Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Weather Report

Sunday, September 24


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NY METS are 32-49 SU (-21.9 Units) in road games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 60-42 SU (13.8 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 98-143 SU (-59.3 Units) in home games in all games in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 25-37 SU (-15.7 Units) on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 64-64 SU (-6.4 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 27-10 Under (16 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the current season.

MIAMI is 34-59 SU (-30.9 Units) against NL Central opponents in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in road games in September games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 22-54 SU (-37.4 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

SEATTLE is 78-47 SU (26.3 Units) in road games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 12-1 Over (10.9 Units) in home games against AL Central opponents in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 598-505 Over (42.5 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 51-86 SU (-43.6 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 150-104 SU (35.6 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB

Sunday, September 24


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, September 24

National League
Colorado
(56-98) @ Cubs (81-74)
— Blach is 1-1, 9.22 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 4-7 in his starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4
— He is 5-1, 4.62 in seven games (4 starts) vs Chicago


— Colorado lost its last six games.
— Colorado is 22-58 on road.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 44-155
— record in first 5 innings: 62-76-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3


— Wicks is 3-1, 2.67 in five starts.
— Cubs are 4-1 in his starts
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.


— Cubs lost seven of their last ten games.
— Chicago is 44-36 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-155
— record in first 5 innings: 70-62-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-6


Milwaukee (88-67) @ Miami (80-75)
— Peralta is 1-1, 2.28 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 10-3 in his last 13 starts
— over 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-29
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 18-8-3
— He is 3-1, 4.07 in four starts vs Miami.


— Brewers are 23-10 in last 33 games.
— They clinched playoff spot, need win to clinch NL Central.
— Milwaukee is 43-37 on road.
— under 8-6 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-155
— record in first 5 innings: 68-62-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3


— Cabrera is 0-2, 5.59 in his last five starts.
— Marlins lost his last five starts
— under 8-2 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-4
— He is 0-1, 2.35 in two games (1 start) vs Milwaukee.


— Miami is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Marlins are 45-35 at home.
— over 9-2 last eleven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-155
— record in first 5 innings: 64-66-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-6-4


Pittsburgh (74-81) @ Cincinnati (79-77)
— Pirates haven’t named a starter.


— Pirates are 16-8 in their last 24 games.
— Pittsburgh is 36-41 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 39-155
— record in first 5 innings: 58-77-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-7


— Williamson is 0-3, 5.96 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-9
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP (88 PT) in Pittsburgh August 13.


— Reds lost five of last six games.
— Cincinnati is 37-43 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 47-156
— record in first 5 innings: 63-59-34
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-4


Atlanta (99-55) @ Washington (68-87)
— Wright is 0-2, 12.86 in two starts this month.
— Braves are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 4-1, 4.83 in five starts vs Washington.


— Strider is 6-1, 3.09 in his last seven starts.
— Braves are 16-4 in his last 20 starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 18-7-5
— He is 2-1, 3.79 in three starts vs Washington.


— Atlanta won three of last four games.
— Braves are 51-28 on the road.
— over 15-4-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 60-154
— record in first 5 innings: 89-45-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-8-x


— Rutledge is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts.
— Washington is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.


— Adon is 0-3, 7.58 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 5-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.


— Nationals are 7-18 in their last 25 games.
— They’re 33-46 at home.
— under 7-5 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 51-155
— record in first 5 innings: 58-81-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-4.2-x


NY Mets (71-84) @ Philadelphia (86-69)
— Butto is 1-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-2 in his starts
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He gave up 7 runs in four IP, in his one start vs Philadelphia.


— Mets lost their last three games.
— Mets are 32-48 on the road.
— over 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 34-153
— record in first 5 innings: 68-65-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-2


— Sanchez is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 4-7 in his home starts.
— over 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-6
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP in June 24 start vs New York.


— Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Phillies are 46-31 at home.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 49-155
— record in first 5 innings: 69-68-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-2


St Louis (68-86) @ San Diego (75-79)
— Rom is 1-1, 6.48 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-4 in his starts
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.


— Cardinals are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Cardinals are 35-41 on the road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 48-153
— record in first 5 innings: 66-65-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-7.1


— Wacha is 1-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 6-1 in his last seven home starts
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-5
— He allowed a run in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs St Louis
— He pitched for the Cardinals from 2013-19.


— Padres won eight of last ten games.
— San Diego is 41-37 at home.
— over 16-10-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 55-154
— record in first 5 innings: 72-65-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-7


San Francisco (76-77) @ Los Angeles (94-58)
— bullpen game


— Giants lost eight of last ten games.
— San Francisco is 33-45 on road.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-153
— record in first 5 innings: 61-67-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-4


— Lynn is 2-2, 8.57 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 7-2 in his starts
— over 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 15-3-1
— He is 1-5, 4.44 in eight starts vs San Francisco.


— Dodgers are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 51-27 at home.
— over 18-9-2 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 62-153
— record in first 5 innings: 78-58-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-4


American League
Toronto
(86-69) @ Tampa Bay (95-61)
— Kikuchi is 1-1, 4.80 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 9-6 in his road starts
— over 4-0-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-30
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5
— He is 1-1, 4.91 in two starts vs Tampa Bay TY.


— Toronto won six of its last eight games.
— Blue Jays are 45-35 on road.
— under 4-3-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 36-155
— record in first 5 innings: 63-61-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2.1-4.1


— Bradley is 0-0, 4.71 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 5-4 in his home starts.
— under 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
— He gave up 4 runs in 4 IP, in May 23 start vs Toronto.


— Tampa Bay is 22-11 in its last 32 games.
— Rays are 53-27 at home.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 58-155
— record in first 5 innings: 82-53-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3.1


Baltimore (96-59) @ Cleveland (74-82)
— Gibson is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 11-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-13-1
— He is 4-10, 5.55 in 21 starts vs Cleveland.


— Orioles are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 51-29 on road.
— over 20-11-3 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-155
— record in first 5 innings: 73-56-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-1.2


— McKenzie is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts this year.
— His last start was June 10th.
— Guardians are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 0-2, 5.25 in two starts vs Baltimore.


— Guardians lost four of last six games.
— Cleveland is 41-37 at home.
— over 7-5 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-155
— record in first 5 innings: 63-66-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-5


White Sox (59-97) @ Boston (77-79)
— Clevinger is 2-1, 1.23 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 8-6 in his last 14 starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2
— He is 0-1, 7.94 in four starts vs Boston.


— Chicago is 12-27 in its last 39 games.
— White Sox are 29-51 on road.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-155
— record in first 5 innings: 56-80-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.2-2


— Crawford is 0-0, 5.02 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He gave up 4 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.


— Red Sox are 7-16 in their last 23 games.
— Boston is 39-39 at home.
— over 23-10-1 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-155
— record in first 5 innings: 59-74-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-2


Seattle (84-70) @ Texas (86-68)
— Woo is 3-1, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 7-1 last eight starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3
— He gave up 6 runs in 2 IP in June 3rd start vs Texas.


— Seattle won three of its last five games.
— Mariners are 43-37 on the road.
— over 11-7-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-154
— record in first 5 innings: 75-55-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-2.1


— Eovaldi is 0-0, 4.22 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 16-4-3
— He is 1-1, 3.63 in eight starts vs Seattle.


— Texas split its last eight games.
— Rangers are 49-31 at home.
— over 22-7 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-154
— record in first 5 innings: 84-49-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-2


Kansas City (53-102) @ Houston (85-70)
— bullpen game


— Royals won nine of last ten games.
— Royals are 22-55 on the road.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 46-155
— record in first 5 innings: 51-86-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4


— Brown is 1-3, 8.53 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 7-2 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.


— Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Houston is 39-41 at home.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 54-155
— record in first 5 innings: 72-62-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-4


LA Angels (70-84) @ Minnesota (81-73)
— bullpen game


— Angels are 7-18 in their last 25 games.
— Angels are 35-45 on road.
— over 8-3 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 41-155
— record in first 5 innings: 59-70-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-4


— Ryan is 0-2, 5.27 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-5
— He is 0-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Anaheim.


— Twins are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Twins clinched AL Central Friday night.
— Minnesota is 44-33 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 41-155
— record in first 5 innings: 65-65-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3


Detroit (72-84) @ Oakland (48-107)
— Rodriguez is 0-2, 9.72 in his last two starts.
— Detroit is 7-5 in his last 12 starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-3
— He is 2-4, 4.56 in nine starts vs Oakland.


— Detroit is 11-9 in its last 20 games.
— Tigers are 40-40 on road
— under 25-15 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-156
— record in first 5 innings: 61-70-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5.1


— Sears is 3-1, 3-1, 2.78 in his last four starts.
— Oakland is 4-10 in his home starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 9-17-4
— He threw 7.1 scoreless IP in his one start vs Detroit


— A’s lost eight of last ten games.
— Oakland is 26-54 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 40-155
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 44-87-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3


Interleague games
Arizona
(81-73) @ Bronx (78-76)
— Gallen is 2-2, 5.92 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 5-9 in his road starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 18-9-5
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.


— Arizona won five of its last six games.
— Arizona is 38-38 on road.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 53-153
— record in first 5 innings: 64-60-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.2-x


— Rodon is 1-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— New York is 3-9 in his starts.
— under 8-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-3
— He is 0-2, 5.91 in four starts vs Arizona.


— New York lost three of last five games.
— Bronx is 41-38 at home.
— under 15-7-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-154
— record in first 5 innings: 67-60-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.2-x


Umpires
Col-Chi— Road team is 6-2 in last eight Valentine games
NYM-Phil— Under is 10-6-1 in Edwin Jimenez games.
Milw-Mia— Last four Barrett games went over total.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Pitt-Cin— Over is 6-1 in last seven Wegner games
StL-SD— Favorite is 7-2 in last nine May games.
SF-LA— Over is 6-2 in last eight Fletcher games.


LAA-Minn— Favorite is 20-4 in last 24 Cuzzi games
Det-A’s— Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 Knight games.
Chi-Bos— Arietta is a rooie ump; no trends yet.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Tor-TB— Under is 13-6 in last 19 Tosi games.
Balt-Clev— Under is 7-3 in last ten Segal games.
Sea-Tex— Last four Porter games went over total.
KC-Hst— Over is 7-2 in last nine Additon games.


Az-NY— Under is 8-2 in last ten Carapazza games
 

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Messages
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Tokens

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at TB01:10 PMTOR -104
O 8.5
+500 +500
CHW at BOS01:35 PMCHW +146
U 8.5
+500 +500
ARI at NYY01:35 PMARI -117
U 7.0
+500 +500
ATL at WAS01:35 PMWAS +202
U 10.0
+500 +500
MIL at MIA01:40 PMMIA +112
O 7.5
+500 +500
BAL at CLE01:40 PMBAL +104
O 7.5
+500 +500
PIT at CIN01:40 PMPIT +132
O 10.5
+500 +500
LAA at MIN02:10 PMLAA +208
O 8.0
+500 +500
KC at HOU02:10 PMKC +233
U 9.5
+500 +500
COL at CHC02:20 PMCHC -226
U 9.0
+500 +500
SEA at TEX02:35 PMTEX -123
U 9.0
+500 +500
DET at OAK04:07 PMOAK +119
U 7.5
+500 +500
STL at SD04:10 PMSD -204
O 8.5
+500 +500
NYM at PHI06:05 PMPHI -170
U 9.0
+500 +500
SF at LAD07:10 PMSF +163
U 9.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Tokens

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
09/24/202320-10-066.67%+6185Detail
09/23/202316-10-061.54%+2985Detail
09/22/202315-12-155.36%+1815Detail
09/21/20238-8-150.00%-310Detail
09/20/202316-14-053.33%-855Detail
09/19/202317-12-158.33%+2465Detail
09/18/202311-10-152.27%-290Detail
09/17/202313-17-043.33%-2095Detail
09/16/202315-14-151.67%-420Detail
09/15/202314-15-148.33%-1445Detail
09/14/20236-6-050.00%+0Detail
09/13/202316-10-260.71%+2910Detail
09/12/202310-9-152.50%+985Detail
09/11/202311-9-055.00%+835Detail
09/10/202312-16-243.33%-2800Detail
09/09/202315-15-050.00%-1435Detail
09/08/202315-12-155.36%+1375Detail
09/04/20235-16-125.00%-6740Detail
09/03/20239-19-233.33%-5950Detail
09/02/202315-14-151.67%-645Detail
09/01/202310-18-035.71%-5860Detail
 

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Messages
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Tokens
SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/24/2023..............................15 - 10.........................60.00%.........................+ 35.75
09/23/2023..............................13 - 8...........................61.90%.........................+ 31.85
09/22/2023..............................12 - 9...........................57.14.............................+ 21.75
09/21/2023...............................6 - 7 ...........................46.15%..........................-4.30
09/20/2023..............................12 - 11 .........................52.17%..........................- 6.65
09/19/2023..............................8 - 10 - 1........................44.44%..........................- 4.35
09/18/2023...............................10- 7 -1........................58.82%..........................+ 15.75
09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........198 - 208 - 9.......................48.76%..........................- 49.95
 

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Messages
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Tokens
Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Royals 6, Astros 5— Houston has lost 9 of last 12 games.
Rangers 9, Mariners 8— Texas sweeps the three-game series.
Padres 12, Cardinals 2— Juan Soto went 3-5 with four RBI.
Arizona 7, New York 1— Zac Gallen tossed six shutout IP.
Reds 4, Pirates 2— TJ Friedl homered, knocked in three runs.
Phillies 5, Mets 2— Nick Castellanos hit his 29th home run.

Quote of the Day
“Obviously that was embarrassing … I’m at a loss for words. Every once in a while in the NFL you get your butt kicked, but this was different.”
Sean Payton, after Sunday’s 70-20 loss in Miami

Monday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach was a replacement player for the Chicago Bears during the 1987 NFL players’ strike?

Sunday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every December.

Saturday’s quiz
Jose Canseco was the first major leaguer to hit 40+ home runs and steal 40+ bases in the same season, in 1988.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chargers 28, Vikings 24

— WR Allen caught 18 balls for 215 yards, also THREW a 49-yard TD pass.
— Vikings had ball on Chargers’ 6-yard line in last 2:00, didn’t score.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 6-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Chargers scored 34-24-28 points in their first three games.

— Vikings lost first three games, by 3-6-4 points.
— Minnesota was 11-0 LY in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Cousins was 32-50/367 passing, with three TD’s.
— Jefferson caught seven passes for 149 yards and a TD.

Colts 22, Ravens 19 OT
— Kicker Matt Gay kicked FG’s of 31-54-53-53-53 yards.
— His 4th 50+-yard FG of the day ended the game in OT.
— Colts are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Moss carried ball 30 times for 122 yards.

— Ravens lost two fumbles on their first four drives.
— Jackson ran 14 times for 101 yards and Ravens’ only two TDs.
— Baltimore defense has allowed only three TD’s on 34 drives.
— Under is 9-1 in their last ten home games.

Packers 18, Saints 17
— Saints led this game 17-0 at halftime.
— QB Carr hurt his shoulder; backup Winston was 10-16/101 passing.
— Saints ran punt back 76 yards for their second TD.
— Saints’ first three games (2-1) were decided by total of five points.

— Packers in first half: 27 plays, 116 yards, no points.
— Packers in second half: 41 plays, 228 yards, 18 points.
— Saints in second half: 30 plays, 121 yards, no points.
— Saints missed a 46-yard FG with 1:05 left.

Lions 20, Falcons 6
— Detroit outgained the Falcons, 358-183.
— Atlanta ran ball 20 times for only 44 yards.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 5-8-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games overall.

— Goff threw a 45-yard TD pass for Detroit’s first TD.
— Detroit held the Falcons to 3.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 13-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 25-11-1 ATS, 5-2 as home favorite.

Browns 27, Titans 3
— Tennessee ran 45 plays for only 94 yards.
— Derrick Henry carried ball 11 times for 20 yards.
— Tennessee has lost nine of its last ten games.
— Under is 8-2 in Titans’ last ten road games.

— Cleveland had 23 first downs, Titans had six.
— Watson was 27-33/289 passing, with two TD’s.
— Opponents have converted only 8-41 third down plays.
— First three games, Cleveland outgained opponents 1,099-501.

Texans 37, Jaguars 17
— Houston led this game 17-0 at halftime.
— Leading 17-10, Texans ran kickoff back 85 yards for a TD.
— Houston has now won 10 of last 11 series games (8-3 ATS)
— Last 2+ years. Houston is 6-1 ATS in AFC South road games.

— Jaguars in first half: 33 plays, 158 yards, two missed FG’s, no points.
— Texans were 9-15 on third down, Jaguars were 5-13.
— Jacksonville is only 11-37 on third down in three games.
— Jaguars are 12-24-1 ATS in last 37 games coming off a loss.

Patriots 15, Jets 10
— New England outgained the Jets, 358-171.
— Patriots were 8-19 on third down, Jets 2-14.
— Patriots’ only TD was a 58-yard pass to Pharaoh Brown.
— New England is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

— Last 5+ years, Jets are 5-12 ATS in AFC East home games.
— First three games, Jets averaged 4.7/5.0/3.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Last two games, Jets are 3-24 on third down.
— Wilson is 8-16 as an NFL starter.

Dolphins 70, Broncos 20
— Miami won its first three games, scoring 36-24-70 points.
— Dolphins scored TD’s on eight of their first nine drives.
— Miami averaged 13.4 yards per pass attempt.
— since 2020, Dolphins are 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.

— Miami had TD plays of 54-79-67-69 yards.
— Dolphins gained 726 yards on 71 plays. 726 yards!!!!
— Miami ran ball for 350 yards, threw for 376 more.
— Russell Wilson is 4-14 as the Broncos’ QB.

Bills 37, Commanders 3
— Bills in first half: 39 plays, 212 yards, one TD, three FG’s.
— Buffalo led 16-0 at halftime.
— Bills are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games on natural grass.
— Bills converted 21-41 third down plays in two games.

— Commanders were 1-9 on third down, Buffalo was 9-15.
— Washington turned ball over 4 times on 10 drives.
— Under is 12-4 in Washington’s last 16 games.
— Washington kicked 51-yard FG in last 2:00 to avert shutout.

Seahawks 37, Panthers 27
— Carolina ran ball only 14 times, for 44 yards.
— Panthers were 10-19 on 3rd down, Seattle 3-13.
— In three games, 0-3 Carolina has been outscored, 56-31 in 2nd half.
— Backup QB Dalton was 34-58/361 passing, with two TD’s.

— Seahawks in first half: 41 plays, 208 yards, four FGs (12 points)
— Seahawks in 2nd half: 31 plays, 213 yards, 3 TDs and a FG (25 points)
— Seattle gave up 984 passing yards in its first three games
— Seahawks won eight of last ten series games.

Chiefs (1-1), Bears (0-2) @
— Chiefs led this game 34-0 at halftime; TV took it off the air at that point.
— Bears are 9-28 SU/12-23-2 ATS the last 2+ years.
— Chicago averaged 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Fields is 5-23 SU as an NFL starter- they have a problem with him.

— Chiefs in first half: 46 plays, 318 yards, four TD’s, two FG’s.
— Kelce caught seven passes for 69 yards and a TD.
— KC had 12 penalties for 94 yards LW, only 3-15 in this game.
— Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.

Cardinals 28, Cowboys 16
— Arizona is 1-2, but led all three games at halftime.
— Cardinals in first half: 35 plays, 288 yards, 2 TD’s, 3 FG’s.
— Conner ran ball 14 times for 98 yards and a TD.
— Prater kicked a 62-yard FG with 0:04 left in first half.

— Dallas had five drives of 56+ yards, but scored only one TD.
— Cowboys were in red zone four times in second half, scored 6 points.
— Cardinals ran ball for 222 yards, were 5-10 on 3rd down.
— Dallas is 28-46 on third down in its three games.

Steelers 23, Raiders 18
— Steelers picked off three passes, were +3 in turnovers.
— Pickett averaged 7.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Pittsburgh is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games coming off a win.
— Pitt is 27-14-1 ATS in last 42 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.

— First three games, Raiders scored 17-10-18 points.
— Raiders are 11-14 ATS in last 25 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Las Vegas is 10-15 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Since 2017, Raiders are 10-12 ATS as a home favorite.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 25


Ggqg7k1.png





NY YANKEES are 28-12 Under (14.8 Units) when playing on Monday in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 140-101 Under (28.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.

HOUSTON is 18-2 Over (15.8 Units) when playing on Monday in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 16-2 Over (13.8 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.




MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 25


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 25

National League
San Diego
(77-79) @ San Francisco (77-79)
— Snell is 4-0, 0.56 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 10-1 in his last 11 starts
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 9-31
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 17-12-2
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (12 IP) vs San Francisco TY.


— Padres won nine of last 11 games.
— San Diego is 33-42 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 56-155
— record in first 5 innings: 73-65-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7-2


— Webb is 1-4, 3.32 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-9
— He is 2-2, 2.77 in eight starts vs San Diego.


— Giants lost nine of last 11 games.
— San Francisco is 43-32 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-154
— record in first 5 innings: 61-67-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-5


American League
Texas
(87-68) @ LA Angels (70-86)
— Gray is 0-1, 8.05 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-5
— He is 2-1, 3.42 in four starts vs Anaheim.


— Texas won its last five games.
— Rangers are 37-37 on road.
— over 23-7 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-155
— record in first 5 innings: 85-49-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-4


— Sandoval is 0-3, 10.61 in his last four starts.
— Anaheim is 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-27
— record in first 5 innings: 9-16-2
— He is 1-3, 3.94 in six starts vs Texas.


— Angels are 7-19 in their last 26 games.
— Angels are 35-40 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 41-156
— record in first 5 innings: 60-70-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-9


Houston (85-71) @ Seattle (84-71)
— Verlander is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 5-4 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4
— He is 21-10, 3.09 in 37 starts vs Seattle.


— Astros are 3-9 in their last 12 games.
— Houston is 46-29 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 55-156
— record in first 5 innings: 72-63-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-6


— Castillo is 6-0, 2.65 in his last eight starts.
— Mariners won his last ten starts.
— over 11-5 last 16 starts
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— allowed run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6
— He is 1-0, 2.40 in two starts vs Houston TY.


— Seattle is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— Mariners are 41-33 at home.
— over 12-7-2 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-155
— record in first 5 innings: 75-56-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.1-4.2


Interleague games
Arizona
(81-73) @ Bronx (78-76)
— Kelly is 2-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 8-4 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-8
— He gave up a run in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs New York.


— Arizona won six of its last seven games.
— Arizona is 39-38 on road.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 54-154
— record in first 5 innings: 65-60-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-3


— Schmidt is 1-1, 5.48 in his last four starts.
— New York is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-13-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.


— New York lost four of last six games.
— Bronx is 41-39 at home.
— under 15-8-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-155
— record in first 5 innings: 67-61-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-2.2




MLB

Monday, September 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ NY Yankees
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
NY Yankees is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Arizona

Texas @ LA Angels
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 16 games at home

Houston @ Seattle
Houston
Houston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston

San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
San Diego is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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U/dog and C/notes.....just a note to say thank you for all
your time, effort and thought's this past season guys....
the info you get us has been solid and very helpful.....
thank you......indy
 

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You're welcome indy! It's been interesting with the rules changes this year. I think I really like the time clock on pitchers!
 

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Messages
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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TEX at LAA09:38 PMTEX -181
U 9.0
+500 +500
HOU at SEA09:40 PMSEA -122
O 7.5
+500 +500
SD at SF09:45 PMSD -118
U 7.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
09/25/20233-4-042.85%-250Detail
09/24/202320-10-066.67%+6185Detail
09/23/202316-10-061.54%+2985Detail
09/22/202315-12-155.36%+1815Detail
09/21/20238-8-150.00%-310Detail
09/20/202316-14-053.33%-855Detail
09/19/202317-12-158.33%+2465Detail
09/18/202311-10-152.27%-290Detail
09/17/202313-17-043.33%-2095Detail
09/16/202315-14-151.67%-420Detail
09/15/202314-15-148.33%-1445Detail
09/14/20236-6-050.00%+0Detail
09/13/202316-10-260.71%+2910Detail
09/12/202310-9-152.50%+985Detail
09/11/202311-9-055.00%+835Detail
09/10/202312-16-243.33%-2800Detail
09/09/202315-15-050.00%-1435Detail
09/08/202315-12-155.36%+1375Detail
09/04/20235-16-125.00%-6740Detail
09/03/20239-19-233.33%-5950Detail
09/02/202315-14-151.67%-645Detail
09/01/202310-18-035.71%-5860Detail
 

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Messages
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SEPT'S MLB BEST BETS !

09/25/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.........................- 1.60
09/24/2023..............................15 - 10.........................60.00%.........................+ 35.75
09/23/2023..............................13 - 8...........................61.90%.........................+ 31.85
09/22/2023..............................12 - 9...........................57.14.............................+ 21.75
09/21/2023...............................6 - 7 ...........................46.15%..........................-4.30
09/20/2023..............................12 - 11 .........................52.17%..........................- 6.65
09/19/2023..............................8 - 10 - 1........................44.44%..........................- 4.35
09/18/2023...............................10- 7 -1........................58.82%..........................+ 15.75
09/17/2023...............................11 - 13..........................45.83%..........................- 5.05
09/16/2023................................8 - 9.............................47.05%...........................- 6.80
09/15/2023................................9 - 13- 1........................40.90%...........................- 20.60
09/14/2023................................6 - 5.............................54.54%...........................+ 5.30
09/13/2023...............................14 - 8 - 2........................63.63%...........................+ 33.85
09/12/2023................................7 - 8 - 1.........................46.66%...........................+ 1.15
09/11/2023................................9 - 6..............................60.00%.........................+ 16.55
09/10/2023................................7 - 15 - 1........................31,81%............................- 47.50
09/09/2023................................8 - 12............................40.00%..........................- 31.70
09/08/2023...............................14 - 8 - 1.........................63.63%............................+ 31.00
09/04/2023................................5 - 10.............................33.33%..........................- 31.05
09/03/2023...............................5 - 16 - 1.........................23.80%...........................- 61.35
09/02/2023...............................12 - 9 - 1.........................57.14%...........................+ 15.95
09/01/2023................................7 - 14.............................33.33%...........................- 39.50

TOTALS...................... ...........200 - 210 - 9.......................48.78%..........................- 51.55
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Since 1966, the six QB’s the Chicago Bears drafted in the first round
— Jim McMahon
— Jim Harbaugh
— Cade McNown
— Rex Grossman
— Mitch Trubisky
— Justin Fields

Quote of the Day
“I didn’t take anything positive out of it. It was awful. You sit down? You sit down on a play? You go right down? What happened? I thought you’re trying to win and make plays. You quit on a play? What is going on? It’s disgusting. I wouldn’t keep him. I’ve seen enough of Zach Wilson.”
Joe Namath, talking about Jets’ QB Zach Wilson

Tuesday’s quiz
Jets have won the Super Bowl once; who did they beat in that game?

Monday’s quiz
Sean Payton was a replacement player for the Chicago Bears during the 1987 NFL players’ strike.

Sunday’s quiz
San Diego hosts the Holiday Bowl every December.

*******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Eagles 25, Buccaneers 11
— Eagles outgained Tampa Bay, 472-174.
— Philadelphia converted 10-16 third down plays.
— Philly ran the football 40 times for 201 yards.
— Eagles won their first three games, scoring 25-34-25 points.
— Buccaneers’ first 8 drives: 36 plays, 104 yards, a FG and a safety.
— Eagles had four drives in 2nd half: 75-46-55-68 yards.
— Buccaneers are 16-18-3 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Tampa Bay hasn’t been 3-0 since 2005.

Bengals 19, Rams 16
— Ja’Marr Chase caught 12 passes for 141 yards.
— QB Burrow is playing with injured calf; he was 26-49/259 passing.
— Bengals are 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Cincinnati is 7-3-2 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
— Rams have scored one TD on their last 19 drives.
— LA converted only one of 11 third down plays.
— Rams are 4-10-2 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten road games.
Rams scored TD with 1:03 left to push the spread, second week in a row they scored in the last 2:00 to push the spread.

— So far this season, NFC West teams are 7-0-1 ATS outside their division.
NFC North teams are 2-7 ATS outside their division.
NFC East teams are 4-5 ATS outside their division.
AFC West teams are 3-7 ATS outside their division.
League-wide, home favorites are 2-6 ATS in divisional games.
League-wide, home underdogs are 3-4 ATS in divisional games.

— College football conference trends:
Nationwide, home favorites in conference games are 15-9 ATS.
Nationwide, home underdogs in conference games are 14-12 ATS.
AAC teams are 14-23 ATS outside the conference.
ACC non-conference favorites are 11-7 ATS.
Big X non-conference road favorites are 2-6 ATS.
Big 14 teams are 13-19 ATS outside the conference.
Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 13-7 ATS.
Mountain West non-conference road underdogs are 12-4 ATS.
SEC teams are 2-7 ATS in non-conference games away from home.
Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 8-5 ATS.

— Word of the Day: Patience— the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, trouble, or suffering without getting angry or upset.
Remember, you can’t be a doctor without patience.

— Jonathan Weitz is Clemson’s kicker; he was the backup kicker for four years, but this year he was studying for his Masters’ degree in Data Science and Analytics online at Clemson while living in Charleston— he wasn’t on the football team.
But Robert Gunn III missed three field goals and an extra point in the Tigers’ first three games this year, and Dabo Swinney came calling.
Weitz missed a 30-yard FG with 1:45 left Saturday against Florida State and the score tied. Clemson lost in overtime; Weitz has a job lined up in New York City in December. It isn’t as a kicker.

— Virginia’s kicker is a 34-year old ex-Marine. Matt Ganyard spent more than a decade as a Cobra helicopter pilot before returning to Charlottesville to pursue his MBA- he is married with two kids.

— Texas Longhorns have a kicker named Bert Auburn; you’d think the kid would go to school in the SEC. Imagine if he kicked at Alabama?

— Chicago Bears had $100,000 worth of equipment stolen from Soldier Field last week; the thieves tore down a security fence and drove the equipment out of a garage.
If the thieves had stolen Justin Fields’ helmet/shoulder pads, then they would’ve at least been helping the ball club.

— Sunday in Miami, the Dolphins were the first team to score 14+ points in every quarter of a game since the Detroit Lions in the 1957 NFL Championship Game vs Cleveland.
Yes, the Lions once played the Browns for the NFL title. Long time ago, though.

— From 2017-23, Mike Trout has played in 678 of the Angels’ 1,032 games, when he was 25-31 years old. One of the most important abilities is availability, which Trout doesn’t have a lot of.

— Sunday night in Las Vegas, the Raiders had a 4th-and-4 at the Pittsburgh 8-yard line with 2:25 to play, trailing 23-15; they kicked a field goal, wound up losing 23-18.
Since the 2-point conversion started in the NFL in 1994, the Raiders are the only team to kick a field goal in the last 3:00 of a game when they trailed by 8 points, when they had 4th down and 5 or less yards to go.
Passing up a 4th-and-4 doesn’t show a lot of faith in your offense.

— Happy 90th birthday to Hubie Brown, the great basketball coach who was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2005.
Coach Brown has been an excellent TV analyst for decades now; he still does 15 games a year for ESPN. Long, long time ago, fall of 1984, I met coach Brown before an exhibition game in Glens Falls— his Knicks were playing a game against the Bulls and a rookie named Michael Jordan.
I was an assistant high school coach back then, an analytics-based guy, and I asked coach Brown some questions about what numbers he used in coaching. He was very polite to me and gave me a few minutes, which I always appreciated.

Happy birthday, coach!!!
 

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WASHINGTON is 13-3 SU (9.7 Units) in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-30 SU (-24 Units) in home games when playing on Tuesday in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 13-3 Over (9.7 Units) revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs in the current season.

TORONTO is 4-19 SU (-16.9 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 in the last 3 seasons.

NY METS are 14-3 SU (10.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

BOSTON is 118-111 SU (-4.1 Units) in home games after a game where the bullpen threw 1 inning or less since 1996.

ATLANTA is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in home games against NL Central opponents in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 142-100 SU (32 Units) revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 22-55 SU (-38.5 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 65-64 SU (-5.4 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 25-7 SU (17.3 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in the current season.

TEXAS are 64-40 SU (29 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 39-28 SU (8.2 Units) in home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 23-54 SU (-36.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of -125 to -175 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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