Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS..............9-16-2...........36.00%.........-42.00


BEST BETS:

01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%..........-6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%..........-1.50

TOTALS...............4-5-1............44.44%..........-7.50


01/03/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Week 18 NFL spreads:
— Bears @ Minnesota (-2.5)
— Colts (15.5) @ Jacksonville
— Panthers @ Tampa Bay (-8)
— Titans (-10.5) @ Houston
— Washington (-6.5) @ Giants
— Saints (-4.5) @ Atlanta

Quote of the Day
“I came to Oklahoma with a game plan, but with all of the recent changes, I need to figure out what is the right path for me moving forward. According to NCAA rules, as a student-athlete, the only way I can speak with other schools and see who may offer the best preparation and development for my future career is by entering the portal. Staying at OU will definitely be an option as I begin this process.”
Oklahoma QB Caleb Williams

Tuesday’s quiz
Over the last 11 years, only one NFL team hasn’t been a double digit favorite in any game; which team?

Monday’s quiz
Calvin Johnson (2012) holds the NFL’s single season record for receiving yards, with 1,934.

Sunday’s quiz
Nevada basketball coach Steve Alford played 169 games in the NBA; 57 for Golden State, the other 112 for the Dallas Mavericks.

*****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but………

13) Steelers 26, Browns 14:

— Harris carried ball 28 times for 188 yards.
— Boswell kicked four FG’s, two of them 48-50 yards.
— Steelers need win next week, plus help to make playoffs.
— Mayfield is first QB this year to throw 10 straight incompletions.
— Tomlin clinches another non-losing season.

12) Oklahoma QB Caleb Williams, who started seven games as a freshman this season, entered the transfer portal Monday. He said that returning to Oklahoma was still an option.

Williams completed 62.5% of his passes this season, throwing 18 TD passes, four INT’s. He also ran the ball for 442 yards.

Spencer Rattler already transferred from Oklahoma to South Carolina; the Sooners’ QB recruit for this year followed Lincoln Riley to USC instead. If Williams leaves Oklahoma, the Sooners are down to one scholarship QB; they would then go and poach someone else’s QB.

Welcome to today’s college football.

Late Update: Oklahoma poached QB Dillon Gabriel who was supposed to transfer from Central Florida to UCLA. Williams is rumored to be headed to UCLA, where his arch-rival would be Lincoln Riley’s Trojans.

11) In another move, Oklahoma hired Clemson’s recruiting coordinator; new Sooners coach Brent Venables was Clemson’s defensive coordinator- he brings in Todd Bates and also added Ted Roof from Clemson as the Sooners’ new defensive coordinator.

So far this offseason, Clemson lost its offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator, recruiting coordinator. Dabo Swinney is going to have coach his coaches this offseason.

10) Then there is the contrast of QB prospects playing/not playing in bowl games.

Pitt’s Kenny Pickett threw for 4,319 yards this season, with 42 TD’s, 7 INT’s as the Panthers were 11-2 and won the ACC title. But Pickett opted out of the Panthers’ bowl game, so he wouldn’t get injured and hurt his NFL Draft prospects.

Ole Miss QB Matt Corral threw for 3,328 yards, with 20 TD’s, four INT’s as the Rebels enjoyed a 10-2 regular season; he was adamant that he wanted to play in the bowl game, one last game with his teammates.

Corral hurt his ankle in the first quarter of the bowl game and never returned, just the kind of thing Pickett was avoiding by skipping the game.

Here’s the thing: how did these events help/hurt either guy’s draft prospects? Did it even change their prospects?

Varying opinions on this topic; remains to be seen how serious Corral’s ankle injury is, but it is January 3rd, so chances are he’ll be good to go next summer.

I’ve already stated my opinion on this topic; quarterbacks are different than other players, they lead the offense, they can’t jump ship before the cruise is over, but I’m guessing opinions on this subject are mixed.

We’ll see during the draft in April where these two guys get chosen. Both will be high picks.

9) Switching quickly to NFL QB’s, if I own a team worth $3B and the most important person on that team (the QB) is making $20M+, he damn sure better be vaccinated against COVID.

There was a doctor on CNN who said that eventually, all unvaccinated people will get COVID, so if you’re Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz or whoever else is an anti-vaxxer, then you’re screwing your team over- witness the Vikings Sunday night without Cousins- they lost 37-10.

This is a free country, we can do as we please, but choices have consequences, at least they should have.

8) 3-4 years down the road, what will college sports look like? Texas/Oklahoma are jumping to the SEC, but no one seems to know when- 2025 seems likely. Losing those two heavyweights is damaging to the Big X.

Big X was then down to eight teams, but they poached BYU, Central Florida, Cincinnati and Houston from other leagues, so they’ll be up to 12 teams. Far-flung league though; a road trip from West Virginia to Provo for a conference game?

AAC will be hurt badly by losing those three teams; who will they poach to replace them?

School like UNLV was hurt by not moving up; they have a beautiful new dome (where the Raiders play); their football program should be better than it is, but now it is unlikely that they’re going anywhere anytime soon.

7) NFL tweaked its Week 18 schedule for maximum drama:

Chiefs at Broncos, Cowboys at Eagles are the Saturday games, Chargers at Raiders is the Sunday night game.

Would’ve made interesting reality TV, showing the meeting/Zoom call where those changes were discussed. Little surprised the New England-Miami game wasn’t one of the night games.

6) NFL coaches often say that their business is “…..the most competitive business in the world” and this year’s Baltimore Ravens are a good example of that.

— Lost Week 1 in OT at Las Vegas
— Won Weeks 2-3, by a combined three points.

— beat Colts 31-25 in Week 5, after trailing at halftime.
— beat Vikings 34-31 in OT in Week 9
— Were 8-3 after 16-13/16-10 wins in Weeks 11-12.

Then things took a turn for the worse:
— Lost 20-19 in Pittsburgh in Week 13
— Lost 24-22 in Cleveland the next week.
— Lost 31-30 to the Packers the week after that.
— Gave up 545 yards in a 41-21 Week 16 loss in Cincinnati.
— Lost 20-19 at home to the Rams Sunday.

Now Baltimore is 8-8 and barely alive in the playoff race: they could just as easily be 12-4 (or 4-12). Narrow margins are part of what makes football so interesting.

5) Last eight weeks, teams are 8-0 SU/ATS the week after playing the Broncos, who lost to the Chargers 34-13 Sunday. Chargers finish the regular season in Las Vegas Sunday night.

4) I’m looking forward to baseball season starting; one of the big things the players’ union wants is for young players getting paid more and paid sooner- Vladimir Guerrero made $605,400 this past season- he can’t break the bank until after his third season, when he becomes eligible for arbitration, even though he almost won the MVP last year.

Union either wants that 3-year pre-arbitration window lowered to 2 years, or the minimum salary raised by a lot.

3) If you’re wondering the minimum salary in major league baseball was $570,500 last year; I’m guessing that it’ll be closer to $800,000 this year, once they finally agree to a new labor deal.

2) Good news: the PGA Tour resumes Thursday, so at least we can turn the TV on and see warm weather somewhere, even it is in freakin’ Hawai’i.

1) We end today with good news: earlier this NHL season, there was a medical student sitting behind the Vancouver Canucks’ bench during a game in Seattle.

The medical student noticed that the Canucks’ equipment manager had an odd-looking mole on the back of his neck, a mole she recognized to likely be cancerous. After the game, she banged on the glass to get the guy’s attention and let him he know the mole needed medical attention.

The equipment manager got it looked at, had it removed, and sure enough, it was cancerous, but it was noticed early enough that it hadn’t spread at all, so that woman saved the guy from maybe losing his life.

When the Canucks came back to Seattle this past weekend, the medical student was rewarded with a $10,000 check towards her continuing education. Good for them; good for her.
 

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TORONTO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

INDIANA is 104-76 ATS (20.4 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game since 1996.

PHOENIX is 28-14 ATS (12.6 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Tuesday, January 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis @ Cleveland
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home

San Antonio @ Toronto
San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Indiana @ New York
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games

Phoenix @ New Orleans
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Sacramento @ LA Lakers
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 12 games when playing at home against Sacramento
LA Lakers is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Sacramento


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------





The Pacers are 11-4 SU in their last 15 matchups against New York.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last ten matchups between Indiana and New York.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Knicks' games.
The Pacers are 1-5 SU in their last five games.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 4


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Hoop Trends for Tuesday, January 4
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Memphis at Cleveland (NBA League Pass, 7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS since March as underdogs when they covered by at least 14 points last game.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Sacramento at L.A. Lakers (NBA TV, 10:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 0-7 ATS since January 18, 2021 as a favorite of more than eight poitns against a Western Conference opponent, when LA scored less than 120 points last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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TUESDAY, JANUARY 4
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SA at TOR 07:00 PM
SA +6.5
O 223.5

+500 +500

MEM at CLE 07:00 PM
O 215.5
+500

IND at NY 07:30 PM
U 206.5
+500

PHO at NO 08:00 PM
NO +7.0
O 224.5

+500 +500

SAC at LAL 10:30 PM
U 230.5
+500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........13-19-2...........40.62%...........-38.50


BEST BETS:

01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%..........-6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%..........-1.50

TOTALS...............8-8-1............50.00%..........-4.00


01/04/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

NBA scoring leaders:
29.7— Kevin Durant, Bklyn
28.4— Trae Young, Atl
27.9— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
27.2— Stephen Curry, GSt
26.9— DeMar DeRozan, Chi
26.3— Zach LaVine, Chi

Quote of the Day
“Not particularly………I see him every day.”
Vikings’ coach Mike Zimmer, asked if he wanted to see backup QB Kellen Mond play this week

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the musical director on David Letterman’s latenight talk show?

Tuesday’s quiz
Over the last 11 years, only one NFL team hasn’t been a double digit favorite in any game, the New Jersey Giants.

Monday’s quiz
Calvin Johnson (2012) holds the NFL’s single season record for receiving yards, with 1,934.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) LSU 65, Kentucky 60:

— Kentucky is 0-2 in true road games, losing by 4-5 points.
— Wildcats lost PG Wheeler early in this game; he didn’t return.
— Just third win for LSU in last 11 series games.

12) Heard John Calipari say the other day that he has an Italian passport and has dual citizenship. Didn’t know that.

11) Duke is only ACC team in the basketball Top 25 this week; no other team even got one vote, which is really unusual.

10) Mentioned few days ago how games are going to emerge on the schedule that weren’t there when the season started. Thursday in Salt Lake City, Loyola Chi will play San Francisco; two good teams that need quality non-conference games to improve their NCAA at-large prospects.

Long Beach State-UCLA also added a game for Thursday. UCLA hasn’t played since December 11; they beat Long Beach 100-79 on November 15.

9) No one in the WCC (Gonzaga/San Francisco’s league) has played a game since Christmas.

8) Not only have the Philadelphia Eagles clinched a playoff spot, they have three picks in April’s draft, so they should have a better team next year. They have to decide if Jalen Hurts is their franchise QB moving forward.

7) Kansas State 42, LSU 20:
— LSU had only 38 scholarship players for this game.
— K-State outgained Tigers 442-308, converted 8-12 on third down
— LSU didn’t have a scholarship QB; they used senior WR Kirklin at QB- he was a QB in high school in Lutcher, LA. He has also played 12 games on defense for LSU.

6) Trey Young had 56 points, 14 assists in the Hawks’ 136-131 loss in Portland Monday. No one in NBA history has had that many points/assists in the same game.

5) Baker Mayfield will have his left shoulder operated on, won’t play against the Bengals Sunday. Cleveland is out of playoff contention; the Browns have a deal with Mayfield for $19M next year, but nothing after that— curious to see what they do with their QB situation.

Case Keenum gets the nod Sunday; Cleveland won his only start this year.

4) Chicago Bulls are 25-10; they’ve taken the fewest 3-pointers in the NBA, but also made the highest percentage of the shots they did take.

3) Fanatics is spending $500M to buy the Topps trading card company, which began selling baseball cards in 1951.

2) MLB Network should go to color bars until they settle the labor deal. They’ve put the kibosh on all their talk shows— old games are fun to watch, but talking hot stove transactions would be a hell of a lot better.

Figure this out people; there is NBA all spring and a spring football league is starting up that people will be glad to watch if there is no baseball.

1) We end today with a quick story:

I’m sitting in the MGM Grand sportsbook in Las Vegas during the NCAA Tournament, think it was 2010 and Northern Iowa is playing. Game is early; they weren’t even to the second TV timeout yet, and a kid on Northern Iowa makes a jumper- the three young guys to my left go nuts, start hugging each other, high 5’s and the whole deal.

I had no idea why., but they were really happy. “Is that guy your brother or something?” I ask one of them.

I didn’t know there was a “first to 15” prop bet, where you could bet on which team got to 15 points first— that jumper put Northern Iowa over 15, and they won their bet.

MGM sportsbook is very good, a fun place to watch games, plus there is Bonanno’s pizza around the corner— Bonanno’s has tremendous pizza. I highly recommend getting a skybox in the MGM sportsbook; what a great place to watch/bet on games.

MGM is where I once bet on the Seahawks, just so I could find out what it was like to root FOR Russell Wilson. He drives me nuts when he plays against the Rams, but he won me money that day, which is always a good thing.
 

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ORLANDO is 16-39 ATS (-26.9 Units) as a home underdog in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 100 points or less in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 406-470 ATS (-111 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game since 1996.

ATLANTA is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games when the total is 22-229.5 in the current season.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, January 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Charlotte
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Houston @ Washington
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Orlando
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

San Antonio @ Boston
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games when playing San Antonio

Golden State @ Dallas
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games at home

Brooklyn @ Indiana
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Brooklyn is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games

Utah @ Denver
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Sacramento
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Miami @ Portland
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last ten matchups against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups between Dallas and Golden State.
The Warriors are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Mavericks' games.


The Jazz are 7-3 SU and 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten games.
The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 12 matchups between Denver and Utah.
The Nuggets are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Nuggets' games.
 

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WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 5
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


HOU at WAS 07:00 PM
HOU +7.5
O 231.0
+500 +500

PHI at ORL 07:00 PM
PHI -8.5
+500

DET at CHA 07:00 PM
DET +10.5
O 228.0

+500 +500

BK at IND 07:30 PM
IND +8.5
+500

SA at BOS 07:30 PM
SA +7.5
O 223.5

+500 +500

GS at DAL 07:30 PM
GS -4.5
U 214.0

+500 +500

OKC at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -9.5
U 217.5
+500 +500

TOR at MIL 08:00 PM
TOR +3.0
O 221.5
+500 +500

MIA at POR 10:00 PM
MIA -2.0
+500

UTA at DEN 10:00 PM
UTA -2.5
U 224.0
+500 +500

ATL at SAC 10:00 PM
ATL -2.0
U 235.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NBA OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Units

01/05/2022.......13-5-1...........72.22%........+37.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+3.50
01/03/2022.......7-11-0...........38.88%..........-24.50
01/02/2022.........2-5-2...........33.33%..........-17.50

TOTALS...........26-24-3...........52.00%...........- 1.00


BEST BETS:

01/05/2022.........9-5-1...........64.28%..........+17.50
01/04/2022.........4-3-0...........57.14%..........+ 3.50
01/03/2022.........1-2-0............33.33%..........- 6.00
01/02/2022.........3-3-1............50.00%..........- 1.50

TOTALS............17-13-2............56.66%.........+13.50


01/05/2022
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:

NBA rebounding leaders:
15.1— Rudy Gobert, Utah
14.0— Nikola Jokic, Den
13.1— Clint Capela, Atl
12.0— Jonas Valanciunas, NO
11.9— Domantas Sabonis, Ind
11.6— Nikola Vucevic, Chi

Quote of the Day
“We’re in such a place as an industry that it’s kind of like politics. Everyone is so obsessed with winning this narrow game we’ve prescribed for ourselves. There’s no practicality. No moderation.”
An unnamed baseball executive, talking about labor negotiations

Thursday’s quiz
What veteran actor played Judge Petrovsky in the classic poker movie, Rounders?

Wednesday’s quiz
Paul Shaffer was the musical director on David Letterman’s late night talk show.

Tuesday’s quiz
Over the last 11 years, only one NFL team hasn’t been a double digit favorite in any game, the New Jersey Giants.

*************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) If you like comedy, especially if you’re a little older, HBO/HBO Max has a 90-minute show that is like a history lesson into comedy in the 80’s/90’s.

The Super Bob Einstein movie goes thru the career of the actor/comedian who played Super Dave Osborne on his own show; he also had roles in Modern Romance, Oceans Thirteen and Curb Your Enthusiasm, among others.

When Steve Martin, David Letterman, Jerry Seinfeld and Rob Reiner are touting you as a comic, that’s a huge compliment. This was an excellent show.

12) Alabama-Georgia play for the college football national title Monday; since 2007, there have been 54 in-season rematches in college football. Team that won the first game was 29-25 SU in the second meeting. Alabama beat Georgia 41-24 in the SEC title game December 4th.

11) Liam Shanahan plays football for LSU; he played three years at Harvard before transferring to LSU; he majored in Economics at Harvard, with a minor in Celtic language (that has nothing to do with Larry Bird or Bill Russell). Anyway, he is really smart.

Liam had a very interesting summer job; he was on the grounds crew at Fenway Park, and has a World Series ring from last time the Red Sox won the World Series. Not lot of college football players have a World Series ring.

10) Murray State and Belmont are bolting from the Ohio Valley Conference to the Missouri Valley, starting next season. Murray won 20+ games nine of the last 12 years; Belmont has won 20+ games 11 years in a row.

9) NFL notes:
— Bengals won’t play QB Joe Burrow (knee) or RB Joe Mixon (COVID) this week.
— Rookie QB Justin Fields is starting for the Bears this week; Chicago is 2-8 in his starts.

8) Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins has a $45,166,668 salary cap hit next year; Cousins is 58-59-2 as an NFL starter, 1-2 in playoff games. 59-61-2 isn’t exactly $45M worth of production.

Cousins’ 2022 salary is $35M guaranteed; there is no sense is cutting him, his cap hit would stay the same. For $35M, the least the guy could do is get vaccinated, so he wouldn’t miss any games.

7) Mountain West Conference went 5-1 in bowl games this season, the best record of any league. Boise State/Hawai’i didn’t get to play their bowls. Nevada was only MW team that lost its bowl.

6) SEC is 5-7 in bowl games, not a good record for a league that promotes itself as the best football league in the country, but the national title game is Alabama-Georgia, so there’s that.

5) Sometime in the near future, Big 12 is going to lose Oklahoma/Texas to the SEC, but this season, the Big X was 3-0 in bowl games against the SEC.

4) Then there is the Pac-12, which went 0-5 in bowls this season; the league has now lost its last eleven bowl games.

Memo to the people who run the Pac-12; could you put the Pac-12 Network on DirecTV? Would that be too much to ask?

3) Miami 88, Florida 87:
— Syracuse led 44-26 late in first half.
— Miami won its 8th straight game.
— Syracuse lost despite making 17-32 on the arc.
— Syracuse is 7-7, 2-5 vs top 100 teams.

2) Notre Dame 78, North Carolina 73:
— Tar Heels are 1-4 against top 100 teams.
— 6-10 kid on Notre Dame made 6-7 behind the arc.
— This score hurts ACC’s chances of getting 2nd team in top 25.

1) Missouri State 71, Bradley 69:
— Mosley hit a contested 3-pointer at 0:00 for the win.
— Missouri State blew an 18-point second half lead.
— Bradley lost despite making 11-25 on the arc.
 

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Messages
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BOSTON is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 season...

GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Thursday, January 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Boston @ New York
Boston
Boston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing New York
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

Detroit @ Memphis
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Golden State @ New Orleans
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

LA Clippers @ Phoenix
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Knicks are 4-2 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last eight Celtics' games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Knicks' games.


The Clippers are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against Phoenix.
The Clippers are 3-7 SU in their last ten games.
The total has gone UNDER six of the last nine matchups between the Suns and Clippers.
The Suns are 16-2 SU in their last 18 home games.
 

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C/note and U/dog......appreciate your daily info guys......
here's to a great New Year and profitable evening.......indy
 

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THURSDAY, JANUARY 6
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BOS at NY 07:30 PM
NY +2.0
U 208.5

+500 +500

GS at NO 08:00 PM
NO -1.0
O 211.0

+500 +500

DET at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -12.5
U 218.0
+500 +500

LAC at PHO 10:00 PM
LAC +10.5
U 221.0

+500 +500
 

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