Cnotes Best Bets For Thursday June 11th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, June 11

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Trend Report
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12:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ATLANTA
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

12:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. CLEVELAND
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 19 games when playing at home against Seattle
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

3:35 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Oakland's last 25 games at home

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
LA Angels are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 15 games

8:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, June 11


Yankees place closer Miller on DL

The New York Yankees placed closer Andrew Miller on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left forearm muscle on Wednesday.

An MRI revealed a strained flexor muscle, and the left-hander was placed on the DL after the Yankees' 5-4 loss to the Washington Nationals, manager Joe Girardi said. He will be re-evaluated in a couple of days.

Right-hander Dellin Betances will take over as closer in the interim.

Miller, who joined the Yankees on a four-year, $36 million deal last offseason, has 17 saves and a 1.03 ERA. Betances is 4-0 with two saves and a 0.28 ERA.


Niese's struggles have Mets losing, Overs cashing

New York Mets' P Jon Niese is struggling as of late, which has led the team to drop their last five games with the leftie starting.

Niese has worked 26 innings in his past five starts while allowing 23 runs and five home runs. It should not come as a shock then that the over/under records during those games are 4-0-1.

The Mets host the San Francisco Giants Thursday.


Red Sox struggling to score runs against Tillman

The Boston Red Sox have seen their fair share of Chris Tillman, but the Bo-Sox have only picked up one win in their past seven against the Baltimore Orioles pitcher.

Over 38.1 innings pitched, Tillman has only allowed 13 runs (1.9 per game) while tossing 33 strikes (4.7 per game).

However, Tillman has struggled at Camden Yards this season with an 0-4 record with a 7.50 ERA.


Braves going over with this pitcher on the mound

The Atlanta Braves are expected to send Julio Teheran to the mound Thursday, with the team carrying a 10-2 over/under record with the Colombian starting this season.

Teheran has not been the ace the Braves were hoping for this season with the young right-hander averaging 5.2 innings per outing while holding 4.87 ERA.


Over bettors sizing up Heston's next start after no-hitter

Chris Heston became the first rookie to toss a no-no since 2007 (Clay Buchholz), when the San Francisco Giants beat the New York Mets 5-0 on June 9.

Heston did not allow a single hit or walk, though he did hit three batters, while striking out 11 as the Giants were a +110 road dog Tuesday.

However, going back to 1999, and excluding three collective no-no's involving more than one pitcher (Houston 2003, Seattle 2012, Philadelphia 2014), starters making their first appearance since their no-hitter are 22-16-1 Over/Under – 56 percent Over.

Last season featured three no-hitters from LA's Clayton Kershaw, San Francisco's Tim Lincecum and Washington's Jordan Zimmerman. Last season saw those pitchers go 1-2 O/U in their next start with Lincecum and ZImmerman combining for 16.2 innings pitched and one run in their start following their no-no.

Heston is expected to be back on the mound Sunday versus the Arizona Diamonbacks - according to the Giants' current pitching rotation. He is 6-4 with a 3.77 ERA this season. San Fran has gone 6-3-1 O/U in Heston's past 10 starts.


Phillies' road record their worst since 1941

CINCINNATI -- Not since Joe DiMaggio was hitting safely in 56 straight games and Ted Williams batted .406 have the Philadelphia Phillies been this miserable on the road.

On Wednesday, manager Ryne Sandberg's club lost its seventh straight road game, dropping to 7-23 away from Citizens Bank Park with a 5-2 defeat at Cincinnati.

It's the Phillies' worst road mark through 30 games since 1941 when they started 6-24.

"It seems like the last couple of weeks, we've been trying to come from behind, playing catch-up in every game," Phillies manager Ryne Sandberg said.

Philadelphia hasn't won a road series since Sept. 5-7, 2014, at Washington.

The Reds homered eight times in the series, helping them complete the sweep at Great American Ball Park after the Phillies took two of three from them at home last week.

"We got out-homered 8-0 in the series," Sandberg said. "This has been going on for a few weeks now."

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, June 11


San Diego @ Atlanta

Game 901-902
June 11, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Cashner) 16.903
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+105); Over

Colorado @ Miami

Game 903-904
June 11, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Rusin) 15.564
Miami
(Phelps) 14.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+115); Over

San Francisco @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
June 11, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Lincecum) 16.232
NY Mets
(Niese) 14.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-115); Under

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 907-908
June 11, 2015 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Lorenzen) 14.400
Chicago Cubs
(Wada) 16.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-145
No Run Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-145); N/A

Washington @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
June 11, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Roark) 15.652
Milwaukee
(Garza) 14.244
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Over

Seattle @ Cleveland

Game 911-912
June 11, 2015 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Happ) 16.481
Cleveland
(Marcum) 15.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-110); Over

Texas @ Oakland

Game 913-914
June 11, 2015 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gonzalez) 16.354
Oakland
(Kazmir) 15.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+140); Under

Boston @ Baltimore

Game 915-916
June 11, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Miley) 15.820
Baltimore
(Tillman) 16.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
8
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

LA Angels @ Tampa Bay

Game 917-918
June 11, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Richards) 13.647
Tampa Bay
(Colome) 16.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-130
7
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+110); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Pro Baseball Trend Report


SAN DIEGO (30 - 31) at ATLANTA (29 - 30) - 12:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)


Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 9-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ATLANTA is 106-112 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 85-92 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-65 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History


ATLANTA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
ANDREW CASHNER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CASHNER is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
JULIO TEHERAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
TEHERAN is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.178.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)


COLORADO (27 - 31) at MIAMI (24 - 36) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS RUSIN (L) vs. DAVID PHELPS (R)


Top Trends for this game.


COLORADO is 151-270 (-63.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 35-73 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-73 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 57-89 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-55 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 19-48 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 74-94 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 402-393 (+40.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
MIAMI is 24-36 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 2-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
MIAMI is 4-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


MIAMI is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
CHRIS RUSIN vs. MIAMI since 1997
RUSIN is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
DAVID PHELPS vs. COLORADO since 1997
PHELPS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 10.24 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)


SAN FRANCISCO (34 - 26) at NY METS (31 - 29) - 7:10 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.


SAN FRANCISCO is 134-105 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-53 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 134-105 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-35 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-55 (+22.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-52 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LINCECUM is 23-12 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 5-17 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History


SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.6 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
TIM LINCECUM vs. NY METS since 1997
LINCECUM is 6-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 7-4 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.3 units)
JON NIESE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NIESE is 1-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-6. (-6.3 units)


CINCINNATI (27 - 31) at CHICAGO CUBS (31 - 26) - 8:05 PM
MICHAEL LORENZEN (R) vs. TSUYOSHI WADA (L)
Top Trends for this game.


CINCINNATI is 8-26 (-15.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 16-28 (-20.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 27-54 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 699-793 (+35.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 347-369 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1418-1579 (-278.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 759-737 (-164.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 359-345 (-88.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1361-1492 (-253.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 225-231 (-65.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1042-1175 (-212.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 657-762 (-201.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 692-695 (-158.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History


CHICAGO CUBS is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
MICHAEL LORENZEN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.
TSUYOSHI WADA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WADA is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)


WASHINGTON (31 - 28) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 38) - 8:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.


WASHINGTON is 2-8 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-38 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-20 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 67-87 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 22-38 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-32 (-15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
GARZA is 67-78 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History


There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TANNER ROARK vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ROARK is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
MATT GARZA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GARZA is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 7.33 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.6 units)


SEATTLE (27 - 32) at CLEVELAND (27 - 31) - 12:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.


SEATTLE is 27-32 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 145-183 (-52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 22-31 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 720-648 (-100.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 112-66 (+30.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 60-48 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-18 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 117-120 (-46.3 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 27-31 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MARCUM is 3-15 (-14.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 14-22 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History


SEATTLE is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
J.A. HAPP vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HAPP is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
SHAUN MARCUM vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MARCUM is 2-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+4.1 units)


TEXAS (31 - 28) at OAKLAND (24 - 37) - 3:35 PM
CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.


OAKLAND is 157-81 (+61.7 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
KAZMIR is 22-4 (+15.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 31-28 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 9-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
TEXAS is 20-13 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 27-25 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 33-27 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-26 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 38-26 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 24-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 10-18 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 12-19 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 6-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-35 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 81-76 (-19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


TEXAS is 4-5 (+0.9 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)
CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.
SCOTT KAZMIR vs. TEXAS since 1997
KAZMIR is 10-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 14-6 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.7 units)


BOSTON (27 - 33) at BALTIMORE (28 - 30) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.


BOSTON is 27-33 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-57 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-17 (-10.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 25-29 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 68-88 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 68-87 (-26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-48 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 128-100 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-52 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 34-19 (+12.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 71-46 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-15 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 65-46 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 114-88 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 87-60 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 57-39 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TILLMAN is 30-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 27-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 38-20 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 15-5 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 16-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History


BALTIMORE is 6-3 (+3.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)
WADE MILEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MILEY is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 9.65 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.5 units)
CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 8-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 11-6 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.2 units)


LA ANGELS (29 - 30) at TAMPA BAY (32 - 28) - 7:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ALEX COLOME (R)
Top Trends for this game.


LA ANGELS are 12-28 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 763-745 (+65.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 137-115 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 102-71 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 109-113 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-14 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 50-60 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 51-61 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 58-67 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-42 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 4-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History


TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
GARRETT RICHARDS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.954.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)


ALEX COLOME vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
COLOME is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 11


Golden State @ Cleveland

Game 707--708
June 11, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
136.445
Cleveland
128.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 2 1/2
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-2 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (80 - 20) at CLEVELAND (67 - 32) - 6/11/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-42 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 10


When a team goes 12-34 from arc and only 7-12 on line, its hard for them to win; Golden State is 20-69 from arc last two games- Cavaliers are kicking their butts with physical play, a stronger will. Cleveland attacks hoop more with Irving gone; they are 45-64 on foul line in lst two games (13-19 in Game 1). Warriors played well once they started playing with sense of desperation; can they play that way for 48:00? Dellavedova is a spunky guy who defends well; he played 42:00/38:31 last two games, was in hospital for dehydration after-- can he keep up his gritty play?

Golden State won eight of its last 12 games with Cleveland; nine of the 12 games were decided by 8+ points. Cavaliers are 14-3 so far in playoffs, Warriors are 13-5. Ten of last 13 Golden State games stayed under the total. Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Warriors won four of last six visits here, but Lebron was in Miami for the four wins. Golden State needs a faster-paced game to succeed in this series.

2015 playoffs
Cleveland vs Golden State
GSt 108-100 OT, -6, O203.5
Clev 95-93, OT, +7.5, U199
Clev 96-91, +2, U194.5




NBA

Thursday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. CLEVELAND
Golden State is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Golden State

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Thursday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Warriors at Cavaliers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers (+2.5, 193)

Cavaliers lead series 2-1

The Cleveland Cavaliers are controlling the pace and flow of the NBA Finals and look to take another step toward winning the best-of-seven series when they host the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Cleveland again frustrated the speedy Warriors while posting a 96-91 in Game 3 on Tuesday and can take a dominating 3-1 series lead with another strong effort in Game 4.

The Cavaliers have slowed the games to a tempo that has knocked high-scoring Golden State out of sync while LeBron James has been dynamic by averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and 8.3 assists over the first three games. "Every time the media or anyone thinks that he can't accomplish something or do something remarkable, he always answers the call," forward Tristan Thompson told reporters. "He's playing great basketball for us, and we're just getting on his shoulders and just riding him the through the game." League MVP Stephen Curry is averaging 24 points in the series for the Warriors but was nonexistent for most of the first 30 minutes in Game 3 before a strong final quarter in which he made five 3-pointers and scored 17 points. "Whether I'm making shots or not, I've got to stay -- I'll use the word vibrant -- just kind of having fun out there," Curry said at a press conference. "Because the team definitely feeds off of my energy and the joy for the game."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The opening total (192.5) has jumped half-a-point. The spread opened at CLE +2.5 and has remained there.

INJURY REPORT: Warriors - F Draymond Green (Prob-Back) Cavaliers - G Matthew Dellavedova (Prob-Fatigue), G Iman Shumpert (Prob-Shoulder)

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Golden State looks nothing like the squad that recorded 67 regular-season victories and forward Draymond Green criticized his team's effort and competitiveness on Wednesday's off-day. "They're playing like a team that's desperate and needs something," Green told reporters of the Cavaliers. "We're playing like a team that's not desperate and got something. ... This isn't the time to be quiet. Everybody should speak up. You be quiet now, you'll be home in a couple of days." Perhaps the biggest positive the Warriors could point to in Game 3 was the play of reserve forward David Lee, who came off the bench to score 11 points in 13 minutes in his first action of the series.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: Cleveland is already without point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) and power forward Kevin Love (shoulder) and sidestepped more misfortune when guards Iman Shumpert (shoulder) and Matthew Dellavedova (severe dehydration) had issues in Game 3. Shumpert collided with the screening Green and injured his left shoulder and an MRI exam performed Wednesday displayed the injury was only a bruise, while Dellavedova cramped up so badly after Tuesday's 20-point performance that he was taken to a hospital via ambulance and spent the night receiving IV treatments. "I felt like I pushed the limit a few times," Dellavedova told reporters Wednesday after returning to the team. "That's the most tired I've been. I'm feeling good now, though."

TRENDS:

*Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
*Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.

CONSENSUS: 51.32 percent of the public is behind the Warriors -2.5 with 71.4 percent on the over.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Thursday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cavs-Warriors NBA Finals sees historic adjustment in Over/Under betting
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The 2015 NBA Finals has undergone the biggest adjustment in betting totals from Game 1 to Game 4 in any championship series over the last 24 years, with a 10.5-point difference between the opening game total and fourth installment of the series.

Going back to the 1991 NBA Finals (as far back as Covers’ NBA betting database allows), the most a total has jumped between Game 1 and Game 4 is 6.5 points. That adjustment occurred in the 1991 championship between Michael Jordan and the Chicago Bulls and Magic Johnson and the Los Angeles Lakers (Game 1: 201.5, Game 4: 195), and the 1998 finals featuring Chicago and the Utah Jazz (Game 1: 186, Game 4: 179.5).

Game 1 of the 2015 NBA Finals closed with a lofty total of 203.5 points, only playing Over due to an added overtime period that saw Golden State edge Cleveland 108-100 last Thursday. Game 2 closed with an Over/Under of 199 points, with the Cavaliers stealing a 95-93 OT win in Oracle Arena and playing Under despite the extra frame. That led to a 194.5-point closing total for Tuesday’s Game 3 in Cleveland, in which the home side won 96-91 for another easy Under winner.

That takes NBA bettors to the opening total for Thursday’s Game 4 of the NBA Finals, which sits at 193 points – a more than 10-point difference from the series opening number. With such a gap between the Over/Under for Game 1 and Game 4, were oddsmakers completely wrong when it came to this series?

Well, no. While scoring has been at a premium in this series, and all three games fell Under the total in regulation by a combined 40 points, sportsbooks make their adjustments based on two factors: 1. Game outcomes. 2. Betting patterns. And as far as the basketball betting public is concerned, every game should be going Over.

“We’d get Over money tomorrow if we set the total at 232,” Jimmy Vaccaro, veteran linesmaker for South Point Las Vegas, tells Covers.

According to books in Nevada and online, the Over has been the popular pick with the recreational bettors while the sharps have swooped in and taken the Under. That’s just fine by bookmakers, who have not only been big winners with those Under results the past two games but also with plenty of Over plays parlayed to the Warriors.

“You just make adjustments, that’s all,” John Avello, director of race and sports at the Wynn Las Vegas, tells Covers. “Golden State isn’t shooting the ball well. So just like their coach has to make adjustments, the books have to make adjustments.”

The NBA Finals have been a breeding ground for Under paydays in recent seasons. Since the 2006 NBA Finals, championship games have gone 19-29-3 Over/Under (60.4 percent Under) and Game 4 situations have produced a 2-7 O/U mark in that span – the most profitable situation for Under bettors in the best-of-seven format for the finals.

That’s not to say the totals won’t climb back towards 200-plus points for the remaining games of the series, especially with a Game 5 in Golden State on the schedule. Cleveland’s defense is getting the bulk of the praise for this downtick in offensive production but the Cavs’ clock-sucking offense and just plain poor shooting from the Warriors – specifically Stephen Curry – is having a big impact on how the totals trickle down.

“I think the Cavs are making it difficult but the Warriors are just missing wide-open shots,” says Avello, pointing to Golden State's 41.4 percent shooting in the finals. “They’re just missing. (Matthew) Dellavedova is OK, but they’re (the media) making him out to be the next great defensive stopper. But it’s more about Curry missing open shots, going 2 for 15. You have no chance to go Over the total when he’s shooting that way.”

Looking back over the past nine NBA Finals, Game 4 has seen an average closing total of 189.72 points against an average total of 185 points scored. However, Game 5 totals jump to an average of 191.31 with 202 points scored, producing a 5-3 O/U record.

Game 3 winners

Game 3 is a pivotal matchup for any playoff series, with one team taking a 2-1 edge or putting a 3-0 chokehold on their opponent. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, Game 3 winners - when the series is tied 1-1 - have gone on to win the NBA title in 31 of the past 37 situations. One of those six exceptions was LeBron James and the 2013 Miami Heat, who dropped Game 3 to San Antonio but rallied to win the series.

Looking back to the 1991 NBA Finals, the winner of Game 3 has gone on to a collective 13-11 SU and 13-10-1 ATS record in Game 4 of the series. As for LeBron, he’s 2-3 SU, ATS, and O/U in Game 4 of the NBA Finals for his career, averaging 24 points, 6.4 assists, and nine rebounds in those contests.

Finals home dogs

Cleveland was just the 18th finals home underdog since the 1991 NBA Finals, covering the spread as a 2-point pup in Game 3 Tuesday. In that span, home dogs have finished 6-12 SU, 8-10 ATS, and 11-9 Over/Under.

It was also just the fourth time all season the Cavaliers were getting the points at home, and the first time they’ve won and covered in that rare role. Cleveland is once against the underdog in Game 4, set at +3 Thursday.

LeBron MVP no matter what

Not since Jerry West in the 1969 NBA Finals has the Finals MVP award gone to a player on the losing team. In fact, that’s the only time it’s happened.

LeBron James is making a case for the now-labelled Bill Russell Award, averaging 41 points, 12 rebounds and more than eight assists in the 2015 finals, and entered the series priced at +180 to win Finals MVP. Despite pushing the Cavs to a 2-1 series lead, oddsmakers still have Golden State as a -115 favorite to win the NBA championship, with Cleveland coming back at -105.

Win or lose, James should get major MVP consideration, and has already won over one Las Vegas bookmaker (even though you can’t wager on MVP odds in Nevada - yet).

“If you take LeBron off the court and you take that group of guys they have right now (no Kevin Love, no Kyrie Irving), they wouldn’t win five games all year,” says Avello.

The Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas has set James’ Game 4 scoring total at 35.5 points (-110 either side). Curry has a conservative scoring total prop of 28.5 points (-110 either way).


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Thursday, June 11


Dellavedova, Shumpert expected to play in Game 4

Both Iman Shumpert and Matthew Dellavedova have injury concerns heading into Game 4 Thursday, but both are expected to suit up for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

"I'm all right, this isn't the regular season," Shumpert said after getting an MRI on his shoulder. "It would take a lot for me not to play, there would have to be structural damage."

Dellavedova, who was dealing with dehydration after Game 3, will have his minutes monitored Thursday according to coach David Blatt.

The Cavs are currently +2.5 when they host the Warriors.

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA

Thursday, June 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. CONNECTICUT
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW YORK
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

8:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Thursday, June 11


Liberty, Shock cover again, remain a hot wager

Yes, it is early days in the WNBA season, but the New York Liberty and Tulsa Shock each won and covered the spread Tuesday evening to remain perfect at the betting window.

The Liberty won 86-79 over the Indiana Fever, covering the spread as 4.5-point home faves while the Shock hammered the Seattle Storm 68-45 as 6-point home favorites. Both clubs improved to 3-0 against the spread to remain the best bets in the league.

Next up for the Liberty is a date with the Phoenix Mercury Thursday evening, while the Shock have a few days off before visiting the San Antonio Stars Sunday.

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 11


San Antonio @ Atlanta

Game 601-602
June 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
103.339
Atlanta
125.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 22
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-6); Over

Phoenix @ New York

Game 603-604
June 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
120.536
New York
114.271
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 6
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 3 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-3 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Connecticut

Game 605-606
June 11, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.997
Connecticut
114.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 5
155
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+5); Under

Seattle @ Minnesota

Game 607-608
June 11, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
107.465
Minnesota
116.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 9
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 13 1/2
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+13 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Braves are building a new ballpark; 60% of the 41,000 seats will be under cover. 19,000 tickets each night will be priced at $20 or less.

-- Texas Rangers are 6-0 on the road when Nick Martinez pitches.

-- Padress sent 2B Jedd Gyorko to AAA; they still owe him $30M on his deal.

-- Giants' LF Nori Aoki is hitting .415 on the road this season.

-- Mets' catchers had dismal .277 slugging percentage with Travis d'Arnaud on DL.

-- Nike signed an 8-year, $1B deal to do the NBA's uniforms/warmups.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) There is so much turnover in baseball teams from year-to-year now, the first half of the season is a mishmash of sloppy play, with some teams then selling off players, and then a few teams getting hot in the second half and making the playoffs. Teams come from nowhere one year, then go back under the woodwork the next year.

12) Dodgers are now the big money team; they have a seemingly bottomless budget. I have no idea what Bronx is doing- they've got a lot of old, expensive players-- Joe Girardi has done a great job keeping them atop a weak AL East, but they took a big blow yesterday when closer Andrew Miller went on the DL

11) Houston has lost eight games in a row now, as they try to patch holes with young guys promoted from the minor leagues. Toronto has won eight in a row, as their big bats begin to heat up. The big question becomes, "Which teams will spend money to supplement their roster with players from other teams?"

10) Phillies are 22-39, an aging/bad team but if the games were only five innings long, they would be even worse. Their five-inning record: 10-39-12; only ten times in 61 games have they led after the fifth inning.

9) Lebron James is a good guy; he sent one of the kids who tied for the spelling bee title an autographed pair of sneakers and a pair of Beats headphones, which hopefully doesn't drill spelling words into his ears.

8) Oakland A's had 24 wins in their final at-bat last year; they got their first one this year last night- they're 1-10 in games decided in a team's final AB.

7) Why did the Miami Marlins fire their manager? How did that help anything? Now the remaining coaches are at odds with the new coaches, the players are rolling their eyes with another season of dysfunction- their team stinks. Baseball is basically an individual sport-- a guy's stats dictates his salary to some degree, so players play for themselves at all times but it still makes the Marlins much less fun to watch.

6) Run differential is a stupid stat; Oakland has scored three more runs than it has alloowed and they're a putrid 24-37, because they suck in close games!!! Thats the stat that matters; the A's pound on bad righty pitchers- they cannot beat a lefty (3-11).

5) Orioles 1B Chris Davis bunted for an easy hit against a Boston shift in bottom of 2nd last night; Red Sox had no one left of shortstop. If you don't like being shifted against, you have to do stuff like that to get teams to change defenses.

4) San Diego Chargers will retire LaDanian Tomlinson's #21 at halftime of game in November, a Sunday night game. That guarantees a sellout that night.

3) A high school kid named Skylar Mays is moving from Louisiana to Las Vegas for his senior year of HS, to play ball at Findlay Prep. Mr Mays is a recruiting target of UNLV, so this is convenient for them. Has to be tough for a kid to leave home for his last year of school though. Mays is a 6-3 point guard.

2) Danny Ainge's son is going on a 2-year Mormon mission; when he comes back he will be on basketball scholarship at Utah State. The elder Ainge played at BYU.

1) Football teams are using virtual reality technology to help accelerate their QB's development; they can put this helmet on and see what opposing defenses would look like on a field-- coaches are raving about technology while also wishing no one would write about it, so not everyone will have the same tools to work with.

 

[Bishop987]

Good going out here with the bets..

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, June 11


Home teams on a tear with this umpire

Home teams have found success with umpire Chris Segal working home plate recently, posting victories in the previous six ball games he's worked behind the dish. Segal will be calling pitches at Citi Field as the New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants Thursday.

Segal has called seven games behind home plate so far this season and the home team has achieved a record of 6-1. Home clubs are averaging 5.14 runs per game and road teams 2.57 per contest.


A big road dog? This team thrives in that spot

The Texas Rangers are 6-0 in their last six games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and that is exactly what they will be Thursday afternoon when they visit the Oakland A's.

The Rangers and right-hander Chi Chi Gonzalez (2-0, 0.00 ERA) are currently +156 road dogs as they go up against left-hander Scott Kazmir (2-4, 3.14 ERA) of the A's. Oakland is a -170 favorite.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, June 11


This hurler has been on fire for Under bettors

The Under has cashed in each of Boston Red Sox pitcher Wade Miley's previous seven starts heading into Thursday's meeting with the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards.

Miley has made 11 starts on the season and owns a 5-5 personal record, a 3-8 Over/Under record, 4.67 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. The southpaw gets just 3.36 runs of support from the BoSox offense in his starts.

The Sox are slight faves at -105 against the O's, who are probable to start Chris Tillman. Oddsmakers have the total set at 8.5.


Home teams on a tear with this umpire

Home teams have found success with umpire Chris Segal working home plate recently, posting victories in the previous six ball games he's worked behind the dish. Segal will be calling pitches at Citi Field as the New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants Thursday.

Segal has called seven games behind home plate so far this season and the home team has achieved a record of 6-1. Home clubs are averaging 5.14 runs per game and road teams 2.57 per contest.

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (0 - 1) at ATLANTA (0 - 2) - 6/11/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (1 - 0) at NEW YORK (2 - 1) - 6/11/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (1 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) - 6/11/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (2 - 0) - 6/11/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, June 11


NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - Cavs Lead Series 2-1

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers, 9:00 ET
Golden State: 13-4 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs
Cleveland: 12-3 ATS at home after a win by 6 points or less

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, June 11


Warriors haven't dropped three straight all season

The Golden State Warriors head into Game 4 of the NBA Finals having dropped two straight games and trail the Cleveland Cavaliers 2-1, but luckily for Warriors fans and backers, Golden State hasn't lost three straight games all season.

In fact the Warriors have lost back-to-back games only five times all season, two of which have been during this postseason run.

When it comes to covering the spread after consecutive losses the Warriors are 3-2, but have covered the last three in a row.

Golden State is currently a 2.5-point road favorites for Game 4 and -150 to win on the moneyline.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA Finals: Thompson: Warriors to 'find offense, win the series'


CLEVELAND – Klay Thompson offered the Warriors a roadmap out of their two-game losing streak in the 2015 NBA Finals. Golden State trails the Cleveland Cavaliers 2-1 entering Game 4 on Thursday.


"If we get our offense back, we're going to win this series," said Thompson.


Find their offense the Warriors did in Game 3, but the surge in the final 25 minutes which all but erased a 20-point deficit was futile. MVP Steph Curry left the court shaking his head. With a minute or two more, the Warriors might have shifted the narrative of a series defined by what Cavaliers forward LeBron James is doing – for himself and his band of role players – to get Cleveland the edge without Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving.


"He understands the moment. He understands the situation, and he is a big, big, big time player," first-year Cavs coach David Blatt said. "He can get it done."


James scored in the 40s for the third consecutive Finals game and is on a record pace statistically if he holds up physically. With Irving (knee), Love (shoulder) and Anderson Varejao (Achilles) down, this isn't the Finals lineup James or Blatt envisioned. But James is doing more than enough to compensate as Blatt, who played for Pete Carrill at Princeton, has Cleveland playing at a slow-down pace to counter the run-and-gun Warriors.


"This is a resilient group. They just don't give in," Blatt said. "If you can bend and not break, you've always got a chance. You've got a chance."


James said he told teammates in the aftermath of Game 3 that the Warriors are a great team that was not close to mercifully folding to bow to James and the Cavaliers' victory parade.


But there is a lot of work to do for Golden State to make its case on the court.


"You want to show some fight. And I thought in the third quarter we were hanging our heads a little bit, and it was good to see us bring the fight to the game," said Warriors coach Steve Kerr. "And that's how we have to play the whole way through. It's not just making shots. Obviously, that helps, but it's fighting and it's competing, and we've got to do that for 48 minutes."


Curry and Thompson averaged 45.4 points in the regular season. Thompson had the hot hand in the first two games and Curry, after scoring just three points in the first half Tuesday and shooting 15 of 43 in the first two games combined, broke out of his six-quarter "slump" with a huge second half.


"We're in the NBA Finals," Kerr said. "There's pressure for everybody. I was pleased with the way we responded when we got down, and I'm very confident that we'll play better in Game 4."


Curry was 10 for 20 in the game, including 7 of 13 from 3-point range, and the Warriors scored 36 points in the fourth quarter.


That sparked optimism in a locker room surprised to be starting at a 2-1 deficit in the Finals.


"Whether I'm making shots or not, I've got to stay I'll use the word vibrant just kind of having fun out there," said Curry. "Because the team definitely feeds off of my energy and the joy for the game. So if it's not going our way, or not going my way specifically, I've got to find different ways to get us going. So I like that challenge because this is going to be a hard fought series, and I've got to have a huge part in it."

 

[CNOTES]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores


9:00 PM EDT


707 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -2.5 EVEN -4 -15 / -4 -18 / -4 -19 -4 -15 -190


708 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 192.5o08 194 / 194.5 / 194 193.5 +161

CLE-G-Kyrie Irving-OUT | CLE-PF-Kevin Love-OUT | TV: ABC

 

[CNOTES]

Team Pitcher Open Line Movements Current Runline Scores


12:10 PM EDT


901 SAN DIEGO PADRES (R) Cashner, A 7.5u20 -112 / -113 / -114 -113 -1.5(+155) 6Over 7.5
902 ATLANTA BRAVES (R) Teheran, J -125 7.5u20 / 7.5u25 / 7.5u22 7.5u20 +1.5(-175) 4Final


TV: FS-San Diego, SportsSouth, DTV: 646, 694 | PARTLY SUNNY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS. WIND OUT TO LEFT CENTER 6-11. GAME TEMP 84, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 89


7:10 PM EDT


903 COLORADO ROCKIES (L) Rusin, C 8u20 8.5o15 / 8.5u20 / 8.5u15 8.5u20 +1.5(-195)
904 MIAMI MARLINS (R) Phelps, D -130 -129 / -133 / -131 -130 -1.5(+165)

TV: FS-Florida, ROOT-Rocky Mountain, DTV: 654, 683 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND IN FROM CENTER 7-12. GAME TEMP 86, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 93 (MARLINS STADIUM ROOF MAY CLOSE IN HOT WEATHER)


7:10 PM EDT


905 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (R) Lincecum, T -115 7.5o15 / 8o16 / 8o19 8o18 +1.5(-199)
906 NEW YORK METS (L) Niese, J 7.5u20 -115 / -118 / -117 -126 -1.5(+169)


TV: CSN-Bay, SNY, DTV: 639, 696 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. WIND OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 8-13. GAME TEMP 86, RH 49% HEAT INDEX 89


8:05 PM EDT


907 CINCINNATI REDS (R) Lorenzen, M 8u20 7.5u15 / 7.5u20 / 7.5u25 7.5u20 +1.5(-165)
908 CHICAGO CUBS (L) Wada, T -145 -146 / -153 / -154 -157 -1.5(+145)

TV: CSN-Chicago, FS-Ohio, DTV: 661, 665 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. WIND RIGHT TO LEFT 7-12. GAME TEMP 64, RH 78%


8:10 PM EDT


909 WASHINGTON NATIONALS (R) Roark, T -115 -121 / -117 / -109 -108 -1.5(+150)


910 MILWAUKEE BREWERS (R) Garza, M 8.5u20 8.5 / 8.5o15 / 8o20 8.5u19 +1.5(-170)


MIL-CF-Carlos Gomez-Doubtful | TV: FS-Wisconsin, MASN2, DTV: 641, 669 | CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. WIND LEFT TO RIGHT 7-12. GAME TEMP 61, RH 83% (MILLER PARK ROOF CLOSES IN WET WEATHER)


12:10 PM EDT


911 SEATTLE MARINERS (L) Happ, J 8.5u20 -111 / -110 / -105 -106 -1.5(+155) 0Under 8.5
912 CLEVELAND INDIANS (R) Marcum, S -108 8.5 / 8.5u15 / 8.5 8.5o15 +1.5(-175) 6Final
'
SEA-LF-Nelson Cruz-? | TV: ROOT-Northwest, SportsTime Ohio, DTV: 662, 687 | PARTLY SUNNY, WIND IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 5-10. GAME TEMP 74, RH 68% HEAT INDEX 77


3:35 PM EDT


913 TEXAS RANGERS (R) Gonzalez, C 7.5u15 7.5u13 / 7.5u15 / 7.5u19 7.5u20 +1.5(-150) 0BOT 8
914 OAKLAND ATHLETICS (L) Kazmir, S -145 -164 / -163 / -180 -181 -1.5(+130)

TEX-3B-Adrian Beltre-OUT | TV: FS-Southwest, DTV: 676 | MOSTLY SUNNY, WIND OUT TO RIGHT 10-15. GAME TEMP 72, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 73


7:05 PM EDT


915 BOSTON RED SOX (L) Miley, W 8u15 +100 / -105 / -108 8.5o15 -1.5(+155)
916 BALTIMORE ORIOLES (R) Tillman, C -105 8o13 / 8o15 / 8.5 -104 +1.5(-175)

TV: MASN, NESN, DTV: 628, 640 | MOSTLY FAIR, HAZY, WIND OUT TO LEFT CENTER 4-9. GAME TEMP 88, RH 49% HEAT INDEX 92


7:10 PM EDT


917 LOS ANGELES ANGELS (R) Richards, G -130 -114 / -113 / -106 -107 -1.5(+155)
918 TAMPA BAY RAYS (R) Colome, A 7o15 7o15 +1.5(-175)

TV: FS-West, SunSports, DTV: 653, 692 | Dome