ball from deep in that matchup, connecting on 11-of-19 from behind the three-point line. Michigan SG Nik Stauskas finished the game with 19 points, connecting on 5-of-6 attempts from deep. SG Gary Harris did everything he could do to keep the Spartans in the game, tallying 27 points (9-of-16 FG, 4-of-6 threes) and five rebounds.

Michigan State is coming off a 94-79 victory over Purdue on Thursday night to improve to 16-10 ATS overall, 10-4 ATS in Big Ten play and a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road. The Spartans were on fire from the outside, hitting a school record 17 three-pointers. Once again, it was Harris who led the way, scoring 25 points while hitting six threes.

Michigan (12-10-1 ATS overall) will be looking to bounce back from a 75-62 home loss to No. 21 Wisconsin in its most recent game last Sunday. The Wolverines compiled only five assists on 20 baskets and could not slow down the Badgers' offense, as Wisconsin turned the ball over only two times. SG Caris LeVert had a big game on the offensive end, finishing with 25 points (5-of-6 threes) and six rebounds.

As is the case with any Tom Izzo team, Michigan State has been strong on the boards this season, ranking 46th in the nation in rebounding with 38.0 RPG. This is also a very smart and unselfish club, with an outstanding 26 assists on its 30 made shots in the romp over Purdue, and it now ranks sixth in the country in assists with 17.5 APG. The problem with the Spartans offensively is that at times they have looked incredible (87.0 PPG in past three wins), but other times have struggled (56.3 PPG in past three losses).

Defensively, MSU ranks among the top-60 Division I teams in scoring defense (65.3 PPG, 56th), steals (7.4 SPG, 53rd) and blocks (4.8 BPG, 55th). There are plenty of weapons on this team to where it should not struggle scoring the ball.

While SG Gary Harris (17.8 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.8 APG) was the star of the night against Purdue, PF Adreian Payne (16.7 PPG, 7.5 RPG) is playing some terrific basketball now that he's fully healthy. He played just 22 minutes in Thursday's blowout, but still finished with 23 points (4-of-8 threes) and four rebounds.

His great long-range shooting (44% threes) forces opposing big men to play defense on the perimeter, opening up driving lanes for players like Harris and PG Keith Appling (13.9 PPG, 4.9 APG, 3.5 APG). Appling did not have a big game scoring against the Boilermakers (just one point), but he did a great job of running the team and finding the open shooters with nine assists. Appling is the key for this team and especially in this contest, as he will be matched up against Derrick Walton Jr., the freshman point guard of the Wolverines.

While SGs Nik Stauskas (16.7 PPG, 44% threes, 3.5 APG) and Caris LeVert (13.0 PPG, 40% threes, 4.5 RPG) are the best scorers on the team, the Wolverines are going to go as freshman PG Derrick Walton Jr. takes them (8.4 PPG, 39% threes, 2.9 APG). In the loss to the Badgers last Sunday, Walton went scoreless with just one assist in 33 minutes. In the first matchup against the Spartans last month, he finished with 19 points, six rebounds and four assists in what was the best game of his career. For a freshman to do that at Michigan State is very impressive, and it shows the potential that Walton Jr. has.

Another guy that needs to step up for Michigan is PF Glenn Robinson III (12.8 PPG, 4.3 RPG). He is an exciting player when he is out in the open and attacking the rim, but in this game he must be a factor on the boards, as Robinson secured just one rebound in 26 meetings versus MSU last month. In that Jan. 25 meeting, the Wolverines were able to win the rebounding battle 35-29, but that was without Payne playing for the Spartans.

Michigan currently ranks 274th in the nation on the glass (32.9 RPG), but is one of the best shooting teams in the nation (47.9% FG, 25th in Div. I), while scoring 75.0 points per game (82nd in nation). If Michigan is able to win the rebounding battle again, then the Wolverines have a great chance of pulling off a rare season sweep over the Spartans.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday's Pac-12 Action

February 22, 2014


Saving the best for last in men’s college basketball this weekend, the Pac-12 will take center stage on Sunday night with three intriguing matchups. At the top of the list is Arizona State against Utah. The Sun Devils are still in the hunt for the regular season conference title, but they cannot afford any more losses with just six games left on the slate.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m. ET)

The highlight of the Sun Devils’ season so far was a 69-66 overtime victory over then-No. 2 Arizona as 5 ½-point home underdogs on Feb. 14. They have had their share of disappointments as well with an 8-5 straight-up record in conference play. Arizona State has failed to cover in seven of its last 10 games as part of an overall record of 12-12 against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of 23 games this year.

Jahii Carson leads the Sun Devils in scoring with 18.8 points per game and Jermaine Marshall has also been very productive with 15.8 points while shooting an impressive 42.5 percent from 3-point range. The team is averaging 75.8 PPG and shooting 45.7 percent from the floor.

Utah hung tough in this past Wednesday’s 67-63 loss to Arizona, but still could not cover as a 3 ½-point home underdog. The Utes have now gone 3-5 SU in their last eight games and they are 2-4 ATS in their last six outings. The total ended as a PUSH against the Wildcats on a 130-point closing line after going OVER in six of their last nine games.

The Utes match up well against Arizona State with 78.1 PPG and a field goal percentage of 49.7 percent. Delon Wright is averaging 16 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists and Jordan Loveridge has also been a force with 15.2 points and a team-high 7.5 rebounds.

Utah comes into this conference clash as a four-point home favorite over the Sun Devils.

Arizona State won the first meeting this season 79-75 just barely failing to cover the 4 ½-point closing line at home. The home team in this series has now won eight of the last nine meetings SU, but Utah has paid off in the last six meetings ATS. The total went OVER the 135 ½-point line in that first game after staying UNDER in the previous four meetings.

USC Trojans at California Golden Bears (FOX Sports 1, 8:00 p.m. ET)

It has been one disappointment after another for the Trojans this season in conference play with just one SU victory against 12 losses. Their current losing streak reached seven games with a dismal 80-59 pounding at the hands of Stanford as 14-point road underdogs this past Thursday. USC has now failed to cover in its last four contests and it is a costly 3-10 ATS against the Pac-12 this year.

The Trojans’ offense has been effective for the most part with an average of 71.3 points led by Byron Wesley’s 17.6 PPG. Unfortunately, they have one of the worst defenses in Division I. USC is giving-up an average of 75.8 points a game, but this number has climbed its way to 81 points in conference play.

California made some noise earlier this month by ending Arizona’s 21-game winning streak in a 60-58 victory as a six-point home favorite, but its overall play has been spotty at best. The Golden Bears are just 3-5 SU in their last eight games including a 77-69 loss to USC on Jan. 22 as eight-point road favorites. They are 8-5 SU in the Pac-12 and 17-9 SU overall but they have fallen to 12-13 ATS after failing to cover in six of their last eight games.

The Golden Bears are averaging 74.6 points and pulling down 37 rebounds. Justin Cobbs has been the team’s leading scorer with 15.7 PPG and Richard Solomon has led the way under the boards with an average of 10.2 rebounds.

California opened as a 14 ½-point home favorite to avenge that earlier loss to the Trojans.

USC has gone 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings including a perfect 5-0-1 mark ATS on the road against the Golden Bears. The total has gone OVER in 16 of the last 22 meetings overall and in seven of the last nine meetings at Cal.

Washington State Cougars at Oregon Ducks (Pac-12 Network, 9:00 p.m. ET)

The Cougars are another team that has been beaten up in conference play with a SU record of 2-12. They were hammered by Oregon 71-44 in the first meeting this season as 6 ½-point home underdogs. Washington State has been a bit more competitive since that loss with a 3-3 mark ATS (1-5 SU) after failing to cover in six of its first eight conference games. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of 14 games in the Pac-12.

Scoring has been a major issue for Washington State with an average of just 62.6 PPG while shooting 40.9 percent from the field. Defensively, the Cougars are allowing an average of 66.7 PPG, but opposing teams have exceeded this number in six of their last seven games.

At one time Oregon was not only ranked No. 10 in the AP Top 25, it was considered a serious contender for the Pac-12 title. A perfect 12-0 SU run through the nonconference portion of its schedule gave way to a 5-8 SU crawl through the conference so far. The Ducks have posted back-to-back SU victories over Oregon State and Washington in their past two games in an attempt to turn things around. They have covered in three of their last four games, but overall they are a costly 4-9 ATS in conference play.

Oregon remains one of the highest scoring teams in the nation with 83.5 PPG and it is shooting 47.1 percent from the field. The Ducks have a foursome of players scoring in double figures led by Joseph Young’s 18.6 points. However they have had their issues slowing opponents down by allowing an average of 75.1 PPG.

The Ducks opened as 14 ½-point-point home favorites to complete the season sweep over Washington State.

Oregon brings six-game SU winning streak over the Cougars into Sunday’s matchup and a 7-3 edge ATS in the last 10 games. The total stayed UNDER the 134-point closing line in the first meeting this year after going OVER in three of the four previous games.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday....

13) Duke 66, Syracuse 60-- Coaches preach poise to their players; well, coaches need to have poise too. When a bad call goes against you in a 60-58 game with 0:10 left, you don't have a childish meltdown and get thrown out of a game your kids still had a chance to win.

Syracuse played one true road game before New Year's and that was in New York City, where they have a ton of fans. Maybe if Orange played a road game now and then in pre-conference, they'd have more poise now.

12) Boise State 91, UNLV 90 ot-- Refs used replay to change a call, negating a Rebel basket at the buzzer. i watched the replay five times and could not tell which call was right. In that case, the call on the floor (good basket) is supposed to stand. It helps to be at home, I guess.

When UNLV coach Dave Rice was informed his team lost (got hosed), he did not act like a 4-year old who didn't get his ice cream. Classy guy.

11) Oklahoma State 84, Texas Tech 62-- Marcus Smart had 16 points, 10 rebounds as he returned from suspension and helped Cowboys end their skid at seven games. Bracketologists still have them in the field of 68.

10) Louisville 58, Cincinnati 57-- Russ Smith hit a jumper with 0:02.2 left to win this tense struggle, avenging an earlier home loss to the Bearcats. This was a lot like a tournament game.

9) Kentucky 77, LSU 76 ot-- Terrific game; LSU lost in part because their best player Johnny O'Bryant got really tired at the end-- he was 8-25 from the floor. Tigers are banged up, don't have much depth. Kentucky was 1-9 on the arc, still won, avenging an earlier loss in Baton Rouge.

8) Georgia State 80, UL-Lafayette 77-- Ragin' Cajuns had won six games in a row; they led by nine in second half, but 20-7 Georgia State had a 21-0 run to pull out their 20th win of the year. Sun Belt tourney is going to be good.

7) Wisconsin 79, Iowa 74-- Badgers started season 16-0, then lost five of six games, now has won five in a row. Even the good teans are fragile.

6) Florida 75, Ole Miss 71-- Marshall Henderson had 22 points in first half, zero in second half. Florida is now 14-0 in the SEC.

5) Ohio State 64, Minnesota 46-- Gophers were up 28-18 at half, then the second half happened. ESPN's Joe Lunardi had Minnesota as an 11-seed in NCAAs before this game- they're 4-8 in their last dozen games- their next two games are Iowa/Michigan. Good luck.

4) Miami 69, Boston College 42-- Eagles followed up win at Syracuse by getting bludgeoned by the 14-13 Hurricanes, who had lost six of previous eight games coming in. BC has to hire Bruce Pearl this spring.

3) New Mexico 58, San Diego State 44-- Lobos had huge week, winning big at UNLV, then dismissing Aztecs here. Teams meet again at Viejas March 8, and will probably play the next week in Vegas at the conference tourney.

2) Biggest upset of the day: Rhode Island 87 (+11) , St Bonaventure 78-- Rams snapped a 6-game losing streak with road win here.

1) Bad beat of the day: Syracuse (+6). Game ended in a push, but a lousy call nullified the tying hoop for Orange, then Boeheim went postal, got two technicals and Syracuse backers went fortunate to get the push.

I mean, you had a dog getting six points down 2 with the ball with 0:12 left, the game didn't go OT and you didn't win. Doesn't happen much.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 23

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PURDUE (15 - 11) at NEBRASKA (15 - 10) - 2/23/2014, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
PURDUE is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
PURDUE is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEBRASKA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
NEBRASKA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
NEBRASKA is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-2 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 4-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (22 - 5) at MICHIGAN (18 - 7) - 2/23/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (14 - 9) at COLUMBIA (16 - 10) - 2/23/2014, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 103-76 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 103-76 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 4-1 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 4-1 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (12 - 13) at C MICHIGAN (9 - 16) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
C MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (15 - 11) at W MICHIGAN (17 - 8) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 5-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 4-2 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (11 - 15) at MIAMI OHIO (9 - 15) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 3-2 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 3-3 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SMU (21 - 6) at CONNECTICUT (21 - 5) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
SMU is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
SMU is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DREXEL (14 - 12) at DELAWARE (20 - 8) - 2/23/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE is 3-1 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-1 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SETON HALL (14 - 12) at CREIGHTON (22 - 4) - 2/23/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 1-0 against the spread versus SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 1-0 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS ST (15 - 12) at N IOWA (13 - 14) - 2/23/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS ST is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS ST is 4-3 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS ST is 4-3 straight up against N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (4 - 20) at TOLEDO (22 - 4) - 2/23/2014, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 3-2 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (15 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (20 - 6) - 2/23/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PROVIDENCE (17 - 10) at BUTLER (12 - 14) - 2/23/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 173-136 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (10 - 16) at CALIFORNIA (17 - 9) - 2/23/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
USC is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
USC is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-2 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 4-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (19 - 7) at UTAH (17 - 9) - 2/23/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
UTAH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
UTAH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (9 - 17) at OREGON (17 - 8) - 2/23/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UT-CHATTANOOGA (16 - 12) at UNC-GREENSBORO (12 - 16) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 5-1 against the spread versus UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 5-1 straight up against UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (18 - 8) at MARIST (11 - 16) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) in February games since 1997.
MARIST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 4-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 5-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIENA (12 - 16) at RIDER (13 - 13) - 2/23/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 6-29 ATS (-25.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
RIDER is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUCKNELL (13 - 13) at BOSTON U (20 - 8) - 2/23/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON U is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
BOSTON U is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
BOSTON U is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 1-1 straight up against BUCKNELL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 23

Purdue (-7) beat Nebraska 70-64 at home Jan 12, after trailing by 3 with 6:43 left; Boilers won four of five series games, winning 65-56 LY, but then losing 57-55 to Huskers in Big Dozen tourney. Purdue lost six of last eight games, losing last four road games, by 3-9-11-18 points. Big Dozen. home favorites of 6 or less points are 11-13 vs spread. Huskers won their last five home games, by 6-4-5-9-13 points.

Michigan (+5) made 11-19 from arc, won 80-75 in East Lansing Jan 25, after being down 8 with 13:29 left; Wolverines won five of last seven in series, beating Spartans here last two years by a point each. MSU is 4-4 in its last eight games but is 7-0 vs spread on Big Dozen road, with only road loss by a hoop at wisconsin. Big Dozen favorites are 12-6 against the spread in game with spread of 3 or less points.

Rare Sunday Ivy League game; teams played Friday, son't often have a day between league games. Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-1 vs spread. Yale needs win to keep pace with Harvard atop Ivy standings; they beat Columbia 69-59 (-2.5) Jan 31, going 34-46 on line- Lions were 27-33. Bulldogs won last seven games, with three of those on road. Columbia is 3-1 at home in Ivy, losing in two OTs to Harvard.

Eastern Michigan (-4) beat Western Michigan 56-37 at home Jan 14, as Broncos shot 29% from floor with 26 turnovers. Eastern is 4-2 in last six series games, but lost 10 of last 11 visits to Kalamazoo, with only win by a point in '12. Eagles lost three of last four road games, losing in two OTs last game. Western won last six games, with three wins by 3 points. MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 6-11 vs spread.

SMU (-2) beat UConn 74-65 at home Jan 4, holding Napier to 2-8 from floor; Mustangs won 10 of last 12 games, but losses were at Temple and USF, two of AAC's worst teams. UConn won four in row, 10 of last 12 games; they've won last four home games, with three of four wins by 24+ points. AAC single digit home favorites are 8-11 vs spread. Four of last five Mustang games stayed under the total.

Delaware (+3) won 90-77 at Drexel Jan 20, its fourth win in last five in series; Dragons lost last two visits here, by 11-2 points. Blue Hens won won 14 of last 15 games, are 7-0 at home in CAA, with five of wins by 7 or less points (3-4 as home favorite). . Drexel is 7-10 in last 17 games- they lost last three on road by total of five points. CAA home favorites of less than 6 points are 7-20 against spread.

Creighton (-6) won 79-66 at Seton Hall Jan 4, despite getting outscored 20-7 on foul line. Bluejays are 5-2 on Big East road, with four of its five wins by 13+ points. Pirates lost three of last four games, but split their six Big East road games, with losses by 1-1-17 points. Big East double digit home favorites are 7-3 vs spread. Five of last seven Bluejay games and four of last six Seton Hall games stayed under total.

Northern Iowa (even) lost 76-65 at Illinois State Feb 5; they've lost four of last seven series games, but won last nine series games played here vs Redbirds. MVC home favorites of 7 or less points are 19-7-1 vs spread. Panthers lost four of last six games, two of last three home games- 11 of their last 12 games went over total. State lost last four road games, with three losses by 10+ points and an OT loss at Evansville.

Pitt lost four of last six games, with all four losses to top 20 teams, and both wins in OT vs lesser teams; Panthers failed to cover their last four home games. Florida State lost seven of last ten games, with three wins vs teams outside top 90. FSU is turning ball over 20.1% of time in ACC games, worst mark in league. home favorites of 7+ points are 18-16 vs spread. Four of last five Pitt games stayed under total

Butler lost last five games, is 2-12 in first Big East season; they're 1-6 at home, with three OT losses. Bulldogs haven't scored 65+ points in first 40:00 of game since Jan 9. Providence (-5) beat Butler 65-56 at home Jan 21. Big East home teams are 7-2 vs spread in games with spread of 2 or less points. Five of last six Providence games went over total; seven of last nine Butler games stayed under. Friars lost four of their last five.

USC has internal problems, with Wesley suspended now that Howard is back in lineup; Trojans' only Pac-12 win was 77-69 (+8.5) over Cal on Jan 22-- USC shot 58% inside arc. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 13-10 vs spread. Erratic Cal Bears are 3-5 in last eight games, starting that night in LA-they lost last two home games by double digit margins to Stanford and UCLA. Over is 6-2-2 in last ten USC games.

Arizona State won six of last eight games, with three of last four wins in OT; Sun Devils (-4.5) beat Utah 79-75 at home Jan 23,. 5th straight win for home side in series. ASU lost last two visits here by 21-5. Utah lost tough OT game to Arizona last game, ending 5-game home win streak. Pac-12 underdogs are 19-15 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Utah games, 0-3 in last three ASU tilts.

Siena (-2) beat Rider 62-47 at home Jan 4, holding Broncs to two points in first 10:00 of game as they ended 3-game series skid. Saints lost last two visits here by 11-19 points. Rider lost four of last five games, with three straight home losses, but last three losses were to beat teams in MAAC. MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-14 vs spread. Under is 6-3 in last nine Siena games, 7-3 in last ten Rider games.​

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[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 23

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. MICHIGAN
Michigan State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan State's last 8 games on the road
Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games at home

1:30 PM
YALE vs. COLUMBIA
Yale is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Yale's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbia
Columbia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Yale
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbia's last 7 games when playing Yale

2:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Bowling Green is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 6 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 9 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

2:00 PM
SIENA vs. RIDER
Siena is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Siena is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rider's last 8 games when playing at home against Siena
Rider is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Siena

2:00 PM
CHATTANOOGA vs. UNC GREENSBORO
Chattanooga is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chattanooga is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNC Greensboro's last 5 games when playing at home against Chattanooga
UNC Greensboro is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chattanooga

2:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 9 games on the road
Western Michigan is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Western Michigan's last 12 games when playing Eastern Michigan

2:00 PM
IONA vs. MARIST
Iona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Iona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
Marist is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Iona
Marist is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

2:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Northern Illinois's last 14 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 6 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois
Central Michigan is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

2:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 9 games on the road
Connecticut is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Connecticut is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games

3:00 PM
DREXEL vs. DELAWARE
Drexel is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Drexel's last 9 games when playing on the road against Delaware
Delaware is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Drexel
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Delaware's last 9 games when playing at home against Drexel

4:15 PM
PURDUE vs. NEBRASKA
Purdue is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nebraska is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

5:00 PM
ILLINOIS STATE vs. NORTHERN IOWA
Illinois State is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Northern Iowa
Illinois State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Iowa's last 7 games when playing Illinois State
Northern Iowa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Illinois State

5:02 PM
SETON HALL vs. CREIGHTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 5 games on the road
Seton Hall is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Creighton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
PROVIDENCE vs. BUTLER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Providence's last 6 games on the road
Providence is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Butler is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Butler is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. PITTSBURGH
Florida State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. TOLEDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games on the road
Ball State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Toledo is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toledo's last 7 games when playing Ball State

8:00 PM
USC vs. CALIFORNIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of USC's last 9 games on the road
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
California is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing USC
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC

8:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. UTAH
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Arizona State
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona State

9:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. OREGON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Washington State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington State

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Michigan State at Michigan
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)

The race for first place in the Big Ten takes center stage Sunday when Michigan hosts rival Michigan State in one of the most anticipated of the 173 meetings between the teams. Both teams have exchanged wins and losses since the Wolverines picked up an 80-75 win at the Spartans on Jan. 25 to assume to the top spot in the conference at the time. No. 20 Michigan's see-saw ride continued with a 75-62 loss to Wisconsin on Sunday, as Caris LeVert tallied a career-high 25 points but received little support in the Wolverines' lowest-scoring effort at home since a 58-57 win over Michigan State last March.

The 14th-ranked Spartans have not won consecutive games since losing forward Branden Dawson to a broken hand prior to the meeting with Michigan last month, and Dawson remains unavailable after having the pins removed from the hand Friday. With its top rebounder and a standout defender still stuck on the sidelines, Michigan State stepped up its game on the perimeter in a 94-79 win at Purdue on Thursday. Gary Harris made six of the Spartans' school-record 17 3-pointers and finished with 25 points to lead the way.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The Wolverines opened as 2.5-point home faves

POWER RANKINGS: Michigan State (-12.4) - Michigan (-10.9) + Home Court (-3.0) = Michigan -1.5

INJURY WATCH: Michigan State - Branden Dawson (Out - Hand), Michigan - Mitch McGary (Out - Back)

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (22-5 SU, 15-9-2 ATS, 13-13-2 O/U): While Dawson remains out the Spartans will have the services of senior center Adreian Payne, who missed the first meeting between the rivals due to a foot injury, all part of an injury-plagued campaign for Tom Izzo's team. Payne is averaging 18 points and 6.8 rebounds in five games since his return, and guard Keith Appling produced nine assists in 25 minutes against the Boilermakers in his second game since coming back from a wrist ailment. If Appling continues to progress and Dawson's imminent return - which Izzo said could come in the Spartans' next game March 1 versus Illinois - occurs without a hitch Michigan State will look more like the team ranked second nationally in the preseason.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (18-7 SU, 12-10-1 ATS, 12-10-1 O/U): Nik Stauskas scored 19 points in the win over the Spartans last month, but has struggled a bit in the Wolverines' ensuing 3-3 stretch. Stauskas, who leads Michigan in scoring at 16.7, is averaging 11.2 points on 40 percent shooting during the six-game swoon, one reason that the league's top shooting team has been held to 70 points or less in four of its last five affairs. LeVert has done his part to fill the gap by averaging 16.3 points and hitting 46.4 percent of his 3-pointers in the six-game span.

TRENDS:

* Spartans are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Michigan.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Big Ten.
* Wolverines are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games.

CONSENSUS: 53 percent of bets are on Michigan -2.5.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dog paying off in Michigan-MSU rivalry
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday features a big rivalry game in college hoops as Michigan hosts Michigan State. The dog has been a big winner for bettors in recent games as it has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two programs.

Oddsmakers have suggested a spread of Michigan -3 for this edition of the rivalry.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Purdue at Nebraska
The Boilermakers hit the road to face Nebraska today looking to bounce back from a 94-79 loss to Michigan State on Thursday and carrying an 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Purdue is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Cornhuskers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 23

Game 817-818: Purdue at Nebraska (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 64.085; Nebraska 66.944
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3; 134
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 6; 137
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6); Under

Game 819-820: Michigan State at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.778; Michigan 77.868
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 141
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-2); Over

Game 821-822: Yale at Columbia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 51.394; Columbia 57.875
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 6 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: Columbia by 2 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-2 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 49.159; Central Michigan 52.641
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-1 1/2)

Game 825-826: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.598; Western Michigan 61.829
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-3)

Game 827-828: Bowling Green at Miami (OH) (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 50.433; Miami (OH) 55.379
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 5
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-2)

Game 829-830: SMU at Connecticut (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 66.511; Connecticut 78.143
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 11 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-6 1/2); Over

Game 831-832: Drexel at Delaware (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 52.742; Delaware 54.805
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+4 1/2)

Game 833-834: Seton Hall at Creighton (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 61.651; Creighton 79.760
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 18; 143
Vegas Line: Creighton by 13 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13 1/2); Under

Game 835-836: Illinois State at Northern Iowa (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 52.357; Northern Iowa 62.312
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-7)

Game 837-838: Ball State at Toledo (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 43.480; Toledo 63.082
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 17
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-17)

Game 839-840: Florida State at Pittsburgh (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 61.523; Pittsburgh 74.352
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 136
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8); Over

Game 841-842: Providence at Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 64.077; Butler 62.686
Dunkel Line: Providence by 1 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+1); Over

Game 843-844: USC at California (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 54.865; California 71.330
Dunkel Line: California by 16 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: California by 13 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-13 1/2); Under

Game 845-846: Arizona State at Utah (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 68.681; Utah 68.807
Dunkel Line: Even; 134
Vegas Line: Utah by 4 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 847-848: Washington State at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 54.939; Oregon 67.332
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 12 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15; 139
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+15); Over

Game 849-850: Chattanooga at NC-Greensboro (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 48.567; NC-Greensboro 47.669
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 1
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+1 1/2)

Game 851-852: Iona at Marist (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 59.337; Marist 55.966
Dunkel Line: Iona by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+5 1/2)

Game 853-854: Siena at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.748; Rider 54.743
Dunkel Line: Rider by 6
Vegas Line: Rider by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-4)

Game 861-862: Bucknell at Boston U (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 47.071; Boston U 60.177
Dunkel Line: Boston U by 13; 128
Vegas Line: Boston U by 7; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston U (-7); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, February 23

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City, 1:00 ET
La Clippers: 88-128 ATS in February
Oklahoma City: 14-4 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3

Chicago at Miami, 3:30 ET
Chicago: 6-13 ATS on Sunday games
Miami: 21-6 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games

Orlando at Toronto, 6:05 ET
Orlando: 8-20 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
Toronto: 44-25 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3

Washington at Cleveland, 6:05 ET
Washington: 24-11 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
Cleveland: 6-14 ATS as a favorite

Sacramento at Denver, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 34-16 ATS in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days
Denver: 6-15 ATS after a non-conference game

Houston at Phoenix, 8:05 ET
Houston: 8-2 ATS off a road loss
Phoenix: 22-43 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

Minnesota at Portland, 9:05 ET
Minnesota: 11-2 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
Portland: 2-9 ATS after 2 games where they attempted 90 or more shots

Brooklyn at LA Lakers, 9:05 ET
Brooklyn: 12-2 ATS in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days
LA Lakers: 15-26 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

 

[CNOTES]

THE REST OF TODAY'S SCHEDULE:


Yale - 1:30 PM ET Yale +3.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Columbia -

Bowling Green - 2:00 PM ET Miami (OH) -2 500
Miami (OH) -

Eastern Michigan - 2:00 PM ET Western Michigan -3.5 500 *****
Western Michigan -

Northern Illinois - 2:00 PM ET Northern Illinois +2.5 500
Central Michigan -

Iona - 2:00 PM ET Iona -5 500 *****
Marist -

Siena - 2:00 PM ET Rider -4.5 500 *****
Rider -

Chattanooga - 2:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro -1.5 500
NC-Greensboro -

Southern Methodist - 2:00 PM ET Southern Methodist +6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Connecticut -

Drexel - 3:00 PM ET Delaware -3 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Delaware -

Purdue - 4:15 PM ET Nebraska -5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Nebraska -

Illinois St. - 5:00 PM ET Illinois St. +7 500
Northern Iowa -

Seton Hall - 5:02 PM ET Seton Hall +13 500 *****
Creighton -

Florida St. - 6:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -9 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Pittsburgh -

Providence - 6:00 PM ET Butler +0 500
Butler -

Ball St. - 6:00 PM ET Toledo -16 500
Toledo -

Southern California - 8:00 PM ET California -13.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
California -

Arizona St. - 8:00 PM ET Utah -5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Utah -

Washington St. - 9:00 PM ET Oregon -13.5 500
Oregon -

 

[CNOTES]

February's Record:

*****............102 - 91 - 4

DOUBLE PLAYS.. 48- 41 - 3

TRIPLE PLAYS.... 33 - 38 - 1

GOY..................1 - 0

GOM.................0 - 1

GOW.................0 - 1

PAC 12 GOY......0 - 1

CON USA GOY...0 - 1

College Record going into Tuesday's Action....

 

[CNOTES]

Top 10 - Stock Watch

February 25, 2014


Two weeks before conference tournaments begin and we have seen the Top 10 jockey positions plenty of times, especially at the top spot. With only a few weeks left before the NCAA Tournament, let’s see how many of the schools below can maintain their positions.

1) Florida: (25-2 SU, 11-11-1 ATS) - BUY

I think we can trust the Gators to win out the remainder of the season. They have lost two games, both on the road with a combined total of seven points. With road trips to Vanderbilt and South Carolina left on the schedule, Florida should roll into the SEC Tournament extremely confident.

2) Wichita State: (20-0 SU, 19-6-1 ATS) - HOLD

With an ATS record of 19-6-1, Vegas can’t seem to find a line high enough for the Shockers. Their last threat (if you call it that) is Bradley on the road, but the line is still double digits, giving an opportunity for a back door cover. I still believe holding on the Shockers until tournament time is the smart play.

3) Arizona: (25-2 SU, 16-10 ATS) - HOLD

The Wildcats aren’t out of the woods yet. Three of the four teams left on the schedule are considered “bubble teams.” However they have California and Stanford at home this week. Can Zona’ keep the intensity and energy up for these two important games?

4) Syracuse: (26-2 SU, 13-9-2 ATS) - SELL

The Orange has had a rough week and it’s not going to get any easier. After losing back-to-back games and nearly getting beat for the third time to Maryland, I believe their biggest challenge is yet to come…Virginia. This will be the third consecutive game on the road for Syracuse and it’s too much.

5) Kansas: (22-6 SU, 14-13-1 ATS) - SELL

The Jayhawks will have their hands full as they travel to Stillwater to play Oklahoma State this Saturday. The Cowboys desperately need this win. Kansas is 4-5 ATS on the road and I don’t see this record improving. I’m selling.

6) Duke: (22-6 SU, 17-10-1 ATS) - SELL

The Blue Devils finally get a chance to relax and play scrimmage ball against Virginia Tech this week. The problem for bettors is the line will be too high for comfort, so I have no choice but to hold on Duke. There will be plenty of opportunity to bet the Devils when they play the Tar Heels next week.

7) Louisville: (23-4 SU, 14-11 ATS) - HOLD

The Cardinals will have a tough matchup against Memphis on the road this weekend. However, in their last six games they have dominated opponents beating them by an average of 21 points. The Cardinals are hot, but this will be the Tigers most important game of the season.

8) Villanova: (24-3 SU, 17-8 ATS) - SELL

I’m not so much worried about Villanova playing Butler as I am Marquette, but the good news is they are both Philly. Getting crushed by Creighton for the second time, has me concerned that teams are figuring out how to play 'Nova, resulting in closer games the second time around.

9) Creighton: (23-4 SU, 16-10 ATS) - BUY

The Bluejays have shocked me on how well they have handled the transition to another conference. The difference in caliber of play between the Missouri Valley and Big East Conference are night and day. Creighton will win the Big East and Doug McDermott will get “Player of The Year” honors. Not a bad inaugural start.

10) Saint Louis: (25-2 SU, 9-15 ATS) – SELL

Although the Billikens have won plenty of games, they have a hard time covering spreads. Their last four games are 0-4 ATS. They get VCU on the road this week and Shaka Smart and the Rams will bring the “havoc” to make sure the trend continues.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet

February 25, 2014


**Florida at Vanderbilt**

-- Florida (25-2 straight up, 11-11-1 against the spread) took over the nation's No. 1 ranking Monday for the first time during the regular season since Feb. 12 of 2007. However, head coach Billy Donovan downplayed the significance and told the Gainesville Sun, "Anytime that happens, it's an honor. In reality, that means nothing for our preparation for Vanderbilt. I don't think our guys are playing for rankings."

-- As of early Monday night, most books had UF listed as an 8.5-point favorite for Tuesday's trip to Music City. The Gators own a 2-3 spread record in five games as road favorites.

-- Florida is coming off a 75-71 win Saturday at Ole Miss. UF failed to cover the number as a seven-point favorite because Martevius Newby buried a 3-pointer with 2.5 seconds remaining to give gamblers on the Rebels the ATS victory. The game was tied at intermission and most spots made the Gators 4.5 or five-point favorites for the second half, so Newby's trey also beat bettors who took UF at halftime.

-- Scottie Wilbekin scored 18 points and dished out seven assists at The Tad Pad. At this point, Wilbekin appears to be the favorite to win SEC Player of the Year honors. Michael Frazier II got up 200 shots Saturday morning in Oxford, leaving the hotel for the arena before the rest of the team. The work paid off as Frazier knocked down 5-of-10 from deep and finished with 17 points.

-- Vanderbilt (15-11 SU, 13-10-2) has made the most of what easily could've been a lost season. Along with Texas Tech's Tubby Smith, Kevin Stallings has done one of the more underrated coaching jobs in America this season. The Commodores lost three likely starters during the off-season, and then their leading scorer and starting point guard was dismissed from school in early January. Nevertheless, the 'Dores have remained extremely competitive and own a 7-7 record in SEC play. The .500 league record has come about despite the presence of only seven healthy scholarship players.

-- Despite trailing 32-25 at intermission of Saturday's game at Auburn, Vandy dominated the second half en route to a 67-59 win as a 4.5-point underdog. Dai-Jon Parker was the catalyst with a game-high 21 points. He drained 5-of-9 attempts from 3-point range.

-- Vandy has been a home underdog six times, posting a 2-3-1 spread record with a pair of outright wins over Tennessee and Missouri.

-- On the prospect of possibly beating the nation's No. 1-ranked team, Stallings told The Tennessean, “It would be very, very gratifying to be able to be victorious against a team of their caliber. But talking about it and wishing on it and all that kind of stuff is a lot different than doing it. It would take our best game of the season, unquestionably."

-- When these teams met at The O-Dome in Gainesville last season, Florida stroked Vandy 66-40 as a 19.5-point home 'chalk.' However, Memorial Gymnasium has been a venue where the Gators have enjoyed much success over the last several decades. The 'Dores beat UF 77-67 in the last meeting in Nashville two years ago.

-- The 'over' has hit in back-to-back games for UF, but the 'under' is 15-7-1 overall.

-- The 'under' has cashed in four consecutive Vandy games and nine of its last 10. The 'Dores have seen the 'under' go 17-6-2 overall, 8-3-2 in their home games.

-- Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**Wichita State at Bradley**

-- As of late Monday night, most books had second-ranked Wichita State (29-0 SU, 19-6-1 ATS) listed as a 12-point road favorite.

-- Wichita State has won eight in a row over Bradley both SU and ATS, including a 72-50 win as a 17.5-point home 'chalk' on Jan. 14. Fred VanVLeet was the catalyst for the Shockers, producing 22 points on 7-of-10 shooting from the field. VanVLeet also contributed seven rebounds, three steals and three assists compared to just one turnover.

-- Gregg Marshall's squad has covered the spread in three straight games and five of its last six, including Saturday's 83-54 win over Drake as a 16-point home favorite. Tekele Cotton led the way for Wichita State with 21 points and seven steals. VanVleet added 15 points, six assists, five rebounds and three steals without committing a turnover. Darius Carter also had 15 points and blocked four shots.

-- Bradley (12-17 SU, 9-16-1 ATS) has won 11 of its 15 home games, going 6-5-1 ATS. The Braves ended a three-game losing slide both SU and ATS with Saturday's 55-38 win over Loyola-Illinois as 4.5-point home favorites. Walt Lemon Jr. led the winners with 16 points and five steals.

-- Bradley has been a home underdog four times this year, compiling a 2-2 record both SU and ATS.

-- Wichita State owns a 9-1 spread record as a road favorite. As double-digit road 'chalk,' the Shockers are 4-0 ATS.

-- The 'over' has hit in five consecutive Wichita State games to improve to 14-12-1 overall.

-- The 'under' has been an extraordinary money maker in Bradley games, cashing at a 20-4-1 overall clip. The 'under' is 9-2 in the Braves' 11 lined home games.

-- ESPN2 will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Missouri will be seeking revenge for an overtime home loss to Georgia when it invades Stegeman Coliseum in Athens on Tuesday night. The Bulldogs won a 70-64 decision as 11.5-point road underdogs back on January 8. Most books have installed UGA as a 1.5-point home favorite. Mark Fox's team is third in the SEC with a 9-5 league record, and it has won 12 of 14 home games while going 8-4 ATS.

-- Kansas State has lost six straight road games and its only true road win came at TCU. The Wildcats, who are No. 42 in the RPI Rankings, play Tuesday at Texas Tech in a pick 'em matchup. The Red Raiders are 10-5 SU and 8-4 ATS at home.

-- The 'under' is on an 8-1 run in Texas Tech games.

-- Syracuse shook off back-to-back defeats to win 57-55 Monday at Maryland. However, the Terrapins took the cash as four-point home underdogs. Tyler Ennis and C.J. Fair scored 20 and 17 points, respectively, to pace the Orange. Seth Allen hit six 3-pointers and scored 22 points for the Terps, but his off-balance 3-point attempt at the buzzer was off the mark.

-- After losing seven straight games and struggling through a 0-8 ATS slide, Oklahoma State has won a pair of games both SU and ATS over a 48-hour stretch. The Cowboys finished strong last night in Ft. Worth on its way to a 76-54 triumph as 13.5-point road favorites. Marcus Smart produced 17 points, eight rebounds, seven assists and five steals, while Phil Forte scored a game-high 23 points. --Texas Tech might be without Jaye Crockett tonight due to knee tendinitis. Crockett is expected to be a game-time decision ('questionable' officially as of 12:15 p.m. Eastern) vs. Kansas St. Crockett averages 14.3 points and 6.6 rebounds per game.

-- Seton Hall, a 5.5-point favorite tonight at DePaul, owns a 7-1 spread record in eight lined road games this year.

-- UF back-up freshman point guard Kasey Hill is 'doubtful' tonight at Vandy. Hill (5.6 PPG) will most likely miss his third straight game due to a groin injury.

 

[CNOTES]

Hot & Not

February 25, 2014


Winning and losing in college basketball betting is often a fine line. There are a number of teams in the nation who have been at the tops of their games for the last three weeks, covering at least five games in a row.

North Carolina Tar Heels (9-0 ATS L/9) – There just isn't a team in the land who has done more to help itself than North Carolina. The Heels have ripped off nine wins both SU and ATS in a row since losing to Virginia on the road, and in that mix include a couple important wins over teams like Pitt, FSU, and most important of all, Duke. There are still four games left in the regular season and plenty of work to be done, but at least the Tar Heels now know they are dancing even if they lost all of their remaining games.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-0 ATS L/7) – If you want to try to find a dark horse team in Conference USA to perhaps steal the automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament, Tulsa might be that team. The Golden Hurricane are on fire, having won five in a row SU and seven consecutive from an ATS standpoint. Granted, they have been tearing through the bottom part of a weak conference, but the Golden Hurricane have some real talent. Don't let that 15-12 record fool you. This is a team which can beat the big boys in C-USA.

Fresno State Bulldogs (7-0 ATS L/7) – The Bulldogs have won six of their last seven games SU, including pulling upsets on the road against Air Force, Nevada, and most notably, Utah State. Fresno State has the chance to prove that it can play with the big boys these next couple games at home, as it hosts Boise State and San Diego State. All of a sudden if those two games are won and this team can close out the regular season at 17-14, there are going to be some very uncomfortable bubble dwellers in the Mountain West who definitely don't want to run into this squad in Sin City.

Southern Illinois Salukis (6-0 ATS L/6) – The MVC hasn't had the best of seasons, mainly because Wichita State has just mowed right through everyone. However, one of the rare teams to score a cover against the Shockers this season has been Southern Illinois, and that happened on the road just a few weeks ago. That was a part of a six-game cover streak for the Salukis. G Desmar Jackson is averaging over 19 points per game this season, but it is the defense, which has held five out of six foes (Wichita State being the exception) to 64 points or fewer, that’s made all the difference.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-0 ATS L/5) – It's not just the five straight wins and covers for the Huskers that have our attention. It's the fact that they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games, all of which have come in the tough to navigate through Big Ten. All of a sudden, five straight victories though, has this team back in the tourney mix after seemingly being dead in the water just a few weeks ago. Nebraska's defense is legit, and it just might carry Coach Miles’ kids into the dance this year

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.....

13) Was happy to see Dale Earnhardt Jr so excited Sunday night after he won the Daytona 500, his was pure joy. Lot of celebrities, they become too cool to show when they’re really, really happy, this was fun to watch.

12) There is too much speculation about who is in/out of the NCAA tournament, as if it were an ongoing selection process. ESPN reports Joe Lunardi’s stuff like it is fact; while he is usually very good with his analysis, it isn’t fact. “Oh, if Tennessee wins at Texas A&M, they’ll move into the field.” That type of “reporting” is just wrong. The committee will come up with the 68 teams in three weeks; those will be the facts.

11) Jadeveon Clowney ran a strong 40-yard dash at the Combine, somewhere between 4.47 and 4.53, depending on who you believe. Clowney didn’t have a strong senior year at South Carolina, but the success Vontaze Burfict had with the Bengals after a sub-par senior season at Arizona State will only help Clowney’s status. NFL Draft is May 8 and its going to be interesting.

10) Why wouldn’t a quarterback prospect throw at the Combine? What do they have to lose? Seems like agents are stifling the kids from showing their skills. If I was a prospect like Johnny Manziel, I’d want the whole league to see what I can do, let them know that I’m anxious to show off my skills. Guess that’s one of many reasons why I’m not an agent.

9) Lookalikes: golfer Victor Dubuisson and Brad Pitt, especially when they are wearing sun visors.

8) Included in Jim Boeheim’s post-game whining Saturday night was a complaint that the Orange had to play at Maryland last night after playing at Duke Saturday, while the Terrapins had Saturday off. Seems like a fair complaint, but the ACC ain’t trying do to Maryland any favors, seeing as they’re bolting the ACC for the Big Dozen. Sometimes things just happen.

7) On flip side of Boeheim’s meltdown was UNLV’s Dave Rice reacting like an adult to the Rebels getting hosed by a replay review at Boise State, which cost UNLV a game it had apparently already won.

My only question is this; if Rice was more of a bastard, prone to outbursts, would he have been more likely to get that call? Does yelling/working refs get you an extra call or two a game?

Would Bob Huggins or John Calipari have gotten that call? I’m just asking, and by the way, the basket UNLV scored should’ve counted, seeing as it was called good on the floor and no replay clearly showed it wasn’t good.

6) Its funny that Gene Simmons owns part of an Arena Football team, the LA Kiss; Simmons is highly skilled at making money, but he isn’t a sports fan, something he made clear on his reality TV show. Speaks well of the AFL that he invested in it though. His QB is likely to be Colt Brennan, who played college ball at Hawai’i.

5) In case you’re wondering, in an average NBA game, each team has the ball 96 or 97 times a game.

4) Syracuse 57, Maryland 55-- Terps outscored Orange 19-3 on foul line, but turned ball over 18 times (-7), wasting too many possessions to pull a big upset. Syracuse is very shaky right now; they play Virginia next.

3) Texas Rangers extended Ron Washington's contract thru the 2015 season, so he will not enter this year as a lame duck manager.

2) Sounds like the 49ers have a problem, in that Jim Harbaugh doesn’t get along well with the team’s other decision makers, to the point where he or some of the others may have to go.

Pat Riley wrote a book about how teams are constructed then either thrive or fall apart; this part he called “The Disease of Me” where people think they are the reason the team is winning, rather than the collective effort being the reason. Curious to see how this plays out, but how do the 49ers let Harbaugh walk?

1) RIP Harold Ramis. One of the great comedic minds of our time, Ramis was Bill Murray’s sidekick in Stripes, was a regular on Second City TV and was behind scenes in movies like Animal House, Ghostbusters, Groundhog Day, just a brilliant, funny mind. 69 is too young to go. Rest in peace, sir.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (19 - 7) at MINNESOTA (17 - 11) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
IOWA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KANSAS ST (18 - 9) at TEXAS TECH (13 - 14) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
TEXAS TECH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 5-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 17) at DUKE (22 - 6) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
DUKE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
DUKE is 111-74 ATS (+29.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
DUKE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DUKE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 3-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 5-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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YOUNGSTOWN ST (15 - 14) at CLEVELAND ST (19 - 10) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 3-2 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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XAVIER (18 - 9) at ST JOHNS (18 - 10) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 176-136 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 106-72 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 1-0 against the spread versus ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 1-0 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DAYTON (19 - 8) at ST JOSEPHS (19 - 7) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOSEPHS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 2-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
ST JOSEPHS is 2-1 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CLEMSON (17 - 9) at WAKE FOREST (14 - 13) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
CLEMSON is 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in February games this season.
WAKE FOREST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
WAKE FOREST is 164-208 ATS (-64.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 3-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 4-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VALPARAISO (17 - 12) at WRIGHT ST (16 - 13) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 4-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 4-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLORIDA (25 - 2) at VANDERBILT (15 - 11) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WICHITA ST (29 - 0) at BRADLEY (12 - 17) - 2/25/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
BRADLEY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
WICHITA ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
WICHITA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
WICHITA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
WICHITA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WICHITA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
WICHITA ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WICHITA ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
WICHITA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
BRADLEY is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WICHITA ST is 5-0 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 5-0 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DRAKE (14 - 14) at EVANSVILLE (11 - 18) - 2/25/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 5-0 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DRAKE is 4-1 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IL-CHICAGO (5 - 23) at WI-MILWAUKEE (16 - 12) - 2/25/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 164-125 ATS (+26.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 158-123 ATS (+22.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-2 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WI-MILWAUKEE is 5-1 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOYOLA-IL (9 - 19) at MISSOURI ST (18 - 10) - 2/25/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SETON HALL (14 - 13) at DEPAUL (10 - 18) - 2/25/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SETON HALL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
SETON HALL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
SETON HALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
DEPAUL is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DEPAUL is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DEPAUL is 40-73 ATS (-40.3 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
DEPAUL is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 3-1 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
SETON HALL is 3-1 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


INDIANA (15 - 11) at WISCONSIN (22 - 5) - 2/25/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISSOURI (19 - 8) at GEORGIA (15 - 11) - 2/25/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
GEORGIA is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AIR FORCE (10 - 15) at WYOMING (17 - 10) - 2/25/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
WYOMING is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 3-2 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 3-2 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH ST (15 - 12) at NEW MEXICO (21 - 5) - 2/25/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN JOSE ST (7 - 19) at SAN DIEGO ST (23 - 3) - 2/25/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FAIRFIELD (6 - 23) at ST PETERS (11 - 16) - 2/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 3-3 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 5-1 straight up against ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 25

Iowa (-8.5) beat Minnesota 94-73 at home Jan 19, its 4th win in last five series games; Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits here, with the win by 4 in '12. Iowa won/covered its last three road games, by 26-7-12 points; they are 3-0 as road favorites. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games; they're 2-0 as home dogs- underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in its home games in league. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-9.

Kansas State (-9) beat Texas Tech 66-58 at home Jan 28, holding Tech to 34% from floor; Wildcats won last eight games with Tech, winning its last three visits to Lubbock by 19-22-9 points. Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-4 vs spread. Tech is 9-3 vs spread in its last dozen games, but lost last three games, by 6-1-22 points. K-State lost their last six road games- their only road win was at TCU.

St John's won five of last six games, is 8-1 vs spread in last nine; they got beat 70-60 (+5) at Xavier in Big East opener Dec 31, shooting 26% inside arc, 7-14 outside it. Red Storm won/covered its last four games at home, winning three by 15+. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 17-11 vs spread. Xavier is 3-5 in its last eight games after starting 5-1 in its first Big East season- they're 1-4 as a road underdog.

St Joe's (+5) won 60-57 at Dayton Jan 29, holding on after leading by 15 with 10:07 left. Flyers lost last four visits here by 14-6-1-14 points, but they're 5-3 in last eight series games overall. A-13 home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-13 vs spread. St Joe's won six of its last seven games, is 2-2 as home favorite, with only one home win by more than 9 points. Dayton won five of last six games, is 1-1 as a road underdog.

Clemson (-7.5) beat Wake Forest 61-53 Jan 18, outscoring Deacons 18-7 on foul line in 5th straight series win. Tigers are 4-4 on ACC road, 2-0 as road favorites, winning road games by 2-7-4-8 points. Wake lost seven games in row, losing by 33 in Chapel Hill Saturday; Deacons lost three in row at home, by 10-9-7 points, after winning first three. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-11 vs spread.

Wright State (+4.5) won 62-45 at Valparaiso Jan 10, in brickfest where both teams shot 33% inside arc, just Raiders' second win in last eight series games; Wright won three of last four games overall, with last three games decided by total of 9 points- they're 3-3 as a home favorite. Valpo won eight of last 11 games, is 3-3 as road dogs. Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-17 against the spread.

Florida is 14-0 in SEC, 2-3 as road favorite, with no road wins by more than 11 points; their last two wins were by total of 9 points. Gators are 5-1 in last six games with Vanderbilt, losing four of last six visits here. Vandy won three of last four home games, with last four decided by 6 or less points- they're 2-3 as home underdogs. SEC home underdogs of 4+ points are 8-4 vs spread. Florida covered twice in its last seven games as the favorite.

Drake (-7) scored 55 points in second half, beat Evansville 94-66 (-7) in MVC opener Jan 1; Bulldogs won five of last six series games, but lost seven of eight Valley road games, with only win at SIU. Aces lost seven of last games, losing three of last four at home- they're 1-1-1 as a home favorite. MVC home teams are 9-8 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Drake covered twice in six games as a road dog.

Milwaukee (-1.5) won 67-63 at UIC Jan 16, after trailing by 3 at half; Panthers lost last three games, are 2-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 6-4-22 points. Flames lost last 17 games, are 0-14 in Horizon, 5-2 as road dogs-- visitors are 11-3 vs spread in their Horizon games. UIC lost last five visits here, three by 5 or less points. Horizon home favorites of more than 5 points are 15-12 vs spread.

Seton Hall won seven of last eight games with DePaul, beating Demons 86-69 (-8) at home Jan 25; it was 45-25 at half. Pirates lost four of last five games, three of last four at home- they lost at Creighton by a point Sunday. DePaul lost last ten games, is 2-5 as a home dog, with five of last six losses by 12+ points- they lost last game in OT to Marquette. Big Eaat home underdogs are 10-13 against the spread.

Indiana (+4) upset Wisconsin 75-72 at home Jan 14, its first win in last 13 games vs Badgers, but Hoosiers are 3-6 since that game, 1-3-1 as dog on road, losing away games by 3-5-5-6-18 points, winning at Penn St., Northwestern. Indiana lost its last eight visits to Madison, last six by 7+ points. Badgers won won its last five games, but failed to cover last five home games. Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 12-8 vs spread.

Georgia (+11) won 70-64 in OT in SEC opener at Mizzou Jan 8; Dawgs were down 5 in OT, won despite going 13-26 on line. Missouri lost six of last seven road games; they're 2-4 in games with spread of 3 or less. Georgia is 6-1 at home in SEC, winning last three by 13-1-12- they are 5-1 vs spread in SEC games with spread of 3 or less points. SEC home teams are 19-10-1 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less.

New Mexico (+2) won 78-65 at Utah State Jan 28; Lobos won/covered last three games, cruising past Rebels/Aztecs in two sharp efforts last week- they've covered four of last five home games, eight of last 10 tilts overall. Mountain West double digit home favorites are 8-11 vs spread. Utah State lost last three games, covered three of last ten; they're 2-3 as road underdogs, losing away games by 1-8-4-20-17-15 points.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. SAINT PETER'S
Fairfield is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Fairfield's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's last 5 games when playing Fairfield
Saint Peter's is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing Fairfield

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. WAKE FOREST
Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 8 games at home
Wake Forest is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
XAVIER vs. ST. JOHN'S
Xavier is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Xavier is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. John's is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. John's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. VANDERBILT
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 9 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games at home
Vanderbilt is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
DAYTON vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
Dayton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dayton's last 13 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dayton
Saint Joseph's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dayton

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. DUKE
Virginia Tech is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
IOWA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 8 games on the road
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. TEXAS TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
Kansas State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State
Texas Tech is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
VALPARAISO vs. WRIGHT STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Valparaiso's last 8 games when playing on the road against Wright State
Valparaiso is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Wright State
Wright State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wright State's last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 7:00 PM
YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. CLEVELAND STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Youngstown State's last 9 games on the road
Youngstown State is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Cleveland State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 8:00 PM
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing at home against Illinois-Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Illinois-Chicago

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 8:05 PM
LYON COLLEGE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
No trends available
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Lyon College
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 8:05 PM
DRAKE vs. EVANSVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Drake's last 6 games on the road
Drake is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Evansville's last 7 games when playing at home against Drake
Evansville is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Drake

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 8:05 PM
LOYOLA OF CHICAGO vs. MISSOURI STATE
Loyola of Chicago is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Loyola of Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri State's last 6 games at home
Missouri State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 9:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WISCONSIN
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Wisconsin is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Indiana

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 9:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. GEORGIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games on the road
Missouri is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Missouri
Georgia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 9:00 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. BRADLEY
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Wichita State's last 18 games on the road
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Bradley is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wichita State
Bradley is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wichita State

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 9:00 PM
SETON HALL vs. DEPAUL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seton Hall's last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 9:05 PM
UTAH STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
Utah State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 9:05 PM
AIR FORCE vs. WYOMING
Air Force is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wyoming's last 9 games when playing Air Force

See more trends!
FEBRUARY 25, 11:05 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
San Jose State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 7 games