CNOTES 2023 2024 NHL NEWS BEST BETS AND OPINONS !

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NHL NOVEMBERS BEST BETS !

11/11/2023...............................7 - 10 - 0............................41.17%............................- 16.95
11/10/2023................................3 - 7 - 0..............................30.00%............................- 17.65
11/09/2023...............................6 - 10 - 2.............................37.50%...........................- 24.90
11/08/2023...............................3 - 2.....0..............................60.00%............................+ 5.45
11.07/2023...............................3 - 13 - 1..............................18.75%............................- 57.70
11/06/2023................................5 - 1 - 0...............................83.33%...........................+ 21.40
11/05/2023........................... ....3 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%...........................+ 17.65
11/04/2023...............................9 - 12 - 0..............................42.85%.............................- 19.15
11/03/2023.................................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%............................- 12.10
11/02/2023............................10 - 14 - 0..............................41.66%............................- 34.80
11/01/2023.................................5 - 1 - 0..............................83.33%...........................+ 20.50

TOTALS....................................55 - 73 - 4..............................42.96%............................- 118.05
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six most valuable NHL franchises:
$2.65B— Toronto Maple Leafs
$2.45B— New York Rangers
$2.27B— Montreal Canadiens
$1.64B— Chicago Blackhawks
$1.78B— Boston Bruins
$1.72B— Los Angeles Kings

Quote of the Day
“I love playing this game, I love competing. I love being in the locker room with the guys. I’ll never get that again, so I want to make sure I get as many opportunities to do that as I can. I love this team, I love the city, it’s been a blast. Obviously, had a bunch of success in our first year and trying to duplicate that either this year, next year, whenever it is. But, I enjoy playing too much to hang it up.”
Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford

Saturday’s quiz
Which current NBA franchise used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals?

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is a graduate of the Air Force Academy.

***********************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Michigan football coach Jim Harbaugh has been suspended for three games, as a result of the sign-stealing shenanigans involving the Wolverines. Michigan responded with a temporary restraining order request against the Big 14; by the time you read this, the lawyers will have billed a few more hours and the judge will have made a decision.
Michigan’s next three games are Penn State, Maryland, Ohio State, big games.

— Arizona 78, Duke 73
All five Arizona starters scored scored between 11-14 points.
Wildcats out-rebounded Duke, 45-33.
High-level game; these teams play in Tucson next year.

— Memphis 70, Missouri 55
Mizzou led this game 33-26 at half, got outscored 44-22 in second half.
Mizzou shot 32.1% from floor, 6-28 on arc.
Memphis out-rebounded Mizzou, 47-33.

— Missouri has a guard named Caleb Grill, who has had an interesting career:
2020— Iowa State- Cyclones were 12-20 that year.
2021— UNLV— Rebels went 12-15, the coach quit and bolted to Iowa State, where he used to be an assistant.
2022— Iowa State— back to the Cyclones with the coach- they went 22-13, made Sweet 16.
2023— Iowa State— Cyclones went 19-14, after a 13-2 start.
2024— Missouri— he’s scored 21 points in the Tigers’ first two games.

— Texas A&M 73, Ohio State 66
SEC is supposed to be loaded this year; this game is a good example of this.

— Tennessee 80, Wisconsin 70
Another good game for the SEC, a solid road win.

— Uh-oh scores— games that could signal a long year for the losers:
Chattanooga 81, Louisville 71
Nicholls State 68, LSU 66
Monmouth 73, West Virginia 65


— Word of the Day: Litigation— the process of taking legal action.

— SMU 45, North Texas 21
Mustangs led 17-14 at halftime.
8-0 Mustangs ran ball 58 times for 318 yards, threw for 234 more.

— Princeton 74, Hofstra 67— Good start for Tigers, beating Rutgers/Hofstra this week, as they look to build on their Sweet 16 appearance last year.

— Oregon State 81, Troy 80, 2OT
Trojans had 23 turnovers, OSU had 21.
Beavers were 26-39 on foul line, Troy was 22-29.

— Surprising Item of the Day: Baseball announcer Jason Benetti, who grew up in Chicago as a big White Sox fan, is jumping from the White Sox to the Detroit Tigers. Very surprising, and disappointing for White Sox fans, because Benetti/Steve Stone were a great team.
There are rumors that White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf isn’t a fan of Benetti’s, which fueled his departure, but Benetti is an awesome announcer. Born with cerebral palsy, he graduated from Syracuse, then he got a law degree from Wake Forest while broadcasting minor-league ball.
He also works on a national stage for football/basketball, hard to believe someone wouldn’t want him to be their announcer. Friday was a good day for Detroit Tiger fans.

— QB Kyler Murray is starting for the Cardinals, his first action since tearing up his knee last year. Arizona went 1-13 in the fourteen games since Murray got hurt.

— Oakland A’s claimed 3B/OF Miguel Andujar off waivers from Pittsburgh, a good move. Andujar had a .776 OPS in 30 games with the Pirates last year.

— If you like to bet NBA first half props, the Lakers are now 0-9 ATS in the first half of their games this season.

— 76era G Tyrese Maxey is the only NBA player this season who has two games with 10+ assists and no turnovers.

— Random trivia; on the great old TV show M*A*S*H, the actors wore dog tags, because their characters were in the Army. Some of the characters wore their own dog tags, from when they were in the service, but the star of the show, Alan Alda, wore two dog tags from real soldiers who served in wars.
Years later, those dog tags and the boots Alda wore on the show sold at an auction for $125,000, with the proceeds going to charity.
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Long Beach State 77, DePaul 73- DePaul called four timeouts in first 15:00.
— Toledo 87, Louisiana 78- Rockets trailed by 16 with 12:41 left to play.
— Holy Cross 68, Georgetown 67- Hoyas led by 11 with 8:07 left.
— Wofford 99, High Point 98- Panthers were 39-48 on foul line, but still lost.
— Bradley 72, Utah State 66 OT- Teams combined to shoot 13-55 on the arc.
— Western Carolina 71, Notre Dame 61- Could be a long winter in South Bend.

Quote of the Day
“”One of the most poorly officiated games I’ve ever seen. Record it. I’m fine with it. F—ing atrocious………Our team is competing their asses off — competing their asses off. And this is what happens? The interactions right now with the officials? Complete disrespect. I know what’s coming. It’s unbelievable…….”
Memphis Grizzlies coach Taylor Jenkins, after Friday’s loss

Sunday’s quiz
Where did the Memphis Grizzlies call home, before they moved to Tennessee?

Saturday’s quiz
Sacramento Kings used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals, then the Kansas City Kings, then the Kansas City-Omaha Kings, before they moved to Sacramento. They were also known as the Rochester Royals, before they moved to Cincinnati.

Friday’s quiz
Since 1985, Mitch Trubisky (2018) is the only Chicago Bears’ QB to play in a Pro Bowl.

*******************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— LSU 52, Florida 35
LSU QB Daniels had a pretty good day:
17-26/372 passing, with three TD passes
12 rushes, 234 yards, two more TD’s
Total: 606 yards, five TD’s. Not bad.

— Central Florida 45, Oklahoma State 3
Iowa State 45, BYU 13
This year, UCF, BYU, Houston, Cincinnati joined the Big X. Here is how they’re doing in Big X teams against the pre-existing members of the league:
BYU: 1-5 SU/ATS, outscored by combined 168-78
UCF: 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS, outscored by combined 206-190
Cincinnati: 0-4 SU/ATS, outscored by combined 127-58
Houston: 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS, outscored by combined 220-129.
Total: 4-18 SU/6-16 ATS, outscored by combined 721-455 (average score 40-25)

— Michigan 24, Penn State 15
Wolverines ran ball 46 times for 227 yards.
Michigan threw one pass in 2nd half; that play was nullified by a penalty.
Penn State lost its last six games vs Ohio State/Michigan; during that same time, they’re 21-3 against everyone else.

— Oregon 36, USC 27
Ducks led 22-14 at halftime.
USC lost four of its last five games, after a 6-0 start.
Trojans allowed 301 points in their last seven games (43.0 ppg).

— Missouri 36, Tennessee 7
Tigers are a very quiet 8-2 team.
Mizzou ran ball 51 times for 255 yards.
Tigers converted 11-17 third down plays.

— Washington 35, Utah 28
Utes led 28-24 at the half, didn’t score in second half.
Huskies’ QB Penix was 24-42/332 passing, with two TD’s.
Washington is 10-0, 7-0 in the last season for the Pac-12.
Genius alert— Washington was a 9.5-point favorite; they were leading 33-28 late in the third quarter when they appeared to score on a pick-6, but the DB who picked off the pass had to celebrate early- he dropped the ball on the 2-yard line, and a Utah player fell on the ball.
Oy.
Washington scored on a safety on the next play; there was no scoring in the 4th quarter.

— Florida State 27, Miami 20
Florida State improves to 10-0, 8-0 in the ACC.
Game was 10-10 at halftime.
Seminoles get their third straight win in this rivalry.
Miami completed only 10-30 passes; they did have an 85-yard TD pass.

— North Carolina 47, Duke 45 OT
Tar Heels led 26-14 with 10:00 left in regulation.
UNC needed a 43-yard FG at the gun to force overtime.
Carolina was 11-19 on third down, Duke 5-15.

Upsets of the Week:
Arizona State (+17) 17, UCLA 7
Northwestern (+11) 24, Wisconsin 10
Arizona (+10.5) 34, Colorado 31
Southern Miss (+10) 34, Louisiana 31, OT
Ball State (+9.5) 20, Northern Illinois 17
East Carolina (+7.5) 22, Florida Atlantic 7
Sam Houston State (+7.5) 42, Louisiana Tech 27

Word of the Day: Chicanery— use of trickery to achieve a financial, political, or legal purpose.

— Illinois 48, Indiana 45 OT
Backup QB Paddock was 24-36/507 passing, with 4 TD’s.
Chances are he isn’t the backup anymore.
Indiana tied game on a 26-yard TD pass with 0:28 left.
Illini overcame 14 penalties for 139 yards.
Total yardage: 662-451, Illinois

— Arizona 34, Colorado 31
Wildcats outscored Colorado 10-0 in 4th quarter.
Arizona ran ball 27 times for 207 yards.
Colorado has lost six of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.

— Iowa 22, Rutgers 0
Yet another Iowa game stays under the total.
Hawkeyes are 8-2, lead Big 14 West by two games.
Total yardage was 223-93, Iowa.
Hawkeyes didn’t have a penalty the whole game.

— Texas Tech 16, Kansas 13
Tech led 13-0 after three quarters.
Kansas tied game 13-13 with 0:25 left.
Red Raiders drove 63 yards in four plays, kicked 30-yard FG at the gun.
Kansas QB Bean got hurt; 3rd-string QB Ballard played most of game.

— New Mexico State 38, Western Kentucky 29
From 2018-21, Aggies were 8-30.
In 1.5 years under coach Jerry Kill, Aggies are 15-9; they’ve won six in a row.
Hilltoppers led this game 21-17 at halftime.
Aggies ran ball for 220 yards, 6.1 yards/carry.

— James Madison 44, UConn 6— JMU is 10-0 this season, but they can’t play in a bowl, which is too bad- they’re 18-3 the last two years.
NCAA has a rule that says any school reclassifying to the I-A level cannot play in a bowl for two years; this is JMU’s second year in I-A, so unless someone in charge comes to their senses and let the Dukes go bowling, they’ll be home for the holidays.

— Memphis 44, Charlotte 38, OT
Charlotte led 38-28 with 6:00 left in the game.
Memphis forced OT on a 41-yard FG with 0:35 left in regulation.
Tigers were 7-13 on third down, Charlotte was 4-12.
Both teams turned ball over four times.

— Former Georgia QB Stetson Bennett was a 4th round pick of the LA Rams this year; he is on the non-football injury list, has been among the missing since the summer, but he showed up in Athens Saturday night for the Ole Miss-Georgia game.

— Speaking of Stetson, UNLV’s basketball team beat the Stetson Hatters 71-55; Rebels retired the #12 of Anderson Hunt, a really good guard on their 1990 national championship team.
 

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CHICAGO is 98-89 ATS (0.1 Units) in road games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 142-165 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

SAN JOSE is 12-40 ATS (-32 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Sunday, November 12


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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Florida
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Vancouver @ Montreal
Vancouver
Vancouver is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home

Columbus @ NY Rangers
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games on the road
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

San Jose @ Anaheim
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing San Jose
Anaheim is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Jose


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NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, November 12


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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CHI at FLA01:00 PMCHI +236
O 6.5
+500 +500
DAL at MIN06:00 PMDAL -110
U 6.0
+500 +500
CLB at NYR07:00 PMCLB +199
O 6.5
+500 +500
VAN at MON07:00 PMVAN -160
O 6.5
+500 +500
SJ at ANA08:00 PMANA -193
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL NOVEMBERS BEST BETS !

11/12/2023...............................6 - 3 - 0.............................66.66%............................+ 14.50
11/11/2023...............................7 - 10 - 0............................41.17%............................- 16.95
11/10/2023................................3 - 7 - 0..............................30.00%............................- 17.65
11/09/2023...............................6 - 10 - 2.............................37.50%...........................- 24.90
11/08/2023...............................3 - 2.....0..............................60.00%............................+ 5.45
11.07/2023...............................3 - 13 - 1..............................18.75%............................- 57.70
11/06/2023................................5 - 1 - 0...............................83.33%...........................+ 21.40
11/05/2023........................... ....3 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%...........................+ 17.65
11/04/2023...............................9 - 12 - 0..............................42.85%.............................- 19.15
11/03/2023.................................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%............................- 12.10
11/02/2023............................10 - 14 - 0..............................41.66%............................- 34.80
11/01/2023.................................5 - 1 - 0..............................83.33%...........................+ 20.50

TOTALS....................................61 - 76 - 4..............................44.52%............................- 103.55
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Clemson 68, Davidson 65- Tigers trailed 23-5 early, rally to win Asheville tourney.
— UAB 66, Maryland 63- Disappointing weekend for Terps; 0-2 in Asheville.
— Weber State 61, Saint Mary’s 57- Favored Gaels led by 16 with 13:48 left.
— Boise State 63, San Francisco 58- Boise survived going 12-23 on foul line.
— Yale 83, LMU 80- Visiting Bulldogs outscored LMU 24-13 on foul line.
— Nevada 83, Washington 76- Steve Alford’s Wolf Pack never trailed.

Quote of the Day
“I’m sure in his head he (Dan Campbell) didn’t want to give Justin (Herbert) the ball back with a minute and a half (left). It’s a lot of fun when he puts the ball in our hands to make a play.”
Lions’ QB Jared Goff

Monday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick?

Sunday’s quiz
Memphis Grizzlies called Vancouver home, before they moved to Tennessee.

Saturday’s quiz
Sacramento Kings used to be known as the Cincinnati Royals, then the Kansas City Kings, then the Kansas City-Omaha Kings, before they moved to Sacramento. They were also known as the Rochester Royals, before they moved to Cincinnati.

***************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..Happy Felix Unger Day!!!!

“On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence; that request came from his wife……..”
So began one of the funniest TV shows ever, The Odd Couple, which ran on TV from 1970-75, then for many, many years on re-runs.
Spent many an hour watching re-runs of Felix and Oscar when I was a teenager; my dad would come home from work and would roll his eyes at how much I enjoyed The Odd Couple and M*A*S*H re-runs, but he would laugh at those shows, too.
So happy Felix Unger Day and remember, there’s no such thing as a sure thing, that’s why they call it gambling.

Lions 41, Chargers 38
— Lions drove 53 yards, kicked 41-yard FG to win game with 0:02 left.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 30-12-1 ATS overall.
— Lions won/covered six of its last seven games.
— Goff is 63-50-1 as an NFL starter, 19-19-1 with the Lions.
— Chargers’ first four drives: 16 plays, 60 yards, 3 points.
— Chargers’ last five drives: 53 plays, 385 yards, 35 points.
— Detroit outgained the Chargers, 533-445.
— This year, Bolts are 0-4 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Cardinals 25, Falcons 23
— Falcons lost four of their last five games (underdogs 5-0 ATS)
— Falcons were 7-14 on third down, Arizona 3-12.
— since 2017, Atlanta is 5-10 ATS as a road favorite
— Last two games, Atlanta was 17-32 on third down.
— Cardinals drove 70 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:02 left.
— QB Murray was 19-32/249 passing in his first start in 11 months.
— Arizona is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Murray is now 26-32-1 as an NFL starter; Arizona was 1-13 in his absence.

Seahawks 29, Commanders 26 OT
— Washington tied game on 35-yard TD pass with 0:52 left.
— Seattle drove 50 yards, kicked GW 43-yard FG with 0:03 left.
— Commanders are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Washington team total: 7-3 over; opponents’ team total: over 7-3
— Seattle is 6-0 if it scores 20+ points, 0-3 if it doesn’t.
— Seahawks’ first seven drives: 46 plays, 216 yards, 9 points.
— Seahawks’ last five drives: 33 plays, 258 yards, 20 points.
— Seattle is 17-23-3 ATS in last 43 games as a home favorite (2-2-1 TY)

Browns 33, Ravens 31
— Ravens led 31-17 with 10:00 left in game.
— Browns’ last three drives: 35 plays, 199 yards, 16 points.
— Browns’ team total: over 7-1-1.
— Browns are 4-1 SU since their bye week.
— Cleveland was 8-16 on third down, Ravens 2-8.
— Both QB’s threw a pick-6; Watson’s was on 3rd play of game.
— Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in last seven AFC North home games.
— Last seven games, Ravens outscored foes 125-28 in first half.

Texans 30, Bengals 27
— Texans kicked 38-yard FG with 0:05 left for the win.
— Rookie QB Stroud threw for 356 yards (8.9 yards/attempt)
— Houston won five of its last seven games (5-2 ATS)
— Texans are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Houston outgained the Bengals, 544-380.
— Cincy trailed 27-17, tied game 27-27 on FG with 1:37 left.
— Loss snaps Cincinnati’s 4-game winning streak.
— Last five games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)

Colts 10, Patriots 6
— Colts drove 75 yards for TD on their opening drive, game’s only TD.
— Indy is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as an underdog away from home.
— Colts won/covered four of their five road games TY.
— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— 3rd game this year New England didn’t score a TD on offense.
— Patriots lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— NE is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-98 without Brady.

49ers 34, Jaguars 3
— 49ers scored 30+ points in all six of their wins.
— 49ers outgained Jacksonville, 437-221.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 13-4 as NFL starter.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Jaguars’ first four drives: 16 plays, 33 yards, 3 punts, one fumble
— San Francisco led 13-3 at halftime.
— Jags’ first 3 drives in 2nd half: 19 plays, 101 yards, 3 turnovers.
— Jaguars are 0-3 when they score less than 20 points.

Vikings 27, Saints 19
— Minnesota outgained the Saints, 388-280.
— New Orleans averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last six weeks, Saints outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Vikings led 24-3 at halftime.
— Vikings’ first six drives: 45 plays, 331 yards, 27 points.
— Minnesota has 11 takeaways in last five games (+6)
— Minnesota won/covered last five games, scoring 19-22-24-31-27 points.

Steelers 23, Packers 19
— Green Bay’s first three drives: 20 plays, 151 yards, 13 points.
— Last six games, Packers were outscored 93-29 in first half.
— Green Bay is 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Green Bay has 12 giveaways in last six games (minus-7).
— Steelers have been outgained in every game, but they’re 6-3.
— Steelers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 6-0 when it scores 17+ points.
— Pitt is 31-16-1 ATS in last 48 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.

Buccaneers 20, Titans 6
— Titans lost four of their last five games.
— Tennessee is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in true road games.
— Titans are 0-6 scoring less than 27 points.
— Tampa Bay outgained the Titans, 340-209.
— Bucs’ first three drives: 12 plays, 39 yards, no points.
— Bucs’ next five drives: 44 plays, 304 yards, 20 points.
— Tampa’s two TD’s were on TD passes of 43-22 yards.
— Under is 7-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.

Cowboys 49, Giants 17
— Dallas beat the Giants twice this year, 40-0/49-17.
— Cowboys are 14-5 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite (4-0 TY)
— Prescott was 26-35/404 passing, with 4 TD passes.
— Six Dallas wins are by a combined score of 171-50 (37-11 average).
— Giants’ first seven drives: 24 plays, 20 yards, no points.
— Giants were 0-12 on third down, Dallas 6-12.
— Giants are averaging only 259.1 yards/game this season.
— Giants are 1-7 SU/2-5-1 ATS in last eight games, scoring 10.8 ppg.

Raiders 16, Jets 12
— Jets’ first three drives: 25 plays, 103 yards, three field goals.
— Jets rest of game: 38 plays, 262 yards, one field goal.
— Jets’ 6.1 yards/pass attempt was their best this season.
— Jets are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Las Vegas won last four home games, giving up 13-17-6-12 points.
— Raiders’ team total: under 9-1; opponents’ team total: under 7-3
— Last four games, Las Vegas is 14-47 on third down.
— Under is 8-2 in Raider games this season.
 

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NY ISLANDERS are 107-114 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games since 1996.

COLORADO is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 13


5kbeFt1.png





NHL

Monday, November 13


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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NY Islanders @ Edmonton
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 11 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders

Colorado @ Seattle
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Seattle's last 13 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado


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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 13

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NYI at EDM08:30 PMEDM -153
U 6.5
+500 +500
COL at SEA10:00 PMSEA +139
U 6.0
+500 +500
 

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NHL NOVEMBERS BEST BETS !

11/13/2023...............................2 - 1 - 1...............................66.66%...........................+ 5.00
11/12/2023...............................6 - 3 - 0..............................66.66%............................+ 14.50
11/11/2023...............................7 - 10 - 0............................41.17%............................- 16.95
11/10/2023................................3 - 7 - 0..............................30.00%............................- 17.65
11/09/2023...............................6 - 10 - 2.............................37.50%...........................- 24.90
11/08/2023...............................3 - 2.....0..............................60.00%............................+ 5.45
11.07/2023...............................3 - 13 - 1..............................18.75%............................- 57.70
11/06/2023................................5 - 1 - 0...............................83.33%...........................+ 21.40
11/05/2023........................... ....3 - 0 - 1.............................100.00%...........................+ 17.65
11/04/2023...............................9 - 12 - 0..............................42.85%.............................- 19.15
11/03/2023.................................1 - 3 - 0...............................25.00%............................- 12.10
11/02/2023............................10 - 14 - 0..............................41.66%............................- 34.80
11/01/2023.................................5 - 1 - 0..............................83.33%...........................+ 20.50

TOTALS....................................63 - 77 - 5..............................45.00%............................- 98.55
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— Kansas State (-7) @ Kansas
— Washington (-2) @ Oregon State
— UCLA @ USC (-6)
— SMU (-6) @ Memphis
— Texas (-7) @ Iowa State
— UNLV @ Air Force (-5)

Quote of the Day (from 2 years ago)
“Coach Fisher continues to demonstrate he is building our program for long-term success and he is a perfect fit for Texas A&M. There is momentum in all phases of our program and we are excited about what lies ahead for Aggie Football.”

Texas A&M athletic director Ross Bjork, in September 2021
Tuesday’s quiz

Who coached the Rams, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Monday’s quiz
Pete Carroll was coach of the Patriots before Bill Belichick.

Sunday’s quiz
Memphis Grizzlies called Vancouver home, before they moved to Tennessee.

************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Texas A&M’s football team is 6-4 this year, 4-3 in SEC; in 5+ years under Jimbo Fisher, they went 45-25, 27-21 in SEC games, winning their last game 51-10 over Mississippi State. That wasn’t good enough for whoever calls the shots in College Station- over the weekend, they told Fisher to take a hike, but Fisher has to be laughing all the way to the bank.
In the next 60 days, A&M has to pay Fisher $19.3M; in the 60 days after that, A&M owes Fisher another $7.2M. Thats million, with an M.
From 2025-31, Texas A&M will pay Fisher another $7.2M a year- from this point on, they have to pay him a total of $77M. Whoever is writing those checks must really hate being 6-4.

— By the way, Mississippi State also fired their coach Monday; Zach Arnett had a 4-6 record in his first full year as head coach, replacing the late Mike Leach, who died suddenly last year. Arnett’s buyout is around $4M; he figures to land somewhere as a defensive coordinator in ’24.

— San Diego State football coach Brady Hoke will retire at the end of the season; Aztecs are 3-7 this season, their first losing season since 2009. San Diego State is 26-19 since Hoke returned as head coach in 2020.
Overall, he is 104-90 as a head coach.

— Penn State lost 24-15 to Michigan Saturday; the next day, they fired offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich. In their losses to Ohio State/Michigan this year, Nittany Lions gained 240-238 total yards.

Broncos 24, Bills 22
Denver kicked a 36-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Denver missed a 41-yard FG on prior play; Bills had 12 guys on the field.
Broncos win despite missing two extra points.
Third straight win for the Broncos.
Bills ran ball 26 times for 192 yards (7.4 yards/carry).
Buffalo turned ball over four times, including their first two drives.
Bills are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
Buffalo lost four of its last six games (0-6 ATS) SU.

— College football conference trends:
Favorites are 31-16 ATS in SEC games.
Underdogs are 24-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-4 ATS
Mountain West home underdogs are 6-10 ATS
Favorites are 25-15 ATS in MAC games.
AAC home favorites are 7-16 ATS
ACC home underdogs are 13-6 ATS
Big X home underdogs are 13-5 ATS
Big 14 home underdogs are 6-15 ATS
Conference USA favorites are 18-11 ATS

— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division
NFC North home favorites are 10-2-1 ATS outside the division
NFC South home underdogs are 6-2 ATS outside the division
NFC West underdogs are 1-6 ATS outside the division
AFC East home favorites are 5-3-1 ATS
AFC North road underdogs are 3-8-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South home teams are 4-10-1 ATS outside the division
AFC West home teams are 7-4 ATS outside the division

— Word of the Day: assume- to take for granted that something is true, without proof.

— Arizona Wildcats alum, former big league manager Terry Francona was behind the Arizona bench when the Wildcats beat Duke in basketball the other day in Durham.

— Over the last four seasons, LA Chargers are 10-13 in games decided by 3 or less points, 0-4 this season.

— College football QB’s with most plays of 20+ yards this season:
76- Jayden Daniels, LSU
57- Michael Penix, Washington
55- Caleb Williams, USC

— Dallas Cowboys won/covered all four home games this year; they’ve won 12 home games in a row overall, the longest home winning streak in franchise history.

— This stat is from NFL Research:
Over the last 40 years, these teams spent the least time trailing in a game, over the first 10 games of their season:
14:46- 1984 Dolphins (started season 10-0, lost Super Bowl)
27:07- 1998 Broncos (started season 10-0, won Super Bowl)
28:46- 2023 Ravens (started season 7-3)
43:42- 1990 Giants (started season 10-0, won Super Bowl)
51:03- 2007 Patriots (started season 10-0, lost Super Bowl)

— Penn 76, Villanova 72
Quakers shot 56.7% inside arc, made only 21-34 on foul line.
Villanova was 9-33 on the arc.
Bad loss for Villanova team starting four seniors.

— Michigan 89, St John’s 73
Michigan led 48-38 at half, shot 58% inside arc, scored 1.24 ppp.
St John’s shot 37.5% inside the arc.

— Raptors 111, Wizards 107
Washington led 106-90 with 7:20 left in game.
Siakam scored 39 points; Raptors were +18 with him on court.
 

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COLUMBUS are 13-9 ATS (3.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

MONTREAL is 89-67 ATS (15.3 Units) off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 5-1 ATS (3.9 Units) in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 15-11 ATS (2.9 Units) after 3 straight games with 8+ less shots on goal than opponents in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 16-48 ATS (-36.8 Units) at home when the total is >=6 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, November 14


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Buffalo
Boston
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Boston is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Columbus
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Columbus
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Calgary @ Montreal
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

Vegas @ Washington
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Vegas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games

Arizona @ Dallas
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games
Dallas
Dallas is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Arizona
Dallas is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Arizona

Anaheim @ Nashville
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Tampa Bay @ St. Louis
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

New Jersey @ Winnipeg
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Jersey's last 18 games
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Florida @ San Jose
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NHL
Armadillo Sports

Tuesday, November 14



NHL trends (thru Monday, Nov 13)
I’ll try to post this once a week……..

Anaheim 8-6
— 7-2 in their last nine games.
— won last four road tilts.
— under 3-1 last four games

Arizona 7-6-1
— 1-4 after a win, 5-2 after a loss
— 4-2 at home, 3-4-1 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games

Boston 11-1-2
— 2-2 last four games, after a 9-1 start
— 6-0-1 at home, 5-1-1 on road.
— under 10-4

Buffalo 7-7-1
— 1-6 after a win, 6-1 after a loss
— 4-4 at home, 3-3-1 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games

Calgary 4-8-2
— lost eight of last ten games
— 2-3 at home, 2-5-2 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games

Carolina 9-6
— won six of last eight games
— 6-1 at home, 3-3-1 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games

Chicago 5-8
— split their last six games, after 2-5 start.
— 1-3 at home, 4-5 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games

Colorado 9-5
— 3-5 in last eight games, after a 6-0 start
— 4-2 at home, 5-3 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games

Columbus 4-7-4
— lost nine of their last ten games
— 3-4-1 at home, 1-3-3 on road.
— over 4-0 last four games

Dallas 10-3-1
— won six of last eight games
— 3-2 at home, 7-1-1 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— 9-0 if they score more than two goals

Detroit 8-5-2
— lost six of last nine games, after 5-1 start
— 5-2-2 at home, 3-3 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games

Edmonton 4-9-1
— won last two games, after a 2-10 start.
— 2-4-1 at home, 2-5 on road.
— under 3-0 last four games

Florida 9-4-1
— won last four games, scoring 18 goals.
— 6-1 at home, 3-3-1 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games

Los Angeles 8-3-3
— won six of last nine games.
— 1-3-3 at home, 7-0 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games

Minnesota 5-8-2
— lost nine of last 12 games
— 3-3-1 at home, 2-5-1 on road.
— over 6-0 last six home games; under 4-1 last five on road

Montreal 7-6-2
— lost five of last seven games
— 5-4 at home, 2-2-2 on road.
— over 5-1 last six home games; under 4-1 last five on road

Nashville 5-9
— 5-0 allow two or fewer goals, 0-9 allow 3+ goals
— 3-3 at home, 2-6 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games

New Jersey 7-5-1
— lost three of last four games
— 3-3-1 at home, 4-2 on road.
— over is 10-3 (1-3 last four)

NY Islanders 5-6-3
— lost six of last seven games.
— 3-3-3 at home, 2-3 on road.
— under 4-1 on road

NY Rangers 11-2-1
— won 3 in row, nine of last ten games
— 5-1 at home, 6-1-1 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games

Ottawa 6-7
— lost six of last nine games
— 4-5 at home, 2-2 on road.
— over 7-2 at home
— 6-2 scoring 4+ goals, 0-5 scoring less than 4.

Philadelphia 7-7-1
— lost five of last eight games.
— 3-4 at home, 4-3-1 on road.
— under 4-1 last five road games

Pittsburgh 7-6
— won last five games, outscoring foes 24-5.
— 3-4 at home, 4-2 on road.
— under 3-1-1 last five home games

St Louis 7-5-1
— won four of last five games
— 5-2 at home, 2-3-1 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games

San Jose 2-12-1
— split last four games, after an 0-11 start.
— 2-5-1 at home, 0-7 on road.
— under is 11-3-1
— outscored 67-18 in 15 games

Seattle 5-8-3
— lost four of last five games
— 2-5 at home, 3-3-3 on road.
— under is 5-2 at home

Tampa Bay 6-5-4
— lost five of last seven games
— 4-2-2 at home, 2-3-2 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— 0-4 in OT/SO

Toronto 8-5-2
— won three of last four games.
— 5-4 at home, 3-1-2 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— 8-1 scoring 4+ goals, 0-6 scoring 3 or less.

Vancouver 11-3-1
— won nine of last eleven games
— 5-0-1 at home, 6-3 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games

Vegas 12-2-1
— lost 2 of last 3 games, after an 11-1 start.
— 8-1-1 at home, 4-1 on road.
— under 7-3 at home

Washington 7-4-2
— won six of last eight games
— 4-3-1 at home, 3-1-1 on road.
— under 10-3

Winnipeg 7-5-2
— won three of last four games
— 3-3-1 at home, 4-2-1 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 14

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PIT at CLB07:00 PMCLB +160
U 6.5
+500 +500
CAL at MON07:00 PMCAL -160
O 6.0
+500 +500
VEG at WAS07:00 PMVEG -157
U 6.0
+500 +500
BOS at BUF07:00 PMBOS -146
U 6.0
+500 +500
ANA at NAS08:00 PMANA +161
O 6.5
+500 +500
NJ at WIN08:00 PMWIN -138
O 6.5
+500 +500
ARI at DAL08:00 PMDAL -228
O 6.5
+500 +500
TB at STL08:00 PMTB -123
O 6.5
+500 +500
FLA at SJ10:30 PMSJ +244
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
11/14/20238-10-044.44%-1345Detail
11/13/20232-1-162.50%+500Detail
11/12/20237-3-070.00%+1950Detail
11/11/202310-13-143.75%-1690Detail
11/10/20235-7-041.67%-765Detail
11/09/20238-12-240.91%-2945Detail
11/08/20234-2-066.67%+1045Detail
11/07/20236-13-132.50%-4270Detail
11/06/20236-2-075.00%+2090Detail
11/05/20233-0-187.50%+1765Detail
11/04/202311-19-036.67%-6250Detail
11/03/20231-3-025.00%-1210Detail
11/02/202310-14-041.67%-2430Detail
11/01/20237-1-087.50%+3050Detail
 

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