Cnotes College Football Bowl Games Rated Plays, Trends, News Etc. !!

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel


Bowl Season




Boise State @ Northern Illinois


Game 217-218
December 23, 2015 @ 4:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
91.859
Northern Illinois
85.348
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 6 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 9
56
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+9); Under


Georgia Southern @ Bowling Green


Game 219-220
December 23, 2015 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
95.505
Bowling Green
99.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 4
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bowling Green
by 8
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+8); Under


-----------------------------


NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Bowl Season


Poinsettia Bowl, San Diego, Dec 23


Boise State lost its last two home games, allowed 29.5 ppg in last four overall; Broncos won four of last five bowls, with average total in last four 63.8- they covered two of last three as bowl favorite. Northern Illinois lost its last three bowls by average score of 35-16. Huskies are 1-3 vs bowl teams this season; they're 8-0 when scoring 27+ points, 0-5 when they score less. NIU lost last two games, to Ohio/bowling Green. MAC non-conference underdogs are 19-9 vs spread this season; MW favorites are 1-7.


GoDaddy Bowl, Mobile


Georgia Southern-Bowling Green both lost their head coaches already; not a lot of similarity after that. GSU is playing in its first bowl, in its second year of I-A ball- they're 8-0 when running ball for 325+ yards- they were held to 233 or less YR in all four losses, are 2-2 as underdogs this year. BG won nine of last ten games, with last seven wins all by 14+ points. Falcons beat USA 33-28 LY to snap 4-game bowl losing streak. MAC non-conference favorites are 5-5 vs spread; Sun Belt underdogs are 12-11 against the spread.


---------------------------


NCAAF


Wednesday, December 23


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Wednesday's college football bowl games betting preview
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Boise State has gone 5-0 against the spread in their last five games versus team from the MAC.




San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl


Game played at Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California


Boise State Broncos vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (+8, 56)


SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL STORYLINES


1. Two teams that had loftier expectations will share the gridiron when Boise State squares off with Northern Illinois in the San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl on Dec. 23 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego. Boise State was looking to repeat as the Group of Five's representative in a New Year's Six bowl but the Broncos underachieved with three losses in Mountain West play and stand at 8-4. The Huskies had similar aspirations after five consecutive seasons of 11 or more victories but are now attempting to avoid their first six-loss season since 2009.


2. Boise State is averaging 37.8 points behind freshman quarterback Brett Rypien, who was in line to redshirt in his first season on campus until sophomore Ryan Finley suffered a season-ending ankle injury. The nephew of former Washington Redskins quarterback Mark Rypien was ready for the challenge and passed for 2,973 yards and 17 touchdowns while winning Mountain West Freshman of the Year honors. Northern Illinois has done some quarterback shuffling of its own as junior starter Drew Hare (Achilles' tendon) and redshirt freshman backup Ryan Graham (leg) both were injured and freshman Tommy Fiedler is currently slated to make his second career start.


3. Huskies sophomore cornerback Shawun Lurry stands just 5-8 but he is a player quarterbacks are learning to avoid as he leads the nation with nine interceptions and is averaging 30.3 yards per return. "It just comes from practicing hard every day and taking practice seriously and the (defensive) line putting pressure on the quarterback," Lurry recently told reporters. "When they do that, the quarterback just throws the ball up in the air and I’ll be in the right area sometimes and I get it." The Broncos (22) have even more interceptions than Northern Illinois (21) and feature senior safety Darian Thompson, who had five picks this season and is the Mountain West's all-time leader with 19.


TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.


LINE HISTORY: Books opened NIU as 8.5-point dogs but that has moved to +8. The total opened at 56.


INJURY REPORT:


Boise State - WR Shane Williams-Rhodes (Probable, ankle), CB Donte Deayon (Probable, knee), WR Austin Cottrell (Questionable, leg), S Darian Thompson (Questionable, concussion), QB Ryan Finley (Out indefinitely, ankle), TE David Lucero (Out indefinitely, suspension), WR Akilian Butler (Out indefinitely, undisclosed), S Dylan Sumner-Gardner (Out indefinitely, ankle), OL Rees Odhiambo (Out for season, ankle), Gabe Perez (Out for season, shoulder).


Northern Illinois - QB Ryan Graham (Probable, leg), WR Tommylee Lewis (Questionable, ankle), DT Corey Thomas (Out for season, knee), QB Drew Hare (Out for season, lower body).


WEATHER INFO: Temperatures in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies.


ABOUT BOISE STATE (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U): Sophomore running back Jeremy McNichols is tied for the national lead with 23 touchdowns (18 rushing, five receiving) and has rushed for 1,244 yards while posting seven 100-yard performances. Junior receiver Thomas Sperbeck leads the Mountain West in receptions (82) and receiving yards (1,334) - with the latter total breaking the school single-season mark set by Titus Young (1,210 in 2010). Thompson and senior cornerback Donte Deayon (17 career interceptions, four this season) head the secondary while junior defensive end Kamalei Correa has a team-leading five sacks for a unit with 28 takeaways.


ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-5 SU, 7-4-2 ATS, 6-7 O/U): The Huskies figure to give junior running back Joel Bouagnon (1,269 yards, 18 touchdowns) a heavy workload to help take pressure off Fiedler, who was 12-of-28 for 152 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions in a 34-14 loss to Bowling Green in the MAC title game. Junior receiver Kenny Golladay (71 receptions for 1,122 yards and 10 touchdowns) is a big-play threat on offense while MAC Special Teams Player of the Year Aregeros Turner - a junior - averages 25.2 yards with one touchdown on kickoff returns. Senior middle linebacker Boomer Mays (108 tackles) and senior defensive end Perez Ford (five sacks) join Lurry as the headliners on a defense that forced 27 turnovers.


TRENDS:


* Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in December.
* Huskies are 2-6 ATS in their last eight bowl games.
* Under is 5-2 in Broncos last seven vs. MAC.
* Under is 12-5 in Huskies last 17 neutral site games.


CONSENSUS: Fifty-three percent of users are backing the Broncos.








Godaddy Bowl


Game played at Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama


Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons (-7.5, 64)


GODADDY BOWL STORYLINES


1. With one of the most dynamic quarterback-wide receiver tandems in the game, MAC champion Bowling Green will be looking to match a school record for wins set in 2003 when it faces Georgia Southern on Dec. 23 in the GoDaddy Bowl in Mobile, Alabama. Dino Babers posted an 8-6 record in his first season at the helm in 2014, and now has the Falcons on the verge of consecutive bowl wins for the second time in school history (2003-04). Bowling Green ranks in the top five in FBS in scoring (43.4 points per game), passing offense (376 yards per game) and total offense (561 yards per game).


2. Led by second-year coach Willie Fritz, Georgia Southern is making its first bowl appearance in its first year of bowl eligibility. A power in the Division I-AA ranks, the Eagles won national championships in 1985, 1986, 1989, 1990, 1999 and 2000. Georgia Southern won the Sun Belt Conference with a perfect 8-0 record last season and finished third this season, and the Eagles took Georgia to overtime before falling 23-17 on Nov. 21.


3. Bowling Green and Georgia Southern enter with drastically different offensive approaches. The Falcons boast one of the most potent passing games in the country with MAC Offensive Player of the Year Matt Johnson throwing to Paul Warfield Award-winning wide receiver Roger Lewis. The Eagles, on the other hand, rely on a triple-option run attack that averages 355 yards per game and 6.5 yards per carry and received a combined 2,320 yards from Matt Breida and L.A. Ramsby.


TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.


LINE HISTORY: Books opened Bowling Green as a 7.5-point favorite. The total is down to 64 from the opening 66.


INJURY REPORT:


Georgia Southern - OL Roscoe Byrd (Questionable, undisclosed).


Bowling Green - RB Donovan Wilson (Questionable, undisclosed), DL Mike Minns (Out, suspension), OL Christian Piazza (Out for season, undisclosed), K Anthony Farinella (Out indefinitely, back), DL Gus Schwieterman (Out for season, foot).


WEATHER INFO: Temperatures in the low-70s with an 87 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind is expected to blow toward the north endzone at around 10 miles per hour.


ABOUT GEORGIA SOUTHERN (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS, 5-7 O/U): A potent running attack has allowed the Eagles to top 40 points seven times this season and is led by the 5-11, 190-pound junior Breida, who has rushed for 1,540 yards, 16 touchdowns and an 8.2 yards-per-carry average. Georgia Southern threw just 129 passes all season and sophomore Kevin Ellison enters having completed only 44 percent of his 84 passes for 532 yards and three touchdowns against five interceptions. The Eagles yield 23 points per contest and 204 passing yards per game but have recorded just 21 sacks.


ABOUT BOWLING GREEN (10-3 SU, 10-3 ATS, 6-7 O/U): Johnson, who has completed 368-of-535 passes for 43 touchdowns against eight interceptions, leads FBS with 4,700 yards passing and ranks eighth in passer efficiency rating (166.1). Lewis caught 82 passes for an FBS-high 1,476 yards and joins Ryan Burbrink (56 catches, 627 yards) and Ronnie Moore (67 catches, 871 yards) as receivers who have recorded 2,000 yards receiving in their careers. Running backs Travis Greene (1,219 yards) and Fred Coppet (797) have combined for 19 TDs and 5.8 yards per carry.


TRENDS:


* Eagles are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
* Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Eagles last six games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Falcons last four bowl games.


CONSENSUS: Seventy percent of users are backing the Falcons.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Wednesday, December 23




The Boise State Broncos are 5-2 ATS over their last seven bowl games.




The Huskies are just 2-6 ATS over their last eight bowl games while current head coach Rod Carey is 0-3 both SU and ATS in postseason play.




The Falcons are 4-0 ATS over their last 4 games against opponents from the Sun Belt Conference and 7-1 ATS over their last 8 games overall.

 

[CNOTES]

CFB FIRST HALF


CFB > (217) BOISE ST@ (218) N ILLINOIS | 2015-12-23 16:30:00 - 2015-12-23 16:30:00
Play ON BOISE ST ?>in the first halfin All games in non-conference games
The record is 9 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+9 units)

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Bowl Tip Sheet
December 22, 2015



**Boise State vs. Northern Illinois**


-- Two of the nation’s best college football programs that aren’t from Power Five Conferences will collide Wednesday afternoon at the San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl. We’re talking about Boise State and Northern Illinois, both of whom are trying to salvage otherwise so-so seasons for their standards. As of Tuesday afternoon, most betting shops had Boise State (8-4 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) installed as an eight-point favorite with a total of 56 points. The Huskies are +275 on the money line (risk $100 to win $275).


-- Boise State went 12-2 and beat Arizona in the Fiesta Bowl last season in the first year of Bryan Harsin’s tenure. However, BSU took a couple of steps back this year, losing consecutive home games in November as a double-digit favorite. The Broncos were favored by 31 points vs. New Mexico on Nov. 14, but the Lobos invaded the blue carpet and snagged a 31-24 win in a stunning upset. Then on Nov. 20 at home again, it was Air Force that took its turn at prevailed in the smurf turf with a 37-30 triumph as a 10.5-point underdog.


-- Boise State would bounce back to win 40-23 at San Jose State as an eight-point road ‘chalk’ in its regular-season finale. But it left the Broncos at 5-3 in MWC play and the Falcons beat them out with the head-to-head tiebreaker to make the MWC Championship Game. In the win over the Spartans, Brett Rypien completed 25-of-33 throws for 197 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Jeremy McNichols rushed 20 times for 192 yards and a pair of TDs. The sophomore RB also had six catches for 40 yards and one TD.


-- Rypien was expected to redshirt as a true freshman, but that changed when starting QB Ryan Finley went down with a season-ending injury in September. Rypien, the nephew of Washington Redskins great Mark Rypien, completed 62.5 percent of his passes for 2,973 yards with a 17/7 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His favorite target is Thomas Sperbeck, who had 82 receptions for 1,334 yards and eight TDs. Shane Williams-Rhodes has 54 catches for 427 yards.


-- BSU’s offense is led by McNicholls, who rushed for 1,244 yards and 18 TDs with a 5.6 yards-per-carry average. McNicholls also produced 46 catches for 364 yards and five TDs. Kelsey Young is a quality back-up RB who has run for 457 yards and seven TDs with a 5.0 YPC average.


-- BSU was a single-digit favorite three times this year, going 1-2 both SU and ATS.


-- Northern Illinois (8-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) had won 11 games or more for five straight seasons until losing four regular-season game and losing in the MAC Championship Game. In fairness to the Huskies, we should note that they suffered two of their losses after star QB Drew Hare was lost for the season to a broken leg. In addition, they dropped a pair of one-possession games at Ohio State (20-13) and at Boston College (17-14).


-- NIU won six in a row and handed Toledo its first loss of the season at the Glass Bowl as a seven-point underdog on Nov. 3. Hare sustained the injury in the first half, but the Huskies were able to capture a 32-27 victory nonetheless. Redshirt freshman Ryan Graham filled in well for Hare and led NIU to a pair of subsequent wins before getting injured in a 26-21 home loss to Ohio in the regular-season finale.


-- With Graham out against Bowling Green in the MAC Championship Game at Ford Field in Detroit, Tommy Fiedler made his first career start at QB. Fiedler struggled mightily against the Falcons, completed only 12-of-28 passes for 152 yards with one TD pass and three interceptions. He was only able to produce 22 rushing yards on 14 carries. Fortunately for NIU, Graham is back from his MCL injury and is expected to start. Like Rypien, Graham is the nephew of a former NFL QB in Kent Graham. Graham has connected on 59.3 percent of his passes for 653 yards with a 6/3 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 153 yards.


-- NIU’s Joel Bouagnon has rushed for 1,270 yards and 18 TDs while averaging 4.6 YPC. RB Jordan Huff also gets plenty of touches, rushing for 640 yards and eight TDs while averaging 7.9 YPC. The Huskies top WR is Kenny Golladay, who has 71 receptions for 1,122 yards and 10 TDs.


-- NIU sophomore CB Shawun Lurry led the nation with nine interceptions and averaged 30.3 yards per return. Lurry also recorded 39 tackles and 14 passes broken up. He has a pick-six in the loss to Bowling Green the last time out.


-- NIU compiled a 2-1-1 spread record in four games as an underdog this year. Going back to 2004, the Huskies are 27-15-1 ATS as ’dogs.


-- BSU senior safety Darian Thompson became the Mountain West Conference’s all-time leader in career interceptions this year. Thompson picked off five passes to bring his career total to 19. The Broncos had more interceptions (22) than the Huskies (21).


-- The ‘under’ is 7-6 overall for NIU after cashing in three straight games and four of its last five. The Huskies have seen their games average combined scores of 58.5 points per game.


-- Totals have been an overall wash (6-6) for BSU, but the ‘over’ has hit in back-to-back games and three of its last four.


-- ESPN will have the telecast at 4:30 p.m. Eastern.


**Georgia Southern vs. Bowling Green**


-- The Sun Belt Conference and the MAC will be represented at this year’s GoDaddy Bowl in Mobile, Alabama. Weather could be a factor with an 80 percent chance of thunderstorms and with wind in the 15-25 miles-per-hour range.


-- As of Tuesday, most spots had Bowling Green listed as a seven-point favorite with a total of 64. The Eagles are +240 on the money line (risk $100 to win $240).


-- Bowling Green (10-3 SU, 10-3 ATS) won the MAC thanks to the aforementioned win over NIU. The Falcons have won nine of their last 10 games, going 8-2 versus the number. They have been single-digit ‘chalk’ three times, compiling a 2-1 spread record.


-- The successful season led to head coach Dino Babers being tabbed as Syracuse’s next HC. Therefore, defensive coordinator Brian Ward has been named the interim head coach even though he’ll join Babers shortly to become the DC for the ‘Cuse.


-- Bowling Green is led by senior QB Matt Johnson, who returned from a torn ACL suffered in Week 2 of 2014 to lead the nation in passing yards (4,700). Johnson, who was named the MAC’s Offensive Player of the Year, completed 368-of-535 passes (68.8%) with a 43/8 TD-INT ratio. Johnson’s favorite target is sophomore WR Roger Lewis, who won the Paul Warfield Award thanks to 82 receptions for an FBS-best 1,476 yards and 15 TDs. Gehrig Dieter hauled in 89 catches for 957 yards and nine TDs, while Ronnie Moore caught 67 balls for 868 yards and five TDs.


-- Bowling Green can get it done on the ground, too. Travis Greene has rushed for 1,219 yards and 14 TDs while averaging 5.8 YPC. He also has 27 catches for 237 yards and a pair of TDs. Fred Coppet is more-than-capable back-up, rushing for 797 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.9 YPC.


-- Bowling Green is fourth in the nation in total offense, third in passing and fifth in scoring with a 43.4 PPG average. Defense is another story, however, as the Falcons are 78th in total defense, 94th against the pass and 55th versus the run.


-- Georgia Southern (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) has thrived as an underdog through the years, although it has just a 2-2 spread record with one outright win in four such spots this season. Going back to 2010, the Eagles are 8-3 ATS as underdogs. This will be their first bowl game in school history, but it just their second season at the FBS level. They won Division I-AA national titles six times from 1985-2000.


-- Just like it did with Tracy Ham under center for its first two national titles in 1985 and ’86, Georgia Southern continues to run the triple-option running attack. Junior QB Kevin Ellison runs the show these days, rushing for 642 yards and eight TDs while averaging 6.4 YPC this year. He completed only 37-of-84 passes for 532 yards with an abysmal 3/5 TD-INT ratio. Junior Favian Upshaw gets plenty of snaps as well and started the first two games when Ellison was suspended. Upshaw has run for 384 yards and two TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC. He has connected on just 40 percent of his throws for 210 yards with five interceptions and zero TD passes.


-- Junior RB Matt Breida leads GSU with 1,540 rushing yards and 16 TDs. Breida averages an eye-popping 8.1 YPC. Breida had seven games with 137 rushing yards or more and ran for a season-high 205 yards in a 37-13 win vs. Texas State L.A. Ramsby carries a big load as well, evidenced by 772 rushing yards, 12 TDs and a 5.0 YPC average.


-- Georgia Southern faced a pair of Power Five schools this year, losing 44-0 at West Va. in the opener when Ellison wasn’t in uniform. Then on Nov. 21, the Eagles took Georgia to overtime in Athens before dropping a 23-17 decision as 13-point underdogs. The regular-season finale was a colossal disappointment for GSU, as it was drilled by Georgia State 34-7 as a 20.5-point home favorite in Statesboro.


-- The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the Eagles’ last six games to improve to 7-5 overall. They have seen their games average combined scores of 57.9 PPG.


-- The ‘under’ has cashed in four consecutive Bowling Green games to improve to 7-6 overall. The Falcons have seen their games average combined scores of 70.1 PPG.


-- Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

 

[CNOTES]

Poinsettia Bowl capsule
December 22, 2015


Boise State (8-4) vs. Northern Illinois (8-5), 4:30 p.m. (ESPN)


Line: Boise State by 8 1/2.


Series record: First meeting.


WHAT'S AT STAKE


Boise State seniors want to get their 40th victory. NIU wants to break a two-game losing streak and win for the first time in three Poinsettia Bowl appearances.


KEY MATCHUP


BSU's offensive line against NIU's defensive line. The Broncos will be trying to open holes for Jeremy McNichols, who rushed for 1,244 yards and 18 touchdowns this season.


PLAYERS TO WATCH


Boise State: Wide receiver Thomas Sperbeck had 82 catches for a school single-season record 1,334 yards and eight touchdowns. He needs seven catches to break Matt Miller's 2013 team record of 88.


Northern Illinois: RB Joel Bouagnon was named to the All-Mid-American Conference first team after rushing for 1,269 yards and 18 touchdowns.


FACTS & FIGURES


BSU is playing in its 14th straight bowl while NIU is playing in its eighth straight. ... NIU is in its third Poinsettia Bowl; BSU will make its second apperance. ... The Huskies have played in Boise, Idaho, but never played BSU. They beat Fresno State 40-17 in the 2010 Humanitarian Bowl (now the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl). ... Boise State lists 44 players from California on its roster, including three from the San Diego area. ... Boise State will wear white jerseys as the visitors, but otherwise is keeping its uniform combination secret until game day. The Broncos uniform roster includes four different helmets, five jerseys and five pants.

 

[CNOTES]

GoDaddy Bowl Capsule
December 22, 2015


Bowling Green (10-3, 7-1 MAC) vs. Georgia Southern (8-4, 6-2 Sun Belt), 8 p.m. ET (ESPN)


Line: Bowling Green by 7.


Series Record: First meeting.


WHAT'S AT STAKE


Bowling Green and Georgia Southern are both in state of transition after each head coach - Bowling Green's Dino Babers (Syracuse) and Georgia Southern's Willie Fritz (Tulane) - took a new job since the end of the regular season. Bowling Green has been one of the better programs in the MAC for several years while Georgia Southern is playing in its first bowl game since recently joining the Football Bowl Subdivision.


KEY MATCHUP


Georgia Southern's offense vs. Bowling Green's offense: Both these teams are very successful on offense, but go about scoring their points in vastly different ways. Georgia Southern is one of the nation's elite running teams, using a triple-option offense that's rarely seen in today's college game. Bowling Green loves to get its work done through the air - QB Matt Johnson has thrown for a 4,700 yards this season and spreads the ball to several receivers.


PLAYERS TO WATCH


Bowling Green: WR Roger Lewis: The Falcons have several good receiver, but Lewis is Johnson's best big-play threat. He's caught 82 passes for 1,476 yards and 15 touchdowns.


Georgia Southern: RB Matt Breida: He's been the most productive in the Eagles' backfield with 1,586 yards rushing and 16 touchdowns. He's averaging 8.2 yards per carry.


FACTS & FIGURES


Bowling Green's Johnson had the most passing yards (4,700) of any FBS quarterback before bowl season. Western Kentucky's Brandon Doughty passed him with 5,055 passed him earlier this week, but Johnson can regain the lead with a good performance against Georgia Southern. The 356 yards passing he needs is below his season average. ... Bowling Green is trying to earn its 11th win of the season, which would tie a school record. ... Georgia Southern's 355.6 yards rushing per game ranks first in the country by a wide margin. Air Force is in second place with 321.8 yards per game. ... Bowling Green's interim coach for the bowl is defensive coordinator Brian Ward while Georgia Southern will be led by assistant head coach/running backs coach Dell McGee. ... Bowling Green's new head coach next year will be Mike Jinks, who was the associate head coach and running backs coach at Texas Tech. Georgia Southern recently hired Tyson Summers, who was the defensive coordinator at Colorado State.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Bowl Action
December 22, 2015




BOISE STATE BRONCOS (8-4) vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES (8-5)


Poinsettia Bowl
Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA
Kickoff: Wednesday, 4:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Boise State -8.5, Total: 56


Two eight-win teams missing No. 1 quarterbacks will meet in San Diego on Wednesday afternoon when Boise State takes on Northern Illinois.


The Broncos (6-6 ATS) have been without QB Ryan Finley (ankle) for most of the year, while the Huskies (8-4-1 ATS) saw top QB Drew Hare rupture his Achilles tendon in November. Boise State has still piled up 37.7 PPG this year, including 40.3 PPG away from home, but NIU has a mere 35 points and six turnovers during a current two-game losing skid.


The Huskies have lost all three bowls under head coach Rod Carey, while the Broncos are 5-1 in their past six bowls, including head coach Bryan Harsin’s Fiesta Bowl win last season.


Although Boise State has dropped two of its past three games by allowing more than 30 points each to New Mexico and Air Force, the team is 33-12 ATS (73%) after two ATS losses in its previous three games since 1992, including a perfect 7-0 ATS under Harsin.


But Northern Illinois has thrived in the underdog role since 1992, going 49-31 ATS (61%), and benefits from its Wednesday opponent falling in the category of favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a good rushing defense (125 or less rush YPG), after 5.5+ YPC in its previous game going 19-46 ATS (29%) in the past five seasons.


On the injury front, both teams have a pair of questionable players to deal with, as the Broncos might be without WR Austin Cottrell (leg) and DB Darian Thompson (concussion), while the Huskies could be missing QB Ryan Graham (leg) and WR Tommylee Lewis (knee).


Boise State averages 489 total YPG this season, and has topped 30 points in 11 straight contests, including seven games of 40+ points. The team is very balanced with season averages of 40 passes and 41 rushes per game, but is more efficient through the air (304 YPG, 7.5 YPA) than on the ground (184 YPG, 4.4 YPC).


Freshman QB Brett Rypien has done a great job all season with 2,976 passing yards (7.6 YPA), 17 TD and 7 INT. He has zero picks in seven of 10 games, and has thrown for at least two scores in four of the past five contests. His favorite target is junior WR Thomas Sperbeck (82 rec, 1,334 yds, 8 TD), who has more than 150 receiving yards in four of his past seven outings, including 281 yards on 20 catches versus New Mexico three games ago.


The Broncos also have a star ball carrier in sophomore RB Jeremy McNichols (1,244 rush yds, 5.6 YPC, 18 TD), who has a streak of seven straight 100-yard efforts, including 120+ yards in each of the past five contests. The elusive 5-foot-9, 205-pounder also has 46 catches for 364 yards and 5 TD to give him eight multi-touchdown games this season.


Although the Broncos have struggled to stop their past three opponents (30.3 PPG, 498 total YPG), they are still allowing only 21.3 PPG on 342 total YPG for the season. The run-stop unit has been outstanding in limiting teams to 118 YPG on 3.4 YPC, including 105 YPG and 3.0 YPC away from home.


The secondary has given up a respectable 224 passing YPG on 6.9 YPA this season, and the whole defense has benefitted greatly from 28 forced turnovers, including 10 over the past four games. This could be problematic for a Huskies offense that had five miscues in the last game.


Northern Illinois has turned the ball over at least twice in eight games during the 2015 campaign, but is still averaging a strong 33.0 PPG and 427 total YPG this season. Although the Huskies choose to run the football 62% of the time, resulting in 205 rushing YPG on 4.3 YPC, they have a mere 27:09 average time of possession.


The strong passing game tallies 222 YPG on 7.5 YPA this season, but NIU could be forced to start third-string QB Tommy Fiedler in this bowl game with No. 2 QB Ryan Graham (8.1 YPA, 6 TD, 3 INT) injured. The freshman Fiedler has played each of the past two games, where he has completed only 21-of-45 throws (47%) for 265 yards (5.9 YPA), 2 TD and 3 INT.


Whoever is under center will look often to top WR Kenny Golladay, who has caught 71 passes for 1,122 yards and 10 TD this year. Although the junior has more than 125 yards on four different occasions, he was held to one catch for 15 yards in the MAC Championship Game loss to Bowling Green. The bulk of the ball carrying belongs to RB Joel Bouagnon, who has rushed 275 times for 1,269 yards (4.6 YPC) and 18 touchdowns.


But in the past three weeks, the junior has been held to 164 yards on 51 carries (3.2 YPC). Considering how long the Huskies are on the field (32:51 per game), they have done a solid job in holding teams to 25.5 PPG and 400 total YPG.


They allow 167 YPG on the ground, but only 3.9 YPC, and of the 233 passing YPG they give up, opposing quarterbacks average a pedestrian 6.3 yards per attempt. Turnovers have also been huge for NIU, which has recorded multiple takeaways in five straight contests.

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 23


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




GASO at BGSU 08:00 PM


BGSU -5.0 TRIPLE PLAY


O 62.5 TRIPLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF


Thursday, December 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Christmas Eve college football bowl games betting preview
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The Aztecs are one of the hottest teams in the nation, winners of nine straight (8-1-1 ATS).



Popeyes Bahamas Bowl


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Western Michigan Broncos (-5, 65)


Game to be played at Thomas A. Robinson Stadium, Nassau Bahamas


Both Middle Tennessee and Western Michigan ended their regular seasons on a good note and look prepared to put up a boatload of points in the Popeyes Bahamas Bowl on Christmas Eve. Led by quarterback Brent Stockstill, who set the Conference USA passing record for a freshman with 3,678 yards, the Blue Raiders overcame a 3-5 start with four straight wins down the stretch, the last two by a combined 69 points. The Broncos' balanced attack ranked second in the Mid-American Conference in total offense and helped get the squad past then-No. 24 Toledo 35-30 in the finale of the regular season Nov. 27.


Western Michigan features a dynamic receiving duo in Daniel Braverman and Corey Davis, the first tandem in the nation to go over 1,100 receiving yards in the same season since 2012. The pair combined for 23 touchdowns and helped lead a Broncos' offensive attack that ranks second in the nation in time of possession (34.5 minutes per game). Junior quarterback Zach Terrell threw for 3,225 yards, third in the MAC, with 27 touchdowns against eight interceptions, five of which occurred in the first two games of the season.


The Blue Raiders' defense struggled early on but was pivotal in slamming the door on opponents down the stretch, limiting their last two foes to a combined 14 points. Linebacker T.T. Barber (11.5 tackles for a loss and four sacks) and safety Kevin Byard (four interceptions in 11 games) were both all-conference selections for a unit that tied for second in the league in picks with 16. Offensively, the run game left something to be desired, averaging 3.7 yards per carry and failing to get a single player over 500 yards on the ground.


TV: Noon ET, ESPN.


LINE HISTORY: Western Michigan opened as 3.5-point favorites before getting bet to -3. Shortly after the line jumped two whole points back in the Broncos favor to -5 and got as high as -5.5, before settling back at -5. The total has been consistently bet up since opening at 62.5 and now sits at 65.


INJURY REPORT:


Middle Tennessee - LB A. Stewart (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), DE J. Jones (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), LB M. Harges (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), TE T. Barron (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), CB J. Cutrer (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), RB J. Bryson (doubtful Thursday, shoulder), OL D. Johnson (out Thursday, undisclosed).


Western Michigan - N/A.


WEATHER REPORT: It should be a beautiful day for football in the Bahamas with temperaures in the low 80's and a 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing from east to west.


ABOUT MIDDLE TENNESSEE (7-5, 8-4 ATS, 4-8 O/U): Stockstill is the son of head coach Rick Stockstill, who has guided the program to five bowl games since taking over in 2006 but hasn't won one since the New Orleans Bowl in 2009. With his son in the fold and another freshman - wide receiver Richie James - as the other offensive star, the future is bright. James is one of three wideouts in FBS play to record 100 catches and one of 14 to reach the 1,200-yard mark.


ABOUT WESTERN MICHIGAN (7-5, 7-5 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U): Head coach P.J. Fleck's name often comes up in discussions of coaching vacancies, and he will get a chance on national television to show off the progress he has made at Western Michigan. "This was kind of the year of the 'nevers,'" Fleck recently told the Detroit Free Press. "We’ve never been to back-to-back bowl games. We’re doing that. We never beat a Top 25 team. We’ve done that. We’ve never had back-to-back-to-back No. 1 (MAC) recruiting classes three years in a row. We’re doing that. But now, it’s a chance to have our first bowl win in the history of the program." Terrell threw for three touchdowns - all of them to Davis - in last year's loss to Air Force in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.


TRENDS:


* Middle Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.
* Western Michigan is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
* Under is 5-0 in Middle Tennessee's last 5 games overall.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Western Michigan's last 6 non-conference games.


CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the Broncos in this matchup with 65 percent of wagers on Western Michigan. As for the total, 55 percent of wagers are on the over.






Hawai'i Bowl


San Diego State Aztecs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (+3, 56.5)


Game to be played at Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii


Mountain West Conference champion San Diego State will make its second trip to Hawaii in less than three months when its faces Cincinnati on Christmas Eve in the Hawai'i Bowl. The contest will be played at Hawaiian Airlines Field at Aloha Stadium, which came under scrutiny last week when the U.S. women's national team cancelled its soccer match with Trinidad and Tobago, claiming poor field conditions and tweeting out photos of seams in the artificial turf coming apart, mainly on the sideline area. "We didn't have any problems when we played on it," Aztecs coach Rocky Long told the San Diego Union-Tribune of his team's 28-14 victory over the Rainbow Warriors on Oct. 10. "I don't think it was a concern when we were there."


San Diego State rolls into the game with the momentum of a nine-game winning streak, the third-longest active streak in the nation behind Clemson (16) and Alabama (10). That includes a perfect 8-0 mark in the Mountain West regular season and a 27-24 victory over Air Force in the 2015 Sports Authority MW Championship game at Qualcomm Stadium on Dec. 5. It was the 20th conference title in school history and second in the Mountain West era.


Cincinnati was a big preseason media favorite to win both the American Athletic Conference East Division and inaugural league title game. However, the Bearcats finished third in the East behind Temple and USF, which handed Cincinnati its worst loss of the season, 65-27, on Nov. 20. "(The Hawai'i Bowl is) one of the best bowls going," Bearcats coach Tommy Tuberville said. "I've coached in a lot of them, and unless you're playing for the national championship, what better place to spend the holidays than Hawaii?"


TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.


LINE HISTORY: Since opening as 2-point favorites, Cincinnati has seen no love as the line has not only jumped the fence, but gone all the way to San Diego State -3. The total has been bet down slightly since opening at 57, and is down to 56.5.


INJURY REPORT:


San Diego State - QB M. Smith (questionable Thursday, knee).


Cincinnati - WR J. Holton (questionable Thursday, hamstring), QB G. Kiel (out Thursday, personal).


WEATHER REPORT: It could be messy in Honolulu, with a 51 percent chance of rain showers and a 13-15 mile per hour wind gusting across the field from east to west. Temperatures will be high 70's at gametime.


ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (10-3, 7-5-1 ATS, 6-7 O/U): The big question for the Aztecs is whether starting quarterback Maxwell Smith, who passed for 1,529 yards and 13 touchdowns while throwing just two interceptions, will be able to make it back to play in the bowl game after tearing his left ACL in the regular season finale against Nevada. "I hope he gets ready," Long told Union-Tribune. "I'd love to see him start the game." If not, redshirt freshman Christian Chapman, who completed 9-of-14 passes for 203 yards and a touchdown in the championship game, will make his second college start and the Aztecs, who set a school-single season record with 3,061 rushing yards, will lean even more heavily on Donnel Pumphrey, the Mountain West's Offensive Player of the Year who has rushed for 1,554 yards and 16 TDs.


ABOUT CINCINNATI (7-5, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U): The Bearcats bounced back from the ugly loss at USF to edge East Carolina, 19-16, on Andrew Gantz's 42-yard field goal on the final play of the game in their regular-season finale. Junior quarterback Gunner Kiel, who began his career at Notre Dame, has completed 206-of-316 passes for 2,777 yards with 19 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, with senior wide receiver Shaq Washington, who set a school single-season receptions mark with 88 catches for 971 yards and six touchdowns, his top target. Senior Hosey Williams (727 yards, 4 TDs) and sophomore Mike Boone (717 yards, 8 TDs) both topped the 700-yard rushing mark while junior linebacker Eric Wilson (103 tackles) leads a defense that ranked just 84th nationally and allowed 190.8 yards per game on the ground.


TRENDS:


* San Diego State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
* Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
* Under is 7-2 in San Diego State's last 9 non-conference games.
* Over is 4-1 in Cincinnati's last 5 Bowl games.


CONSENSUS: The action is fairly split in this bowl game according to the Consensus, with 56 percent of wagers on San Diego State. As for the total, 58 percent of wagers are on the total.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's Bowl Tip Sheet
December 23, 2015




**Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan**


-- The Popeyes Bahamas Bowl will pit the MAC up against Conference USA, as Middle Tennessee and Western Michigan will collide in Nassau on Wednesday at noon Eastern on ESPN. As of Tuesday night, most betting shops had Western Michigan (7-5 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) installed as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 63.5 points. The Blue Raiders were +170 to win outright (risk $100 to win $170).


-- Middle Tennessee (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) has won four in a row both SU and ATS, including back-to-back victories over North Texas and Texas-San Antonio by combined scores of 83-14. Brent Stockstill stole the show against UTSA by completing 24-of-30 throws for 257 yards and one touchdowns without an interception. Shane Tucker rushed for a team-high 57 yards and two TDs on 12 carries, while Kamani Thomas rushed eight times for 56 yards and one score.


-- Middle Tennessee has been an underdog four times this season, going winless (outright) with a 2-2 spread record. The Blue Raiders have faced four foes who made a bowl game, going 1-3 SU and 2-2 versus the number. The outright win came at home in overtime over Marshall (27-24).


-- Rick Stockstill’s team is going bowling for only the second time in five seasons. In its last postseason appearance two years ago, Middle Tennessee lost 24-6 to Navy as a six-point underdog at the Armed Forces Bowl. This is the fifth bowl game for the Blue Raiders during Stockstill’s 10-year tenure. They have posted a 1-3 record both SU and ATS in the four previous postseason outings.


-- Stockstill has connected on 300-of-450 passes (66.7%) for 3,666 yards with a 27/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has a pair of outstanding wide receivers in Richie James and Ed’Marques Batties. James has a team-best 99 receptions for 1,208 yards, while Batties has 77 catches for 960 yards and 13 TDs.


-- Middle Tennessee faced three opponents from Power Five conferences. The Blue Raiders lost 37-10 at Alabama, lost 27-25 at Illinois and dropped a 17-13 decision to Vanderbilt at home when the Commodores overcame a double-digit deficit in the fourth quarter.


-- Middle Tennessee ranks 28th in the nation in total offense and averages 34.2 points per game (34th). The Blue Raiders’ defense is 59th in total defense, 93rd against the pass and 39th versus the run. They are allowing 25.1 PPG.


-- Western Michigan faced a pair of Power Five schools. The Broncos opened the season at home against Michigan St., losing 37-24, but they scored late for a backdoor cover as 17-point underdogs. WMU lost 38-12 at Ohio St. but took the money as a 34-point ‘dog.


-- P.J. Fleck’s squad avoided a three-game losing streak and denied Toledo a trip to the MAC Championship Game in its regular-season finale. Western Michigan went to The Glass Bowl and dropped the Rockets by a 35-30 count as a seven-point underdog. Zach Terrell completed 12-of-20 passes for 243 yards and two TDs without an interception. Corey Davis had six receptions for 139 yards and two TDs, while Tom Flacco had a 17-yard TD run and a team-best 60 rushing yards on five carries.


- Terrell has completed 66.8 percent of his throws for 3,225 yards with a 27/8 TD-INT ratio. Daniel Braverman has been Terrel’s favorite target, bringing in 103 catches for 1,266 yards and 12 TDs. Davis has 81 receptions for 1,246 yards and 11 TDs.


-- As a true freshman last year, Jarvion Franklin was named the MAC’s Offensive Player of the Year after rushing for 1,551 yards and 24 TDs while averaging 5.1 yards per carry. However, his production took a major dip this year and he’s only been given 20 total carries in the last four games. Franklin had just two games with more than 100 rushing yards. He has 699 rushing yards and five TDs with a 4.8 yards-per-carry average. Most of WMU’s totes have been going to redshirt freshman RB Jamauri Bogan lately. Bogan has rushed for a team-high 836 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 5.8 YPC.


-- Western Michigan has been a single-digit favorite twice, compiling a 0-2 spread record. The Broncos lost outright (43-17) at Georgia Southern as 5.5-point road ‘chalk.’


-- WMU faced eight bowl-bound foes, producing a 3-5 SU record and a 4-4 ATS mark with outright triumphs over Ohio, Toledo and Central Michigan.


-- The ‘under’ has cashed in five consecutive games for the Blue Raiders to improve to 8-4. They have seen their games play to average combined scores of 59.3 PPG.


-- The ‘over’ is 6-5-1 overall for the Broncos, though the ‘under’ has cashed in three of their last four games.


-- Kickoff is slated for Thursday at noon Eastern on ESPN.

**San Diego State vs. Cincinnati**


-- We have a Mountain West-AAC showdown slated for Thursday night at the Hawaii Bowl in Honolulu, where San Diego State will take on Cincinnati. As of Wednesday afternoon, most spots had San Diego State favored by three points with a total of 57 for ‘over/under’ wagers.


-- San Diego State (10-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) has won nine in a row with eight of those victories coming by margins of 14 points or more. The Aztecs, who are 7-1-1 ATS during their nine-game surge, won the Mountain West Conference by beating Air Force 27-24 as 3.5-point home favorites in the MWC Championship Game. With starting QB Maxwell Smith out with a torn ACL, redshirt freshman Christian Chapman completed 9-of-14 passes for 203 yards and one TD without an interception. He also ran six times for 32 yards en route to earning Offensive MVP honors for the game.


-- If you look at injury reports at various websites, you’ll see Smith as ‘out’ for the season. However, he has been practicing with the team and has told the media that he’s going to try to play. Whether or not Rocky Long will allow that remains to be seen. For the season, Smith has completed 55.3 percent of his passes for 1,529 yards with a 13/2 TD-INT ratio. Chapman has also completed 55.3 percent of his throws for 323 yards with a 1/1 TD-INT ratio. Smith badly wants to play in what would be his first postseason appearance after transferring from Kentucky.


-- San Diego State is going bowling for a school-record sixth straight season. The Aztecs are 2-3 both SU and ATS in the five previous postseason games, including a 17-16 loss to Navy as three-point favorites at last year’s Poinsettia Bowl.


-- San Diego State loves feeding the rock to junior RB Donnel Pumphrey, who has already the school’s second all-time leading rusher. If he sticks around for his senior campaign, he’ll almost certainly surpass Marshall Fauk for the all-time lead next year. Pumphrey rushed for 1,554 yards and 16 TDs this year, averaging 5.5 YPC. Chase Price gets plenty of carries too, rushing for 940 yards and six TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC.


-- Micah Holder is SDS’s best receiver, hauling in 23 receptions for 425 yards and five TDs. Pumphrey also catches the ball well out of the backfield, recording 26 receptions for 395 yards and three TDs.


-- San Diego State is ranked fifth in the nation in total defense, sixth against the run, 13th against the pass and 10th in scoring defense (17.2 PPG).


-- Cincinnati (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) had a disappointing season with three other AAC teams spending a good chunk of the season in the national rankings. The Bearcats weren’t one of those teams, losing five times vs. Temple (34-26), at Memphis (53-46), at BYU (38-24), at Houston (33-30) and at South Fla. (65-27). They had their best win at home vs. Miami and also beat bowl-bound foes UConn and Tulsa.


-- Cincinnati junior QB Gunner Kiel is ‘out’ and didn’t make the trip to Hawaii. “Gunner is out with personal problems,” UC head coach Tommy Tuberville told Cincinnati.com. “He’s asked if we can kind of recognize his privacy. He’s not off the team. He’ll be back, but I don’t know when. That’s pretty much all I can say about it.”


-- Kiel, a junior who might go pro, connected on 65.2 percent of his throws for 2,777 yards with a 19/11 TD-INT ratio during the regular season. He suffered a concussion in the loss at Memphis, however, allowing redshirt freshman Hayden Moore to get plenty of playing time. In fact, Moore threw for a school-record 557 yards and four TDs despite missing the first quarter against the Tigers. With Kiel out the next week vs. Miami, Moore threw for 279 yards and a pair of scores. For the season, Moore has completed 58.5 percent of his passes for 1,683 yards with a 9/8 TD-INT ratio.


-- UC splits the load on the ground between three quality RBs. Hosey Williams has a team-high 727 rushing yards and four TDs with a 5.6 YPC average. Mike Boone has run for 717 yards and eight TDs while averaging 7.5 YPC. Tion Green has rushed for 697 yards and eight TDs with a 4.9 YPC average.


-- Shaq Washington has a team-best 88 receptions for 971 yards and six TDs for the Bearcats. Chris Moore has 39 catches for 823 yards and seven TDs, while Max Morrison has 45 grabs for 533 yards and three TDs.


-- Cincinnati has been an underdog four times this season, compiling a 3-1 spread record.


-- This is Cincinnati’s fifth straight trip to the postseason, but the Bearcats have lost both bowl games on Tuberville’s watch. They lost 39-17 to North Carolina two seasons ago and went down by a 33-17 count vs. Virginia Tech in last year’s Military Bowl.


-- San Diego State owns a 2-1 spread record in three games as a single-digit favorite. The Aztecs have faced seven opponents that are in the postseason, winning outright in five of those contests while posting a 3-3-1 spread record.


-- The ‘under’ is 7-6 overall for the Aztecs, whose games have averaged combined point totals of 48.5 PPG.


-- Totals have been an overall wash for Cincinnati (6-6), but the ‘under’ is 6-2 in its last eight games. The Bearcats, who are fifth in the nation in total offense and fourth in passing, have seen their games average combined scores of 66.3 PPG.


-- ESPN will have the broadcast Thursday night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, December 24


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIDDLE TENN ST (7 - 5) vs. W MICHIGAN (7 - 5) - 12/24/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (7 - 5) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (10 - 3) - 12/24/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


-------------------------


Thurs - Dec, 24


Mid Tennessee State at Western Michigan, 12:00 ET
Mid Tenn St: 7-18 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games
W Michigan: 6-0 ATS on road after game where they committed 1 or less turnovers


Cincinnati at San Diego State, 8:00 ET
Cincinnati: 0-8 ATS in road games in non-conference games
San Diego St: 5-1 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals


--------------------------


Thursday, December 24


12:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Middle Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games
Western Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games


8:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of San Diego State's last 25 games
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
Cincinnati is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games


------------------------

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl: Thursday, December 24


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: The Raiders finished the 2015 regular season a perfect 4-0 both SU and ATS while outscoring the opposition 134-55 and averaging 495.7 total yards per game.


Western Michigan Broncos: Head coach P.J. Fleck looks to rebound from his only other bowl game performance, a 38-24 loss to Air Force last December. As it currently stands, Western Michigan is receiving approximately 69 percent of the action for this showdown.


Hawai’i Bowl: Thursday, December 24


San Diego State Aztecs: One of the nation’s premiere defensive units, San Diego State won each of its final nine games while surrendering the staggering average of just 12.6 points per contest with 24 turnovers forced. During that nine-game stretch, the Aztecs went 7-1-1 against the spread.


Cincinnati Bearcats: As a program, the Bearcats are just 2-6 ATS over their last eight bowl games while head coach Tommy Tuberville is a career 6-6 ATS in postseason play.


--------------------------


Middle Tennessee St @ Western Michigan


Game 221-222
December 24, 2015 @ 12:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
84.201
Western Michigan
92.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 8 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 3
63
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-3); Over


Cincinnati @ San Diego St


Game 223-224
December 24, 2015 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
87.393
San Diego St
96.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 9 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 1
57
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-1); Over


---------------------------


Bahamas Bowl, Dec 24
Middle Tennessee won last four games after 3-5 start to get here; they're 1-3 in bowl games, with only win in '09; all three losses were by 14 points. Blue Raiders scored 33.5 ppg in last four games, playing lower end of conference in that stretch. Western Michigan is 0-6 all-time in bowl games, allowing 35 ppg in last five; Broncos are 2-3 as a favorite this year- they gave up 242 rushing ypg in their last three games. C-USA non-conference underdogs are 14-18 vs spread; MAC favorites are 5-5.


Hawai'i Bowl
San Diego State lost three of its last four bowls; two of those were at home in Poinsettia Bowl. Aztecs are Mountain West champs, winning last nine games after a 1-3 start, including a home loss to South Alabama. Cincinnati allowed 33+ points in 7 of 12 games- they're 5-0 when allowing less than 33. Bearcats allowed 222.8 rushing ypg in last five games. AAC teams are 19-15 vs spread out of conference; MW teams are 15-20. Favorites covered this bowl three of last four years; MW teams lost all four games, with average total 47.8.


---------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 24


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




MTU at WMU 12:00 PM


MTU +4.0 BLOW OUT


O 66.0 BLOW OUT








SDSU at CIN 08:00 PM


SDSU -3.0 DOUBLE PLAY


O 56.5 DOUBLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

St Petersburg Bowl, Dec 26

Marshall lost two of last three games, is 1-3 vs bowl teams; they won last four bowl games, allowing 17.5 ppg (2-0 as fave)- they won this bowl back in 2011. Thundering Herd starts a freshman QB. UConn is in its first bowl in five years; Huskies are 1-5 vs bowl teams this year- they scored total of only 30 points in last three games. Faves are 3-2 vs spread in this bowl last five years, with an average total of 54.4. C-USA non-conference favorites are 4-4 this year; AAC underdogs 13-10.


Sun Bowl, El Paso


Over last six years, Pac-12 teams are 7-1 vs ACC teams in bowls, with one win in 2012 Sun Bowl. Miami is 0-5 in bowl games last seven years, scoring 15.6 ppg; Hurricanes won four of last five games after 58-0 loss to Clemson- they are 4-1 in games decided by 6 or less points. Mike Leach is back in west Texas with Washington State team that went 8-3 in last 11 games after losing opener to I-AA team. Wazzu is 3-1 as favorite this year; they lost 48-45 to Colorado State in bowl game two years ago, their only bowl since '03.


Heart of Dallas Bowl


Southern Mississippi was 4-32 last three years; now they're 9-4, winning six in row before losing C-USA title game 45-28 at WKU. Golden Eagles are in first bowl since '11- underdogs covered four of their last five bowls. Pac-12 teams are 12-6 in bowls last two years; Washington lost three of its last four bowls, giving up 35.5 ppg. Huskies won last two games, scoring 97 points to become bowl eligible; they're 1-6 scoring less than 31 points. Favorites won/covered this bowl last four years, with average total of 54.8.


Pinstripe Bowl, Bronx


Duke lost four of last five games, allowing 38 ppg after a 6-1 start; they threw three guys off team, lost All-American safety to injury. Since '89, Blue Devils are 0-5 in bowl games, allowing 43.8 ppg. Last six years, Big 14 teams are 5-2 in bowls vs ACC teams. Indiana is in first bowl since '07; their last bowl was 1991 Copper Bowl. Hoosiers lost six games in row during season, losing by 8 or less points to Iowa-Michigan-Ohio State; they also blew 52-26 lead in loss to Rutgers. Underdog covered all four (3-1SU) Pinstripe Bowls.


Independence Bowl, Shreveport


This is Frank Beamer's last game at Virginia Tech; Hokies are 2-3 in last five bowls- two of five went to OT. Tech won three of last four games to get bowl eligible; their last two wins were by total of five points- they're 3-4 as favorite, three of their five I-A wins are by 15+ points. Tulsa was 5-19 last two years, is 4-3 vs spread as an underdog this year; they are in first bowl since '12- they're 4-1 in last five bowls, scoring 44.4 ppg/ Favorites are 3-2 vs spread in this bowl last five years; average total in last four, 57.5.


Foster Farms Bowl, Santa Clara


5-7 Nebraska is here because not enough teams won six games; Cornhuskers lost four of last five bowls, losing twice to Pac-12 squads. Nebraska is 3-5 vs bowl teams this year; they're 1-5 in games decided by 5 or less points. Mora is 2-1 in bowls, scoring 42-40 in last two; Bruins lost this bowl 20-14 to Illinois in '11; unsure how excited they are with this trip up north. UCLA OC Mazzone was hospitalized LW with blood clot in his lung. Pac-12/Big 14 split last eight bowl meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, December 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (6 - 6) vs. MARSHALL (9 - 3) - 12/26/2015, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (8 - 4) vs. WASHINGTON ST (8 - 4) - 12/26/2015, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (9 - 4) vs. WASHINGTON (6 - 6) - 12/26/2015, 2:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
WASHINGTON is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (6 - 6) vs. DUKE (7 - 5) - 12/26/2015, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
INDIANA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DUKE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (6 - 6) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 6) - 12/26/2015, 5:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (5 - 7) vs. UCLA (8 - 4) - 12/26/2015, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Sat - Dec, 26

Connecticut at Marshall, 11:00 AM ET
Connecticut: 33-18 ATS off a road loss
Marshall: 16-32 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3

Miami Florida at Washington State, 2:00 ET
Miami FL: 1-5 ATS after a win by 6 or less points
Washington St: 7-1 ATS after playing a conference game

Southern Miss at Washington, 2:20 ET
Southern Miss: 10-3 ATS in all lined games
Washington: 0-9 ATS in road games off a home win by 28 pts or more

Indiana at Duke, 3:30 ET
Indiana: 6-16 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game
Duke: 11-3 ATS in non-conference games

Tulsa at Virginia Tech, 5:45 ET
Tulsa: 5-19 ATS after being outgained by 125 or more total yds 2 games
Virginia Tech: 19-7 ATS after a win by 6 or less points

Nebraska at UCLA, 9:15 ET
Nebraska: 23-10 ATS after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers
UCLA: 4-12 ATS in games played on a grass field

 

[CNOTES]

St. Petersburg Bowl: Saturday, December 26


Connecticut Huskies: The Huskies are just 7-17 ATS over their last 24 games overall, but be advised that this is the program’s first bowl appearance since 2011 when UConn fell 48-20 to Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl.


Marshall Thundering Herd: The Herd are a perfect 4-0 ATS over their last four bowl games, with head coach Doc Holliday a sterling 3-0 both SU and ATS in postseason play.


Hyundai Sun Bowl: Saturday, December 26


Miami Hurricanes: Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Remember when “The U” was the most feared collegiate football program on the planet? Well, this iteration of the Hurricanes has lost five consecutive bowl games by an average of 11.8 points per contest. However, Miami did go 4-1 SU after firing head coach Al Golden following a 58-0 loss to Clemson.


Washington State Cougars: As of publication, Washington State was receiving approximately 76 percent of spread bets entering the Hyundai Sun Bowl, which shouldn’t come as much of a surprise considering the fact that the program went 8-1 ATS over their final nine matchups of the season.


Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl: Saturday, December 26


Washington Huskies: Head coach Chris Petersen is a career 5-3 both SU and ATS in postseason play but is looking to avenge his only bowl game loss while leading the Washington program, which came in the form of a 30-22 defeat to Oklahoma State last January.


Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: Southern Mississippi is a perfect 6-0 ATS over its last six non-conference games and 10-3 ATS over its last 13 contests overall. In addition, this is the program’s first bowl game since defeating Nevada 24-17 in the 2011 Hawai’i Bowl.


New Era Pinstripe Bowl: Saturday, December 26


Indiana Hoosiers: The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS over their last six non-conference games, but more importantly, this is the program’s first bowl game since suffering a 49-33 defeat at the hands of Oklahoma State in 2007. Not surprisingly, approximately 83 percent of the early action sides with the Hoosiers.


Duke Blue Devils: Duke is 1-4 ATS over its last five games overall and enters postseason play having been outscored 190-132 over its last five contests.


Camping World Independence Bowl: Saturday, December 26


Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Tulsa is 4-1 ATS over its last five bowl games, but this is head coach Phillip Montgomery’s first career postseason appearance.


Virginia Tech Hokies: Two words: Frank Beamer. The legendary Hokies frontman will call it a career after the Independence Bowl following 29 seasons on the Virginia Tech sidelines.


Foster Farms Bowl: Saturday, December 26


UCLA Bruins: Head coach Jim Mora Jr. is a perfect 3-0 ATS in bowl games while his Bruins are 4-1 ATS over their last five games against Big Ten opposition.


Nebraska Cornhuskers: The Huskers are just 1-4 ATS over their last five games against Pac-12 opponents.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season


Connecticut @ Marshall

Game 225-226
December 26, 2015 @ 11:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
81.890
Marshall
84.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 2 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 5
44
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+5); Under

Miami-FL @ Washington St

Game 227-228
December 26, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
95.635
Washington St
93.084
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 2 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 3
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(+3); Under

Southern Miss @ Washington

Game 229-230
December 26, 2015 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
93.200
Washington
105.673
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-8 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Duke

Game 231-232
December 26, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
89.498
Duke
84.605
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 5
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-1 1/2); Over

Tulsa @ Virginia Tech

Game 233-234
December 26, 2015 @ 5:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
78.362
Virginia Tech
94.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 16 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 13
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-13); Over

Nebraska @ UCLA

Game 235-236
December 26, 2015 @ 9:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
91.206
UCLA
101.132
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 10
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 6 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(-6 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, December 26

11:00 AM
CONNECTICUT vs. MARSHALL
Connecticut is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Connecticut is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
Marshall is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

2:00 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Washington State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games

2:20 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games
Southern Miss is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
INDIANA vs. DUKE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

5:45 PM
TULSA vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Tulsa is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Tulsa's last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Virginia Tech's last 8 games

9:15 PM
UCLA vs. NEBRASKA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games
UCLA is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Nebraska's last 23 games

 

[CNOTES]

CFB MONEYLINE


CFB > (225) CONNECTICUT@ (226) MARSHALL | 2015-12-26 11:00:00 - 2015-12-26 11:00:00
Play AGAINST CONNECTICUT using money line in All games in non-conference games
The record is 3 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (-16.5 units)


CFB > (227) MIAMI@ (228) WASHINGTON ST | 2015-12-26 14:00:00 - 2015-12-26 14:00:00
Play AGAINST MIAMI using money line in All games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
The record is 17 Wins and 23 Losses for the since 1992 (-37.15 units)


------------------------


CFB FIRST HALF


CFB > (231) INDIANA@ (232) DUKE | 2015-12-26 15:30:00 - 2015-12-26 15:30:00
Play ON DUKE ?>in the first halfin All games when playing on a Saturday
The record is 16 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.6 units)


CFB > (231) INDIANA@ (232) DUKE | 2015-12-26 15:30:00 - 2015-12-26 15:30:00
Play ON DUKE ?>in the first halfin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 17 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.5 units)


-----------------------


CFB TOTALS


CFB > (231) INDIANA@ (232) DUKE | 2015-12-26 15:30:00 - 2015-12-26 15:30:00
Play OVER INDIANA on the totalin All games as a favorite
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders for the this season (+7 units)


CFB > (225) CONNECTICUT@ (226) MARSHALL | 2015-12-26 11:00:00 - 2015-12-26 11:00:00
Play UNDER CONNECTICUT on the totalin All games as an underdog
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the this season (+7 units)

 

[CNOTES]

CFB TOP POWERLINES


CFB > (225) CONNECTICUT @ (226) MARSHALL | 2015-12-26 11:00:00 - 2015-12-26 11:00:00
Line: MARSHALL-5 BTB PowerLine: MARSHALL-14
Edge On: MARSHALL (9)


CFB > (229) SOUTHERN MISS @ (230) WASHINGTON | 2015-12-26 14:20:00 - 2015-12-26 14:20:00
Line: WASHINGTON-8.5 BTB PowerLine: WASHINGTON-19
Edge On: WASHINGTON (10.5)


CFB > (231) INDIANA @ (232) DUKE | 2015-12-26 15:30:00 - 2015-12-26 15:30:00
Line: DUKE2.5 BTB PowerLine: DUKE-5
Edge On: DUKE (7.5)


CFB > (233) TULSA @ (234) VIRGINIA TECH | 2015-12-26 17:45:00 - 2015-12-26 17:45:00
Line: VIRGINIA TECH-14 BTB PowerLine: VIRGINIA TECH-22
Edge On: VIRGINIA TECH (8)