CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[Udog]

NBA

Friday, February 2

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Trend Report
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Miami @ Washington
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Miami

LA Clippers @ Detroit
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Phoenix @ Atlanta
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Sacramento @ Indiana
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Golden State @ Memphis
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 9 games
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

New Orleans @ San Antonio
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home

Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Orlando @ Minnesota
Orlando
Orlando is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home

Toronto @ Houston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Toronto

Portland @ Denver
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Portland's last 15 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 2​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIA at WAS	07:00 PM	WAS +8.0 O 228.0	+500 +500
LAC at DET	07:00 PM	DET +12.0 U 239.0	+500 +500
PHO at ATL	07:30 PM	ATL +3.5 U 249.5	+500 +500
SAC at IND	07:30 PM	IND +3.5 U 248.0	+500 +500
NO at SA	08:00 PM	NO -8.0 U 233.5	+500 +500
ORL at MIN	08:00 PM	ORL +6.5 U 213.0	+500 +500
GS at MEM	08:00 PM	MEM +8.5 O 224.5	+500 +500
TOR at HOU	08:00 PM	HOU -4.5 U 232.5	+500 +500
CHA at OKC	08:00 PM	CHA +15.5 O 225.5	+500 +500
POR at DEN	09:00 PM	POR +12.5 O 219.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
NHL leaders in plus/minus:
+34— Quinn Hughes, Van
+33— Filip Hronek, Van
+31— Gustav Forsling, Fla
+28— Dylan DeMelo, Winn
+23— Brandon Carlo, Bos
+22— Blake Coleman, Cal

Quote of the Day
“The secret of success is sincerity. Once you can fake that, you’ve got it made.”
Jean Giraudoux

Saturday’s quiz
Bill Russell won two NBA titles as a player-coach with the Celtics; after he retired as a player, what other two NBA teams did Russell coach?

Friday’s quiz
Nuggets, Nets, Pacers, Spurs are the four NBA teams that used to play in the ABA.

Thursday’s quiz
Drew Bledsoe was New England’s quarterback before Tom Brady.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Notes on every major league team​

A note or two on every major league team:

National League

Diamondbacks
Arizona lost the World Series last year; in 2021-22, they finished a combined 92 games out of first place.
Adding lefty starter Eduardo Rodriguez is a good move.

Braves
Atlanta has made the playoffs six years in a row, going 24-21 in playoff games.
Braves drew 3,191,505 fans last year, 5th in major leagues.

Cubs
Cubs were 83-79 LY, 7th time in last nine years they finished over .500.
Craig Counsell is the new manager; he was 707-625 in Milwaukee, 7-12 in playoff games.

Reds
Cincinnati starting pitchers had a 5.43 ERA LY; they need to use their surplus of infielders to add a starter or two in a trade.
Reds were minus-38 in defensive runs saved LY, worst in the National League.

Rockies
Kris Bryant makes $27M a year; in his first two years with Colorado, he played in 122 of a possible 324 games. He’s expected to play 1B this year; Rockies need him to be productive.
Rockies have had five straight losing seasons, since losing 3-0 to Milwaukee in ’18 playoffs.

Dodgers
Added Ohtani, Yamanoto, Glasnow, are prohibitive favorites to win the NL West.
Last three years, Dodgers won 317 games, but went 7-12 in the playoffs. They’ve been in the postseason 11 years in a row.

Marlins
Marlins were 84-78 LY, their first winning year in a 162-game season since 2009 (they went 31-29 in the shortened 2020 season).
3B Jake Burger hit .303 with an .860 OPS after being acquired from the White Sox LY.

Brewers
Their GM and manager both bolted; they just traded their ace pitcher, Corbin Burnes.
Milwaukee has been in playoffs five of last six years, but regression is expected this year.

Mets
Last year’s $346M payroll netted a 75-87 record, so this year, the Mets have a new manager and a new general manager.
Last three years, Starling Marte played in 120-118-86 games; they need more out of him.

Phillies
Bryce Harper is going to play 1B, so Rhys Hoskins bolted to Milwaukee. Rob Thomson is 174-129 as Phillies’ manager, 19-11 in playoff games.
Last year, Bryson Stott hit .433 (52-120) when the put the 1st or 2nd pitch of an at-bat in play.

Pirates
Pittsburgh hasn’t been in playoffs since 2015; their last winning season was 2018 (82-79),, their attendance last year was 1,630,624 (25th in MLB), their payroll was $68,945,975 (#29).
Pirates drafted LSU pitcher Paul Skenes #1 in LY’s draft; how fast will be climb the ladder to the major leagues? Bucs added P’s Marco Gonzales/Martin Perez to fill out this year’s rotation.

Cardinals
Last year was Cardinals’ first losing season since 2007; they still drew 3,241,091 fans (#4 in MLB). They added three older starting pitchers this year: Kyle Gibson, Sonny Gray, Lance Lynn- will it be enough to make them a contender again?
C Willson Contreras had a .754 OPS in first half last year, then had a .959 in second half.

Padres
San Diego had a payroll of $256,045,688 last year (#3), they drew 3,271,554 fans at home (#2) but they needed a 20-7 finish to wind up with an 82-80 record. Padres were 9-23 in one-run games; no bueno.
Manager Bob Melvin is in San Francisco now, Juan Soto is in the Bronx, the team’s owner died in November. Expectations for this season are much lower.

Giants
Two years ago, the Giants went 107-55, 31-17 in one-run games. The last two years, Giants were 160-164, 47-46 in one-run games. Now, Bob Melvin replaces Gabe Kapler as manager, which figures to be an upgrade.
Giants signed Korean OF Jung Hoo Lee for six years, $113M; he is coming off a broken ankle.

Nationals
Washington won the World Series in 2019; since then, they’ve won 39.7% of their games, and dumped stars Bryce Harper/Juan Soto.
OF Lane Thomas hit 28 homers, stole 20 bases last year; hopefully they won’t trade him.

American League

Orioles
Orioles franchise was sold recently, then they traded for pitching ace Corbin Burnes; coming off a 101-61 season, things are looking up in Baltimore.
OF Cedric Mullins was a 30-30 guy two years in a row, but his OPS the last two years was .721/.721, not very good. He is a great centerfielder defensively, though.

Red Sox
Boston finished in last place three of last four years, despite spending $183M/season in payroll the last three years. Ownership told GM Chaim Bloom to take a hike.
Red Sox had MLB’s worst defense LY (minus-51 runs saved); they added P Lucas Giolito, who had a 6.96 ERA in 12 starts after the White Sox traded him last July. Giolito is thought to be much better than that; we’ll see.

White Sox
Chicago was 61-101 last year; they cleaned out the front office and half the coaching staff, but kept manager Pedro Grifol. If they trade P Dylan Cease, will they reap a haul of prospects?
White Sox brought in Brian Bannister to advise pitching coach Ethan Katz; they added C Martin Maldonado, who helped keep the Astros’ pitchers for years in Houston. White Sox will have their third hitting coach in three seasons.

Guardians
Terry Francona went 921-757 in 11 years managing Cleveland; he will be missed. Replacing him is Steven Vogt, who has never managed at any level- he was playing in the big leagues as recently as two years ago. Not an ideal situation.
3B Jose Ramirez is still productive, but his OPS has gone down three years in a row, and he’ll be 32 in September. Guardians had the #26 payroll last year, went 76-86. Not much optimism here.

Tigers
Detroit hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2014, their last winning season was 2016, but they ended last year on an 18-10 run; with Michigan winning the college football title and the Lions making the NFC Championship Game, there is positive energy in Detroit.
Tigers added Kenta Maeda/Jack Flaherty to bolster the rotation; Tarik Skubal had a 2.80 ERA in 15 starts LY, so Detroit’s starting pitching should be solid.

Astros
Houston has been in the playoffs seven years in a row,, winning two World Series; now they have a new manager (bench coach Joe Espada) but their roster is basically the same. Yainer Diaz is the new catcher, which helps the offense, hurts their defense.
Justin Verlander will be 41 soon, but his rebuilt right elbow is only 3 years old; Dusty Baker will be missed- he won consistently as a big league manager.

Royals
Kansas City won the 2015 World Series, haven’t had a winning season since; last two years, they went 121-203- their attendance last year was 1,307,052 (28th), their payroll $96,083,853 (#24), but the Royals have added some veteran free agents this winter, trying to improve.
Michael Wacha/Seth Lugo should improve their rotation, which got pounded last year. Brady Singer’s ERA went from 3.23 in 2022 to 5.52 last year. Royals used 13 outfielders last year, who combined for the 2nd-worst on-base %age of any outfield.

Angels
Ohtani moved 40 miles north, but the Angels never made the playoffs with him anyway; Halos haven’t made the playoffs since 2014- their payroll LY was $230,534,276 (#8). Anthony Rendon makes $38M a year for three more years; he’s played in 148 of the Angels’ last 486 games.
Ron Washington is the new manager; he’ll improve the infield defense. Chase Silseth was 3-0, 3.21 in seven second half starts LY. Angels’ rotation might still be pretty good.

Twins
Minnesota won AL Central with an 87-75 mark LY; they’ve made playoffs in four of last seven seasons, and won a playoff series LY for first time since 2002. Twins have cut their payroll due to their uncertain local TV situation, which could cost them a lot of $$$.
Twins traded 2B Polanco to Seattle for four prospects; Edouard Julien should replace him. Minnesota AL in both walks/strikeouts LY; they’re still the favorite in a weak division.

New York
Bronx Bombers have paid out over $3B in salary since their last World Series title in 2009; that’s billion, with a B. How does the general manager keep his job? New York went 82-80 LY, with a payroll of $278,651,150 (#2). How does the manager keep his job?
They added free agent-to-be Juan Soto this winter; will they pay to keep him long-term? Soto has a career on-base %age of .421. Can they fix Giancarlo Stanton? He hit .202 the last two years.

A’s
Just try to win, please? This is their last year in Oakland, then they’re going into exile for three years (Salt Lake City? Sacramento?) before the new stadium opens in Las Vegas in 2028.
Last two years, A’s went 110-214; they figure to be little better this year, adding Alex Wood and Ross Stripling to bolster the rotation. They’ve got a few decent younger position players, l but this figures to be the third dismal season in a row.

Mariners
Last three years, Seattle won 90-90-88 games, but missed playoffs LY, after ending a 21-year playoff drought in 2022. This winter, Mariners dumped 3B Suarez, RF Hernandez, LF Kelenic, trying to reduce strikeouts. Adding Jorge Polanco/Mitch Garver should fill those gaps.
Mariners’ attendance was 2,690,418 LY, but their payroll was only $134,466,903 (#18); with the Astros/Rangers dominating the division, going to be tough for Seattle to get back to the playoffs.

Rays
Tampa Bay has made the playoffs five years in a row, but they got swept in the Wild Card round the last two years. Their payroll last year was $78,354,272; by way of comparison, the Angels paid Trout/Ohtani/Rendon a combined $106M last year.
Over the last three years, Rays have the 4th-most wins in baseball; the players that win games in October are the players the Rays can’t afford to pay, but getting to the playoffs with the #27 payroll is still damn impressive.

Rangers
Texas won the World Series LY, in their first playoff appearance since 2016; Bruce Bochy is a great manager, a future Hall of Famer. Their 2B/SS make a combined $58M a year, but they earned that $$$ last year. Seager had a hernia surgery this week, is doubtful for Opening Day.
P’s Scherzer/deGrom earn a combined $83M a year; they’re both out until midseason. It is up to Eovaldi/Gray/Dunning to keep the rotation pasted together until the stars get back.

Blue Jays
Toronto made playoffs three of last four years, but went 0-6 in those playoff games; they’re still putting together their 2024 roster, but Justin Turner just signed, they added Yaniel Rodriguez before that, to help fortify their lineup.
Manager John Schneider may be running out of time; Toronto had the #9 payroll last year- you have the #9 payroll, you’re expected to win some playoff games.

 

[Udog]

BROOKLYN is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 35-18 Under (15.2 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 14-1 Over (12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 23-7 Under (15.3 Units) on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Saturday, February 3

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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Philadelphia
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Philadelphia is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn

Golden State @ Atlanta
Golden State
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Sacramento @ Chicago
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Cleveland @ San Antonio
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Cleveland is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Milwaukee @ Dallas
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

LA Lakers @ New York
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 3

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 3

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 3​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BK at PHI	06:00 PM	BK +3.5 U 233.0	+500 +500
GS at ATL	07:30 PM	GS +2.5 O 244.5	+500 +500
SAC at CHI	08:00 PM	CHI -2.0 U 229.5	+500 +500
MIL at DAL	08:30 PM	MIL -5.0 U 246.0	+500 +500
LAL at NY	08:30 PM	NY -4.5 O 226.5	+500 +500
CLE at SA	08:30 PM	SA +10.5 O 230.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
worst teams in country on the foul line
59.4%— Western Michigan
60.3%— Army
62.1%— Wofford, Houston Christian
62.6%— Rhode Island
62.7%— South Carolina-Upstate
62.9%— Western Illinois, Utah Tech

Quote of the Day
“He’s a great player, but I don’t think we can get him in academically.”
Jerry Tarkanian, in the movie Blue Chips

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Kansas basketball coach, before Bill Self?

Saturday’s quiz
Bill Russell won two NBA titles as a player-coach with the Celtics; after he retired as a player, he coached the Seattle SuperSonics and the Sacramento Kings.

Friday’s quiz
Nuggets, Nets, Pacers, Spurs are the four NBA teams that used to play in the ABA.

***************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college basketball Saturday​

There were 28 games Saturday, where the winning team trailed by 10+ points at one time in the game.

— SEC
Tennessee 103, Kentucky 92
Zeigler had 26 points, 13 assists for the Vols.
Kentucky scored 91-92 points in last two games, but lost both.
Kentucky PG Wagner is hurt, didn’t play.

Texas A&M 67, Florida 66
Aggies were 13-24 on foul line, Florida 6-11
Gators led by 13 late in first half.
Florida lost this game by 1; they won their previous two games, both in OT.

— Big X
Baylor 70, Iowa State 68
Kid on Iowa State hit a 35-footer at the buzzer, but it was just after the buzzer.
Baylor led 40-28 at halftime.
Bears made 12-23 on the arc, won by two points.

Texas 77, TCU 66
Horned Frogs led this game 16-6 early on.
Longhorns outrebounded TCU, 34-21.
Texas F Cunningham is 25 years old, older than NBA star Luka Doncic.

— Mountain West
San Diego State 81, Utah State 67
Aztecs are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS as a MW home favorite.
Utah State is 19-3, despite having a whole new team. None of their players this year scored a point for the Aggies last season- they’re one of 3 teams in country like that.

UNLV 62, Wyoming 48
Rebels won their last three games, giving up 61 ppg.

— ACC
North Carolina 93, Duke 84
In a 76-possession game, Tar Heels had only 5 turnovers.
Carolina was 9-24 on the arc, Duke 5-19.

Virginia 66, Clemson 65
Cavaliers have won six in a row, are 8-3 in ACC.
Clemson shot only 35.7% from the floor.

— WCC
Saint Mary’s 64, Gonzaga 62
Gaels are 15-1 in last 16 games, after a 3-5 start.
Three players in this game played all 40:00.
Three Gonzaga subs played total of only 16:00.

San Diego 70, Santa Clara 59
Good upset win for Steve Lavin’s team; Toreros won 3 of last 4 games.

— Big East
UConn 77, St John’s 64
UConn has won 10 in a row; they’re shooting 59% inside the arc (#5)
Johnnies have lost five of last six games.

— Upsets of the Day:
San Diego (+12.5) 70, Santa Clara 59
Penn State (+9.5) 85, Indiana 71
Idaho (+8.5) 81, Montana State 75
Central Michigan (+7.5) 77, Bowling Green 76 2OT
South Florida (+6.5) 60, North Texas 55
Murray State (+6.5) 71, Northern Iowa 43

— Word of the Day– Rivalry- When two people/teams often compete for the same thing.

— Pac-12
UCLA 71, Oregon 63
UCLA won five of its last six games, after a 6-10 start.
Bruins raced out to 23-5 lead, but trailed 34-33 at the half.
Oregon lost four of its last six games.

Washington State 90, Washington 87 OT
Coogs won six of their last seven games.
Washington led by 11 points in first half.

— Sun Belt
Appalachian State 85, Georgia Southern 84 OT
App State trailed by 9 with 10:47 left, by 3 with 0:59 left in OT
App State was 9-16 on foul line, Georgia Southern 2-6.
Georgia Southern is 5-6 in Sun Belt, after an 0-12 pre-conference mark.

— Mid-American
Central Michigan 77, Bowling Green 76 2OT
Falcons lost three of last four games, after a 14-4 start.
Bowling Green led by 4 with 0:52 left in first OT.
Chippewas out-rebounded Bowling Green, 52-37

— Missouri Valley
Indiana State 75, Drake 67
Drake trailed 24-7 early; they were only 12-23 on foul line.
Indiana State now has a 2-game lead in the conference race.
Jayson Kent had 20 rebounds, only 6 points for the Sycamores.

— Atlantic 15
UMass 66, George Mason 65
Mason tied game on a layup with less than 0:02 left, but they fouled a UMass guy on the inbounds pass, thinking they were still behind. UMass made a foul shot, won the game.
George Mason is 2-5 in its last seven games, after a 13-2 start.

— Southern
Wofford 88, Western Carolina 86 OT
Wofford shot 65.9% inside the arc.
Western Carolina lost 5 of last 6 games; all five losses were by 6 or fewer points.
Only five players on Western Carolina scored in this 45:00 game.

— NBA
Hawks 141, Warriors 134 OT
Steph Curry scored 60 points in a losing cause; he was 10-23 on the arc, 12-15 inside it. He will be 36 years old next month. The best shooter……..ever.

 

[Udog]

DETROIT is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after allowing 135 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 30-15 Over (13.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

INDIANA is 9-0 Over (9 Units) off a home loss in the current season.

HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last ...

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

DENVER is 29-10 ATS (18 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, February 4

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Trend Report
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Orlando @ Detroit
Orlando
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Detroit is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Orlando

Phoenix @ Washington
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 10 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home

Memphis @ Boston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

Indiana @ Charlotte
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

LA Clippers @ Miami
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games

Toronto @ Oklahoma City
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Houston @ Minnesota
Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

Milwaukee @ Utah
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Utah
Utah is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Portland @ Denver
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Portland's last 16 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 4

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 4

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 4​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ORL at DET	03:00 PM	DET +7.0 O 228.0	+500 +500
PHO at WAS	03:30 PM	PHO -11.5 U 238.5	+500 +500
LAC at MIA	06:00 PM	LAC -4.5 U 225.0	+500 +500
IND at CHA	06:00 PM	IND -10.5 O 236.5	+500 +500
MEM at BOS	06:00 PM	BOS -18.0 U 219.0	+500 +500
TOR at OKC	07:00 PM	OKC -8.5 O 238.5	+500 +500
HOU at MIN	07:00 PM	HOU +7.5 O 220.5	+500 +500
MIL at UTA	08:00 PM	UTA -2.5 U 246.5	+500 +500
POR at DEN	08:30 PM	POR +14.0 O 219.5	+500 +500

 

[indiana]

C. Notes....here's to a solid day of winner's buddy....
BOL with all your action.....indy

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Teams that get the highest %age of their points on 3’s:
45.8%— North Florida
43.1%— BYU
41.7%— Hofstra
40.8%— Georgia Southern
40.5%— Green Bay, LeMoyne
40.4%— Army

Quote of the Day
‘That’s what you learn as a kid — if you lose, you congratulate the winner, whether it’s politics, or basketball. You act out of honor, and not grievance.”
Former New York Knick/US Senator Bill Bradley

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Kansas City Chiefs’ QB in the first Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
Roy Williams was the Kansas basketball coach, before Bill Self.

Saturday’s quiz
Bill Russell won two NBA titles as a player-coach with the Celtics; after he retired as a player, he coached the Seattle SuperSonics and the Sacramento Kings.

**********************************************

Monday’s Den: NHL trends at the All-Star break​

NHL trends (thru All-Star break)
Anaheim 18-30-2
— won three of last four games overall.
— 8-17-1 at home, 10-13-1 on road.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— 6-2 in shootout/OT

Arizona 23-22-3
— lost their last five road games
— 15-9 at home, 8-13-3 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight home games.
— 5-3 in shootout/OT

Boston 31-9-9
— won six of last seven games.
— 16-4-3 at home, 15-5-6 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— 6-9 in shootout/OT

Buffalo 22-23-4
— 4-2 in their last six games.
— 11-12-1 at home, 11-11-3 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— 2-5 if they played the night before.
— 2-4 in shootout/OT

Calgary 22-22-5
— lost four of their last five games
— 12-11-1 at home, 10-11-4 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— 0-5 if they played the night before.
— 4-5 in shootout/OT

Carolina 28-15-5
— won 11 of their last 14 games.
— 15-5-4 at home, 13-10-1 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— 6-2 on first night of back/back.
— 5-5 in shootout/OT

Chicago 14-34-2
— lost 11 of their last 14 games
— 10-11-1 at home, 4-23-1 on road.
— under 11-3 last 14 games
— 1-6 if they played the night before.
— 5-2 in shootout/OT

Colorado 32-14-3
— won 10 of last 13 games
— 19-5 at home, 13-9-3 on road.
— over 9-2 last eleven games.
— 3-1 if they played the night before.
— 4-3 in shootout/OT

Columbus 16-24-10
— lost nine of their last 13 games
— 9-13-4 at home, 6-9-5 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight road games
— 5-10 in shootout/OT

Dallas 30-13-6
— won eight of their last eleven games
— 16-8-2 at home, 14-5-4 on road.
— over 19-2 last 21 home games
— 4-2 if they played the night before.
— 9-6 in shootout/OT

Detroit 26-18-6
— won six of their last nine games
— 14-8-5 at home, 12-10-1 on road.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— 4-1 if they played the night before.
— 6-6 in shootout/OT

Edmonton 29-15-1
— won their last 16 games.
— 16-6-1 at home, 13-9 on road.
— under 10-0 last ten games
— 5-1 in shootout/OT

Florida 31-14-4
— won their last four games.
— 14-7-2 at home, 17-7-2 on road.
— under 16-4 last 20 games
— 3-1 if they played night before.
— 5-4 in shootout/OT

Los Angeles 23-15-10
— lost 14 of their last 17 games.
— 8-9-6 at home, 15-6-4 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— 1-5 if they played the night before.
— 2-10 in shootout/OT
— fired their coach last week

Minnesota 21-23-5
— 4-3 in last seven games.
— 12-11-3 at home, 9-12-2 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— 2-6 if they played the night before.
— 6-5 in shootout/OT

Montreal 20-21-8
— 1-4 in their last five games.
— 10-12-3 at home, 10-9-5 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine home games
— 1-8 if they played the night before.
— 9-8 in shootout/OT

Nashville 26-23-2
— 1-5 in their last six games.
— 13-13 at home, 13-10-2 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— 5-0 if they played the night before.
— 6-2 in shootout/OT

New Jersey 24-20-3
— lost seven of last ten games
— 10-11-2 at home, 14-9-1 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— 1-6 if they played the night before.
— 5-3 in shootout/OT

NY Islanders 20-17-12
— lost nine of last 11 games.
— 12-6-7 at home, 8-11-5 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— 0-6 if they played the night before.
— 6-12 in shootout/OT

NY Rangers 30-16-3
— lost eight of their last 12 games
— 15-7 at home, 15-9-3 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games.
— 8-0 if they played the night before.
— 5-3 in shootout/OT

Ottawa 20-25-2
— won four of their last six games.
— 13-12-2 at home, 7-13 on road.
— over 8-4 last 12 games.
— 5-2 in shootout/OT

Philadelphia 25-19-6
— lost their last five games.
— 11-12-2 at home, 14-7-4 on road.
— over 5-0 last five home games.
— 5-1 on first night of a back/back.
— 8-6 in shootout/OT

Pittsburgh 22-17-7
— lost five of their last seven games
— 12-8-3 at home, 10-9-4 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— 5-0 if they played the night before.
— 4-7 in shootout/OT

St Louis 26-21-2
— won five of their last six games.
— 15-9-1 at home, 11-12-1 on road.
— over 7-3 last five games
— 7-2 in shootout/OT

San Jose 14-32-5
— won four of their last six games
— 9-13-2 at home, 5-19-2 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— 4-5 in shootout/OT

Seattle 21-19-10
— lost six of their last eight games.
— 11-9-4 at home, 10-10-6 on road.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— 0-3 on first night of back/back.
— 4-10 in shootout/OT

Tampa Bay 27-18-5
— won eight of their last nine games.
— 17-5-3 at home, 10-13-2 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— 5-5 in shootout/OT

Toronto 25-14-8
— won their last three games.
— 11-9-2 at home, 14-5-6 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— 1-5 on first night of back/back
— 9-8 in shootout/OT

Vancouver 33-11-5
— 9-2 in their last eleven games.
— 18-4-2 at home, 15-7-3 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— 3-5 in shootout/OT

Vegas 29-15-6
— won five of their last seven games.
— 18-5-2 at home, 11-10-4 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— 7-6 in shootout/OT

Washington 22-18-7
— lost their last four games.
— 13-7-4 at home, 9-11-3 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— 4-2 if they played the night before.
— 6-7 in shootout/OT

Winnipeg 30-12-5
— lost their last three games, outscored 9-3.
— 16-7-2 at home, 14-5-3 on road.
— under 11-2 last 13 games.
— 4-0 if they played the night before.
— 3-5 in shootout/OT

 

[Udog]

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

DALLAS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 19-5 Over (13.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

ATLANTA is 30-60 ATS (-36 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Monday, February 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Lakers @ Charlotte
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
LA Lakers is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games

Dallas @ Philadelphia
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Sacramento @ Cleveland
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA Clippers @ Atlanta
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Golden State @ Brooklyn
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Brooklyn is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Golden State

Toronto @ New Orleans
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games on the road
Toronto is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 5

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 5

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 5

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 5​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
LAL at CHA	07:00 PM	LAL -12.5 O 226.5	+500 +500
DAL at PHI	07:00 PM	DAL -3.5 U 244.0	+500 +500
SAC at CLE	07:00 PM	SAC +3.5 U 235.0	+500 +500
LAC at ATL	07:30 PM	ATL +4.0 U 243.5	+500 +500
GS at BK	07:30 PM	BK +1.0 O 238.0	+500 +500
TOR at NO	08:00 PM	NO -11.0 U 230.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Teams that get the lowest %age of their points on 3’s:
19%— Cal-Bakersfield
19.6%— Cal-Northridge
19.6%— Texas State
20%— Louisiana-Monroe
20.5%— Rio Grande Valley
20.8%— Long Beach State

Quote of the Day
“Obviously, it creates a buzz, it creates another group of young fans, particularly young women, who are interested in seeing why is she going to this game, why is she interested in this game. Besides Travis (Kelce), she is a football fan and I think that’s great for us.”
NFL commish Roger Goodell, talking about Taylor Swift

Tuesday’s quiz
What was the only team to run the opening kickoff of a Super Bowl back for a TD?
Hint: They lost that game

Monday’s quiz
Len Dawson was the Kansas City Chiefs’ QB in the first Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
Roy Williams was the Kansas basketball coach, before Bill Self.

*************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..​

— Back-to-back trends in the NHL
Road teams that won at home night before: 7-14
Road teams that lost at home night before: 9-4
Road teams that won on road night before: 14-17
Road teams that lost on road night before: 21-32
Home teams that won at home night before: 7-6
Home teams that lost at home night before: 5-4
Home teams that won on road night before: 13-13
Home teams that lost on road night before: 14-7

— Last two nights in the NBA, favorites are 15-0 SU, 12-3 against the spread.

— In 2017, Chiefs took Patrick Mahomes with the 10th pick in the NFL Draft; since then, Kansas City is 99-34, winning two Super Bowls.
That same year, Chicago Bears traded up from the 3rd pick to the 2nd pick so they could draft QB Mitch Trubisky; since then, the Bears are 49-68, 0-2 in playoff games.

— In his career, Mahomes is 10-1-1 ATS as an underdog.

— Carolina Panthers’ new head coach is Dave Canales, who has never been a head coach:
2004-05- offensive coordinator, Carson HS
2006-08- special teams coach/TE coach, El Camino College
2009- assistant strength coach, USC
2010-17- WR’s coach, Seahawks
2918-19- QB’s coach, Seahawks
2020-21- passing game coordinator, Seahawks
2022- QB’s coach, Seahawks
2023- offensive coordinator, Buccaneers

— I like watching the VCU-Richmond basketball games; underrated crosstown rivalry, always pretty intense. Teams are both pretty good, too.

— There will be seven Kentucky alums playing in the NBA All-Star Game this year.
When was the last time Kentucky/Kansas were home underdogs on the same day? They were on Saturday.

— If you go to a basketball game at Ole Miss, one of the fans in the front row opposite the benches is Morgan Freeman. That has to be pretty cool.

— SEC has five of the top 17 teams in this week’s top 25.

— Baseball Note of the Day: Royals signed SS Bobby Witt to an 11-year, $288.8M contract extension; good to see a team spend some $$$ to try and improve. Royals are also campaigning for a new ballpark in their downtown area, so that is a part of this move.

— Other baseball stuff:
Twins signed 1B Carlos Santana
Mets signed P Shintaro Fujiyami

— Football coaching stuff:
Liam Coen is the offensive coordinator in Tampa Bay; he was the OC at Kentucky the last couple years, after working for the Rams before that.
Kliff Kingsbury is the new OC in Washington, fueling speculation that Caleb Williams will wind up as Washington’s 1st round pick. Kingsbury/Williams worked together at USC this past year.
Raiders were expected to sign Kingsbury, but instead former Bears’ OC Luke Getsy is the new offensive coordinator in Las Vegas.
Bill Callahan is the new OL coach for the Titans; his son is Tennessee’s new head coach. Bill Callahan had been the OL coach in Cleveland.
Leslie Frazier signed on as a defensive assistant with the Seahawks; he sat out 2023, after being the defensive coordinator in Buffalo.
Miami Dolphins’ new defensive coordinator is Anthony Weaver, who comes to Miami from the Ravens. Weaver is from Saratoga, NY, half-hour north of Armadillo World HQ. Remember seeing him play high school basketball; he set very good screens.

— Bill Walton was on the USC-Oregon game on ESPN Thursday night in LA; he and Dave Pasch sat right near the USC bench. It was interesting to hear them say how coach Andy Enfield and guard Boogie Ellis were having a running dialogue while the game was going on, apparently not a very pleasant one.
They went on to say how USC’s players “weren’t on the same page” which is a euphemism for a team with bad chemistry. Trojans need injured guard Isaiah Collier back soon; they snapped their 6-game losing skid Saturday vs Oregon State, but they’re 9-13 this year, 3-8 in their last year in the Pac-12.

— Former NFL QB Teddy Bridgewater retired this year, he will be the new football coach at his alma mater, Miami Northwestern HS. Bridgewater played nine years in the NFL for six teams, with a 33-33 career record as a starter.

— Bad Beat of the Month: Temple (+10.5) lost 92-80 at Tulane Sunday. In OVERTIME!!!

— Steph Curry has scored 20+ points in a quarter 40 times in his career; Golden State went 34-6 in those forty games.

— Magic 111, Pistons 99— Franz Wagner scored 38 points for Orlando, without taking a foul shot; someone scores 38 without taking a foul shot, that means the other team isn’t being as physical as they should be on defense.

— Celtics were favored by 19.5 points against Memphis Sunday; it was the biggest spread in any NBA game this season. Boston won 131-91.

— They were telling a story on TV this weekend, about a guy applying for a job as an assistant for Michigan State coach Tom Izzo; the guy bought a mannequin in a store, chopped off the right hand and mailed the hand with his application to Izzo, with a note: “I’ll give my right hand to be your assistant coach.”
It worked. Go figure.

 

[Udog]

HOUSTON is 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 10-0 Under (10 Units) after scoring 100 points or less in the current season.

ORLANDO is 52-33 Under (15.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

UTAH is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.