Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, July 19


fOxO8Hj.png
 

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Pending Picks​

WEDNESDAY, JULY 19​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at PIT12:35 PMCLE -130
O 8.5
+500 +500
LAD at BAL01:05 PMBAL +125
O 9.0
+500 +500
TB at TEX02:05 PMTB -105
O 9.5
+500 +500
MIA at STL02:15 PMMIA -110
O 8.5
+500 +500
HOU at COL03:10 PMCOL +130
O 12.0
+500 +500
BOS at OAK03:37 PMOAK +180
O 8.5
+500 +500
MIL at PHI06:40 PMMIL +155
O 9.0
+500 +500
SD at TOR07:07 PMTOR -115
O 9.0
+500 +500
NYY at LAA07:07 PMLAA +120
O 8.5
+500 +500
CHW at NYM07:10 PMCHW +175
U 9.0
+500 +500
SF at CIN07:10 PMSF -115
O 10.5
+500 +500
ARI at ATL07:20 PMARI +180
O 10.0
+500 +500
WAS at CHC08:05 PMCHC -160
O 9.5
+500 +500
DET at KC08:10 PMDET -145
O 8.5
+500 +500
MIN at SEA09:40 PMSEA -155
O 7.5
+500 +500
 

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Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Jul 19, 2023MLBSan Francisco
Cincinnati
-
-
07:10 PMOver 10.5
 

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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Jul 19, 2023MLBSan Francisco
Cincinnati
2
3
Over 10.5Loss
Jul 18, 2023MLBMilwaukee
Philadelphia
3
4
Under 9.0Win
Jul 17, 2023MLBTampa Bay
Texas
2
3
TEX +100Win
Jul 16, 2023MLBArizona
Toronto
5
7
Under 9.5Loss
Jul 15, 2023MLBBoston
Chi. Cubs
4
10
BOS -120Loss
Jul 14, 2023MLBLA Dodgers
NY Mets
6
0
NYM +100Loss
Jul 12, 2023WNBANew York
Indiana
95
87
NY -10.0Loss
Jul 9, 2023MLBColorado
San Francisco
0
1
Over 8.0Loss
Jul 7, 2023WNBALas Vegas
Dallas
78
80
DAL +8.5Win
Jul 6, 2023MLBBaltimore
NY Yankees
14
1
BAL -130Win
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
07/19/202315-15-050.00%+300Detail
07/18/202314-14-050.00%-1850Detail
07/17/20238-10-044.44%-1525Detail
07/16/202310-19-135.00%-7075Detail
07/15/202316-16-050.00%-200Detail
07/14/20237-16-131.25%-6175Detail
07/09/202313-14-148.21%-125Detail
07/08/202311-18-138.33%-5050Detail
07/07/202314-16-046.67%-2250Detail
07/06/20236-15-129.55%-5575Detail
07/05/202316-12-057.14%+1900Detail
07/04/202319-9-067.86%+5150Detail
07/03/202311-7-061.11%+1600Detail
07/02/202311-13-146.00%-3275Detail
07/01/202317-11-060.71%+2375Detail
 

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MLB JULY'S BEST BETS !

07/19/2023..........................11 - 9..................................55.00%........................+ 19.75
07/18/2023..........................11 - 8..................................57.89%.........................- 0.25
07/17/2023................. ....5 - 7 - 1..................................36.36%.........................- 17.25
07/16/2023.....................7 - 12 - 1.................................36.84%..........................- 32.00
07/15/2023...........................11 - 9.................................55.00%..........................+ 10.00
07/14/2023.............................7 - 12...............................25.00%..........................- 54.25
07/09/2023.............................7 - 8.................................46.66%..........................+ 4.25
07/08/2023.............................7 - 15...............................31.81%..........................- 52.75
07/07/2023.............................9 - 8.................................52.94%..........................+ 3.75
07/06/2023.............................4 - 11...............................26.66%.........................- 41.25
07/05/2023.............................7 - 10...............................41.17%.........................- 15.25
07/04/2023............................13 - 5................................72.22%.........................+ 44.75
07/03/2023..............................7 - 4................................63.63%........................+ 14.00
07/02/2023.........................7 - 9 - 1.................................43.75%.........................- 19.00
07/012023..............................12 - 6................................66.66%........................+ 29.00

TOTALS...........................125 -133 - 3...............................48.44%.........................- 106.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Odds to win the national title in college football:
+225— Georgia
7-1— Alabama
8-1— Michigan/Ohio State
10-1— USC
12-1— LSU
16-1— Clemson/Penn State/Texas

Quote of the Day
“Texas is different. I don’t know if you guys have ever traveled outside the state or had anything to do with any other program outside the state — we’re different. … Our communities still go and support our (high school) teams. The more and more any football is out there on Friday nights — college, NFL — we’re opposed to that. Our association will be very vocal about the way we look upon it.”
Texas High School Coaches Association director Joe Martin

Thursday’s quiz
Who holds the Jacksonville Jaguars’ record for most passing yards in a season?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the Bradley Cooper/Lady Gaga version of A Star Is Born, Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father.

Tuesday’s quiz
Chuck Woolery was the host of Wheel of Fortune, before Pat Sajak.

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

Before we start today, there is a new golf simulator opening in Schenectady Friday at 4:00. The Bunker, which also has locations in Guilderland, North Greenbush, Latham and Saratoga, is a good place for kids’ birthday parties or just going out to practice your golf.
The Schenectady Bunker is near the Rivers Casino; they have a bar area and good food- check it out.

— Hitting is more difficult than it used to be a long time ago; hitters don’t see the same pitchers nearly as often as they used to.
In 1941, Joe DiMaggio got a hit in 56 consecutive games, still the record, but back then, there were only eight teams in each league, and starting pitches went deeper into games than they do now, so in those 56 games, New York faced a total of only 59 different pitchers.
Last year, the hitters who qualified for the batting title, they faced an average of 232 different pitchers. The last hitting streak of 30+ games was Whit Merrifield’s in 2019— he faced 86 different pitchers during that streak.

— Minnesota P Sonny Gray hit the 10-year service time milestone this week, something ballplayers take very seriously. Not many big leaguers last ten years, so it is a big deal.
Gray is having a weird season this year; in his last 13 starts, he is 0-4 with nine no-decisions. His last win was April 30 against Kansas City. Twins are 3-10 in the 13 games; they scored 3 or fewer runs in nine of the 13 games. He hasn’t pitched terribly, just not well enough.

— Baltimore Orioles acquired reliever Shintaro Fujinami from the A’s Wednesday, for a lefty reliever who is in the minors. Oakland tried to make Fujinami a starter this year and it was an unmitigated disaster. He’s pitched better recently, when they used him in relief one inning at a time.
I’m big on the theory that it helps a team when their front office makes a move at this time of year, even a small move like this one. Front office is telling players/coaches that they’re trying to help them make the playoffs— has to be good for morale.

— Way back in 1974, when Hank Aaron homered to set the all-time HR record, a Braves’ pitcher caught the ball in the bullpen, a guy named Tom House.
49 years later, House is still a big deal in sports; he believes that the mechanics for throwing footballs and baseballs are identical- he now instructs quarterbacks on throwing mechanics.
Some of the QB’s he’s worked with include Drew Brees, Tom Brady, and Andrew Luck. House is a big deal in coaching, 49 years after catching one of the most famous home runs ever.

— This year in the NBA, 41 guys are scheduled to earn $30M+; 17 guys are scheduled to earn $40M+.

— On December 14, 2017, Cardinals acquired OF Marcell Ozuna from the Marlins, for four prospects. Ozuna had just hit 37 homers with 124 RBI and a .924 OPS.
The four prospects Miami got:
Sandy Alcantara, Zac Gallen, Daniel Castano, Magneuris Sierra.
Alcantara/Gallen have been really good pitchers, though Miami traded Gallen to Arizona for Jazz Chisholm. Ozuna trade was an interesting deal that Miami would’ve won bigtime had they kept Gallen.

— Hall of Famer Reggie Jackson is an advisor of sorts for the Houston Astros now; Astros were in Denver this week, so Jackson crossed paths with Colorado manager Bud Black.
Long time ago, Jackson hit his 500th home run off of Bud Black, who was a good pitcher.

— Financial advantage of the new balanced schedule: Colorado drew over 43,000 people on Tuesday night, for their game with the World Champion Astros.

— Pirates 7, Guardians 5— Aaron Civale’s last two starts:
Civale allowed four runs in 10.1 IP, left both games with a lead.
In those two games, Cleveland’s bullpen allowed 15 runs in 5.1 IP. Not good.

— Cubs 8, Nationals 3– Same thing for Washington’s bullpen; last two days, they gave up 20 runs in 5.1 IP, snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

— Rangers 5, Rays 1— Orioles now lead AL East by percentage points; they visit Tampa Bay this weekend, in a very interesting series.

— Movie of the Day: One More Time (2015)— A famous crooner whose career is fading tries to get back into the limelight again, against the advice of his daughters.
Christopher Walken is the singer; Amber Heard plays one of the daughters— she is also a talented singer. Oliver Platt plays his agent.

— College football Trend of the Day: since 2015, SMU Mustangs are 19-11 ATS as a home favorite.

— College basketball player Chris Ledlum played three years at Harvard, then transferred to Tennessee last spring, but now he has transferred again, this time to play for Rick Pitino at St John’s. Pitino is going to do big things at St John’s, you can just feel it.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards- Arizona, San Francisco, Philadelphia
AL: Orioles, Twins, Rangers. Wild Cards- Tampa Bay, Toronto, Houston

— Some website posted a ranking of local announce teams for MLB squads this week; not sure how they came up with the rankings, whether people voted or whatever, but some of them were hideously wrong. Have to give this some thought, but I’ll be doing my own version of this fairly soon, at least a top 10 list.
 

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ATLANTA is 11-3 SU (10.5 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 77-54 Under (17.6 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 90-65 Under (18.5 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 37-56 SU (-24.6 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 18-30 SU (-15 Units) on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 135-168 SU (-49.8 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 25-54 SU (-34.4 Units) against AL West opponents in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 55-36 SU (15.4 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 24-9 SU (15.1 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

OAKLAND is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) revenging 6 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years over the last 2 seasons.
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 20


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Trend Report
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kZfDyW4.png



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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 20

National League
Arizona
(54-42) @ Atlanta (61-33)
— Gallen is 1-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 13-7 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-1
— He is 2-0, 1.93 in three starts vs Atlanta.


— Arizona is 4-8 in its last dozen games.
— Arizona is 28-18 on the road.
— under 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.1-2


— Strider is 5-1, 3.65 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 16-3 in his starts
— over 13-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 1-1, 4.35 in two starts vs Arizona.


— Atlanta lost its last four games.
— Braves are 31-19 at home.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-94
— record in first 5 innings: 56-26-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.1-3.1


Milwaukee (53-43) @ Philadelphia (52-43)
— Burnes is 3-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 11-8 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 0-1, 1.08 in three games (1 start) vs Philadelphia.


— Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 games.
— Milwaukee is 27-22 on the road.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-40-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4


— Walker is 6-0, 2.00 in his last seven starts.
— Phillies won his last seven home starts.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
— He gave up 4 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Milwaukee.


— Phillies are 26-11 in their last 37 games.
— Phillies are 26-18 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-95
— record in first 5 innings: 40-43-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.2-4


San Francisco (54-42) @ Cincinnati (51-46)
— Cobb is 2-0, 2.67 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 12-2 in his last 14 starts.
— under 11-2-1 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He is 2-1, 1.48 in four starts vs Cincinnati.


— Giants are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— San Francisco is 26-20 on road.
— under 13-3-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 41-37-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-10-2


— Abbott is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco


— Reds are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Cincinnati is 24-25 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-96
— record in first 5 innings: 36-38-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-10.2-3


St Louis (43-53) @ Cubs (45-50)
— Matz is 0-2, 5.89 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 4-8 in his starts.
— under 7-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-2
— He is 0-2, 3.92 in three starts vs Chicago.


— Cardinals are 8-2 in last ten games.
— Cardinals are 21-27 on road.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-96
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-6


— Stroman is 2-2, 5.33 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 11-9 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He is 1-5, 4.96 in nine starts vs St Louis .


— Cubs are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Chicago is 4-9 in last 13 home games.
— over 12-2 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-95
— record in first 5 innings: 41-41-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3


American League
Detroit
(43-52) @ Kansas City (28-69)
— Lorenzen is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (11 IP).
— Tigers are 2-5 in his road starts
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.63 in two starts vs Kansas City this year.


— Detroit is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Tigers are 23-27 on the road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 24-95
— record in first 5 innings: 33-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-2


— Greinke is 0-4, 8.01 in his last six starts.
— Royals are 1-9 in his last ten starts
— under 5-4 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-4
— He is 13-8, 2.81 in 30 starts vs Detroit.


— Royals are 6-13 in their last 19 games.
— Royals are 15-35 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 28-54-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.1


Minnesota (50-47) @ Seattle (47-48)
— Lopez is 2-0, 3.48 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 11-8 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.


— Twins are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Minnesota is 24-25 on the road.
— over 7-0 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2.2


— Kirby is 2-2, 4.32 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 9-9 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.


— Seattle is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
— Mariners are 26-24 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 43-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-3


Baltimore (58-37) @ Tampa Bay (60-39)
— Gibson is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 3-5 in his last eight starts
— over 5-0 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-1
— He is 6-6, 4.24 in 13 starts vs Tampa Bay


— Orioles won nine of last 11 games.
— Baltimore is 28-17 on road.
— over 15-6-3 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-95
— record in first 5 innings: 43-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-7-4.1


— Glasnow is 1-2, 2.42 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 5-4 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-2
— He is 4-1, 3.23 in seven starts vs Baltimore


— Tampa Bay lost 10 of its last 13 games.
— Rays are 35-15 at home.
— under 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 55-34-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4.2


Houston (53-43) @ Oakland (27-71)
— France is 2-0, 3.63 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 4-3 in his road starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is starts vs Oakland.


— Astros are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Houston is 28-21 on road.
— over 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-96
— record in first 5 innings: 48-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-3.1


— Harris is 2-3, 6.51 in 10 games (4 starts).
— Sometimes he starts, sometimes he is a bulk guy.
— He threw 5 scoreless IP, in his one game vs Houston.


— A’s won last two games, after an 0-8 skid.
— Oakland is 14-36 at home.
— over 9-2 last eleven home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-98
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 26-56-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-4.2


Interleague games
San Diego
(46-50) @ Toronto (53-43)
— Snell is 5-1, 0.51 in his last nine starts.
— Padres are 6-4 in his last ten starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9
— He is 4-3, 2.81 in 13 starts vs Toronto.


— Padres lost three of last five games.
— San Diego is 21-27 on road.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 45-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3


— Bassitt is 2-0, 3.27 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 6-3 in his home starts.
— under 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-3
— He is 0-2, 6.60 in three starts vs San Diego.
— Bassitt pitched for SD manager Melvin when they were in Oakland.


— Toronto won eight of last eleven games, but lost last two.
— Blue Jays are 26-20 at home.
— under 12-4-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-96
— record in first 5 innings: 38-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-3


White Sox (40-57) @ NY Mets (45-50)
— Kopech is 0-3, 9.35 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 11-2 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.


— Chicago is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— White Sox are 19-32 on the road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 22-97
— record in first 5 innings: 35-48-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-2


— Quintana is making his first 2023 start.
— Last year, he was 6-7, 2.93 in 32 starts.
— For his career, he is 89-87, 3.75 in 289 career starts.
— He is 0-1, 6.43 in two games (1 start) vs Chicago.
— He pitched for the White Sox from 2012-17.


— Mets won their last three games.
— Mets are 23-21 at home.
— under 13-6-3 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-95
— record in first 5 innings: 42-41-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-1
 

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THURSDAY, JULY 20​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ARI at ATL12:20 PMARI +170
U 8.5
+500 +500
SF at CIN12:35 PMSF -115
U 9.5
+500 +500
MIL at PHI12:35 PMPHI -120
O 9.0
+500 +500
SD at TOR01:07 PMTOR +100
U 9.0
+500 +500
CHW at NYM01:10 PMNYM -155
O 9.0
+500 +500
DET at KC02:10 PMDET -130
U 8.5
+500 +500
MIN at SEA03:40 PMSEA -130
O 7.5
+500 +500
BAL at TB06:40 PMBAL +160
O 8.5
+500 +500
STL at CHC08:05 PMCHC -130
O 8.5
+500 +500
HOU at OAK09:40 PMHOU -185
U 8.5
+500 +500
 

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Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Jul 20, 2023MLBArizona
Atlanta
-
-
12:20 PMOver 8.5
 

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