Cnotes 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Thursday’s 6-pack
NBA scoring leaders:

31.5— Curry, GState
30.9— Beal, Wash
29.0— Embiid, Phil
28.5— Doncic, Dal
28.5— Antetokounmpo, Milw
28.4— Lillard, Port

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 578,524
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“Yeah, right now it doesn’t matter at all to be honest with you. I was just happy I made a good pitch, I was struggling with the curveball recently, so I was just happy I got it over and got a swing and miss on it, so that is all I was happy about. I was just trying to keep my cool with him on first base. I’m glad Sevy (catcher Pedro Severino) made up for it by getting him out at second.”
Orioles P John Means, who threw a no-hitter Wednesday

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the last Baltimore Orioles pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter?

Wednesday’s quiz
Actor Burgess Meredith played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky; he played The Penguin in the old Batman TV series.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the great TV show The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)

*************************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Orioles 6, Seattle 0:
— John Means threw MLB’s third no-hitter this season.
— Only baserunner reached on a wild pitch after a strikeout
— That is the only time in MLB history the only runner to reach in a no-hitter got on base via a wild pitch after a strikeout.
— Three no-hitters this year; there were no walks, but no perfect games.
— This was Baltimore’s first complete game no-hitter since 1969.

12) Indians 5, Royals 4:
— Cleveland is in a 3-way toe for first in AL Central
— Indians are 16-13, but they’re 8-17-4 in first 5-inning wagers; Terry Francona is a very good manager, plus they’ve played very well in late innings.

11) Early candidate for Bad Beat of the Year: Cavaliers (+12.5) lost 134-118 to Phoenix Tuesday, in overtime. Getting 12.5 points, they lost by freakin’ 16 in OT!!! No bueno.

10) Baseball’s new rules have created new situations, ones that the best managers aren’t used to. It turns out that Tony LaRussa didn’t know the new extra inning rules.

Wednesday afternoon, scoreless game in 10th inning in Cincinnati, LaRussa’s White Sox start the 10th inning with closer Liam Hendriks on second base— a pinch-hitter made the last four of the ninth inning for Chicago. Guy who makes the last out is the runner next inning.

Except for one scenario, if that runner would be the pitcher, then the manager can choose the guy bats before the pitcher to be the runner, but LaRussa didn’t know that. Now he does.

Hendriks, by the way, has batted three times in his 11-year career, going 0-2 with a walk— that walk happened six years ago.

9) This game was only fourth time in 18+ years that a game at Great American Ballpark was 0-0 after nine innings.

8) Phillies 5, Brewers 4:
— Game was 5-0 Phillies before they made an out.
— After it was 5-0, Freddy Peralta struck out the next six batters, and only allowed two more runners to reach base in four IP, but the damage had been done.

7) So far this season, Jose Altuve is batting .247; not good.
— He is 16-41 (.390) vs lefties.
— He is 3-36 (.083) vs righty pitchers.

6) Toronto Blue Jays will go back to playing home games in Buffalo June 1st; they’ve been playing home games in Dunedin, FL, at their spring training home. Hopefully before too much longer, they go back home to Toronto.

5) Cubs 6, Dodgers 5 (11)— Anthony Rizzo hit a walk-off single in a game he didn’t start; Cubs sweep LA, which has now lost 13 of its last 17 games.

4) Strange situation in the Mets-Cardinals game Wednesday; St Louis sent the interpreter to the mound so pitcher Kwang Hung Kim could confer with his infielders about who was covering which base. Problem is, that’s against the rules— interpreters can’t go on the field without a coach or manager.

Shortly after that, when pitching coach Mike Maddux tried to go to the mound to talk to Kim, there was a lengthy conference with the umpires, since no one seemed to know if the interpreter’s first visit counted as an official mound visit.

3) In his first 90 career at-bats against the Mets, St Louis SS Paul DeJong has 11 doubles, 10 homers and the incredibly high slugging percentage of .822.

2) Kyrie Irving got fined $35,000 by the NBA for repeatedly violating league rules regarding media access.

Really? This guy can just give away money like that?

Can someone please show him some Bill Belichick tapes, or let him watch Bull Durham, when Crash Davis lectures the rookie pitcher on how to use cliches in interviews. It is possible to talk without saying anything, politicians do it every day.

Just be boring, relentlessly boring, but don’t give your damn money away.

I know he is really, really rich (he makes $31M a year, has already banked around $157M in his career), but the money would be better served going to charity. Actually, I think fine money does go to charity, but it still makes no sense.

1) Tuesday night in Cincinnati, Dylan Cease threw six shutout innings for the White Sox, and also had three hits in Chicago’s 9-0 win.

He is the first AL starting pitcher to throw 6+ shutout innings, striking out at 10+ hitters and giving up fewer than three hits, while also getting three hits himself, since Catfish Hunter threw a perfect game for the A’s on May 8, 1968.

From the great researcher Christopher Kamka: Cease is the first White Sox pitcher with 3 hits through the 5th inning of a game since Don Larsen in 1961 at Washington.

Yes, that Don Larsen, the guy who threw a perfect game in the World Series.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, May 6


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901MILWAUKEE -902 PHILADELPHIA
MILWAUKEE is 14-28 SU (-17.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

903NY METS -904 ST LOUIS
NY METS are 23-35 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

905ATLANTA -906 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 81-56 SU (19.4 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

907ARIZONA -908 MIAMI
ARIZONA is 57-33 SU (23.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the last 3 seasons.

909HOUSTON -910 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (14.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.

911DETROIT -912 BOSTON
DETROIT is 3-13 SU (-14.2 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the current season.

913TEXAS -914 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 3-14 SU (-11.7 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

915CLEVELAND -916 KANSAS CITY
CLEVELAND is 18-5 SU (12.9 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

917TORONTO -918 OAKLAND
TORONTO is 8-17 SU (-15.3 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

919TAMPA BAY -920 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 248-225 SU (0.5 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1996.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 6


NL games
Milwaukee (17-14) @ Philadelphia (16-15)

— Woodruff is 2-0, 1.16 in his last five starts.
— Brewers are 5-1 in his starts
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 2-0, 0.50 in three starts vs Philly.

— Brewers lost their last four games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last 11 road games.
— under 10-5 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-5

— Wheeler is 1-0, 3.92 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 2-4 in his starts
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 1-1, 2.90 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Phillies are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 12-6 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-31
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-8

Mets (12-13) @ St Louis (18-13)
— Walker is 1-1, 3.33 in five starts.
— Mets are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 0-1, 3.50 in three starts vs St Louis.

— Mets are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 6-9 on the road.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2

— Gant is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— Cardinals are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 3-0, 0.87 in seven games (2 starts, 20.2 IP) vs New York.

— Cardinals won 10 of their last 13 games.
— St Louis is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
— Under 6-2-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-11-5

Arizona (15-15) @ Miami (13-16)
— Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 3-3 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 2-4, 4.47 in ten starts vs Miami.

— Arizona won 10 of its last 15 games.
— Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-1

— Lopez is 0-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 2-4 in his starts.
— under 2-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He allowed 3 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Arizona.

— Marlins lost nine of their last 15 games.
— Miami is 6-7 at home.
— under 5-3-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-6

Atlanta (14-16) @ Washington (12-14)
— Smyly is 0-2, 9.95 in four starts.
— Braves are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 4-0 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He is 0-0, 2.57 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Braves lost four of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 7-9 on the road.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5

— Lester blanked Miami for five IP (70 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Washington is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He is 7-2, 2.30 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.

— Washington won four of its last six games.
— Nationals won five of their last seven home games.
— under 9-2 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-7

AL games
Houston (15-15) @ Bronx (16-14)

— McCullers is 1-0, 1.38 in last two starts.
— Astros are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 2-0, 2.59 in four starts vs New York

— Astros lost their last three games.
— Astros are 4-8 in last 12 road games.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6

— Former Astro Cole is 4-1, 1.43 in six starts.
— New York is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
— He gave up five runs in five IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— New York won 11 of its last 15 games.
— New York is 7-1 in its last eight home games.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-4

Detroit (9-22) @ Boston (18-13)
— Turnbull is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts.
— Detroit is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He threw five shutout innings, in his one start vs Boston.

— Detroit lost 16 of its last 19 games.
— Detroit is 5-13 on the road.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-18 on road
— record in first 5 innings: 3-14-1 on road

— Eovaldi is 4-1, 3.99 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Detroit.

— Boston lost four of its last six games.
— Red Sox won three of last five home games.
— under six of last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6

Texas (15-17) @ Minnesota (11-18)
— Lyles is 0-2, 10.66 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 6.1 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Texas won five of its last seven games.
— Texas is 8-8 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-4

— Pineda is 2-1, 2.96 in five starts.
— Twins are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He 2-4, 5.09 in eight starts vs Texas.

— Twins lost 16 of their last 22 games.
— Minnesota is 6-10 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scores run in first inning: 11-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-6

Cleveland (16-13) @ Kansas City (16-13)
— McKenzie is 0-1, 7.20 in four starts.
— Indians are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in three games (2 starts) vs KC.

— Cleveland won eight of its last ten games.
— Indians are 9-7 on the road.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 games
— scores run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 8-17-4

— Duffy is 4-1, 1.20 in his first five starts.
— Royals are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 5-12, 4.82 in 24 games (20 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Royals lost five of their last six games.
— Royals are 8-8 at home.
— last seven games went over
— scores run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5

Tampa Bay (17-15) @ Angels (13-16)
— Fleming is 1-2, 2.18 in four games (20.2 IP).
— They may/may not use an opener here.
— Rays are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Tampa Bay is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 8-1 in last nine road games.
— eight of last 12 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-8

— Heaney is 1-1, 2.95 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 0-3, 4.87 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Halos lost five of last six games overall.
— Angels are 7-6 at home.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-14-2

Toronto (15-14) @ Oakland (19-13)
— Ryu is 1-2, 2.93 in five starts.
— Blue Jays are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He threw six shutout innings in his one start vs Oakland

— Toronto won seven of its last 11 games.
— Toronto lost three of last five road games.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-4

— Fiers allowed three runs in six IP (83 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— A’s are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-4, 4.22 in nine games (8 starts) vs Toronto.

— A’s are 6-6 in their last 12 games.
— Oakland won 11 of its last 14 home games.
— Under is 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-7
 

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MLB

Thursday, May 6


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Trend Report
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Houston @ NY Yankees
Houston
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

Texas @ Minnesota
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

NY Mets @ St. Louis
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games

Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games

Toronto @ Oakland
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Arizona @ Miami
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Tampa Bay @ LA Angels
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Thursday May 6
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Marlins are 7-0 SU since Jul 15, 2018 past the first game of a series at home after they shut out their opponent last game

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Boston (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Tigers are 0-16 SU since Aug 29, 2017 as a road dog coming off a one run road win.

OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 0-13 OU (-2.69 ppg) since Sep 02, 2017 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Royals are 9-0 SU since Jun 07, 2014 when Danny Duffy starts as a home favorite when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start and the Royals won.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Friday’s 6-pack
NBA rebounding leaders:

14.4— Clint Capela, Atl
13.4— Rudy Gobert, Utah
12.3— Jonas Valanciunas, Mem
11.9—Domantas Sabonis, Ind
11.5— Nikola Vucevic, Chi
11.3— Russell Westbrook, Wash

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 579,358
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“I’m guessing you know the rules better. Now I know.”
Tony LaRussa, to a reporter in Chicago, talking about the new extra inning rules.

Friday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a World Series?

Thursday’s quiz
Jim Palmer was last Baltimore Orioles pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter, in 1969.

Wednesday’s quiz
Actor Burgess Meredith played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky; he played The Penguin in the old Batman TV series.

*************************

Friday’s Den: Trends for National League teams

Arizona:
— Arizona is 14-5 if they score 5+ runs, 1-11 if they don’t.
— Diamondbacks are 2-5 vs lefty starters, 13-11 vs righties.
— Arizona is 1-4 in one-run games.

Atlanta:
— Braves are 7-4 on road if they score 3+ runs.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.
— Under is 11-6 in their road games.

Chicago:
— Cubs won seven of their last nine home games.
— Cubs are 7-1 vs lefty starters, 8-15 vs righties.
— 7 of their last 8 games went over the total.

Cincinnati:
— Reds are 7-2 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.
— Over is 12-3-2 in their home games.
— Reds are 6-11 in day games, 8-4 in night games.

Colorado:
— Rockies won six of their last eight home games.
— Last five games at Coors Field went over the total.
— Over is 7-1 in Colorado’s last eight road games.

Los Angeles:
— Dodgers lost 13 of their last 17 games.
— LA is 4-11 on the road if they score fewer than six runs.
— Over is 11-2 in their last thirteen games.

Miami:
— Marlins are 2-7 in one-run games.
— Miami is 10-2 if they score 5+ runs, 4-14 if they don’t.
— Marlins won six of their last eight home games.

Milwaukee:
— Brewers lost their last five games.
— Milwaukee is 3-8 at home if they score less than six runs.
— Under is 11-5 in their road games.

New York:
— Mets are 11-2 if they score 4+ runs, 2-11 if they do not.
— Under is 8-1-1 in their home games.
— Mets are 5-2 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

Philadelphia:
— Phillies are 13-6 at home, 4-9 on the road.
— Over is 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
— Phillies scored in first inning in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh:
— Pirates scored 3 or fewer runs in 10 of their 17 road games.
— Pirates are 4-1 in one-run games.
— Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine road games.

St Louis:
— Cardinals are 15-2 if they score 4+ runs, 3-12 if they don’t.
— Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.
— Cardinals are 7-3 in series openers.

San Diego:
— Padres won five of their last seven games.
— Under is 9-2 in their last eleven games.
— San Diego is 7-3 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.

San Francisco:
— Giants lost five of their last seven road games.
— Giants are 10-1 at home if they score 3+ runs.
— San Francisco’s last five games went over the total.

Washington:
— Nationals scored 3 or fewer runs in 15 of their first 27 games.
— Washington is 3-6 in series openers.
— Under is 10-2 in their last dozen home games.
 

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951PITTSBURGH -952 CHICAGO CUBS
PITTSBURGH is 14-24 SU (-12.4 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

953MILWAUKEE -954 MIAMI
MILWAUKEE is 14-30 SU (-19.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955ARIZONA -956 NY METS
ARIZONA is 11-0 SU (11.8 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

957PHILADELPHIA -958 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

959COLORADO -960 ST LOUIS
COLORADO is 3-10 SU (-11.5 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

961SAN DIEGO -962 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-10 SU (14.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

961SAN DIEGO -962 SAN FRANCISCO
GABE KAPLER is 24-10 SU (13 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

963BOSTON -964 BALTIMORE
BOSTON is 9-0 SU (9.3 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

965MINNESOTA -966 DETROIT
DETROIT is 3-13 SU (-14.2 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

967SEATTLE -968 TEXAS
TEXAS are 15-5 SU (9.6 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 7


NL games
Pittsburgh (13-17) @ Cubs (15-16)

— Cahill is 1-3, 7.77 in five starts.
— Pirates are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 3-2, 4.88 in six games (4 starts) vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost six of their last seven games.
— Pittsburgh split their last eight road tilts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-4

— Davies is 0-2, 10.38 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 5-6, 5.06 16 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cubs won their last three games.
— Chicago is 11-7 at home.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-4

Arizona (15-16) @ Mets (13-13)
— Gallen is 1-1, 3.48 in four starts.
— Arizona is 2-2 in his starts
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 0-1, 4.09 in two starts vs New York.

— Arizona lost four of its last five games.
— Arizona is 2-4 in its last six road games.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-2

— Peterson is 1-1, 2.25 in two home starts.
— Mets are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Mets are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Mets are 6-4 at home.
— Under 8-4-1 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-2

Milwaukee (17-15) @ Miami (14-16)
— Suter is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 2.70 in 12 relief stints (16.2 IP) this year
— Suter has started 38 MLB games, but only four since 2018.
— He is 1-0, 6.00 in 3 games (1 start) vs Miami.

— Brewers lost their last five games.
— Milwaukee lost last four road games.
— under 11-5 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-6

— Rogers is 3-1, 1.55 in his last five starts.
— Miami is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He threw six shutout innings in his one start vs Milwaukee.

— Marlins won their last four home games.
— Miami is 7-7 at home.
— under 6-3-2 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-7

Philadelphia (17-15) @ Atlanta (15-16)
— Eflin is 0-1, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 3-3 in his starts
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 5-3, 3.48 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.

— Phillies won their last four games.
— Phillies are 4-9 on the road.
— under 6-2 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-32
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-9

— Morton is 1-0, 6.04 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1 in his last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 2-6, 6.14 in ten starts vs Washington.

— Braves won their last three games.
— Atlanta is 7-7 at home.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-5

Colorado (12-19) @ St Louis (18-14)
— Former Cardinal Gomber is 2-3, 7.14 in six starts.
— Colorado is 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against his old team.

— Colorado is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Rockies are 2-11 on the road.
— over 9-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-5

— Flaherty is 5-0, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 6-0 in his starts, scoring 61 runs.
— over 4-0-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
— He is 1-1, 3.18 in two starts vs Colorado.

— Cardinals won 10 of their last 14 games.
— St Louis is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— Under 7-2-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-32
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-5

San Diego (18-14) @ San Francisco (18-13)
— Snell is 1-0, 3.52 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 1-0, 2.70 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Padres won five of last seven games.
— San Diego is 5-2 in its last seven road games.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 11-16-5

— DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.00 in six starts.
— Giants are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 1-1, 2.57 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Giants lost four of their last six games.
— Giants are 10-3 at home.
— Over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 17-10-4

AL games
Boston (19-13) @ Baltimore (15-16)

— Rodriguez is 4-0, 4.18 in five starts.
— Red Sox are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 10-5, 3.34 in 20 games (18 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Boston lost four of its last seven games.
— Red Sox are 9-4 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-6

— Harvey is 3-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
— He is 0-1, 3.45 in three starts vs Boston.

— Orioles won five of their last seven games.
— Baltimore is 11-6 on the road, 4-10 at home.
— under is 13-4 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-6

Minnesota (11-19) @ Detroit (9-23)
— Shoemaker is 0-3, 12.00 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 5-1, 0.79 in seven starts vs Detroit.

— Twins lost 17 of their last 23 games.
— Minnesota is 1-6 in last seven road games.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scores run in first inning: 12-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6

— Skubal is 0-3, 9.82 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 4-0 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 1-0, 3.07 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit lost 17 of its last 20 games.
— Detroit is 2-7 in its last nine home games.
— under 10-3 at home
— scored run in first inning: 5-32
— record in first 5 innings: 2-15-2 last 19 games

Seattle (17-15) @ Texas (16-17)
— Flexen is 1-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— Seattle split its last eight games.
— Seattle is 1-4 in its last five road games.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 7-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-3

— Foltynewicz is 1-0, 3.12 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He is 0-2, 9.45 in 3 games (1 start) vs Seattle.

— Texas won six of its last eight games.
— Texas is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— under 7-3 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-4

White Sox (16-13) @ Kansas City (16-14)
— Rodon is 4-0, 1.08 in four starts.
— Chicago is 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He is 2-3, 3.69 in seven starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago split its last eight games.
— White Sox are 6-4 in last ten road games.
— over 3-2-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 19-4-6

— Keller is 1-1, 13.50 in three home starts.
— Royals are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 2-2, 2.08 in 8 games (6 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Royals lost their last five games.
— Royals are 8-9 at home.
— seven of last eight games went over
— scores run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-5

Toronto (16-14) @ Houston (16-15)
— Stripling is 0-1, 6.39 in three starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Toronto won eight of its last 12 games.
— Toronto is 5-3 in last eight road games.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-4

— Urquidy is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto

— Astros lost three of their last four games.
— Astros are 6-2 in last eight home games.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-6

Tampa Bay (18-15) @ Oakland (19-14)
— Hill is 1-1, 6.39 in six starts.
— Rays are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.20 in 7 games (3 starts) vs Oakland.

— Tampa Bay won its last five games.
— Rays are 9-1 in last ten road games.
— eight of last 13 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-8

— Manaea is 3-0, 2.74 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 2-1, 2.51 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— A’s are 6-7 in their last 13 games.
— Oakland won 11 of its last 15 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-7

Interleague games
Washington (12-15) @ Bronx (16-15)

— Corbin is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 0-0, 1.35 in two starts vs New York.

— Washington lost its last three games.
— Nationals are 4-7 on the road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-7

— Taillon is 1-0, 2.45 in three home starts.
— New York is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 0-1, 3.75 in four starts vs Washington.

— New York won 11 of its last 16 games.
— New York is 7-2 in its last nine home games.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-4

Cincinnati (14-15) @ Cleveland (17-13)
— Mahle is 0-0, 3.78 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 0-2, 5.84 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Cincinnati is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Reds are 4-8 on road.
— Over 11-4-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-4

— Plesac is 1-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
— Indians are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 0-2, 5.11 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cleveland won five in row, 9 of its last 11 games.
— Indians are 7-6 at home.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scores run in first inning: 6-30
— record in first 5 innings: 9-17-4

Dodgers (17-15) @ Angels (13-17)
— Urias is 2-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He gave up a run in 1.2 IP, in one relief stint against the Angels.

— Dodgers lost 13 of their last 17 games.
— Dodgers are 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 11-2 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-6

— Canning is 1-2, 6.50 in four starts.
— Angels are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up 3 runs in six IP, in his one start vs the Dodgers.

— Halos lost six of last seven games overall.
— Angels are 7-7 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-2
 

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MLB

Friday, May 7


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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 10 games

Washington @ NY Yankees
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 15 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Arizona @ NY Mets
Arizona
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Arizona is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
NY Mets is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta's last 17 games at home

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Toronto @ Houston
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home

Colorado @ St. Louis
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

LA Dodgers @ LA Angels
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Oakland
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
San Diego is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Diamond Trends for Friday May 7
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 10-0 SU since Aug 25, 2018 as a home favorite coming off a walk off win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-10 SU since Aug 14, 2020 after a game as a road dog in which they had multiple multiple-run innings.

OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Oakland (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 0-12 OU (-2.71 ppg) since Sep 02, 2020 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 13-0 SU since Apr 13, 2017 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a -140 or greater favorite after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Messages
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Leaders in runs scored:

29— Ronald Acuna, Atl
28— JD Martinez, Bos
27— Mark Canha, A’s
26— Bo Bichette, Tor
25— Chris Taylor, LA
23— Castellanos, Bryant, Guerrero, Hoskins, Solak

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 580,076
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly.”
Mr Carlson, WKRP in Cincinnati

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Russell Westbrook play his college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
Lou Piniella was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a World Series.

Thursday’s quiz
Jim Palmer was last Baltimore Orioles pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter, in 1969.

**************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Reds 3, Indians 0:
— Wade Miley throws the 4th (9-inning) no-hitter of the season.
— Reds scored 3 runs in ninth to break a scoreless tie.
— Last time there were four no-hitters by May 7? Try 1917.

12) Phillies 12, Braves 2— Philly scored six runs in first inning, with Rhys Hoskins scoring one of them, even though he struck out twice in the inning. You don’t see that a lot.

11) Going into Friday night’s games, teams that led by 3+ runs after 8th inning were 223-2.

10) Washington Wizards’ Russell Westbrook is 6th in the NBA in rebounding; he is also a 6-3 guard. Let that sink in; a 6-3 guard is 6th in the league in rebounding, while also scoring 21.8 ppg and dishing out 11.4 assists a game.

9) Westbrook’s old team, the Houston Rockets, have now used 28 players this season, tying the all-time record. Rockets are 16-51, not sure their management has a clue what they’re doing.

8) From 2015-2019, only 5% of extra-inning games ended in the 10th inning.

With the new extra inning rules LY, 92% of games ended in either 10 or 11 innings.

7) Giants 5, Padres 4— Padres traded for Blake Snell last winter, but they have a problem with him— he never pitches six innings. Your best pitchers have to eat up innings, to take the strain off your bullpen. Snell has thrown 30.1 innings in seven starts this season- he threw 95 pitches in 4.2 innings in this game. That’s not good enough.

6) Washington’s Kyle Finnegan threw the 102nd immaculate inning in MLB history this week; he struck out three Braves on nine pitches in 6th inning of the Nationals’ 5-3 loss to Atlanta.

5) Random trivia: From 1959-62, there were two baseball All-Star Games per year. The second game was used to raise funds for things like the players’ pension fund.

4) Some significant names went on the IL Friday:
— Cobs OF Ian Happ (ribs)
— Reds 1B Joey Votto (thumb)
— Tigers C Wilson Ramos (back)
— Blue Jays IF Joe Panik (calf)
— Twins OF Byron Buxton (hip)
— Red Sox IF Keke Hernandez (hamstring)
— Giants OF Alex Dickerson (shoulder)

3) Buffalo Bulls of the MAC hired Maurice Linguist as their new football coach, replacing Lance Leipold, who moved on to be the new coach at Kansas.

Linguist had been an assistant coach at Michigan, on the defensive side of the ball.

2) Interesting situation in Anaheim this week, with Angels DFA’ing Albert Pujols, who obviously doesn’t want to retire. Angels don’t want to play him anymore; they want to play Jared Walsh at 1B, Shohei Ohtani at DH. The question becomes; is there a team that wants Pujols?

If the National League had the DH, this might be simpler; Pujols has 667 homers; would a year or two as a DH get him to 700?

1) Early candidate for Bad Beat of the Year: Cavaliers (+12.5) lost by 16 to the Suns the other night, but the loss was in overtime. You’re +12.5 and the game goes to OT, you figure you’re a winner, but not this time. Gambling is hard.
 

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901COLORADO -902 ST LOUIS
COLORADO is 3-10 SU (-11.5 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

903PITTSBURGH -904 CHICAGO CUBS
PITTSBURGH is 14-24 SU (-12.4 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

905SAN DIEGO -906 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-10 SU (14.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

905SAN DIEGO -906 SAN FRANCISCO
GABE KAPLER is 24-10 SU (13 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

907MILWAUKEE -908 MIAMI
MILWAUKEE is 14-30 SU (-19.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

909ARIZONA -910 NY METS
ARIZONA is 11-0 SU (11.8 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

911PHILADELPHIA -912 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 16-27 SU (-16.8 Units) in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.

913TAMPA BAY -914 OAKLAND
TAMPA BAY is 11-1 SU (11.3 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

915MINNESOTA -916 DETROIT
DETROIT is 3-13 SU (-14.2 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

917SEATTLE -918 TEXAS
TEXAS are 10-25 SU (-17.5 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, May 8


NL games
Pittsburgh (13-18) @ Cubs (16-16)

— Crowe is 0-1, 3.60 in two starts.
— Pirates are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up a run in 0.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost seven of their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-5 in their last nine road tilts.
— under 7-1-1 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-4

— Former Pirate Williams is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He gave up five runs in 3.1 IP, in his one start vs his old team.

— Cubs won their last four games.
— Chicago is 12-7 at home.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-15-4

Arizona (15-17) @ Mets (14-13)
— Kelly is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Arizona won his last four starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 1-1, 2.63 in two starts vs New York.

— Arizona lost five of its last six games.
— Arizona is 2-5 in its last seven road games.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-32
— record in first 5 innings: 16-14-2

— Lucchesi is 0-2, 12.46 in three starts (8.2 IP).
— Mets are 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 1-5, 5.17 in eight starts vs Arizona.

— Mets are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Mets are 7-4 at home.
— Under 8-5-1 last fourteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-2

Milwaukee (17-16) @ Miami (15-16)
— Houser is 1-1, 4.96 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 1-0, 3.12 in 2 games (1 start) vs Miami.

— Brewers lost their last six games.
— Milwaukee lost last five road games.
— under 11-6 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 13-14-6

— Miami hasn’t named a starting pitcher.

— Marlins won their last five home games.
— Miami is 8-7 at home.
— under 6-4-2 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 11-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-7

Philadelphia (18-15) @ Atlanta (15-17)
— Velasquez is 1-0, 3.77 in three starts.
— Phillies are 2-1 in his starts
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He is 1-6, 4.83 in 14 games (12 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Phillies won their last five games.
— Phillies are 5-9 on the road.
— under 6-3 last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-9

— Anderson is 2-1, 2.04 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0 in his last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-0, 4.35 in two starts vs Philly.

— Braves won three of their last four games.
— Atlanta is 7-8 at home.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-13-5

Colorado (12-20) @ St Louis (19-14)
— Gonzalez is 0-0, 4.12 in four starts.
— Colorado is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-1, 5.23 in two starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Rockies are 2-12 on the road.
— over 9-2 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-5

— Martinez is 2-1, 1.27 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 2-4 in his starts.
— under last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 4-1, 5.57 in 13 games (6 starts) vs Colorado.

— Cardinals won 11 of their last 15 games.
— St Louis is 8-4 in its last 12 home games.
— Under 8-2-1 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-33
— record in first 5 innings: 16-12-5

San Diego (18-15) @ San Francisco (19-13)
— Musgrove is 0-3, 5.21 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Padres won five of last eight games.
— San Diego is 5-3 in its last eight road games.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 11-17-5

— Gausman is 3-0, 2.04 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in four games (3 starts) vs San Diego.

— Giants lost four of their last seven games.
— Giants are 11-3 at home.
— Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 18-10-4

AL games
Boston (20-13) @ Baltimore (15-17)

— Richards is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 0-5, 6.36 in 10 games (six starts) vs Baltimore.

— Boston won three of its last four games.
— Red Sox are 10-4 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-6

— Bullpen game for the Orioles.

— Orioles won five of their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 11-6 on the road, 4-11 at home.
— under is 14-4 in their last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-6

Minnesota (12-19) @ Detroit (9-24)
— Berrios is 1-1, 3.78 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 4-2, 6.53 in nine games (8 starts) vs Detroit.

— Twins lost 17 of their last 24 games.
— Minnesota is 2-6 in last eight road games.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scores run in first inning: 13-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6

— Urena is 1-2, 2.57 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5-1
— He gave up 6 runs in three IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Detroit lost 18 of its last 21 games.
— Detroit is 2-8 in its last ten home games.
— under 10-4 at home
— scored run in first inning: 5-33
— record in first 5 innings: 2-16-2 last 20 games

Seattle (18-15) @ Texas (16-18)
— Newsome allowed 8 runs in two IP in his first ‘21 start.
— Seattle is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Seattle is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Seattle is 2-4 in its last six road games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-33
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-4

— Arihara is 0-2, 21.21 in his last two starts.
— Rangers are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Texas won six of its last nine games.
— Texas is 5-4 in its last nine home games.
— under 7-4 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-34
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-5

White Sox (17-13) @ Kansas City (16-15)
— Lynn is 2-1, 2.55 in four starts.
— Chicago is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 5-2, 3.73 in ten starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— White Sox are 7-4 in last 11 road games.
— under 3-0-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 20-4-6

— Lynch allowed three runs in 4.1 IP (74 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Royals are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Royals lost their last six games.
— Royals are 8-10 at home.
— seven of last nine games went over
— scores run in first inning: 5-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-5

Toronto (16-15) @ Houston (17-15)
— Matz allowed 11 runs in 8.2 IP, in his last two starts.
— He was 4-0, 1.93 in his first four starts.
— Blue Jays are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Toronto won eight of its last 13 games.
— Toronto is 5-4 in last nine road games.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-4

— Javier is 3-0, 1.23 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto

— Astros lost three of their last five games.
— Astros are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-6

Tampa Bay (18-16) @ Oakland (20-14)
— Glasnow is 4-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He threw 7 shutout innings in his one start vs Oakland.

— Tampa Bay won five of its last six games.
— Rays are 9-2 in last 11 road games.
— nine of last 14 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-34
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-9

— Montas is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 0-1, 2.40 in three games (2 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— A’s are 7-7 in their last 14 games.
— Oakland won 12 of its last 16 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-34
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-8

Interleague games
Washington (13-15) @ Bronx (16-16)

— Scherzer is 2-2, 2.45 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He is 4-4, 4.34 in eight starts vs New York.

— Washington lost three of its last four games.
— Nationals are 5-7 on the road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-8

— Kluber is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two starts.
— New York is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He threw 8 shutout innings in his one start vs Washington.

— New York won 11 of its last 17 games.
— New York is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
— under 11-7 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-32
— record in first 5 innings: 15-12-5

Cincinnati (15-15) @ Cleveland (17-14)
— Castillo is 0-3, 6.52 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 1-5 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— Cincinnati is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Reds are 5-8 on road.
— Over 11-5-2 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-5

— Civale is 4-0, 3.43 in six starts.
— Indians are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Cleveland won nine of its last 12 games.
— Indians are 7-7 at home.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scores run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 9-17-5

Dodgers (17-16) @ Angels (14-17)
— Kershaw is 3-1, 2.12 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He is 7-2, 2.45 in 13 starts against the Angels.

— Dodgers lost 14 of their last 18 games.
— Dodgers are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— over 12-2 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 9-33
— record in first 5 innings: 14-13-6

— Bundy is 0-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in two games (1 start) vs the Dodgers.

— Halos lost six of last eight games overall.
— Angels are 8-7 at home.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-2
 

Member
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Messages
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Tokens
MLB

Saturday, May 8


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Trend Report
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Washington @ NY Yankees
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Washington

Colorado @ St. Louis
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

Pittsburgh @ Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

Tampa Bay @ Oakland
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Miami
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
Boston is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Arizona @ NY Mets
Arizona
Arizona is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Toronto @ Houston
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

LA Dodgers @ LA Angels
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home


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