Cnotes Best Bets For Friday May 8th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[CNOTES]

Preview: Marlins (14-15) at Giants (14-15)
Game: 2
Venue: AT&T Park
Date: May 08, 2015 10:15 PM EDT

Dee Gordon may finally meet his match with his 12-game hitting streak on the line.


Baseball's best hitter has fared poorly against Tim Lincecum, whose San Francisco Giants have dropped his last four starts against the Miami Marlins heading into Friday night's matchup at AT&T Park.


Gordon leads the majors in hits (52) and batting average (.437) and is second in multihit efforts (15). He is batting .560 during a hitting streak that is the longest current one in the majors and one game shy of his career best set in September.


'He's been a huge lift for us at the top of the order,' manager Mike Redmond said. 'This guy is locked in.'


The leadoff hitter is 3 for 21 against Lincecum (2-2, 2.40 ERA), who has gone 0-3 with a 5.26 ERA in his last four outings against the Marlins after going 2-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his first three.


The right-hander pitched eight innings of three-hit ball Sunday to earn a 5-0 victory over the Los Angeles Angels.


Lincecum should be tough on Gordon since he is limiting left-handed hitters to a .184 average. He is throwing a fastball, split-finger fastball or cut fastball on 81.8 percent of his pitches to lefties.


"His fastball command really can determine how his game goes," manager Bruce Bochy said.


Hitting right behind Gordon is the red-hot Martin Prado, who has reached base safely in 16 straight games with a .343 average. Prado is 10 for 30 off Lincecum while Giancarlo Stanton is 4 for 14.


The timing could be less than ideal for lefty-swinging Christian Yelich to return since he's 0 for 7 with five strikeouts versus Lincecum. Yelich will be activated from the disabled list Friday after being sidelined with a back injury since April 19.


Gordon and Prado each had three hits and Stanton and Marcell Ozuna drove in two runs apiece in Thursday's 7-2 victory to open this four-game series. The Marlins (14-15) continued this trip after losing two of three at Washington by posting their 13th win in their last 16 games at San Francisco.


"We came out really relaxed today after a long night of travel," Redmond said. "Our guys really like playing here for whatever reason."


Miami has lost four of five starts by Jarred Cosart (1-2, 2.97), who gave up three runs in five-plus innings in Sunday's 6-2 home defeat to Philadelphia.


The right-hander has never pitched against the Giants (14-15) and has faced two of their hitters - Casey McGehee (1 for 3) and Nori Aoki (0 for 2).


McGehee could see action for the first time Friday against the team he played for last season. He was second on the Marlins with a .287 average in 2014 with a team-high 177 hits, but is batting .178 this year.


Marlins slugger Michael Morse was presented with his World Series ring before Thursday's contest and went 2 for 4. Morse singled in what turned out to be the winning run in the Giants' 3-2 Game 7 victory at Kansas City.


Miami has won 11 of 15 while San Francisco has dropped two straight at home after winning eight in a row there.




SERIES AT A GLANCE


GAME 1
Marlins at Giants
Thu, May 7 Final 7 to 2
Boxscores • Recaps


GAME 2
Marlins at Giants
Fri, May 8 - 10:15PM EDT


GAME 3
Marlins at Giants
Sat, May 9 - 9:05PM EDT


GAME 4
Marlins at Giants
Sun, May 10 - 4:05PM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

Preview: Astros (19-10) at Angels (13-16)
Game: 2
Venue: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
Date: May 08, 2015 10:05 PM EDT

Jered Weaver's recent struggles have been largely attributed to a drop in the speed of his fastball, but the Los Angeles Angels right-hander didn't appear to have too many issues against the Houston Astros last month.


After the Angels blew their chance to take the series opener, Weaver will try to help his club bounce back with another strong outing against Houston on Friday night.


Weaver has reportedly been throwing his primary pitch around 84.2 miles per hour, about five mph slower than his career average and three mph slower than in 2014. That seems to be a contributing factor in him going winless in his first six starts for the first time and likely played a part in Sunday's 5-0 loss in San Francisco.


Weaver (0-4, 6.29 ERA) gave up five runs and 10 hits in five innings, and has posted an 8.25 ERA in his last two outings. He was 131-69 with a 3.28 ERA in his first nine seasons.


"It's just like every other sport," Weaver told MLB's official website. "The older you get, your body changes with what's going on. As good as I do feel, something's just not clicking.


"I've never felt this good before, as far as strength and everything, and I've never gone through a struggle like this. That's why baseball is baseball. It's a humbling game. It's just a matter of what you're going to do to figure it back out."


Weaver gave up two runs in six innings April 17 in Houston but couldn't benefit from a 6-3 win. He's 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA in his last four matchups and has gone 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA in two at home, both last season.


The Astros (19-10) are batting .161 with eight runs in their last four games but snapped a three-game skid with a 3-2 win Thursday in Anaheim. Houston did all its scoring off Angels closer Huston Street in the ninth in his second straight blown save after converting his first nine attempts.


"You never draw it up like that going into the game, but it was a great win for us," Astros manager A.J. Hinch said. "We got quality at_bats at the end against their closer, which is hard to do."


Roberto Hernandez (1-2, 4.25) will try to lead his team to another win with another solid effort against the Angels (13-16). While pitching opposite Weaver last month, he gave up three runs and three hits in six innings before leaving without a decision. He's 0-4 with a 2.83 ERA in 10 starts against Los Angeles.


The only other AL club he's never beaten is Cleveland, and he's never faced his former team.


Hernandez was working on a solid showing in Sunday's 7-6 win against Seattle, giving up two runs in his first six innings. The Mariners, though, scored four times in the seventh with the right-hander getting charged with three runs after leaving with no outs.


Mike Trout, who has homered in consecutive games, is 4 for 11 with three home runs against Hernandez. That's tied for his second-most home runs versus any pitcher, trailing only his four against Texas' Yu Darvish.


SERIES AT A GLANCE


GAME 1
Astros at Angels
Thu, May 7 Final 3 to 2
Boxscores


GAME 2
Astros at Angels
Fri, May 8 - 10:05PM EDT


GAME 3
Astros at Angels
Sat, May 9 - 9:05PM EDT


GAME 4
Astros at Angels
Sun, May 10 - 3:35PM EDT

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


-- White Sox have been outscored 20-7 in the first inning this year.


-- La'el Collins gets a guaranteed three-year deal from the Cowboys, who get a real good prospect without spending a draft pick.


-- Seven of Joc Pederson's last eight hits have been home runs.


-- Mets are 18-10; their AAA team in Las Vegas has won 14 in a row, when is a big league team going to hire Wally Backman as its manager?


-- Mike Fiers struck out the side on nine pitches in the fourth inning; that does not happen very much.


-- Astros 3, Angels 2-- Houston scored three in ninth to stun Halos. In 71 games the last three nights, in only four games did the winning run score after the sixth inning. Three of those four were Angel games.


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here........


13) My last comment on DeflateGate; there are too many rules in this world and this is a perfect example of that. Let teams have as much as air as they want in the damn ball-- only footballs that need to be monitored are ones used for the kicking game, both punts and kicks. Otherwise, there should be no rule.


12) Staying in Boston, the Red Sox fired their pitching coach, as GM covers his own butt for the lousy pitching staff he put together. Instead of paying Rick Porcello $20M a year, how about paying Jon Lester while they had him?


11) Alex Rodriguez hit his 661st homer Thursday, passing Willie Mays for 4th on the all-time list. Think he's gotten that $6M check yet?


10) Random stat (from Chris Komka of Comcast Chicago): of all the guys in MLB history who hit 500+ homers, these three had the most plate appearances before hitting their first homer:
1) Mel Ott, 129......2) Reggie Jackson 112....3) Alex Rodriguez 108


9) Pirates are 13-15; in 10 of those 28 games, their hitters haven't drawn any walks. No other team has more than four games like that.


8) Florida hired Michael White from Louisiana Tech as its new hoop coach; his profile resembles Billy Donovan's from 20 years ago, except his dad is AD at Duke and his brother is AD at Buffalo. White was 83-24 the last three years at Tech but never made the NCAA tournament. He has very big shoes to fill.


7) Gregg Popovich makes $11M a year?!?!?! Damn, for that much he should not complain about doing interviews after the first or third quarters. TV helps write those big paychecks, after all.


6) Everett Golson is going to transfer from Notre Dame and is eligible to play this fall; this is a kid who led Notre Dame to the national title game vs Alabama as a freshman in 2012, but had fallen out of favor since. It is a fickle world.


5) Top three college baseball teams in latest rankings:
1) LSU...... 2) Texas A&M.....3) Louisville


4) John Wall has five non-displaced fractures in his left hand/wrist; x-rays taken after Monday's game revealed no fractures, but they're there. His status for Game 3 is still unclear, but his hand is still really swollen. I'm guessing the term "pain tolerance" will make an appearance fairly soon.


3) Teams whose pitchers walk more batters than they strike out in a game are 7-45 so far this season. It is important to throw strikes.


2) This fall will be the Cleveland Browns' 17th season since returning to the NFL; in the first 16 years, they were 1-0 once, in 2004, when they won 20-3 over the Ravens, who used to play in Cleveland. They lost their other fifteen season openers- their opener this year is against the Jets in Swamp Stadium


1) If the NFL suspends Tom Brady for the season opener, will NBC ask for a different Thursday night game to open its season with? Steelers-Patriots does not have the same marquee value if Jimmy Garoppolo is the Pats' QB.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, May 8

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ATLANTA (14 - 14) at WASHINGTON (14 - 15) - 7:05 PM
ERIC STULTS (L) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 93-97 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 91-96 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-59 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-10 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 109-75 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 34-30 (+23.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 since 1997.
STULTS is 40-29 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 12-20 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ERIC STULTS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
STULTS is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.410.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.6 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-8 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.540.
His team's record is 2-9 (-8.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.2 units)

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NY METS (18 - 10) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 19) - 7:05 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 97-93 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 15-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 85-89 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 97-93 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 26-21 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 52-32 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 30-39 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 1-11 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 67-68 (-31.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 30-39 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HARVEY is 5-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.60 and a WHIP of 0.712.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. NY METS since 1997
HAMELS is 8-14 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.446.
His team's record is 11-20 (-17.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-15. (-5.3 units)

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ST LOUIS (20 - 7) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 15) - 7:05 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 2-10 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-8 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 110-83 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 136-96 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 91-53 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 360-368 (+47.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 20-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 109-68 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 20-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 44-53 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WACHA is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.846.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LIRIANO is 4-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.97 and a WHIP of 0.953.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.6 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (14 - 12) at MILWAUKEE (9 - 19) - 8:10 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. JIMMY NELSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1401-1565 (-280.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 151-189 (-55.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1344-1478 (-255.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1028-1162 (-212.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 686-687 (-155.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HAMMEL is 2-12 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 91-99 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-50 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-39 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-50 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 3-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-40 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HAMMEL is 5-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.089.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NELSON is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.529.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (17 - 10) at COLORADO (11 - 15) - 8:40 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DE LA ROSA is 39-26 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 24-7 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 16-2 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 39-25 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 25-10 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 14-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 77-111 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 222-291 (-78.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 77-111 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 49-78 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 40-70 (-28.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 5-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 5-12 (-7.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (15 - 14) at ARIZONA (12 - 14) - 9:40 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 6-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-42 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SHIELDS is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 27-12 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 17-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 76-112 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-54 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-112 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-83 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 28-60 (-27.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SHIELDS is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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MIAMI (13 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (14 - 14) - 10:15 PM
JARRED COSART (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-93 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-93 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1032-863 (+117.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JARRED COSART vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM LINCECUM vs. MIAMI since 1997
LINCECUM is 2-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.064.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.4 units)

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KANSAS CITY (17 - 10) at DETROIT (17 - 11) - 7:05 PM
YORDANO VENTURA (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 22-40 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
PRICE is 65-28 (+27.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 117-87 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-41 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 14-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-6 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 113-84 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-59 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 57-41 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VENTURA is 14-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 23-26 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-32 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PRICE is 6-11 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. DETROIT since 1997
VENTURA is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PRICE is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 2-2 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (12 - 13) at NY YANKEES (17 - 11) - 7:05 PM
MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R) vs. ADAM WARREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 112-83 (+34.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 52-45 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 59-40 (+21.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 98-71 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 79-49 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 87-61 (+30.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 55-40 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 38-45 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 124-114 (-70.7 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GONZALEZ is 3-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 6-6 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-3. (+5.7 units)

ADAM WARREN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (15 - 13) at CLEVELAND (10 - 16) - 7:05 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 26-11 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-5 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-13 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PELFREY is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BAUER is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.47 and a WHIP of 0.932.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (13 - 15) at TORONTO (14 - 15) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. AARON SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 84-107 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 597-536 (-77.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 40-59 (-23.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-76 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-76 (-22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 24-12 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-38 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILEY is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 26.95 and a WHIP of 5.988.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

AARON SANCHEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (11 - 16) at TAMPA BAY (15 - 13) - 7:10 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. NATE KARNS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 78-111 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 51-87 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 49-75 (-20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GALLARDO is 14-24 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GALLARDO is 8-19 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 27-23 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 92-98 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 42-51 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 43-52 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 50-58 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-37 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

NATE KARNS vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (18 - 10) at LA ANGELS (13 - 15) - 10:05 PM
ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HERNANDEZ is 12-26 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 275-203 (+49.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
WEAVER is 94-40 (+30.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 37-10 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 94-40 (+30.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 18-10 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 49-49 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-10 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 2-8 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WEAVER is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 0.832.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (12 - 17) at SEATTLE (11 - 17) - 10:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. TAIJUAN WALKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 100-92 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-33 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 4-17 (-14.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-51 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 98-88 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-17 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 46-47 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-17 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 7-15 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 27-36 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-26 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GRAY is 4-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.21 and a WHIP of 1.057.
His team's record is 5-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WALKER is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 24.32 and a WHIP of 3.303.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (14 - 13) at CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 14) - 8:10 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 186-141 (+40.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 697-783 (+44.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 457-513 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 506-567 (+36.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 391-339 (+67.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-36 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JASON MARQUIS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.583.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

HECTOR NOESI vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 8


National League
Braves @ Nationals
Stults is 1-2, 4.91 in five starts, four of which went over.

Gonzalez is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went under.

Washington won six of last nine games with Atlanta; last three series games went over. Braves won three of last four games; over is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Nationals won seven of last nine games; four of last six went under.

Mets @ Phillies
Mets won all five Harvey starts (5-0, 2.41) with four of five going over total; NY scored 31 runs in the five games.

Hamels is 0-0, 1.38 in two starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five at home. .

Mets won eight of last ten games with Philly; over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. NY is 3-2 in last five games, despite allowing total of five runs in five games (two 1-0 losses)- all five games stayed under. Phillies lost seven of last nine games; over is 3-1-1 in their last five.

Cardinals @ Pirates
Wacha is 4-0, 1.93 in his five starts (under 3-2).

Liriano is 1-1, 1.95 in his five starts this season.

Pittsburgh lost last six games with St Louis; home side won last eight series games, with last four staying under, last three going extra innngs. Pirates also lost five of last six games; under is 7-2-3 in their last 12. St Louis won nine of its last ten games, with three of last four going over.

Cubs @ Brewers
Hammel is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; his last three stayed under.

Nelson allowed one run in 15 IP in his two home starts; he is 0-1, 9.00 in his last two starts- both of those were on road.

Chicago won six of last nine games with Milwaukee; last five in series went under total. Cubs lost five of last six games, with three of last four going over total. Brewers are 4-2 since Gomez came off DL but he sat out yesterday; last three Milwaukee games went over the total.

Dodgers @ Rockies
Former Rockie Anderson is 1-1, 4.21 in his five starts this year.

Butler is 1-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.

Colorado lost last six games to the Dodgers; home side won last eight series games- eight of last nine went over the total. LA won six of last eight games with over 4-1-1 in its last six. Rockies lost its last seven games, allowing a total of 65 runs-- six of their last eight games went over.

Padres @ Diamondbacks
Shields is 2-0, 5.79 in his last four starts; five of his six went over. San Diego scored 31 runs in his last five starts.

Hellickson is 1-3, 5.20 in his five starts; under is 3-1-1 in those games.

Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine games with San Diego; last four series games in Arizona went over the total. Padres lost five of last six road games, with four of those six staying under. Diamondbacks are 5-3 in last eight games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine.

Marlins @ Giants
Cosart is 1-1, 1.89 in his last three starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Lincecum is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts.

Giants lost last two games by combined 16-3 score; eight of their last 12 home games stayed under the total. SF won three of last five games with Marlins, but lost three of last four here; eight of last 11 series games went over. Miami lost three of last five games overall, with four of those five going over.

American League
Royals @ Tigers
Ventura is 0-2, 6.89 in his last three starts six of his last eight went over.

Price is 2-0, 2.35 in his last two starts; six of his last nine stayed under.

Kansas City is 4-6 in its last ten games with Detroit; six of last nine in series stayed under total. Royals are 2-3 in last five games; their last four all went over total. Tigers are 3-4 in last seven games; four of last six stayed under.

Orioles @ Bronx
Gonzalez is 3-0, 2.81 in his last four starts; eight of his last ten stayed under.

Warren is 2-2, 5.57 in his last four starts; four of his five went over.

Orioles won four of last seven games with Bronx; five of the seven went over the total. Baltimore lost eight of last ten road games, with last seven staying under total. Bronx is 8-3 in last 11 games; eight of its last ten stayed under.

Twins @ Indians
Pelfrey is 2-0, 2.02 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Bauer is 0-0, 7.84 in his last two starts, after he was 2-0, 0.90 in his first three.

Minnesota is 3-5 in last eight games with Cleveland; four of last six in series went over total. Twins won seven of last eight games, with four of last five going over total. Indians lost eight of their last twelve games- nine of their last ten went over.

Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Miley is 1-3, 8.83 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight.

Sanchez is 2-0, 4.32 in his last three starts, with Jays scoring 20 runs.

Boston won six of its last nine games with Toronto, but lodt five of last six games overall, with six of its last seven staying under total. Blue Jays are 3-7 in last ten home games; they're 3-10 in game following a win. Four of their last six games went over.

Rangers @ Rays
Gallardo is 0-3, 6.11 in his last three starts (under 3-1-1).

Karns is 1-0, 3.25 in his last five starts; four of his last six went over.

Texas won its last four games, allowing total of nine runs; they've lost six of last nine games vs Tampa Bay- under is 3-2-1 in last six. Under is 10-1 in last eleven Tampa Bay games. Rays lost four of their last six games.

Astros @ Angels
Hernandez is 0-2, 5.76 in his five starts (over 2-2-1).

Angels are 1-5 when Weaver starts (0-4, 6.29); over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Houston is 11-3 in last 14 games but lost three of last four; they've won four of last five against the Angels, rallying fron down 2-0 in last inning last night- under is 5-0-1 in last six in series. Angels lost five of last seven games, with winning run in last three games all being scored in last inning. Four of last five Halo games stayed under.

A's @ Mariners
Gray is 3-0, 1.25 in his last three starts; over is 5-0-1 in his last six.

Walker is 1-3, 9.53 in his five starts (over 3-2).

Oakland lost six of last nine games; ten of last 11 went over. A's are 3-5 in last eight games with Seattle; last three went over total. Mariners lost six of last seven games, with five one-run losses. Over is 9-0 in Oakland series openers.

Interleague
Reds @ White Sox
Marquis is 3-0, 4.66 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over total. He is getting best run support (33 runs/last three games) of any pitcher in major leagues.

Noesi is 0-3, 6.75 in his three starts; his last five stayed under. Sox scored a total of 11 runs in his last six starts.

Reds/White Sox are meeting for first time since 2009; Sox won eight of last nine series games, three of last four stayed under. Cincinnati is 7-4 in its last eleven road games. White Sox lost six of last eight games, with four of their last six staying under the total.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Atl-Wsh-- Stults 2-3; Gonzalez 3-2
NY-Phil-- Harvey 5-0; Hamels 2-4
StL-Pitt-- Wacha 5-0; Liriano 1-4
Chi-Mil-- Hammel 2-3; Nelson 2-3
LA-Col-- Anderson 3-2; Butler 3-2
SD-Az-- Shields 3-3; Hellickson 1-4
Mia-SF-- Cosart 1-4; Lincecum 2-3

KC-Det-- Ventura 3-2; Price 5-1
Balt-NY-- Gonzalez 3-2; Warren 4-1
Min-Cle-- Pelfrey 4-1; Bauer 3-2
Bos-Tor-- Miley 2-3; Sanchez 2-3
Tex-TB-- Gallardo 2-4; Karns 2-4
A's-Sea-- Gray 4-2; Walker 1-4
Hst-LA-- Hernandez 2-3; Weaver 1-5

Cin-CWS-- Marquis 4-1; Noesi 0-3

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Atl-Wsh-- Stults 0-5; Gonzalez 0-5
NY-Phil-- Harvey 1-5; Hamels 2-6
StL-Pitt-- Wacha 2-5; Liriano 1-5
Chi-Mil-- Hammel 0-5; Nelson 1-5
LA-Col-- Anderson 0-5; Butler 1-5
SD-Az-- Shields 2-6; Hellickson 4-5
Mia-SF-- Cosart 0-5; Lincecum 1-5

KC-Det-- Ventura 1-5; Price 2-4
Balt-NY-- Gonzalez 1-5; Warren 1-5
Min-Cle-- Pelfrey 0-5; Bauer 0-5
Bos-Tor-- Miley 1-5; Sanchez 3-5
Tex-TB-- Gallardo 3-6; Karns 1-6
A's-Sea-- Gray 1-6; Walker 2-5
Hst-LA-- Hernandez 3-5; Weaver 3-6

Cin-CWS-- Marquis 2-5; Noesi 1-3

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Friday, May 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Mets's last 19 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
NY Mets are 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

7:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

7:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

7:08 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
Kansas City is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Detroit is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cincinnati is 1-11 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 17-7 SU in their last 24 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

8:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Houston

10:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Seattle's last 18 games at home

10:15 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
San Francisco is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Friday, May 8


Cardinals undefeated in Wacha's past seven starts

Michael Wacha has taken a huge leap forward for the St. Louis Cardinals, which has the Red Birds looking for their eighth consecutive wins with the rightie on the mound. In Wacha's past seven starts he has only allowed 1.6 runs per game, while allowing one or less four times.

This season has seen Wacha post a 4-0 record with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.

St. Louis visits the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday.


Gonzalez winless in past eight versus Braves

Gio Gonzalez will look to exorcise some demons when he takes the mound Friday, as his Washington Nationals have dropped their past eight contests he has started.

Gonzalez has not been terrible in his appearances as he has only been chased before the sixth inning in three of those eight games while allowing 3.4 runs per contest.

In a smaller window the leftie has actually been solid as he has allowed two runs or less in 62.5 percent of those games.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, May 8


Minnesota @ Cleveland

Game 919-920
May 8, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Pelfrey) 16.721
Cleveland
(Bauer) 15.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+130); Under

Boston @ Toronto

Game 921-922
May 8, 2015 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Miley) 14.552
Toronto
(Sanchez) 16.133
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-125); Over

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 901-902
May 8, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Stults) 15.212
Washington
(Gonzalez) 14.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+170); Under

Texas @ Tampa Bay

Game 923-924
May 8, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gallardo) 14.114
Tampa Bay
(Karns) 16.878
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-115); Over

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 903-904
May 8, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Harvey) 16.812
Philadelphia
(Hamels) 17.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-145
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+125); Under

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 925-926
May 8, 2015 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Hernandez) 16.122
LA Angels
(Weaver) 17.290
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-135); Under

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh

Game 905-906
May 8, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 14.961
Pittsburgh
(Liriano) 16.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
7 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-120
7
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-120); Over

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 927-928
May 8, 2015 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gray) 19.138
Seattle
(Walker) 13.122
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 6
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-130
7
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-130); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee

Game 907-908
May 8, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hammel) 16.610
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 15.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-115); Over

Cincinnati @ Chicago White Sox

Game 929-930
May 8, 2015 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Marquis) 16.371
Chicago White Sox
(Noesi) 14.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-105); Over

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 909-910
May 8, 2015 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Anderson) 16.854
Colorado
(Butler) 15.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-135
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-135); Under

San Diego @ Arizona

Game 911-912
May 8, 2015 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Shields) 13.714
Arizona
(Hellickson) 10.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-125); Under

Miami @ San Francisco

Game 913-914
May 8, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Cosart) 16.250
San Francisco
(Lincecum) 15.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-135
7
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+115); Over

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 915-916
May 8, 2015 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Ventura) 15.529
Detroit
(Price) 12.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+140); Over

Baltimore @ NY Yankees

Game 917-918
May 8, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gonzalez) 14.702
NY Yankees
(Warren) 13.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+110); Under

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Friday, May 8


Giants-Marlins to play with high winds

There may appear to be some extra pop in the bats at AT&T Park Friday as high winds will be helping out batters. The Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants are going to face-off with winds blowing between eight and 13 miles per hour out towards centerfield.

The Marlins will start Jarred Cosart (2.97 ERA) while the Giants will send Tim Linecum (2.40 ERA) to the mound.

The current total for the Marlins-Giants is 7.


Hitter friendly wind for Phillies-Mets

There will be some extra carry on balls hit to centerfield at Citizen Bank Park Friday. Winds are expected to be blowing outward to CF from six to nine miles per hour when the Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets.

However the total is posted at a low 6.5 as the Mets will start Matt Harvey with the Phillies countering with Cole Hamels.


Orioles record sixth straight under

The Baltimore Orioles may have lost 4-3 to the New York Yankees Thursday, but under bettors continue to find profit in the O's. Six consecutive Orioles games have seen the under cash out thanks, in large, to the teams offensive deficiencies.

Baltimore has scored a mere 14 runs in their past six, which equals an average of 2.3 runs per game.

The O's continue their weekend series with the Yankees Friday with a current total of 8.5.


Padres shutout for third of past four games

The San Diego Padres continued their ineffectiveness with their bats Thursday as the team has now managed to not score a single run in three of their past four games.

Those three scoreless games have seen the Padres manage a mere three hits per game while giving up nearly 12 to their opponents.

San Diego continues their weekend series with the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday with the Padres currently -110.


Pirates halt losing streak, finally beat Reds

The Pittsburgh Pirates finally halted their five game losing streak by topping the Cincinnati Reds Thursday. The Pirates bats finally woke up by plating seven runs Thursday compared to just five during their five games previous.

The Bucs win also ended their seven game losing streak against their division rivals.

 

[CNOTES]

Weekend Primer


May 8, 2015




Upcoming Series to Watch


St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates


These two NL Central rivals just faced off in a three-game set last weekend, and it led to one of the more entertaining series of the young season. Unfortunately for the Pirates, it was St. Louis who emerged with a sweep -- a familiar result for baseball's best team thus far -- winning every game in walk-off fashion. That series actually submerged Pittsburgh into a bit of a slump in their last series at home against the Reds, losing two of three. However, they did capture the last game and hope that will shoot them back on track. In order for that to happen, they’ll certainly need team leader Andrew McCutchen to get going already, as he enters the weekend with a .210 batting average.


The Cardinals boast the top record for one main reason -- they're getting exceptional contributions in every area. Even with staff leader Adam Wainwright done for the year, they're still getting great pitching, specifically from John Lackey and tonight's starter Michael Wacha. In fact, their rotation has the third-best team ERA at 3.11. The bullpen's been doing their usual effective job, as the relievers own baseball’s top ERA at a ridiculous 1.47, and the offense, spearheaded by Matt Holliday and Matt Carpenter, is providing more than enough run support.


These two clubs have always played each other close since the Pirates' long-awaited ascension a couple of years ago, thus making this series a tough one to grasp. At the same time, it's awfully tough to bet against the Cardinals right now as they continue to coast. They’ve shown no signs of letting up.


Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers


One of the main storylines early on in the 2015 Major League Baseball season has been the on-going rivalry between AL Central residents the Royals and Tigers, who both flew out of the gate to kick off the campaign, and despite cooling off a bit, still own two of the best records in the American League entering the weekend. They met for the first time last weekend in a four-game set, unsurprisingly splitting the series with two wins apiece, and are currently separated by just a half-game atop the standings.


In the process, both games generated a 2-2 record towards the over/under, which is notable because of the presence of Kansas City, who sports one of baseball’s best records towards over bets at 16-9-3. Their tendency to win overs at such a high percentage thus far makes sense when you look at every team’s batting average, and observe that it is actually the Royals who stand with the best mark at very nifty .290. Furthermore, they have the third-most runs scored (143), albeit while posting 22 home runs as a team to rank in the middle of the pack. The Tigers aren’t far behind them in the offensive department, as they’re second in the AL with a .275 team batting average, but are just 15-14 towards over wagers. Regardless, it’s always an entertaining clash these days when both teams get together, and game one should be especially compelling with both aces slated to start, as David Price takes on the mercurial Yordano Ventura. Price just dominated the Royals with a complete game last Saturday so that’s definitely something to consider if you choose to bet on the opener. For the series, they clearly match up very evenly, making it difficult to bet on the series odds.


Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees


It feels like every weekend there's some crucial series taking place over in the AL East, but that's how important these early-season division matchups are with everyone closely jockeying for position. The four-game series began last night with the Yankees narrowly pulling out a one-run victory.


Along with that, there was another off performance from Orioles Opening Day starter Chris Tillman, which is really a microcosm of why Baltimore is currently under .500. Their starting pitching just has not been good, as the rotation is currently ranked fifth-worst in the American League with a 4.62 team ERA. Tillman isn’t the only culprit, as Bud Norris has also been far from his norm. As a result, they're off pace from last year’s success that saw them net their first division title in over a decade. The Yankees, meanwhile, have the fourth best starting pitching ERA in the league at 3.87, but arguably the biggest reason for their early fortunes has been their power hitting, having churned out 35 home runs and 136 runs scored. The series opener may have yielded an under last night, but look for more scoring as the weekend progresses.


Other Weekend Thoughts


-- I’ll look for any reason to talk about my Texas Rangers, and there’s certainly good reasoning to break them down at this point in time -- they’re on a very impressive winning streak. Remember when the Astros had their big winning streak and everyone was afraid of them? The Rangers put that to a halt by sweeping their in-state rival earlier this week, and now have won four in a row to suddenly shoot up to second place when everybody was beginning to write them off already.


Last night, they continued their winning ways by taking game one of their current four-game set with the Rays, and will look to veteran Yovani Gallardo, who has been solid in his first season in Texas, to keep it going against rookie Nathan Karns. Bias aside, I’m not really surprised the Rangers have gotten hot; their offense, statistically, was dreadful not too long ago, and given the talent they have in their lineup like Prince Fielder, Adrian Beltre, Shin-Soo Choo, and Elvis Andrus, it was inevitable that they’d escape their funk. Keep your eyes on Texas as they continue to attract good odds in terms of being a nice daily value bet.


-- A lot of people had high hopes for the Athletics this year, and even higher hopes for the Mariners entering 2015. Instead, both teams have tumbled down the standings, as they shocking both share residence in the AL West cellar. While they’re still close to everyone else except first-place Houston, this is a very big series for each team, as a series loss here continues their tailspin. The winner, however, will get some much-needed momentum and hopefully use this as a springboard to finally get on their expected path.


The Mariners are one of baseball’s biggest surprises this year in terms of how they’ve slumped to an 11-17 start, especially considering they have the league’s best hitter in Nelson Cruz continuing his monstrous ways. If you wanted to buy them low, now looks like a good opportunity, as the A’s offense is falling off with one of their key cogs, Ben Zobrist, on the disabled list for a little while. You know Seattle’s starting pitching is going to improve overall, and they’ll certainly look for that out of Taijuan Walker in tonight’s game one. He takes on Athletics ace Sonny Gray, who has been as tough on hitters as any starter so far.


Fearless Prediction


-- Break up the Minnesota Twins? With seven wins in their past eight games, the Twins have not only shot up three games above .500, but they’ve also assumed control of one of the American League’s two Wild Card spots, while also being 2.5 games out of first in the AL Central behind the upstart Royals. Imagine that, the team with the lowest projected win total in the AL by Vegas, making a strong postseason push. While this is a surprise to many, it’s not as much to me, as I had Minnesota exceeding expectations in 2015 under first-year manager Paul Molitor. They have a lot of young talent here, and it looks some of those guys are hitting their stride at the same time. They take on the struggling Indians in a three-game series this weekend, and being on the road, they could have very favorable odds for such a hot team, making them a tremendous value bet in terms of taking them for the series, which I would recommend backing. Be on the look-out for the Twins.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Playoff Essentials


May 8, 2015


Cavaliers at Bulls (-2, 196) – 8:05 PM EST – ESPN


East Semis Game 3 – Series tied 1-1


LeBron James vowed to be more aggressive in Game 2 and wound up scoring 33 points on 29 shots. Outside of bringing back the headband, it was similar to the Celtics series in that he dropped passive facilitator act in Game 2 there, too, imposing his will on the contest. Attack mode must continue as the Cavs face their biggest challenge of the postseason, a road game likely to be more physical and hostile than anything they saw in Boston, and, yes, we all saw what happened in that sweep-clincher.


J.R. Smith returns from a two-game suspension after a retaliatory back-handed punch that floored Celtics forward Jae Crowder in that game. He’s certainly been missed, since Matthew Dellavedova has had to play more minutes than expected and Mike Miller, James Jones and Shawn Marion were each dusted off to provide minutes on the wing. Whether he hits the ground running or not will be a key factor in Game 3, especially if Iman Shumpert is limited by his groin injury or isn’t able to play. Given all the uncertainty as the Cavs continue to work short-handed without Kevin Love, it’s no surprise the Cavs are an underdog for the first time this postseason.


VegasInsider expert Kevin Rogers writes that “the Cavaliers owned a 3-2 SU/ATS record as a road underdog this season with LeBron in the lineup, which includes a 114-108 overtime victory at Chicago back on Halloween night. Since the 2011 NBA Finals, James is 3-8 SU and 3-7-1 ATS when his team is in the away ‘dog role, as his Heat squad compiled a 1-3 SU/ATS record as a ‘dog in last season’s playoffs.”


Kyrie Irving is 19-for-21 from the free-throw line in the series, averaging 25.5 points despite shooting just 2-for-8 from 3-point range. Bulls defenders are having a hard time keeping him in front of them, so he can take some pressure off James by being aggressive. The Cavs opened -215 to win the series according to Sportsbook.ag, were placed at even odds alongside the Bulls before Game 2 and are now back as the favorite (-160). Cleveland is 4-2 ATS this postseason and broke a streak of four consecutive 'unders' when Jones connected on a 3-pointer for Wednesday night’s final points.


The Bulls have played two different game thus far in the series, dominating the opener by being the aggressor at both ends and standing little chance in Game 2 after barely showing up. Some may attribute that to being satisfied with a split at Quicken Loans Arena that swiped homecourt advantage, but there’s also a theory that one day’s rest between games simply isn’t enough for a team that’s still banged up. Chicago is 4-0 SU/ATS with multiple days to prepare thus far this postseason. Put in the situation it faces today, its record is 1-3 SU/ATS with three consecutive setbacks.


Derrick Rose suffered a shoulder stinger in Game 2 but professes to be fine on that front. His knees are always the greater concern, so we’ll see whether he can improve on the 30 percent (6-for-20) he shot on Wednesday. He was 5-for-20 in Game 5 against Milwaukee the last time the Bulls took the floor at home, which is part of another trend Rogers points out: “The Bulls haven’t been money in the bank at the United Center in the playoffs, posting a 2-7 SU/ATS record since 2013, with the two victories coming against Milwaukee in this year’s opening round.”


Most Improved Player winner Jimmy Butler has been the Bulls most effective piece in these playoffs and will be recognized pre-game and awarded his hardware. He’ll then tangle with James, who was able to get to his spots and use his bigger frame to bully him in the paint in Game 2. Butler is averaging 19 points and shooting 4-for-13 from 3-point range in the series, but needs to step it up further if the Bulls are going to pull this upset. Pau Gasol was a weapon on pick-and-pops and open jumpers in Game 1, finishing 10-for-16, but Cleveland made running bodies at him a priority on Wednesday and limited him to 11 points on 4-for-13 shooting. He was also beaten badly to loose balls and offensive rebounds by the more athletic Tristan Thompson, so he’ll have to play with much more energy.


Joakim Noah is also struggling and playing hurt, unable to make his usual contributions thus far. Chicago initially was +185 to pull the upset in this series per Sportsbook.ag, got even after the Game 1 win and are now available at +140. 'Unders' had prevailed in four consecutive Bulls games prior to the Game 2 'over'.


Rockets at Clippers (-4, 217) – 10:35 PM EST – ESPN


West Semis Game 3 – Series tied 1-1


After a disappointing Game 1 loss to a Clippers team missing Chris Paul and playing less than 48 hours after surviving the Spurs, the Rockets recovered in Game 2 to even things up. Since Paul was absent again, the fact the game hung in the balance until the fourth quarter should be considered disconcerting since they were playing at home, turned it over sloppily for a second straight game and missed free-throws and defensive assignments by the bushel.


Can Houston get comfortable? Rogers went back and looked at its last road game against the Clips as part of his research: “Back in mid-March, Houston overcame an early 10-point deficit to hold off Los Angeles 100-98 as five-point underdogs. Houston won in spite of shooting 37% from the floor, including a 7-of-30 effort from three-point range. What saved the Rockets in that victory was James Harden knocking down 17-of-18 free throws, while Chris Paul missed 14 shots from the floor. The Rockets have been a solid road underdog play since 2013, covering six straight in this role, including in a Game 3 win in the opening round at Dallas.”


The Rockets were the second-best road team in the West behind Golden State, tying the Clips at 26-15, and went 1-1 in Dallas during the first round, winning the critical Game 3 of that series. James Harden scored 42 points to pull out that victory, shooting a scorching 15-for-24, so it stands to reason he’ll be eager to start cooking early. He’s averaging 9.5 assists against L.A. thus far, but may look to get himself going early at Staples. Harden is 20-for-21 from the free-throw line in the series and has taken 73 free-throws through his seven playoff games.


The Rockets took 64 FTs as a team in Game 2, with Dwight Howard finishing 8-for-21. Considering they boo him in L.A. for sport, count on Doc Rivers playing Hack-a-Dwight often in the hopes the variable of a hostile crowd will rattle him even further. Howard has been a force on the defensive end, averaging 4.5 blocks in addition to 13 rebounds.


Houston lacks a rim protector when he’s off the floor, leaving its suspect defense further exposed. It’s imperative he plays smart and avoids foul trouble. UCLA product Trevor Ariza comes off a 15-point, 13-rebound output on Wednesday night and has been far more productive against the Clippers than he was against Dallas, which held him to 29 percent shooting.


The Rockets are +150 at Sportsbook.ag after having lost homecourt. Five of Houston’s seven playoff games have gone over the posted total, and the over is 10-3 in its games dating back to the end of the regular season.


Paul went through a workout on Thursday and is considered questionable with a significantly strained left hamstring. Head coach Doc Rivers doesn’t anticipate knowing whether his All-Star point guard will be available until close to game-time. Paul was brilliant in defeating San Antonio, shooting over 51 percent from the field, averaging 22.7 points and 7.9 assists, but wasn’t as successful against the Rockets, shooting under 37 percent from the field. Of course, the now-injured Patrick Beverley played in two of those games, but Howard’s size does discourage Paul from attacking the rim. If he can’t go, Austin Rivers and Lester Hudson will continue to play key roles alongside shooters J.J. Redick and Jamal Crawford.


After Blake Griffin dominated the first half of Game 2 with 26 points, he was held to just 8 points in the second as the Rockets made a concerted effort to get the ball out of his hands. He’s averaging 30 points, 14.5 rebounds and 8.5 assists thus far, continuing his run as one of the most productive performers of these playoffs. Whether Paul plays or not, he’ll have to confidently impose his will on the offensive end, limiting turnovers and attacking the rim when matched with smaller defenders. DeAndre Jordan got into early foul trouble in Game 2, allowing the Rockets to get off to a quick start. He was perfect from the floor (6-for-6) and actually made 4-of-6 FTs, but played just 25 minutes, the least he’s played in a game since Feb. 21. L.A. can’t afford for him to be watching from the bench for that long.


Sportsbook.ag has installed the Clippers as -170 chalk for the series entering Game 3. Five of L.A.’s last six games have gone over the posted total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, May 8


Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3, Series Tied 1-1

Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls, 8:00 ET

Cleveland: 33-21 ATS SU after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Chicago: 15-30 ATS SU after playing a road game


Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 3, Series Tied 1-1

Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers, 10:35 ET
Los Angeles: N/A
Houston: N/A




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 8

Cavaliers get JR Smith back here, giving them another dynamic scorer; in Game 1 home loss to Chicago; Cleveland was just 7-26 from arc, got only nine points from bench- two of their normal subs started, but last game, they were 12-26 from arc, got 17 from Jones off bench and were up 20 after first quarter. Cavs won/covered four of six games with Chicago this year, but Bulls won three of last four series games played here. Bulls won nine of last 12 games with five of last seven staying under total; Chicago made 10-18 from arc in Game 1, only 7-22 in Wednesday's game.

Chris Paul (hamstring) is game-time decision after Clippers split pair in Houston without him; they've now won seven of last ten games against Rockets, who were 42-64 from foul line last game, when LA led by 9 at half. Houston lost three of last four road games in series, with last three staying under total. Five of last six Clipper games went over the total. Rockets are just 16-59 on arc in series- both teams cut their turnovers in from sloppy Game 1. What are odds that Houston doesn't take 64 FTs in Games 3-4 combined? .

2015 playoffs
Chicago vs Cleveland
Chi 99-92, +4.5, U195
Clev 106-91, -5.5, O195.5

Washington vs Atlanta
Wash 104-98, +5.5, O197
Atl 106-90, -9, U199

Memphis vs Golden State
GSt 101-86, -10.5, U196
Mem 101-86, +10.5, U198.5

LA Clippers vs Houston
LAC 117-101, +7.5, O212
Hst 115-109, -8, O214.5




NBA

Friday, May 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHICAGO
Cleveland is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Chicago
Cleveland is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games at home
LA Clippers are 19-5 SU in their last 24 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, May 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: NBA Friday playoff matchups
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls (-2, 196)
Series tied 1-1

The Cleveland Cavaliers experienced a sharp turnaround while tying the series and look to take a 2-1 edge when they visit the Chicago Bulls in Friday’s Game 3 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Cleveland also gets shooting guard J.R. Smith back from a two-game suspension for hitting Boston’s Jae Crowder in the opening round.

The Cavaliers controlled Game 2 after succumbing in the opener as LeBron James rebounded from a subpar performance to record 33 points and eight rebounds in a 106-91 victory. “There wasn’t one possession where he wasn’t dominant,” point guard Kyrie Irving told reporters. “When he has that mindset, he’s the greatest player playing our game right now.” Chicago trailed by 20 points after the opening quarter in Game 2 and was never really in the contest as guards Jimmy Butler (5-of-14) -- named the league's Most Improved Player on Thursday -- and Derrick Rose (6-of-20) both had poor shooting efforts. Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said the defense and rebounding will need to be better in Game 3 in addition to the shooting.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The line opened at CHI -2 with a total of 196.

INJURY REPORT: Cavaliers - G Iman Shupert (Ques-Groin), G J.R. Smith (Elig-Suspension) Bulls - N/A

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: Smith returns just as the status of guard Iman Shumpert becomes uncertain after he suffered a groin injury in Game 2. Shumpert is averaging 18.5 points and made eight 3-pointers in the first two games of the series and insisted afterward that he would play but coach David Blatt told reporters the determination will be made on game day. “Time for one of those miracle 48-hour recoveries, that’s what we’re hoping for,” Blatt told reporters. “He’s obviously a very, very important player for us.”

ABOUT THE BULLS: Rose is shooting 37 percent in the series but more disturbing is that he hasn’t shot a single three throw over the past three games. “I can’t think about that,” Rose told reporters. “I don’t even want to talk about that. But I’m playing and if they’re not calling it, they’re just not calling it.” Power forward Pau Gasol will be seeking a bounce-back game after having just 11 points and four rebounds in Game 2 after producing 21 points, 10 rebounds and four blocked shots in Game 1.

TRENDS:

*Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
*Bulls are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
*Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a ATS win.
*Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

CONSENSUS: 52 percent of users are backing CLE +2 with 57 percent on the over.



Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5, 217)
Series tied 1-1

It appears Los Angeles point guard Chris Paul will again be on the sidelines when the Clippers host the Houston Rockets in Friday’s Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals. Paul missed the first two games of the series due to a hamstring injury he suffered the Game 7 of the first-round series against the San Antonio Spurs.

Houston tied the series at one game apiece with Wednesday’s 115-109 victory as it set franchise playoff records for free throws made (42) and attempted (64) and received 32 points from star guard James Harden. “I knew my team was battling extremely hard and, basically, it was up to me to go out there and push us forward,” Harden told reporters. The Clippers continue to get big outings from power forward Blake Griffin, who had 34 points and 15 rebounds in Game 2 for his ninth straight double-double of the postseason. “It definitely feels like we let one get away,” Griffin told reporters. “We came here to win two but we’ve got to protect home court now. We can’t hang our heads.”

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The opening line had LAC -4.5 with a total of 217.

INJURY REPORT: Rockets - G K.J. McDaniels (Out-Wrist) Clippers - G Chris Paul (Ques-Hamstring)

ABOUT THE ROCKETS: Center Dwight Howard has played like the dominant star he once was in the first two games and contributed 24 points, 16 rebounds and four blocks in Game 2. His knee injury is now behind him and he is averaging 23 points, 13 rebounds and 4.5 blocks while making 17-of-24 field-goal attempts. “At this point, it’s win or go home,” Howard told reporters. “You have to continue to play hard and you get through whatever. It is going to be tough out there every night. Every possession counts.”

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Coach Doc Rivers expects Paul to return at some point in the series but it doesn’t seem like Friday is even remotely possible since Paul has yet to resume running. “It’s really tough, especially with the way that I play, there’s only way I know how to play,” Paul told reporters. “It’s one of those things where you don’t want to make it worse than it already is.” Austin Rivers has started at the point in Paul’s absence and is averaging 13.5 points and 2.5 assists in the series.

TRENDS:

*Rockets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
*Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
*Over is 10-2 in Rockets last 12 vs. Western Conference.
*Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.

CONSENSUS: LAC -4.5 is receiving 52 percent of users backing with 63 percent on the under.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, May 8


Clippers winning at home, failing to cover

The LA Clippers are a solid 6-3 straight up in their past nine at home, but have only covered on one of those occasions.

Those nine games at the Staples Center have seen the Clippers favored in each instance, with an average spread of -7. The Clip Show has posted a scoring margin of +3.5 during those nine games, meaning they are failing to cover by 3.5 points.

LA is currently -4.5 when they host the Houston Rockets Friday.


John Wall, Washington - Doub Sat

Wall has missed the last two games due to five non-displaced fractures in left wrist and hand. He is unlikely to return for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Hawks.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, May 8


Cleveland Cavaliers @ Chicago Bulls

Game 717-718
May 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland Cavalie
123.905
Chicago Bulls
128.043
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 4
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Bulls
by 1 1/2
196
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Bulls
(-1 1/2); Under

Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Clippers

Game 719-720
May 8, 2015 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Rockets
123.631
Los Angeles Clipp
131.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 8
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles Clipp
by 4
217
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles Clipp
(-4); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, May 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (65 - 25) at WASHINGTON (51 - 37) - 5/9/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
ATLANTA is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this season.
ATLANTA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 341-411 ATS (-111.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 156-201 ATS (-65.1 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 78-118 ATS (-51.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (72 - 16) at MEMPHIS (60 - 29) - 5/9/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-96 ATS (-41.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-36 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) on Saturday games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 8-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-5 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, May 8


'There's a chance' Shumpert misses Game 3

Despite playing through the pain in Game 2, Cleveland Cavalier's Iman Shumpert may not play in Game 3 Friday.

"There's a chance of that," Cavs coach David Blatt said when asked if the shooting guard would miss Game 3. “The hope is that he’ll be able to play, but we need a little more time.”

Shumpert reportedly heard a pop during the third quarter of Game 2, but did play an additional four minutes afterwards.

Cleveland is currently +1.5 when they head to Chicago.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 8


Washington held Rangers to one goal in winning Games 3-4; under is 3-0-1 this series. Caps won 78 of 125 faceoffs last two games. Under is 7-1-1 in Ranger playoff games, 7-2-2 in Washington's games. Capitals are 22-23 killing penalties in playoffs; Rangers are 1-9 on power play this series. Caps won six of last eight games overall. Rangers outshot Washington 51-26 in first period in series, then were outshot 87-75 in periods 2-3. New York has to win or series is over- they're 3-2 in last five games at home, Washington is 2-3 in last five on the road.

Home side won 11 of last 13 Calgary-Anaheim games, with Ducks 2-4 in last six games played in Saddledome- eight of last 11 series games went over. Calgary survived bad call that disallowed tying goal, tied game anyway with 0:19 left to play, then sent fans home happy 4:24 into OT with winning goal. Ducks are now 6-1 in playoffs, won ten of last 13 games overall- they won three of last four road games, but how will they react after first playoff loss? Both sides had only 21 shots in Game 3, even with Calgary having six power plays. Flames are 1-12 on power play in series, Anaheim is 2-10.

Home teams are 9-6 in this round of playoffs; under is 7-6-2.

2015 NHL playoffs
Washington vs NY Rangers
Wash 2-1, +$143, U5
NYR 3-2, -$174, N5
Wash 1-0, +$105, U5
Wash 2-1, -$107, U5

Tampa Bay vs Montreal
TB 2-1 OT, +$107, U5
TB 6-2, +$125, O5
TB 2-1, -$144, U5
Mtl 6-2, +$134, O5

Calgary vs Anaheim
Ana 6-1, -$190, O5.5
Ana 3-0, -$215, U5.5
Cal 4-3 OT, +$106, O5.5

Minnesota vs Chicago
Chi 4-3, -$135, O5
Chi 4-1, -$137, N5
Chi 1-0, +$134, U5
Chi 4-3, +$105, O5
Blackhawks win series, 4-0




NHL

Friday, May 8

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY RANGERS
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Rangers are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games

9:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. CALGARY
Anaheim is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Anaheim

 

[CNOTES]

NHL

Friday, May 8

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Friday's NHL Playoffs betting cheat sheet
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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers (-166, 4.5)
Capitals lead series 3-1

The Washington Capitals are in command of their Eastern Conference semifinal series and can close out the host New York Rangers in Game 5 on Friday night at Madison Square Garden. Rookie Andre Burakovsky scored both goal to lift the Capitals to a 2-1 victory in Game 4, giving the Capitals a 3-1 series lead and putting the Presidents' Trophy winners on the brink of elimination.

"It's tough times. We have to stick together," New York forward Rick Nash said. "We need that one win, that's it. Worry about the next game at home in front of our home fans." The punchless Rangers have scored twice in their three losses and extended their NHL record with their 11th consecutive one-goal decision dating to last season. Washington is understandably wary of looking ahead after getting knocked out of the postseason by New York in 2012 and 2013 and blowing a 3-1 series lead in falling to Montreal in 2009-10. "We've got to get one more win," Capitals coach Barry Trotz said. "That next win is going to be hard to come by."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, TVA

LINE HISTORY: The Rangers opened as -160 favorites before shifting to -166. The total has remained 4.5 since open.

INJURY REPORT: Capitals - RW Eric Fehr (Ques-Upper Body) Rangers - N/A

ABOUT THE CAPITALS: The 20-year-old Burakovsky found his way into the lineup after Eric Fehr was injured in Game 3 of the first round against the New York Islanders and picked the opportune time to end a goalless drought of nearly three months. The 2013 first-round draft pick tied the score with 3 1/2 minutes left in the second period before beating childhood idol Henrik Lundqvist 24 seconds into the third period for his first two tallies since Feb. 15. "The elements are there of a very competitive, talented young player who's got speed and skill and awareness and a lot courage," Trotz said of Burakovsky. "He's got a lot of confidence. I don't know what the ceiling is for a player like that."

ABOUT THE RANGERS: New York not only owned the league's top overall record but also the best mark on the road before dropping both games in Washington, scoring a combined one goal and seeing its offensive ineptitude peak when Carl Hagelin was denying on a penalty shot in the third period. "This team works really hard and prepares really hard to win every game," captain Ryan McDonagh said. "And when it doesn't happen it's not a good feeling. At the same time this series isn't over and our season isn't over so we've got to control what we can." The Rangers have been a tough out in front of their home fans - they have won a record eight straight at Madison Square Garden when facing elimination.

TRENDS:

*Capitals are 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
*Rangers are 23-11 in their last 34 home games.
*Under is 28-13-11 in the last 52 meetings.
*Under is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.



Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames (+128, 5.5)
Ducks lead series 2-1

After producing very little punch in the first two contests, the Calgary Flames showed in Game 3 that they don't plan on going down without a fight in their Western Conference semifinal series. Calgary now looks to even the matchup when it hosts the top-seeded Anaheim Ducks for Game 4 on Friday.

The Flames were outclassed in the opening pair of games, scoring just one goal while allowing a total of nine as their losing streak at Honda Center reached 21 games (0-16-5). Calgary was on the verge of going down 0-3 in the series before doing the unthinkable, as Calder Trophy finalist Johnny Gaudreau scored a power-play goal with 20 seconds remaining in the third period to forge a 3-3 tie before Mikael Backlund tallied 4:24 into overtime to hand Anaheim its first loss this postseason. The Ducks elected to regroup from the stunning setback with a trip to the Alberta resort town of Banff during the two-day break between games, something that was appreciated by the players. "It was pretty nice," defenseman Cam Fowler said. "It's not every day you get the chance during a playoff series to kind of come out to a place like this and unwind a little bit. I thought it was a great thing for our team."

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN, RSN, TVA

LINE HISTORY: The Flames opened as +122 before moving to +128. The opening total of 5.5 has not moved.

INJURY REPORT: Ducks - N/A Flames - C Lance Bouma (Prob-Upper Body), C Paul Byron (Ques-Lower body), Michael Ferland (Ques-Upper Body)

ABOUT THE DUCKS: Despite the outcome on Tuesday, Corey Perry and captain Ryan Getzlaf continued their torrid pace this postseason as the former scored his sixth goal while the latter notched a pair of assists. Perry entered Thursday leading the league in playoff scoring with 14 points and Getzlaf was right behind his teammate with 12. Matt Beleskey - who failed to record a point in the first-round sweep of Winnipeg - has picked up his play, registering a goal in each of the first three games versus Calgary.

ABOUT THE FLAMES: Captain Mark Giordano was encouraged after Thursday's practice, as he absorbed his highest amount of contact since suffering a torn biceps tendon in late February. However, the defenseman understands he still is nowhere close to returning to the lineup. "It's still pretty early with this type of injury, so we've got to be smart about it," Giordano said. "It seems like every day is getting better and better, so it's been all positive." Coach Bob Hartley, whose team is 4-0 at home this postseason, was named a finalist for the Jack Adams Award for the first time in his career.

TRENDS:

*Home team is 43-10 in the last 53 meetings.
*Ducks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
*Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Calgary.
*Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, May 8


Anaheim Ducks @ Calgary Flames

Game 7-8
May 8, 2015 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim Ducks
11.961
Calgary Flames
12.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary Flames
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim Ducks
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary Flames
(+130); Under

Washington Capitals @ New York Rangers

Game 5-6
May 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington Capita
13.015
New York Rangers
10.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington Capita
by 3
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York Rangers
-175
4 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington Capita
(+155); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, May 8

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WASHINGTON (52-29-0-12, 116 pts.) at NY RANGERS (58-26-0-7, 123 pts.) - 5/8/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 58-33 ATS (+23.0 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 38-18 ATS (+7.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 28-11 ATS (+9.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NY RANGERS are 27-14 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-23 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY RANGERS are 130-127 ATS (-63.7 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 168-200 ATS (-116.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 12-10 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 12-10-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.5 Units)

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ANAHEIM (57-24-0-8, 122 pts.) at CALGARY (50-34-0-7, 107 pts.) - 5/8/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 50-41 ATS (-2.4 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 29-23 ATS (-1.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 27-11 ATS (+15.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+37.0 Units) after a division game this season.
CALGARY is 16-8 ATS (+25.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 57-32 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 33-17 ATS (+8.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 45-23 ATS (+11.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 196-148 ATS (+23.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 18-9 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
ANAHEIM is 31-18 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 222-206 ATS (+444.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 10-5 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 10-5-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)