CNOTES 2023 2024 NHL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINONS !

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BUFFALO is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 23


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NHL

Monday, October 23


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Trend Report
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Montreal @ Buffalo
Montreal
Montreal is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


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MONDAY, OCTOBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MON at BUF07:00 PMMON +161
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER NHL BEST BESTS !

10/23/2023...............................2 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 13.05
10/22/2023...............................4 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 20.70
10/21/2023.............................10 - 8 - 3......................55.55%......................+ 1.01
10/20/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.....................+ 0.65
10/19/2023..............................8 - 9.............................47.05%......................- 9.45
10/18/2023..............................2 - 1............................66.66%......................+ 5.00
10/17/2023..............................4 - 8.............................33.33%.....................- 23.35
10/16/2023...............................3 - 4............................42.85%.....................+ 3.40
10/15/2023...............................2 - 1 - 1........................62.50%.....................+ 12.40
10/14/2023.............................10 - 6.............................62.50%.....................+ 18.10
10/13/2023...............................1 - 2.............................33.33%.....................- 11.85
10/12/2023...............................6 - 5.............................54.54%.....................+ 3.50
10/11/2023...............................5 - 3..............................62.50%....................+ 8.00

TOTALS...................................59 - 49 - 4........................54.62%....................+ 41.16
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for this week’s NFL:
— Buccaneers @ Buffalo (-8)
— Saints @ Indianapolis (-1)
— Jaguars (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Texans (-3) @ Carolina
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Patriots @ Miami (-10.5)

Quote of the Day
“In anger, we should refrain both from speech and action.”
Pythagoras

Tuesday’s quiz
What is the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl?

Monday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil coached the Philadelphia Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum; Packers 35, Chiefs 10.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Giannis Antetokounmpo signed a 3-year, $186M contract with the Milwaukee Bucks, meaning he will earn $62M a year, which works out to $756,097 per game.
Antetokounmpo averaged 32.1 minutes/game last year; if he does that this year, it works out to $23,554.44 per minute played.

— NFL Films and HBO also hit the jackpot; Miami Dolphins will be the featured in-season team for Hard Knocks this year, it was announced
Monday. Coach Mike McDaniel should be interesting to see in action.
Colts/Cardinals were the in-season teams on Hard Knocks the last two years. Dolphins were last featured on Hard Knocks in the summer of 2012.

Vikings 22, 49ers 17
Kirk Cousins was 35-45/378 passing, with two TD’s.
Vikings on their first six drives: 52 plays, 377 yards, 22 points.
Minnesota converted 8-13 third down plays.
All seven Viking games have been decided by 8 or fewer points.
Both teams turned the ball over on their first possession.
49ers were outgained 786-540 in their last two games.
McCaffrey carried ball 15 times for only 45 yards.
49ers are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.

— College football conference trends:
AAC— home favorites 4-10 ATS, home underdogs 2-7
ACC— home underdogs 8-3 ATS
Big X— home underdogs 8-3 ATS
Big 14— home favorites 7-9 ATS, home underdogs 2-10 ATS
C-USA— home favorites 5-6 ATS, home underdogs 2-5
MAC— home favorites 6-7 ATS
Mountain West— home favorites 4-7 ATS
Pac-12— home underdogs 6-3 ATS
SEC— home favorites 11-7 ATS, home underdogs 4-8
Sun Belt— home favorites 7-8 ATS

— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 12-9-1 ATS outside the division
NFC North teams are 9-11-1 ATS outside the division
NFC South teams are 4-14 ATS outside the division
NFC West home teams are 5-2 ATS outside the division
AFC East home teams are 6-4 ATS outside the division
AFC North home teams are 6-2-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South teams are 11-5-1 ATS outside the division
AFC West teams are 6-12 ATS outside the division

— Saturday afternoon, the 4:00-7:00 window, I’m watching four games on one screen on my YouTube TV account; one game each from the Big 14, Big X, SEC, Pac-12.
Big 14— Minnesota-Iowa— Both teams should’ve punted on first down.
Big X— Texas-Houston— Teams that jumped from AAC to the Big X have some catching up to do.
SEC— Ole Miss-Auburn— Rebels are lucky to have Lane Kiffin as coach; he’s been a head coach in the NFL.
Pac-12— Washington State-Oregon— Wazzu QB Ward threw for 438 yards in a losing cause.
Interesting contrast in styles between the leagues.

— Utah declared that QB Cam Rising is out for the year with a knee injury; Utes are 6-1 with backup QB Barnes under center.

— When baseball free agency starts, obviously Shohei Ohtani will be a big topic, but there is another Japanese pitcher, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is expected to draw lot of interest from teams with lot of $$$ who need pitching.

— Word of the Day: Focus— the ability to concentrate attention or to sustain concentration.
If you’re easily distracted, you lack focus.

— Long time ago, there was a 2B named Nellie Fox; he is a Hall of Famer who played 19 years in the major leagues. In his career, Fox struck out only 216 times in 10,351 plate appearances.
This season, Kyle Schwarber struck out 215 times in 720 plate appearances.

— Outside Camden Yards in Baltimore, there is a statue of the great 3B Brooks Robinson, who passed away recently. It is a pretty normal statue of Robinson playing the field, except that his glove is gold, as it should be.

— Last week was the 50th anniversary of the day when Rams’ DE Fred Dryer got two safeties in the same game, a 22-5 win over Green Bay. Both safeties were in the 4th quarter and it was two different QB’s he sacked for the safeties (Scott Hunter, Jim Del Gaizo).

— What bowl game is going to get stuck with the Iowa Hawkeyes? Iowa is 6-2, but their offense is putrid; they’ve gained 300+ yards in only one game this year- they lost 12-10 to Minnesota Saturday, gaining a total of 127 yards, on 56 plays. Not good.
Former Rams’ coach Mike Martz is out there somewhere; why wouldn’t Iowa call a guy like Martz and hire him to jazz up their offense? Iowa’s last two games were 15-6/12-10; if they hired a real offensive coordinator like Martz, 15-6/12-10 would be a thing of the past.

— Monday was the first time since 2004 that the baseball playoffs had a Game 6 and a Game 7 on the same day.

Diamondbacks 5, Phillies 1
Arizona scored three runs in top of the second inning.
Pham and Gurriel hit back-to-back home runs.
Merrill Kelly tossed 5 IP, giving up a run; they took him out after 90 pitches.
Game 7 is tonight in Philadelphia.

Rangers 11, Astros 4
Adolis Garcia homered twice; he hit five home runs in the last four games.
Texas scored 20 runs in winning Games 6-7 of this series.
Road team won all seven games in this series.
Rangers host the World Series, starting Friday night.

— Baseball is a fascinating business; on February 10, 2021, the Rangers designated Adolis Garcia for assignment and cleared a spot on the 40-man roster for P Mike Foltynewicz.
All 29 of the other teams let Garcia clear waivers, and on February 13, 2021, Texas invited him as a non-roster player to camp. Lucky for them they did.
 

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WASHINGTON is 13-30 ATS (-20 Units) in home games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 24-18 ATS (4.2 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) off a road loss by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 230-230 ATS (-85.6 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp since 1996...

PITTSBURGH is 28-14 Over (12.6 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 17-47 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 91-63 Over (21.7 Units) in road games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals since 1996.

DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 19-1 ATS (17.9 Units) in road games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 88-65 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

CALGARY is 42-24 Over (15.6 Units) in home games after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal since 1996.

ARIZONA is 10-40 ATS (-34 Units) in road games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons
 

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NHL

Tuesday, October 24


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Trend Report
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JN0ELkF.png



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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at WAS06:00 PMTOR -168
O 6.5
+500 +500
ANA at CLB06:30 PMANA +131
U 6.5
+500 +500
BUF at OTT06:45 PMOTT -184
U 7.0
+500 +500
CAR at TB07:00 PMTB +112
U 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at MON07:15 PMMON +203
O 6.5
+500 +500
DAL at PIT07:30 PMPIT +113
U 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at FLA07:45 PMFLA -257
O 6.5
+500 +500
COL at NYI08:00 PMCOL -133
O 5.5
+500 +500
SEA at DET08:15 PMDET -119
U 6.5
+500 +500
BOS at CHI08:30 PMBOS -222
O 5.5
+500 +500
STL at WIN08:45 PMWIN -181
O 6.0
+500 +500
EDM at MIN09:00 PMMIN -107
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at NAS09:15 PMNAS -120
O 6.0
+500 +500
NYR at CAL09:45 PMCAL +111
O 6.0
+500 +500
ARI at LA10:30 PMARI +161
O 6.5
+500 +500
PHI at VEG11:00 PMVEG -193
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER NHL BEST BESTS !

10/24/2023............................10 - 12 -1.......................45.45%.....................- 1.35
10/23/2023...............................2 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 13.05
10/22/2023...............................4 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 20.70
10/21/2023.............................10 - 8 - 3......................55.55%......................+ 1.01
10/20/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.....................+ 0.65
10/19/2023..............................8 - 9.............................47.05%......................- 9.45
10/18/2023..............................2 - 1............................66.66%......................+ 5.00
10/17/2023..............................4 - 8.............................33.33%.....................- 23.35
10/16/2023...............................3 - 4............................42.85%.....................+ 3.40
10/15/2023...............................2 - 1 - 1........................62.50%.....................+ 12.40
10/14/2023.............................10 - 6.............................62.50%.....................+ 18.10
10/13/2023...............................1 - 2.............................33.33%.....................- 11.85
10/12/2023...............................6 - 5.............................54.54%.....................+ 3.50
10/11/2023...............................5 - 3..............................62.50%....................+ 8.00

TOTALS.................................69 - 61 - 5........................53.07%....................+ 39.81
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NFL players who have scored the most points this year:
68— Jake Elliott, Phil
66— Raheem Mostert Mia/Christian McCaffrey SF
64— Harrison Butker, KC
63— Brett Maher, Rams/Ka’imi Fairbairn, Hst
60— Brandon Aubrey, Dal
59— Blake Grupe, NO

Quote of the Day
“It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

Wednesday’s quiz
Chris Paul has been in the NBA for 18 years; where did he play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions are the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl.

Monday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil coached the Philadelphia Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

— Diamondbacks 4, Phillies 2
Arizona’s bullpen tossed five scoreless innings.
Corbin Carroll went 3-4 with two runs scored, two RBI.
Arizona-Texas World Series starts Friday night in Dallas.

— Texas Rangers the last six years:
2018: 67-95
2019: 78-84
2020: 22-38
2021: 60-102
2022: 68-94
2023: 90-72
Texas hired Bruce Bochy as their new manager last winter; now they’re in the World Series. Bochy has previously led the Giants and Padres to four World Series. When this season is over, they should fly him to Cooperstown and induct him into the Hall of Fame. He deserves it.
Bochy is 6-0 in winner-take-all playoff games, by the way.

— For three days in February 2021, Adolis Garcia was a free agent, could’ve been scooped up by any major league team. You’re telling me that none of these over-educated Ivy League geniuses that run major league teams knew enough to sign him up?
Go figure.

— Houston Astros the last seven years:
2017- won World Series
2018- lost ALCS
2019- lost World Series
2020- lost ALCS
2021- lost World Series
2022- won World Series
2023- lost ALCS
Pretty nice run they’re on; there are rumors that manager Dusty Baker is going to retire— he is 74 years old. If he does retire, it’ll be interesting to see who they turn to as manager— they figure to be a contender for the next few years, at least.
Astros were 40-47 at home this season, 56-30 on the road; it makes no sense.

— New Mexico State 27, Louisiana Tech 24
New Mexico State kicked 31-yard FG with 5:16 left for the win.
Aggies ran ball 40 times for 232 yards.
New Mexico State has won four games in row, for first time since 2002.

— Liberty 42, Western Kentucky 29
Flames led 14-10 at half; they’re 8-0 this season.
Liberty ran ball 54 times for 323 yards, 6.0 yards/carry.
WKU QB Reed was 30-44 passing for 365 yards, 4 TD’s.

— Word of the Day: flummoxed— utterly confused or perplexed.
Handicapping NFL games this season has me flummoxed; lot of erratic play. Can’t get a handle on things yet.

— Saturday night in Seattle, Arizona State led Washington 7-6 with about 8:30 left; ASU had the ball deep in Washington territory, 4th-and-3.
8:30 left in the game, Washington hadn’t scored a TD the whole game. If the Sun Devils kick a field goal, they’re up 10-6, and Washington has to score a TD to win, something they hadn’t done the whole game. So they kick the field goal, right? Did I mention that Washington hadn’t scored a touchdown the whole game?
No- this is 2023, and football coaches are screwing up situational football; it actually is OK to be conservative now and then, really it is. Washington goes for it on 4th-and-3, and they throw a pick-6, and Washington winds up winning, 15-7.
Oy.

— Oregon QB Bo Nix started his 54th college game last week, the most by any college QB ever, passing Colt McCoy and Kellen Moore (now the Chargers’ OC).

— USC lost 34-32 to Utah Saturday: after the game, no Trojan players were made available to the media, which is a bad look for USC. How are you preparing your players for the next level when they don’t have to answer questions after a tough loss?
Also makes you wonder how Lincoln Riley would do if he coached in the NFL; media access is a given there, and their seasons are a lot longer than college seasons.

— Morehead State guard Mark Freeman, preseason OVC Player of the Year, hurt his wrist and is likely out for the season. Freeman scored 15 ppg last year and helped Morehead upset Clemson in the first round of the NIT.

— Montana Grizzlies have a shooting guard who is in his 7th year of college basketball; the guy is married with two kids.

— Zach Collins plays for the San Antonio Spurs; in five years, he’s started 42 of the 245 games he’s played in, playing 18.9 minutes a game. Last year, he scored 11.6 ppg while starting 26 of the 63 games he played in. He is complimentary player, nothing wrong with that, but for sure, he isn’t a star.
I remember seeing him play in a high school tournament in Las Vegas when he was in 10th grade, December 2013. He played for Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas.
Now he is really rich, just signed a 2-year deal with the Spurs for $35M. Playing in the NBA is really profitable, when subs are banking $17.5M a year.

— Washington Commanders on 3rd down, last four games:
Week 4- 8-17 @ Philadelphia
Week 5- 6-12 vs Chicago (14-27 in consecutive games)
Week 6- 2-10 @ Atlanta
Week 7- 1-15 @ NJ Giants (3-25 in last two games. Not good)

— Rams cut their kicker Tuesday; he missed two field goals and an extra point Sunday. The new kicker is Lucas Havrisik, who was on the Browns’ practice squad- he was on the Colts’ practice squad last year, after kicking in college at Arizona.

— San Francisco Giants made a good move and hired Bob Melvin as their new manager.
 

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NEW JERSEY is 99-75 Over (16.5 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, October 25


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Trend Report
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Washington @ New Jersey
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home



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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at NJ07:30 PMNJ -234
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
10/25/20230-2-00.00%-1720Detail
10/24/202317-14-154.69%+750Detail
10/23/20232-0-0100.00%+1305Detail
10/22/20234-0-0100.00%+2070Detail
10/21/202316-11-358.33%+1215Detail
10/20/20232-2-050.00%+65Detail
10/19/202310-13-143.75%-2225Detail
10/18/20233-1-075.00%+900Detail
10/17/20237-10-141.67%-1995Detail
10/16/20233-7-030.00%-1555Detail
10/15/20232-1-162.50%+1240Detail
10/14/202316-11-158.93%+1140Detail
10/13/20231-3-025.00%-1735Detail
10/12/20238-6-057.14%+800Detail
10/11/20237-5-058.33%+600Detail
 

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OCTOBER NHL BEST BESTS !

10/25/2023..............................0 - 2...............................00.00%.....................- 12.20
10/24/2023............................10 - 12 -1.......................45.45%.....................- 1.35
10/23/2023...............................2 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 13.05
10/22/2023...............................4 - 0...........................100.00%.....................+ 20.70
10/21/2023.............................10 - 8 - 3......................55.55%......................+ 1.01
10/20/2023..............................2 - 2..............................50.00%.....................+ 0.65
10/19/2023..............................8 - 9.............................47.05%......................- 9.45
10/18/2023..............................2 - 1............................66.66%......................+ 5.00
10/17/2023..............................4 - 8.............................33.33%.....................- 23.35
10/16/2023...............................3 - 4............................42.85%.....................+ 3.40
10/15/2023...............................2 - 1 - 1........................62.50%.....................+ 12.40
10/14/2023.............................10 - 6.............................62.50%.....................+ 18.10
10/13/2023...............................1 - 2.............................33.33%.....................- 11.85
10/12/2023...............................6 - 5.............................54.54%.....................+ 3.50
10/11/2023...............................5 - 3..............................62.50%....................+ 8.00

TOTALS.................................69 - 63 - 5........................52.27%......................+ 27.61
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Passing yardage leaders in college football:
2,576— Michael Penix, Wash
2,573— Jayden Daniels, LSU
2,433— Brayden Schager, Hawai’i
2,420— Shedeur Sanders, Colo
2,280— Austin Reed, Western Kentucky
2,277— Caleb Williams, USC

Quote of the Day
“It’s silly, silly meaning my genuine feeling is that we have too many smart people that have looked at this and said we should be doing it and we haven’t taken the time to actually move it forward.”
LSU football coach Brian Kelly, on why the SEC hasn’t adopted headset communication between the sidelines and the QB, which would eliminate sign stealing issues

Thursday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that hasn’t covered a spread (0-5-1) so far this season?

Wednesday’s quiz
Chris Paul has been in the NBA for 18 years; he played his college basketball at Wake Forest.

Tuesday’s quiz
Detroit Lions are the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl.


*********************************************

Two dens for Thursday: NHL trends, and a story from the past

NHL trends (thru October 25)
I’ll try to post this once a week……..

Anaheim 2-4
— lost three of last four games.
— Ducks are 1-2 at home, 1-2 on road
— under 5-1

Arizona 3-3
— 1-0 at home, 2-3 on road.
— over 3-2 on road

Boston 6-0
— won all six of their games.
— under 2-0 at home, 3-1 on road.
— allowed seven goals in six games.

Buffalo 3-4
— 2-3 at home, 1-1 on road.
— under 5-2, 4-1 at home

Calgary 2-4-1
— lost five of last six games.
— 1-1 at home, 1-5 on road.
— over 4-3
— scored four goals in last three games

Carolina 3-4
— lost last three games, outscored 16-8
— 1-0 at home, 2-4 on road.
— over 6-1

Chicago 2-5
— lost five of last six games.
— 0-2 at home, 2-3 on road.
— under 6-1
— last three games, were outscored 12-3

Colorado 6-0
— Colorado won all six of its games
— 2-0 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 3-3
— outscored opponents 28-12

Columbus 3-2-1
— 2-3 at home, 1-0 on road.
— under 4-1 on road

Dallas 4-0-1
— won four of first five games
— only loss was in OT
— 2-0 at home, 2-1 on road.
— under 4-1
— three of five games went to OT.

Detroit 5-1-1
— won five of last six games
— 3-1 at home, 2-1 on road.
— last four games went over total.

Edmonton 1-5
— lost five of first six games.
— 0-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— over 3-1 on road

Florida 3-3
— won three of last four games.
— 2-1 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 2-1 at home, over 2-1 on road

Los Angeles 3-2-1
— won three of last four games.
— 1-3 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 5-1, 4-0 at home

Minnesota 3-2-1
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— last five games went over.
— allowed 6 goals in wins, 19 in losses.

Montreal 3-2-1
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— over 3-3

Nashville 3-4
— 2-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six games

New Jersey 3-2-1
— 1-3 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 6-0
— 4 of 6 games decided by one goal

NY Islanders 2-2-1
— lost last three games.
— 2-2 at home, 0-1 on road.
— under is 3-2
— allowed 2 goals in wins, 15 in losses

NY Rangers 4-2
— won three of last four games.
— 1-1 at home, 3-1 on road.
— under 5-1, 2-0 at home

Ottawa 3-3
— 3-2 at home, 0-1 on road.
— over 6-0
— allowed 5 goals in wins, 16 in losses

Philadelphia 3-3
— 2-0 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under 3-1 in their last four games.
— allowed 3 goals in wins, 13 in losses

Pittsburgh 2-4
— lost last three games, giving up 14 goals.
— 1-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 2-1 at home, 2-1 on road

St Louis 2-3
— 2-1 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under is 4-1
— scored 11 goals in five games

San Jose 0-6
— lost their first six games.
— 0-4 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under is 4-1-1
— scored eight goals in six games

Seattle 2-5
— lost five of first seven games.
— 1-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under is 5-2, 3-1 on road

Tampa Bay 3-4
— 3-1 at home, 0-3 on road.
— over 3-1 at home, 2-1 on road
— 0-2 in OT/SO

Toronto 4-2
— 2-1 at home, 2-1 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— 2-0 in OT/SO
— scored 21 goals in wins, 2 in losses

Vancouver 4-2
— 1-0 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 4-2

Vegas 7-0
— won their first seven games.
— 4-0 at home, 3-0 on road.
— under 4-0 home, over 2-1 road

Washington 1-4
— lost four of first five games.
— 1-2 at home, 0-2 on road.
— under 4-1

Winnipeg 3-3
— 2-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— over 2-1-1 home, 1-1 road
— allowed 14 goals in first four games, 4 goals in last two games.

**********************************************

A story from the past……..

One of my favorite movies was on today, Searching for Bobby Fischer; Joe Mantegna is a sportswriter who is surprised to find out that his 11-year old son is a chess prodigy. It is a great movie: Mantegna, Ben Kingsley, Lawrence Fishburne, William H Macy.
Anyway, when I was in 8th grade 50 years ago, chess was a big deal. Bobby Fischer was a quirky chess grandmaster who was playing Russian Boris Spassky for the world title, and it got a ton of attention— for a couple years in the early 70’s, chess was a big deal.
A friend of my parents had taught me how to play; in May of 1973, there was a tournament of all the Catholic grade schools in Albany County, probably 50 or so kids on a Saturday morning. Two kids from our school went; I had never beaten the other kid. Ever.

So our 8th grade teacher picks us up at the other kid’s house to go to the tournament, but we played a game before he got there, and I beat him.
This had never happened before.
We get to the tournament, played in a ratty old gym, and the games begin. I won my first game, but the other kid, who seriously was a much better player than me, he got beat and just like that, he was eliminated. He very rarely played sports as a kid, and the competition apparently wasn’t his thing. I sucked at sports, but enjoyed playing.

Thinking about it, it was a lot like the scenes in this movie; just a bunch of nerdy kids hunched over chess boards, studying their moves.
While my parents’ friend taught me how to play chess, I had my own ideas, which weren’t better ideas, but I was incapable of grinding out moves, playing patterns, the way great players do.

I just played fast, got my queen out as quickly as possible, tried to do damage with the queen, and it often got people off their games, because it was different.

So I win two more games, and now there are a lot fewer kids in the gym; my 4th game, the board is set up with plastic chess pieces. My opponent requests that we switch to a wooden chess set, a classic Bobby Fischer mind game move, which I had no idea of at the time.
He crushed me, not even close and my teacher took the two of us home. I was happy that at least I won a few games— had never played in a tournament before.

The phone rings in our house and it is a nun from the chess tournament; I had lost, but I wasn’t done playing yet, there were still games to be played to determine who won the championship, so my father drove me back to the gym and he had to sit there watching his nerdy kid play chess.
I won two more games, and the whole event came down to this: I was playing this girl in the last game of the tournament. If she won, she won the championship and I finished 3rd.

If I won, the jerk who beat me won the championship and I finished 2nd. (don’t ask, I can’t remember how/why they ran the tournament like this, but they did)

Seriously, I didn’t like that kid after he beat me; I went over to look at the 2nd/3rd place prizes. If the 3rd place prize was good, I was considering losing on purpose so he wouldn’t win the tournament, but the 3rd place price was cruddy, and the 2nd place prize was this small plastic scroll that at least looked like a trophy, so I tried to win.

(This is where I realize that I was an over-thinker, even at age 13)
Anyway, we sit down and play the last game; my opponent was very nervous; her hand was shaking when she moved her chess pieces. It didn’t take long to beat her, and the jerk won the championship trophy.
50 years later, the small plastic scroll is still hanging in my living room. That was a fun day.
 

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SAN JOSE is 17-48 ATS (-35.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 88-67 ATS (14.3 Units) off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 308-356 ATS (-83.6 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games since 1996.

NY RANGERS are 17-8 ATS (8.2 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 96-99 ATS (-12.9 Units) on the road when the total is >=6 since 1996.
 

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