Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Sunday’s 6-pack:

Leaders in 3-point %age:
42.9%— South Dakota State
41.3%— Davidson
40.9%— Clemson
40.8%— Purdue
40.5%— UMass
40.1%— Colorado State

Quote of the Day
“He’s hands down the worst guy I’ve ever met in my life,”
Former Hawai’i football player Leonard Lee, talking about coach Todd Graham

Sunday’s quiz
Who was QB for the Chiefs, before Patrick Mahomes?

Saturday’s quiz
Chicago Bulls coach Billy Donovan played 44 games in the NBA for the Knicks, before he started his Hall of Fame coaching career; Donovan played his college basketball at Providence.

Friday’s quiz
Andrew Luck was the last QB to be the starter for the Indianapolis Colts two years in a row.

********************************

Sunday’s First Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Chiefs 28, Broncos 24:
— Chiefs ran a fumble back 86 yards for game-winning TD with 7:42 left.
— Denver kicked FG with 4:37 left; they never got ball back.
— Chiefs have beaten Denver 13 games in a row.
— Tennessee has to win Sunday to clinch #1-seed in AFC.

12) Cowboys 51, Eagles 26:
— Game was 17-17 at one point.
— Prescott threw for 295 yards, five TD’s.

11) You watch NBA games and see how incredibly skilled those guys are; then you watch college games and realize there is a very large talent gap. Thats why NBA teams have skill development coaches, because very few players coming out of college are NBA-ready.

If you like the NBA, I highly recommend a trip out west in the summer, to the NBA Summer League at UNLV. Lot of good reasons to do this:
— For $30 or $35, you can watch great basketball all day long, for several days.
— You see how many great basketball players there are who aren’t in the NBA.
— Lot of NBA players are there, watching; all the coaches, some of the owners are there. You can meet some people just hanging out in the lobby outside the two arenas.
— Arenas are air conditioned; it will probably be over 100 degrees outside.
— Going to Las Vegas is never a bad thing.

10) North Carolina hired former Auburn HC Gene Chizik as its new offensive coordinator; Chizik spent the last few years working for the ACC Network. He won the national title as Auburn’s head coach in 2010, when Cam Newton was his QB.

9) Hawai’i’s football program had 19 players enter the transfer portal; school held a 3-hour meeting Friday, to discuss coach Todd Graham’s future. Not too many people had nice things to say about the coach.

8) Upsets of the Day:
— Miami (+14.5) 76, Duke 74
— Missouri (+14) 92, Alabama 86
— Rice (+8.5) 85, UAB 80
— South Carolina (+6) 72, Vanderbilt 70
— Duquesne (+5.5) 78, UMass 74
— NC-Greensboro (+5.5) 72, VMI 56
— Northern Iowa (+5.5) 85, Missouri State 84

7) Pitt 69, Boston College 67— Pitt is 1-3 in ACC games; the four games were decided by total of seven points.

6) Seton Hall 90, UConn 87, OT
— UConn led by nine with 16:01 left.
— Huskies made 14-23 on arc, still lost.
— Seton Hall shot 59.1% inside arc.

5) Miami 76, Duke 74:
— Miami won its ninth straight game.
— Miami was +12 in turnovers (5-17)
— Duke played only six guys more than 7:00.

4) Missouri 92, Alabama 86— This was Missouri’s biggest upset win in the last 25 years.

3) Baylor 76, TCU 64— Baylor is first defending champ in 11 years to start following season 15-0. TCU led 40-31 early in second half.

2) Understood that certain people get paid to do Bracketology stuff on the Interweb, but right now, those ratings mean nothing, nada, zilch, bupkis. Waste of time.

It is January 9th; 50-60 teams either are or were just in a COVID pause. By time March gets here, things will take shape but right now, it is just people making up stuff, trying to get as many clicks as possible from people who surf the Web. Nonsense.

Start Bracketology after the Super Bowl.

1) You hear a lot about job interviews with football coaches at this time of year; back when Al Davis owned the Raiders, he would sometimes interview people he had no intention of hiring, he just wanted to pick their brains, to learn from them.

Lot of times, younger coaches must know they don’t have much of a chance of being hired for a particular job, but they need the experience of going thru interviews, so they’re well-prepared when an interview comes up for a job they really want., or can really get.

******************************

Bonus List of 13: Baseball knowledge on a cold, winter day

It is cold out; I can’t stand winter, and a good way to feel warmer is to think about baseball. The Bill James Baseball Handbook was delivered yesterday. Here is some stuff I learned from that book, which is filled with numbers and knowledge.

Disclaimer: There are still several really good free agents on the market, so when the labor stuff is resolved, teams are going to add key players before the season starts. At least the teams who care about winning will add players.

13) Does the shift help or hurt and by how much?

Last year, teams shifted on 59,062 at-bats: shifts took away 4,802 hits, but there were 3,946 hits that happened BECAUSE of the shift, so the shift took away 856 hits for the season.

I’m hoping they ban shifts this year; hitters, especially guys with little less power, will go back to being gap hitters/line drive hitters, which makes for more action.

Padres were putting 3B Machado in right field when they shifted vs lefties last year; it is smart under the current rules, but the game is more fun to watch with more balls in play, more guys running the bases.

12) Seattle Mariners went 90-72 last year, had a really good season, but they were 33-19 in one-run games. Seattle actually allowed 51 more runs than they scored, but still won 90 games- that is very unusual.

May help explain why the Mariners added Robbie Ray, Adam Frazier to fortify their roster; they will have to be a better team than they were last year, just to win 90 games again.

11) Seattle’s AL West rival Angels went 25-14 in one-run games last year, and still finished only 77-85; loss of Mike Trout/Anthony Rendon to injury was obviously a problem, but their pitching isn’t good, even when healthy.

Noah Syndergaard pitched two innings the last two years; Halos added him and Michael Lorenzen to improve their pitching. It also gives the Angels another two-way player (Lorenzen) and Jared Walsh used to be a pitcher, too.

Here’s the thing: teams that excel in one-run games one seasons tend to regress the next year- LY’s 25-14 record will be hard to match. Can a healthy Trout/Rendon make up the difference?

10) San Francisco beat the Dodgers by a game last year; Giants were 31-17 in one-run games, Dodgers 24-24. Giants had oldest roster in MLB last year; can they do it again this year?

9) There were 63 home runs taken away by outfielders last year. Thats one of the most exciting plays in baseball; should more stadiums have outfield fences that are 8 or 9 feet high?

8) A’s bullpen fell apart late last year; for the season, they blew 28 of 67 save opportunities, and that was despite fact that Oakland relievers threw only 539 innings, less than any other team.

7) Toronto Blue Jays missed playoffs by one game LY; they went 3-9 in extra inning games.

6) Joey Gallo either walked (111) or struck out (213) in 324 of his 616 plate appearances LY.

5) If the universal DH happens and pitchers never hit again, the last hit by a pitcher (other than Shohei Ohtani) was Julio Urias in last year’s playoffs.

4) Eyebrows were raised when Marcus Semien signed with Texas for $25M a year, but one of the best abilities is availability, and Semien is always available.

He’s played 155+ games in five of last six full seasons, played 162-162 the last two. He hit 33-45 homers the last two full seasons; he is plus-hitter as a middle infielder.

Semien also sees lot of pitches; he saw 2,923 pitches LY, 106 more than any other player, and that helps every other hitter on his team.

3) Minnesota Twins were 53-53 vs right-handed starters last year, 20-36 vs lefties; they gave Buxton a boatload of money this winter, they’ll need a hell of a lot more than 61 games out of him this year. Miguel Sano has to hit better than .223. Josh Donaldson is 36; how much does he have left int he tank?

2) Arizona Diamondbacks converted only 44% of their save chances last year, lowest %age in last 20 years (other than the shortened 2020 season). Arizona added Mark Melancon and JD Wendelken to shore up the bullpen.

1) Colorado Rockies were 48-33 at home last year, 26-54 on road; how does that happen?

Over the last ten years, this was the 2nd-biggest difference between home/road records; the biggest difference?

2014 Rockies were 45-36 at home, 21-60 on the road. Go figure.
 

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DALLAS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 98-82 ATS (-48.5 Units) in home games against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game since 1996.




NHL

Sunday, January 9


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Trend Report
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Dallas @ St. Louis
Dallas
Dallas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

Detroit @ Anaheim
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games on the road
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Anaheim's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home


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NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, January 9


7rVzBwG.png
 

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SUNDAY, JANUARY 9
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DAL at STL 02:00 PM
STL -149
O 6.0
+500 +500

DET at ANA 08:00 PM
ANA -122
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY NFL RECORD THRU THE PLAYOFF'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

01/09/2022...............2-2-0.............50.00%..............-1.00
01/08/2022...............1-3-0.............25.00%............-11.50
01/03/2022...............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............18-11-1............61.67%............+29.50

TOTALS..................23-16-1............58.97%............+27.00


BEST BETS:

01/09/2022.............0-2-0................00.00%...........-1.00
01/08/2022.............1-3-0................25.00%...........-11.50
01/03/2022.............2-0-0..............100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............10-4-0..............71.42%............+28.00

TOTALS..................13-9-0..............59.09%............+25.50



UPDATED: 01/09/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

NFL playoff games next weekend:
— Las Vegas @ Cincinnati (-6.5, 49)— Saturday 4:35
— New England @ Buffalo (4.5, 43.5)— Saturday 8:15
— Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay (-7, 51)- Sunday 1:00
— San Francisco @ Dallas (-3, 51)- Sunday 4:40
— Pittsburgh @ Kansas City (13.5, 46.5)— Sunday 8:15
— Arizona @ LA Rams (-4, 50)- Monday 8:15

Quote of the Day
”I don’t think they’re going to schedule a parade in Seattle, but right now, we don’t really care about that. It was about putting it together, playing like we’re capable, so that we can see the future. That was really, really fun.”
Pete Carroll

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Tennessee Titans’ coach in their one Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
Alex Smith was QB for the Chiefs, before Patrick Mahomes.

Saturday’s quiz
Chicago Bulls coach Billy Donovan played 44 games in the NBA for the Knicks, before he started his Hall of Fame coaching career; Donovan played his college basketball at Providence.

*********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Jacksonville 26, Indianapolis 11:

— Colts get knocked out of playoffs with this loss.
— Colts lost in Jacksonville 7th year in a row.
— Indy averaged 4,0 yards/pass attempt, were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Colts’ only TD came with 4:26 left in game.

— Jaguars still get #1 pick because Detroit won, too.
— Jacksonville snaps an 8-game losing skid SU/ATS.
— Jaguars outgained Colts 318-233.
— Home side won last eight series games.

Pittsburgh 16, Baltimore 13 OT:
— Steelers won game on FG with 1:56 left in OT.
— Pittsburgh’s only TD put them ahead 13-10 with 2:54 left.
— Last four games, Steelers are +9 in turnovers (12-3)
— Steelers won four of last five visits to Baltimore.

— Ravens lost last six games, five of them by 3 or less points.
— Baltimore forced OT with 46-yard FG with 1:13 left.
— Baltimore turned ball over on first two drives.
— Ravens also threw INT in red zone late in third quarter.

Las Vegas 35, LA Chargers 32 OT:
— Chargers had a 20-play, 86-yard TD drive to send game to OT.
— Chargers were down 29-14 with 5:00 left in regulation.
— LA was 4-18 on third down, 6-7 on fourth down.
— If game had ended 32-32, both teams would’ve made playoffs.
— Raiders winning game puts Pittsburgh in playoffs.

— Raiders make playoffs for only second time in last 19 years.
— Las Vegas won last four games by total of 12 points.
— Raiders ran ball for 174 yards, converted 8-17 on third down.
— Jacobs carried ball 26 times for 132 yards.

San Francisco 27, LA Rams 24:
— 49ers make playoffs, visit Dallas next week.
— SF won/covered four of their last five games.
— SF drove 88 yards in five plays to tie game with 0:26 left.
— 49ers outgained last four opponents by 100+ yards each.

— Rams win NFC West with the Arizona loss, host Arizona next week.
— LA led 17-0 just before halftime.
— 49ers outgained the Rams 449-265.
— LA’s running backs ran ball 26 times for 46 yards.

Seattle 38, Arizona 30:
— Seattle had TD plays of 43-25-62 yards.
— Seattle outgained the Cardinals, 431-305
— Seahawks are 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs
— Seahawks scored 30+ points in last five wins.

— Arizona lost its last five home games SU.
— Cardinals scored defensive TD on first play, later had a 1-yard TD drive.
— Last four weeks, Arizona was outscored 53-29 in first half.
— Cardinals visit division rival Rams in playoffs next week.

Detroit 37, Green Bay 30
— Rodgers played first half, threw for 138 yards, two TD’s.
— Green Bay was 8-14 on third down, Detroit 4-11.
— Packers turned ball over three times (minus-3)
— Detroit outscored Packers 13-0 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Lions would’ve had #1 pick in draft had they lost this game.
— Detroit scored TD on 75-yard pass thrown by a WR.
— Lions drove 75 yards in six plays, scored winning TD with 1:54 left.
— Lions covered seven of their last nine games.

Minnesota 31, Chicago 17:
— Chicago led game 14-3 at halftime.
— Bears in second half: 40 plays, 146 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
— Four of last five Chicago road games went over the total.
— Bears are 7-11 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.

— Vikings first four drives: 18 plays, 28 yards, zero points.
— Vikings in 2nd half: 26 plays, 240 yards, three TD’s.
— Minnesota ended game with pick-6 with 4:54 left to play.
— Minnesota averaged 9.1 yards/pass attempt.

Miami 33, New England 24:
— Jones threw first quarter pick-6 that put Miami ahead 14-0.
— Miami also scored defensive TD on last play of game.
— New England outgained the Dolphins, 379-298
— Patriots are 2-7 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.

— Dolphins won eight of last nine games (7-2 ATS).
— Miami won its last five home games SU.
— Miami is 17-10-1 ATS in last 28 games as a home underdog.
— Miami won six of last ten games with New England SU.

Buffalo 27, NJ Jets 10:
— Jets had only four first downs, were outgained 424-53.
— Jets had 45-yard TD drive, had only 53 total yards the whole game.
— Jets lost five of their last six games SU.
— Jets are 4-11 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.

— Buffalo wins AFC East title for second year in row.
— Bills won last four games, scoring 31-33-29-27 points.
— Buffalo is 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 games as home favorite.
— Last four games, Bills converted 27-56 third down plays.

Tampa Bay 41, Carolina 17:
— Carolina lost 12 of last 14 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-12 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Darnold threw for 219 yards and two TD’s.
— Bucs won/covered last five series games, scoring 34.0 ppg.

— Buccaneers trailed 7-0 early, led 10-7 at halftime.
— Tmapa Bay scored 4 TD’s, kicked FG on first six drives of second half.
— Tampa Bay hosts the Eagles in playoffs next week.
— Bucs are #2 seed; if they beat Eagles, their next game is also at home.

Tennessee 28, Houston 25:
— Tennessee led 21-0 at halftime, scoring two TD’s in last 1:34 of half.
— Titans get #1 seed in AFC, have next week off.
— Titans were held to 13 or less points in 4 of their 5 losses.
— Tennessee converted 32 of last 62 third down plays.

— Texans in first half: 25 plays, 69 yards, no points.
— Texans in 2nd half: 31 plays, 286 yards, 25 points.
— Houston averaged 8.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Houston was +10 in turnovers in its four wins (minus-8 in losses).

Washington 22, NY Giants 7:
— Washington outgained the Giants, 325-177.
— Washington ran ball for 226 yards.
— Neither team threw the ball for 100 yards.
— Washington is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.

— Giants lost seven of their last eight games (1-7 ATS)
— Last six games, Big Blue was outscored 80-19 in first half.
— Giants scored seven TD’s on their last 75 drives.
— Giants are 7-18 ATS last 25 games as a home underdog.
— Giants were outscored 101-19 in last 2:00 of each half.

New Orleans 30, Atlanta 20:
— New Orleans’ season ended when the 49ers won.
— Kamara carried ball 30 times for 146 yards.
— QB Hill left game with a foot injury; Siemian threw for two TD’s.
— Last five games, opponents were 25-85 on third down.

— Falcons’ last six losses were all by 10+ points.
— Last four games, Atlanta was outrushed 723-267
— Atlanta was 0-4 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Last four games, Falcons were held to 275-254-265-257 total yards.

Cleveland 21, Cincinnati 16:
— Cincinnati won AFC North last week, plays at home next week.
— Bengals’ only first half TD was scored by their defense.
— Cincy’s only offensive TD came with 2:26 left.
— Cleveland outgained the Bengals, 376-182.

— Cleveland won both of Keenum’s starts this season.
— Browns won last five series games, scoring 32.2 ppg.
— Cleveland went 0-5 ATS in last five home games.
— Under was 7-0 in Browns’ last seven games.
 

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BOSTON is 240-223 ATS (51.8 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

SEATTLE is 5-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS (9.7 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, January 10


v3C6baM.png





NHL

Monday, January 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Washington
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games at home

Seattle @ Colorado
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Seattle's last 24 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

NY Rangers @ Los Angeles
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


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MONDAY, JANUARY 10
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BOS at WAS 07:00 PM
BOS -105
U 5.5
+500 +500

SEA at COL 09:00 PM
COL -361
O 6.5
+500 +500

NYR at LA 10:30 PM
NYR +103
U 5.5

+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS............44-34-1..........56.41%...........+10.80


BEST BETS:

01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........18-21-1.............46.15%.........- 25.50


01/10/2022
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Worst point differentials for NFL playoff teams (score of 1st playoff game):
minus-97— 2010 Seahawks W41-36
minus-81— 2011 Broncos W29-23 OT
minus-73— 2004 Rams W27-20
minus-65— 2021 Raiders ???????
minus-61— 1989 Steelers W26-23 OT
minus-57— 2017 Bills L3-10

Quote of the Day
“There’s going to be some property torn up in Indianapolis tonight.”
Kirby Smart

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was Georgia’s football coach before Kirby Smart?

Monday’s quiz
Jeff Fisher was the Tennessee Titans’ coach in their one Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
Alex Smith was QB for the Chiefs, before Patrick Mahomes.

*******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Georgia 33, Alabama 18:
— Dawgs win their first national title in 41 years.
— Game was 9-6 Alabama at halftime; all field goals.
— Georgia ended game on 20-0 run over last 8:04 of game.

— Alabama was 9-20 on third down, Georgia 4-12.
— Crimson Tide threw 57 passes, ran ball 28 times.
— 79-yard pick-6 salted game away with 0:54 left.

12) Georgia QB Stetson Bennett was a walk-on at one point, which seemed surprising; found out last night his dad owns seven pharmacies in Georgia, which is why he turned down offers for scholarships elsewhere to be a walk-on at his preferred school.

11) The day after the NFL regular season ends is a rough day for coaches who lose their jobs; this year was no exception.
— Vikings fired Mike Zimmer
— Bears fired Matt Nagy and their GM
— Dolphins (surprisingly) fired Brian Flores
— Broncos fired Vic Fangio
— Lions fired offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn.
— Giants’ GM Dave Gettleman either retired or was fired.

10) Patrick Mahomes/Aaron Rodgers are bad for coaches’ job security:
— Over last 18 months, every other team in AFC West has fired its coach.
— Over last 18 months, every other team in NFC North has fired its coach.

In other words, its kind of important to have a good quarterback.

9) Dallas Cowboys went 13-4 ATS this year, after going 5-11 ATS last year.

8) When Raiders made the playoffs Sunday night, they became the first team since the 1961 Houston Oilers to make the players after an in-season coaching change.

Back in ’61, Oilers fired Lou Rymkus after starting 1-3-1; they promoted Wally Lemm to head coach and went unbeaten the rest of the way, beating the San Diego Chargers 10-3 in the AFL title game.

7) Seattle Seahawks went 0-5 this season in games decided by 3 or less points; they could jump back into contention. Teams that win/lose lot of close games one year, tend to go the other way the next season.

6) If you know me or read this site a lot, you know I like trends, but this one makes me queasy, very queasy.

Last five times divisional rivals met in this round of the NFL Playoffs, the road team won every time, with the underdog covering all five games.

Like I said, very queasy. 2012 was last time the home side won a divisional rematch in a Wild Card game.

5) Last three years in this round of playoffs, #6-seeds are 5-1 SU vs #3-seeds; #5-seeds are 4-2 SU vs #4-seeds.

4) Was good to see Klay Thompson play basketball Sunday night; he scored 17 points in 20:00, his first NBA game in 941 days. Golden State is already 30-9; now they figure to get even better with Thompson back in the rotation.

3) In college basketball, Baylor Bears are 15-0, the first national champ to be 15-0 the following season since 2011.

2) Sunday night’s Raider-Charger game was fascinating, an overtime game with both teams’ seasons on the line, with the Steelers dreading a tie game from 2,000 miles away. The tie game damn near happened; Raiders could’ve screwed the Steelers big time by taking a knee, playing for the tie, but then they would’ve had to play the Chiefs this week.

Raiders played Kansas City twice this year, lost 41-14/48-9. No way they wanted to play them again. Playing Cincinnati will be a tough game, obviously; they lost 32-13 to the Bengals in Week 11.

1) One thing for sure, Chargers/Bengals are both set at QB for the next 10-12 years, which is very good news for Brandon Staley/Zac Taylor. Coaches with really good QB’s have very excellent job security, although Staley may have to stop going for it on 4th-and-2 from his own 18-yard line, if he wants a long head coaching career.
 

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FLORIDA is 11-1 ATS (9.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

BUFFALO is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

JOHN HYNES is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game (Coach of NASHVILLE)

ANAHEIM is 82-60 ATS (26 Units) in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game since 1996.

TORONTO is 11-2 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 0-9 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, January 11


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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Buffalo
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Columbus
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games at home

Vancouver @ Florida
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 9 games at home

Colorado @ Nashville
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games at home
Nashville is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Pittsburgh @ Anaheim
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Anaheim's last 12 games

Toronto @ Vegas
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Vegas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

Detroit @ San Jose
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

Teams that hit the most HR’s at home last year:
153— Baltimore
143— LA Dodgers
138— Cincinnati
134— Chicago White Sox
121— LA Angels
118— Chicago Cubs

Quote of the Day
“I think he is one of the more disrespected reigning MVPs that I can think of in terms of the attention. But if you open up the dictionary, look up the word consistency, there’s going to be a picture of Nikola there.”
Nuggets coach Michael Malone, talking about Nikola Jokic

Wednesday’s quiz
Seth Curry of the 76ers played three years of college ball at Duke, after transferring from which school?

Tuesday’s quiz
Mark Richt was Georgia’s football coach before Kirby Smart.

Monday’s quiz
Jeff Fisher was the Tennessee Titans’ coach in their one Super Bowl.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Stanford 75, USC 69
Texas Tech 65, Baylor 62:

Night started with two unbeaten teams left in the country; now there are none.

12) St Bonaventure 80, LaSalle 76 OT:
— In a 45:00 game, Bonnies’ subs played a TOTAL of 3:00. Three kids played all 45:00.
— Bonnies outscored LaSalle 18-2 on the foul line.
— Explorers led by 12 with 13:50 left to play.

11) Marquette 87, DePaul 76— FS1 had both coaches miked for this game, with very few commercial breaks. Excellent broadcast; you got to see parts of the halftime talks, huddles during timeouts, a good peek behind the curtain of what goes on.

10) The term “student-athlete” makes my skin crawl; it seems so phony, so patronizing. Coaches don’t get fired if players get bad grades, they get fired if the team loses too much. The kids, like it or not, are athletes first, then hopefully students, but except for probably the Ivy League, it isn’t an equal thing.

9) Speaking of coaches getting fired, Giants told Joe Judge to take a hike; they were 10-23 in his two seasons as coach. Now the new GM, whoever he is, will pick the new coach.

In the last three days, three NFC coaches have already cleaned house, firing the coach and GM; Chicago, Minnesota and now the Giants.

8) There was an interesting thread on Twitter Tuesday about a guy who once made the baseball team’s traveling squad at USC because he could steal signs. Seriously.

USC got to the College World Series that year, and the guy, who was a marginal player, wound up in the major leagues, pitching five years in the majors. His dad was a good major league pitcher and now this guy is Director of Pitching for the San Francisco Giants, so he made a career for himself, because he had a knack for stealing signs when he was 20.

7) Hey, baseball labor negotiations are starting up again Thursday, six weeks after the lockout started. Hopefully these people, who all make a boatload of money, can agree how to divide it up to everyone’s satisfaction, so we can start thinking about the 2022 season.

6) Orioles are moving the left-field wall at Camden Yards back, and they’re raising it from 7-feet high in some spots, to 12-feet high, which will hurt hitters/help pitchers.

5) College football ended Monday night, but for the coaches, their work continues; Signing Day is three weeks from today, February 2, so from then until now, recruiting becomes the thing to do, because recruiting is a 24/7/365 thing in college football.

4) Alabama had seven players enter the transfer portal Tuesday, including Paul Tyson, one of their backup quarterbacks. Tyson has three years of eligibility remaining.

3) So far this recruiting season, 37 of the top 101 recruits who have signed chose either Texas A&M, Alabama or Georgia; the SEC is crushing recruiting, which is why they’re reluctant to expand the college football playoff to 12 teams. Why wreck a good thing?

2) Meanwhile, the Pac-12 hasn’t had a team in the 4-team national playoff since 2016, so they want/need the playoff to be expanded. Pac-12 teams have also lost 11 consecutive bowl games; I’m thinking this is bad karma because the Pac-12 Network isn’t on DirecTV, but that’s just me.

1) Alabama WR Jameson Williams tore his ACL Monday night during the national title game; unsure if he go to the NFL, where his draft status has to have suffered, or if he’ll go back to Alabama and play next year.

You wonder if his injury becomes a cautionary tale for other pro prospects; lot of money out there to be had.
 

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MONTREAL is 0-10 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

SEATTLE is 5-19 ATS (-16.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

ARIZONA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, January 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Montreal @ Boston
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 12 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal

Seattle @ Dallas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Toronto @ Arizona
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 12
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MON at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -385
U 6.0
+500 +500

SEA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -208
O 6.0
+500 +500

TOR at ARI 10:00 PM
TOR -302
O 6.0
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS............48-35-2..........57.83%...........+15.70


BEST BETS:

01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........19-22-2.............46.34%.........- 25.00


01/12/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

— Michigan State 71, Minnesota 69— Spartans scored with 0:00.1 left.
— Temple 69, Tulsa 64— Owls’ first-ever win in Tulsa.
Why are Temple/Tulsa in same league? 1.280 miles apart
— Villanova 64, Xavier 60— Teams shot combined 9-44 on arc.
— UCF 74, Memphis 64— Tigers were 6-18 on foul line; 6 for 18???
— UConn 86, St John’s 78 OT— Sanogo had 26 points, 18 rebounds.
— Tulane 68, Wichita State 67— Pretty big upset in the AAC.

Quote of the Day
“I kept thinking during the season we had hit rock bottom, then each week it got a little worse.”
Giants’ owner John Mara

Thursday’s quiz
First time Chiefs won the Super Bowl, Hank Stram was their coach; what NFL team did he coach after he left Kansas City?

Wednesday’s quiz
Seth Curry of the 76ers played three years of college basketball at Duke, after transferring from Liberty.

Tuesday’s quiz
Mark Richt was Georgia’s football coach before Kirby Smart.

**************************************

Thursday’s Den: Baseball stuff on a winter day…….

Before starting today, I’d like to wish Mattie Clune a (belated) happy 100th birthday…..

Mrs Clune lives in Oneonta; I met her 44 years ago, went to college with her son Rob, who was a great ballplayer for the Albany Great Danes. Mr/Mrs Clune came to lot of our games, which wasn’t an easy trip (75-80 miles to Albany, and in winter, it is often a tough drive).

She is a terrific lady; happy birthday, Mrs Clune!!!

We’re talking baseball today; my driveway is an icy mess, so have to think warm thoughts……
13) Last year in Baltimore, there were 277 home runs hit in Oriole home games, 176 in thei road games. Baltimore’s baseball people decided they wanted to help the pitchers some, so they’re raising the left-field fence five feet and moving it back as much as 30 feet in some places.

Orioles have some solid pitching prospects on their way up the ladder; when they get to the majors, Camden Yards will be a more pitcher-friendly ballpark.

12) Fenway Park has a short left-field fence, but it is more of a doubles park than a homer park. Last year, there were 884 doubles hit in 81 games at Fenway, 652 in Boston road games.

There were 494 home runs hit in Red Sox home games, 540 in their road games.

11) Cincinnati is another hitters’ ballpark; Reds scored 861 runs at home (44-37) last year, 685 on the road (39-42). Reds’ offense was rolling until Jesse Winker got hurt; Nick Castellanos is a free agent. If he signs elsewhere, that’ll hurt.

10) Last year, Colorado Rockies were 48-33 at home, 26-54 on road; they used the same guys in all those games, so how does that happen? Rockies hit .280 at Coors Field, .217 on the road. Not going to win many games when you hit .217.

9) Oakland Coliseum has more foul ground than any ballpark; LY, there was 169 foul outs in A’s home games, 125 in their road games. Foul outs help pitchers, hurt hitters.

8) Matt Olson probably won’t be with Oakland much longer; he hit 22 homers vs lefties LY, 17 vs righties. I laughed when teams would bring in some mediocre southpaw to face him. He’s a great hitter, no matter who the pitcher is.

It’ll be a cruddy day when the A’s trade him, so they don’t have to pay him (This is what annoys the players’ union, by the way)

7) Avasail Garcia signed a pretty big contract with the Marlins; you need to pay attention when he goes to the plate. Garcia swung at the first pitch 256 times, took the first pitch 259 times, by far the highest first-pitch swing %age in the majors.

Garcia hit .353 when he put that first pitch into play, hitting seven home runs in 85 AB’s.

6) Tampa Bay catcher Mike Zunino hit .342 vs lefties last year, only .151 vs righties; how does this happen? Zunino is a catcher, he must see the ball well. If he is good enough to hit .342 vs lefties, how can he not hit .200 vs everyone else?

For his career, Zunino hits .223 for lefties, .194 vs righties.

5) Players who had the most lead-changing RBI last year:
40— Salvador Perez, KC
38— Matt Olson, A’s
37— Kyle Seager, Sea
36— Ozzie Albies, Atl

4) Players who hit the most home runs on the road LY:
25— Pete Alonso, Mets
24— Aaron Judge NYY/Fernando Tatis SD
23— Marcus Semien, Tor

3) Batters who got the most intentional walks:
23— Juan Soto, Wash
20— Shohei Ohtani, LAA
15— Freddie Freeman, Atl

2) Pitchers who got the best run support LY:
AL:
— Steven Matz, Tor
— Hyun Jin Ryu, Tor
— Dylan Cease, CWS

NL:
— Julio Urias, LA
— Wade Miley, Cincy
— Max Fried, Atl

1) Only five times LY did a pitcher throw 120+ pitches in a game:
129— Gerrit Cole
126— Trevor Bauer
124— Jordan Lyles
122— Blake Snell
121— Shane Bieber

Little more than six weeks until the first spring training games.
 

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COLUMBUS are 6-26 ATS (-22.6 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 172-145 ATS (-72.4 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

NEW JERSEY is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 5-20 ATS (-17.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

NASHVILLE is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 5 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 9-0 ATS (9.3 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.
 

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