Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Some of the teams forcing the most turnovers this season:
26.3% of possessions— Texas
26.2%—VCU
26.2%— Iowa State
25.9%— LSU
25.4%— Texas A&M
25.3%— Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“You can shear a sheep many times but you can only skin him once.”
Amarillo Slim

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Steelers’ QB before Ben Roethlisberger?

Sunday’s quiz
Before Saturday, Cincinnati’s last playoff win was in 1990; Boomer Esiason played QB for the Bengals that day.
(Really obscure trivia: Cody Carlson played QB for Houston that day)

Saturday’s quiz
Michigan Wolverines were in the Final Four four years ago; John Beilein was their coach.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..

13) Buccaneers 31, Eagles 15:
— Tampa Bay led 31-0 after three quarters.
— Eagles in first three quarters: 45 plays, 154 yards, no points.
— Brady is 35-11 in playoff games.

12) 49ers 23, Cowboys 17:
— San Francisco led 23-7 after three quarters.
— Dallas had ball in 49ers’ territory when time ran out.
— Cowboys had 14 penalties for 89 yards.

11) Chiefs 42, Steelers 21:
— Game was scoreless after the first quarter.
— Steelers took 7-0 lead with a defensive score.
— Kansas City then scored a TD on its next six drives.

10) Spreads for next week’s playoff games:
— Bengals @ Tennessee (-3.5)
— 49ers @ Green Bay (-5.5)
— Bills @ Kansas City (-2.5)

9) Dak Prescott holds an NFL record, throwing for 974 yards in consecutive games LY (Weeks 3-4). Problem is, he got hurt in Week 5 and was lost for the rest of the season.

Dallas won the NFC East this year, Prescott had a good season, but now he is 1-3 in playoff games, and there are rumblings that coach McCarthy’s job is on thin ice.

Prescott threw for 254 yards Sunday, was sacked five times; Dallas had 14 penalties. Whose fault is that? It is debatable, but Jerry Jones may not want to lose OC Kellen Moore, and may promote him to head coach at a fairly young age. That would make McCarthy the fall guy for Sunday’s loss.

8) Las Vegas Raiders made the playoffs this year, despite a minus-9 turnover ratio, and with a defense that gave up 35 touchdowns on 43 red zone drives. Tons of distractions, on and off the field, but the interim coach kept the group together- they won six games on last play of the game, an NFL record.

Doesn’t Rich Bisaccia deserve a shot at the fulltime head coaching job?

7) I’m guessing the fine folks at NBC were grumbling about the lousy Sunday night game; had the Chargers won/tied last week, they would’ve knocked the Steelers out of the playoffs, and the Sunday night game this week might’ve been more competitive.

6) Cincinnati 61, Wichita State 57— Shockers are off to a disappointing 0-4 start in AAC.

5) St John’s 88, Georgetown 69— This is Patrick Ewing’s fifth year coaching the Hoyas; his record in Big East conference games? 26-47.

At what point does Ewing go on the hot seat? He’s the school’s most prominent basketball alumnus, but 26-47 is 26-47.

4) Iona 78, Niagara 55— I hear this Pitino guy is a pretty good coach; Gaels are 6-0 in the MAAC- they’re 26-9 in 1.5 years under the Hall of Fame coach.

3) Brooklyn Nets star Kevin Durant sprained his knee, is out 4-6 weeks.

2) If you like high school basketball, ESPNU has four consecutive games on Monday, starting at 11am. Teams from all over the country facing off.

1) If you coach/teach basketball to kids, do this demonstration; show them that a basketball hoop is exactly two basketballs wide. This surprises most everyone; with the rim ten feet high, it doesn’t look that big, but you can place two basketballs in a hoop— sometimes that makes a shooter more confident.
 

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NEW ORLEANS are 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 22-6 ATS (15.4 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 161-125 ATS (23.5 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.

INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.

ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.

ORLANDO is 17-40 ATS (-27 Units) as a home underdog in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after a non-conference game in the current season.

UTAH is 195-154 ATS (25.6 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.
 

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NBA

Monday, January 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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New Orleans @ Boston
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Charlotte @ New York
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

Brooklyn @ Cleveland
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Indiana @ LA Clippers
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 16 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games

Chicago @ Memphis
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Memphis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games

Portland @ Orlando
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
Toronto is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Oklahoma City @ Dallas
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Phoenix @ San Antonio
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
San Antonio is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Utah @ LA Lakers
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 17


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The Hornets are 6-2 SU in their last eight matchups against New York.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight matchups between Charlotte and New York.
The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.


The Bulls are 6-2 SU in their last eight matchups against Memphis.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Memphis and Chicago.
The Bulls are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
The Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.


The Bucks are 15-5 SU in their last 20 matchups against Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Milwaukee and Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Bucks' games.
The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.


The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against the Lakers.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Lakers' games.
The Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Lakers are 6-1 SU in their last seven home games.
 

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MONDAY, JANUARY 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at WAS 02:00 PM
O 221.5
+500

BK at CLE 03:00 PM
O 221.5
+500

IND at LAC 03:30 PM
IND +1.5
U 209.5
+500 +500

CHI at MEM 03:30 PM
CHI +8.5
O 225.0

+500 +500

MIL at ATL 06:00 PM
MIL -5.5
U 232.0
+500 +500

POR at ORL 07:00 PM
POR -2.0
O 218.5
+500 +500

TOR at MIA 07:30 PM
TOR +3.0
O 207.5
+500 +500

OKC at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -11.0
U 209.5
+500 +500

PHO at SA 08:30 PM
SA +4.0
O 227.0

+500 +500

UTA at LAL 10:30 PM
LAL +4.5
U 230.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/17/2022........5-12-1........29.14%..........-41.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0.........50.00%...........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/14/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/13/2022.........6-1-0..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/12/2022.........6-1-1..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/10/2022.........7-7-0..........50.00%...........-3.50
01/09/2022.........9-9-0..........50.00%............-4.50
01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........89-81-4...........52.35%..........+0.50


BEST BETS:

01/17/2022.........3-8-0...........27.27%.......-29.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-2-0...........66.66%........+9.00
01/14/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%.........- 1.50
01/13/2022.........5-1-0...........83.33%........+19.50
01/12/2022.........4-1-1...........80.00%........+14.50
01/10/2022.........4-6-0...........40.00%.........-13.00
01/09/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%.........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%.........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%.........- 1.50

TOTALS............55-50-3............52.38%.........+20.00


01/17/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Purdue 96, Illinois 89, 2OT— This seemed like a Final Four game.
— Wyoming 77, Nevada 67— Cowboys are a surprising 13-2.
— NC-Wilmington 86, Charleston 78— Seahawks are 3-0 in CAA.
— Wagner 95, FDU 64— Seahawks shot 67% inside the arc.
— Weber State 78, Idaho State 61— Weber is atop Big Sky at 5-1.
— Arizona State 64, Utah 62— ASU was a horrendous 3-12 on foul line.

Quote of the Day
“People give effort to what is important to them.”
Unknown

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Ben Simmons play his one year of college basketball?
Hint: His team didn’t make the NCAA tournament

Monday’s quiz
Tommy Maddox was the Steelers’ QB before Ben Roethlisberger.

Sunday’s quiz
Before Saturday, Cincinnati’s last playoff win was in 1990; Boomer Esiason played QB for the Bengals that day.
(Really obscure trivia: Cody Carlson played QB for Houston that day)

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: What are Final Four teams made up of?

13) Last four national titles were won by a #1-seed; last national champ that wasn’t a #1-seed? Villanova, six years ago- they were a #2-seed.

12) eFG% (FG%, but where a 3-pointer counts as 1.5 made baskets) seems to be a big indicator of NCAA Turney success.

Last four tournaments, nine of 16 Final Four teams were in the top 40 nationally in eFG%; 12 of 20 were in the top 100. Last three national champs ranked #1-19-7 on eFG%.

11) Depth means very little; last four years, only one of 16 Final Four teams was in the top 150 in bench minutes for that season. Longer TV timeouts, refs calling fewer fouls fuels that theory.

10) Last four Final Four’s teams, by seed #:
#1— seven
#2— two
#3— three
#5— one
#7— one
#11— two

9) Defensive eFG% is also a solid indicator:
— 13 of last 16 Final Four teams were in top 100 in eFG% defense
— 8 of last 16 were in the top 50.

There are always exceptions, which is what makes handicapping interesting; Baylor won the national title last year- their eFG% defense was ranked #121, but they ranked #4 in forcing turnovers.

South Carolina made the Final Four in 2017; I wouldn’t have bet on them with your money, but they got there as a #7-seed. Like Baylor, they were strong at forcing turnovers (#5)

I have 17 categories on my chart here; 14 of the last 16 Final Four teams were in the top 11 nationally, in at least one category.

8) 3-point shooting has become more and more important; last three tournaments, 9 of 12 Final Four teams ranked in the top 50 in 3-point shooting %age.

7) Teams that get a lot of their points on the foul line don’t get to the Final Four much, adding to the theory that refs call fewer fouls in March Madness.

Last four tournaments, only 1 of 16 Final Four teams (that 2017 South Carolina squad) ranked in the top 100 in %age of points scored on foul line. No other team ranked in the top 150.

6) Strength of schedule is an indicator; 12 of last 16 Final Four teams ranked in top 50 in strength schedule; Gonzaga’s two Final Four trips are two of the four schedules that fell outside the top 50 (72-89).

Today’s Gonzaga program is like UNLV was thirty years ago; very big fish in a small pond.

5) Does experience matter? 12 of last 16 Final Four teams were in top 100 of experience; only 6 of 16 Final Four teams were in the top 100 of continuity.

Sadly, there is no metric for TALENT; good/great players win championships, in any sport.

So what teams, at this point, figure to be favorites in March:
4) eFG% leaders:
— Gonzaga
— Purdue
— Davidson
— Loyola, Chi

Also, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arizona, Kentucky

3) defensive eFG% leaders:
— Indiana
— LSU
— San Diego State
— Arizona

Also, VCU, USC, Gonzaga, UConn

2) 3-point %age leaders:
— South Dakota State
— Davidson
— Purdue
— North Carolina

Also, Colorado State, Michigan State, Loyola Chi, Murray State

1) Teams with most experience:
— Providence
— Florida
— Texas
— St Bonaventure

Also, Buffalo, Seton Hall, SMU, Drake

These numbers will change over the six weeks; we’ll keep an eye on them before we predict who will be in the Final Four
 

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at NY 07:30 PM
MIN -2.5
U 214.0
+500 +500

DET at GS 10:00 PM
GS -14.5
O 216.5
+500 +500
 

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C/note and U/dog.......always appreciate your daily thought's and info....
here's to a solid evening guys.....indy
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/18/2022.........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
01/17/2022........5-12-1........29.14%..........-41.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0.........50.00%...........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/14/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/13/2022.........6-1-0..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/12/2022.........6-1-1..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/10/2022.........7-7-0..........50.00%...........-3.50
01/09/2022.........9-9-0..........50.00%............-4.50
01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........90-84-4...........51.72%..........-11.00


BEST BETS:

01/18/2022.........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
01/17/2022.........3-8-0...........27.27%.......-29.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-2-0...........66.66%........+9.00
01/14/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%.........- 1.50
01/13/2022.........5-1-0...........83.33%........+19.50
01/12/2022.........4-1-1...........80.00%........+14.50
01/10/2022.........4-6-0...........40.00%.........-13.00
01/09/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%.........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%.........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%.........- 1.50

TOTALS............55-52-3............51.40%.........+9.00


01/18/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

— Seahawks fired DC Ken Norton Jr; there have to be scapegoats.
— Kansas 67, Oklahoma 64— Sooners lost four of their last five games.
— Davidson 63, VCU 61— Wildcats are 15-3, haven’t lost since November 18.
— Dayton 68, St Bonaventure 50– 12-6 Flyers are least experienced team in country.
— Kansas State 66, Texas 65— Wildcats were an 11-point underdog.
— Florida State 79, Duke 78 OT— Duke lost two of three true road games.

Quote of the Day
“I think what will help us is to run out of a tunnel and play in front of fans. I think it’s hugely demoralizing to our guys to play games in empty arenas when there’s 80,000 people at the Rams game yesterday.”
UCLA basketball coach Mick Cronin, whose Bruins play at Utah this week

Wednesday’s quiz
Scottie Pippen’s son plays for Vanderbilt; where did Pippen go to college?

Tuesday’s quiz
Ben Simmons played his one year of college basketball at LSU.

Monday’s quiz
Tommy Maddox was the Steelers’ QB before Ben Roethlisberger.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) October 2008, I went to the Tennessee-South Carolina football game in Columbia; game was at night, we sat in lawn chairs in a field all afternoon, watching a big-screen TV that was in the luggage compartment of a Winnebago. There was a satellite dish on the bus. Fun day.

Three things I remember about that day:
— Had Church’s fried chicken for first time; it is great fried chicken.
— I had never met the guy who owned the Winnebago; he owned arcades throughout the south. At one point, he looked at me and asked, “Where you from? You talk funny.” I told him New York and asked him to pass me some more fried chicken.
— We spent about an hour that day discussing the merits of a QB who was still in college; my friend knows more about football than I do, but on this point, I was right.

Matthew Stafford is a really good quarterback.

12) I was very happy for Stafford Monday night; he gets the monkey off his back with his first playoff win, now he can just relax and win some more games.

11) Rams 34, Cardinals 11:
— Rams led 14-0 before Arizona had a first down.
— Murray threw a horrendous pick-6 to make score 21-0.
— Rams were 6-13 on third down, Cardinals 0-9.

10) These are the top two seasons ever by an NFL receiver, in terms of yardage:
a) 1,964 yards— Calvin Johnson 2012
b) 1,947 yards— Cooper Kupp 2021

Two great receivers having great years; the common thread?
Matthew Stafford was the QB for both of those teams.

9) Kupp had 848 yards after catch this season, 78 yards more than anyone else.

8) Las Vegas Raiders fired GM Mike Mayock after three years as GM; Raiders were 25-24 in Mayock’s tenure. Hope he goes back on NFL Network; he does good work analyzing players.

7) Last 11 times the Dallas Cowboys were in the playoffs, they fell short of the Final Four, the conference championship games. Last time they made the Final Four was 1995, when Barry Switzer was their coach and they won their third Super Bowl in four years.

Will they let another team hire Kellen Moore as their coach or will they fire Mike McCarthy and make Moore their head coach? Interesting decision.

6) I’m officially sick of the Manning family; enough already. Eli never said a freakin’ word when he played; now you can’t shut him up, unless his brother is yakking.

It’ll be interesting down the road when Eli Manning comes up for the Hall of Fame, how his 111-111 regular season record will be judged. He won two Super Bowls, but 111-111 isn’t a first ballot Hall of Fame resume.

Jim Plunkett won two Super Bowls, also had a .500 regular season record; he ain’t getting into the Hall of Fame. Manning will get in, but shouldn’t get in on the first ballot.

5) QB Hunter Johnson was Clemson’s 3rd-string QB in 2017, then transferred to Northwestern, where he played four years. Now he is going back to Clemson, where I’m assuming he’ll be the Tigers’ QB next fall. College quarterbacks have become nomads.

4) Miami 85, North Carolina 57— Yikes, ugly loss for the Tar Heels, who are now 12-5, 4-2 in ACC play, but only 2-5 against top 100 teams.

3) Iona 86, Monmouth 85 (OT)— Rick Pitino’s Gaels are 15-3, 7-0 in MAAC; at some point this coming spring, some big $$$ school is going to come after the 69-year old Pitino to be its hoop coach. Would he leave Iona to venture back into the big time?

2) Timberwolves 112, Knicks 110— Couple minutes after this game ended, maybe two minutes after, Karl Anthony Towns(Minnesota’s best player) is standing on the court, talking to someone on a cellphone. Never saw that before.

1) We live in a fickle society; there is the old saying “We’re with you win or tie, but we’re not that crazy about tie” Teams that win get praised or ignored; teams that lose, well everyone should be fired/traded.

Hell, Bill Belichick was taking grief on social media last weekend. Guy made the playoffs with a rookie QB this season; that doesn’t happen a lot, but he hasn’t won a playoff game the last three years, so the natives are restless. Forget the six Super Bowls he won; that was all Brady.

I once was an assistant high school basketball coach; guy I worked for is a great guy, he said something that stopped me in my tracks. We won our first game of the year, lost our second game by a lot, and couple of the players didn’t react to it very well.

The head coach says in the locker room after the game, “Well, it didn’t take long for the rats to start jumping off the ship” Had to hide my face, it made me laugh, but he was right. We live in a fickle society.
 

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WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

ORLANDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.

CLEVELAND is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 24-10 ATS (13 Units) in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 25-10 ATS (14 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, January 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Washington
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Orlando @ Philadelphia
Orlando
Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

Charlotte @ Boston
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Minnesota @ Atlanta
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Portland @ Miami
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cleveland @ Chicago
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Memphis @ Milwaukee
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Toronto @ Dallas
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Houston @ Utah
Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Houston

LA Clippers @ Denver
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Sacramento
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Detroit is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing Detroit

Indiana @ LA Lakers
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 17 games on the road
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven matchups against Boston.
The Celtics are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Hornets' games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 12 matchups between Charlotte and Boston.


The Clippers are 2-6 SU in their last eight matchups against Denver.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups between the Nuggets and Clippers.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Clippers' games.
The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BK at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -1.0
U 235.0
+500 +500

ORL at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -12.0
U 213.0
+500 +500

POR at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -9.0
O 210.5
+500 +500

CHA at BOS 07:30 PM
CHA +3.0
O 219.5

+500 +500

MIN at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -2.0
O 236.0
+500 +500

CLE at CHI 08:00 PM
CLE -3.0
U 214.5
+500 +500

MEM at MIL 08:00 PM
MEM +6.5
O 229.0
+500 +500

OKC at SA 08:30 PM
OKC +7.0
U 221.0
+500 +500

TOR at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -3.5
U 208.0

+500 +500

HOU at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -13.5
U 230.5
+500 +500

LAC at DEN 10:00 PM
DEN -8.5
U 213.5
+500 +500

DET at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -7.5
U 221.5
+500 +500

IND at LAL 10:30 PM
IND +5.0
U 225.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/19/2022......12-14-0........46.15%..........-17.00
01/18/2022.........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
01/17/2022........5-12-1........29.14%..........-41.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0.........50.00%...........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/14/2022.........4-4-0..........50.00%...........-2.00
01/13/2022.........6-1-0..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/12/2022.........6-1-1..........85.71%.........+24.50
01/10/2022.........7-7-0..........50.00%...........-3.50
01/09/2022.........9-9-0..........50.00%............-4.50
01/08/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%..........-3.00
01/07/2022.........9-8-0...........52.94%.........+1.00
01/06/2022.........5-3-0...........62.50%..........+8.50
01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS..........102-98-4...........51.00%..........-28.00


BEST BETS:

01/19/2022.........6-6-0...........50.00%.......-3.00
01/18/2022.........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
01/17/2022.........3-8-0...........27.27%.......-29.00
01/16/2022.........2-2-0...........50.00%.........-1.00
01/15/2022.........4-2-0...........66.66%........+9.00
01/14/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%.........- 1.50
01/13/2022.........5-1-0...........83.33%........+19.50
01/12/2022.........4-1-1...........80.00%........+14.50
01/10/2022.........4-6-0...........40.00%.........-13.00
01/09/2022.........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
01/08/2022.........4-4-0...........50.00%..........- 2.00
01/07/2022.........6-4-0...........60.00%.........+ 8.00
01/06/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%.........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%.........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%.........- 1.50

TOTALS............61-58-3............51.26%.........+6.00


01/19/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

Six of the best freshmen QB’s for college football next season:
— Connor Weigman, Texas A&M
— Ty Simpson, Alabama
— Cade Klubnik, Clemson
— Nick Evers, Oklahoma
— Devin Brown, Ohio State
— Drew Allar, Penn State

Quote of the Day
“I don’t feel like I’m under siege. It’s not hard to do my job; I’m very focused on the task at hand. I’ve always been that way.”
Lakers coach Frank Vogel, whose team won an NBA title two years ago

Thursday’s quiz
Over the last 25 years, only one NFL team hasn’t won a playoff game; which team?

Wednesday’s quiz
Scottie Pippen’s son plays for Vanderbilt; Pippen Sr went to college at Central Arkansas.

Tuesday’s quiz
Ben Simmons played his one year of college basketball at LSU.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

13) 2009 NBA Draft, Minnesota Timberwolves had picks #5-6; they took a pair of guards, Jonny Flynn from Syracuse who played only three years in the NBA, and Ricky Rubio, a Spanish guard who didn’t come to this country until two years later.

Rubio is in his 11th NBA season, on his 4th team. He’s been a good player, but Minnesota has made the playoffs one time since that draft. If they had to do all over again, Minnesota would take the player who was the 7th pick in that draft.

Guard from Davidson, Stephen Curry. You may have heard of him.

12) When Florida State beat Duke Monday night, it was their 13th straight overtime win, an all-time college hoop record.

11) There are still states where high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock; basketball without a shot clock can be hideous.

In 1979, just before ESPN and seven years before the shot clock, Duke led North Carolina 7-0 at halftime. At one point, UNC held the ball for 11 consecutive minutes, because Duke wouldn’t come out of their zone defense.

February 1980, I was on the bench of a conference tournament game at the D-III level that went 4 OT’s; the team that won the opening tap in the first three OT’s held the ball for the last shot all three times. Not fun to watch.

That was the same night the American hockey team upset the Russians at the Lake Placid Olympics, so while we were sad about losing, while everyone else was happier than hell. Not a great night.

Anyway, basketball needs the shot clock, even in high school.

10) Rutgers 48, Iowa 46:
— 48-46 WITH a shot clock? Oy.
— Teams combined to make 8-40 on the arc. Yikes.
— Rutgers outscored Iowa 24-14 over the final 18:04.
— Lot of rebounds: Rutgers outrebounded Iowa, 49-38.

9) Marquette 57, Villanova 54:
— Marquette made 13-29 on the arc.
— Villanova led by 9 with 10:53 left in game.
— There was a TOTAL of only 7 foul shots in this game.
— Marquette has won five in row; this win will be strong on Selection Sunday.

8) Kentucky 64, Texas A&M 58:
— Aggies were 1-22 on arc, 5-13 on foul line, only lost by six.
— A&M shot 57% inside arc, led this game by 13 in first half.
— Kentucky is quietly 15-3, 5-3 vs top 100 teams.

7) Alabama 70, LSU 67:
— Alabama outscored Tigers 21-9 on foul line.
— LSU scored 55-58-67 points in its three losses
— These teams play again March 5th in Baton Rouge.

6) Was reading where Miami Hurricanes’ new coach Mario Cristobal is having trouble hiring a new offensive coordinator; back when he coached Justin Herbert at Oregon, Ducks threw the ball only 47% of the time for those two years. Turns out Cristobal is something of a control freak.

You have Justin Herbert, you throw the ball. A lot.

5) Georgia QB Stetson Bennett is coming back to Athens for his senior season with the Dawgs, which means JT Daniels is back in the transfer portal. Daniels started out at USC, transferred to Georgia, was there two years, now he’ll be somewhere else next year.

Funny thing is, I’m pretty sure Daniels will play in the NFL someday, and pretty sure that Bennett won’t, but he won a national title with the Dawgs so he is a legend now.

4) There will be scapegoats; Seattle Seahawk fired defensive coordinator Ken Norton Jr after Seattle went 7-10 this season, their first losing season since 2011.

Seahawks were 40-25 in Norton’s four seasons as DC; he has a pretty long history working with Pete Carroll, so chances are this move came from the front office, not Carroll.

3) Tennessee Titans won/covered their last eight games, when they had 8+ days to prepare; Cincinnati Bengals, in their franchise history, are 0-7 in road playoff games, so Joe Burrow has some history to overcome Saturday in Nashville.

2) Eric Weddle came out of a 2-year retirement to play for the Rams Monday night; how much does he get paid? Players get paid for the regular season, not the playoffs; would be curious how much Weddle gets for playing this month.

1) I’m not a big fan of the Monday night game in the Wild Card round; creates a short week for the game’s winner. If a team from one coast has to travel to the other coast for the next round of the playoffs on a short week, that’s a pretty big disadvantage.

All the NFL cares about is making more $$$ and if the Monday night TV game creates more revenue, then it’ll stay. When in doubt, it is always about the money.
 

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NEW YORK is 23-7 ATS (15.3 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or less in the current season.




NBA

Thursday, January 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New Orleans @ New York
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New York
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

Phoenix @ Dallas
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Golden State
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indiana's last 18 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Indiana


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------





The Mavericks are 0-8 SU in their last eight matchups against Phoenix.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven matchup between Dallas and Phoenix.
The Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Suns' games.


The Pacers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight matchups against Golden State.
The Warriors are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Indiana and Golden State.
The Pacers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games.
 

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