CNOTES 2024-2025 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Saturday, December 7


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Trend Report
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Cleveland vs Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
Cleveland is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Denver vs Washington
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games

Oklahoma City vs New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home

Dallas vs Toronto
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Detroit vs New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Memphis vs Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Phoenix vs Miami
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 7

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at CHA01:00 PMCLE -13.0
O 219.0
+500 +500
DEN at WAS07:00 PMDEN -14.0
U 233.5
+500 +500
OKC at NO07:00 PMOKC -8.0
U 225.0
+500 +500
DAL at TOR07:30 PMDAL -8.5
U 235.0
+500 +500
DET at NY07:30 PMNY -9.0
O 226.0
+500 +500
PHO at MIA08:00 PMMIA -6.0
O 221.5
+500 +500
MEM at BOS08:00 PMBOS -6.5
O 239.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/07/2024...........................4 - 5 - 0............................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/06/2024............................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.......................- 8.00
12/05/2024............................7 - 3 -0............................70.00%.......................+18.50
12/04/2024............................6 - 3 - 0............................66.66%.......................+ 13.50
12/03/2024............................7 - 9 - 0............................43.75%.......................- 14.50
12/02/2024............................4 - 4 - 0............................50.00%.......................- 2.00
12/01/2024...........................11 - 2 - 0............................84.61%......................+ 44.00

TOTALS.:.............................44 - 32 - 0..............................57.89%.......................+ 44.00

*******************************************************

NOV.TOTALS:...........154 - 137 - 0................52.92%...............+ 17.20
OCT.TOTALS...............48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Highest scoring teams in college football:
44.2 ppg— Miami
43.3— Indiana
39.8— Notre Dame
39.2— SMU
39.1— Boise State
38.6— Texas Tech

Quote of the Day
“Don’t give up, don’t ever give up.”
Jim Valvano

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; which ones?

Saturday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every year.

Friday’s quiz
A’s moved from Kansas City to Oakland in 1968.

*********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Georgia 22, Texas 19 OT
Texas tied game on a 37-yard FG with 0:18 left.
Each team scored one touchdown in regulation.
Longhorns outgained Georgia, 389-277.
11-2 Dawgs won their last four games, the last two in overtime.
Georgia QB Beck hurt his right arm during the game, didn’t finish.

— Clemson 34, SMU 31
Clemson kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Tigers have won their last nine appearances in the ACC title game.
Clemson led this game 31-14 in 4th quarter.
SMU drove 79 yards, tied game 31-31 on TD with 0:16 left.
SMU’s punter Isaac Pearson was a coal miner for four years in Australia, before coming to America and going to college as a punter.

— Oregon 45, Penn State 37
Ducks led this game 31-24 at halftime.
Oregon ran ball 35 times for 292 yards (8.3 yards/carry).
Ducks win the Big 18, in their first year in the league.

— Arizona State 45, Iowa State 19
Sun Devils ran ball 39 times for 245 yards (6.3 yards/carry).
ASU wins the Big X, in its first year in the league.
Sun Devils were picked 15th out of 16 team in the pre-season media poll.

— Marshall 31, Louisiana 3
WR Chapman caught 8 passes for 86 yards and a TD.
Thundering Herd was 8-15 on third down, Louisiana 2-16
Marshall outgained the Ragin’ Cajuns, 410-256.

— Ohio U 38, Miami OH 3
Bobcats outgained Miami, 467-189.
Bobcats threw ball for 235 yards, ran it for 232.
Ohio won its last six games, since a 30-20 loss at Miami.

College Basketball Upsets of the Day:
New Mexico State (+20.5) 89, New Mexico 83 OT
Washington State (+8.5) 74, Boise State 69
Loyola Marymount (+8.5) 68, Nevada 64
Denver (+8.5) 68, Portland State 67
Long Beach State (+6) 76, Hawai’i 68
Indiana State (+4.5) 80, Missouri State 77


— SS/3B Willie Adames signed a 7-year, $182M deal with San Francisco; he hit 32 homers, knocked in 112 runs for Milwaukee LY. He’s hit 87 home runs the last three years

— OF Tyler O’Neill signed a 3-year deal with the Orioles worth $49.5M, filling the void in the Oriole outfield created by Anthony Santander’s free agency.
O’Neill hit 31 homers last year in his only season with the Red Sox; his OPS was .842 last year, his career OPS is .792.

— Japanese pitcher Roki Sasaki is expected to be posted at the winter meetings, but he isn’t expected to sign until after January 15, when the international amateur signing period starts, and more $$$ will be available.

— Oklahoma State was paying football coach Mike Gundy $7.75M/year, but his contract has been re-done, and the money that was taken away from him will go into OSU’s NIL program, as they try to recruit better players.
Oklahoma State had gone to 18 consecutive bowls before this year, but they went 3-9, 0-9 in conference games. Gundy is the winningest coach in OSU history.

Famous birthdays, December 8th:
Kim Basinger, 71
Steve Dils, 69
George Rogers, 66
Wendell Pierce, 61
Teri Hatcher, 60
Jeff George, 57
Mike Mussina, 56
Philip Rivers, 43
Josh Donaldson, 39
Dwight Howard, 39

— Marquette 88, Wisconsin 74
Marquette scored 88 points on 66 possessions; they were only 8-26 on the arc.
Marquette was +11 in turnovers (16-5), shot 63.9% inside the arc.
Badgers lost two in row after an 8-0 start; they led 39-37 at halftime.

— New Mexico State 89, New Mexico 83 OT
Huge upset in the Land of Enchantment.
Aggies had lost five in row, had the #338 eFG% in country.
Lobos led by 14 early, but State made 14-31 shots on the arc.

— Rhode Island 69, Providence 63
Rams are 9-0, but they’ve played schedule #330.
Both of URI’s top 100 wins were by six points.
Providence led this game by 8 with 13:43 left in the game.

— NC State 84, Florida State 74 OT
Seminoles led 66-60 with 3:444 left to play.
Wolfpack snaps 3-game skid with their first top 100 win in four tries.
NC State shot 64.5% inside the arc.
Bad beat if you had the Seminoles +5.

— St John’s 88, Kansas State 71
K-State came a long way to play a game that started at 11:30am in Queens.
Wildcats led by 10 with 5:36 left in first half.
Red Storm outscored K-State 53-32 in the second half.
 

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Sunday, December 8


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia vs Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee vs Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Charlotte vs Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Charlotte's last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games at home

Denver vs Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Denver

Cleveland vs Miami
Cleveland is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Miami is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Phoenix vs Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Memphis vs Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Memphis

New Orleans vs San Antonio
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
New Orleans is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Antonio is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Minnesota vs Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Utah vs Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah

Houston vs LA Clippers
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Portland vs LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland


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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 8

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at CHI01:00 PMPHI -1.0
O 236.5
+500 +500
MIL at BK03:30 PMBK +6.0
U 216.5
+500 +500
CHA at IND05:00 PMIND -11.0
O 221.0
+500 +500
CLE at MIA06:00 PMCLE -3.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
DEN at ATL06:00 PMDEN +3.0
O 242.0
+500 +500
PHO at ORL06:30 PMORL -2.0
O 209.5
+500 +500
MEM at WAS07:00 PMMEM -11.5
U 240.0
+500 +500
NO at SA07:00 PMSA -5.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
MIN at GS08:30 PMMIN +1.0
U 216.0
+500 +500
HOU at LAC09:00 PMHOU -3.0
O 215.0
+500 +500
UTA at SAC09:00 PMUTA +12.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
POR at LAL09:30 PMPOR +8.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/08/2024...........................7 - 8 - 0............................46.66%......................- 9.00
12/07/2024...........................4 - 5 - 0............................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/06/2024............................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.......................- 8.00
12/05/2024............................7 - 3 -0............................70.00%.......................+18.50
12/04/2024............................6 - 3 - 0............................66.66%.......................+ 13.50
12/03/2024............................7 - 9 - 0............................43.75%.......................- 14.50
12/02/2024............................4 - 4 - 0............................50.00%.......................- 2.00
12/01/2024...........................11 - 2 - 0............................84.61%......................+ 44.00

TOTALS.:.............................51 - 40 - 0............................56.04%.......................+ 35.00

*******************************************************

NOV.TOTALS:...........154 - 137 - 0................52.92%...............+ 17.20
OCT.TOTALS...............48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— UCLA 73, Oregon 71- Bruins banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.4 left.
— Missouri 76, Kansas 67- Kansas was 9-11 on foul line, Mizzou 26-31
— Duke 76, Louisville 65- Cardinals led by 14 points in first half.
— Purdue 83, Maryland 78- Terps led 62-57 with 8:25 left in game.
— Vanderbilt 83, TCU 74- Edwards scored 30 points; he didn’t start.
— Oklahoma State 85, Seton Hall 76- Pirates are 5-5, vs schedule #269.

Quote of the Day
“When you’re climbing the ladder of success in life, sometimes they forget to tell you to stop when you’re happy.”
UCF football coach Scott Frost

Monday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series (2015)?

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; Central Florida and Oklahoma.

Saturday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every year.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……

Lot of stuff going on; let’s get to it.
— Mets signed OF Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765M contract; that’s $51M a year, $318K+ per game for a 26-year old outfielder with a career OPS of .953.
Soto is 26; he’ll be playing for his 4th team in eight years, which is odd, but he doesn’t have to move this time, seeing how he played in the Bronx last year, and will play in Queens from now on.
Baseball’s Winter Meetings are this week; they’re off to a flying start.

Dolphins 32, Jets 26 OT
Miami forced OT on a 52-yard FG with 0:07 left.
Sanders kicked four FG’s, two of 50+ yards, but also missed a PAT.
Miami drove 70 yards in 8 plays for game-winning TD in overtime.
Dolphins won nine of last ten series games.
Miami won four of its last five games overall.
Jets outgained Miami 402-375, but had 10 penalties for 83 yards.
Jets are 1-9 SU/2-8 ATS in their last ten games.
Four of their last five losses were by 3-1-5-6 points.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Jets held last three opponents to 91-84-44 rushing yards.

Vikings 42, Falcons 21
Cousins threw for 344 yards, but also 2 INTs in his return to Minnesota.
Falcons lost their last three games SU, scoring 5 TD’s on 38 drives.
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
Falcons had 3 turnovers, also 12 penalties for 127 yards.
Vikings’ first five drives: 30 plays, 213 yards, 14 points.
Vikings’ last four drives: 24 plays, 275 yards, 28 points.
Minnesota won its last six games (4-2 ATS)
Minnesota has 26 takeaways in 13 games (+7 turnovers).
NFC North home favorites are 12-5 ATS in non-divisional games.

Rams 44, Bills 42
Rams blocked punt for TD early in 2nd quarter, giving them 17-7 lead.
Bills’ 7 drives after that: 41 plays, 407 yards, 35 points.
QB Allen threw for 342 yards, 3 TDs, ran for 82 yards, 3 more TD’s.
Buffalo gave up 35-23-44 points in its losses (9-0 allow less than 23).
Last eight Buffalo games went over the total.
Rams’ first five drives: 52 plays, 358 yards, 31 points.
Rams converted 11 of their 15 third down plays.
WR Nucua caught 12 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Rams won six of their last eight games, after a 1-4 start.
Ten of their 13 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.

Saints 14, Giants 11
Saints blocked a 35-yard FG with 0:11 left to preserve the win.
New Orleans is 3-1 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Saints QB Carr injured his left hand late in game (check status)
New Orleans was 5-15 on third down, Giants 5-19.
Giants outgained the Saints, 325-292.
New Orleans led 14-3 after the third quarter.
Giants in 4th quarter: 30 plays, 162 yards, only 8 points.
Giants are 0-8 SU/1-7 ATS in last eight games.
Giants are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS at home, scoring 10.1 points/game.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.

Steelers 27, Browns 14
Cleveland was 2-13 on 3rd down, Steelers 6-14.
Browns are 2-5 SU/ATS on road this season.
Cleveland is 3-1 when it scores 18+ points, 0-9 when it doesn’t
Browns are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Browns are minus-9 in turnovers the last seven games.
Pittsburgh led 13-7 at halftime.
Steelers first two drives of 2nd half: 13 plays, 113 yards, 14 points.
Steelers won/covered seven of their last eight games.
Pittsburgh is 13-4 ATS in last 17 AFC North home games.
Cleveland lost 5 in row, 22 of last 23 visits to Pittsburgh (1-7 ATS last 8)

Buccaneers 28, Raiders 13
Tampa Bay’s first 2 drives: 17 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
Bucs won their last three games, after a 1-5 skid.
7-6 Tampa Bay leads NFC South by a game over Atlanta.
Mayfield threw for 295 yards, 3 TD’s.
Mayfield is 17-15 as Tampa Bay’s quarterback.
Buccaneers outgained Las Vegas, 420-286.
Tampa Bay ran ball 26 times for 152 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Raiders lost another QB: O’Connell hurt his knee, Ridder was 12-18/101 passing.
Las Vegas is 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in last nine games.
Raiders have 25 turnovers in 13 games (minus-17).

Famous birthdays, December 9th:
Darold Knowles, 83
Beau Bridges, 83
Michael Nouri, 79
John Malkovich, 71
World B Free, 71
Jim Haslett, 69
Otis Birdsong, 69
Juan Samuel, 64
Eric Bledsoe, 35

Eagles 22, Panthers 16
Carolina WR dropped a 38-yard TD pass in last 1:00 that would’ve given them the lead.
Panthers led 16-14 after 3rd quarter; they outgained Philly 302-292
Carolina is 2-3 SU/5-0 ATS in last five games.
Those five games were decided by total of 16 points.
WR Thielen caught nine passes for 102 yards.
Eagles ran ball for 209 yards, but Hurts threw for only 108 yards.
Safe to say that Philly’s receivers aren’t happy with those numbers.
Eagles are 9-0 SU/6-3 in their last nine games.
Philly is 4-1 SU/1-4 ATS at home this season.
Last seven games, Eagles are +10 in turnovers.

Jaguars 10, Titans 6
Tennessee led 6-0 after the third quarter.
Jaguars’ first 5 drives: 34 plays, 127 yards, 2 INTs, no points.
Jaguars’ last 3 drives: 24 plays, 151 yards, 10 points.
Jacksonville snaps its 5-game losing skid.
Jaguars covered six of their last seven games.
Tennessee is 2-7 SU/1-8 ATS in last nine games.
Titans were +2 in turnovers, but averaged only 4.3 yards/pass attempt.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
QB Levis is 5-14 as an NFL starter.
Titans’ team total: under 9-3-1

Seahawks 30, Cardinals 18
Murray threw INTs on two of Arizona’s first three drives.
Seahawks’ first two TD drives were only 19-46 yards.
Seattle is 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS in last seven series games.
Seahawks are 4-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6-21-18 points.
Seattle was 7-15 on third down, Arizona 4-12.
Arizona is 0-3 since its bye, losing 16-6/23-22/30-18.
Down 27-18 in 4th quarter, Arizona missed a 40-yard FG.
Seahawks ran ball 31 times for 176 yards (5.7 yards/carry)
QB Murray is 34-44-1 SU as an NFL starter.

49ers 35, Bears 13
Bears scored first once in their 13 games (4-9).
Bears in first half: 17 plays, 9 yards, 5 punts.
49ers in first half: 37 plays, 310 yards, 24 points.
Maybe it wasn’t all the former coach’s fault.
Bears are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
San Francisco snaps its 3-game losing skid.
49ers outgained Chicago 452-162; they averaged 11.9 yards/pass attempt.
49ers are 5-1 when they score 30+ points, 1-6 when they don’t.
QB Purdy is 27-11 as an NFL starter.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.

Chiefs 19, Chargers 17
Chiefs drove 47 yards, kicked GW 31-yard field goal at the gun.
Kansas City wins AFC West for 9th year in a row.
Chiefs are 12-1, but they’re 0-7 ATS last seven games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Chiefs are 16-22 ATS in last 38 games as a home favorite.
Chargers in first half: 27 plays, 122 yards, no points.
Chargers in second half: 31 plays, 210 yards, 17 points.
LA took a 17-16 lead, kicking a FG with 4:35 left in game.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
LA is 3-5 scoring 23 or fewer points, 5-0 scoring 24+.
 

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Dunkel

Monday, December 9


VZ0FuE6.png





NBA

Monday, December 9


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Trend Report
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New York vs Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing New York


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pIRY3AC.png
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 9

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at TOR07:30 PMTOR +6.5
O 232.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/09/2024...........................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/08/2024...........................7 - 8 - 0............................46.66%......................- 9.00
12/07/2024...........................4 - 5 - 0............................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/06/2024............................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.......................- 8.00
12/05/2024............................7 - 3 -0............................70.00%.......................+18.50
12/04/2024............................6 - 3 - 0............................66.66%.......................+ 13.50
12/03/2024............................7 - 9 - 0............................43.75%.......................- 14.50
12/02/2024............................4 - 4 - 0............................50.00%.......................- 2.00
12/01/2024...........................11 - 2 - 0............................84.61%......................+ 44.00

TOTALS.:.............................52 - 41 - 0............................55.91%.......................+ 34.50

*******************************************************

NOV.TOTALS:...........154 - 137 - 0................52.92%...............+ 17.20
OCT.TOTALS...............48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL’s best teams in turnover ratio:
+17— Bills, Steelers
+11— Chargers
+10— Bears, Texans
+9— Packers
+8— Lions, Vikings
+4— Eagles, Commanders

Quote of the Day
“If you think nobody cares about you, try missing a couple of payments.”
Steven Wright

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Kevin Durant play his one year of college basketball?

Monday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series, in 2015.

Sunday’s quiz
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has played college football for two other schools; Central Florida and Oklahoma.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Early notes, trends on bowl games…….

Early notes, thoughts, trends on bowl games:

— If you’re betting on bowl games, pay attention to the news:
Which coaches have moved on to other jobs
Which players are injured
Which players (if any) have opted out of playing
Weather

— If I was a kid playing in a bowl, my preference would be warm weather; in other words, almost anywhere other than Boise, Boston or the Bronx.

— This is the first year of the 12-team playoff; four games will be played at campus sites December 20-21. What impact will campus sites have on the games? Won’t be as many students around, with the games so close to Christmas.

— Will the teams who have first round byes have an advantage in second round games? Again, there is no road map for this, since this is the first year with this format.
Arizona State, Boise State, Georgia, Oregon have the first round byes.

Biggest spreads in bowls:
Florida -12 vs Tulane
Ole Miss -11.5 vs Duke
Alabama -11.5 vs Michigan
Clemson +11 @ Texas
South Carolina -10.5 vs Illinois
Army -10.5 vs Marshall
TCU -10 vs Louisiana
SMU +9 @ Penn State
Pittsburgh -9 vs Toledo

Highest totals in bowls:
68.5- North Texas-Texas State
62.5- South Florida-San Jose State
60.5- Baylor-LSU
60.5- Syracuse-Washington State
59.5- Texas Tech-Arkansas
59.5- South Alabama-Western Michigan
59.5- TCU-Louisiana
59.5- NC State-East Carolina
58.5- Coastal Carolina-Tex-San Antonio

Lowest totals in bowls:
40.5- Iowa-Missouri
42.5- Northern Illinois-Fresno State
43.5- Miami OH-Colorado State
43.5- Alabama-Michigan
44.5- Oklahoma-Navy
45.5- Boston College-Nebraska
46.5- Georgia Southern-Sam Houston State
47.5- Tennessee-Ohio State

Famous birthdays, December 10:
Susan Dey, 72
Mark Aguirre, 65
Bryant Stith, 54
Carlos Rodon, 32
Nestor Cortes, 30
Joe Burrow, 28

— North Carolina-UConn, Fenway Bowl
Tar Heels fired 73-year old Mack Brown, who won’t coach this game; Brown led UNC to bowls the last six years, going 44-33, but lost his last four bowls.
Adding to the intrigue is news that North Carolina is talking with 72-year old Bill Belichick about being the Tar Heels’ next coach, even though he has never coached in college.
With the game being played in Boston, that only adds to the drama.

— UNLV coach Barry Odom has already bolted to Purdue, which is 5-19 the last two years. Odom was 19-8 the last two years at UNLV; there is debate as to whether Purdue is a better job than UNLV, big fish/small pond and all that……..
Rebels are playing the Cal Bears in the LA Bowl; UNLV’s QB quit the team after three games this year, now their coach has moved on to greener pa$ture$. Not ideal.

— Dowell Loggains was South Carolina’s offensive coordinator; now he is Appalachian State’s head coach. Gamecocks are a double digit favorite over Illinois in their bowl game.

— Duke running backs coach Willie Simmons is the new head coach at Florida International; he was 45-13 as head coach at Florida A&M before moving to Duke this past year. His departure could be a distraction to a Duke team that is an 11.5-point underdog to Ole Miss.

— Marshall is 10-3 this season, winning the Sun Belt championship, but the administration at Marshall didn’t get long well with coach Charles Huff, so Huff has bolted to Southern Miss.
Marshall is a 10-point underdog to Army in their bowl game.

— Ohio U is 30-10 the last three years; they won the MAC championship Saturday, but quickly lost coach Tim Albin, who bolted to Charlotte. Ohio is favored by 1.5 points over Jacksonville State in their bowl game; Albin misses out on a trip to Orlando.

— Good news: Sam Houston State is 9-3 in its second year as a I-A team.
Bad news: Temple poached Sam Houston’s coach, 65-year old KC Keeler, who is 271-112-1 as a head coach at multiple levels of college ball.
Bearkats are a 5.5-point underdog to Georgia Southern in their bowl game.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 10


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NBA

Tuesday, December 10


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Trend Report
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Orlando vs Milwaukee
Orlando is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Orlando is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Milwaukee is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Orlando

Dallas vs Oklahoma City
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 10

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ORL at MIL07:00 PMORL +7.0
U 215.0
+500 +500
DAL at OKC09:30 PMOKC -4.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !

12/10/2024...........................2 - 2 - 0............................50.00%......................- 1.00
12/09/2024...........................1 - 1 - 0............................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/08/2024...........................7 - 8 - 0............................46.66%......................- 9.00
12/07/2024...........................4 - 5 - 0............................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/06/2024............................5 - 6 - 0...........................45.45%.......................- 8.00
12/05/2024............................7 - 3 -0............................70.00%.......................+18.50
12/04/2024............................6 - 3 - 0............................66.66%.......................+ 13.50
12/03/2024............................7 - 9 - 0............................43.75%.......................- 14.50
12/02/2024............................4 - 4 - 0............................50.00%.......................- 2.00
12/01/2024...........................11 - 2 - 0............................84.61%......................+ 44.00

TOTALS.:.............................54 - 43 - 0............................55.67%.......................+ 33.50

*******************************************************

NOV.TOTALS:...........154 - 137 - 0................52.92%...............+ 17.20
OCT.TOTALS...............48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL’s worst teams in turnover ratio:
minus-17— Raiders
minus-11— Jaguars, Titans
minus-10— Browns
minus-9— Falcons
minus-8— Cowboys, Giants
minus-6— Patriots

Quote of the Day
“Nolan wants to win, and there’s more details, but that’s really between them and I don’t want to have any effect on what [Cardinals president of baseball operations John] Mozeliak is trying to do. Nolan’s willing to strongly consider it, if it’s the right place to go, but he’s not going to go just anywhere. He has a full no-trade clause, so he has that right, and he’s a veteran player and we hope something good happens, but he’s not going to approve and move his family and go play (just anywhere).”
Nolan Arenado’s agent Joel Wolfe

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Jameis Winston play his college football?

Tuesday’s quiz
Kevin Durant played his one year of college basketball for the Texas Longhorns.

Monday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets last time they were in the World Series, in 2015.

*******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Good week for baseball fans; lot of stuff going on.
Mets are going to be paying Juan Soto $51K a year for the next 16 years; last year, the entire payroll for the Oakland A’s was $63M. Awesome.
On Opening Day, when Soto suits up for the Mets, he’ll be playing for his fourth different team in the last four Opening Days. Very unusual for a 26-year old star.

— When they signed Soto, Mets’ odds to win the World Series plunged from 12-1 to 15-2.

— With Soto leaving the Bronx, New York has lot of extra $$$ to spend- Bombers signed P Max Fried to an eight year, $218M deal- that is $27.25M per year.
Fried will be 31 next month; he was 11-10, 3.25 in 29 starts for Atlanta last year. In his career, he is 73-36, 3.07 in 151 career starts, all with the Braves. Fried was an All-Star two of the last three seasons.

— P Nathan Eovaldi re-upped with the Texas Rangers, getting $75M for three years.

— Dodgers signed reliever Blake Treinen for two years, $22M; they also signed OF Michael Conforto for one year, $17M.

— Phillies signed reliever Jordan Romano for one year, $8.5M.

— Blue Jays signed reliever Yimi Garcia for two years, $15M.
Toronto also acquired 2B Andres Gimenez from Cleveland.

— Top two picks in July’s baseball draft:
1) Washington 2) LA Angels

— Mariners, Cardinals jumped the highest in the draft lottery; Marlins, Rockies have to be really disappointed with where they’re picking- they fell in the lottery.

— Tampa Bay Rays will draft 14th in July, highest pick they’ve had since 2017.

Famous birthdays, December 11:
Rita Moreno, 93
Donna Mills, 84
Gary Dourdan, 58
Doug Nussmeier, 54
Shareef Abdur-Rahim, 48
Joe Blanton, 44
Jacoby Brissett, 32
Allen Lazard, 29
Hailee Steinfeld, 28
Mark Vientos, 25

— Bengals 27, Cowboys 20
Burrow threw a 40-yard TD pass to Chase with 1:01 for the winning TD.
Chase caught 14 passes for 177 yards, two TD’s.
Dallas muffed a blocked punt just before that, giving Cincinnati the ball back.
Bengals are 5-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-7 if they allow more than 24.
Bengals are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite TY.
Dallas is 1-6 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cowboys are 1-8 when they allow more than 20 points.
Bengals outgained Dallas, 433-322.
Game was 17-17 after the third quarter.
Cowboys’ last three drives: 12 plays, 31 yards, no points.

— Central Florida hired Scott Frost as its new football coach; Frost led UCF to a 13-0 record in 2017, then bolted to Nebraska, where his teams struggled, going 16-31 over five years- they gave him $13M to take a hike during the 2022 season.
This season, Frost has been working with the LA Rams as a special assistant.

— Brandon Aubrey is the Dallas Cowboys’ kicker; he never played college football, he played soccer in college, but he was drafted by the USFL’s Birmingham Stallions and kicked for them for two years, before he made the Cowboys’ roster.
Jake Bates is the Detroit Lions’ kicker; he kicked for the Michigan Panthers in the UFL last year and now he’s in the big time.
Spring football will be starting up at the end of March.

— Would Alabama have been left out of the college football playoff if Nick Saban was still their coach? Has their perception changed since he retired? You could make an argument that they wouldn’t have lost three games if he was still coaching, but that’s a different question.

— Kansas City Chiefs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games; no team that won the Super Bowl has ever had an 0-6 ATS streak during that season.

— Duke’s football team is 9-3 this year, their best win %age since 1962, but QB Maalik Murphy is going into the transfer portal. He’s thrown for 2,932 yards, 26 TD’s, 12 INTs after coming over from Texas.
Duke was 9-4 last year with Riley Leonard at QB; he bolted to Notre Dame last spring.

— Arkansas 89, Michigan 87
This game had the feel of March, like a Sweet 16 game.
78-possession game, very fast pace.

— North Dakota State 71, Butler 68
Big East teams aren’t supposed to lose to Summit teams.
North Dakota State outscored Butler 9-1 over the final 2:39.
Bison shot 13-30 on the arc; that’s how upsets happen.

— Brown 84, Rhode Island 80 2OT
URI came in at 9-0; they led by 12 in first half.
Rams turned ball over 21 times (minus-7)

— Providence 70, DePaul 63 OT
DePaul led by 8 with 3:37 left in regulation.
Blue Demons have now lost their last 33 regular season conference games.

— Charleston 78, St Joe’s 75
St Joe’s led by 11 with 10:55 left in the game.
Chris Mack’s Cougars are 7-2; they were 13-13 on foul line.
 

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