Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

NBA

Monday, February 28

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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Cleveland
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 19 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Orlando
Indiana
Indiana is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing Indiana
Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Indiana

Toronto @ Brooklyn
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Toronto is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Miami
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

San Antonio @ Memphis
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Memphis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Charlotte @ Milwaukee
Charlotte
Charlotte is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home

Sacramento @ Oklahoma City
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games


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[Udog]

The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 16 Heat' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Bulls' games.
The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Chicago.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven matchups between Chicago and Miami.


The Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight matchups against Milwaukee.
The total has gone UNDER in three of the last four matchups between Charlotte and Milwaukee.
The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in eight straight Bucks' games.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

IND at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL -2.5
O 232.5
+500 +500

MIN at CLE 07:00 PM
MIN -3.5
O 218.0
+500 +500

TOR at BK 07:30 PM
TOR -4.0
U 217.5
+500 +500

CHI at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -4.5
U 222.0
+500 +500

SAC at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +5.5
O 227.0
+500 +500

SA at MEM 08:00 PM
SA +8.5
O 238.0
+500 +500

CHA at MIL 08:00 PM
CHA +10.5
U 238.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

FEBRUARY BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

02/28/2022...............8-6-0...........57.14% .................+7.00
02/27/2022.............6-10-0............37.50%.................-25.00
02/26/2022...............5-7-0...........41.67% .................-13.50
02/25/2022...............9-9-0...........50.00% ..................-4.50
02/24/2022...............8-6-0...........57.14%..................+7.00
02/17/2022...............5-5-0...........50.00% ..................-2.50
02/16/2022...............8-7-0...........53.33% .................+1.50
02/15/2022...............4-3-1...........56.25% .................+3.50
02/11/2022...............2-2-1...........50.00% ..................-1.00
02/07/2022...............3-3-0............50.00%..................-1.50
02/04/2022...............9-8-1............52.94%.................+1.00
02/03/2022...............5-7-0............41.67%.................-13.50
02/02/2022...............7-8-2............47.06%...................-9.00
02/01/2022...............8-6-0............57.14%..................+7.00

TOTALS..................87-87-5............50.00%..................-43.50


BEST BETS:

02/28/2022.............5-4-0..............55.55%...............+ 3.00
02/27/2022.............5-7-0..............41.66%................-13.00
02/26/2022.............3-5-0..............37.50%................-12.50
02/25/2022.............4-7-0.............36.36%.................-18.50
02/24/2022.............6-4-0..............60.00%.................+8.00
02/17/2022.............3-3-0..............50.00%.................- 1.50
02/16/2022.............5-4-0..............55.55%.................+3.00
02/15/2022.............4-2-1..............66.66%.................+9.00
02/11/2022.............2-2-1..............50.00%..................-1.00
02/07/2022.............2-2-0..............50.00%..................-1.00
02/04/2022.............6 -5-0.............54.54%..................+2.50
02/03/2022.............3 -4 -0............42.85%...................-7.00
02/02/2022............12-11-0............52.17%...................-0.50
02/01/2022...............5-4-0.............55.55%.................+3.00

TOTALS..................65-64-0............50.38%.................-26.50


UPDATED 02/28/22

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Best offensive rebounding teams in the country:
6) Memphis
5) Buffalo
4) Houston
3) UConn
2) TCU
1) Kentucky

Quote of the Day
“Players are used to their ‘threats.’ Owners’ actions have made it clear all along that they have a set # of games where they still make profits/get TV money. They don’t want to play. It’s sad that these are the guys who drive the direction and ‘future’ of our amazing sport.”
Major league pitcher Jameson Taillon

Tuesday’s quiz
Which three schools has John Calipari led to a Final Four?

Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, the NBA Finals gone seven games three times; there has been one sweep (2018, Warriors over Cleveland).

Sunday’s quiz
Ja Morant played his college basketball at Murray State.

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Welcome to March, one of the best months of the year. We better enjoy it too, since the morons who run baseball look like they’re running that sport into the ground. April might be a slow month this year (looking forward to the USFL).

This will be our first normal March Madness since 2019; there is no dominant team, and it is going to be fun to watch. Handicapping will be difficult, but when isn’t it?

12) If you’re looking at the best metric to define success in the NCAA Tournament, I’d look at:
— offensive and defensive efficiency

Teams that don’t rank in the top 20 in efficiency haven’t been winning national titles.

We’ll get more into that next week, with the conference tournaments going on.

11) Since 1985, no team lost their first conference tournament game, then won the national title. Four national champs (1985-87-95-97) didn’t have a conference tournament that year.

From 1990-2013, 13 of 22 national champs also won their conference tournament; since 2014, only one national champ (Villanova, 2018) won their conference tournament.

10) Took me two months, but I finally saw American Underdog, the Kurt Warner movie. Was different than I thought it would be, probably a little better too.

One excellent tidbit; in the last Arena League game Warner played in, the 1996 Arena Bowl, the Iowa Barnstormers were driving for the winning score; on the last play, Warner completed a pass, but the receiver was tackled on the one-yard line, and Iowa lost 42-38.

3.5 years later, Warner’s St Louis Rams won the Super Bowl with an almost-identical ending, adding to the Hollywood-like story of his football career.

Bruce McGill is in the movie; he is a great actor, this generation’s Jack Warden. He plays the coach of the Barnstormers, the guy who actually invented Arena Football. Dennis Quaid plays Dick Vermeil, Anna Paquin plays Brenda Warner.

Not one curse word in the whole movie, which is unusual. Very good movie.

9) North Carolina 88, Syracuse 79 OT
— Syracuse (+7.5) is a very bad beat.
— Eight guys in this game played 41:00+.
— Tar Heels won 10 of their last 12 games.

8) Central Connecticut 67, FDU 66:
— Blue Devils trailed by 15 with 18:10 left in game.
— CCSU moves on to play top-seed Bryant in NEC tourney.

7) Washington State 103, Oregon State 97 OT:
— Beavers were in Elite 8 LY; they’re 3-25 this year, 0-15 in 2022.
— Coogs shot 69.2% inside arc, OSU 67.5%. Lot of layups.

6) Purdue plays at Wisconsin Tuesday night; Boilers are 6-0 vs teams in Kenpom’s top 25, but they’re also 1-5 this season when they score less than 70 points. Wisconsin won its last 17 games when giving up less than 70 points.

5) There is a movement among NFL teams that in playoff games that go to overtime, both teams should get a possession. Sounds like a good idea.

4) Arizona Cardinals will host a game in Mexico next fall; Jaguars will play a game in England, Buccaneers will play in Germany. Packers-Saints will meet in England.

3) Raiders/Jaguars is the Hall of Fame Game in Canton this summer; Josh McDaniels is the Raiders’ new coach; he played his high school games on that field.

2) Derek Jeter quit as CEO of the Miami Marlins Monday; he is selling his 4% of the team, which is worth an estimated $40-44M.

In five years since the team was sold, Marlins went 295-412, though they did make the playoffs in the shortened 2020 season.

Jeter inherited a team with Stanton-Ozuna-Yelich-Realmuto. He traded all four of them, with Sandy Alcantara the only player he got back who has evolved into a star.

Media will never say a bad word about Jeter, especially in New York, but he did a cruddy job in Miami. Interesting to see where they go from here; will they put that ugly statue back behind the centerfield fence? Will they ever contend again? In 2020, they made the playoffs, but they were only 31-29 in the regular season.

1) There are 510 players in the NBA; only 129 of them get 10+ shots a game. To make it in the NBA, you need to be great at spassing or at omething when you don’t have the ball— getting loose balls, rebounding, defending, screening, running the floor.

Effort/energy wins games; players that defend/rebound will make rosters, get playing time.

 

[Udog]

ATLANTA is 10-36 ATS (-29.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 9-31 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 season.

DALLAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 1

NBA

Tuesday, March 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Detroit @ Washington
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Atlanta @ Boston
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

LA Clippers @ Houston
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 15 games at home
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Golden State @ Minnesota
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

Dallas @ LA Lakers
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas


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[Udog]

The Hawks are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games.
The Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven Hawks' games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Celtics' games.
The Celtics are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.


The Wolves are 3-6 ATS in their last nine matchups against Golden State.
The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in six straight matchups between Golden State and Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Warriors' games.


The Mavericks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
The Lakers are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Lakers' games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups between the Lakers and Mavericks.
The Lakers are 10-3 SU in their last 13 matchups against Dallas.

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

DET at WAS 07:00 PM
DET +3.5
+500

BK at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -8.5
U 216.5
+500 +500

ATL at BOS 07:30 PM
ATL +6.5
O 226.5
+500 +500

LAC at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +7.0
O 228.0
+500 +500

GS at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +1.0
O 232.0
+500 +500

DAL at LAL 10:00 PM
LAL +5.5
U 217.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00



BEST BETS:

03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00



UPDATED ON 03/01/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Some of the most experienced teams in the country:
1) Manhattan
2) Cleveland State
5) Southern Utah
7) Providence
9) St Bonaventure
10) Penn State

Quote of the Day
“We all get along good, and I’m glad he’s (Bieniemy) back with us and rolling. My thought was that he potentially would get a head-coaching job, which I would have been happy with, too. But that’s not the way it worked out.”
Andy Reid, talking about his OC, Eric Bieniemy

Wednesday’s quiz
Who played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny?
(Hint: He is most famous as the star of a 60’s TV comedy)

Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari has led UMass, Memphis and Kentucky to Final Fours.

Monday’s quiz
In the last 14 years, the NBA Finals gone seven games three times; there has been one sweep (2018, Warriors over Cleveland).

*****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Sad day for baseball fans Tuesday; first week of the season was cancelled by the owners, as they try to break the players’ union and rein in expenses.

This is going to be a while now; once people start losing money, then it gets personal and the impasse is more likely to stretch out. Too bad; I love baseball, but life goes on and there are lot of other things to do. The owners need to realize that.

12) I was going to post that the White Sox (-$220) were the heaviest favorite to win any of the divisions this season, but that doesn’t seem relevant now.

MLB Network should go to color bars until this dispute is resolved.

11) Just to be clear, I’m not on either side; I just want to watch ballgames. Players make a ton of money; scumweasel agents make it harder to come to an agreement. A pitcher like Alex Wood was going to make $12M this year, $12M next year. Pretty good bank for playing ball.

Owners are billionaires; I have no idea what their end game is here; do they really want to kill the golden goose, when they own the teams involved? Do they think the union is just going to fold and end the dispute? Ballplayers are competitive people; they ain’t giving up easily.

Atlanta Braves made $104M last year; it isn’t credible for owners to cry poor.

10) I’m going on vacation in three weeks, my first vacation in 2.5 years; last day of my trip was supposed to be Opening Day of baseball season. Sitting in a sportsbook and watching baseball all day is an excellent day, but that ain’t going to happen now.

I’ll watch NBA/NHL instead; there’s a ton of stuff to do in Las Vegas, but these billionaires are complete imbeciles when it comes to marketing their sport.

In any event, Tuesday was a good day for the USFL; those four games/week they’re going to play every weekend starting in mid-April will have lot of eyeballs on them, mine included.

9) TCU 74, Kansas 64:
— Horned Frogs had 19 offensive rebounds.
— Kansas lost last two games, after a 23-4 start.

8) Horizon League tournament:
— Robert Morris 77, Youngstown State 73— First upset of March Madness.
— Oakland 69, IUPUI 58— Jaguars played five guys all 40:00.
— Detroit 79, Green Bay 62— Coach’s son Davis scored 38 points.
— Ill-Chicago 80, Milwaukee 69— Flames won their last four games.

7) Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Central Arkansas 74, Stetson 73— Hatters led by 14 with 16:12 left to play.
— Fla Gulf Coast 81, North Alabama 72— Eagles won eight of last nine games.
— Lipscomb 74, North Florida 65— Game was tied at halftime.
— Kennesaw State 82, Eastern Kentucky 73— EKU led by 14 in first half.

6) Patriot League tournament:
— American 69, Holy Cross 63— Eagles are 3-0 vs HC, 3-13 vs rest of league
— Bucknell 82, Lafayette 81 OT— Bucknell was down 13 in first half.

5) Arizona 91, USC 71:
— Wildcats led 51-27 at halftime.
— Arizona made 12-25 on arc, lead Pac-12 by three games.

4) UMass fired basketball coach Matt McCall; Minutemen were 28-42 in A-14 games in his five years as coach. Tough job; A-14 doesn’t get lot of TV exposure, plus John Calipari used to coach there, so expectations are too high, just like they are at Memphis.

3) 49ers’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have his throwing shoulder operated on, won’t be able to throw for 16 weeks. Going to be hard for the 49ers to trade him and get value.

Dallas QB Dak Prescott had his left shoulder operated on, which shouldn’t impact him going forward.

2) Villanova 76, Providence 74:
— Villanova led by 14 early in second half, hung on for dear life.
— Wildcats are only team to beat Providence twice this season.
— Despite that, Friars have already clinched Big East regular season title.

1) Dayton 55, Richmond 53:
— Dayton got an alley-oop dunk on an OB under with 0:01.2 left.
— Flyers, least experienced team in country, clinches top-4 spot in A-14.

 

[Udog]

INDIANA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

HOUSTON is 8-33 ATS (-28.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Wednesday, March 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlotte @ Cleveland
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home

Indiana @ Orlando
Indiana
Indiana is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Indiana's last 16 games
Orlando
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Indiana

New York @ Philadelphia
New York
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New York
Philadelphia is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing New York

Utah @ Houston
Utah
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 16 games at home

Miami @ Milwaukee
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

Sacramento @ New Orleans
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Sacramento's last 19 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 19 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games

Oklahoma City @ Denver
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Portland @ Phoenix
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

The Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
The Sixers are 16-2 SU in their last 18 matchups against New York.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven Knicks' games.
Thre total has gone UNDER in five of the last six matchups between the Sixers and Knicks.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Sixers' games.
The Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.


The Heat are 9-1 SU in their last ten games.
The Bucks are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against Miami.
The Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between Miami and Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last nine Bucks' games.


The Blazers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 matchups against Portland.
The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Suns' games.
The Suns are 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games.
The Blazers are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 2

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 2
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

IND at ORL 07:00 PM
IND -2.5
O 232.5
+500 +500

CHA at CLE 07:00 PM
CHA +4.0
U 218.5
+500 +500

NY at PHI 07:30 PM
NY +10.5
U 223.0
+500 +500

MIA at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -4.5
O 224.5
+500 +500

UTA at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +15.5
O 228.5
+500 +500

SAC at NO 08:00 PM
NO -6.5
O 233.0
+500 +500

OKC at DEN 09:00 PM
OKC +14.5
O 226.0
+500 +500

POR at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -11.0
O 224.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..............15-11-1..............57.69%................+14.50



BEST BETS:

03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS.................10-5-0..............66.66%................+22.50



UPDATED ON 03/02/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Teams who make best %age of shots inside arc:
61.4%— Belmont
60.6%— Gonzaga
58.9%— Wake Forest
58.2%— Vermont
57.6%— Oklahoma
57.3%— Winthrop

Quote of the Day
“They need to stop treating us like we’re idiots.”
Unnamed baseball player, talking about the owners/labor situation

Thursday’s quiz
Which hotel/casino in Las Vegas is shaped like a pyramid?

Wednesday’s quiz
Fred Gwynne played the judge in the classic movie, My Cousin Vinny; he is best known for being the star of The Munsters

Tuesday’s quiz
John Calipari has led UMass, Memphis and Kentucky to Final Fours.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Arkansas 77, LSU 76:
— Arkansas won last two games by total of three points.
— Razorbacks shot 57.6% inside arc.
— Teams combined to make 42-47 on foul line; good to see!!!

12) Texas A&M 87, Alabama 71:
— Aggies outscored Alabama 50-31 in second half.
— Alabama is a weird team; 47.3% of their shots are 3’s, but they’ve only made 31.3% of those 3’s (#291). Very difficult team to handicap.

11) Auburn 81, Mississippi State 68 OT:
— Auburn led by 12 at halftime.
— MSU shot 50% inside arc, 0-13 outside arc.
— Bulldogs lost eight of last 12 games.

10) Creighton 64, UConn 62:
— Creighton never trailed; they led by 16 in first half.
— Bluejays are 5-0 vs UConn the last two seasons.
— Huskies shot 6-22 on arc, 2-5 on foul line.

9) Duke won the ACC’s regular season basketball title this year, first time they’ve done that since 2006. ACC is down this year, the 6th-ranked league, their worst rating in nine years. Duke has won seven games in a row.

Speaking of Duke, they have a baseball player Chris Davis, whose dad is Rece Davis, the ESPN anchor. Chris Davis used to play baseball at Princeton; few years ago, he ruptured his spleen after a collision in the outfield, and needed two operations to recover. Scary thing.

8) Big South tournament— all four games were tied with 0:06 left in regulation
— NC A&T 78, Radford 71 OT— Aggies had lost nine of previous 11 games.
— Charleston Southern 79, NC-Asheville 78— Bucs got tap-in at buzzer for the upset.
— High Point 84, Hampton 77 OT— There were 79 foul shots in this game.
— Campbell 75, Presbyterian 72, 2OT— Camels win on Wednesday (Hump Day) Presbyterian was only 12-23 on foul line in a double overtime loss.

7) George Washington 98, Duquesne 93, 3OT:
— 7 points was biggest lead either team had the whole game.
— Senior Night at GW; four seniors started, played 3:00 each.
— Duquesne is coached by Keith Dambrot, Lebron James’ high school coach; they’ve lost 15 games in a row.

6) DePaul 91, Marquette 80:
— Depaul scored 58 points in second half.
— Marquette is 3-5 in last eight games; they’re experience team #350, very young.
— Marquette played 7 freshmen, one junior, two seniors.

5) UNLV 64, Wyoming 57:
— Rebels are 18-12, 10-7; Kevin Kruger has done a nice job in his first year at UNLV.
— UNLV star Hamilton went 3-15 from floor and they still won; impressive.
— This was Wyoming’s fourth game in eight nights; tough stretch.

4) Wednesday was the 60th anniversary of the night that Wilt Chamberlain scored 100 points for the Philadelphia Warriors against the Knicks. Wilt was freakin’ awesome.

Warriors won the game 169-147; the game was in Hershey, PA. Not a lot of defense.

Wilt played all 48:00; he 36-63 from the floor, 28-32 on foul line, had 25 rebounds. I repeat, he played all 48:00— there was no load management back then.

3) Arizona Cardinals gave GM Steve Keim, coach Kliff Kingsbury contract extensions after the Redbirds went 11-7 this past season. No word yet on QB Kyler Murray’s contract.

2) Baltimore Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson is apparently negotiating his own contract extension with the Ravens, not using an agent. Saves you the 3% commission, but he doesn’t have a deal yet, either. Jackson will make $23.016M this coming season.

Ravens say that Jackson hasn’t shown much interest in getting a new deal done. Unusual.

1) I’ve started spending more time recently listening to the VSIN radio network on I-Heart radio, a station dedicated to sports/gambling. Lot of interesting stuff, but why in God’s name do people wager on the NFL Draft? Chances are the oddsmakers have better info than the bettor.

Couple of the VSIN guys were discussing NFL futures for 2022; how can you bet on anything before you see the schedule, which is released in April? Plus there figure to be lot of QB trades this offseason; lot of depth charts are going to look different in September than they do now.

 

[Udog]

CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 83-115 ATS (-43.5 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days since 1996.

DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a division game in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

LA CLIPPERS are 45-26 ATS (16.4 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, March 3

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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Atlanta
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Memphis @ Boston
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Memphis

Miami @ Brooklyn
Miami
Miami is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Toronto
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Golden State @ Dallas
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Sacramento
San Antonio is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento

LA Lakers @ LA Clippers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers


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[Udog]

The Bulls are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Hawks' home games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Bulls' games.
The Hawks are 4-6 ATS in their last ten games.
The Bulls are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 matchups against Atlanta.


The Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games.
The Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 matchups against Memphis.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 Grizzlies' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Celtics' games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 12 matchups between Boston and Memphis.


The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last 11 matchups between Miami and Brooklyn.
The Heat are 11-5 ATS in their last five road games against Brooklyn.
The Nets are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games.
The Heat are 9-1 SU in their last ten games.


The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
The Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 matchups against Golden State.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven Warriors' games.
The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.


The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against the Lakers.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Lakers' games.
The Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.