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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 18

National League
NY Mets
(69-80) @ Miami (78-72)
— Butto is 1-1, 2.57 in four starts.
— Mets are 2-2 in his starts
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.


— Mets are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Mets are 30-44 on the road.
— over 3-1-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-147
— record in first 5 innings: 66-62-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-2.1

— Cabrera is 0-2, 7.07 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 5-2 in his home starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts vs New York TY.


— Miami is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Marlins are 43-32 at home.
— over 6-0 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-150
— record in first 5 innings: 62-64-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.2-3


Philadelphia (81-68) @ Atlanta (96-53)
— Wheeler is 2-0, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 4-6 in his last ten starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-4
— He is 1-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Atlanta TY.


— Phillies are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Phillies are 38-37 on road.
— under 4-3 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 47-149
— record in first 5 innings: 65-66-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-1


— Wright is 0-2, 8.71 in six starts.
— Braves are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He is 2-4, 5.13 in six starts vs Philly.


— Atlanta is 0-3 since they clinched NL East.
— Braves are 47-25 at home.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 58-149
— record in first 5 innings: 86-43-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.1


Milwaukee (84-65) @ St Louis (66-83)
— Peralta is 6-0, 2.27 in his last eight starts.
— Brewers are 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 18-7-3
— He is 1-1, 5.56 in two starts vs St Louis TY.


— Brewers are 19-8 in last 27 games.
— Milwaukee is 39-35 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 45-149
— record in first 5 innings: 64-62-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-5


— Wainwright is 1-4, 5.93 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 2-10 in his last 12 starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1
— He is 21-14, 2.74 in 47 starts vs Milwaukee.


— Cardinals are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— Cardinals are 32-42 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 46-148
— record in first 5 innings: 65-61-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3


Colorado (56-93) @ San Diego (72-78)
— Blach is 2-0, 5.09 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 4-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3
— He is 1-3, 5.44 in five starts vs San Diego


— Colorado won five of its last six games.
— Colorado is 22-53 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-150
— record in first 5 innings: 60-74-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-11-3.2


— Wacha is 1-2, 7.45 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-4
— He is 2-2, 5.31 in seven starts vs Colorado.


— Padres won five of last six games.
— San Diego is 38-36 at home.
— over 15-7-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-150
— record in first 5 innings: 70-64-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-6


American League
Cleveland
(72-78) @ Kansas City (48-102)
— Quantrill is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 2-11-3
— He is 6-0, 2.93 in 9 games (six starts) vs Kansas City.


— Guardians are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Cleveland is 33-42 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-149
— record in first 5 innings: 60-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-3


— Singer is 0-3, 11.00 in his last four starts.
— Royals won his last six home starts.
— over 11-1 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-3
— He is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts vs Cleveland TY.


— Royals lost 14 of last 21 games.
— Royals are 28-47 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 43-150
— record in first 5 innings: 47-85-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-3


Boston (74-76) @ Texas (82-67)
— Crawford is 0-2, 7.88 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2
— He is 0-0, 4.50 in two games (1 start) vs Texas.


— Red Sox are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
— Boston is 36-37 on road.
— over 21-7-1 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-149
— record in first 5 innings: 56-73-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11-2-6.2


— Montgomery is 1-1, 4.25 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 3-5 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He is 1-2, 3.95 in 14 starts vs Boston.


— Texas lost its last three games.
— Rangers are 45-30 at home.
— over 19-5 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-149
— record in first 5 innings: 81-48-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-5


Baltimore (93-56) @ Houston (84-66)
— Means gave up 3 runs in 5 IP (75 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— Orioles are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.


— Orioles lost four of last six games.
— They clinched a playoff spot yesterday.
— Baltimore is 48-26 on road.
— over 17-8-3 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-148
— record in first 5 innings: 69-54-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-1-6


— Verlander is 1-2, 5.85 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 5-3 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3
— He is 10-6, 3.62 in 24 starts vs Baltimore.


— Astros are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Houston is 38-37 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 51-150
— record in first 5 innings: 72-57-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-2


Seattle (81-68) @ Oakland (46-103)
— Woo is 2-1, 2.81 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 6-1 last seven starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-5
— He blanked Oakland for 6 IP (69 PT) August 28.


— Seattle is 6-12 in its last 18 games.
— Mariners are 40-35 on the road.
— over 8-5-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-149
— record in first 5 innings: 72-53-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-4


— Sears is 3-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 2-6 in his last eight home starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 11-29
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-5
— He is 0-0, 0.82 in two starts vs Seattle TY.


— A’s lost their last four games.
— Oakland is 24-50 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-149
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 43-82-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-8-6


Interleague games
Minnesota
(79-71) @ Cincinnati (78-73)
— Ryan is 1-1, 2.75 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 5-7 in his road starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-5
— He hasn’t pitched against the Reds.


— Twins are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Minnesota is 37-39 on road.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-149
— record in first 5 innings: 63-62-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2


— Phillips is 0-0, 8.31 in two starts.
— Cincinnati is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota


— Reds won five of last seven games.
— Cincinnati is 36-39 at home.
— under 4-3-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 46-151
— record in first 5 innings: 59-58-34
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5.1-4


White Sox (57-93) @ Washington (66-84)
— Clevinger is 2-2, 4.13 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 4-6 in his road starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-2
— He is 1-1, 5.91 in two starts vs Washington.


— Chicago is 10-24 in its last 34 games.
— White Sox are 27-48 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 41-150
— record in first 5 innings: 54-78-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3

— Adon is 0-2, 7.07 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 5-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.


— Nationals are 5-15 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 31-43 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 50-150
— record in first 5 innings: 57-77-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-6-4


Detroit (70-79) @ Los Angeles (91-57)
— Rodriguez is 2-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-3
— He is 1-2, 4.24 in three starts against the Dodgers.
— Rodriguez turned down a trade to the Dodgers in July.


— Detroit is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
— Tigers are 38-36 on road
— under 22-11 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-148
— record in first 5 innings: 57-68-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5


— Lynn is 1-2, 9.56 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 8-3, 3.23 in 12 starts vs Detroit.


— Dodgers are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Dodgers are 48-26 at home.
— over 16-6-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 62-148
— record in first 5 innings: 75-56-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-7-4.1
 

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MLB

Monday, September 18


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Trend Report
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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 18

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at KC02:10 PMKC +116
O 10.0
+500 +500
MIN at CIN06:40 PMMIN -143
O 9.5
+500 +500
NYM at MIA06:40 PMMIA -148
U 8.5
+500 +500
CHW at WAS07:05 PMWAS +107
U 9.0
+500 +500
PHI at ATL07:20 PMATL +102
U 9.5
+500 +500
MIL at STL07:45 PMMIL -173
O 8.5
+500 +500
BOS at TEX08:05 PMTEX -157
O 8.5
+500 +500
BAL at HOU08:10 PMBAL +167
O 8.5
+500 +500
COL at SD09:40 PMCOL +227
O 8.0
+500 +500
SEA at OAK09:40 PMSEA -163
U 7.5
+500 +500
DET at LAD10:10 PMDET +160
O 8.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
09/18/202311-10-152.38%-290Detail
09/17/202313-17-043.33%-2095Detail
09/16/202315-14-151.67%-420Detail
09/15/202314-15-148.33%-1445Detail
09/14/20236-6-050.00%+0Detail
09/13/202316-10-260.71%+2910Detail
09/12/202310-9-152.50%+985Detail
09/11/202311-9-055.00%+835Detail
09/10/202312-16-243.33%-2800Detail
09/09/202315-15-050.00%-1435Detail
09/08/202315-12-155.36%+1375Detail
09/04/20235-16-125.00%-6740Detail
09/03/20239-19-233.33%-5950Detail
09/02/202315-14-151.67%-645Detail
09/01/202310-18-035.71%-5860Detail
 

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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/18/2023...............................10- 7 -1........................58.82%..........................+ 15.75
09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........132 - 153 - 8.......................46.31%..........................- 124.00
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Purdue
— Boise State (-8) @ San Diego State
— Army @ Syracuse (-9)
— Mississippi State @ South Carolina (-4)
— Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (-3)
— BYU @ Kansas (-7)

Quote of the Day
“The Orioles have a 70-year partnership with the city and the state, and Camden Yards more than 30. And we’re going to have 30 more. That’s a given.”
Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; who were their QB’s in those two games?

Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.

Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.


***************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Saints 20, Panthers 17
— Saints’ defense has allowed one TD on 22 drives this season.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 341-239
— Mobile backup QB Hill ran ball nine times for 75 yards.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Carolina scored 8 points with 1:16 left to cover/push spread, depending on your number.
— Panthers averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— In two games, Carolina has scored only 2 TD’s on 22 drives.
— Panthers are 9-28 on third down in their first two games.

Steelers 26, Browns 22
— Pittsburgh scored two defensive TD’s as they even their record at 1-1.
— Cleveland outgained the Steelers, 408-255
— Pickens caught a 71-yard TD pass that put Steelers ahead 16-11.
— Steelers won five of last six series games.
— Watson threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
— His fumble was returned for game-winning TD with 6:58 left.
— Browns lost star RB Chubb with a knee injury.
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Browns are 4-4 in Deshaun Watson’s starts; they were 30-31 in Baker Mayfield’s starts. Why didn’t they keep Mayfield? He makes hell of a lot less $$$ than Watson.

— Mayfield has played for seven offensive coordinators the last six seasons, which is a lot.

— So far this NFL season, road teams are 19-13 SU.

— In his brief NFL career, Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow is 1-7 in Weeks 1-2, 23-12-1 in all the other games.

— Odd Stat: Denver Broncos lost the last nine games when they led at halftime.

— Cardinals 1, Brewers 0
Adam Wainwright gets his 200th career win.
Willson Contreras homered, for the game’s only run.

— Orioles 8, Astros 7
Baltimore scored three runs in top of the ninth.
Ryan O’Hearn went 5-5, with two RBI.
Orioles clinched their playoff spot Sunday, their first playoff bid since 2016

— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle— a disturbance or commotion caused by a dispute/conflict.

— Football Trend of the Day: Baltimore Ravens are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Vanderbilt is the only college football team that is 0-4 against the spread this year.

— Most people agree that Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he sued MLB because they didn’t make him a crew chief, when he should be thanking them for not firing him.
Last week in Pittsburgh, Hernandez called 34 pitches strikes in a Nationals-Pirates game; 12 of those pitches were actually balls. A 65% accuracy rate on called strikes? Freakin’ Helen Keller could come close to that.

— Tampa Bay Rays are going to announce plans for a new stadium that will seat around 30,000 and cost over $1.2B to build— it is expected to open in 2028.

— This past weekend, Cincinnati Reds played the Mets in New York; Reds’ manager David Bell is the grandson of Gus Bell, who played in 30 games for the original New York Mets in 1962.

— Speaking of the Reds, their CF TJ Friedl is cousins with Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari.

— Minnesota Twins’ IF Royce Lewis has hit 16 home runs in his first 69 major league games; five of those home runs were grand slams.

— Maui Classic basketball tournament in November will be played in Honolulu this year, at the Stan Sheriff Center; the arena where it is usually played in Lahaina is being used as a center to help Maui’s recovery from the terrible damage they have from the wildfires this summer.

— Alabama started Jalen Milroe at QB in their first game; they started Tyler Buchner in their second game, then replaced him with 3rd-stringer Ty Simpson.
This week, Alabama is going back to Milroe at QB for their game with Ole Miss.
 

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NY METS are 30-49 SU (-23.9 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 38-57 SU (-24.7 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 91-54 SU (31.6 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 23-36 SU (-16.6 Units) in road games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 12-4 Over (7.6 Units) revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 69-51 SU (12.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 9-2 SU (6.8 Units) off a loss to a division rival as a favorite in the current season.

TEXAS are 13-4 SU (8.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in road games in September games in the current season.

ARIZONA is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in home games revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs over the last 2 season...

SAN DIEGO is 8-0 SU (8 Units) after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons.

OAKLAND is 74-44 Over (25.6 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

LA DODGERS are 13-3 SU (9.7 Units) in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, September 19

National League
NY Mets
(70-80) @ Miami (78-73)
— Lucchesi is 2-0, 0.71 in his last two starts.
— Mets are 4-3 in his starts
— under 3-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 1-0, 0.87 in two starts vs Miami.


— Mets are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Mets are 31-44 on the road.
— over 3-2-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-148
— record in first 5 innings: 66-62-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-3

— Garrett is 2-1, 1.15 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 16-6 in his last 22 starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-8
— He is 0-1, 4.03 in four starts vs New York.


— Miami is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Marlins are 43-33 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-151
— record in first 5 innings: 62-64-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-3.2


Philadelphia (82-68) @ Atlanta (96-54)
— Sanchez is 0-1, 4.76 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 7-9 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-6
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in two games (1 start) vs Atlanta.


— Phillies are 3-1 in their last four games.
— Phillies are 39-37 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 47-150
— record in first 5 innings: 66-66-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-3


— Strider is 5-1, 2.95 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 9-3 in his home starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-29
— record in first 5 innings: 17-8-4
— He is 3-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Philly TY.


— Atlanta is 0-4 since they clinched NL East.
— Braves are 47-26 at home.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 59-150
— record in first 5 innings: 86-44-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-5


Pittsburgh (70-80) @ Cubs (78-72)
— bullpen game


— Pirates are 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— Pittsburgh is 32-40 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-150
— record in first 5 innings: 56-74-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-9-x


— Assad is 0-1, 3.78 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 5-4 in his starts
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Arizona.


— Cubs lost their last five games.
— Chicago is 41-34 at home.
— under 16-4 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-150
— record in first 5 innings: 68-59-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-x


Milwaukee (84-66) @ St Louis (67-83)
— bullpen game


— Brewers are 19-9 in last 28 games.
— Milwaukee is 39-36 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 45-150
— record in first 5 innings: 64-61-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-2


— Rom is 1-1, 4.34 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.


— Cardinals are 11-7 in their last 18 games.
— Cardinals are 33-42 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 46-149
— record in first 5 innings: 66-61-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2


San Francisco (76-74) @ Arizona (79-72)
— Cobb is 1-1, 3.68 in his last four starts.
— San Francisco is 9-6 in his road starts.
— under 17-6-1 last 24 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-5
— He is 1-0, 2.03 in two starts vs Arizona TY.


— Giants lost four of last six games.
— San Francisco is 33-42 on road.
— over 7-3 last 10 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-150
— record in first 5 innings: 61-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 13-3.2-x


— Gallen is 1-3, 6.57 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 11-3 in his home starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-9-5
— He is 1-0, 3.29 in two starts vs San Francisco TY.


— Arizona won its last three games.
— Arizona is 41-35 at home.
— over 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 51-150
— record in first 5 innings: 62-59-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.2-x


Colorado (56-94) @ San Diego (73-78)
— Feltner is 0-1, 8.71 in his last three starts.
— His last start was May 13.
— Colorado is 6-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 0-0, 3.68 in three starts vs San Diego


— Colorado won five of its last seven games.
— Colorado is 22-54 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 60-75-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11-3.2-4.1


— Snell is 4-0, 0.72 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 9-1 in his last ten starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 17-12-1
— He is 0-1, 3.18 in two starts vs Colorado TY.


— Padres won six of last seven games.
— San Diego is 39-36 at home.
— over 16-7-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-151
— record in first 5 innings: 71-64-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-6-4


American League
LA Angels
(68-82) @ Tampa Bay (92-59)
— Sandoval is 0-3, 13.17 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 9-15-2
— He is 0-2, 2.91 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.


— Angels are 5-15 in their last 20 games.
— Angels are 33-42 on road.
— over 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 40-150
— record in first 5 innings: 57-69-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-x


— Bradley is 0-0, 5.63 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 9-10 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-4
— He is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.


— Tampa Bay is 19-9 in its last 28 games.
— Rays are 50-25 at home.
— over 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 54-150
— record in first 5 innings: 79-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3.1


Toronto (83-67) @ Bronx (76-74)
— Kikuchi is 0-2, 6.03 in his last six starts.
— Blue Jays are 9-6 in his road starts
— over 4-0-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-29
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-5
— He is 3-3, 3.75 in nine starts vs New York.


— Toronto won its last three games.
— Blue Jays are 42-33 on road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 35-150
— record in first 5 innings: 61-58-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4.1-x


— Schmidt is 1-1, 4.70 in his last four starts.
— New York is 6-8 in his home starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 10-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-6
— He’s allowed 4 runs in 8.1 IP in four games (1 start) vs Toronto.


— New York won six of its last eight games.
— Bronx is 39-36 at home.
— under 13-6-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-150
— record in first 5 innings: 65-58-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-1.1-x


Cleveland (72-79) @ Kansas City (49-102)
— Allen is 1-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.
— Guardians are 8-4 in his road starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-3
— He is 0-1, 4.22 in two starts vs Kansas City TY.


— Guardians are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Cleveland is 33-43 on the road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 42-150
— record in first 5 innings: 61-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-2.1


— bullpen game


— Royals won five of last six games.
— Royals are 29-47 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 47-86-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3


Boston (75-76) @ Texas (82-68)
— Houck is 2-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11
— This is his first start vs Texas.


— Red Sox are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— Boston is 37-37 on road.
— over 21-8-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-150
— record in first 5 innings: 56-73-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.2-3


— Eovaldi is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 13-9 in his starts.
— over 6-3-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 16-3-3
— He is 3-0, 4.78 in seven starts vs Boston.
— Eovaldi pitched for Red Sox from 2018-22.


— Texas lost its last four games.
— Rangers are 45-31 at home.
— over 19-6 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-150
— record in first 5 innings: 81-48-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-2


Baltimore (94-56) @ Houston (84-67)
— Gibson is 2-2, 5.04 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 8-6 in his road starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-1
— He is 4-3, 2.45 in 13 starts vs Houston.


— Orioles won their last three games.
— Baltimore is 49-26 on road.
— over 18-8-3 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-149
— record in first 5 innings: 70-54-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-6-4


— Brown is 2-2, 6.38 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 2-4 in his last six starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-3
— He is 0-1, 6.43 in two games (1 start) vs Baltimore.


— Astros are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Houston is 38-38 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 52-151
— record in first 5 innings: 72-58-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-3


Seattle (82-68) @ Oakland (46-104)
— Castillo is 7-0, 3.21 in his last nine starts.
— Mariners won his last six road starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6
— He is 2-2, 3.74 in four starts vs Oakland.


— Seattle is 7-12 in its last 19 games.
— Mariners are 41-35 on the road.
— over 8-6-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-150
— record in first 5 innings: 73-53-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-4


— Blackburn is 1-1, 5.73 in his last three starts.
— Oakland won his last four home starts.
— under 11-5 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-5
— He is 2-3, 5.09 in seven starts vs Seattle.


— A’s lost their last five games.
— Oakland is 24-51 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 39-150
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 43-83-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-6-3.1


Interleague games
Minnesota
(79-72) @ Cincinnati (79-73)
— Maeda is 1-1, 5.64 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 4-7 in his road starts.
— over 6-0 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
— He is 2-1, 4.62 in four starts vs Cincinnati.


— Twins are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Minnesota is 36-40 on road.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-151
— record in first 5 innings: 64-63-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3


— bullpen game


— Reds won six of last eight games.
— Cincinnati is 37-39 at home.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 46-152
— record in first 5 innings: 60-58-34
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-4-2


White Sox (58-93) @ Washington (66-85)
— Urena is 0-2, 6.10 in two starts for Chicago.
— White Sox are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 5-4, 4.09 in 16 games (8 starts) vs Washington.


— Chicago is 11-24 in its last 35 games.
— White Sox are 28-48 on road.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 41-151
— record in first 5 innings: 55-78-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Rutledge allowed 7 runs in 3.2 IP in his first MLB start.
— Washington is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.


— Nationals are 5-16 in their last 21 games.
— They’re 31-44 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 50-151
— record in first 5 innings: 57-78-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-4


Detroit (70-80) @ Los Angeles (92-57)
— bullpen game


— Detroit is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Tigers are 38-37 on road
— under 22-13 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-149
— record in first 5 innings: 57-69-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-5


— Dodgers haven’t named a starter.


— Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Dodgers are 49-26 at home.
— over 17-6-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 62-149
— record in first 5 innings: 76-56-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-4.1-4
 

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MLB

Tuesday, September 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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z3SmOsi.png



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Messages
105,594
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TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NYM at MIA06:40 PMNYM +146
U 8.0
+500 +500
LAA at TB06:40 PMTB -204
O 8.0
+500 +500
MIN at CIN06:40 PMCIN +132
O 9.5
+500 +500
CHW at WAS07:05 PMWAS -110
U 9.5
+500 +500
TOR at NYY07:05 PMTOR -111
U 8.5
+500 +500
PHI at ATL07:20 PMATL -206
O 9.0
+500 +500
CLE at KC07:40 PMKC +138
O 9.5
+500 +500
PIT at CHC07:40 PMPIT +165
O 9.0
+500 +500
MIL at STL07:45 PMMIL -122
U 9.0
+500 +500
BOS at TEX08:05 PMTEX -153
U 8.5
+500 +500
BAL at HOU08:10 PMBAL +135
U 9.0
+500 +500
SF at ARI09:40 PMARI -145
U 8.5
+500 +500
SEA at OAK09:40 PMOAK +190
U 7.5
+500 +500
COL at SD09:40 PMSD -295
O 7.5
+500 +500
DET at LAD10:10 PMLAD -245
O 9.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
09/19/202317-12-158.33%+2465Detail
09/18/202311-10-152.27%-290Detail
09/17/202313-17-043.33%-2095Detail
09/16/202315-14-151.67%-420Detail
09/15/202314-15-148.33%-1445Detail
09/14/20236-6-050.00%+0Detail
09/13/202316-10-260.71%+2910Detail
09/12/202310-9-152.50%+985Detail
09/11/202311-9-055.00%+835Detail
09/10/202312-16-243.33%-2800Detail
09/09/202315-15-050.00%-1435Detail
09/08/202315-12-155.36%+1375Detail
09/04/20235-16-125.00%-6740Detail
09/03/20239-19-233.33%-5950Detail
09/02/202315-14-151.67%-645Detail
09/01/202310-18-035.71%-5860Detail
 

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Messages
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Tokens
SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/19/2023..............................8 - 10 - 1........................44.44%..........................- 4.35
09/18/2023...............................10- 7 -1........................58.82%..........................+ 15.75
09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........140 - 163 - 9.......................46.20%..........................- 128.35
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

College football spreads for this week:
— Florida State (-2) @ Clemson
— Oklahoma (-14) @ Cincinnati
— UCLA @ Utah (-4.5)
— Ole Miss @ Alabama (-7)
— Arkansas @ LSU (-17.5)
— Oregon State (-3) @ Washington State

Quote of the Day
“After many years of receiving professional help, not gambling, and being in recovery from my addictions, I’m now able to sit still, be present in the moment and live each day with an inner calm and peace. I still have a lot of cleaning up to do with those I love the most but I’m doing it slowly and as best I can.”
Phil Mickelson

Wednesday’s quiz
What city was the TV show Frasier set in?

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; Jake Delhomme, Cam Newton were their QB’s in those two games.

Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.

**********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— This is interesting: Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Yusei Kikuchi says he usually goes to bed around 11:00 p.m. and wakes up at 1 p.m, the night before he pitches.

He left with cramps during Tuesday’s game and says it may be because he only got 11 hours of sleep Monday night before instead of his usual 13-14 hours.

— Florida State is a 2.5-point road favorite at Clemson this week. Tigers have been favored in their last 46 home games; 2016 was last time they were a home underdog.

— Football coaches take different paths to the top of their profession; there are guys who are good coaches who never even played at a high level. Other were substitute players who learned from their coaches, then became coaches themselves.

Lions’ offensive coordinator Ben Johnson seems like he is really good at his job; he was a walk-on QB at North Carolina in his college days- he graduated from UNC with a degree in math and computer science.

His career path since then:
2009-10— Boston College, grad assistant
2011— Boston College, tight ends coach

2012— Miami Dolphins, offensive assistant
2013-15— Miami Dolphins, assistant QB coach, TE coach
2016-17— Miami Dolphins, assistant WR coach
2018— Miami Dolphins, WR coach

2019— Detroit Lions, quality control coach
2020-21— Detroit Lions, tight ends coach
2021— Detroit Lions, passing game coordinator
2022— Detroit Lions, offensive coordinator

He’s going to be a head coach in the NFL soon; for Jared Goff’s sake, hopefully not too soon.

Padres 2, Rockies 0
Xander Bogaerts snapped a scoreless tie with a walk-off home run.
Blake Snell no-hit Colorado for seven innings.

Marlins 4, Mets 3
Brandon Nimmo tied game in 9th with a 2-run double.
Jake Burger ended game with a walk-off single in bottom of 9th.

Cubs 14, Pirates 1— Alexander Canario hit a grand slam, his first big league homer.

Orioles 9, Astros 5
Austin Hays hit two homers for the Orioles.
Houston is only 38-39 at home.

Dodgers 3, Tigers 2— Max Muncy hit a walk-off single in ninth inning.

— Word of the Day: Aficionado— a person who is very knowledgeable and enthusiastic about an activity, subject, or pastime.

— Football Trend of the Day: UNLV is favored by 2.5 points at Texas-El Paso this week; since 2005, the Rebels are 3-10 ATS as a road favorite.

— Los Angeles Kings/Arizona Coyotes are bringing NHL hockey to Australia this week, playing in Rod Laver Arena, usually a tennis venue.

— Was weird Monday night seeing Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson getting two facemark penalties on offense— you just don’t see that a lot.

— Is Reds 1B Joey Votto going to be a Hall of Famer? 17 years in the majors, all in Cincinnati, the guy has a career on-base %age of .410, an OPS of .921, which is really good. 356 career home runs, but he played home games in a small ballpark. It’ll be an interesting discussion.

— Giants outscored Arizona 31-8 in the second half of their comeback win Sunday; the Giants’ best eight plays of the game, which all gained 15+ yards, all came on first-and-10.

— In their first two games, Chicago Bears gained total of five yards on nine plays on their first drive of the third quarter. Chicago’s opponents have gained 164 yards on 20 plays on their first drive after halftime, scoring TD’s on both drives.

— On their first drive of each half so far, Dallas Cowboys have driven 72-75-75-55 yards, scoring two TD’s, kicking two FG’s. Their opponents have gained 48 yards on 24 plays, giving up a TD to Dallas on a blocked field goal.

— This is the 58th year of the Super Bowl era; during that time, there have been 33 teams who in their first two games of a season:

Scored 50+ points.
Didn’t turn the ball over in either game.

Of those 33 teams, the 2023 Chargers are the only team that started out 0-2.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 71-95 SU (-33.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 77-47 Over (25.3 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 97-141 SU (-58.1 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 11-4 SU (6.6 Units) in home games against AL East opponents in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 70-51 SU (13.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games in September games in the current season.

OAKLAND is 27-21 SU (3.9 Units) in home games as an underdog of +175 to +250 in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 9-23 SU (-23.6 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of t...

COLORADO is 14-3 Under (10.7 Units) in road games after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

NY METS are 24-36 SU (-15.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 runs or less in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 38-58 SU (-25.8 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 19-5 Under (13.5 Units) after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 8-2 SU (5.8 Units) off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 53-83 SU (-38.3 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 17-5 SU (11.5 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.
 

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