Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Dunkel

Thursday, December 23


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The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Bucks' games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Mavericks' games.
The Bucks are 3-6 ATS in their last eight games.
 

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


HOU at IND 07:00 PM
HOU +9.0
O 222.5
+500 +500

NO at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +6.0
O 209.5
+500 +500

ATL at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -10.5
U 207.5
+500 +500

WAS at NY 07:30 PM
WAS +1.0
U 212.0
+500 +500

DET at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -11.5
U 208.0

+500 +500

MIL at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL +3.0
U 209.5
+500 +500

MIN at UTA 09:00 PM
MIN +12.5
O 227.5
+500 +500

OKC at PHO 09:00 PM
OKC +15.0
O 214.0
+500 +500

CHA at DEN 09:00 PM
CHA +3.0
O 230.5

+500 +500

MEM at GS 10:00 PM
GS -5.5
U 217.5

+500 +500

SA at LAL 10:30 PM
SA +1.5
O 225.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/23/2021........13-7-2.........65.00%.......+26.50
12/22/2021..........5-5-0.........50.00%..........-2.50
12/21/2021..........4-6-0.........40.00%.........-13.00
12/20/2021..........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
12/19/2021..........6-5-0.........54.55%..........+2.50
12/18/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%..........+8.00
12/17/2021........5-11-0.........31.25%..........-35.50
12/16/2021..........5-3-0.........62.50%...........+8.50
12/15/2021........14-7-0.........66.66%..........+31.50
12/14/2021..........4-1-0.........80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:..........92-101-5..........47.66%............-36.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/23/2021.............7-4-0................63.63%........+13.00
12/22/2021.............2-5-0................28.57%.........-17.50
12/21/2021.............3-4-0................42.85%...........-7.00
12/20/2021.............4-2-0................66.66%..........+9.00
12/19/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%..........- 1.50
12/18/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/17/2021.............2-7-0................22.22%...........-28.50
12/16/2021.............5-1-0................83.33%..........+19.50
12/15/2021.............9-4-0................69.23%..........+23.00
12/14/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............82-96-1................46,06%...........- 118.00


UPDATED 12/23/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

How last six teams did last the game after playing the Denver Broncos:
— Washington W29-19 (team total 20.5)
— Dallas W43-3 (31.5)
— Philadelphia W40-29 (22.5)
— LA Chargers W41-22 (23.5)
— Kansas City W48-9 (28.5)
— Detroit W30-12 (17.5)

All six teams won/covered, went over their point total.
Denver played the Bengals last week.

Quote of the Day
“More smiling, less worrying.
More compassion, less judgment.
More blessed, less stressed.
More love, less hate.”
Roy T. Bennett

Friday’s quiz
In the movie The Bodyguard, what comic actor hosted the Oscars?
Hint: He also appeared in Bull Durham and Blue Chips

Thursday’s quiz
Jim Irsay owns the Indianapolis Colts; way back in 1972, his father Robert Irsay traded the Rams to Carroll Rosenbloom in exchange for the Colts.

Wednesday’s quiz
Joe Gibbs was coach of the Washington Football Team (Redskins) last time they won a playoff game; Mark Brunell was the quarterback.

*****************************

Friday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Hawai’i has opted out of its own bowl game, due to COVID/other stuff, and Memphis is obviously already there- Friday night’s Hawai’i Bowl is off. Too bad. Apparently 30 people in the Hawai’i program tested positive for COVID- they also lost some transfers.

Lost opportunity for both teams; there are no sports on TV Friday night, none, so three hours of Memphis-Houston exposure would’ve had to help both teams’ recruiting efforts.

12) Titans 20, 49ers 17:
— San Francisco led game 10-0 at halftime.
— 49ers drove 95 yards to tie game 17-17 with 2:20 left.
— Titans kicked 41-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— 49ers are 2-6 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.

— Titans’ WR Brown caught 11 passes for 145 yards and a TD.
— 49ers outgained Tennessee, 389-278.
— Titans were 9-16 on third down, San Francisco 3-8.
— Tennessee is 18-10 ATS last 28 games as an underdog.

11) A reminder that Titans’ QB Ryan Tannehill was a WR his first two years at Texas A&M, but was moved to QB by Aggies coach Mike Sherman, whose son-in-law is Zac Taylor, who now coaches the Cincinnati Bengals.

My lasting memory of Tannehill will always be HBO’s Hard Knocks, when Tannehill was a rookie in Miami. He is sitting in the QB room with Matt Moore, one of the other QB’s, and Tannehill says he doesn’t know who the other three teams in the AFC East are.

“How do you not know that???” Moore was incredulous. Good television.

10) All NFL teams take a team picture every season, but the Indianapolis Colts don’t post that year’s picture in their facility, unless the team makes the playoffs.

9) Huge tip of the cap to NFL Films, the NFL and HBO for the in-season Hard Knocks show; very good, lot more to work with than during training camp. Colts are cooperating by going on a run while the show has been airing.

8) Major League Baseball really needs to imitate what NFL Films does; they need to expose their game to more and more people, so people can see how great the game is.

Imagine a Hard Knocks-type show in spring training? Showing guys getting sent down to AAA or released, then showing the inner workings of a team for part of a regular season?

This would be a huge success, would expose the game to younger viewers. Every sport needs to grow its fanbase; if you get arrogant, that fanbase could shrink.

7) Missouri QB Connor Bazelak entered the transfer portal after Missouri lost 24-22 to Army in their bowl game (Bazelak didn’t play in that game). Bazelak has two years of eligibility left.

6) Vanderbilt 69, BYU 67:
— Scotty Pippen Jr scored 23 for the winners.
— Vandy-Stanford for the tournament title Saturday night.
— BYU is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 6-0 start.

5) Stanford 79, Liberty 76:
— Liberty led this game 28-15 early on.
— Stanford made 12-20 on arc, but missed 10 foul shots.
— Darius McGhee scored 41 of Liberty’s 76 points.

4) Indiana Pacers are 0-7 ATS this season as a road favorite.

3) Sounds like rookie Ian Book will start at QB for New Orleans Monday night against the Dolphins; not even sure if they have a backup QB, with Siemian/Hill both out. Would they use RB Alvin Kamara as a Wildcat QB if they needed an emergency QB?

2) 49ers’ loss Thursday night puts Dallas Cowboys in the playoffs; Dallas/Green Bay are only two teams that have clinched a playoff spot.

1) Back in 1972, Robert Irsay traded the Los Angeles Rams franchise to Carroll Rosenbloom; he got the Baltimore Colts in return. 11 years later, Irsay moved the Colts to Indianapolis.

It would take too long to detail the drama the Rams franchise went through after that deal, with Rams moving from LA to Anaheim to St Louis, Rosenbloom’s widow’s hometown. After she died, they got smart and moved back to Los Angeles a few years ago.

Could you imagine if a franchise swap like that happened today?
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:

How last six teams did last the game after playing the Denver Broncos:
— Washington W29-19 (team total 20.5)
— Dallas W43-3 (31.5)
— Philadelphia W40-29 (22.5)
— LA Chargers W41-22 (23.5)
— Kansas City W48-9 (28.5)
— Detroit W30-12 (17.5)

All six teams won/covered, went over their point total.
Denver played the Bengals last week.

Quote of the Day
“……..Aaron Rodgers is a Hall of Fame quarterback, and I don’t think we’re ready to buy a gold jacket for Joe [Burrow] yet. You could tell the game is slowing down for him. He’s seeing things a lot faster than he did his rookie year, and it’s going to be a tough challenge.”
Ravens’ defensive coordinator Wink Martindale

Saturday’s quiz
In the baseball A League of Their Own, Madonna’s character plays leftfield for the Rockford Peaches. What number did she wear?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie The Bodyguard, Robert Wuhl ’s character hosted the Oscars.

Thursday’s quiz
Jim Irsay owns the Indianapolis Colts; way back in 1972, his father Robert Irsay traded the Rams to Carroll Rosenbloom in exchange for the Colts.

**********************************

Saturday’s Den: Merry Christmas- here are some NBA trends…….

Nothing says Merry Christmas like a set of NBA trends.

Thanks to everyone for reading this site; I appreciate it.

Hawks (15-16):
— 3-6 SU last nine games.
— won four of last six road games.
— 0-8-1 ATS last nine HF
— 3-6 ATS as a road underdog.

Celtics (16-16):
— lost last three home games.
— 4-1 ATS last five road games.
— 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 9-3-1 last 13 road games

Nets (21-9):
— 4-1 SU last five games.
— 1-5 ATS last six home favorite
— 8-6-1 ATS on the road.
— under 9-6 at home

Hornets (17-17):
— covered last eight home games.
— lost nine of last 13 games SU
— 8-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 7-3 last ten home games

Bulls (19-10):
— won six of last eight games.
— 9-5 ATS at home.
— 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— six of last nine games went over.

Cavaliers (19-13):
— covered 14 of their last 15 games.
— 10-3 SU last thirteen games
— 7-0 ATS as a home favorite
— under 5-0 last five games

Mavericks (15-16):
— Lost 12 of last 18 games SU.
— 4-6 ATS as home favorites
— 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under 9-2 last eleven games

Nuggets (15-16):
— Lost 12 of their last 18 games
— 5-9 ATS as a favorite
— over 15-3 last 18 games.
— 1-4 ATS if they played night before.

Pistons (5-26):
— Lost 16 of last 17 games SU
— 3-2 ATS if they played night before
— over 6-2 last eight home games.
— over 7-3 last ten games.

Warriors (26-6):
— won seven of last nine games SU
— 14-3-1 ATS as home favorites.
— under 10-4-1 last 15 games overall
— under 5-2-1 last eight home games

Rockets (10-23):
— lost six of last seven games SU.
— covered six of last eight hone games.
— over five of last seven home games
— over 10 of last 13 games overall.

Pacers (14-19):
— 6-2 ATS as a road underdog
— 8-5 ATS as a home favorite,
— 0-7 ATS as a road favorite
— under 10-2 last twelve road games

Clippers (17-15):
— lost three of last four games
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— 7-11 ATS as a home favorite.
— 0-4 ATS if they played night before

Lakers (16-17):
— lost last four games SU
— 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 5-1 last six road games

Grizzlies (19-14):
— lost last three games SU.
— won/covered six of last seven on road.
— 6-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— over 12-7 at home

Heat (20-13):
— won six of last eight games SU
— over 7-2-1 last ten home games.
— 4-0 ATS as home underdogs.
— 3-7 ATS as as road favorites

Bucks (21-13):
— won five of last nine games SU.
— 5-8 ATS as home favorites, 8-3 ATS as road favorites
— 2-7 ATS as underdogs.
— six of last seven games stayed under.

Timberwolves (15-17):
— won four of last six games SU
— 7-4 ATS last 11 home games
— 7-4 ATS last 11 road games
— over 10-3 last 13 games

Pelicans (12-21):
— won five of last six games SU
— 6-10 ATS as road underdogs
— 8-6 ATS at home
— under 11-7 on road

Knicks (14-18):
— lost nine of last 12 games SU.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— 5-11 ATS at home
— 3-8 ATS as an underdog.

Thunder (11-20):
— won three of last four games
— 5-0 ATS last five games overall.
— 9-5 ATS as home underdog, 10-5 as road dog
— over 6-2 last eight road games

Magic (7-26):
— lost seven of last eight home games SU
— under 7-4 last 11 home games
— 3-10 ATS as a home underdog
— 8-5 ATS last 13 road games.

76ers (16-16):
— 2-7 ATS last nine games
— last five of last seven home games SU
— 4-10 ATS at home
— last five home games stayed under total.

Suns (26-5):
— won last five games SU
— 5-2 ATS last seven games
— 14-12 ATS as a favorite
— under 8-4 last 12 home games

Trailblazers (13-19):
— lost 11 of last 14 games SU
— 3-11 ATS on the road
— 9-6 ATS as a home favorite/
— 2-8 ATS as an underdog.
— under 4-1 last five home games

Kings (13-20):
— lost six of last eight games SU
— 9-12 ATS at home
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before.

Spurs (13-18):
— 10-4 ATS last fourteen games
— 9-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— covered six of last seven road games.
— over 12-2-1 at home

Raptors (14-15):
— 6-1 ATS last seven games
— 0-4 ATS as home underdogs, 7-5 as road dogs.
— over 4-1 last five games
— 4-1 ATS if they played night before

Jazz (22-9):
— won 10 of last 12 games SU
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— 8-5 ATS as road favorite
— under 8-4-1 on the road

Wizards (17-15):
— lost seven of last ten games
— 4-1 ATS as home underdogs, 5-8 as road dogs.
— 1-6 ATS as road favorites
— over 9-3-1 last thirteen games.
 

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NEW YORK is 47-29 ATS (15.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 25-11 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

Frank Vogel is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games after playing a home game (Coach of LA LAKERS)

UTAH is 195-151 ATS (28.9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.




NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, December 25


qmWJdp1.png





NBA

Saturday, December 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta @ New York
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 12 games at home

Boston @ Milwaukee
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Boston

Golden State @ Phoenix
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn

Dallas @ Utah
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
Utah is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:

College hoop teams that have played the easiest schedules:
358) Seattle
357) Tennessee State
356) Cal-Santa Barbara
355) Arkansas State
354) Cal Baptist
353) Texas-San Antonio

Quote of the Day
“I’m going to wait until next week, and if I still can’t sleep and it’s still this painful, might have to have in-season surgery. If I can stand the pain and just get a little sleep, I will hold surgery off until after the season.”
Arkansas basketball coach Eric Musselman

Sunday’s quiz
What team did Aaron Rodgers complete his first NFL pass against?

Saturday’s quiz
In the baseball movie A League of Their Own, Madonna’s character plays leftfield for the Rockford Peaches- she wore number 5, Joe DiMaggio’s number.

Friday’s quiz
In the movie The Bodyguard, Robert Wuhl ’s character hosted the Oscars.

****************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Christmas Day……..

13) Green Bay 24, Cleveland 22:
— Mayfield threw four INT’s on ten drives.
— Cleveland is 3-6 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Last five Cleveland games stayed under the total.
— Since his debut in 2018, Mayfield has thrown 54 INTs, more than any QB during that time.

— Browns outgained Green Bay, 408-311.
— Packers were 3-10 on third down, Cleveland 7-12.
— Browns missed PAT after their first TD, 2-point play after 2nd TD.
— In their last five games, Packers scored 33.4 ppg

12) Indianapolis 22, Arizona 16:
— Colts ran ball for 126 yards, even with four starting OL guys out.
— Taylor carried ball for 108 yards; Colts averaged 7.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Last seven weeks, Indy led each game by 6+ points at halftime.
— Colts won six of their last seven games.

— Cardinals lost last three games, giving up 30-30-22 points.
— Arizona missed two FG’s and an extra point.
— Murray ran for 74 of Arizona’s 133 rushing yards.
— Cardinals are 3-5 ATS last eight games (6-1 ATS first seven).

11) Kurt Warner’s movie American Underdog opened in theaters Saturday; NFL Network helped promote it by showing a replay of Super Bowl XXXIV Friday night. Still get nervous watching replays of that game; its been 21 years, what a fun night that was.

10) Rams led that Super Bowl 16-0 in third quarter, blew the lead, then won it 23-16 with a TD right after the 2:00 warning; years later, when the Falcons blew a 27-3 lead to New England in the Super Bowl, I remember sitting there, knowing what every Falcons’ fan had to be thinking. Had to be a horrible night for them.

9) Baltimore Ravens are down to one healthy QB for their game with the Bengals; 35-year old Josh Johnson, who has a 1-7 record as an NFL starter, will get the nod. Tyler Huntley (COVID) and Lamar Jackson (ankle) are both apparently out this week.

Josh Johnson played college football at U of San Diego (not San Diego State), where his coach was Jim Harbaugh, John’s brother.

8) Saints signed veteran QB Blake Bortles as a backup for rookie Ian Book; Bortles has a 24-49 record as a starter, but he did lead Jacksonville to a playoff berth in 2017. Taysom Hill, Trevor Siemian are both out for Monday’s game.

7) Miami Dolphins are the team that appears to have the most salary cap room heading into the next offseason.

6) Final of the Diamond Head Classic in Hawai’i between Stanford-Vanderbilt was cancelled after Stanford’s program had COVID issues.

5) New York Knicks haven’t won consecutive games since October 28-30; they’re 3-9 ATS this season in the game following a win.

4) Houston Cougars lost two of their best basketball players this week; Marcus Sasser (toe) is out for the year, and Tramon Mark (shoulder) is out for the foreseeable future. Cougars were a top 10 team before those injuries; now? Not so much.

3) Arkansas basketball coach Eric Musselman tore his rotator cuff; he may or may not have the surgery after the season, depending on how painful the next 7-10 days are. He injured his left shoulder when he jumped into a drill during practice and collided with a player.

2) Penn State’s football team heads into its bowl game 7-5; they’re 0-4 in games decided by four or fewer points.

1) The John Madden documentary was interesting Saturday; the Madden video game has posted over $7B in revenue over the years. Thats BILLION, with a B. People love their video games.
 

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MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) as a favorite in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 33-50 ATS (-22 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Sunday, December 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Orlando @ Miami
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Cleveland
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Memphis @ Sacramento
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

Detroit @ San Antonio
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Antonio is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit

Indiana @ Chicago
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Indiana is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Denver @ LA Clippers
Denver
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games


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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ORL at MIA 03:30 PM
ORL +9.0
U 206.5
+500 +500

PHI at WAS 06:00 PM
WAS +3.5
U 208.5
+500 +500

TOR at CLE 06:00 PM
CLE -8.5
O 206.5

+500 +500

MEM at SAC 06:00 PM
SAC +5.0
O 225.0

+500 +500

NO at OKC 07:00 PM
OKC +1.0
U 210.5
+500 +500

DET at SA 07:00 PM
SA -11.5
U 220.5
+500 +500

IND at CHI 08:00 PM
IND +6.5
O 219.5

+500 +500

DEN at LAC 09:00 PM
LAC +4.0
U 211.5

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/26/2021..........8-8-0.........50.00%..........-4.00
12/23/2021........13-7-2.........65.00%.......+26.50
12/22/2021..........5-5-0.........50.00%..........-2.50
12/21/2021..........4-6-0.........40.00%.........-13.00
12/20/2021..........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
12/19/2021..........6-5-0.........54.55%..........+2.50
12/18/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%..........+8.00
12/17/2021........5-11-0.........31.25%..........-35.50
12/16/2021..........5-3-0.........62.50%...........+8.50
12/15/2021........14-7-0.........66.66%..........+31.50
12/14/2021..........4-1-0.........80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:.........100-109-5..........47.84%............-40.30


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BEST BETS:

12/26/2021.............7-5-0................58.33%........+ 7.50
12/23/2021.............7-4-0................63.63%........+13.00
12/22/2021.............2-5-0................28.57%.........-17.50
12/21/2021.............3-4-0................42.85%...........-7.00
12/20/2021.............4-2-0................66.66%..........+9.00
12/19/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%..........- 1.50
12/18/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/17/2021.............2-7-0................22.22%...........-28.50
12/16/2021.............5-1-0................83.33%..........+19.50
12/15/2021.............9-4-0................69.23%..........+23.00
12/14/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:.............89-101-1................46.84%...........- 110.50


UPDATED 12/26/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
— Raiders @ Indianapolis (-7.5)
— Giants @ Chicago (-4)
— Cardinals @ Dallas (-2.5)
— Eagles (-2.5) @ Washington
— Chiefs (-4) @ Cincinnati
— Dolphins @ Tennessee (-3.5)

Quote of the Day
“It should just be more thought out, to have windows and you know when they’re leaving. They should have this, just like coaches do. There’s no window. And also, they’re not being advised very well. You have thousands of kids going into the portal, but there’s not thousands of spots for people to take.”
Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin, on the transfer portal

Monday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League?

Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.

Saturday’s quiz
In the baseball movie A League of Their Own, Madonna’s character plays leftfield for the Rockford Peaches- she wore number 5, Joe DiMaggio’s number.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Buffalo 33, New England 21

— Bills are now tied for first in AFC East, with Patriots.
— Buffalo was 6-12 on third down, Patriots 1-10
— Last five games, Bills outscored opponents 78-32 in second half.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo games.

— Patriots lost last two games, giving up 27-33 points.
— Jones was 14-32 passing for only 139 yards, two INT’s.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
— New England is 5-11 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.

LA Rams 30, Minnesota 23:
— Rams clinch 4th playoff berth in five years under McVay.
— Before McVay, Rams had gone 13 years with no playoff berths.
— Michel ran ball 27 times fir 131 yards and a TD.
— Powell ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD to make score 20-10.
— Under McVay, LA is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Rams were 7-14 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
— Vikings had 12-play, 84-yard drive that ended with red zone INT.
— Minnesota’s first TD was a 2-yard drive after an INT.
— Over is 6-2 in Vikings’ last eight games.
— Minnesota has been outscored 115-31 in last 2:00 of each half.

Houston 41, LA Chargers 29:
— Horrific loss for 8-7 Chargers, who are 4-6 in last ten games.
— LA falls to #9 seed in AFC with this loss.
— Over is 7-2 in Chargers’ last nine games.
— Chargers converted 37 of last 74 third down plays.
— Last 11 games, Chargers allowed 30.6 points/game.

— Texans won their last two games, scoring 30-41 points.
— Burkhead ran ball for 149 yards (6.8 yards/carry).
— Rookie QB Mills averaged 8.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Houston is +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).

Cincinnati 41, Baltimore 21
— Ravens lost last four games, giving up 28.8 ppg
— Bengals led 31-14 at halftime.
— Last three games, opponents are 21-44 on third down
— TE Andrews caught eight passes for 125 yards and a TD.

— Burrow threw for 525 yards and four TD’s.
— Bengals in first half: 5 drives, 34 plays, 333 yards, 31 points.
— Bengals are 8-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bengal games.

Tampa Bay 32, Carolina 6:
— Vaughn scored Bucs’ first TD with a 55-yard run.
— Tampa Bay outgained Carolina, 391-273.
— Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last seven road games.
— Buccaneers are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Charlotte.

— Carolina lost 10 of last 12 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-10 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as home underdogs.
— Last 11 games, Panthers were outscored 167-83 in second half.
— These teams play again in two weeks.

Philadelphia 34, NY Giants 10:
— Game was 3-3 at halftime.
— Eagles outgained Giants, 324-192.
— Giants lost five of six games since their bye (1-5 ATS)
— Giants have been outscored 90-19 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Eagles’ first TD was on a 21-yard drive.
— Philly scored two TD’s 0:21 apart early in 4th quarter.
— Philly held Giants to 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Fromm was 6-17 for 25 yards in his first NFL start.
— Eagles won 14 of last 17 series games.

Atlanta 20, Detroit 16:
— Starting QB Goff (COVID) didn’t play.
— Lions are 1-5-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Detroit covered six of its last seven games.
— Ten of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Lions are 8-2 ATS in domed stadiums this season.

— Falcons picked off a pass on their 1-yard line with 0:33 left.
— Detroit outgained the Falcons, 338-254.
— Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season.

NJ Jets 26, Jacksonville 21:
— Jacksonville had ball on Jets 1-yard line in last 0:30, didn’t score.
— Jaguars first three drives: 35 plays, 161 yards, only 12 points.
— Jaguars lost seven in row, 28 of their last 30 games.
— Jaguars are 0-6 ATS the last six weeks.

— This was first time Jets were favored in last 27 games.
— Rookie QB Wilson ran 52 yards for Jets’ first TD.
— Jets ran a kickoff back 102 yards for their second TD.
— Over is 9-3 in last twelve Jet games.

Chicago 25, Seattle 24:
— Chicago scored TD, got game-winning 2-point conversion with 1:01 left.
— Bears are 3-2 with Dalton/Foles starting, 2-8 with rookie QB Fields.
— Seahawks led 24-14 after three quarters.
— Bears converted 7-14 on third down, Seattle 3-10.

— Seahawks lost five of their last seven games.
— Seattle ran ball for 170 yards, were outscored 18-7 in second half.
— Penny ran ball 17 times for 135 yards on a snowy day in Seattle.
— Seattle lost five of seven home games SU this season.

Kansas City 36, Pittsburgh 10:
— Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 109 yards, no points.
— Kansas City led 23-0 at halftime.
— Steelers have been outgained eight games in a row.
— Last six games, Steelers were outscored 114-19 in first half.
— Pittsburgh covered once in last six visits to Arrowhead.

— Chiefs’ first four drives: 36 plays, 250 yards, 24 points.
— Chiefs won last eight games, covering last six.
— Kansas City converted 25 of last 51 third down plays.
— Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last seven games (+14)
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-4 if they allow more.

Las Vegas 17, Denver 13:
— Denver scored 10 points in a 0:22 span late in first half.
— Broncos are 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-7 if it doesn’t.
— 12 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-6 ATS in last six road series games.

— Raiders outgained Denver, 342-158
— Jacobs carried ball 27 times for 129 yards.
— Las Vegas was 6-12 on third down, Broncos 1-10
— Raiders won last five meetings (4-1 ATS)
— Last eight games, Raiders are minus-13 in turnovers (4-17)

Dallas 56, Washington 14:
— Dallas outgained Washington, 497-257.
— Cowboys converted 10-15 on 3rd down, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Washington covered once in last five visits to Dallas.
— Washington is 8-18-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Washington converted 12-40 on third down.

— Cowboys scored a TD on four of first five drives.
— Dallas scored TD’s on a pick-6, blocked punt.
— Dallas won/covered its last four games.
— Last three games, Dallas led 24-0/15-3/42-7 at halftime.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 85-9 in last 2:00 of each half.

If the NFL playoffs started today (they don’t):
#1 seeds— Kansas City, Green Bay
#2’s— Tennessee, Dallas
#3’s— Cincinnati, LA Rams
#4’s— Buffalo, Tampa Bay
#5’s— Indianapolis, Arizona
#6’s— New England, San Francisco
#7’s— Baltimore, Philadelphia
 

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HOUSTON is 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 272-217 ATS (33.3 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.

UTAH is 195-152 ATS (27.8 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.

PHOENIX is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 113-146 ATS (-47.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
 

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NBA

Monday, December 27


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Trend Report
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Houston @ Charlotte
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

Chicago @ Atlanta
Chicago
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Chicago

Boston @ Minnesota
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Boston

Utah @ San Antonio
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing at home against Utah
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Utah

Memphis @ Phoenix
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Phoenix is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

Dallas @ Portland
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Bulls are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Hawks' games.


The Nets are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The Clippers are 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Nets' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven Clippers' games.
 

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