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Diamond Trends for Monday July 5
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 10-0 SU since May 07, 2021 as a favorite when the opposing starter has an ERA of at least 4.00 on the season.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Marlins are 0-14 SU since Apr 02, 2018 as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 11-0-1 OU (4.50 ppg) since Apr 05, 2021 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OU (3.96 ppg) since Jun 27, 2019 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/05/2021 5-5-0 50.00% - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals............31-35-0 ......46.96% ....-22.05




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals........9-19- 0...............32.14%.........- 20.90
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
— Phillies 13, Cubs 3— Cubs have lost 10 games in a row.
— 2B Eric Sogard pitched in three of those ten games.
— Joey Chestnut banked $10,000 for winning the hot dog eating contest.
— Blue Jays have requested a return to Toronto by July 30.
— Tigers’ 3B coach Chip Hale is leaving to be baseball coach at U of Arizona.
— Today’s Indians-Rays game was ppd because of cruddy weather in Florida; they’ll play a doubleheader Wednesday.

Quote of the Day
“Sometimes the loudest person in the room is not the person who has all the facts on their side or the truth on their side. Sometimes there’s a lot of wisdom in silence.”
Aaron Rodgers

Tuesday’s quiz
Other than Joey Chestnut, who was the last male to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest?

Monday’s quiz
Joe Girardi was the manager of the Bronx Bombers before Aaron Boone.

Sunday’s quiz
NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner played his college football at Northern Iowa.

****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Week 1-2 trends for NFC teams

Cardinals:
— 1-3-1 in last five Week 1 games.
— 0-4-1 in last five home openers.
— Under 7-2 last nine home openers.
— 10-3 ATS last 13 road openers.
— 1-4 SU last five road openers.
— Under 10-5 last 15 road openers.

Falcons:
— 1-4 in last five Week 1 games.
— 17-5 ATS in last 22 home openers.
— Since 2004, 8-1 ATS as a favorite in HO’s.
— Over 4-1 last five home openers.
— Lost last three road openers.
— 5-12 ATS last 17 road openers (under 13-4).

Panthers:
— Host Sam Darnold’s old team (Jets) in Week 1.
— Last 2 years, lost 30-27/34-30 at home in Week 1.
— 6-11-1 ATS last 18 home openers.
— Under 16-6-1 last 23 home openers.
— 4-8 ATS last dozen road openers.
— Over 4-1 last five road openers.

Bears:
— 1-6 in last seven Week 1 games.
— 2-5 SU/ATS last seven home openers.
— Under 4-0 last four home openers.
— 4-6 last ten road openers.
— 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
— Under 16-5 last 21 road openers.

Cowboys:
— Under 5-2 last seven Week 1 games.
— Won last four home openers, scoring 35-40 points in last two.
— Over 8-6 last 14 home openers.
— Lost three of last four road openers.
— 10-4 ATS last 14 games as an underdog in road openers.
— Under 6-3 last nine road openers.

Lions:
— Last ten season openers went over the total.
— 0-2-1 SU last three season openers (favored in all 3)
— Lost four of last six home openers.
— Over 8-3 last 11 home openers.
— 3-6 ATS last nine road openers.
— Five of last six road openers went over.

Packers:
— Won last six season openers (5-1 ATS)
— Over 7-3 last ten season openers.
— Won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 home openers (11-3 ATS)
— Under 3-1 last four home openers.
— Won/covered last four Week 1 road games.
— Over 12-3 last 15 road openers.

Rams:
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in Week 1.
— Won/covered last six home openers.
— Under is 4-1 in last five home openers.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 in road openers, covering last three
— Last four road openers, Rams scored 41-33-30-37 points.
— Over is 3-1 in last four road openers.

Vikings:
— This is first time in 5 years they open on road.
— Won/covered four of last five Week 1 games.
— Won/covered five of last six home openers.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven home openers.
— 0-3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS last four road openers.
— Under 12-5 last 17 road openers.

Giants:
— Started nine of last ten seasons 0-1.
— 1-8 SU, 0-9 ATS last nine home openers.
— Scored 14.2 ppg in last five home openers.
— Under 7-0 last seven home openers.
— Lost 9 of last 11 road openers (3-7-1 ATS)
— Under 4-1 last five road openers.

Saints:
— Lost five of last seven season openers.
— 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Last 3 years, scored 40-30-34 points in home opener.
— Last five home openers went over total.
— 3-12 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Over 9-4 last 13 road openers.

Eagles:
— Won four of last five season openers.
— Won four of last five home openers.
— Won 5 of last 7 Week 1 games on road.
— Despite that, are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.
— Lost last 3 road openers, giving up 27-24-27 points.
— Over 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.

49ers:
— Won 8 of last 10 season openers.
— Under 6-1 last seven season openers.
— Won 7 of last 10 home openers (0-4 ATS last four)
— Under 6-1 last seven home openers.
— Last 2 years, won road opener 31-17/31-13.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.

Seahawks:
— Split last six season openers SU.
— Won 17 of last 18 home openers (14-4 ATS)
— Under 16-3-1 last 20 home openers.
— Won last 2 road openers 28-26/38-25, after losing 11 of previous 12.
— 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.

Buccaneers:
— Won three of last four Week 1 games.
— Four of last five Week 1 games went over.
— Won/covered three of last four home openers.
— Scored 27+ points in four of last five home openers.
— 7-4 ATS in last 11 road openers.
— Over 4-1 in last five road openers.

Washington:
— Covered last three Week 1 games.
— 1-4 ATS in last five home openers as a dog.
— 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.
— Over 7-3 last ten home openers.
— Covered four of last five road openers.
— Over is 8-4 in last dozen road openers.
 

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951ATLANTA -952 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 8-20 SU (-15.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

953MILWAUKEE -954 NY METS
MILWAUKEE is 27-14 SU (16.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

955LA DODGERS -956 MIAMI
MIAMI is 37-22 SU (11.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

957PHILADELPHIA -958 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4 SU (9.7 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

959COLORADO -960 ARIZONA
COLORADO is 10-22 SU (-21.1 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in the current season.

961ST LOUIS -962 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-11 SU (22.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

963WASHINGTON -964 SAN DIEGO
WASHINGTON is 11-2 SU (10.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.

965TORONTO -966 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 9-22 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

967CLEVELAND -968 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 26-10 SU (15.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

969DETROIT -970 TEXAS
TEXAS are 12-31 SU (-22.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, July 6


NL games
Dodgers (53-32) @ Miami (36-47)

— Gonsolin is 0-0, 2.77 in four starts (13 IP).
— Dodgers are 4-0 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Dodgers are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Dodgers are 10-6 in their last 16 road games.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 43-28-14

— Lopez is 2-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Los Angeles.

— Marlins are 7-12 in their last 19 games.
— Miami is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
— under 15-10-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-81
— record in first 5 innings: 32-34-15

Atlanta (41-43) @ Pittsburgh (31-53)
— Anderson is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 9-7 in his starts.
— under 8-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He threw 6 shutout IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves are 12-14 in their last 26 games
— Atlanta is 5-9 in its last 14 road games.
— under 9-4-1 in last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-84
— record in first 5 innings: 43-30-11

— Kuhl is 2-1, 2.76 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Atlanta.

— Pirates lost six of last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 10-10 in its last 20 home games.
— under 5-4-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 24-84
— record in first 5 innings: 25-48-11

Milwaukee (51-35) @ Mets (44-37)
— Anderson is 0-2, 5.63 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Brewers won 13 of their last 16 games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last ten road games.
— over 6-5 last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-18

— deGrom is 1-0, 2.14 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-14
— He is 3-3, 4.80 in eight starts vs Milwaukee.

— Mets are 9-12 in their last 21 games.
— Mets are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-10

Philadelphia (40-42) @ Cubs (42-43)
— Nola is 0-1, 9.49 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 8-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He is 3-1, 4.26 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 16-26 on road.
— under 12-8 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 31-31-20

— Arrieta is 0-2, 8.69 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-1
— He is 4-2, 4.06 in six starts vs Philly.

— Cubs lost 10 in row, 16 of last 20 games.
— Chicago is 11-5 in its last 16 home games.
— Under is 23-11 in their last 34 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-12

Colorado (37-48) @ Arizona (23-62)
— Gray is 1-1, 4.73 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
— He is 1-1, 4.34 in three starts vs Arizona this year.

— Colorado is 12-7 in its last 19 games.
— Rockies are 31-17 at home, 6-31 on road.
— under 7-0 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 33-39-13

— Kelly is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 7-10 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-2
— He is 1-3, 7.06 in five starts vs Colorado.

— Arizona lost 47 of its last 54 games.
— Arizona is 2-11 in its last 13 home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-85
— record in first 5 innings: 27-52-6

St Louis (42-44) @ San Francisco (52-31)
— Wainwright is 3-0, 2.12 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 7-7, 3.09 in 17 games (15 starts) vs San Francisco.

— Cardinals won six of their last nine games.
— St Louis is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
— Under is 14-6-2 in their last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-17

— Cueto is 2-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 8-5 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— He is 7-9, 3.92 in 24 starts vs St Louis.

— Giants are 18-10 in their last 28 games.
— Giants are 11-4 in last 15 home games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-26-12

Washington (41-42) @ San Diego (50-37)
— Corbin is 0-2, 7.59 in his last two starts.
— Washington is 8-8 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He is 6-8, 4.30 in 20 games (15 starts) vs San Diego.

— Washington lost four of its last five games.
— Nationals are 6-2 in last eight road games.
— under 8-6 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 28-83
— record in first 5 innings: 34-30-19

— Weathers is 1-1, 4.15 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Padres won 12 of their last 17 games.
— San Diego is 9-2 in its last 11 home games.
— over 13 of last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-87
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-15

AL games
Toronto (43-39) @ Baltimore (27-56)

— Matz is 1-1, 6.62 in his last four starts
— Toronto is 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
— over 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Blue Jays won 10 of their last 14 games.
— Toronto won its last four road games.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 26-82
— record in first 5 innings: 39-32-11

— bullpen game

— Orioles split their last six games.
— Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 31-16-1 in their last 48 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-84
— record in first 5 innings: 25-44-15

White Sox (50-35) @ Minnesota (35-48)
— Rodon is 0-1, 4.24 in his last three starts
— Chicago is 9-5 in his starts.
— under 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He is 5-3, 4.94 in 10 starts vs Minnesota.

— Chicago is 6-10 in its last 16 games.
— White Sox are 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 11-3 last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-23-16

— Berrios is 0-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He is 12-2, 2.77 in 18 starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
— Twins are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 17-5-1 last 23 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-83
— record in first 5 innings: 27-38-18

Detroit (39-46) @ Texas (33-52)
— Urena is 0-4, 14.00 in his last five starts.
— Tigers are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 2-10-3
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Texas.

— Detroit is 10-7 its last 17 games.
— Detroit is 4-1 in its last five road games.
— over 18-7 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-86
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1 last nine on road.

— Dunning is 1-2, 5.29 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 4-12 in his starts.
— over 6-3-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
— He allowed 3 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start vs Detroit.

— Texas won seven of its last 12 games.
— Texas is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— over 14-7-2 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-85
— record in first 5 innings: 30-43-12

Oakland (49-37) @ Houston (52-33)
— Bassitt is 4-0, 1.93 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 13-4 in his starts.
— under 9-5 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-4
— He is 3-3, 3.67 in nine starts vs Houston.

— A’s lost 10 of their last 15 games.
— Oakland is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 37-33-16

— Valdez is 5-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in 3 games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Astros won their last four games.
— Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
— over 12-8-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 46-26-13

Boston (54-32) @ Angels (42-42)
— Eovaldi is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-2
— He is 2-1, 4.58 in seven starts vs Anaheim.

— Boston is 17-7 in its last 24 games.
— Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.
— over 15-11 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-86
— record in first 5 innings: 41-31-14

— Ohtani is 2-0, 4.94 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He allowed 3 runs in 2 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Halos are 6-7 in last 13 games.
— Angels are 3-4 in last seven home games.
— over 20-7 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 36-38-11

Bronx (42-41) @ Seattle (45-40)
— Taillon is 2-0, 4.63 in his last two starts.
— New York is 6-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He allowed a run in 6 IP, in one start vs Seattle.

— New York lost seven of its last nine games.
— New York is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
— over 16-8-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-83
— record in first 5 innings: 33-34-16

— Sheffield is 0-3, 9.87 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7
— He allowed 5 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start vs New York.

— Seattle won 14 of its last 18 games.
— Seattle is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-38-7

Interleague games
Cincinnati (44-40) @ Kansas City (35-49)

— Castillo is 2-2, 2.37 in his last six starts.
— Reds are 5-12 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 0-1, 2.89 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Cincinnati won its last five games.
— Reds are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-84
— record in first 5 innings: 32-37-15

— Bubic is 0-3, 11.37 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in five IP, in one start vs Cincinnati.

— Royals lost 22 of their last 28 games.
— Royals are 4-8 in their last 12 home games.
— over 12-8 last 20 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-12
 

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MLB

Tuesday, July 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing St. Louis

Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
San Diego is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

NY Yankees @ Seattle
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Tuesday July 6
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 12-0 SU since May 11, 2021 at home off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-13 SU since Apr 28, 2021 after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: St. Louis at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Cardinals are 0-10 OU (-3.55 ppg) since Jun 21, 2019 as a dog after a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 8-0 SU since Aug 03, 2017 when Chad Kuhl starts at home when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Messages
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TUESDAY, JULY 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



TOR at BAL 07:05 PM
TOR -186
+500


ATL at PIT 07:05 PM
PIT +166
+500


LAD at MIA 07:10 PM
MIA +118
+500


MIL at NYM 07:10 PM
MIL +226
+500


PHI at CHC 08:05 PM
PHI -139
+500


DET at TEX 08:05 PM
DET +156
+500


CHW at MIN 08:10 PM
CHW -118
+500


OAK at HOU 08:10 PM
HOU -152
+500


CIN at KC 08:10 PM
CIN -153
+500


BOS at LAA 09:38 PM
BOS -112
+500


COL at ARI 09:40 PM
COL +118
+500


STL at SF 09:45 PM
SF -131
O 8.0


+500 +500
NYY at SEA 10:10 PM
SEA +148
+500
 

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Messages
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MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals............37-42-0 ......46.83% ....-31.95




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals.......12-22- 0...............35.29%.........- 16.70
 

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Messages
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Quad Cities Open golf tourney this week:

9-1— Daniel Berger
14-1— Brian Harman
16-1— Russell Henley, Sungjae Im
18-1— Kevin Streelman
27-1— Cameron Davis, Si Woo Kim
29-1— Alex Noren

Quote of the Day
“Hey, the other team gives scholarships too!!!”
Football coach Lou Holtz, asked by a reporter at halftime why his heavily favored team was only ahead by a couple points.

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Seattle Mariners, last time they made the playoffs?
(Hint: He won a World Series managing a different team)

Tuesday’s quiz
Matthew Stonie (62 hot dogs) was the last male other than Joey Chestnut to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest, in 2015.

Monday’s quiz
Joe Girardi was the manager of the Bronx Bombers before Aaron Boone.

*************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Suns 118, Bucks 105:
— Chris Paul scored 32 points for Phoenix.
— He has 73 points the last two games, most points he’s ever scored in consecutive games.
— Giannis Antetokounmpo played 35:00, scoring 20 points, with 17 rebounds.

Before the 1969 NBA Draft, a coin was flipped in New York City to determine who got the first pick in the draft. Milwaukee won the coin flip, got Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, then won 332 games over the next six years, winning the 1971 NBA title, losing the Finals in ‘74.

Phoenix lost that coin flip in ‘69; they drafted Neal Walk, a center from Florida. Not ideal.

Later that summer, the Suns had a coin flip with Seattle for rights to ABA star Connie Hawkins. The second flip was more better for Phoenix; the won that coin flip and the rights to Hawkins, who became one of the greatest players in Suns’ history.

Suns went 136-110 the next three years, with Hawkins lasting 4.5 years in the desert.

12) With all the talk about Shohei Ohtani, I decided to look into Babe Ruth’s career, since he also was a great hitter who did some pitching. Here is what I found:

Babe Ruth played five years for Boston, but played in 100+ games only in the last two seasons. He went 89-46 as a pitcher for Boston, winning 47 games in 1916-17. He threw 35 complete games in 1917. His last year in Boston was the only time he batted 400+ times for them.

When he was traded to New York, he became a full-time hitter, and pitched only five games. Ruth hit 659 home runs for New York, and had a candy bar named after him.

(A person who is smarter than me informed me that the candy bar was probably named after President Grover Cleveland’s daughter Ruth)

Obviously there was no DH back then, or he probably would’ve hit more for Boston.

11) In 1975, there was a TV show called When Things Were Rotten, a comedy set in Sherwood Forest, where Robin Hood, Maid Marian, and Robin’s band of Merry Men. Pretty good cast: Dick Van Patten, Bernie Kopell, Dick Gautier, Ron Rifkin.

I was reminded of that this week, thinking about the catchers on my fantasy baseball team; over the last 23 days, the catchers on my fantasy team have been a combined 2 for 44.

2 hits. 44 at-bats. 2 more hits than a dead person.

In the big picture of life, this isn’t important, but it is driving me nuts; there are very few big league catchers who can hit. I’ve had six different catchers on my team in only 14 weeks. Next step is to leave the spot blank, then at least they won’t kill me in on-base %age.

As I was typing all this, one of my team’s pitchers, Luis Castillo, left a game in Kansas City with a 6-1 lead after 7 innings; of course the Cincinnati bullpen blew the lead for him.

Thats what happens when things are rotten.

10) Braves, Marlins, Rangers are only three major league teams who haven’t been over .500 at any time this season.

9) Angels’ 3B David Fletcher has a 20-game hitting streak, longest in the AL this season.

8) Top under teams in the majors:
— Washington under 52-29-1
— Cubs 50-33-2
— Marlins 45-31-6
— Bronx 46-36

Top over teams in the majors:
— Twins 53-28-2
— Angels 51-33
— Astros 48-35-3
— Rays 46-36-3

7) Jacob deGrom was supposed to pitch for the Mets on Tuesday, then again on Sunday, the last day before the All-Star break, but the weather didn’t cooperate and last night’s game got rained out, so deGrom won’t pitch on Sunday.

The Mets really, really wanted him to pitch last night night, then on Sunday; last night’s game wasn’t postponed until 9:40 or so. It was a scheduled 7:10 start.

6) Baseball players signed by big league clubs at age 18 or younger have to be added to the team’s 40-man roster within five years, or that player becomes subject to the Rule 5 Draft, where other teams can draft them away from the original team.

Players signed by big league clubs at age 19 or older have to be put on the 40-man roster within four seasons, or else they risk losing that player for nothing.

5) Cities where the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest got the best TV ratings:
Cincinnati, New York, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, Columbus.

4) In 440 games played in empty arenas during the NBA regular season, the home team won by an average of 0.39 points.

In 507 games played with fans, the home team won by an average of 2.13 points.

3) Jaguars’ rookie QB Trevor Lawrence signed his first pro contract, for $36.8M, with $24.1M of that guaranteed. By way of contrast, when Sam Bradford signed his rookie contract in 2010, it was worth $78M. NFL has done a good job of toning down the rookie deals since then.

2) Phillies 15, Cubs 10
— Cubs lose their 11th straight game
— Chicago’s last 67 home runs have all come with either the bases empty or only one man on base, the longest stretch in franchise history.

1) When umpire Joe West first umped in the major leagues in the mid-70’s, there were five current major league managers who weren’t even born yet.
 

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Messages
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901ATLANTA -902 PITTSBURGH
ATLANTA is 7-19 SU (-15.3 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

903MILWAUKEE -904 NY METS
MILWAUKEE is 27-15 SU (15.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

905LA DODGERS -906 MIAMI
MIAMI is 38-22 SU (12.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

907PHILADELPHIA -908 CHICAGO CUBS
PHILADELPHIA is 14-25 SU (-17.6 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

907PHILADELPHIA -908 CHICAGO CUBS
JOE GIRARDI is 14-25 SU (-13.5 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

909COLORADO -910 ARIZONA
COLORADO is 10-22 SU (-21.1 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in the current season.

911ST LOUIS -912 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-13 SU (20.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

913WASHINGTON -914 SAN DIEGO
WASHINGTON is 18-6 SU (12.9 Units) vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

915CLEVELAND -916 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 13-5 SU (9.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.

917CHI WHITE SOX -918 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 21-44 SU (-33.1 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 7


NL games
Dodgers (53-33) @ Miami (37-47)

— bullpen game

— Dodgers are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— Dodgers are 10-7 in their last 17 road games.
— over 6-4 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 44-28-14

— bullpen game

— Marlins are 8-12 in their last 20 games.
— Miami is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
— under 16-10-1 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-82
— record in first 5 innings: 32-35-15

Atlanta (41-44) @ Pittsburgh (32-53)
— Smyly is 4-0, 1.21 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-2
— He is 0-1, 4.56 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves are 12-15 in their last 27 games
— Atlanta is 5-10 in its last 15 road games.
— under 10-4-1 in last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 43-30-12

— Crowe is 1-1, 4.74 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-7 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-2
— He is 0-0, 8.59 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— Pirates won their last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 11-10 in its last 21 home games.
— under 6-4-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 25-48-12

Milwaukee (51-35) @ Mets (44-37)
— Anderson is 0-2, 5.63 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Burnes is 2-0, 2.78 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-7 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-4
— He threw 2.1 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs New York.

— Brewers won 13 of their last 16 games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last ten road games.
— over 6-5 last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-18

— deGrom is 1-0, 2.14 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-14
— He is 3-3, 4.80 in eight starts vs Milwaukee.

— Nightcap is a bullpen game

— Mets are 9-12 in their last 21 games.
— Mets are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-10

Philadelphia (41-42) @ Cubs (42-44)
— Wheeler is 2-1, 0.85 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He is 2-1, 4.18 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 17-26 on road.
— over 3-0 last three road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-83
— record in first 5 innings: 32-31-20

— Mills is 1-2, 3.52 in five starts.
— Cubs are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in a relief stint vs Philly.

— Cubs lost 11 in row, 17 of last 21 games.
— Chicago is 11-6 in its last 17 home games.
— Under is 23-12 in their last 35 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 37-37-12

Colorado (37-49) @ Arizona (24-62)
— Senzatela is 0-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 5-11 in his starts.
— under 8-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-3
— He is 1-1, 4.34 in three starts vs Arizona this year.

— Colorado is 12-8 in its last 20 games.
— Rockies are 31-17 at home, 6-32 on road.
— under 8-0 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 33-40-13

— bullpen game

— Arizona lost 47 of its last 55 games.
— Arizona is 3-11 in its last 14 home games.
— under 7-3 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 15-86
— record in first 5 innings: 28-52-6

St Louis (43-44) @ San Francisco (52-32)
— Oviedo is 0-1, 5.06 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
— St Louis is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— Under is 14-7-2 in their last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-17

— Wood is 2-0, 5.84 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He is 0-1, 4.96 in 4 games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

— Giants are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— Giants are 11-5 in last 16 home games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-84
— record in first 5 innings: 45-27-12

Washington (41-43) @ San Diego (51-37)
— Corbin is 0-2, 7.59 in his last two starts.
— Washington is 8-8 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He is 6-8, 4.30 in 20 games (15 starts) vs San Diego.

— Washington lost five of its last six games.
— Nationals are 6-3 in last nine road games.
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 28-84
— record in first 5 innings: 34-31-19

— Paddack is 2-2, 5.87 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Padres won 13 of their last 18 games.
— San Diego is 10-2 in its last 12 home games.
— over 14 of last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-88
— record in first 5 innings: 35-38-15

AL games
Cleveland (42-40) @ Tampa Bay (49-36)

— Mejia is 0-3, 6.93 in six starts.
— Indians are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Hentges allowed 12 runs in six IP, in his last two starts.
— Indians are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
— He gave 4 runs in 2.1 IP, in a start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland lost nine of its last ten games.
— Indians are 3-7 in last ten road games.
— over 31-16-1 last 48 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-82
— record in first 5 innings: 29-39-14

— Wacha is 0-1, 4.11 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 6-3 in his starts.
— over 4-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-3
— He allowed a run in 5 IP, in one start vs Cleveland.

— Nightcap is a bullpen game.

— Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
— Rays are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over is 6-2-1 in last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 32-31-22

Toronto (43-40) @ Baltimore (28-57)
— Ryu is 2-0, 3.66 in his last three starts
— Toronto is 9-6 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 3-0, 3.13 in five starts vs Baltimore.

— Blue Jays won 10 of their last 15 games.
— Toronto won four of its last five road games.
— under 4-3 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-83
— record in first 5 innings: 39-33-11

— Harvey is 0-3, 9.58 in his last five starts
— Orioles are 7-10 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He is 0-1, 6.30 in two starts vs Toronto this year.

— Orioles are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 13-26 at home.
— over is 32-16-1 in their last 49 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-85
— record in first 5 innings: 26-44-15

White Sox (50-35) @ Minnesota (35-49)
— Lynn is 1-1, 4.85 in his last three starts
— Chicago is 8-7 in his starts.
— under 8-5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2-3
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago is 7-10 in its last 17 games.
— White Sox are 3-8 in last 11 road games.
— over 11-4 last 15 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 46-23-16

— Pineda is 0-2, 7.94 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 4-7 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-2
— He is 5-4, 3.38 in ten starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
— Twins are 6-8 in last 14 home games.
— over 17-6-1 last 24 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-84
— record in first 5 innings: 27-39-18

Detroit (39-47) @ Texas (34-52)
— Mize is 2-2, 4.01 in his last six starts.
— Tigers are 9-7 in his starts.
— under 13-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Detroit is 10-8 its last 18 games.
— Detroit is 4-2 in its last six road games.
— over 19-7 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-87
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-1 last ten on road.

— Gibson is 3-0, 1.53 in his last six starts.
— Texas is 10-6 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He is 10-9, 5.43 in 22 starts vs Detroit.

— Texas is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Texas is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
— over 15-7-2 last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-86
— record in first 5 innings: 31-43-12

Oakland (49-37) @ Houston (52-33)
— Manaea is 0-3, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 11-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-4
— He is 0-1, 4.86 in three starts vs Houston this year.

— A’s lost 11 of their last 16 games.
— Oakland is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-87
— record in first 5 innings: 37-33-17

— Garcia is 1-2, 4.64 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 1-0, 1.80 in two starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won their last five games.
— Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.
— over 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-86
— record in first 5 innings: 46-26-14

Boston (54-33) @ Angels (43-42)
— Rodriguez is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox won his last six starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
— He is 1-1, 10.57 in two starts vs Anaheim.

— Boston is 17-8 in its last 25 games.
— Red Sox are 11-6 in their last 17 road games.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-87
— record in first 5 innings: 41-32-14

— Heaney is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 5-9 in his starts.
— over 12-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 1-1, 6.16 in four starts vs Boston.

— Halos are 7-7 in last 14 games.
— Angels are 4-4 in last eight home games.
— over 20-8 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-86
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-11

Bronx (43-41) @ Seattle (45-41)
— German is 0-3, 6.82 in his last seven starts.
— New York is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

— New York lost seven of its last ten games.
— New York is 4-6 in its last ten road games.
— over 17-8-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-84
— record in first 5 innings: 34-34-16

— Kikuchi is 3-0, 1.01 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 1-1, 4.63 in two starts vs New York.

— Seattle won 14 of its last 19 games.
— Seattle is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
— under 5-4 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-7

Interleague games
Cincinnati (44-41) @ Kansas City (36-49)

— Gray is 1-1, 2.41 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 5-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7-2
— He is 3-2, 2.06 in six starts vs Kansas City.

— Cincinnati won five of its last six games.
— Reds are 2-6 in last eight road games.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-85
— record in first 5 innings: 33-37-15

— Singer is 0-1, 5.49 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Royals lost 22 of their last 29 games.
— Royals are 5-8 in their last 13 home games.
— over 13-8 last 21 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-85
— record in first 5 innings: 30-43-12
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,295
Tokens
MLB

Wednesday, July 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home

Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Texas
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 12 games when playing Kansas City
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing Cincinnati

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
LA Angels is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston

Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Oakland

Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
San Diego is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

NY Yankees @ Seattle
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,437
Tokens
WEDNESDAY, JULY 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



DET at TEX 02:05 PM
TEX -145
+500


CIN at KC 02:10 PM
CIN -128
+500


MIL at NYM 02:10 PM
MIL +155
+500


BOS at LAA 04:07 PM
LAA +117
+500


TOR at BAL 07:05 PM
BAL +172
+500


MIL at NYM 07:10 PM
MIL +112
+500


PHI at CHC 08:05 PM
PHI -136
+500


OAK at HOU 08:10 PM
OAK +135
+500


COL at ARI 09:40 PM
ARI -104
+500


STL at SF 09:45 PM
SF -176
+500


WAS at SD 10:10 PM
WAS +157
+500


NYY at SEA 10:10 PM
SEA +100
+500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,437
Tokens
MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:


07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85




Totals............43-48-0 ......47.25% ....-31.70




***************************




Best Bets July:


07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55




Totals.......15-26- 0...............36.58%.........- 17.40
 

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Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
18,295
Tokens
Thursday’s 6-pack
According to AAA Magazine, six of the most popular honeymoon spots:

6) Punta Cana— There are 11 golf courses here, beaches ideal for surfing.
5) Jamaica— Has some of the best all-inclusive resorts in the Caribbean.
4) Hawai’i— Each of the islands is unique in its geography/history.
3) Bahamas— Grand Bahama Island is only 66 miles east of West Palm Beach.
2) Aruba— Sits outside of Hurricane Alley, is less than 20 miles from Venezuela.
1) Antigua— Famous for its resorts and beaches, where snorkeling is popular.

Quote of the Day
“Brandon (Beane) mentioned [a new contract], I think at the end of the spring practice period there, and these things handle themselves. They work themselves out when you got two parties that want to be together and have the same end goal in mind. Josh (Allen) is a great, young talent and he fits so well with Buffalo and the city and the town and the people of Buffalo. So, I firmly believe it’s gonna work itself out.”
Bills coach Sean McDermott

Thursday’s quiz
Before this year, which NHL team was last to repeat as Stanley Cup champs?

Wednesday’s quiz
Lou Piniella was manager of the Seattle Mariners, last time they made the playoffs.

Tuesday’s quiz
Matthew Stonie (62 hot dogs) was the last male other than Joey Chestnut to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest, in 2015.

************************************

Thursday’s Den: Big X football knowledge

Baylor:
— From 2013-15, they were 32-7; since then, they’re 28-33.
— Their 4-year starting QB bolted to Utah.
— LY was Aranda’s first year as a HC; he went 2-7.
— Underdogs covered 4 of their last five bowls (3-2 SU)

Iowa State
— HC Campbell is 29-13-2 ATS as an underdog, 30-29-2 as a favorite.
— Last three years, Cyclones are 6-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Last six years, Iowa State is 22-10-1 ATS off a loss.
— Returning QB has 33 starts; offensive line has 93 returning starts.

Kansas
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 18-99 SU. 18 wins. 99 losses.
— New coach Leipold won six D-III national titles, was 37-33 at Buffalo.
— Since 2012, Kansas is 4-12 ATS as home favorites, 0-0 as road favorites.
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 40-56-3 ATS as underdogs, 20-32-2 on road.

Kansas State
— Since 2016, K-State is 24-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2015, K-State is 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— In 2016-17, Wildcats went 17-9 SU, were +23 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Wildcats are 17-18 SU (even in turnovers)
— K-State has a senior QB (30 starts), all 5 starters back on OL.

Oklahoma
— Last 6 years, Sooners are 67-12 SU; their turnover ration last 5 years is even.
— Riley is 9-5 ATS in non-conference games.
— Sooners lost 3 of last 4 bowl games, giving up 45.5 ppg.
— Last year’s #2 QB bolted to SMU.

Oklahoma State
— Cowboys have played in a bowl each of last 15 years.
— Coach Gundy is 71-48-5 ATS as a favorite.
— OSU won four of last five bowls, covering all five games.
— Oklahoma State covered 16 of last 18 non-conference games.

Texas
— Sarkisian is Texas’ 4th HC in last nine years.
— Last four years, Longhorns were +31 in turnovers.
— Last four years, Texas is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last five years, Longhorns are 12-5 ATS out of conference.

TCU
— Last 5 years, Horned Frogs are 6-11-1 ATS as home favorites.
— In 2014, TCU was +18 in turnovers; in 75 games since then, they’re minus-8.
— Since 2013, TCU is 14-21 ATS coming off a loss.
— Frogs won 3 of last 4 bowls, winning by 2-3-6(OT) points.

Texas Tech
— Last bowl game was 2017; last bowl win, 2013.
— HC Wells is 20-12-1 ATS as home favorite, 11-18 as road underdog.
— Since 2014, Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS as road favorite.
— New OC is Sonny Cumbie; he spent last 7 years at TCU.

West Virginia
— HC Brown is 14-19-1 ATS at home, 22-12 ATS on road.
— WVU is 0-5 ATS in last 5 bowls (2-3 SU, wins by 1-3 points)
— Since 2012, Mountaineers are 12-19 ATS out of conference.
— Last 2 years, WVU is 11-11 SU; previous 8 years, they were 61-39.
 

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