CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Bills 38, Steelers 17- Buffalo ran for 179 yards, 5.3 yards/carry.
— Bucs 32, Eagles 9- Philly ends its season on a 1-6 skid.
Odds on this weekend’s NFL games:
— Texans @ Baltimore (-9, 45.5)
— Packers @ San Francisco (-10, 50.5)
— Buccaneers @ Detroit (-6, 48.5)
— Chiefs @ Buffalo (-3, 45.5)

Quote of the Day
“Being historically great on offense is fun, but even dating a pretty girl gets boring after a while, if she can’t guard anybody.”
Indiana Pacers’ coach Rick Carlisle

Tuesday’s quiz
When the NFL/AFL merged after the 1969 season, which three NFL teams switched over and became AFC teams in the new set-up?

Monday’s quiz
Since 1987, Ben Roethlisberger threw the most passes in a playoff game, he threw 68 passes in a 48-37 loss to Cleveland three years ago.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Tin Cup, Kevin Costner plays a driving range golf pro who tries to qualify for the US Open; Don Johnson played his golfing rival.

**********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: NBA trends……..​

NBA trends (thru Monday)

Hawks (16-23):
— split last eight games SU (1-7 ATS)
— 2-12 ATS as a home favorite
— under 4-1 last five games
— 1-6 ATS if they played night before.

Celtics (31-9):
— won five of last seven games SU (5-6 ATS last 11)
— 8-10-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 6-3 last nine road games.

Nets (16-23):
— lost eight of their last nine games.
— 8-2 ATS as home favorite.
— 0-8 ATS last eight road games.
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before.

Hornets (8-29):
— lost 15 of their last 16 games SU (7-9 ATS).
— 3-13 ATS last 16 games as road underdog.
— under 6-1 last seven games.

Bulls (19-23)
— 4-2 SU in their last six games (5-7 ATS last 12).
— 6-3 ATS last nine as a home favorite.
— over 4-1 last five games.

Cavaliers (23-15):
— won their last five games SU (4-1 ATS).
— 8-3 ATS last eleven home games.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
— 1-4 ATS if they played the night before.

Mavericks (24-17):
— won/covered five of their last seven games.
— 6-2 ATS as road favorites.
— under 7-3 last ten home games.
— 5-2 ATS if they played night before.

Nuggets (28-13):
— won 14 of last 18 games SU (2-4 ATS last six)
— 5-11 ATS as a road favorite
— over 4-1 last five games.
— 2-7 ATS if they played night before.

Pistons (4-36):
— 7-4 ATS in last eleven games.
— 7-10 ATS as a home underdog, 9-11 as a road dog.
— over 7-1 last eight road games
— 1-6 ATS on first night of a back/back.

Warriors (18-22):
— lost eight of last eleven games SU
— 4-14 ATS as a home favorite
— 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 7-2 last nine games

Rockets (19-20):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— 4-2 ATS if they played night before.

Pacers (23-17):
— split their last six games SU.
— under 7-0 last seven road games
— 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
— 1-5 ATS if they played night before.

Clippers (25-14):
— 8-2 SU in last 10 games SU (6-3 ATS in last nine)
— 1-6 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
Lakers (20-21):
— 6-12 SU since they won the in-season tournament.

— 9-18 ATS as a favorite.
— over 10-2 last dozen road games.
— 1-6 ATS if they played night before.

Grizzlies (15-25):
— won six of last eight games SU
— 6-13 ATS at home.
— over 6-2 last eight road games

Heat (24-16):
— won four of last five games SU.
— 8-7 ATS as home favorites, 0-4 as home underdogs.
— under 6-0 last six road games.
— 1-4 ATS if they played the night before.

Bucks (28-12):
— won last three games, scoring 135-124-143 points.
— 6-11-1 ATS as home favorites.
— over 3-1 last four games.

Timberwolves (28-11)
— 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS last six games.
— 9-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 7-3 last ten home games.

Pelicans (24-17):
— split their last six games SU
— 13-6 ATS as an underdog.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— 4-2 ATS if they played the night before

Knicks (23-17):
— won/covered six of their last seven games
— 13-5 ATS as a favorite, 7-9 as a road underdog
— under 7-0 last seven games
— 2-5 ATS if they played night before.

Thunder (24-12):
— won four of their last five games.
— 11-3 ATS as a home favorite, 7-2 as a road dog.
— over 9-2 last eleven home games
— 3-1 ATS if they played night before.

Magic (22-18):
— 1-3 SU/ATS last four games
— 12-5 ATS at home, 5-1 as a home dog.
— under 5-0 last five games.

76ers (25-13):
— 3-4 last seven games SU.
— 18-8 ATS as a favorite, 5-6 as an underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— 2-6 ATS if they played night before.

Suns (21-18):
— split their last six games SU.
— 10-19 ATS as a favorite.
— over 3-1 last four games

Trailblazers (10-29):
— 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight games.
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games
— under 5-2 last seven road games
— 5-2 ATS if they played night before.

Kings (21-14):
— split their last eight games SU.
— 9-2 ATS as an underdog.
— under 4-1 last five games
— 1-5 ATS if they played night before.

Spurs (7-32):
— covered six of their last seven games
— 7-10 ATS as a home underdog, 8-10 as a road dog.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games.
— 3-0 ATS as a favorite

Raptors (15-25):
— lost five of their last six games.
— 9-7 ATS as a favorite.
— over 5-1 last six games.

Jazz (21-20):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 16-4 ATS at home
— 7-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 3-2 last five home games

Wizards (7-32):
— 1-7 SU/3-5 ATS last eight games
— 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 6-1 last seven road games.

NBA has a scheduling thing now where sometimes, a team will go to a city for three nights and play the same team twice (to save travel costs), with a day off in between.
So far this season, it has happened 26 times, so 52 games; underdogs are 32-20 ATS in those games, over 30-22 (13-13 first night, 17-9 second night)

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 55-31 Under (20.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996.

PHOENIX is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Tuesday, January 16

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Trend Report
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Denver @ Philadelphia
Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Sacramento @ Phoenix
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Phoenix is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 16

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 16

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NHL goalies with most all-time wins:
691— Martin Brodeur
552— Marc-Andre Fleury
551— Patrick Roy
489— Roberto Luongo
484— Ed Belfour
459— Henrik Lundqvist

Quote of the Day
“Never mess with a civil servant, my friend.”
Lenny Briscoe, Law and Order, after he beat a guy playing pool in a bar

Wednesday’s quiz
What former Arizona Wildcats’ guard is one of two players EVER to play in both the Final Four and in the World Series?

Tuesday’s quiz
When the NFL/AFL merged after the 1969 season, three NFL teams switched over and became AFC teams in the new set-up- Browns, Colts, Steelers.

Monday’s quiz
Since 1987, Ben Roethlisberger threw the most passes in a playoff game, he threw 68 passes in a 48-37 loss to Cleveland three years ago.

******************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

Now that we’re in conference play in college basketball, we’ll have some notes on March Madness now and then:

— For the first time ever, a #15-seed has upset a #2-seed in the first round of the NCAAs for three straight years: Oral Roberts, St Peter’s, Princeton.
Four of the last five #15-seeds that won in the first round (add in Florida Gulf Coast in 2013) also won in the second round, and three of those four teams covered in their regional semifinal game. St Peter’s is the only #15-seed that made it to a regional final.

— The last 17 years, the team that wound up winning the national title was 14-3 ATS in their first round game, the exceptions being:
2012- Kentucky, -26, won 81-66
2019- UCLA, -21.5, won 71-56
2021- Baylor, -26, won 79-55
Since 2006, every other national champ covered their first round game.

— What stats can help identify who the national champ will be?
1) offensive efficiency- last seven years, all seven champs were in the top 10.
2) defensive efficiency- last seven years, all seven champs were in the top 25.
3) Five of last seven national champs were #1-seeds, one was a 2-seed, UConn LY was a #4.
4) Five of last seven national champs were in top 100 in % of points scored on the arc.
5) Five of last seven national champs were in top 125 in continuity.
Stats that don’t seem to matter:
Tempo- only two of last seven champs were in top 125 in pace of play.
Bench minutes- only one of last seven champs was in top 200 in bench minutes
Forcing turnovers- low FG% by opponents seems to matter a lot more.
only 2 of last 7 national champs were in top 200 in % of points scored inside arc.
We’ll do more of this as we get closer to March…….

— Gonzaga is out of the top 25 for the first time since 2016.

— There are eight Big X teams in the Top 25 right now, only two ACC teams.

— Michigan State hasn’t missed the NCAA Tournament since 1997; right now, the Spartans are 10-7, only 2-4 in conference, albeit against a difficult schedule.

— Baseball Fact of the Day- In 1960, Cincinnati Reds went 67-87, finished 28 games out of first place in the 8-team National League. The next year, Cincinnati went 93-67 and won the National League, losing the World Series in five games.

— In his 6-year NFL career, Baker Mayfield has played for eight different head coaches.

— NFC East is the only division that won’t have a team in the playoffs this weekend.

— Last 11 times an NFL playoff game had a double-digit spread, the favorite went 10-1 ATS.

— New Orleans Saints fired offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael, the longest-tenured offensive coordinator in the NFL- he had been with the Saints for 18 years.

— When the Houston Texans traded QB Deshaun Watson to Cleveland, they got back:
Three (3!!!) 1st round picks
3rd-round pick
5th-round pick
Cleveland also got a 5th-round pick from Houston.

— USC QB Caleb Williams declared for the NFL Draft; he is expected to be the #1 pick in the draft, whether it is by the Bears or some other team.

— Word of the Day: Aberration- a departure from what is normal, usual, or expected, usually something that is unwelcome.

— Georgia Tech 93, Clemson 90, 2OT
Yellow Jackets snap their 5-game losing skid.
Clemson led this game by 9 with 1:43 left in regulation.
Tech was 15-35 on the arc, Clemson was 3-21

— Cincinnati 81, TCU 77 OT
Bearcats trailed by 7 with 7:25 left in the game.

— Samford 75, Western Carolina 71
Samford has won 17 games in a row, after an 0-2 start.
TV announcer for this game mentioned how Samford coach Bucky McMillan has played in the World Series of Poker twice. He started telling the story at a key point near the end of the game, so he never got to finish the story, and tell us how McMillan did in the WSOP.

— Penn State 87, Wisconsin 83- First loss for the Badgers in six conference games.

— Seton Hall 80, St John’s 65- Red Storm coach Rick Pitino has COVID, missed this game. Seton Hall has won eight of its last nine games.

— Charlotte 81, Rice 79 OT- Owls have now lost their last five games, losing two of last three games in OT. Rice led this game 24-4 early on.

NBA has a scheduling thing now where sometimes, a team will go to a city for three nights and play the same team twice (to save travel costs), with a day off in between.
So far this season, it has happened 26 times, so 52 games; underdogs are 32-20 ATS in those games, over 30-22 (13-13 first night, 17-9 second night)

 

[Udog]

DETROIT is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 13-2 Over (10.8 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 28-58 ATS (-35.8 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 33-18 ATS (13.2 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

PORTLAND is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Wednesday, January 17

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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota

San Antonio @ Boston
San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games

Miami @ Toronto
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Orlando @ Atlanta
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Milwaukee is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ New York
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
New York
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
New York is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Houston

Charlotte @ New Orleans
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte
New Orleans is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Dallas @ LA Lakers
Dallas
Dallas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Dallas

Golden State @ Utah
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Portland
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Portland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Brooklyn


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 17

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, January 17

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Most passes thrown in an NFL playoff game:
68- Ben Roethlisberger, 2021
66- Tom Brady, 2023
65- Steve Young, 1996
64, Dan Marino 1995, Bernie Kosar 1987 (won in OT)
63- Drew Brees, 2012
62- Tom Brady, 2017 (won in OT)
The QB’s went 2-5 in those games, with both wins in overtime.

Quote of the Day
“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.”
Albert Einstein

Thursday’s quiz
Phil Jackson won 11 NBA titles as a head coach; what team did he play most of his career for?

Wednesday’s quiz
Kenny Lofton is one of two players EVER to play in both the Final Four and in the World Series; he played basketball at Arizona, baseball with the Cleveland Indians. Pitcher Tim Stoddard is the other guy who has done that (NC State/Orioles).

Tuesday’s quiz
When the NFL/AFL merged after the 1969 season, three NFL teams switched over and became AFC teams in the new set-up- Browns, Colts, Steelers.

*****************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..​

— Last nine years in college basketball, the team that won the national title only won their conference tournament two of those years; over the last 21 years, the national champs all won at least one game in their conference tournament.
What I’m saying is if a team gets KO’d in their first conference tourney game, don’t pencil that team into the Final Four. Over the last five years, only 2 of 20 Final Four teams lost their first game in the conference tournament.

— Surprise of the Day; Dallas Cowboys aren’t firing coach Mike McCarthy after Sunday’s 48-32 home loss to Green Bay. McCarthy has been the Dallas coach for four years, has a 43-28 record, but is only 1-3 in playoff games.

— Odd Fact of the Day: Only two people have played in a Final Four and a World Series:
Kenny Lofton, played hoop at Arizona, played in major leagues for 17 years.
Tim Stoddard, played hoop at NC State, pitched in major leagues for 13 years.
Here’s the thing; Lofton/Stoddard went to the SAME high school: East Chicago Washington HS in Indiana, a school in a town with a population of only 30,000 people.
What are the odds of that?

— Dodgers are going to use a 6-man pitching rotation this year, with Ohtani/Yamamoto on their squad; in Japan, teams use 6-man rotations and their pitchers start once a week, with Monday usually an off day for teams.

— Baseball had its international signing period last weekend: St Louis Cardinals signed Branneli Franco, a 16-year old pitcher from the Dominican Republic. He must be awful good if St Louis projects him as a future star when he’s 16 years old.

— Memo to MLB Network: I’m asking you nicely, begging you to show baseball games during the offseason. The mindless talk shows and lists that are cobbled together are boring; please promote the sport, show Yamamoto pitch, show Ohtani, Trout, Julio Rodriguez.
Baseball is a great game, but unless you work hard to expose the game to younger people, they aren’t going to realize that.

— Baseball Fact of the Day- Cincinnati Reds’ OF TJ Friedl had 17 bunt hits last year, the most by any big leaguer since 2017.

— Word of the Day- Concierge- a hotel employee whose job is to assist guests by arranging tours, making theater and restaurant reservations.

— Happy 48th birthday to former NFL QB Scott Covington, who played college ball at Miami, then appeared in four NFL games, with his only start in the 2002 season finale for the Rams.

— When the Eagles lost Sunday, it meant that since 1997, the team that lost the Super Bowl is 15-15 in playoff games the next season. Over the last 27 seasons, the loser of the Super Bowl missed the playoffs 12 of 27 years.

— Next fall, Miami Heat will unveil a statue of Dwayne Wade that will be outside the Heat’s arena. Thats a huge honor, for a team to put a statue of you outside the team’s arena.

— Speaking of the Heat, they beat the Nets 96-95 in overtime Monday, the first NBA game in almost five years that went overtime, with neither team scoring 100+ points in the game.

— Arizona Wildcats hired San Jose State coach Brent Brennan as its new coach, replacing Jedd Fisch, who bolted to Washington.
Brennan rebuilt the San Jose program in his seven years there, going 26-19 the last four years; he was a graduate assistant at Arizona in 2000, his wife went to Arizona, his brother played ball there.
Washington is off the to Big 10, Arizona is off to the Big X; I still can’t process that the Pac-12 won’t exist anymore after this basketball season.

— When Fisch left for the Washington job, Arizona QB Jayden de Laura bolted to Texas State, which was news to TJ Finley, the Bobcats’ QB this past year. When he heard, Finley rejoined the transfer portal; he has previously played college ball at LSU, Auburn and North Texas.

— Two current I-A football head coaches quit their jobs to be assistant coaches at Alabama:
Kane Wommack went 17-9 the last two years at South Alabama.
Maurice Linguist went 14-23 in three years at Buffalo.
They’ll be co-defensive coordinators, apparently, and both should get big pay raises.

— We’ve started something a little different; on the college basketball page, I’ll post info on five of that day’s most interesting games.

— Bradley 70, Southern Illinois 69
Salukis led 47-24 early in second half.
Bradley has won seven in a row; they’ve got the #33 eFG%.

— UConn, 62, Creighton 48
Bluejays are 12-0 when they score 69+ points, 1-5 when they don’t.
Creighton shot 34.6% from floor, was out-rebounded 48-32.

— LSU 89, Ole Miss 80
Ole Miss split its last four games, after a 13-0 start.
Rebels allowed 90-89 points in their two losses.

— Florida State 84, Miami 75
Seminoles are 5-1 in ACC, tied for second place.
Miami lost, despite shooting 66.7% inside the arc.

— Central Florida 77, Texas 71
Knights out-rebounded Texas, 37-22.
UCF shot 64.7% inside the arc.
Knights are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time, #10 in country.

— Loyola 79, UMass 78
Both teams took 31 foul shots; physical game.
Loyola scored on a 3-point play in last couple seconds for the win.

— UCLA 68, Arizona State 66
Bruins trailed 39-24 early in second half.
Sun Devils were called for four technical fouls, all in the 2nd half.

— Our thoughts and prayers go out to the family of Golden State Warriors assistant coach Dejan Milojevic, who passed away Wednesday at age 46, after suffering a heart attack. He played in four different countries during his 14-year playing career and was the MVP of the Adriatic League three times (2004-06). RIP, sir.

 

[Udog]

Billy Donovan is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or less (Coach of CHICAGO)

WASHINGTON is 14-4 Over (9.6 Units) as a dog of 10 or more over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games when revenging a loss in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when the total is 210-219.5 in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Thursday, January 18

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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Toronto
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington @ New York
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games

Oklahoma City @ Utah
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Indiana @ Sacramento
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Memphis @ Minnesota
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 18

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 18

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Odds to win the college basketball national title:
8-1— Arizona, Purdue
10-1— Houston
12-1— Connecticut
14-1— Kansas, North Carolina
17-1— Tennessee
18-1— Auburn

Thought of the Day
Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Friday’s quiz
First time the Houston Texans made the NFL playoffs was 2011; what former NFL QB was the Texans’ coach back then?

Thursday’s quiz
Phil Jackson won 11 NBA titles as a head coach; he played most of his career for the Knicks.

Wednesday’s quiz
Kenny Lofton is one of two players EVER to play in both the Final Four and in the World Series; he played basketball at Arizona, baseball with the Cleveland Indians. Pitcher Tim Stoddard is the other guy who has done that (NC State/Orioles).

******************************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy night of basketball…….​

— AAC
South Florida 74, Memphis 73
Memphis led by 20 early in second half.
Loss snaps the Tigers’ 10-game win streak.
North Texas leads the AAC right now, with a 4-0 record- they play the slowest tempo in the country.

— Pac-12
Colorado 86, Oregon 70
Colorado outscored the Ducks 30-13 over the last 10:55 of the game.
Loss snapped Oregon’s six-game win streak.
Ducks still lead the Pac-12, a game ahead of the Arizona schools.

— WCC
Gonzaga 86, Pepperdine 61
Zags are out of the top 25 for first time in eight years.
San Francisco 90, LMU 74
Dons shot 64.4% inside took, were only 5-7 on foul line.
USF/Saint Mary’s are tied atop WCC at 4-0, with Santa Clara 4-1, Gonzaga 3-1

— Big West
Cal-Irvine 76, Cal-San Diego 65
Irvine’s Big West opponents are shooting 41.3% inside arc.
Cal-Davis 67, Cal-Fullerton 65
Fullerton led by 9 with 5:43 left in game.
Cal-Davis was 28-33 on foul line, only 5-23 on arc.
Irvine leads Big West at 6-0; Cal-Davis is 6-1, Cal-San Diego 5-1

— Horizon
Green Bay 88, Wright State 81
Green Bay is 12-8, 7-2 in Horizon games.
Last three years, Green Bay was 16-71, 14-46 in Horizon tilts.
Oakland/Green Bay are tied for first in Horizon, with 7-2 records.

— Big 14
Illinois 88, Michigan 73
Illini outscored Michigan 22-10 on foul line, on the road.
Big 14 opponents are shooting only 25.7% on arc vs Illinois.
Wisconsin leads the Big 14, with a 5-1 record; Purdue is 5-2.

— Baseball Note of the Day: Seattle signed C/DH Mitch Garver as a free agent: he started 40 of the Rangers’ last 43 games LY, and hit .283 with 14 homers and a .937 OPS from August 1 on, which is really good for a catcher. Bonus here is that Garver is a DH more than he catches, so he is less likely to wear down as the season goes on.

— Word of the Day: Skulk- moving around or hiding in a stealthy or secretive way. People who are skulking are often up to no good.

— CAA
Hofstra 86, Hampton 77
Hofstra trailed by 18 late in first half.
Towson 82, Charleston 78
Towson was 10-19 on arc, only 12-22 on foul line. Go figure.
Loss snaps Charleston’s 8-game win streak vs D-I teams.
Drexel leads the CAA with a 6-0 mark; Charleston is 4-1.

— Big Sky
Eastern Washington 80, Weber State 78
Weber State led by 13 late in first half.
Both teams shot over 57% inside the arc.
Eastern Washington is 4-0 in Big Sky; Northern Colorado/Montana State are 3-1.

— Summit
South Dakota 74, St Thomas 73 OT
Coyotes were down 10 with 8:19 left in game.
Rock Fight: Teams combined to shoot 17-58 on the arc.
Denver, South Dakota State are tied for first in the Summit, with 3-1 records.
There are fewer turnovers in Summit games than in any league in country; shooting %age on 2-point shots in also highest in the Summit League.

— Ohio Valley
Morehead State 84, Tenn-Martin 66
Eagles are 5-1 in OVC; they start four seniors, lost 69-68 at Indiana.
Western Illinois leads the OVC with a 5-0 record, in their first year in the OVC. Last time the Leathernecks had a winning conference record was 2013, in the Summit League.

— WAC
Grand Canyon 78, Utah Valley 65
Antelopes are 17-1, have won 14 games in a row.
Grand Canyon is shooting 55.5% inside arc, against schedule #304.
Grand Canyon is ranked #58 by KenPom; next-highest WAC team is #125
Grand Canyon is 7-0 in WAC games, Stephen F Austin is 5-2.

— Sun Belt
South Alabama 74, Troy 71
Trojans’ 6-game win streak is over.
South Alabama played only seven guys the whole game.
Troy is now tied for first in the Sun Belt with Appalachian State, with 5-1 records.

— College football note- Ohio State is hiring former NFL head coach Bill O’Brien as its new offensive coordinator. O’Brien worked for the Patriots this past season.

 

[Udog]

CHARLOTTE is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

BOSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 7-0 Under (7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more in the current season.

ATLANTA is 9-34 ATS (-28.4 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

PORTLAND is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 41-61 ATS (-26.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, January 19

 

[Udog]

NBA

Friday, January 19

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Trend Report
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San Antonio @ Charlotte
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio

Philadelphia @ Orlando
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games at home

Denver @ Boston
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Denver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 13 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Phoenix @ New Orleans
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Phoenix

Indiana @ Portland
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Portland is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Indiana

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 19

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Central Michigan 65, Toledo 62- Toledo had won 20 straight MAC games.
— Xavier 92, Georgetown 91- Hoyas led by 5 with 3:18 left.
— Colorado State 78, UNLV 75- Rams are shooting 59.5% inside arc (#5)
— Fairfield 76, St Peter’s 67- Stags won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Akron 77, Kent State 71- Zips improve to 6-0 in the MAC.
— Wisconsin 91, Indiana 79- Badgers shot 69.2% inside the arc.

Tweet of the Day
“You weren’t good enough. Kirk (Cousins) was better. Cleveland didn’t want you. Baltimore didn’t either. Quit blaming me.”
Former Redskins’ coach Jay Gruden, responding to Robert Griffin III on social media

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Packers’ QB Jordan Love play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
First time the Houston Texans made the NFL playoffs was 2011; former NFL QB Gary Kubiak was the Texans’ coach.

Thursday’s quiz
Phil Jackson won 11 NBA titles as a head coach; he played most of his career for the Knicks.

***********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Betting trends for college basketball​

These trends are for conference games only

AAC
Home favorites of 6 or fewer points are 6-3 ATS
Home underdogs are 6-5 ATS
Florida Atlantic/Memphis are both 4-1 SU/1-4 ATS

ACC
Double digit home favorites are 3-6 ATS
Home underdogs are 8-5 ATS
Florida State won/covered its last five games.
North Carolina is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS
Notre Dame is 2-5 SU/6-1 ATS
Pitt is 1-5 SU/ATS
Virginia Tech is 2-4 SU/1-5 ATS

Atlantic 15
Home favorites are 8-16 ATS
Home underdogs are 6-3 ATS
Richmond is 4-0 SU/ATS
George Washington won/covered its last three games.
Duquesne is 0-4 SU/ATS
St Joe’s is 1-3 SU/ATS

Big 14
Home favorites of less than 7 points are 11-7 ATS
Home favorites of 7+ points are 4-9 ATS
Home underdogs are 10-4 ATS
Iowa won/covered its last three games.
Ohio State is 2-4 SU/0-6 ATS

Big X
Home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-0 ATS
Home favorites of 5+ points are 5-7 ATS
Home underdogs are 7-2 ATS
Kansas State is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS
Oklahoma State is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS
Texas is 1-3 SU/ATS

Big East
Home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-3 ATS
Home favorites of 6+ points are 6-10 ATS
Home underdogs of 8 or less points are 5-2 ATS
Home underdogs of more than 8 points are 0-4 ATS
UConn is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in its last five games.
Seton Hall is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS
DePaul is 0-6/1-5 ATS
Butler is 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS

Big Sky
Home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-2 ATS
Home underdogs are 4-3 ATS
Eastern Washington is 4-0 SU/ATS
Montana State is 3-1 SU/ATS
Idaho is 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS

Big West
Home favorites of 8 or less points are 8-5 ATS
Home favorites of 8+ points are 2-6 ATS
Home underdogs are 5-8 ATS
Cal-Davis is 6-1 SU/ATS
Cal-San Diego is 5-1 SU/ATS
Cal-Santa Barbara is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS last four games.
Cal Poly is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS

CAA
Home favorites are 9-12 ATS
Home underdogs are 9-5 ATS
Campbell is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS last four games.
Elon is 1-4 SU/1-4 ATS
Hampton is 1-5 SU/ATS
Hofstra is 2-3 SU/0-5 ATS

Horizon
Home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-3 ATS
Home favorites of more than 4 points are 6-11 ATS
Home underdogs are 8-9 ATS
Green Bay is 7-2 SU/9-0 ATS
Oakland is 6-0 SU/2-4 ATS last six games
Cleveland State is 4-4 SU/1-7 ATS
Detroit is 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS

Missouri Valley
Home teams are 5-10 ATS in games with spread of 4 or less points.
Double digit home favorites are 5-3 ATS
Home underdogs are 6-9 ATS
Drake is 6-1 SU/ATS
Bradley is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS last five games
Indiana State is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS
Valparaiso is 1-6 SU/5-2 ATS
Ill-Chicago is 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS
Illinois State is 0-5 SU/ATS last five games.
Missouri State is 1-5 SU/0-6 SU last six games.

Pac-12
Home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-10 ATS
Home underdogs are 9-2 ATS
Washington State won/covered its last three games.
Oregon State is 1-4 SU/4-1 ATS last five games
Colorado is 4-3 SU/1-5-1 ATS.

SEC
Home favorites of 6 or less points are 3-5 ATS
Home favorites of more than 6 points are 10-2 ATS
Home underdogs are 6-2 ATS
Auburn is 4-0 SU/4-0 ATS
Alabama is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS
Georgia is 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS
Kentucky is 3-1 SU/ATS
Missouri is 0-4 SU/ATS
Florida is 1-3 SU/ATS
Mississippi State is 1-3 SU/ATS
Texas A&M is 1-3 SU/ATS

Southern
Home favorites of less than 5 points are 2-5 ATS
Home favorites of 5+ points are 8-3 ATS
Home underdogs are 1-6 ATS
Samford is 5-0 SU/ATS
Furman won/covered its last three games.
Citadel is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS
VMI is 0-4 SU/ATS last four games.

Summit
Home favorites of 7 or less points are 1-10 ATS
Home underdogs are 4-1 ATS
Kansas City is 1-3 SU/ATS

Sun Belt
Home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-4 ATS
Home favorites of more than 5 points are 5-9 ATS
Home underdogs are 6-9 ATS
Troy won/covered five of first six games.
Southern Miss won/covered four of last five games.
UL-Monroe is 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS
Texas State is 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS

WAC
Home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-3 ATS
Home favorites of 6+ points are 4-9 ATS
Home underdogs are 9-2 ATS
Rio Grande Valley is 2-5 SU, but 6-1 ATS
Grand Canyon is 7-0 SU, but 2-5 ATS
Abilene Christian is 1-5 SU/ATS

WCC
Home favorites are 8-1 ATS
Home underdogs are 3-5 ATS
San Francisco is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS
Gonzaga is 3-1 SU/ATS
Pacific is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS
San Diego is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS

 

[Udog]

MILWAUKEE is 44-25 ATS (16.5 Units) as a road favorite in the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons.

NEW YORK is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 in the current season.

ATLANTA is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 78-55 Under (17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, January 20

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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ Detroit
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

San Antonio @ Washington
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing San Antonio

Philadelphia @ Charlotte
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Toronto @ New York
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Memphis @ Chicago
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Utah @ Houston
Utah
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston
Houston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing at home against Utah


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 20