Cnotes Best Bets For Wednesday April 23rd - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six batters who have come to plate with most men on base this season:

T5) Kevin Pillar, Tor-- 48-- Knocked in only five of the 48 runners.
T5) JD Martinez, Det-- 48-- Helps to bat behind Miggy and Victor.

4) Ian Kinsler, Det-- 49-- Knocked in 16.3% of runners, best of six on this list.

3) Eric Hosmer, KC-- 51-- Knocked in four of 18 guys from second base.

2) Kendrys Morales, KC-- 52-- Knocked in four of eight guys from third base.

1) Marcus Semien, Oak-- 54-- Weird; he bats at bottom of Oakland lineup.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Scott Brooks went 338-207 as head coach in Oklahoma City, but he didn't win a championship, so he got fired yesterday-- it is impossible not to blame this on Kevin Durant/Russell Westbrook, because all they had to do was say one sentence and it all would've stopped.

"We want Scott Brooks to be our coach." They say that and Brooks stays. It was never said; in fact, Durant "supports the decision 100%". Great guy.

12) Not all change is positive; GM Sam Presti, the genius who traded James Harden to rival Houston for three draft picks, one of whom became Steven Adams, now has to hire a coach who is better than Brooks, one that will keep Durant happy so he doesn't bolt in free agency.

In the NBA, the inmates often run the asylum.

11) Six of the 49ers' eight road games this year are east of the Mississippi.

Four of the Ravens' first seven games are in Denver or further west.

10) Scott Brooks got fired; in the NFL, Marvin Lewis got a contract extension; he is one of two NFL coaches (Jim Mora Sr is the other) who lost his first six playoff games. Lewis is a good coach who deserves an extension; the Bengals were hideous before he coached them, but the contrast is striking.

9) Chicago Cubs are 8-6, but a note of caution; in six of the eight wins, they scored the winning run in the 7th inning or later.

8) Milwaukee Brewers are a 2-13 mess; they've lost eight games in a row, their leadoff hitter has a hamstring pull, their catcher has a broken toe. Oy.

7) The Statue of Liberty's nose is 4.5 feet long.

6) In the first two games of its series with New Orleans, Golden State is +47 with Draymond Green on the court, -30 when he is off the court and that is in only 12:00.

5) So you bet the under in Bronx-Detroit game last night; no bueno. Game went over the total in a wild first inning. David Price threw 51 pitches in the snowy first inning that saw Bronx score six runs off him- it was 6-4 after one inning.

4) College hoop transfers: Jaren Sina from Seton Hall to George Washington, and Marcus Marshall from Missouri State to Nevada.

3) Atlanta Hawks were sold for $850M; weird time to sell the team, as Hawks having their best chance to win a title since they've been in Atlanta.

2) Reds manager Bryan Bleepin' Price kept ace Johnny Cueto in the game for 125 pitches last night, as Cincinnati won its third game in a row, 2-1 over the Brewers. Cueto is a free agent this winter; if the Reds aren't going to re-sign him, makes sense to use him up as much as they can before trading him off.

1) Siena plays Georgetown to start the season in November; they'll play VCU or Duke the next night. Good for their strength of schedule, but its probably also an 0-2 start. At least they'll have a good cover for their game programs.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 23

National League
Marlins @ Phillies
Phelps allowed one run in 4.2 IP (75 PT) in his first '15 start; he made 40 starts the last three years for Bronx (15-14, 4.21).

McGowan is making first '15 start; he has started 68 big league games, but only eight since 2011- he's allowed two runs in seven IP in five relief stints so far this season.

Marlins won four of last six games with Philly; Miami lost five of its last six games overall- over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Phillies lost eight of last ten games; over is 5-1-2 in their last eight.

Cubs @ Pirates
Hendricks is 0-0, 6.10 in two starts this year; his last three road starts went over the total.

Locke is 2-0, 1.93 in two starts this year; six of his last seven went over.

Cubs lost seven of last ten games with Pittsburgh; over is 5-0-2 in last seven series games. Pirates won four of last six games; over is 3-0-3 in their last six. Chicago won seven of its last eleven games overall.

Braves @ Mets
Teheran is 2-0, 4.76 in three starts this year; three of his last four went over.

Colon is 3-0, 2.25 in three starts this year; sevne of his last ten went over.

Mets won their last ten games, scoring 45 runs in last eight (over 5-2-1); they won six of last eight games with Atlanta, five of last six going over. Braves lost five of their last seven games; eight of their last eleven overall went over the total.

Reds @ Brewers
Bailey is 1-1, 3.03 in his last six starts, last five of which stayed under.

Lohse is 0-3, 10.34 in his first three '15 starts; Milwaukee was outscored by a total of 26-4 in the three games, all of which went over.

Milwaukee lost last eight games, outscored 49-21; 10 of last 13 series games stayed under total, with Reds winning last four. Six of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under the total- Reds won their last three games.

Padres @ Rockies
Ross is 1-0, 4.08 in three starts this year; his last four went over total.

Lyles is 1-1, 4.50 in three starts this year; four of his last five went over.

San Diego won nine of their last 12 games overall; over is 7-3-1 in their last eleven. Colorado lost five of its last six games, outscored 45-19. Home side won ten of last 13 Padre-Rockie games- San Diego won three of last four.

Dodgers @ Giants
Bolsinger is making first '15 start; he was 0-4, 6.04 in his last four starts LY for Arizona, with three of the four staying under.

Vogelsong is 0-4, 7.88 in his last seven starts (over 5-2).

Giants lost nine of their last 12 games, but won last two; Dodgers lost last two games after they won previous-- six of their last nine went over. LA won seven of last eleven games against Giants, but lost last two.

Cardinals @ Nationals
Wacha is 2-0, 1.35 in two starts this year; four of his last five went over.

Scherzer is 1-1, 2.08 in his first three Washington starts; three of his last four home starts stayed under.

Cardinals won nine of last 12 games with Washington; under is 8-2-1 in last eleven series games. St Louis won six of its last seven games, allowing ten runs; five of the seven stayed under. Washington won five of its last seven games; seven of its last nine went over total.

American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Tillman is 2-1, 5.52 in three starts this year; four of his last five went over.

Hutchison is 1-0, 7.80 in three starts this year; Blue Jays scored 21 runs in his three starts- over is 5-3 in his last eight.

Baltimore lost last three games with Toronto, allowing 27 runs; over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Blue Jays won three of their last four games. Baltimore lost last three games, outscored 24-9.

Bronx @ Tigers
Tanaka is 2-1, 5.06 in three starts this season; five of his last seven went over the total.

Sanchez is 1-2, 7.71 in three starts this year; seven of his last eight went over.

Detroit is off to an 11-4 start, but they lost last two games. Bronx won five of last six games; ten of their last thirteen games went over. Tigers lost seven of last eleven series games, with eight of last ten staying under the total.

Red Sox @ Rays
Buchholz is 1-2, 6.61 in three starts this year; six of his last seven went over.

Odorizzi is 2-1, 1.74 in three starts this year; four of his last six went over.

Red Sox won three of last four games with Tampa Bay with combined score of 28-11; they've lost four of last six games overall, with nine of last 12 going over. Rays lost five of last seven games; five of the seven went over.

A's @ Angels
Chavez is making first '15 start; he started 21 games (8-8, 3.45) LY. He hasn't allowed a run in 6.2 IP in four relief stints this year.

Tropeano was 1-3, 4.57 in four starts for Houston LY; he allowed five runs in 11 IP in two AAA starts this season.

Oakland lost eight of last eleven games with Angels- six of last seven went over total. LA lost eight of last 12 games overall, are 1-5 at home. Oakland lost four of its last seven games overall.

Royals @ White Sox
Ventura is 2-1, 4.80 in three starts this year; seven of his last nine went over.

Sale is 2-0, 2.25 in two starts this year; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine.

Kansas City won seven of last eight games with Chicago; seven of last nine series games went over. Royals won three of last four games overall; under is 3-1-1 in their last five. White Sox won four of last five home games.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Phil: Phelps 0-1; McGowan 0-0
Stl-Wsh: Wacha 2-0; Scherzer 2-1
Chi-Pitt: Hendricks 2-0; Locke 2-0
Atl-NY: Teheran 3-0; Colon 3-0
Cin-Mil: Bailey 0-1; Lohse 0-3
SD-Col: Ross 2-1; Lyles 1-2
LA-SF: Bolsinger 0-0; Vogelsong 0-1

Blt-Tor: Tillman 2-1; Hutchison 2-1
NY-Det: Tanaka 2-1; Sanchez 1-2
Bos-TB: Buchholz 1-2; Odorizzi 2-1
A's-LAA: Chavez 0-0; Tropeano 0-0
KC-Chi: Ventura 2-1; Sale 2-0

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Phil: Phelps 0-1; McGowan 0-0
Stl-Wsh: Wacha 2-2; Scherzer 0-3
Chi-Pitt: Hendricks 1-2; Locke 1-2
Atl-NY: Teheran 1-3; Colon 1-3
Cin-Mil: Bailey 1-1; Lohse 2-3
SD-Col: Ross 0-3; Lyles 0-3
LA-SF: Bolsinger 0-0; Vogelsong 0-1

Blt-Tor: Tillman 1-3; Hutchison 1-3
NY-Det: Tanaka 0-3; Sanchez 1-3
Bos-TB: Buchholz 1-3; Odorizzi 0-3
A's-LAA: Chavez 0-0; Tropeano 0-0
KC-Chi: Ventura 1-3; Sale 1-2

Umpires
Mia-Phil-- Five of last six Nauert games stayed under.
StL-Wsh-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Hamari games.
Chi-Pitt-- Road team won seven of last eight Danley games.
Atl-NY-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Baker games.
Cin-Mil-- Five of last seven Hernandez games stayed under.
SD-Colo-- Oer is 7-2-1 in last ten Gibson games.
LA-SF-- Home side won seven of last nine Gonzalez games.

Balt-Tor-- Underdogs won last five HGibson games.
NY-Det-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Cuzzi games.
Bos-TB-- Six of last seven Hoye games stayed under.
A's-LA-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Winters games.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, April 23

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
Chi Cubs are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

1:08 PM
NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 11 games on the road
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing NY Yankees

1:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta

1:40 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

3:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego

3:45 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games
LA Dodgers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games at home

4:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
St. Louis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
St. Louis is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
Oakland is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Angels are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Oakland

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, April 23


Pitcher change - LA Angels C.J. Wilson, scratched

LA Angels vs. Oakland on April 23 at 7:05 PM. New Starter: Nicholas Tropeano


Pirates' Marte leaves game with hand injury

PITTSBURGH -- Pittsburgh Pirates left fielder Starling Marte was removed in the fifth inning of Wednesday night's game against the Chicago Cubs because of a soft tissue contusion in his right hand.

Marte was hit on the hand by a pitch from right-hander Jason Hammel in the third inning. He was then lifted for pinch hitter Andrew Lambo two innings later.

Marte had hit four home runs in his previous five games. He is hitting .224 with five homers in 14 games.


Wacha looks to continue hot start to season for Cards

Michael Wacha has been quietly pitching very well for the St. Louis Cardinals and he will take the mound Thursday. Through two starts on the season Wacha has posted a 2-0 record with a 1.35 ERA and 0.90 WHIP.

Wacha started once against the Washington Nationals last season and only allowed one run over seven innings pitched.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 23

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CHICAGO CUBS (8 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 8) - 12:35 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. JEFF LOCKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1395-1559 (-279.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 746-790 (-149.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1338-1472 (-253.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 684-684 (-153.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 48-26 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 359-368 (+46.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-19 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HENDRICKS is 13-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HENDRICKS is 13-1 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF LOCKE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LOCKE is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 1-4 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.5 units)

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MIAMI (4 - 11) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 10) - 1:05 PM
DAVID PHELPS (R) vs. DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DAVID PHELPS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (8 - 6) at NY METS (12 - 3) - 1:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 85-88 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 66-72 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 12-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 12-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
NY METS are 12-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 36-22 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 12-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
COLON is 41-24 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 41-24 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 25-14 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 49-32 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TEHERAN is 8-0 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 72-64 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
TEHERAN is 4-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
COLON is 5-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.038.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (8 - 7) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 13) - 1:40 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 15-25 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LOHSE is 27-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 693-780 (+43.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 504-564 (+37.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 346-363 (+42.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 387-336 (+65.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-86 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 38-50 (-16.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-36 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-10 (-8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 4-8 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.379.
His team's record is 9-11 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.9 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LOHSE is 7-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.110.
His team's record is 11-9 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-13. (-7.7 units)

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SAN DIEGO (10 - 6) at COLORADO (8 - 7) - 3:10 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. JORDAN LYLES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 6-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 40-75 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 52-46 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 8-22 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 50-79 (-28.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LYLES is 7-31 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TYSON ROSS vs. COLORADO since 1997
ROSS is 0-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.321.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LYLES is 1-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.834.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.1 units)

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LA DODGERS (9 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 10) - 3:45 PM
MIKE BOLSINGER (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

MIKE BOLSINGER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BOLSINGER is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 4-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 9-5 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-11. (-8.7 units)

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ST LOUIS (9 - 4) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8) - 4:05 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 15-31 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 52-20 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 27-5 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 49-19 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 162-106 (+30.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WACHA is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.57 and a WHIP of 0.511.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SCHERZER is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (8 - 7) at DETROIT (11 - 4) - 1:05 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 32-43 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 16-5 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 29-19 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SANCHEZ is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.191.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (7 - 8) at TORONTO (8 - 7) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. DREW HUTCHISON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 187-309 (-100.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 107-78 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 52-42 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 27-12 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 55-37 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 77-44 (+38.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 83-56 (+31.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 46-31 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-35 (+22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 28-12 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 14-5 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 6-0 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 8-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 20-8 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 26-13 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 109-123 (-44.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
TILLMAN is 4-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 5-10 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-6. (+2.3 units)

DREW HUTCHISON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HUTCHISON is 4-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 0.994.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (8 - 8) at LA ANGELS (6 - 9) - 7:05 PM
JESSE CHAVEZ (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 96-83 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 45-44 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-47 (-20.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 440-365 (+53.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 78-42 (+28.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JESSE CHAVEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CHAVEZ is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)


NICK TROPEANO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (9 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 8) - 7:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 80-98 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-50 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 561-645 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 17-9 (+9.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 49-36 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 15-6 (+10.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 17-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 84-93 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-51 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-51 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 54-62 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 45-57 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-37 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-22 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-31 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 8-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 9-10 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-11. (-4.3 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. BOSTON since 1997
ODORIZZI is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.5 units)

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KANSAS CITY (11 - 4) at CHI WHITE SOX (6 - 8) - 8:10 PM
YORDANO VENTURA (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 111-81 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 37-23 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 22-9 (+15.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 56-38 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 107-78 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 79-55 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 45-30 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
VENTURA is 13-4 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-50 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VENTURA is 2-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SALE is 6-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 7-6 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-3. (+6.5 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, April 23


Windy conditions at Wrigley Field Thursday

According to weather forecasts, wind will blow out to center field at around 21 miles per hour when the Chicago Cubs host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Wrigley Field Thursday.

Presently, the Pirates are -119 moneyline favorites and the game features a total of 7.5.


Mets win 10th straight, still perfect at home

The New York Mets came back to beat the Atlanta Braves 3-2 Wednesday night, for their 10th straight win and remain prefect at home.

The Mets improved to 9-0 at home, outscoring opponents 47-25 in the process.

They will try to make it 11 straight and 10-0 at home Thursday afternoon when they wrap up their series with the Braves. Right hander Bartolo Colon take the mound for the Mets (-122), while Atlanta counters with righty Julio Teheran.


Wednesday a rare under night on the diamond

The under finally had a good night in Major League Baseball action, going 9-5 Wednesday.

The over has been the much better bet at this early point in the season, going 117-95.


Diamond dogs are money for bettors Wednesday

Underdogs in the big leagues had a successful night for their backers, going 9-5 straight up Wednesday.

It was a good bounce back night for dogs, who are cashing at a rate of 48.2 percent on the season to date.

 

[CNOTES]

AL West Showdown


April 23, 2015




OAKLAND ATHLETICS (8-8) at LOS ANGELES ANGELS (6-9)


First pitch: Thursday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Los Angeles -130, Oakland +120, Total: 8


The Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels complete a four-game set when they meet on Thursday night.


The Athletics have been all over the board with their play this year and have won back-to-back games just once while the same can be said about losses. They come into this one playing the final contest of a 10-game road trip and are 5-4 through the first nine with Wednesday night’s 9-2 beatdown of the Angels putting them over .500. They had a total of 18 hits with only two extra-base hits in the victory as they went a solid 6-for-16 with RISP. Seven of the nine players in the order had multiple hits as C Stephen Vogt (.362) and 1B Billy Butler (.377) combined to go 4-for-9 with six of the teams RBIs.


Los Angeles has not gotten off to the best of starts and comes into this series with losses in four of its past five games. They’ve scored just eight runs in the four recent defeats and managed only four hits in Wednesday night’s loss to this Oakland group. They were 0-for-5 with RISP and saw their bullpen fall apart with eight runs allowed on 10 hits over three innings of work. With two of the team’s four hits, 3B David Freese (.254) continued a solid series in which he has gone 5-for-12 with four RBIs.


The hurlers going in this game will be RHP Jesse Chavez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) making his first start of the year after originally coming out of the bullpen and will be going up against LHP C.J. Wilson (1-2, 3.54 ERA) for the host Angels. When playing on the road, the Athletics are 5-4 and will finish off this series against a Los Angeles group which is just 1-5 at home in the early going. It has been a very even series between these two clubs since the start of 2013 as Oakland holds a slight 22-19 edge and are just 10-12 when playing on the road in that time. So far in this series they have actually been outscored 19-16 because of a huge 14-1 win by the Angels on Tuesday when L.A. had 15 hits and the Athletics were poor in the field (3 errors).


Some trends to keep an eye on include that the Oakland is 78-42 (.650) when the total is eight to 8.5 since the beginning of the 2013 campaign as Wilson’s teams are 49-19 (.721) as a favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. The injury report still has OF Coco Crisp (Elbow) and 1B Nate Freiman (Back) on the DL with 2B Ben Zobrist listed as questionable for the Athletics as OF Josh Hamilton (Shoulder) is out for the Angels.


Chavez opened some eyes last year as he pitched in 32 games (21 starts) and had a career best 3.45 ERA over 146 IP; 78.2 innings more than his previous high. He did not lose anything off of his strikeouts, mowing down 8.4 batters per nine innings, but did struggle with home runs as batters hit 1.05 HR/9. He started off this season in the pen and has been very effective in four games (6.2 IP), striking out nine batters (1 walk) as he’s left 100% of runners on base. Chavez started against the Angels twice last year, going 1-0 (1-1 team record) with a 2.08 ERA (1.00 WHIP) and had a 14:1 K/BB ratio over 13 innings.


The trio of 1B Albert Pujols (7-for-14, 1 HR, 4 RBI), OF Mike Trout (4-for-11, 1 double, 2 HR, 5 RBI) and SS Erick Aybar (5-for-12, 1 double) have pounded the righty as OF Kole Calhoun and 3B David Freese are a combined 3-for-18 with six strikeouts in the matchup. The Athletics bullpen has really had issues, going 1-4 with a 4.25 ERA (1.25 WHIP) and are 2-for-4 in save opportunities. Tyler Clippard (1.80 ERA, 1 save) has been getting save chances as Doolittle is out with injuries and has just two strikeouts with five walks in his five innings on the mound.


Wilson fell off last year with a career-worst campaign in which he had double-digit losses for the second time in three seasons and posted his worst ERA (4.51) since becoming a full-time starter in 2010 with the Rangers. His main issue was control as he walked 4.4 batters per nine innings but was able to still get 47.8% of batters to hit the ball on the ground. He’s had a quality start in two of his first three outings of the 2015 season and earned the loss in his last time out despite going 6.2 frames and giving up three runs (2 ER) with eight strikeouts (4 walks). He has plenty of experience against Oakland and is 10-5 (13-7 team record) with a 3.10 ERA (1.25 WHIP) in his career against them, but did not do well last year in three starts (12.2 IP), allowing 10 runs (8 ER) on 14 hits as he had more walks (10) than strikeouts (5).


OF Sam Fuld (4-for-11, 3 RBI) and 2B Ben Zobrist (8-for-28, 2 doubles, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 7 K) have been successful in their at-bats against this lefty, but OF Josh Reddick (3-for-21, 5 K) and 1B Billy Butler (4-for-19, 1 double, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 7 K) have not fared too well. It’s been a little rocky for the relievers on the Angels as they are a combined 1-1 with a 3.83 ERA (1.21 WHIP) and have successfully saved 4-of-5 games. Huston Street (0.00 ERA, 4 saves) has been phenomenal at closing out contests, going a perfect 4-for-4 in save chances without allowing a hit or walk.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's Playoff Essentials


April 23, 2015




Cavaliers at Celtics – 7:05 p.m. ET
LeBron James dropped the passive facilitator act and finished with a game-high 30 points in Game 2, imposing his will on the contest. He distributed seven assists like he did in the series opener, but was certainly more assertive in getting to the rim and took 22 shots. He hasn’t been perfect, shooting just 2-for-8 from 3-point range and committing 11 turnovers, but accomplished his mission of making sure new tag-team partners Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving got off on the right foot. VegasInsider expert Kevin Rogers points out that “while a member of the Heat, James’ squad took a 2-0 series lead in the first round of all four postseasons and in Game 3 on the road, Miami won and covered all four times, a good sign for backing the Cavaliers here.” Irving stole the show in Game 1 with a 30 points, including five 3-pointers, while adding 26 points on Tuesday. Love has shot poorly (8-for-22) but is averaging a team-high nine rebounds per contest. The Cavs opened -3500 to win the series according to Sportsbook.ag and are now -25000 up 2-0. Game 2 snapped a streak of three consecutive games that had gone over the posted total. Cleveland has won six of its last eight as a road favorite, going 5-3 ATS in that span.


The Celtics have held second-quarter leads in both games thus far, but the Cavs have won the third quarter by a combined margin of 53-40 and have therefore coasted into both fourth quarters with comfortable leads. Brad Stevens has put an emphasis on improving after the break, so don’t be surprised to see him mix things up in Game 3. Sixth Man of the Year runner-up Isaiah Thomas has come off the bench to score 22 points in both losses in Cleveland while also averaging 8.5 assists. He’s only playing 31 minutes per contest, so the adjustment may simply be to give him more run. Rookie Marcus Smart is averaging 10 points per game but is just 2-for-9 from 3-point range and has been dared by the Cavs to keep shooting. Avery Bradley is just 6-for-19, so Boston’s top defenders simply haven’t been able to find the range. Stevens sat Jonas Jerebko in Game 2 and gave more of Kelly Olynyk’s minutes to Jared Sullinger, who has started regaining his rhythm after missing 24 games post-All-Star break. Sullinger got 22 minutes and scored 14 points in Game 2, the most he’s managed since Feb. 11. The 6-11 Olynyk can still be useful in taking advantage of mismatches on the perimeter. Evan Turner has seen the majority of time on James and has averaged 10.5 points and 9.5 rebounds, but is just 7-for-23 from the field. Rogers adds that “the Celtics put together a solid winning stretch at TD Garden from February through mid-March, but have dropped four of their past seven home contests. One of those wins came against a Cavaliers’ squad that sat James, Irving, and Love towards the end of the regular season in a 117-78 blowout, but Boston has compiled a 4-1 ATS record in its past five as a home underdog.” Boston was +1500 to pull the upset in this series per Sportsbook.ag and is now +5000. Unders have prevailed in four of the Celtics last six games, including Game 2.


Bulls at Bucks – 8:05 p.m. ET


Right off the bat, we’ll get to see how engaged the Bucks crowd will be in their first home playoff game since 2013, only the sixth time they’ve hosted since ‘06. Complicating matters is the opponent, since Bulls fans are very likely to make their voices heard less than 100 miles from home. This is the first time the long-time rivals have met in the postseason in 25 years, but that’s not expected to alter the custom of Chicago fans finding tickets and being just as loud as the Milwaukee backers. Bulls Nation is riled up, too. Point guard Derrick Rose and former Marquette standout Jimmy Butler have thrilled Chicago with how healthy and explosive they’ve looked since returning from significant injuries. Rose has averaged 19 points and eight assists, getting to the rim and showing off an improved 3-point stroke, currently 5-for-13 from beyond the arc in the series. Butler is averaging 28 points through the first two games, shooting 18-for-33 (55 percent). His 31 points in Game 2 was the All-Star’s best scoring night since Jan. 29, helping the Bulls prevail despite the rest of the team shooting a combined 21-for-62 (33.8 pct) in a 91-82 win. Rookie forward Nikola Mirotic, typically able to give Chicago a boost with his perimeter touch and ability to create matchup problems, will miss Thursday’s game with a left knee strain suffered on Monday night. Kirk Hinrich (knee) has yet to play in the series but went through practice yesterday and will likely see his first postseason action. Joakim Noah has played through a hamstring issue and is averaging 15 rebounds per contest despite managing just 6.0 points per game. Pau Gasol is just 9-for-29 this postseason, but is averaging 10.5 points, 14.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 3.5 blocks. The Bulls opened -750 to hold serve in this series according to Sportsbook.ag and are now -7000. Chicago has won six consecutive games and has covered five of those. The under is 6-3-1 in the team’s last 10 games.

The Bucks are shooting just 37.4 percent thus far this postseason, including 8-for-33 from 3-point range (24.2 pct). They’ve been outrebounded 116-89 and are really being exposed by Tom Thibodeau’s elite defense. Jason Kidd is the only coach in NBA history to take two different teams to the postseason in his first two years as a head coach, but this group is much younger than last year’s veteran Nets squad and is viewing this more as a learning atmosphere than a pressure situation. Point guard Michael Carter-Williams, who came over at the All-Star break, has averaged just 2.5 assists in the series and has shot 9-for-25 (36 pct) from the field, taking just one 3-pointer. The Bulls have been cutting off his driving angles and daring him to take open perimeter looks. Shooting guard Khris Middleton has led the Bucks in scoring, averaging 20 points per game in the series despite shooting 40.5 percent, roughly the same clip he shot against them in four regular-season meetings (21-for-51). Talented young small forward Giannis Antetokounmpo is shooting just 25 percent against Chicago (6-for-24), averaging 9.0 points and 8.0 rebounds. Milwaukee was 23-18 at home this season, but is just 4-6 at Bradley Center since March 18, going 4-5-1 ATS. The Bucks are just 2-6 SU in their last eight games as a home underdog. They opened at +500 to win the series according to Sportsbook.ag, but are now +2000 after falling into an 0-2 hole. Five of their last seven games have gone over the posted total.


Warriors at Pelicans – 9:35 p.m. ET


All five starters scored in double-figures in the series opener, but the scoring wasn’t quite as balanced in Game 2. Klay Thompson took his turn playing primary catalyst, connecting on 11 of 17 shot attempts to finish with a team-high 26 points. He averaged 19.7 points over three regular-season games, but shot just 41 percent against the Pelicans, so seeing him rebound from a 6-for-17 performance in Game 1 was reassuring. MVP front-runner Stephen Curry has been great, opening the playoff run with 34 points and adding 22 on Monday. For the season, his scoring output of 23.5 points in four regular-season meetings with New Orleans is right there near his average over 80 games (23.8), but he stepped his game up further at Smoothie King Center, averaging 29.5 and eight assists while shooting 11-for-18 from 3-point range. Despite the “Splash Brothers” getting off nicely, the key to persevering through a sneakily complicated series lies in the continued success of Draymond Green. The undersized power forward has been incredibly impressive defending Anthony Davis, who is a few inches bigger and longer, not to mention more talented. Green’s defense was the key in holding him to 9-for-22 shooting in Game 2 after his 35-point explosion on Saturday, keeping him from making a shot in five fourth-quarter attempts. Davis was 3-for-12 when Green guarded him. Andrew Bogut, the key to the Warriors winning a championship since they can’t replace his rim protection or how well he facilitates on offense from the five-spot, averaged 7.3 points,8.0 rebounds and 4.7 blocks against the Pelicans, during the regular season, has grabbed 28 boards and blocked five shots in the two wins in Oakland. VI’s Rogers researched that the “Warriors are favored on the road in the playoffs for the first time in 17 games, which stretches back to their first round upset of the Mavericks back in 2007. In the last three postseasons, Golden State has lost seven of 10 away from Oracle Arena, surrendering at least 100 points in five straight road playoff contests.” GSW opened at -5000 to win this series at Sportsbook.ag, by far the largest favorite of the first-round. Up 2-0, the Warriors are now -16500. The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last eight, but had covered in nine of 10 prior to this stretch. They’re 2-4 ATS against the Pelicans despite winning five of the six encounters.


When the Pelicans held off the Warriors 103-100 on April 7, Davis told reporters they considered themselves “an elite team” that “can play with anybody and beat anybody on any given night.” New Orleans put a couple of scares into Golden State at Oracle and is out to prove it can make this a series. Davis, despite his struggles with Green, is averaging 30.5 points, 9.0 boards and 3.0 blocks, so any chance the Pelicans have starts and ends with him. Unfortunately, Davis doesn’t have the help he envisioned since point guard Jrue Holiday (leg), missed Game 2 and is still dealing with soreness that has him questionable for Thursday. Tyreke Evans (knee) played 41 minutes after being limited to just 12 in Game 1. He came up with 16 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists on Monday but was visibly hampered and is just 4-for-15 in the series Ryan Anderson returned after missing most of March and still hasn’t been able to find the range. He shot 32 percent over nine April contests and is 2-for-11 in the series, making just one 3-pointer. Eric Gordon has continued to shoot the ball well and is 9-for-17 from beyond the arc in the series, lifting him to 33-for-67 (49 pct) from beyond the arc in April. Rogers likes that New Orleans can regroup at home, seeing this as “a favorable spot as a home underdog in Game 3. New Orleans owns a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS record since the All-Star break when getting points at home, which includes victories over Toronto, Golden State, and San Antonio.” The Pelicans are also 5-0 SU/ATS in their last five home outings, winning three as a favorite and two as a dog. The Pelis opened at +1800 at Sportsbook.ag and are at +4000. The under has gone 6-2-2 in New Orleans’ last 10 contests.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 23

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CLEVELAND (55 - 29) at BOSTON (40 - 44) - 4/23/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (52 - 32) at MILWAUKEE (41 - 43) - 4/23/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-36 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 136-101 ATS (+24.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 50-71 ATS (-28.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (69 - 15) at NEW ORLEANS (45 - 39) - 4/23/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 47-35 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-34 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 12-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 23

Lebron James is 39-7 in first round games in his career; Cleveland won eight of last ten games overall, covering two of its last eight; they were 20-59 on arc, 50-59 on line in first two wins, as Irving was on court for 80 minutes, James 84. Boston covered nine of its last eleven games overall; they had only 13 fast break points in first two games, were -20 on the boards. Smart/Turner are 15-38 combined from floor in first two series games.

Chicago made 24-65 from arc in first two series wins- they held the Bucks to 39%/36% from floor. Bulls won eight of last nine games with Milwaukee (7-1 vs spread in last eight)-- seven of last ten games stayed under total. Chicago won last five games. Bucks are 8-33 from arc in two games; they've only turned ball over 12 times in two games, but also have only 21 fast break points in the two games. Five of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.

New Orleans lost 10 of last 12 games with Golden State, losing by 7-10 in first two games- they were down only 55-52 at half in last game, after being down 18 in Game 1. Golden State won ten of last twelve games, but covered only one of last eight- they got to line 34 times in Game 1, but only 19 last game. Davis had 61 points for New Orleans in first two games, but other starters went 27-74 from floor, even with Evans back in lineup (41:00) in Game 2.

Home favorites are 8-8 in this round; home teams are 13-3 SU, with two of three road wins in OT-- over is 5-11.

2015 playoffs
Brooklyn vs Atlanta
Atl 99-92, -10, U201.5
Atl 96-91, -9.5, U202

Boston vs Cleveland
Clev 113-100, -11.5, O203
Clev 99-91, -11, U206

Milwaukee vs Chicago
Chi 103-91, -8, O186
Chi 91-82, -8, U190.5

Washington vs Toronto
Wash 93-86 OT, +4, U194.5
Wash 117-106, +5, O193.5

New Orleans vs Golden State
GSt 106-99, -12, U205
GSt 97-87, -13, U206.5

Dallas vs Houston
Hst 118-108, -5.5, O212.5
Hst 111-99, -6.5, U214

San Antonio vs LA Clippers
LAC 107-92, -1.5, U207
SA 111-107 OT, +1.5, O207.5

Portland vs Memphis
Mem 100-86, -5.5, U188.5
Mem 97-82, -6, U189

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21




NBA

Thursday, April 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MILWAUKEE
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games

9:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW ORLEANS
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, April 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Thursday's NBA Playoffs matchups
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (+4, 203.5)
Cavaliers lead the series 2-0

The Cleveland Cavaliers are two wins away from a trip to the Eastern Conference semifinals and appear to have the Boston Celtics on the ropes. The Celtics will try to steal a game in the best-of-seven series when they host the Cavaliers in Game 3 on Thursday.

Boston showed flashes of being able to keep up with No. 2 seed Cleveland in the first two games but has had no answer for LeBron James and Kyrie Irving down the stretch. “I’ve been in this moment before and a lot of our guys haven’t, so I felt like it was important for me to just try to put a staple on the game the best way I know how and that’s by being aggressive,” James told reporters. “I was able to make a few plays to help our team get the win and that’s what’s very important for me – just to be there for my team when they need it.” James and Irving combined to score all of the Cavaliers’ 24 fourth-quarter points in Game 2. The Celtics were 21-20 at home during the regular season, including a 117-78 win over Cleveland on Apr. 12 in which the Cavaliers rested their starters.

TRENDS:

*Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
*Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.
*Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
*Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.


Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks (+2.5, 187)
Bulls lead series 2-0

Jimmy Butler is terrorizing Milwaukee and looks for a third consecutive strong game when the Chicago Bulls visit the Bucks in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first-round series on Thursday. Butler is averaging 28 points while lifting Chicago to a 2-0 lead and he set a personal playoff high with 31 points in Monday’s 91-82 win.

Butler was at his best in the fourth quarter of Monday’s game as he scored 14 points in the final stanza. Milwaukee knows it faces a near must-win situation but remains confident it can get back into the series. “We lose these two but we are going to fight to get his series back,” shooting guard Khris Middleton told reporters. “We are going to defend our home court Thursday.” Middleton averaged 20 points in the first two games but the Bucks averaged just 86.5 as a team.

TRENDS:

*Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
*Under is 8-2 in Bulls last 10 vs. NBA Central
*Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record


Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans (+5, 203)
Warriors lead series 2-0

The Golden State Warriors put up the best road record in the NBA this season at 28-13, but the most recent of those 13 setbacks came at New Orleans on Apr. 7. The Pelicans will try to turn that trick again and climb back in the series when they host the top-seeded Warriors in Game 3 of their first-round Western Conference series on Thursday.

New Orleans was surprisingly pesky in the first two games of the series but did not have quite enough to get over the hump in the fourth quarter of either contest and heads home in an 0-2 hole. “Hopefully for the fans watching (Game 2), our crowd can be like (the boisterous Warriors home crowd),” Pelicans guard Tyreke Evans told reporters. “When we’ve got our crowd behind us, we’re going to perform, play hard and do a good job.” New Orleans went 28-13 in its own arena during the regular season but Golden State won’t be intimidated. Warriors star Stephen Curry poured in 56 points in the first two games and averaged 25.5 points on the road in the regular season.

TRENDS:

*Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
*Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
*Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games.
*Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Thursday, April 23


Warriors' success on the court, not helping bettors

The Golden State Warriors have won six consecutive games, including both of their playoff games so far, but are just 1-5 against the spread during that time. The Warriors have won each of those games by an average of eight points, but have been facing an average spread of -12.5.

Each of those six games were at Oracle Arena, but with the playoff series flipping to New Orleans ATS issues may become even more prevalent. Golden State was just 21-20 ATS on the road this year, as they were commonly road faves.

The Warriors are currently -5 for Game 3 against the Pelicans Thursday.



NBA roundup: Spurs even series with Clippers

LOS ANGELES -- Forward Tim Duncan scored 28 points and grabbed 11 rebounds, and forward Kawhi Leonard added 21 points and nine boards, lifting the San Antonio Spurs to a 111-107 overtime victory over the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 2 of their first-round Western Conference playoff series on Wednesday night at Staples Center.

The Spurs never trailed in the extra session. Forward Danny Green's corner 3-pointer 46 seconds into overtime gave San Antonio a 97-94 lead. Los Angeles tied the score at 101 on a 3-pointer by guard J.J. Redick, but a 6-0 Spurs surge gave them a 107-101 advantage.

Paul's 3-pointer cut the deficit to 107-104, but Redick missed a wide-open trey with 13.9 seconds remaining. Point guard Patty Mills, who finished with 18 points, hit two foul shots with 11 seconds remaining, which turned out to be the difference. After Redick's 3-pointer sliced the gap to 109-107, Mills added two more with four seconds left to cap the scoring and even the series at 1-1.

Grizzlies 97, Trail Blazers 82

MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- The starting backcourt of Mike Conley and Courtney Lee combined for 36 points and Memphis defeated Portland at FedExForum to take a 2-0 lead in their first-round Western Conference playoff series. The Trail Blazers, who lost Game 1 by 14 points, were never closer than nine points in the fourth quarter.

Memphis also swept the regular-season series 4-0.

Conley scored 18 points with six assists and Lee had 18 points and three steals. Memphis center Marc Gasol finished with 15 points, seven rebounds, five assists and three blocks. Power forward Zach Randolph scored 10 points with 10 rebounds. Forward LaMarcus Aldridge led the Trail Blazers with 24 points and 14 rebounds. He also had four blocks and two steals. Point guard Damian Lillard scored 18 points.

Hawks 96, Nets 91

ATLANTA -- All-Star forward Paul Millsap shed some protective padding and found his shooting touch.

Millsap scored 19 points, helping the Hawks stave off a late rally by the Nets and take a 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series. Games 3 and 4 are Saturday and Monday at Brooklyn.

Millsap ditched the pad that had been protecting his injured shoulder Wednesday and returned to form, connecting on seven of 11 field-goal tries, including all four of his 3-point attempts.

Guard Jarrett Jack led Brooklyn with 23 points. The Nets got within one point with 45 seconds left and were down by two when guard Deron Williams missed a 13-foot shot with eight seconds left that would have tied it.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 23


Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans

Game 737-738
April 23, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State Warr
129.927
New Orleans Pelic
120.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State Warr
by 9
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State Warr
by 5
204
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State Warr
(-5); Under

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics

Game 733-734
April 23, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland Cavalie
123.605
Boston Celtics
125.091
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston Celtics
by 1 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland Cavalie
by 5
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston Celtics
(+5); Over

Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks

Game 735-736
April 23, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Bulls
122.048
Milwaukee Bucks
123.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee Bucks
by 1 1/2
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 3
187
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks
(+3); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Blackhawks (48-28) at Predators (47-25)


Date: April 23, 2015 9:30 PM EDT

If there was ever a scenario in which sports fans might prefer for their team to celebrate a series win in a visiting arena rather than their home city, this could be it.


The Nashville Predators organization has gone to great lengths to try to keep Chicago fans and their traditions out of Bridgestone Arena. That happens to be where the Central Division foes will meet Thursday night in Game 5 of their first-round series with the Blackhawks in a position to end the Predators' once-promising season.


The Predators have taken steps geared toward limiting options for Chicago fans to buy tickets for games in Nashville, and the organization has gone as far as electing to have the crowd sing the national anthem before games rather than a performer to silence Chicago fans' cheering of the anthem, as is part of the Blackhawks' home-ice tradition.


That tradition has in recent history included plenty of deep postseason runs, and the likelihood for another grew with Tuesday's 3-2 home win in three overtimes to give Chicago a 3-1 series edge.


Brent Seabrook scored a minute into the third extra session to make a 50-save effort from Scott Darling hold up.


Aside from the commanding series lead, there isn't much more that separates the teams. They've each scored 13 goals, while Nashville is 3 of 15 on the power play and Chicago is 2 of 15. Nashville's average shot advantage of 44.5-36.5 might be the most substantial difference. The Blackhawks have just found the net in both overtime games.


"Every game's been tight, every game's been on the line, a very competitive series," coach Joel Quenneville said. "Momentum's been shifting during games, and shift to shift for that matter."


Logic might lead one to think that would favor veteran Pekka Rinne, but it's been the inexperienced Darling who has stolen the spotlight - as well as Corey Crawford's starting job.


Darling took over after a 6-2 Game 2 loss in Nashville and won both home games. In three appearances in the series, all victories, the rookie has a .969 save percentage with an average of 42.3 saves per game. For the season, he's 12-4-0 with a .944 save percentage.


Continuing that in his first playoff start in Nashville is the next step, though he hasn't seen a huge drop-off away from the United Center. Darling is 7-3-0 with a .932 save percentage on the road, including a 3-1 victory in Nashville on Dec. 6.


Rinne, meanwhile, has seen his season fade along with the Predators'. He made 45 saves Tuesday, but fell to 8-13-4 with a .903 save percentage dating to Feb. 19 after going 34-7-2 with a .932 mark until that point.


Things have been especially bad with the team going 1-7-2 with 3.70 goals against dating to March 29.


"Our guys are a resilient group," said coach Peter Laviolette, who has been without defenseman Shea Weber and forward Mike Fisher due to lower-body injuries. "They will not cave. They will not go away quietly. They'll be ready to play Game 5, I promise you."


They might also be due for things to fall their way. Chicago has won six of eight meetings this season, though it holds just a 24-22 scoring edge and is 3 of 28 on the power play. The Predators have dropped seven of nine playoff games while conceding only a 25-22 scoring advantage.


Four of those 22 have come from a rejuvenated Colin Wilson in this series after the center went his last 15 games of the regular season without scoring.


The clubs' only other playoff series ended with the Blackhawks eliminating the Predators in Game 6 of the 2010 first round in Nashville. Chicago has won seven of 10 postseason meetings and three of five at Bridgestone.


Another win would send the Blackhawks to the conference semifinals for the fifth time in seven seasons under Quenneville, during which their .612 playoff winning percentage is the league's best.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 23

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TAMPA BAY (51-26-0-8, 110 pts.) at DETROIT (45-26-0-14, 104 pts.) - 4/23/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 10-3 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-15.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 8-4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.4 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (49-29-0-8, 106 pts.) at WASHINGTON (47-27-0-12, 106 pts.) - 4/23/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-25 ATS (-13.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 23-11 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when tied in a playoff series since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-7 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-7-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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CHICAGO (51-29-0-6, 108 pts.) at NASHVILLE (48-26-0-12, 108 pts.) - 4/23/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 26-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 187-148 ATS (+370.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CHICAGO is 387-380 ATS (+795.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-10.9 Units) in April games this season.
NASHVILLE is 24-26 ATS (-7.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 8-17 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 12-6 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 12-6-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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CALGARY (48-31-0-7, 103 pts.) at VANCOUVER (49-32-0-5, 103 pts.) - 4/23/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 21-16 ATS (-2.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 48-38 ATS (+87.4 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 27-20 ATS (+6.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 25-8 ATS (+16.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CALGARY is 22-10 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a division game this season.
VANCOUVER is 37-44 ATS (-33.2 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 41-51 ATS (-25.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 12-6 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 12-6-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 23

Detroit has 2-1 series edge despite taking only 59 shots in three games (Tampa has 98); Lightning is 2-17 on power play in series, Red Wings 2-11. Lightning won eight of their last 12 games vs Detroit- eight of those 12 stayed under the total. Tampa Bay won four of its last six games overall, allowing 12 goals; they're 2-3 in last five visits to Motor City. Under is 5-2-1 in Lightning's last eight games. Red Wings lost three of last five home games.

Islanders/Washington split pair of 2-1 OT games on Long Island; Islanders are 5-8 in last thirteen games overall, with under 3-1-1 in last five vs Caps. Isles are 0-10 on power play in series-- only thirteen penalties total were called in last three games (Washington is 1-7). Caps won seven of their last 11 games; they outshot Islanders 31-20 in third period last three games. Home side won six of last eight series games. Islanders lost three of last four visits here.

Chicago scored after 2am in third OT Wednesday morning to take 3-1 series edge; Nashville lost nine of last ten games overall with pair of multiple-OT losses in this series. Predators lost six of last eight games with Chicago, with four of last five going over total- theyr'e 2-15 on power play in series, while Nashville is 3-15-- three of four games in this playoff series went over total. Blackhawks lost three of last four road games; four of last eight Nashville losses came in OT/SO.

Calgary is up 3-1 in this series, has won five of last six games with Vancouver- under is 4-1-2 in last seven series games- they scored five first period goals in Games 3-4, after not scoring in first two periods in Games 1-2. Flames have now won eight of last eleven games; under is 6-2-1 in last nine Calgary games. Vancouver is 2-12 on power play in series, Calgary is 4-11- they've only scored ten goals in whole series.

Home teams are 19-12 in this round; over is 14-13-4.

2015 NHL playoffs
Montreal vs Ottawa
Mtl 4-3, -$140, O5
Mtl 3-2 OT, -$140, N5
Mtl 2-1 OT, +$110, U5
Ott 1-0, -$106, U5

Tampa Bay vs Detroit
Det 3-2, +$155, U5.5
TB 5-1, -$200, U5.5
Det 3-0, -$105, U5.5

NY Rangers vs Pittsburgh
NYR 2-1, -$180, U5
Pitt 4-3, +$175, O5
NYR 2-1, even U5
NYR 2-1 OT, -$119, U5

Washington vs NY Islanders
NYI 4-1, +125, N5
Wash 4-3, -$135, O5.5
NYI 2-1 OT, -$140, U5.5
Wash 2-1 OT, +$125, U5.5

St Louis vs Minnesota
Minn 4-2, +$125, O5
StL 4-1, -$140, N5
Minn 3-0, -$135, U5
StL 6-1, +$128, O5

Nashville vs Chicago
Chi 4-3 2OT, +$105, O5
Nash 6-2, -$120, O5
Chi 4-2, -$160, O5
Chi 3-2 3OT, -$160, U5.5

Anaheim vs Winnipeg
Ana 4-2, -$150, O5
Ana 2-1, -$150, U5
Ana 5-4 OT, +$120, O5
Ana 5-2, +$106, O5.5
Ducks win series, 4-0

Vancouver vs Calgary
Cal 2-1, +$135, U5
Van 4-1, -$155, N5
Cal 4-2, -$115, O5
Cal 3-1, -$120, U5




NHL

Thursday, April 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Islanders are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the NY Islanders last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Washington is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 3-13-1 SU in its last 17 games ,when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit13-3-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

9:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. NASHVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home
Nashville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago

10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Calgary is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Vancouver is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Calgary

 

[CNOTES]

NHL

Thursday, April 23


NHL roundup: Ducks sweep Jets to advance

WINNIPEG, Manitoba -- The Anaheim Ducks are the first team to advance to the second round of the NHL playoffs. Ducks center Ryan Kesler scored a pair of third-period goals to spark Anaheim to a 5-2 triumph over the Winnipeg Jets to wrap up a four-game sweep in the opening-round Western Conference playoff series.

The Ducks now await the winner of the series between the Calgary Flames and Vancouver Canucks. The Flames lead that best-of-seven series 3-1.

Sami Vatanen, Emerson Etem and Andrew Cogliano also scored for the Ducks, while right winger Corey Perry chipped in a pair of assists to lead all skaters with seven points in the series.

Bryan Little and Mark Stuart scored for the Jets.

Frederik Anderson made 25 saves for Anaheim while Ondrej Pavelec stopped 30 shots for Winnipeg.

Rangers 2, Penguins 1 (OT)

PITTSBURGH -- Kevin Hayes scored from a scramble in front of the net 3:14 into overtime to give the New York Rangers a win over Pittsburgh at Consol Energy Center. The Rangers now have a 3-1 lead in the teams' first-round Eastern Conference playoff series.

Patric Hornqvist picked up his second goal in as many games for Pittsburgh in the first period. Derick Brassard tied it for New York in the second period.

Each game in the series has been decided by one goal going into Friday's Game 5 at Madison Square Garden.

Senators 1, Canadiens 0

OTTAWA -- Mike Hoffman scored with 10:55 left in regulation as Ottawa staved off elimination with a victory over Montreal in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series at Canadian Tire Centre.

The Canadiens now lead the best-of-seven series 3-1, with Game 5 to be played Friday in Montreal.

Hoffman's shot through a screen from near the top of the left-wing face-off circle ended an intense goalie duel in front of a towel-waving full house.

Senators goalie Craig Anderson shared the hero's role, making 28 saves for the shutout. Canadiens goal Carey Price also turned in an exceptional performance, stopping 31 of 32 shots.

Blues 6, Wild 1

SAINT PAUL, Minn. -- St. Louis quieted the crowd with an early lead and survived a Minnesota rally to knot the best-of-seven Western Conference playoff series at 2-2.

Vladimir Tarasenko scored twice while Ryan Reaves, David Backes, Paul Stastny and Patrik Berglund all scored single goals for the Blues, who led 3-0 barely halfway through the first period. St. Louis goalie Jake Allen made 17 saves.

Defenseman Jared Spurgeon scored the lone goal for Minnesota, while goalie Devan Dubnyk was pulled after allowing four goals on the Blues' first dozen shots and finished with just 11 saves on 17 shots. Backup goalie Darcy Kuemper came on with 3:10 left in the second period and stopped all nine shots he faced.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL

Thursday, April 23


Rangers-Penguins series cashing under wagers

The New York Rangers defeated the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1 in overtime in Game 4 Wednesday evening, improving the under record to 3-1 in those four games.

Heading into Thursday's schedule, the Rangers-Pens series was the best target for Under bettors.

To date in the postseason, the under has had the slight edge at 14-13-4.


Road teams the hot play on the ice Wednesday

Visiting teams skated to victories in three of the four playoff games on the board Wednesday evening.

The New York Rangers (-120), St. Louis Blues (+125) and Anaheim Ducks (+105) all posted wins while the Montreal Canadiens were the lone road team to lose.

To date in the postseason, away teams are 13-15-3.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL

Thursday, April 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday's NHL Playoffs betting cheat sheet
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New York Islanders at Washington Capitals (-129, 5)

Series tied 2-2

Washington Capitals center Nicklas Backstrom has picked a fine time to rediscover his scoring touch. After failing to find the back of the net in the final seven weeks of the regular season, Backstrom has scored in three straight contests heading into Thursday's Game 5 of the Capitals' Eastern Conference first-round series against the visiting New York Islanders.

Backstrom, who also has three assists in the set, scored 11:09 into overtime as Washington evened the series at two victories apiece with a 2-1 triumph on Tuesday. "Nicky is our horse, our dude," linemate Joel Ward said. "It's just good to see we won. It was a good team effort." While Backstrom has been on a high, John Tavares hasn't been too shabby in his own right. The Islanders captain recorded a pair of assists in the first two contests before scoring 15 seconds into overtime in New York's 2-1 win in Game 3 on Sunday afternoon.

TRENDS:

*Islanders are 1-11 in their last 12 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
*Home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
*Under is 4-1-2 in Capitals last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Under is 11-5-2 in Islanders last 18 overall.


Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings (-108, 5)

Red Wings lead series 2-1

Detroit Red Wings coach Mike Babcock is heralded in hockey circles for his shrewd decisions, and he is drawing rave reviews for one of his most recent ones. Babcock selected Petr Mrazek to serve as his starting goaltender, and the 23-year-old looks to reward the veteran coach by pushing the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning to the brink of elimination when the Atlantic Division rivals play Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first-round series on Thursday.

After making a career-high 44 saves in a 3-2 victory in Game 1, Mrazek turned aside all 22 shots he faced in a 3-0 triumph over Tampa Bay on Tuesday to give the Red Wings a 2-1 edge in the series. "Huge win for us, first game home, first win. But it's over," Mrazek said after joining Earl Robertson (1937), Terry Sawchuk (1951), Chris Osgood (1994) and Jimmy Howard (2010) as the only rookie netminders in franchise history to record a postseason shutout. Tampa Bay has lost six straight playoff games on the road and has been rendered powerless at Joe Louis Arena, posting a 4-16-0 mark with one tie in the all-time series.

TRENDS:

*Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
*Red Wings are 1-8 in their last 9 games following a win.
*Under is 11-1 in Lightning last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
*Under is 4-0-2 in Red Wings last 6 home games.


Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators (-113, 5)

Blackhawks lead series 3-1

After prevailing in a marathon triple-overtime contest, the Chicago Blackhawks can wrap up their Western Conference first-round playoff series when they visit the Nashville Predators on Thursday night in Game 5. Defenseman Brent Seabrook's goal one minute into the third overtime lifted the Blackhawks to a 3-2 victory in Tuesday's Game 4 and gave them a commanding 3-1 edge in the best-of-seven series.

Nashville coach Peter Laviolette expects a big performance from his team, similar to its 6-2 victory in Game 2 after blowing a three-goal lead and losing in double overtime in the series opener. "Our guys are a resilient group," Laviolette said. "They will not cave. They will not go away quietly. They'll be ready to play Game 5, I promise you." Predators captain Shea Weber missed the last two games and Laviolette is uncertain if he will be available Thursday. That will make the task even more daunting against a Chicago team that is 12-3 in close-out games under coach Joel Quenneville.

TRENDS:

*Blackhawks are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Predators are 1-9 in their last 10 overall.
*Under is 12-3-3 in Blackhawks last 18 games following a win.
*Over is 8-2-2 in Predators last 12 vs. Western Conference.


Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks (-147, 5)

Flames lead series 3-1

Despite being one victory away from advancing, Calgary is not looking past the Canucks, who overcame a 3-1 first-round deficit in 1994 to eliminate the Flames en route to an appearance in the Stanley Cup final. "We all know it," said center Joe Colborne, regarding the difficulty of registering the fourth victory in a series. "There are a lot of very good players over there and there's a lot of pride in that room. We're not expecting for one second that they are going to pack it in."

Coach Willie Desjardins admitted he has selected the starting netminder for Game 5 but was not ready to reveal his choice. "I have decided, but no, we'll wait to see after the morning skate (Thursday) and then we'll name it," he said after Wednesday's practice. One decision Desjardins did not have to make revolved around the status of Alex Burrows, who will miss the remainder of the series due to an upper-body injury. The veteran right wing, who notched two assists over the first three contests, was hurt during the morning skate on Tuesday and did not appear in Game 4. "It's nothing to worry about," Desjardins said. "It's just kind of a comfort thing."

TRENDS:

*Flames are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Canucks are 3-14 in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings.
*Under is 5-1-1 in Flames last 7 vs. Pacific.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, April 23


Tampa Bay Lightning @ Detroit Red Wings

Game 73-74
April 23, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay Lightni
12.998
Detroit Red Wings
10.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay Lightni
by 2 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit Red Wings
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay Lightni
(-105); Over

New York Islanders @ Washington Capitals

Game 75-76
April 23, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York Islander
12.719
Washington Capita
10.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York Islander
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington Capita
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
New York Islander
(+115); Over

Chicago Blackhawks @ Nashville Predators

Game 77-78
April 23, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago *********
10.665
Nashville Predato
12.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville Predato
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville Predato
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville Predato
(-115); Under

Calgary Flames @ Vancouver Canucks

Game 79-80
April 23, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary Flames
11.712
Vancouver Canucks
13.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver Canucks
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver Canucks
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver Canucks
(-150); Under

 

[CNOTES]

MLB MONEYLINE UPDATE


MLB > (957) CINCINNATI@ (958) MILWAUKEE | 04/23/2015 - 01:40 PM
Play AGAINST MILWAUKEE using the money line in All games in all games
The record is 2 Wins and 13 Losses for the this season (-12.2 units)


MLB > (967) BALTIMORE@ (968) TORONTO | 04/23/2015 - 07:05 PM
Play ON BALTIMORE using the money line in All games in night games
The record is 77 Wins and 44 Losses for the last two seasons (+37.95 units)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) CHI WHITE SOX | 04/23/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the money line in All games as a road underdog of +100 to +125
The record is 22 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.4 units)

MLB > (971) BOSTON@ (972) TAMPA BAY | 04/23/2015 - 07:10 PM
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY using the money line in All games in games played in a dome
The record is 38 Wins and 51 Losses for the last two seasons (-30.55 units)


MLB > (963) ST LOUIS@ (964) WASHINGTON | 04/23/2015 - 04:05 PM
Play AGAINST ST LOUIS using the money line in Road games after a win
The record is 33 Wins and 59 Losses for the last three seasons (-34.65 units)


MLB TOP POWERLINES


MLB > (951) CHICAGO CUBS @ (952) PITTSBURGH | 04/23/2015 - 12:35 PM
Line: PITTSBURGH -120 BTB PowerLine: PITTSBURGH -130
Edge On: PITTSBURGH (10)


MLB > (965) NY YANKEES @ (966) DETROIT | 04/23/2015 - 01:05 PM
Line: DETROIT +104 BTB PowerLine: DETROIT 107
Edge On: DETROIT (3)


MLB > (953) MIAMI @ (954) PHILADELPHIA | 04/23/2015 - 01:05 PM
Line: PHILADELPHIA +100 BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA 101
Edge On: PHILADELPHIA (1)


MLB > (955) ATLANTA @ (956) NY METS | 04/23/2015 - 01:10 PM
Line: NY METS -131 BTB PowerLine: NY METS -146
Edge On: NY METS (15)


MLB > (957) CINCINNATI @ (958) MILWAUKEE | 04/23/2015 - 01:40 PM
Line: MILWAUKEE -106 BTB PowerLine: MILWAUKEE 113
Edge On: MILWAUKEE (9)


MLB > (959) SAN DIEGO @ (960) COLORADO | 04/23/2015 - 03:10 PM
Line: COLORADO +105 BTB PowerLine: COLORADO 119
Edge On: COLORADO (4)


MLB > (963) ST LOUIS @ (964) WASHINGTON | 04/23/2015 - 04:05 PM
Line: WASHINGTON -125 BTB PowerLine: WASHINGTON -134
Edge On: WASHINGTON (9)


MLB > (967) BALTIMORE @ (968) TORONTO | 04/23/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: TORONTO -128 BTB PowerLine: TORONTO 121
Edge On: TORONTO (39)


MLB > (969) OAKLAND @ (970) LA ANGELS | 04/23/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: LA ANGELS -130 BTB PowerLine: LA ANGELS 102
Edge On: LA ANGELS (12)


MLB > (971) BOSTON @ (972) TAMPA BAY | 04/23/2015 - 07:10 PM
Line: TAMPA BAY -106 BTB PowerLine: TAMPA BAY 105
Edge On: TAMPA BAY (1)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY @ (974) CHI WHITE SOX | 04/23/2015 - 08:10 PM
Line: CHI WHITE SOX -145 BTB PowerLine: CHI WHITE SOX 102
Edge On: CHI WHITE SOX (32)

 

[CNOTES]

NBA ATS UPDATES

MLB EARLY STARTS:


Thursday, April 23


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Chi. Cubs - 12:35 PM ET Pittsburgh -117 500 *****
Pittsburgh - Under 7.5 500


Miami - 1:05 PM ET Philadelphia +102 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500


NY Yankees - 1:08 PM ET Detroit +101 500 *****
Detroit - Under 8 500


Atlanta - 1:10 PM ET Atlanta +120 500 DOUBLE PLAY
NY Mets - Under 7 500


Cincinnati - 1:40 PM ET Cincinnati -108 500 *****
Milwaukee - Over 8 500


San Diego - 3:10 PM ET Colorado +104 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Colorado - Over 10.5 500


LA Dodgers - 3:45 PM ET San Francisco -104 500 *****
San Francisco - Under 7.5 500