Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

VEGAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) at home when the total is >=6 over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 4-27 ATS (-22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 5-0 ATS (5.3 Units) against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 14-2 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 155-100 ATS (45 Units) revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals since 1996.

ANAHEIM is 10-3 ATS (8.5 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.





NHL

Friday, December 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vegas @ NY Rangers
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 9 games on the road
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Dallas @ St. Louis
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Washington @ Winnipeg
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Nashville @ Chicago
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

Arizona @ Anaheim
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, December 17

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

BUF at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -320
O 5.5
+500 +500

VEG at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR +115
U 6.0
+500 +500

DAL at STL 08:00 PM
STL -110
+500

WAS at WIN 08:00 PM
WAS +105
+500

NAS at CHI 08:30 PM
CHI -140
+500

ARI at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA -315
+500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/17/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%.........-13.00
12/16/2021..........7-6-0...........53.85%.........-16.25
12/15/2021..........4-1-0...........80.00%........+13.25
12/14/2021.........9-14-1..........39.58%..........-50.00
12/12/2021...........3-7-0..........30.00%..........-26.25
12/11/2021...........7-5-0..........58.33%..........+3.75
12/10/2021...........4-6-0...........42.86%.........-21.25
12/09/2021...........5-6-0...........45.45%.........-10.00
12/08/2021...........5-2-0...........71.43%.......+12.75
12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............84-73-1..........53.50%............- 68.50

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/17/2021............1-2-0................33.00%...........-6.00
12/16/2021............3-2-0................60.00%..........+4.00
12/15/2021............2-0-0..............100.00%..........+10.00
12/14/2021............8-8-1................50.00%...........-2.75
12/12/2021............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/11/2021............3-3-0................50.00%...........+1.00
12/10/2021............3-4-0................42.85%............- 7.00
12/09/2021............2-4-0................33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021............2-1-0...............66.66%.............+4.50
12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............40-44-0...............47.61%...............-33.25


UPDATED 12/17/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in assists:
10.1- Chris Paul, Phx
9.6- James Harden, Bkln
9.3- Trae Young, Atl
8.5- Luka Doncic, Dal
8.4- Russell Westbrook, LAL
8.4- Dejounte Murray, SA

Quote of the Day
“The most important investment you can make is in yourself.”
Warren Buffett

Saturday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes threw a TD pass in overtime Thursday, the second Kansas City QB ever to do that. Who was the first Chiefs’ QB to throw a TD pass in overtime?

Friday’s quiz
In the classic movie Rocky, Rocky Balboa was paid $150,000 for his first fight against Apollo Creed.

Thursday’s quiz
Ben McAdoo was coach of the New Jersey Giants, last time they made the NFL playoffs, in 2016.

********************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……..

13) Three Week 15 NFL games got pushed back Friday because of COVID:
— Raiders-Browns will be played Monday at 5:00
— Washington-Eagles will be played Tuesday at 7:00
— Seattle-Rams will also be played at 7:00.

12) New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton tested positive for COVID, will miss Sunday night’s game against Tampa Bay. Payton also had COVID in March, 2020.

11) Chargers lost in overtime to Kansas City Thursday night; they went scoreless on three drives where they had the ball inside the Chiefs’ 5-yard line.

Chargers failed on 4th/goal twice in first half, becoming first NFL team to do that since 1984, when the Chargers also did it, also against Kansas City.

10) Creighton 79, Villanova 59:
— First Big East game of season
— Creighton shot 65% inside arc.
— Bluejays outscored Villanova 23-9 in last 10:00.

9) Richmond 83, NC State 74:
— Spiders get good non-league win on neutral court in Charlotte.
— Wolfpack was only 21-34 on foul line.
— Richmond has won its last four games.

8) Oregon Ducks hired Georgia defensive coordinator Dan Lanning as their new football coach; he worked the last three seasons for the Dawgs.

Next September, Lanning’s first game as Oregon’s head coach is against……..Georgia.

7) Middle Tennessee 31, Toledo 24:
— Toledo led 17-14 after three quarters.
— MTSU scored 17 points in 10:25 span of 4th quarter.
— Rockets ran for 235 yards, but had 116 yards in penalties.
— Toledo has now lost four bowls in a row.

6) Coastal Carolina 47, Northern Illinois 41:
— Coastal outscored NIU 14-3 in fourth quarter.
— NIU lost despite running ball for 335 yards.
— Huskies converted 4-5 fourth down plays.
— NIU was on the Coastal 4-yard line when game ended.

5) Texas Longhorns QB Casey Thompson, who threw for 2,113 yards, 23 TD’s this year, entered the transfer portal. Texas started out 4-1, slumped to 5-7; the QB saw the writing on the wall and is hitting the road.

4) NHL’s Vancouver Canucks are 6-0 since they changed coaches, outscoring opponents 20-11. Canucks are now 14-15-2 this season.

3) Brooklyn Nets’ coach Steve Nash was saying how Kevin Durant’s playing time (played 41+ minutes in five of Nets’ last nine games) is unsustainable, so the Nets are bringing back un-vaccinated Kyrie Irving to play in games outside New York State.

Irving can’t play/practice in Brooklyn, since he is unvaccinated, but he can play in most of the road games, and the Nets need to take some of the workload away from the 33-year old Durant, who tore his Achilles tendon in 2019.

2) There was supposed to be a basketball doubleheader in Las Vegas Saturday; UCLA-North Carolina and Ohio State-Kentucky, but Ohio State/UCLA have COVID issues and opted out, so Kentucky will play the Tar Heels instead.

Western Kentucky-Louisville game was picked up by CBS for a national telecast.

1) Duke was supposed to play Cleveland State Saturday, but the Vikings have COVID issues, so Duke added a game with Loyola MD, but then the Greyhounds had to drop out with their own COVID problems, so now Duke is playing Elon instead.

Mid-majors don’t mind losing so much, as long as they get TV exposure, which can help their recruiting- this game is on the ACC Network.

 

[Udog]

OTTAWA is 87-104 ATS (-51.5 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season since 1997.

TORONTO is 10-16 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the last 3 seasons.

CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (9.9 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 5-9 ATS (-7.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 1-16 ATS (-16.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-9 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, December 18

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

LA at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -165
U 5.5
+500 +500

OTT at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -120
O 6.5
+500 +500

CHI at DAL 08:00 PM
CHI +165
U 5.5
+500 +500

NJ at DET 08:00 PM
DET -125
O 6.0
+500 +500

EDM at SEA 10:00 PM
EDM -115
O 6.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/18/2021..........7-3-0...........70.00%........+19.00
12/17/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%.........-13.00
12/16/2021..........7-6-0...........53.85%.........-16.25
12/15/2021..........4-1-0...........80.00%........+13.25
12/14/2021.........9-14-1..........39.58%..........-50.00
12/12/2021...........3-7-0..........30.00%..........-26.25
12/11/2021...........7-5-0..........58.33%..........+3.75
12/10/2021...........4-6-0...........42.86%.........-21.25
12/09/2021...........5-6-0...........45.45%.........-10.00
12/08/2021...........5-2-0...........71.43%.......+12.75
12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............91-76-1..........58.08%............- 49.50

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/18/2021............3-3-0................50.00%.........- 1.50
12/17/2021............1-2-0................33.00%...........-6.00
12/16/2021............3-2-0................60.00%..........+4.00
12/15/2021............2-0-0..............100.00%..........+10.00
12/14/2021............8-8-1................50.00%...........-2.75
12/12/2021............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/11/2021............3-3-0................50.00%...........+1.00
12/10/2021............3-4-0................42.85%............- 7.00
12/09/2021............2-4-0................33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021............2-1-0...............66.66%.............+4.50
12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............43-47-0...............47.77%...............-34.75


UPDATED 12/18/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Top six college teams in 3-point %age:
43.8%- Colorado State
42.3%- South Dakota State
41.8%- Loyola, Chi
41.6%- Davidson
41.4%- Clemson
41.2%- UMass, Purdue

Quote of the Day
“Proper preparation prevents poor performance. As long as you’re preparing the right way, you’re gonna be ready for whatever.”
Tyrese Maxey

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Baltimore Ravens’ first starting QB, after the moved from Cleveland?

Saturday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes threw a TD pass in overtime Thursday, the second Kansas City QB ever to do that. Trent Green was the first Chiefs’ QB to throw a TD pass in overtime.

Friday’s quiz
In the classic movie Rocky, Rocky Balboa was paid $150,000 for his first fight against Apollo Creed.

******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

13) Colts 27, Patriots 17:
— Patriots have their 7-game win streak snapped.
— Colts outrushed New England, 226-81.
— Patriots’ first six drives: 32 plays, 119 yards, no points.
— Patriots’ last four drives: 34 plays, 214 yards, 17 points.
— New England is 5-10 ATS last 15 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Colts won five of their last six games.
— Taylor salted game away with 67-yard TD run with 2:01 left.
— Indy blocked punt for a TD, giving them a 14-0 lead.
— Colts are 7-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.

12) Before this game, the last time a Colts-Patriots game didn’t have a QB named Manning or Brady was 1997, when Jim Harbaugh played for the Colts, Drew Bledsoe for New England.

EJ Speed scored a TD on a blocked punt; EJ Speed is a tremendous name for a ballplayer, but if you were watching a movie and there was a character named EJ Speed, you might turn it off.

11) Saturday’s college basketball upsets:
— Canisius (+15.5) 65, Buffalo 64
— Hofstra (+12.5) 89, Arkansas 81
— Pitt (+11) 59, St John’s 57
— Providence (+7.5) 57, UConn 53
— Grand Canyon (+5.5) 49, San Francisco 48

10) Grand Canyon 49, San Francisco 48— First loss of the season for the Dons.

9) Western Kentucky 59, Appalachian State 38— App State gained 609 yards, but lost by three TD’s; they turned ball over four times. Hilltoppers threw for 422 yards.

8) UAB 31, BYU 28— Blazers blew 14-0 lead, scored winning TD with 6:17 left to post the upset. UAB converted 9-14 third down plays.

7) Liberty 56, Eastern Michigan 20— Flames were first favorite to win or cover this bowl season; their coach is former Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze, who was the high school coach in the movie The Blind Side.

6) Underdogs covered six of the first seven bowl games this season.

5) Not only do the Cleveland Browns have COVID issues, their next three games are all night games, in Cleveland-Green Bay-Pittsburgh. In December. Their trainers will be very busy.

4) Auburn hired Austin Davis as its new offensive coordinator; he had been the Seahawks’ QB coach. Davis was a backup QB in the NFL for seven years; he is 32 years old.

3) Lakers’ star Anthony Davis is out at least four weeks with a sprained MCL.

2) LSU QB Max Johnson was expected to transfer to Florida State, where his dad played, but he is going to Texas A&M instead with his younger brother, a highly-touted tight end prospect.

1) Mets named Buck Showalter their new manager; when a billionaire hedge fund guy buys a franchise, he isn’t going to screw around. Showalter made the playoffs with Arizona and the Orioles; he is a huge upgrade for the Mets.

 

[Udog]

NY ISLANDERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 31-23 ATS (12.2 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 69-79 ATS (26 Units) in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game since 1996.

NEW JERSEY is 5-15 ATS (-11.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.




NHL

Sunday, December 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vegas @ NY Islanders
Vegas
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 8 games at home

St. Louis @ Winnipeg
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games

Pittsburgh @ New Jersey
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

Los Angeles @ Washington
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, December 19

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

VEG at NYI 02:00 PM
U 5.5
+500

STL at WIN 03:00 PM
STL +120
O 5.5
+500 +500

PIT at NJ 07:00 PM
PIT -210
+500

LA at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -185
+500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/19/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%...........-9.75
12/18/2021..........7-3-0...........70.00%........+19.00
12/17/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%.........-13.00
12/16/2021..........7-6-0...........53.85%.........-16.25
12/15/2021..........4-1-0...........80.00%........+13.25
12/14/2021.........9-14-1..........39.58%..........-50.00
12/12/2021...........3-7-0..........30.00%..........-26.25
12/11/2021...........7-5-0..........58.33%..........+3.75
12/10/2021...........4-6-0...........42.86%.........-21.25
12/09/2021...........5-6-0...........45.45%.........-10.00
12/08/2021...........5-2-0...........71.43%.......+12.75
12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............93-79-1..........54.06%............- 59.25

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/19/2021............1-2-0................33.33%.........-6.00
12/18/2021............3-3-0................50.00%.........- 1.50
12/17/2021............1-2-0................33.00%...........-6.00
12/16/2021............3-2-0................60.00%..........+4.00
12/15/2021............2-0-0..............100.00%..........+10.00
12/14/2021............8-8-1................50.00%...........-2.75
12/12/2021............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/11/2021............3-3-0................50.00%...........+1.00
12/10/2021............3-4-0................42.85%............- 7.00
12/09/2021............2-4-0................33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021............2-1-0...............66.66%.............+4.50
12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............44-49-0...............47.31%...............-40.75


UPDATED 12/19/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
— 49ers (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— Colts @ Arizona (-1.5)
— NJ Giants @ Philadelphia (-10)
— Chargers (-10.5) @ Houston
— Lions @ Atlanta (-4.5)
— Ravens @ Cincinnati (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“Just keep playing. Especially as a defensive back, even if you make a big play, you have to just forget it and play the next play. That’s just our mentality. During the game, you don’t have too time to complain to the refs because it doesn’t work; it’s not basketball. You just have to keep playing.”
Titans S Kevin Byard

Monday’s quiz
Who replaced Tommy Lasorda as manager of the Dodgers?

Sunday’s quiz
Vinny Testaverde was the Baltimore Ravens’ first starting QB, after the team moved from Cleveland.

Saturday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes threw a TD pass in overtime Thursday, the second Kansas City QB ever to do that. Trent Green was the first Chiefs’ QB to throw a TD pass in overtime.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Detroit 30, Arizona 12:
— First loss in eight road games for Arizona.
— Four trips to red zone, six points. Not good.
— Kirk caught nine passes for 94 yards and a TD.
— Down 10-0 with 2:05 left in half, Arizona went for it on 4th-and-goal from the 3-yard line, eschewing an easy FG. They didn’t make it.

— Detroit scored on six of its ten drives.
— Lions are 5-2 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Detroit covered five of its last six games.
— Lions are 4-0-1 SU in last five games with Arizona.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 Detroit games.

Pittsburgh 19, Tennessee 13:
— Titans turned ball over four times (-4)
— Tennessee’s only TD came on a 25-yard drive.
— Titans led this game 13-3 at halftime.
— Tennessee was 8-18 on 3rd down, Steelers 2-11.
— Titans are 11-20-1 ATS last 32 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Pittsburgh’s first four drives: 14 plays, 35 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Steelers started four drives in Titans territory, kicked FG on all four.
— Titans outgained Pittsburgh 318-168.
— Steelers have been outgained seven games in a row.
— Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.

Houston 30, Jacksonville 16:
— Texans ran a kickoff back 98 yards for a TD.
— Houston was 10-18 on 3rd down, Jaguars 3-14.
— 10 of their 13 first downs came on third down conversions.
— Rookie QB Mills gets his first NFL win in eight starts.
— Houston won eight in row, 14 of last 16 series games.

— Jaguars lost six in row, 27 of their last 29 games.
— Jacksonville has nine losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have seven TD’s on their last 77 drives.
— Jacksonville has been outscored 123-38 in first half.

Buffalo 31, Carolina 14:
— Panthers’ first five drives: 30 plays, 94 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost nine of last 11 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-9 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Last five Carolina games went over the total.

— Bills had four TD drives, only one longer than 57 yards.
— Buffalo held Panthers to 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Bills are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as home favorites.
— Last four games, Bills outscored opponents 62-18 in second half.

Miami 31, NJ Jets 24:
— Jets in second half: 22 plays, 44 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Jets lost six of their last seven games.
— Jets gave up 34.0 ppg in their last nine games.
— Jets lost 10 of last 12 games against the Dolphins.

— Dolphins won last six games (5-1 ATS), giving up 13.2 ppg.
— Miami outscored last five foes 76-30 in second half.
— Miami gave up six TDs on opponents’ last 68 drives.
— Miami is 24-12-3 ATS in last 39 home games.

Dallas 21, NY Giants 6:
— Cowboys’ two TD drives were 15-29 yards.
— Dallas is 6-2 SU/7-1 ATS on road this season.
— Dallas converted 8-14 third down plays.
— Cowboys won nine of last ten series games.

— Giants won/covered once in their last five games.
— Giants are 7-17 ATS last 24 games as home dogs (3-2 TY).
— Giants have five touchdowns on last 52 drives.
— Giants have been outscored 87-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Seven of last eight Giant games stayed under the total.

Green Bay 31, Baltimore 30:
— Packers scored TD on four of first six drives.
— In their last four games, Packers scored 35.8 ppg
— Only nine of their 59 plays came on third down.
— Green Bay is 10-2-1 ATS in its last thirteen games.

— Ravens lost last three games, by total of four points.
— Baltimore scored TD with 0:42 left, went for 2 points and lead, but failed.
— Andrews caught 10 passes for 136 yards, two TD’s.
— Backup QB Huntley threw for 215 yards, ran for 73 more.
— Last six years, Ravens are 6-1 ATS as home underdogs.

San Francisco 31, Atlanta 13:
— Falcons turned ball over on downs 3 times inside 49ers’ 10-yard line.
— Atlanta is 5-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Last five games, Atlanta was outscored 74-22 in second half.
— Atlanta is 1-6 ATS this year in game following a win.
— Falcons squandered a 19-yard advantage in field position.

— 49ers won/covered five of their last six games.
— Niners converted 6-11 on third down, averaged 9.8 yards/pass attempt.
— First six drives, 49ers scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
— 49ers are 6-1 if they give up 23 or less points.
— Last six games, 49ers outscored opponents 112-61 in first half.

Cincinnati 15, Denver 10:
— Burrow threw a 56-yard TD pass with 0:30 left in 3rd quarter.
— McPherson kicked 58-yard FG at time expired in first half.
— Bengals are 16-11 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
— Cincinnati is 10-5 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Ja’Marr Chase caught only one pass, for three yards.

— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-6 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos lost fumble in red zone early in 4th quarter.
— 11 of 14 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 5-12-2 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.

New Orleans 9, Tampa Bay 0:
— There were no touchdowns in this game.
— Saints were outgained 302-212, but they were +2 in turnovers.
— Last three games, their opponents are 11-46 on third down.
— New Orleans covered nine of last 11 games as a road dog.

— Tampa Bay never got into the Saints’ red zone.
— Bucs converted 6-19 on third down, Saints 3-16.
— New Orleans won eight of last ten series games.
— Saints are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Tampa Bay.

Auburn QB Bo Nix is transferring to Oregon.

AFC North standings:
8-6: Bengals, Ravens
7-6: Browns
7-6-1: Steelers

San Francisco 66, Arizona State 65:
— ASU led 60-55 with 4:35 left in the game.
— USF was 12-30 on the arc, Sun Devils 6-24.
— Arizona State is 5-7; they were 5-11 on foul line.

 

[Udog]

COLUMBUS are 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 6-10 ATS (-7.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.




NHL

Monday, December 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Columbus @ Buffalo
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

Minnesota @ Dallas
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 20

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 20
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MIN at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -110
U 5.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/20/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
12/19/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%...........-9.75
12/18/2021..........7-3-0...........70.00%........+19.00
12/17/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%.........-13.00
12/16/2021..........7-6-0...........53.85%.........-16.25
12/15/2021..........4-1-0...........80.00%........+13.25
12/14/2021.........9-14-1..........39.58%..........-50.00
12/12/2021...........3-7-0..........30.00%..........-26.25
12/11/2021...........7-5-0..........58.33%..........+3.75
12/10/2021...........4-6-0...........42.86%.........-21.25
12/09/2021...........5-6-0...........45.45%.........-10.00
12/08/2021...........5-2-0...........71.43%.......+12.75
12/07/2021...........5-3-0...........57.14%.........+8.50
12/06/2021...........5-1-1...........83.33%........+19.50
12/05/2021...........3-3-1...........50.00%...........-6.25
12/04/2021...........8-1-0...........88.89%........+28.25
12/03/2021...........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
12/02/2021...........5-8-0...........38.46%..........-29.50
12/01/2021 ..........5-3-0 ..........62.50% ..........+9.00


TOTALS:.............94-80-1..........54.02%............- 58.75

********************************

BEST BETS:

12/20/2021............0-1-0................00.00%.........-5.50
12/19/2021............1-2-0................33.33%.........-6.00
12/18/2021............3-3-0................50.00%.........- 1.50
12/17/2021............1-2-0................33.00%...........-6.00
12/16/2021............3-2-0................60.00%..........+4.00
12/15/2021............2-0-0..............100.00%..........+10.00
12/14/2021............8-8-1................50.00%...........-2.75
12/12/2021............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/11/2021............3-3-0................50.00%...........+1.00
12/10/2021............3-4-0................42.85%............- 7.00
12/09/2021............2-4-0................33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021............2-1-0...............66.66%.............+4.50
12/07/2021............2-0-0.............100.00%.............+10.00
12/06/2021............1-0-0.............100.00%.............+ 5.00
12/05/2021............2-1-1...............66.66%.............+ 4.50
12/04/2021............3-0-0.............100.00%.............+15.00
12/03/2021............3-2-0...............60.00%...............+5.00
12/02/2021............3-8-0...............27.27%...............-27.00
12/01/2021............1-5-0...............16.66%..............- 20.50


TOTALS:..............44-50-0...............46.80%...............-46.25


UPDATED 12/20/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams (-3) @ Minnesota
— Jaguars @ Jets (-2.5)
— Bills @ New England (-2.5)
— Bears @ Seattle (-7)
— Steelers @ Kansas City (-9.5)
— Dolphins @ New Orleans (-3)

Quote of the Day
“You have to have two quarterbacks that can win for you. Tyler [Huntley] is playing that kind of football. He played really well. I thought today, he took another step forward, just in terms of handling himself, operating on time in rhythm, taking off and running at the right time, accurate throws, all of those things. He took a big step. There’s a lot to be said for experience. Repetition really makes a big difference, and he’s a quick learner.”
Ravens head coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Which NBA franchise used to be the Seattle SuperSonics?

Monday’s quiz
Formers Dodgers SS Bill Russell replaced Tommy Lasorda as manager of the Dodgers.

Sunday’s quiz
Vinny Testaverde was the Baltimore Ravens’ first starting QB, after the team moved from Cleveland.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Raiders 16, Browns 14:
— Interim head coach against an acting head coach; strange times we live in.
— Carlson kicked 48-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Raiders outgained Cleveland 328-236.
— Longest play for Raiders: 19 yards, they were minus-2 in turnovers.

— Cleveland trailed 10-0 at halftime.
— Browns took 14-13 lead with 3:45 left, after an 80-yard drive.
— Chubb ran ball 23 times for 91 yards and a TD.
— Browns were down eight starters because of COVID.

11) Why are football coaches becoming game management nitwits?

Sunday in Detroit, down 10-0 with 2:05 left in first half, 4th-and-goal from the 3-yard line, Arizona goes for the touchdown instead of the easy field goal. Why?

To paraphrase my high school Chemistry teacher, it was nonsensical. You need 10 points, which is 7+3. Take the three points and move on- they had a whole second half to get the TD. When you just answer “analytics” anytime someone doubts your approach to game management, you lose your credibility.

When you try/fail on a 2-point conversion or 4th down gamble, it deflates your momentum, something analytics people fail to grasp. This isn’t Strat-O-Matic or fantasy football; the human element can’t be quantified. Sometimes doing old school stuff is the right thing to do.

10) Detroit Lions are a bad team, but they’ve been fun to watch, partially because their coach is, how can I say this……unpredictable. Detroit kicked FG in first quarter Sunday to take 3-0 lead, and they try an onside kick…….in the first quarter.

Against the Rams earlier this season, Detroit ran two fake punts and also recovered an onside kick- two of those happened in the first 5:00 of the game. Very unusual.

No way Dan Campbell uses analytics, he follows his gut. Lions play hard for him, but if they ever improve and become a contender, I wonder if he’ll continue his sometimes-bizarre tactics.

9) Baltimore Ravens lost their last three games by total of four points, going for two points twice in last minute, when a PAT would’ve tied either game. Coach Harbaugh says injuries on their defense are the reason why they didn’t play for overtime, but Baltimore has a great kicker, maybe the best kicker ever. Going to overtime doesn’t seem like such a bad option.

8) Ravens backup QB Tyler Huntley has played well in relief of the injured Lamar Jackson; someone on the Interweb posted this interesting question:

If Huntley continues to play well, would Baltimore shop Jackson for a boatload of high draft picks, before he breaks the bank with his next contract?

Jackson has a 37-12 regular season record as a starter, 1-3 in playoffs, with Baltimore scoring only 13.5 ppg in those four playoff games. 37-12 is hard to walk away from, but if Jackson does not play well in the playoffs this year, or doesn’t even make the playoffs, what will they do?

Could be an interesting decision for the Ravens’ brass this winter.

7) Colts led New England 17-0 at halftime Saturday night; it was the first time in last 100 games that the Patriots didn’t score in the first half.

6) Tampa Bay got shut out Sunday night, first time since 2006 a Brady-led team was shut out. Back in 2006, Patriots lost 21-0 to Miami, a Dolphin team coached by……..Nick Saban.

5) Sounds like Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater (concussion) won’t play this week, meaning backup Drew Lock (8-10 as an NFL starter) will get the start in Las Vegas.

4) There are 32 college basketball teams on COVID pause, which could mean down the road, we’ll see some scheduling on the fly, with teams scheduling games to improve their rankings with hastily-out together non-conference games. Could be interesting.

3) I spent good part of last weekend binge-watching the old TV series Las Vegas, which ran from 2003-08; I didn’t even know it existed until I stumbled upon it during the pandemic; they had lot of good guest stars, some weird story lines. Not sure why the E! Channel doesn’t have this show in their normal rotation.

One recurring theme watching this show; if you’re a guy who isn’t a) rich or b) really good looking or c) both (the preferable option), never talk to a woman in Las Vegas.

2) In normal times, I like to go Las Vegas for Christmas week, and Tuesday would’ve been my day to fly there, had I gone this year. As it turns out, the Rams are playing Tuesday night; it would’ve been tight whether I could’ve gotten checked in at the hotel before kickoff.

Few years ago, same thing happened with the A’s playing in a one-game Wild Card playoff; by the time I got to my room, A’s were down a couple runs and the trip was off a to bad start, so guess it worked out well that I’m not traveling Tuesday.

1) With four NFL games Monday/Tuesday, all after dark, three of them in Cleveland, Chicago and Philadelphia, have to credit the hardy fans who bundled up to sit outdoors for 3-4 hours to root their team on.

Myself, I’m not very tough; sitting here in my living room with a blanket on my legs, flipping channels between games while I surf the web. Can’t freakin’ stand cold weather.