Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
— Raiders @ Indianapolis (-7.5)
— Giants @ Chicago (-4)
— Cardinals @ Dallas (-2.5)
— Eagles (-2.5) @ Washington
— Chiefs (-4) @ Cincinnati
— Dolphins @ Tennessee (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
“It should just be more thought out, to have windows and you know when they’re leaving. They should have this, just like coaches do. There’s no window. And also, they’re not being advised very well. You have thousands of kids going into the portal, but there’s not thousands of spots for people to take.”
Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin, on the transfer portal
Monday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League?
Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.
Saturday’s quiz
In the baseball movie A League of Their Own, Madonna’s character plays leftfield for the Rockford Peaches- she wore number 5, Joe DiMaggio’s number.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Buffalo 33, New England 21
— Bills are now tied for first in AFC East, with Patriots.
— Buffalo was 6-12 on third down, Patriots 1-10
— Last five games, Bills outscored opponents 78-32 in second half.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo games.
— Patriots lost last two games, giving up 27-33 points.
— Jones was 14-32 passing for only 139 yards, two INT’s.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
— New England is 5-11 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.
LA Rams 30, Minnesota 23:
— Rams clinch 4th playoff berth in five years under McVay.
— Before McVay, Rams had gone 13 years with no playoff berths.
— Michel ran ball 27 times fir 131 yards and a TD.
— Powell ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD to make score 20-10.
— Under McVay, LA is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rams were 7-14 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
— Vikings had 12-play, 84-yard drive that ended with red zone INT.
— Minnesota’s first TD was a 2-yard drive after an INT.
— Over is 6-2 in Vikings’ last eight games.
— Minnesota has been outscored 115-31 in last 2:00 of each half.
Houston 41, LA Chargers 29:
— Horrific loss for 8-7 Chargers, who are 4-6 in last ten games.
— LA falls to #9 seed in AFC with this loss.
— Over is 7-2 in Chargers’ last nine games.
— Chargers converted 37 of last 74 third down plays.
— Last 11 games, Chargers allowed 30.6 points/game.
— Texans won their last two games, scoring 30-41 points.
— Burkhead ran ball for 149 yards (6.8 yards/carry).
— Rookie QB Mills averaged 8.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Houston is +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
Cincinnati 41, Baltimore 21
— Ravens lost last four games, giving up 28.8 ppg
— Bengals led 31-14 at halftime.
— Last three games, opponents are 21-44 on third down
— TE Andrews caught eight passes for 125 yards and a TD.
— Burrow threw for 525 yards and four TD’s.
— Bengals in first half: 5 drives, 34 plays, 333 yards, 31 points.
— Bengals are 8-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bengal games.
Tampa Bay 32, Carolina 6:
— Vaughn scored Bucs’ first TD with a 55-yard run.
— Tampa Bay outgained Carolina, 391-273.
— Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last seven road games.
— Buccaneers are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Charlotte.
— Carolina lost 10 of last 12 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-10 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as home underdogs.
— Last 11 games, Panthers were outscored 167-83 in second half.
— These teams play again in two weeks.
Philadelphia 34, NY Giants 10:
— Game was 3-3 at halftime.
— Eagles outgained Giants, 324-192.
— Giants lost five of six games since their bye (1-5 ATS)
— Giants have been outscored 90-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Eagles’ first TD was on a 21-yard drive.
— Philly scored two TD’s 0:21 apart early in 4th quarter.
— Philly held Giants to 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Fromm was 6-17 for 25 yards in his first NFL start.
— Eagles won 14 of last 17 series games.
Atlanta 20, Detroit 16:
— Starting QB Goff (COVID) didn’t play.
— Lions are 1-5-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Detroit covered six of its last seven games.
— Ten of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Lions are 8-2 ATS in domed stadiums this season.
— Falcons picked off a pass on their 1-yard line with 0:33 left.
— Detroit outgained the Falcons, 338-254.
— Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
NJ Jets 26, Jacksonville 21:
— Jacksonville had ball on Jets 1-yard line in last 0:30, didn’t score.
— Jaguars first three drives: 35 plays, 161 yards, only 12 points.
— Jaguars lost seven in row, 28 of their last 30 games.
— Jaguars are 0-6 ATS the last six weeks.
— This was first time Jets were favored in last 27 games.
— Rookie QB Wilson ran 52 yards for Jets’ first TD.
— Jets ran a kickoff back 102 yards for their second TD.
— Over is 9-3 in last twelve Jet games.
Chicago 25, Seattle 24:
— Chicago scored TD, got game-winning 2-point conversion with 1:01 left.
— Bears are 3-2 with Dalton/Foles starting, 2-8 with rookie QB Fields.
— Seahawks led 24-14 after three quarters.
— Bears converted 7-14 on third down, Seattle 3-10.
— Seahawks lost five of their last seven games.
— Seattle ran ball for 170 yards, were outscored 18-7 in second half.
— Penny ran ball 17 times for 135 yards on a snowy day in Seattle.
— Seattle lost five of seven home games SU this season.
Kansas City 36, Pittsburgh 10:
— Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 109 yards, no points.
— Kansas City led 23-0 at halftime.
— Steelers have been outgained eight games in a row.
— Last six games, Steelers were outscored 114-19 in first half.
— Pittsburgh covered once in last six visits to Arrowhead.
— Chiefs’ first four drives: 36 plays, 250 yards, 24 points.
— Chiefs won last eight games, covering last six.
— Kansas City converted 25 of last 51 third down plays.
— Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last seven games (+14)
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-4 if they allow more.
Las Vegas 17, Denver 13:
— Denver scored 10 points in a 0:22 span late in first half.
— Broncos are 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-7 if it doesn’t.
— 12 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-6 ATS in last six road series games.
— Raiders outgained Denver, 342-158
— Jacobs carried ball 27 times for 129 yards.
— Las Vegas was 6-12 on third down, Broncos 1-10
— Raiders won last five meetings (4-1 ATS)
— Last eight games, Raiders are minus-13 in turnovers (4-17)
Dallas 56, Washington 14:
— Dallas outgained Washington, 497-257.
— Cowboys converted 10-15 on 3rd down, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Washington covered once in last five visits to Dallas.
— Washington is 8-18-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Washington converted 12-40 on third down.
— Cowboys scored a TD on four of first five drives.
— Dallas scored TD’s on a pick-6, blocked punt.
— Dallas won/covered its last four games.
— Last three games, Dallas led 24-0/15-3/42-7 at halftime.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 85-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
If the NFL playoffs started today (they don’t):
#1 seeds— Kansas City, Green Bay
#2’s— Tennessee, Dallas
#3’s— Cincinnati, LA Rams
#4’s— Buffalo, Tampa Bay
#5’s— Indianapolis, Arizona
#6’s— New England, San Francisco
#7’s— Baltimore, Philadelphia