CNOTES 2023 2024 NHL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINONS !

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/18/2023.............................4 - 3...................................57.14%......................+ 9.35
12/17/2023.............................4 - 5...................................44,44%......................+ 5.05
12/16/2023............................10 - 11...............................47.61%.......................- 7.85
12/15/2023.............................6 - 6...................................50.00%.......................+ 0.55
12/14/2023...........................10 - 3...................................76.92%.......................+ 39.95
12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS................................94 - 98 - 3...............................48.95%.........................+ 0.95
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Interesting NFL spreads for Week 16:
— Saints @ LA Rams (-4)
— Bengals (-2.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Colts (-2) @ Atlanta
— Browns @ Houston (-2.5)
— Seahawks (-2.5) @ Tennessee
— Cowboys @ Miami (-1.5)

Quote of the Day
“I knew I could do it; I knew it was in me. But it’s all credit to these guys around me. I love these guys. I love this team and I would do anything for this team.”
Western Kentucky QB Caden Veltkamp, the star of Monday’s bowl game

Tuesday’s quiz
Which college football bowl game is played in El Paso, TX every year?

Monday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Philadelphia Eagles (32,873 yards)

Sunday’s quiz
Wayne Fontes (67-71) has the most wins as a head coach for the Detroit Lions; he was Detroit’s coach the last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but………

Seahawks 20, Eagles 17

— Eagles lost their last three games, after a 10-1 start.
— Eagles led at halftime, for first time since Week 7.
— Philly ran ball for 178 yards, converted 9-16 on third down.
— Last ten games, Philly is minus-10 in turnovers.

— Backup QB Lock threw 29-yard TD pass with 0:28 left for the win.
— Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 1-7 if they don’t.
— Seahawks are 7-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seattle is 18-13 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.

In this game………
Seattle got ball down 4+ points with less than 2:00 to play.
They drove 90+ yards for the game-winning touchdown.
The winning touchdown play was longer than 25 yards.

Last NFL team to do that? Green Bay in September, 1992, when Brett Favre came off the bench to lead the comeback. It was the last time he came off the bench in an NFL game.

Western Kentucky 38, Old Dominion 35, OT
Old Dominion led this game 28-0 with 13:38 left in 2nd quarter.
WKU’s #3 QB Veltkamp came off bench, was 40-52/383 passing, with 5 TD’s.
Old Dominion had a short field goal blocked in overtime.

Veltkamp had entered the transfer portal earlier this year, when WKU coaches told him they were moving him to tight end next season. Now? Not so much……

— Betting on college bowl games has become a complete crapshoot; Old Dominion was favored by 4.5 points. WKU’s QB opted out of the game because he is selfish, the #2 QB gets benched when they fall behind early, and the #3 QB leads an improbable comeback win, from a 28-0 deficit. Go figure.

— Quarterback shenanigans:
College
Ohio State QB Kyle McCord has bolted to Syracuse, an odd move.

Tulane QB Michael Pratt won’t play in the Green Wave’s bowl game, but he isn’t transferring, he is turning pro.

USC backup QB Malachi Nelson is going into the transfer portal, which leaves the Trojans with one scholarship QB for their bowl game. Sophomore Miller Moss is expected to start for USC in their game against Louisville. Moss is 23-32/309 passing this year, with one TD pass.

Meanwhile, Kansas State QB Will Howard is bolting to USC for next season.

Mississippi State QB Will Rogers in bolting to Washington.

UCLA freshman QB Dante Moore is bolting to Oregon; they already added QB Dillon Gabriel from Oklahoma.

NFL
Steelers are starting QB Mason Rudolph in this week’s game vs Cincinnati. Rudolph is 5-4-1 as an NFL starter, with most of those games happening in 2019.

Chargers added QB Will Grier off New England’s practice squad
Patriots added QB Nathan Rourke off Jacksonville’s practice squad.

56 quarterbacks have started an NFL game this season. Rudolph will be the 57th.

— Bengals’ QB Jake Browning is the first NFL QB ever who won two overtime games in his first four NFL starts.

— Raiders scored 63 points in their game last week; the last ten NFL teams to score 55+ points in a game went 1-9 ATS in their next game. Raiders play the Chiefs on Christmas.

— Lions’ TE Sam LaPorta is the first rookie tight end since John Mackey in 1963 with 700+ receiving yards, and 7+ touchdowns.

— In college football, the last 47 times a Big 14 team played a MAC team, the Big 14 team was favored in every game, and in 43 of the 47 games, the spread was double digits.

— Word of the Day: Parity- When several things are roughly of the same value.

NFL has a lot of parity right now, lot of teams are roughly the same, with very little difference between them.

— Get well soon to basketball icon Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, who broke his hip last week when he slipped and fell at a concert. Kareem is 76 years old, we wish him well.

By the way, Michael Jordan/Lebron James have been great, great players, but Kareem is the best basketball player ever, of that I am not uncertain.

Put it this way; from 1967-76, dunking wasn’t legal in college basketball, that is how dominant a player Kareem was at UCLA. It is also why he developed his fantastic sky hook.

Yes, they made the dunk illegal because one player was completely dominant.

I could go on about this for a lot longer, but I’ve made my point.

— Speaking of UCLA, their basketball team this year has seven foreign players on its roster, with players from seven different countries.

— In baseball happenings:
Kansas City Royals have quietly added six players this month:
Royals signed starting P’s Seth Lugo, Michael Wacha
Royals signed relievers Will Smith, Will Stratton.
Royals added OF Hunter Renfroe, IF Garrett Hampson.

Arizona Diamondbacks kept OF Lourdes Gurriel; he got a 3-year, $42M deal.

Texas P Max Scherzer had a herniated disc in his back fixed, will miss the first half of next season.

Charleston 84, Coastal Carolina 81- Freshman big man Scott scored 16 points in 19:00 off the bench, going 8-8 from the floor.

Portland State 75, Fresno State 72 OT- Underdog Vikings led 41-28 at halftime, trailed by 7 in the overtime. Kid on Portland State ht a 3-pointer at the buzzer for the win.

Duquesne 69, Bradley 67- Visiting Braves led by 10 early in second half, but they were minus-10 in turnovers (19-9).
 

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NHL

Tuesday, December 19


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Trend Report
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bRrQBok.png



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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLB at BUF07:00 PMCLB +162
O 6.5
+500 +500
NYR at TOR07:00 PMNYR -110
O 6.5
+500 +500
VEG at CAR07:00 PMVEG +118
O 6.0
+500 +500
PHI at NJ07:00 PMNJ -159
U 6.0
+500 +500
STL at TB07:00 PMTB -170
U 6.5
+500 +500
MIN at BOS07:00 PMMIN +177
O 5.5
+500 +500
EDM at NYI07:30 PMEDM -144
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at NAS08:00 PMNAS -110
O 6.5
+500 +500
COL at CHI08:30 PMCHI +195
U 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at ARI09:00 PMARI +112
O 6.5
+500 +500
LA at SJ10:30 PMSJ +254
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/19/202314-8-063.64%+3515Detail
12/18/20235-5-050.00%-365Detail
12/17/20235-5-050.00%+1005Detail
12/16/202311-14-044.00%-1925Detail
12/15/20235-6-145.83%+55Detail
12/14/202312-4-075.00%+4170Detail
12/13/20233-7-030.00%-2435Detail
12/12/20239-10-147.50%-335Detail
12/11/20234-4-050.00%-55Detail
12/10/20237-7-250.00%-155Detail
12/09/202315-9-062.50%+3435Detail
12/08/20235-1-083.33%+2170Detail
12/07/202310-14-242.31%-2685Detail
12/06/20233-4-143.75%-550Detail
12/05/20234-10-028.57%-2595Detail
12/04/20238-3-170.83%+2715Detail
12/03/20233-7-030.00%-2175Detail
12/02/202315-10-060.00%+2100Detail
12/01/20232-2-050.00%+1120Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/19/2023............................12 - 6.................................66.66%......................+ 40.80
12/18/2023.............................4 - 3...................................57.14%......................+ 9.35
12/17/2023.............................4 - 5...................................44,44%......................+ 5.05
12/16/2023............................10 - 11...............................47.61%.......................- 7.85
12/15/2023.............................6 - 6...................................50.00%.......................+ 0.55
12/14/2023...........................10 - 3...................................76.92%.......................+ 39.95
12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS...............................106 - 104 - 3............................50.47%.........................+ 41.75
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
:
Florida 106, Michigan 101, 2OT- Michigan’s bench was outscored 43-3.
Northridge 76, UCLA 72- Bruins lost five of their last six D-I games.
Western Carolina 63, Vanderbilt 62- Vandy was 1-14 behind the arc.
Citadel 65, Notre Dame 45- Going to be a long winter in South Bend.
Providence 72, Marquette 57- Marquette shot 32% from the floor.
Chattanooga 69, Gardner-Webb 66- Kid hit half court shot at the buzzer for the win.

Quote of the Day
“I didn’t want to get injured. When you stay in and block somebody, you can get run on very easily.”
Steelers WR George Pickens, on why he seemed reluctant to block in Sunday’s game

Wednesday’s quiz
When was last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles?

Tuesday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl college football game is played in El Paso, TX every year.

Monday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Philadelphia Eagles (32,873 yards)

*************************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………


— I’m watching HBO’s Hard Knocks tonight, and they show a 2nd grade teacher in Miami who teaches her students how to do Math by adding/subtracting using Tyreek Hill’s stats each week. She posts Hill’s stats on a white board, and are counting down to how many yards he needs for 2,000 receiving yards.
It was great; the kids are into it, both boys/girls, but it reminded me of something else, how when I was a kid, I’d the grab the newspaper as soon as I could and would study boxscores and stats- this was way before the Internet, information was a little limited.
But I got to the point where I could do Math in my head; if Reggie Jackson went 4-13 in a series, I knew he hit .308 for the weekend, or if Vida Blue gave up two runs in 6 IP, his ERA was 3.00. Not bad for a 10-year old.

— Fast forward 25 years, and I’m a Grade 6 working for New York State at a low-level job; I’m in a training session with a cross-section of employees, some of whom are big shots; the person leading the room gives out a word problem which requires calculations.
There were eight people at a table; we worked as a group. A lady at my table was the Chief of Staff for a Deputy Commissioner, she started with her calculator to get the answer for the problem, but I just told her: “Marsha, its 27. The answer is 27” She kept working the calculator, then looked at me when she came up with 27.
It happened couple of more times; this was a Friday afternoon. Three days later, on Monday, I got a call to schedule a job interview for a Grade 13, an Administrative Assistant job, a very big raise. I got the job, which is why my retirement now is a lot more comfortable than it would’ve been if I hadn’t been able to do Math in my head.

— I tell the story because this teacher in Miami is doing her students a huge favor, teaching them in a way that they’ll remember it. Hopefully they appreciate it, though Tyreek Hill didn’t play this past week, so she probably had to be inventive to get them to do some calculations.

— If you owned an NFL team worth $5B or so, the three most people in your organization would be, in no particular order:
Head Coach- Runs the team on the field.
Quarterback- This one is kind of obvious.
General Manager- Acquires the players, which in an injury-riddled sport, is really important. This time of year, teams with good depth are the ones that finish strong.

— Here are the four NFL teams with the most dead salary cap space this season. When a team is up against the cap, it takes a clever GM to find players who can still win games while they have less flexibility to spend $$$.
$78.6M- Rams
$67.3M- Buccaneers
$65.3M- Packers
$65.2M- Cardinals

— But today we’re looking at head coaches; how would you choose one?
In today’s NFL, 21 of the 32 head coaches who started this season are/were in their first NFL head coaching job. Only 3 of the 21 have won a Super Bowl.
3 of the 32 coaches won a Super Bowl in a previous head coaching job.
2 of the 32 coaches lost a Super Bowl in a previous head coaching job.
6 of the 32 coaches had a previous head coaching job, but didn’t make it to a Super Bowl.
Coaches don’t get recycled as much as they used to; Bill Belichick is one of the head coaches who didn’t make it to a Super Bowl in his first head coaching job- he’s pretty good. Josh McDaniels had two head coaching jobs and was pretty bad at both of them.
Giants’ coach Brian Daboll interviewed with five other teams before the Giants, who are damned lucky that no one else hired him- Daboll is a good coach.
Raiders have had 13 head coaches since 2003; the Steelers have had three since 1969.
It is what makes the NFL so interesting; the teams are worth a fortune, but some of the teams are run really well, some pretty poorly.

Texas-San Antonio 35, Marshall 17
The two QB’s: Josh McCown’s son, and Chad Pennington’s son. Makes me feel old.
Marshall led 14-0 early in second quarter.
UTSA was 7-14 on third down, Marshall 5-18.
Second day in a row a backup QB wins a bowl game; gambling is difficult.

— QB Taulia Tagovailoa is skipping Maryland’s bowl game; I’m not going to rant about this again, at least not today, but Tagovailoa’s college career is over.

— Strange stats to read: USC’s defense is 110th in the country in yards allowed/play; they’re 123rd in scoring defense.

— Jacksonville Jaguars signed QB EJ Perry to their practice squad; Perry played his college ball at Brown, so he never opted out of a bowl.

— Underdogs won/covered the last seven Monday night NFL games.

— Cleveland Browns are first team in the last 70 years to have four different QB’s lead a game-winning drive in the same season.

— Atlanta Falcons are going back to Taylor Heinicke at QB this week, third time this year they have changed starting QB’s, which makes you wonder if Desmond Ridder is still their QB of the future.
Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo recently became the most accurate kicker in NFL history; he used to kick for the Chargers, but they cut him, even though he made his last six FG’s for them.
Since they cut Koo in 2017, Chargers have gone through 12 different kickers.

— As it turns out, Kansas City’s last four games are going to be against backup QB’s:
Week 15- beat New England (Zappe) 27-17.
Week 16- vs Las Vegas (O’Connell)
Week 17- vs Cincinnati (Browning)
Week 18- @ LA Chargers (Stick)

— AFC North teams are 26-12 SU in non-divisional games.

— In baseball, Pirates signed lefty starter Martin Perez for one year, $8M. He figures to be their #3 or #4 starter.
 

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WASHINGTON is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the current season.

DETROIT is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, December 20


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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Winnipeg
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 10 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games


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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NYI at WAS07:30 PMWAS -116
O 6.0
+500 +500
DET at WIN07:30 PMDET +137
U 6.5
+500 +500
SEA at LA10:00 PMSEA +145
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/20/20233-3-050.00%+1.75Detail
12/19/202314-8-063.64%+3515Detail
12/18/20235-5-050.00%-365Detail
12/17/20235-5-050.00%+1005Detail
12/16/202311-14-044.00%-1925Detail
12/15/20235-6-145.83%+55Detail
12/14/202312-4-075.00%+4170Detail
12/13/20233-7-030.00%-2435Detail
12/12/20239-10-147.50%-335Detail
12/11/20234-4-050.00%-55Detail
12/10/20237-7-250.00%-155Detail
12/09/202315-9-062.50%+3435Detail
12/08/20235-1-083.33%+2170Detail
12/07/202310-14-242.31%-2685Detail
12/06/20233-4-143.75%-550Detail
12/05/20234-10-028.57%-2595Detail
12/04/20238-3-170.83%+2715Detail
12/03/20233-7-030.00%-2175Detail
12/02/202315-10-060.00%+2100Detail
12/01/20232-2-050.00%+1120Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/20/2023..............................3 - 3..................................50.00%.....................+ 1.75
12/19/2023............................12 - 6.................................66.66%......................+ 40.80
12/18/2023.............................4 - 3...................................57.14%......................+ 9.35
12/17/2023.............................4 - 5...................................44,44%......................+ 5.05
12/16/2023............................10 - 11...............................47.61%.......................- 7.85
12/15/2023.............................6 - 6...................................50.00%.......................+ 0.55
12/14/2023...........................10 - 3...................................76.92%.......................+ 39.95
12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS...............................109 - 107 - 3............................50.46%.........................+ 43.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— 76ers 127, Minnesota 113- Joel Embiid had 51 points, 12 rebounds.
— Knicks 121, Nets 102- 16-11 Knicks are off to their best start since 2013.
— Nuggets 113, Raptors 104- Jokic had 31 points, 15 rebounds.
— Bulls 124, Lakers 108- Lakers are 1-4 since they won the IST.
— Cavaliers 124, Utah 116- Utah State alum Merrill scored 27 off bench.
— Heat 115, Orlando 106- Miami made 15 of 29 shots behind the arc.

Quote of the Day
“We feel a little disrespected by that. I feel like we are the best team in the league, and we have an opportunity in front of the country to show it.”
Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton, on the 49ers being favored over Baltimore this week

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Washington Redskins/Commanders?

Wednesday’s quiz
2006/2007 was last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles, when Billy Donovan’s Florida team won both tournaments.

Tuesday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl college football game is played in El Paso, TX every year.

*****************************************

Thursday’s Den: College basketball info……..

The way college basketball is now, with so many transfers happening, it is still kind of early, but here is some of what we’ve learned so far this season.

— Big X
6 of 14 teams are in kenpom.com Top 20
Houston/BYU, newcomers to the Big X, are highest-rated teams right now.
Houston has the best eFG% defense in the country.
Oklahoma State (6-5), West Virginia (4-6) have regressed.

— SEC
5 of 14 teams are in the top 25.
Tennessee is 8-3, but they’ve played the #12 schedule, a tough schedule.
Ole Miss is 11-0, but they’ve played schedule #262.
Vanderbilt is 4-7; they’re 65-76 in 4+ years under Jerry Stackhouse, 24-46 in SEC games. Five years ago, Vandy was off to a 4-0 start under Bryce Drew, but their best player (Darius Garland) got hurt, missed the rest of the season, and the Commodores went in the ashcan, going 9-23- they fired Drew.
Garland is now a productive player in the NBA, while Drew has moved on to Grand Canyon in the WAC, where he has a 73-28 record coaching the Antelopes. I’m thinking the administration at Vanderbilt screwed up- they should’ve kept Drew as coach.

— Big 14
Only have three teams rated in top 20.
Michigan State is struggling at 6-5.
Zach Edey must have a great NIL deal for him to return to Purdue this season. Boilers have five top 20 wins, but lost conference opener at Northwestern. Purdue is shooting 40.3% on the arc; what will they shoot in March, when the heat is on?

— Pac-12
In its last season, Pac-12 is 0-5 SU against the Mountain West; no bueno.
Arizona/Colorado are only Pac-12 teams rated in top 30.
UCLA is 5-5, losing five of last six D-I games; there are rumors about Mick Cronin’s interest in the Louisville job, when that opens up.
Arizona has eight foreign players on its roster, UCLA has seven.
Meanwhile, Oregon State/Washington State are joining the WCC in basketball for the next two seasons.

— ACC
Duke, Clemson, North Carolina are only teams rated in top 25.
Duke had a quality neutral court win over Baylor Wednesday.
Syracuse is 8-3 with a 20-point win over Oregon, but all three Orange losses were by 17+ points; they’re forcing turnovers 21.7% of time, a marked improvement over recent years.

— Teams in country with best continuity:
Columbia- Ivy League
Drexel- CAA
Florida Atlantic- AAC
Marquette- Big East
Cal-Davis- Big West

— Teams in country with most experience:
St Bonaventure- A-15
Washington- Pac-12
TCU- Big X
North Carolina- ACC
St John’s- Big East

— OVC
Morehead State is 8-4, the only OVC team in the top 200; Tuesday night at Indiana, they led the Hoosiers by 15 with 8:58 left, but lost 69-68. Morehead looks like one of those dangerous 14-seeds we’ll be talking about in March.

— Word of the Day- Grinch- a person who is unfriendly, a killjoy.

— Big East
Seton Hall upset UConn Wednesday, Providence upset Marquette Tuesday.
Villanova just beat Creighton in overtime, another upset.
Rick Pitino is going to make waves with St John’s, just not sure it’ll be this year.
Jay Wright retired in the spring of 2022, after a 30-8 season. In his last nine years at Villanova, Wildcats went 265-53, 130-31 in Big East games.
Since Wright left, Villanova is 25-21, 11-10 in Big East games.

— Mountain West
Three best teams appear to be Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State.
Rams/Lobos both have one loss; both losses were against Saint Mary’s.
Like we said before, Mountain West is 5-0 SU against the Pac-12 this season.
Right now, MW is ranked as the #7 league; this would be the third year in a row Mountain West is in the top 7- 2013 was the last time before that.

— Atlantic 15
9-2 Dayton is the only team rated in the top 70.
Duquesne is 9-2; their coach is Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.
St Joe’s is 9-2, but against schedule #325; they lost to Texas A&M-Commerce.
A-15 got only one team in NCAA’s LY (VCU), could be headed that way again.

— AAC
14 teams in this league now; they’ve reshuffled more than any league this year.
FAU is legit good; they were in Final Four last year, have whole team back, are 9-2 now.
Memphis is 9-2, with seven top 100 wins (schedule #10)
Other than FAU/Memphis, SMU, North Texas, Tulane appear to be AAC contenders.

— Missouri Valley
Indiana State/Drake are both 11-1, the Valley’s only top 100 teams.
Drake has played schedule #301, Indiana State #264. Sycamores are shooting 61.2% inside the arc, 41.4% on the arc- they have the best eFG% in the whole country.
Evansville is 10-2 against schedule #318; the last five years, Evanaville was 40-111, so a great rebuilding job being done by David Ragland. They did lose their only top 100 game by 41 at BYU, but 10-2 is 10-2.
Murray State is 3-8; they’ve had only one losing season since 1997.

— WCC
Right now, WCC is 5-14 against the Mountain West
7-6 against the Pac-12
0-5 against the WAC
3-4 against the Big Sky,
In other words, the WCC is down; losing BYU hurt, especially this year, because BYU is really good. Saint Mary’s is a disappointing 7-5, but they’ve played better recently. Gonzaga is 8-3, 3-3 against top 100 teams.
It’ll be interesting next year, when Oregon State/Washington State join the WCC.
— Ivy League
Princeton is 10-1, with three top 100 wins; KenPom has them at #44.
Yale, Cornell appear to be the teams best poised to upset Princeton in the Ivy tournament.

— Conference USA
League looks like a 3-way battle between Liberty, Louisiana Tech, Western Kentucky.
This league has teams in Virginia, Florida, Louisiana, New Mexico; lot of travel.

— Other mid-majors we’ve got our eye on:

Grand Canyon, WAC- Antelopes are 9-1, with wins over San Diego State, Liberty

James Madison, Sun Belt- 11-0 Dukes opened season with OT wins at Michigan State/Kent State and they still haven’t lost. JMU has #27 eFG% in country; they’re forcing turnovers 21.8% of the time (#29).

Western Carolina, SoCon- Catamounts have Power 5 wins at Notre Dame, Vandy; WCU has been in the NCAA’s one time- they were a 16-seed in 1996, lost 73-71 to #1-seed Purdue.
Western Carolina also made the first 3-point shot in NCAA history, on November 29, 1980. Ronnie Carr made the shot.

Cal-Irvine, Big West- Anteaters haven’t been in NCAAs since 2019, when they upset Kansas State in a 4-13 game. Irvine always defends well; their subs are playing 8th most minutes in country, so they’ve got good depth.

Vermont, America East- Catamounts have been in four of last six NCAA Tournaments; they have wins over Charleston, Yale this season.

McNeese State, Southland- Will Wade has never had a losing season as a coach, whether at VCU, LSU or Chattanooga; his first team at McNeese is 10-2, shooting 41% on the arc, while playing a slow (#348) pace.
Joe Dumars’ alma mater hasn’t been to the NCAA’s since 2002; could this be their year?
 

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VEGAS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 30-36 ATS (-9.6 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 28-23 ATS (2.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 36-32 ATS (0.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

MONTREAL is 37-34 ATS (-0.4 Units) in road games revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more since 1996.

OTTAWA is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

ARIZONA is 26-31 ATS (-8.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Thursday, December 21


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Buffalo
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Washington @ Columbus
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington

St. Louis @ Florida
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Nashville @ Philadelphia
Nashville
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games

Vegas @ Tampa Bay
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

Edmonton @ New Jersey
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Vancouver @ Dallas
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games

Montreal @ Minnesota
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

Ottawa @ Colorado
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Ottawa's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Ottawa's last 11 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Calgary @ Anaheim
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home
Anaheim is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Calgary

Arizona @ San Jose
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
105,007
Tokens

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
STL at FLA07:00 PMSTL +189
O 6.5
+500 +500
WAS at CLB07:00 PMCLB -103
O 6.0
+500 +500
NAS at PHI07:00 PMPHI -109
O 5.5
+500 +500
CAR at PIT07:00 PMCAR -136
U 6.5
+500 +500
TOR at BUF07:00 PMBUF +127
O 7.0
+500 +500
VEG at TB07:00 PMTB -112
U 6.5
+500 +500
EDM at NJ07:30 PMNJ -104
U 7.0
+500 +500
MON at MIN08:00 PMMON +155
U 6.0
+500 +500
VAN at DAL08:00 PMVAN +124
O 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at COL09:00 PMCOL -163
O 7.0
+500 +500
CAL at ANA10:00 PMANA +178
O 6.5
+500 +500
ARI at SJ10:30 PMSJ +132
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/21/20239-15-037.50%-3030Detail
12/20/20233-3-050.00%+125Detail
12/19/202314-8-063.64%+3515Detail
12/18/20235-5-050.00%-365Detail
12/17/20235-5-050.00%+1005Detail
12/16/202311-14-044.00%-1925Detail
12/15/20235-6-145.83%+55Detail
12/14/202312-4-075.00%+4170Detail
12/13/20233-7-030.00%-2435Detail
12/12/20239-10-147.50%-335Detail
12/11/20234-4-050.00%-55Detail
12/10/20237-7-250.00%-155Detail
12/09/202315-9-062.50%+3435Detail
12/08/20235-1-083.33%+2170Detail
12/07/202310-14-242.31%-2685Detail
12/06/20233-4-143.75%-550Detail
12/05/20234-10-028.57%-2595Detail
12/04/20238-3-170.83%+2715Detail
12/03/20233-7-030.00%-2175Detail
12/02/202315-10-060.00%+2100Detail
12/01/20232-2-050.00%+1120Detail
 

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Messages
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DECEMBER'S NHL BEST BETS !

12/21/2023.............................9 - 15................................37.50%.....................- 30.30
12/20/2023..............................3 - 3..................................50.00%.....................+ 1.75
12/19/2023............................12 - 6.................................66.66%......................+ 40.80
12/18/2023.............................4 - 3...................................57.14%......................+ 9.35
12/17/2023.............................4 - 5...................................44,44%......................+ 5.05
12/16/2023............................10 - 11...............................47.61%.......................- 7.85
12/15/2023.............................6 - 6...................................50.00%.......................+ 0.55
12/14/2023...........................10 - 3...................................76.92%.......................+ 39.95
12/13/2023............................1 - 8.....................................11.11%.......................- 37.00
12/12/2023............................6 - 8.....................................42.85%........................- 6.45
12/11/2023............................3 - 4.....................................42.85%.........................- 6.05
12/10/2023............................4 - 7......................................36.36%.........................- 16.55
12/09/2023..........................10 - 6......................................62.50%.........................+ 8.30
12/08/2023............................5 - 1......................................80.00%.........................+ 16.70
12/07/2023.........................8 - 12 - 1................................40.00%.........................- 21.05
12/06/2023............................2 - 4 - 1...............................33.33%.........................- 10.50
12/05/2023............................3 - 8 - 0...............................27.27%.........................- 19.15
12/04/2023............................7 - 1 - 1...............................87.50%........................+ 34.90
12/03/2023............................2 - 5 - 0...............................28.57%........................- 20.50
12/02/2023............................7 - 4 - 0...............................63.63%.........................+ 20.05
12/01/2023............................2 - 2 - 0...............................50.00%.........................+ 11.20

TOTALS...............................118 - 122 - 3............................49.16%.........................+ 13.20
 

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