CNOTES 2024-2025 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 22

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BOS at WAS07:00 PMWAS +16.0
O 238.5
+500 +500
BK at PHI07:00 PMBK +5.5
O 215.5
+500 +500
GS at NO07:30 PMGS -10.0
U 221.5
+500 +500
POR at HOU08:00 PMPOR +13.0
O 225.0
+500 +500
ATL at CHI08:00 PMCHI +1.5
O 247.0
+500 +500
IND at MIL08:00 PMMIL -5.5
U 237.5
+500 +500
DAL at DEN10:00 PMDEN -3.5
O 225.0
+500 +500
SAC at LAC10:30 PMLAC +3.5
U 220.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/22/2024...................7 - 5 - 0............58.33%.................+ 7.50
11/21/2024...................2 - 6 - 0............25.00%.................- 23.00
11/20/2024...................5 - 6 - 0.............45.45%.................- 8.00
11/19/2024...................3 - 6 - 0.............33.33%.................- 18.00
11/18/2024.................. 5 - 8 - 0..............38.46%................- 19.00
11/17/2024..................10 - 5- 0..............66.66%...............+ 22.50
11/16/2024...................1 - 6 - 0...............14.28%...............- 28.00
11/15/2024.................10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%...............+ 17.00
11/14/2024...................1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%................- 0.50
11/13/2024...................7 - 7 - 0...............50.00%................- 3.50
11/12/2024...................9 - 1 - 0...............90.00%................+ 39.50
11/11/2024...................4 - 3 - 0...............57.14%................+ 3.50
11/10/2024...................6 - 3 - 0...............66.66%................+ 13.50
11/09/2024...................4 - 2 - 0...............66.66%................+ 9.00
11/08/2024.................10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%................+28.00
11/07/2024...................4 - 0 - 0..............100.00%...............+ 20.00
11/06/2024...................9- 6 - 0................60.00%...............+ 12.00
11/03/2024...................2 - 3 - 0...............40.00%................- 6.50
11/02/2024.................6 - 10 - 0................37.50%................- 25.00
11/01/2024...................5 - 9 - 0................35.71%...............- 24.50

TOTALS.....................110 - 97 - 0...............53.14%................+ 16.20

*******************************************************
OCT.TOTALS:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams shooting the best behind the arc:
48.8%- Houston
48%- Nevada
45.9%- Memphis
45.8%- Kennesaw State
44.9%- Cincinnati
44%- Sam Houston State

Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback!!! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), who was the last team to win a Super Bowl?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.

Thursday’s quiz
Other than the Jets, Denver Broncos have gone the longest since the last time they were in the playoffs- 2015 was last time they made the playoffs.

**************************************

Saturday’s Den: College basketball is heating up……..

— Duke 69, Arizona 55
Duke led 34-27 at halftime. won fairly easily.
Blue Devils avenged LY’s 78-73 home loss to Arizona.
Wildcats lost their last two games, after beating a couple of stiffs.

— Pittsburgh 74, LSU 63
Bayou Bengals led 28-27 at halftime.
Pitt is 6-0, is shooting 60.8% inside the arc.
Pitt-Wisconsin is another interesting game Sunday.

— Vanderbilt 76, Seton Hall 60
Commodores shot 66.7% inside arc, 10-27 on arc (1.15 points/possession)
Vandy’s new coach Byington was 56-15 the last two years, at James Madison.
Vanderbilt-Drake is an interesting game on Sunday’s card.

— Tennessee 77, Baylor 62
Vols improve to 6-0; they led 31-9 early on, 47-24 at halftime.
This is closest game Tennessee has had so far.
Vols have rebounded 40.4% of their missed shots (#9 in country)

— Nebraska 74, Creighton 63
Cornhuskers were a 10-point underdog; they thrashed Creighton.
Nebraska was +10 in turnovers; 2nd time in three years they upset the Bluejays.

— Utah State 77, Iowa 69
Aggies out-rebounded Iowa, 47-31; they had 15 offensive boards.
Utah State is 5-0; they’re on their 4th coach in five years, their 6th coach in 11 years, and they only had one losing season the last ten years. Unusual program.

— Nevada 64, VCU 61
VCU led by 15 early in second half.
Nevada survived shooting 15-26 on the foul line.
VCU lost its first two games in Charleston this weekend, both by 3 points.

Famous birthdays, November 21:
Dale Sveum, 61
Steve Alford, 60
Vin Baker, 53
Malik Rose, 50
Jonathan Papelbon, 44
Justin Turner, 40
Ross Stripling, 35
Tyler Wade, 30
Gavin Lux, 27

— Drake 75, Florida Atlantic 63
Drake is 5-0; four of their starters played for a D2 team last year.
Bulldogs were 10-25 on arc; they play Vanderbilt in Charleston title game Sunday.

— Elon 84, Notre Dame 77
ACC teams aren’t supposed to lose to CAA teams.
Elon shot 61% inside the arc.
Elon outscored Notre Dame 43-31 in second half.

— Mississippi State 84, SMU 79
SMU led by 13 early in game.
Mustangs lost despite shooting 66.7% inside arc, 23-34 on foul line.
Miss State is 5-0, with solid wins over Utah, SMU.

— Bradley 77, Wright State 74
Bradley outscored Raiders 11-5 over the final 4:04.
Braves start four seniors; they’re #33 in continuity.
Bradley-Middle Tennessee is title game in this tournament Sunday.

NFL/baseball notes………

— Giants benched QB Daniel Jones this week; he asked the team to release him, and they did, even though their salary cap would’ve been better off had they kept him until next June- they would’ve saved $30.5M on the 2025 salary cap had they done that.
Jones was 25-45-1 as the Giants’ QB, 1-1 in playoff games, 3-13 the last two years.

— 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy is out for this week’s game in Green Bay. Brandon Allen gets the start at QB; he is 2-7 as an NFL starter (Broncos/Bengals) with his last start in 2021.

— NFL flexed the Week 16 Broncos-Chargers game from Sunday to Thursday night, replacing the Browns-Bengals game, good news for fans in Cincinnati. A December 19 night game in Ohio doesn’t sound like that much fun.

— Cincinnati Reds acquired P Brady Singer from Kansas City for 2B Jonathan India, OF Joey Wiemer
Singer was 9-13, 3.71 in 28 starts for the Royals LY; he started 127 games in five years with Kansas City.
India hit .248 with 15 homers LY; he was Rookie of the Year in 2021.

— P Dustin May, who missed most of the last two years with injuries, signed a one-year deal with the Dodgers for $2,135,000. May is eligible for free agency after next season.
 

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Saturday, November 23


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Trend Report
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New York vs Utah
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York

Detroit vs Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games on the road
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Memphis vs Chicago
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Portland vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Charlotte vs Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Golden State vs San Antonio
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Denver vs LA Lakers
Denver is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at UTA05:00 PMUTA +9.0
O 233.0
+500 +500
DET at ORL07:00 PMDET +9.5
O 207.0
+500 +500
POR at HOU08:00 PMHOU -12.5
U 227.5
+500 +500
CHA at MIL08:00 PMMIL -7.0
U 224.0
+500 +500
MEM at CHI08:00 PMCHI +5.5
O 241.0
+500 +500
GS at SA08:30 PMSA +3.0
U 227.5
+500 +500
DEN at LAL10:30 PMLAL -4.5
O 235.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/23/2024...................4 - 6 - 0.............40.00%................- 13.00
11/22/2024...................7 - 5 - 0............58.33%.................+ 7.50
11/21/2024...................2 - 6 - 0............25.00%.................- 23.00
11/20/2024...................5 - 6 - 0.............45.45%.................- 8.00
11/19/2024...................3 - 6 - 0.............33.33%.................- 18.00
11/18/2024.................. 5 - 8 - 0..............38.46%................- 19.00
11/17/2024..................10 - 5- 0..............66.66%...............+ 22.50
11/16/2024...................1 - 6 - 0...............14.28%...............- 28.00
11/15/2024.................10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%...............+ 17.00
11/14/2024...................1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%................- 0.50
11/13/2024...................7 - 7 - 0...............50.00%................- 3.50
11/12/2024...................9 - 1 - 0...............90.00%................+ 39.50
11/11/2024...................4 - 3 - 0...............57.14%................+ 3.50
11/10/2024...................6 - 3 - 0...............66.66%................+ 13.50
11/09/2024...................4 - 2 - 0...............66.66%................+ 9.00
11/08/2024.................10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%................+28.00
11/07/2024...................4 - 0 - 0..............100.00%...............+ 20.00
11/06/2024...................9- 6 - 0................60.00%...............+ 12.00
11/03/2024...................2 - 3 - 0...............40.00%................- 6.50
11/02/2024.................6 - 10 - 0................37.50%................- 25.00
11/01/2024...................5 - 9 - 0................35.71%...............- 24.50

TOTALS..................114 - 103 - 0...............52.53%................+ 3.20

*******************************************************
OCT.TOTALS:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50


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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Nuggets 127, Lakers 102- Jokic had 34 points, 13 rebounds, 8 assists.
— Bucks 125, Hornets 119- Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 rebounds.
— Trail Blazers 104, Rockets 98- Portland was a 12.5-point underdog.
— Spurs 104, Warriors 94- Spurs outscored Golden State 33-13 in 4th quarter.
— Grizzlies 142, Bulls 131- Scotty Pippen Jr had 30 points, 10 assists.
— Jazz 121, Knicks 106- Utah was +30 with Markkanen on court, minus-15 in the 15:00 he sat out.

Quote of the Day
“How do you tell when you’re out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright

Sunday’s quiz
When was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season?

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Cleveland Browns played in a playoff game, Joe Flacco was their QB.

****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college sports Saturday……..

Seven top 25 teams lost Saturday.
As I’m typing this, there is a car race going on thru the streets of Las Vegas. Weird.
I can’t process that Cal-Stanford is an ACC game, USC-UCLA is a Big 18 game.

— Oklahoma 24, Alabama 3
Last spring, Alabama poached Miami OH’s kicker; his FG was the Tide’s only score.
Oklahoma had lost its last four I-A games.
Alabama completed only 11-27 passes, threw 3 INTs.
Alabama is 8-3; Miami OH is 7-4; would be messed up if they met in a bowl game.

— Florida 24, Ole Miss 17
Underdogs are 30-15 ATS in SEC games this season.
Rebels outgained Florida, 464-344, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Gators beat LSU/Ole Miss last two weeks, they’re 6-5/bowl eligible.

— USC 19, UCLA 13
Trojans outscored UCLA 10-0 in fourth quarter.
USC’s only TD of game was the decisive score, with 6:55 left.
Trojans are 6-5, are now bowl eligible. UCLA won’t go bowling.
USC has led in the 4th quarter in all five of their losses.

— Arizona State 28, BYU 23
ASU is 9-2, having a great year, but coach Dillingham over-thought the end of this game so badly he damn near committed coaching malpractice. Seriously.
Sun Devils led 28-23 and had the ball deep in BYU territory with 1:04 left; they tried this weird stuff to kill the clock that failed, running backwards a couple times to kill time, but BYU wound up with one play to run a Hail Mary from its own 49-yard line.
Hail Mary failed, but I’d be curious to know what coach Dillingham think about all that now.
ASU led this game 28-9 late in third quarter, held on for dear life; they’ve won four in a row.

— Auburn 43, Texas A&M 41 OT
Auburn led this game 21-0 with 5:00 left before halftime.
Auburn tied the game on a 20-yard FG with 0:05 left.
A&M was 10-19 on third down, Auburn 5-14.
The overtime system is strange; once they hit the 3rd overtime, teams alternate plays from the 2-yard line, like a shootout in the NHL. Not a great system.

— Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Mike Gundy is a good coach, but Cowboys are 0-8 in conference games.
Oklahoma State gave up 38+ points in each of its last seven games.
Texas Tech was 14-22 on third down, Cowboys were 2-9.

— Kansas 37, Colorado 21
Kansas punter Damon Greaves’ family made the trip from Australia to Kansas City for this game; problem is, the Jayhawks didn’t punt in this game. Not once.
Kansas is 5-6; five of their six losses are by 6 or fewer points. They need a win at Baylor next week to become bowl eligible.

Upsets of the Week:
Georgia State (+21) 52, Texas State 44
Oklahoma (+14) 24, Alabama 3
Florida (+12) 24, Ole Miss 17
Kennesaw State (+9) 27, FIU 26
Appalachian State (+7.5) 34, James Madison 20
UAB (+7) 40, Rice 14
Central Michigan (+5.5) 16, Western Michigan 14

Saturday’s college basketball notes:
— Fresno State 72, Long Beach State 69

Bulldogs outscored Long Beach 14-0 over the final 2:48.
Fresno was 30-44 on foul line, Long Beach 3-4. AT Long Beach!!!!

— UNLV 72, New Mexico State 65
Rebels were 30-42 on foul line; PG Thomas was 13-19.
New Mexico State shot 31.3% from floor, had 21 offensive boards.
Game was 62-62 with 4:25 left to play.

— Stanford 71, Santa Clara 69
Cardinal trailed 67-59 with 3:29 left in game.
7-1 senior Reynaud had 32 points, 16 rebounds.
Stanford survived shooting 10-21 on the foul line.

— Milwaukee 76, Wofford 74
Panthers were 19-33 on foul line, Wofford 8-15.
Wofford led by 8 with 14:08 left to play.
Teams combined to shoot 11-41 on the arc.

Famous birthdays, November 24:
Oscar Robertson, 86
Dave Bing, 81
Rudy Tomjanovich, 76
Steve Yeager, 76
Henry Bibby, 75
Katherine Heigl, 46
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 42
Jeimer Candelario, 31
Tyler Soderstrom, 23

More college football…….
— Nebraska 44, Wisconsin 25

Cornhuskers snap 4-game skid, are bowl eligible for first time since 2016.
Dylan Raiola threw for 293 yards and a TD.
Wisconsin had beaten Nebraska nine times in a row.

— Cal 24, Stanford 21
Stanford led 21-7 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
Mendoza’s third TD pass of day with 2:40 left was a game-winner.
Golden Bears have beaten their arch-rival four years in a row.

— Illinois 38, Rutgers 31
Illini threw a 40-yard TD pass with 0:04 left for the win.
Rutgers had taken the lead on a TD with 1:08 left.
Scarlet Knights led 17-15 after the third quarter.
Illinois is very quietly 8-3.

— Marshall 42, Old Dominion 35
Marshall QB Braxton threw for 210 yards, ran for 140 more.
Thundering Herd scored game-winning TD with 4:03 left.
Monarchs outgained Marshall, 513-469.

— Penn State 26, Minnesota 25
Nittany Lions were 1-11 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Minnesota led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Penn State is 5-0 on the road for the first time since 1985.

— Ohio State 38, Indiana 15
Game was 7-7 late in first half when Indiana’s punter fumbled a snap, and Ohio State had a short TD drive because of that. Things unraveled from the there for the 10-1 Hoosiers.
Buckeyes outgained Indiana 316-151; Hoosiers completed only 8-18 passes- their QB was sacked six times.
 

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Sunday, November 24


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota vs Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Washington vs Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games

Dallas vs Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home

LA Clippers vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

Toronto vs Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Brooklyn vs Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Brooklyn is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn


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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIN at BOS03:30 PMBOS -8.5
O 221.5
+500 +500
WAS at IND05:00 PMWAS +11.5
O 241.0
+500 +500
LAC at PHI06:00 PMPHI +2.0
U 211.0
+500 +500
DAL at MIA06:00 PMMIA -3.0
U 222.5
+500 +500
TOR at CLE07:30 PMCLE -11.5
U 234.5
+500 +500
BK at SAC09:00 PMBK +9.0
O 224.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/24/2024...................2 - 7 -0.............22.22%................- 27.50
11/23/2024...................4 - 6 - 0.............40.00%................- 13.00
11/22/2024...................7 - 5 - 0............58.33%.................+ 7.50
11/21/2024...................2 - 6 - 0............25.00%.................- 23.00
11/20/2024...................5 - 6 - 0.............45.45%.................- 8.00
11/19/2024...................3 - 6 - 0.............33.33%.................- 18.00
11/18/2024.................. 5 - 8 - 0..............38.46%................- 19.00
11/17/2024..................10 - 5- 0..............66.66%...............+ 22.50
11/16/2024...................1 - 6 - 0...............14.28%...............- 28.00
11/15/2024.................10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%...............+ 17.00
11/14/2024...................1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%................- 0.50
11/13/2024...................7 - 7 - 0...............50.00%................- 3.50
11/12/2024...................9 - 1 - 0...............90.00%................+ 39.50
11/11/2024...................4 - 3 - 0...............57.14%................+ 3.50
11/10/2024...................6 - 3 - 0...............66.66%................+ 13.50
11/09/2024...................4 - 2 - 0...............66.66%................+ 9.00
11/08/2024.................10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%................+28.00
11/07/2024...................4 - 0 - 0..............100.00%...............+ 20.00
11/06/2024...................9- 6 - 0................60.00%...............+ 12.00
11/03/2024...................2 - 3 - 0...............40.00%................- 6.50
11/02/2024.................6 - 10 - 0................37.50%................- 25.00
11/01/2024...................5 - 9 - 0................35.71%...............- 24.50

TOTALS..................116 - 110 - 0...............51.32%................. - 24.30

*******************************************************
OCT.TOTALS:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting Week 13 NFL spreads
— Bears @ Detroit (-10.5, 48.5)
— Giants @ Dallas (-3.5, 38.5)
— Dolphins @ Green Bay (-3, 47.5)
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-12.5, 42.5)
— Colts (-2.5, 42.5) @ New England
— Steelers @ Cincinnati (-3, 46.5)

Quote of the Day
“We got down to the end there and it was a game-situational extravaganza. It was like Yahtzee. Everything was in there.”
Dallas coach Mike McCarthy, after the Cowboys’ 34-26 win

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, what well-known actress plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie?

Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Other than the Chiefs (won last two titles), the 2021 Rams are the last team to win a Super Bowl- they beat Cincinnati 23-20 in that game.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..

Cowboys 34, Commanders 26
Down 27-20, Washington threw an 86-yard TD pass with 0:21 left.
Seibert missed the PAT, his second missed PAT of the game.
Dallas then ran the onside kick back for a TD.
Cowboys snap a 5-game losing streak with this upset win.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Commanders allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
QB Daniels threw for 275 yards, 2 TDs, ran for 74 yards and another TD. This was first game in NFL history with 2 missed PAT’s, 2 kick returns for TDs and also a blocked punt.

Titans 32, Texans 27
Titans’ first three drives: 22 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Tennessee led 20-17 at halftime.
Houston took 24-23 lead on pick-6 0:04 left in 3rd quarter.
Titans went ahead for good on 70-yard TD pass with 9:35 left.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans are 2-5 when they give up more than 20 points.
Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.

Vikings 30, Bears 27, OT
Minnesota drove 83 yards, kicked game-winning FG in OT.
Bears had scored 11 points in last 0:22 of regulation to tie game.
Bears lost their last five games, three of them by 3 or fewer points.
Vikings won/covered their last five visits to Chicago
Bears are 3-11 ATS in last 14 NFC North home games.
Minnesota is 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite.
Addison caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Minnesota scored 30 points despite Jefferson catching 2 passes for 27 yards.
Last three years, Vikings have 23 wins by 8 or fewer points, most in NFL.
Vikings are 9-0 when they allow less than 30 points.

Chiefs 30, Panthers 27
Chiefs led 27-16 after third quarter.
Chiefs’ first five drives: 52 plays, 319 yards, 27 points.
Carolina drove 51 yards, tied game on TD with 1:49 left.
Kansas City then drove 57 yards, kick game-winning FG at gun.
Chiefs are 10-1 SU; they’re 0-5 ATS in last five games.
Kansas City ran ball for 165 yards, their 2nd-most this season.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Famous birthdays, November 25
John Laroquette, 77
Bernie Kosar, 61
Jill Hennessy, 56
Anthony Peeler, 55
Donovan McNabb, 48
Nick Swisher, 44
Alec Burleson, 26
Jaylen Waddle, 26
Blake Corum, 24

Dolphins 34, Patriots 15
Miami won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Dolphins led 31-0 after the third quarter.
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half.
Miami is now 7-1 in last eight games vs New England.
New England’s first seven drives: 37 plays, 160 yards, no points.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
New England is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.

Buccaneers 30, Giants 7
Buccaneers’ first six drives: 52 plays, 366 yards, 30 points.
Tampa Bay led 23-0 at halftime.
Mayfield threw for 294 yards, also ran for a TD.
Buccaneers’ team total: over 9-2
Giants in first half: 17 plays, 46 yards, 3 punts, no points.
Giants lost their last six games (0-6 ATS).
Giants are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5-23 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any game TY.

Lions 24, Colts 6
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 24 of last 84 third down plays.
Under Campbell, Lions are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Colts in second half: 20 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Colts are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.
AFC South underdogs are 9-15 ATS in non-divisional games.

Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Raiders led 13-9 at halftime.
Denver in 2nd half: 38 plays, 163 yards, 20 points.
Raiders in 2nd half: 44 plays, 180 yards, 6 points.
Denver is 6-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last five weeks, Broncos converted 36-70 third down plays.
Raiders are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games
Raiders have 22 turnovers in 11 games (minus-17).
Raiders’ opponents’ team total: over 8-3
QB Minshew broke his collarbone, is out for year.
First time in nine years Denver won at the Raiders.

Packers 38, 49ers 10
Packers won six of their last seven games.
Green Bay’s first three drives: 34 plays, 187 yards, 17 points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Packers out rushed San Francisco, 169-44.
Backup QB Allen was 17-29/199 passing (first start since 2022)
49ers are 1-6 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.

Seahawks 16, Cardinals 6
Seattle’s only offensive TD came on a 61-yard drive just before halftime.
Seahawks scored a defensive TD on a pick-6 in third quarter.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Arizona was 3-12 on third down, Seahawks 7-14.
Cardinals are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
These teams are for first atop the NFC West.

Eagles 37, Rams 20
Eagles led 20-14 at halftime.
Barkley ran 70 yards for TD on first play of 3rd quarter.
Barkley ran ball 26 times for 255 yards, 2 TD’s.
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games overall.
Philly was 9-15 on third down, Rams 0-8.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.

College basketball notes……..

— LSU 109, Central Florida 102, 3 OTs
UCF led 38-18 late in first half.
LSU is 5-1, with the #27 eFG% defense.

— Drake 81, Vanderbilt 70
MVC’s Bulldogs win Charleston tournament, with 4 starters poached from a D2 team.
Bulldogs shot 61.5% inside the arc.
6-4 junior Stirtz had 16 points, 11 assists.

— Bradley 80, Middle Tennessee 69
MVC’s Braves win tournament at Coastal Carolina.
Bradley starts four seniors; they shot 10-22 on the arc.
Braves are #33 team in country in continuity.

— Georgia 66, St John’s 63
Dawgs are rebounding 43.7% of their missed shots (#5 in country)
St John’s had 21 offensive boards, but shot 2-19 on the arc.
Rough 1-2 trip to Atlantis, with losses by 1-3 points.

— Kennesaw State 79, Rutgers 77
Kennesaw led by 18 at halftime.
Owls out-rebounded Rutgers, 46-24.
Kennesaw survived being minus-13 in turnovers (22-9).

— Wisconsin 81, Pitt 75
Wisconsin is 7-0, scoring 79+ points in every game.
Badgers are playing pace #152, their fastest pace in at least 28 years.
Badgers are shooting 86.5% on foul line, #1 in country.
 

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NBA

Monday, November 25


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Trend Report
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Orlando vs Charlotte
Orlando is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Orlando is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Toronto vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Detroit is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toronto

New Orleans vs Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of New Orleans's last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games at home
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Dallas vs Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta's last 16 games at home
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas

LA Clippers vs Boston
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Portland vs Memphis
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Memphis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

New York vs Denver
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New York

Brooklyn vs Golden State
Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Brooklyn is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Oklahoma City vs Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ORL at CHA07:00 PMORL -5.0
O 213.5
+500 +500
NO at IND07:00 PMIND -6.5
U 225.5
+500 +500
TOR at DET07:00 PMDET -5.0
U 221.5
+500 +500
LAC at BOS07:30 PMLAC +10.5
U 217.5
+500 +500
DAL at ATL07:30 PMDAL +3.5
O 235.5
+500 +500
POR at MEM08:00 PMMEM -11.0
O 231.5
+500 +500
NY at DEN09:00 PMDEN -3.5
O 232.0
+500 +500
BK at GS10:00 PMGS -12.5
O 224.0
+500 +500
OKC at SAC10:00 PMOKC -4.0
U 227.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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NBA BEST BETS FOR NOVEMBER !

11/25/2024...................8 - 7 - 0............53.33%.................+ 2.00
11/24/2024...................2 - 7 -0.............22.22%................- 27.50
11/23/2024...................4 - 6 - 0.............40.00%................- 13.00
11/22/2024...................7 - 5 - 0............58.33%.................+ 7.50
11/21/2024...................2 - 6 - 0............25.00%.................- 23.00
11/20/2024...................5 - 6 - 0.............45.45%.................- 8.00
11/19/2024...................3 - 6 - 0.............33.33%.................- 18.00
11/18/2024.................. 5 - 8 - 0..............38.46%................- 19.00
11/17/2024..................10 - 5- 0..............66.66%...............+ 22.50
11/16/2024...................1 - 6 - 0...............14.28%...............- 28.00
11/15/2024.................10 - 6 - 0...............62.50%...............+ 17.00
11/14/2024...................1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%................- 0.50
11/13/2024...................7 - 7 - 0...............50.00%................- 3.50
11/12/2024...................9 - 1 - 0...............90.00%................+ 39.50
11/11/2024...................4 - 3 - 0...............57.14%................+ 3.50
11/10/2024...................6 - 3 - 0...............66.66%................+ 13.50
11/09/2024...................4 - 2 - 0...............66.66%................+ 9.00
11/08/2024.................10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%................+28.00
11/07/2024...................4 - 0 - 0..............100.00%...............+ 20.00
11/06/2024...................9- 6 - 0................60.00%...............+ 12.00
11/03/2024...................2 - 3 - 0...............40.00%................- 6.50
11/02/2024.................6 - 10 - 0................37.50%................- 25.00
11/01/2024...................5 - 9 - 0................35.71%...............- 24.50

TOTALS..................124 - 117 - 0...............51.45%................. - 22.30

*******************************************************
OCT.TOTALS:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,48 - 36 - 0.................57.14%...............+ 42.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Some interesting college football spreads
— South Carolina @ Clemson (-2.5)
— Louisville (-3.5) @ Kentucky
— Kansas @ Baylor (-1)
— Notre Dame (-7.5) @ USC
— Auburn @ Alabama (-11.5)
— Arizona State (-9) @ Arizona

Quote of the Day
“I’ve been at the top. I feel like I’ve been at the bottom—you just got to react the same regardless of what it is. I know I’m going to have a good game again. I know I’m going to have a bad game again. I got to ride the wave, get to the next one and get through it. I jokingly say all the time you only remember your last game.”
Broncos QB Bo Nix

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Broncos’ QB, the last time they made the playoffs?

Monday’s quiz
In the movie Last Vegas, Mary Steenburgen plays the lounge singer who winds up hooking up with Michael Douglas at the end of the movie.

Sunday’s quiz
2010 was the last time Alabama lost 3+ football games in a season; ESPN’s Greg McElroy was Alabama’s QB that year.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Early season college basketball trends

— Memphis 99, UConn 97, OT
Tigers led by 13 with 4:00 left in game, but it went to OT.
Memphis was 29-40 on foul line, UConn 19-24
Memphis was 12-22 on arc, UConn 14-30
Six of the eight players Memphis used are seniors.

— Modern college basketball- Memphis’ roster is mostly transfers:
PJ Haggerty- six games at TCU, 30 games at Tulsa
Tyrese Hunter- 35 games at Iowa State, 71 games at Texas
Dain Dainja- 3 games at Baylor, 71 games at Illinois.
Colby Rogers- 47 games at Cal Poly, 28 games at Siena, 33 games at Wichita
PJ Carter- 11 games at Campbell, a year at a junior college, 30 games at UTSA
Nicholas Jourdain- 74 games at Temple.
Moussa Cisse- 29 games at Memphis, 61 games at Oklahoma State, 26 games at Ole Miss, now he is back in Memphis.
Memphis is #6 in country in experience, #319 in continuity. An older team that figures to get better as they play together more.

— PJ Haggerty took 298 foul shots for Tulsa last year, 2nd most in country (Zach Edey, 436).

College basketball trends (these records are all against the spread, thru Sunday)……..
I’ll list the leagues as ranked on Kenpom.com

— SEC
23-16 ATS as a favorite, 7-7 as underdog, 9-6 on neutral courts

— Big X
16-29 ATS as a favorite, 7-9 as underdog, 4-11 on neutral courts

— Big 18
29-35 ATS as a favorite, 8-6 as underdog, 4-3 on neutral courts

— Big East
14-18 ATS as a favorite, 6-2 as underdog, 6-2 on neutral courts

— ACC
20-21 ATS as a favorite, 11-12 as underdog, 7-8 on neutral courts

— Mountain West
14-13 ATS as a favorite, 7-8 as underdog, 2-3 on neutral courts

Famous birthdays, November 26
Jan Stenerud, 82
Art Shell, 78
Richie Hebner, 77
Roger Wehrli, 77
Harry Carson, 71
Bob Walk, 68
Mike Moore, 65
Harold Reynolds, 64
Chuck Finley, 62
Mario Elie, 61
Shawn Kemp, 55
Cal Raleigh, 28

— Atlantic 15
15-18 ATS as a favorite, 5-13 as underdog, 5-10 on neutral courts

— West Coast
16-16 ATS as a favorite, 9-12 as underdog, 3-3 on neutral courts

— American
16-16 ATS as a favorite, 9-11 as underdog, 4-11 on neutral courts

— Conference USA
10-5 ATS as a favorite, 16-9 as underdog, 7-2 on neutral courts

— Missouri Valley
15-13 ATS as a favorite, 16-11 as underdog, 8-4 on neutral courts

— WAC
3-15 ATS as a favorite, 7-12 as underdog, 1-1 on neutral courts

— Big West
13-11 ATS as a favorite, 20-13 as underdog, 5-1 on neutral courts
It is still very early in the college basketball season; everyone is still learning which teams have how much and that includes the coaches.
 

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