Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Friday’s 6-pack:
— Dodgers 11, Braves 2— Taylor hit three HR’s, Pollock hit two.
— Browns 17, Broncos 14— Johnson ran for 146 yards in his first start.
— SMU 55, Tulane 26— Mustangs are very quietly 7-0.
— FAU 38, Charlotte 9— Owls were losing 9-7 at halftime.
— Louisiana 28, Arkansas State 27— Cajuns outgained ASU, 546-413
— Warriors 115, Clippers 113— Curry scored 45 points, made 8-13 on arc.

Quote of the Day
“You don’t have to get ready if you stay ready, and I’ve been ready since I got here.”
Browns’ QB Case Keenum

Friday’s quiz
Steph Curry’s dad Dell is a TV analyst for which NBA team?

Thursday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was on deck when Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run.

Wednesday’s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

******************************

Friday’s Den: Knowledge on more of this week’s college football

Western Michigan @ Toledo:

— Last four years, WMU is 3-6-2 as a road favorite.
— Broncos upset Pitt 44-41 this year, then lost 45-20 to Ball State.

— Since 2013, Toledo is 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Three of their four losses this year were by 3 or fewer points.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Toledo scored 30+ points in last three series losses.
— WMU is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Toledo.

Texas State @ Georgia State:
— Last three years, Bobcats are 6-8 ATS as road underdogs.
— Texas State’s last three games went over total.

— Since 2017, Georgia State is 4-6 ATS as home favorites.
— Five of their last six games went over.

— Texas State won last two meetings, 37-34/40-31.
— Underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS last seven series games.

Ohio State @ Indiana:
— Last four games, Buckeyes scored 54.5 ppg.
— Under Day, Ohio State is 7-1-1 ATS as road favorites.

— Since 2016, Indiana is 5-11 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last two games, Hoosiers scored 0, 15 points.

— Ohio State won last 20 meetings, but is 2-8 ATS in last ten.
— Buckeyes are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Bloomington.

Buffalo @ Akron:
— Buffalo is 2-4 vs I-A teams; both wins were by one point.
— Since 2019, Bulls are 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Since 2014, Akron is 2-18 ATS as home underdogs.
— Since 2018, Zips are 0-11 ATS as home underdogs.

— Buffalo won last three series games by a combined 101-13.
— Bulls are 4-4-1 ATS in last nine trips to Akron.

llinois @ Penn State:
— Since 2017, Illinois is 9-11 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last five Illinois games stayed under the total.

— Since 2012, Penn State is 31-21 ATS as home favorites.
— Since 2017, Nittany Lions are 3-17 ATS coming off a loss.

— Penn State won last three meetings, by average of 53-15.
— Illinois is 6-3 ATS last nine trips to Happy Valley (0-2 last two)

Georgia Tech @ Virginia:
— Since 2014, Tech is 12-7-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Yellow Jackets are 2-6 ATS last eight games coming off a win.

— Virginia won last three games, scoring 38 ppg.
— Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS last eight games as home favorites.
— Last four Virginia games stayed under the total.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Underdogs are 5-1-1 ATS last seven meetings played here.

Boston College @ Louisville:
— Since 2014, BC is 17-6-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Eagles are 13-7 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last two games, BC scored 13-7 points.

— Louisville allowed 34+ points in four of five I-A games.
— Last three years, Cardinals are 6-3 ATS as home favorites.
— Louisville lost last two games by total of four points.

— BC won three of last four series games (loss was 41-39).
— Eagles covered their last three visits to Louisville.

Northwestern @ Michigan:
— Since 2015, Wildcats are 15-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Northwestern allowed 200+ rushing yards in its losses.

— Michigan is averaging 246.5 rushing yards/game.
— Wolverines are 5-1 ATS this season.
— Since 2017, Michigan is 11-7 ATS as home favorites.

— Michigan won last six series games (3-3 ATS)
— Wildcats are 4-3 ATS last seven trips to the Big House.

Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan:
— Last three years, Huskies are 8-3 ATS as road underdogs.
— NIU has posted upsets this year, as underdogs of 19-13 points.

— Chippewas’ I-A wins are by 4-3-3 points.
— CMU’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Chippewas are 4-1 ATS last five games as home favorites.

— Central Michigan won six of last seven series games.
— Huskies are 1-6 ATS last seven visits to CMU.

Kent State @ Ohio U:
— Last two games, Kent gave up 38-64 points.
— Last four years, Golden Flashes are 2-0 ATS as road favorites.

— Ohio lost last two games, 30-27/27-26.
— Bobcats are 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home dog.
— Ohio’s last four games stayed under the total.

— Ohio won last six series games.
— Bobcats ran for 200+ yards in four of last five meetings.

Wake Forest @ Army:
— Deacons are 6-0; their last two wins were both by a FG.
— Since 2014, Wake is 2-7 ATS as road favorites.
— Wake had last week off; extra time to prep for option.

— Last two games, Army scored 16-14 points.
— Since 2014, Cadets are 4-5 ATS as home underdogs.

— These teams haven’t met since 2016.

Temple @ South Florida:
— Owls are 3-3; their losses are by 47-25-49 points.
— Temple is 7-7 ATS as road dogs since coach Ruhle left town.

— USF is 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 39 ppg.
— Since 2018, Bulls are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— This is first time this season South Florida is favored.

— Temple won last three series games (39-37 LY)
— Underdogs are 5-2 ATS last seven series games.

East Carolina @ Houston:
— Four of ECU’s last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
— Under coach Houston, ECU is 7-4 ATS as road underdog.

— Since 2017, Cougars are 10-6 ATS as home favorites.
— Houston’s last four games went over the total.

— Cougars won six of last nine series games.
— ECU is 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Houston.
 

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ORLANDO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as a home underdog in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 47-28 ATS (16.2 Units) in road games playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

HOUSTON is 13-4 SU (12.2 Units) in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better in the current season.

CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after a win in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 184-234 ATS (-73.4 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1996.

SACRAMENTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, October 22

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Trend Report

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Charlotte @ Cleveland
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Cleveland
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Cleveland is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing Charlotte

Indiana @ Washington
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

New York @ Orlando
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games at home
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York

Brooklyn @ Philadelphia
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games at home
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

New Orleans @ Chicago
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Houston
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Oklahoma City's last 22 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

San Antonio @ Denver
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Utah @ Sacramento
Utah
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Utah is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 11 games


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Philadelphia has bone OVER the point total in five of its last six games when facing Brooklyn.
Philadelphia has cover the spread in eight of its last 11 games when facing Brooklyn.
Brooklyn has lost five of its last six games.
Brooklyn has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.


Phoenix has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Los Angeles.
The point total has failed to go OVER in four of the last five games played between both teams.
Phoenix has won three straight games when facing Los Angeles.
 

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 22
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



IND at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -1.5
+500


NY at ORL 07:00 PM
NY -8.0
+500


CHA at CLE 07:00 PM
CHA -2.5
+500


BK at PHI 07:30 PM
BK -2.5
+500


TOR at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -6.5
+500


OKC at HOU 08:00 PM
OKC +3.0
+500


NO at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -6.5
+500


SA at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -7.5
+500


UTA at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +6.5
+500


PHO at LAL 10:00 PM
PHO +1.0
+500
 

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OCTOBER NBA OPINONS AND BEST BETS


Date W-L-T % Units


10/22/2021.......5-5-0.......50.00%........- 2.50
10/21/2021.......2-3-0.......40.00%........- 6.50
10/20/2021.....13-8-1.......61.90%.......+21.00
10/19/2021......1-3-0 .......25.00%........-11.50


TOTALS.........21-19-1........52.50%.......+ 0.50




BEST BETS:


10/22/2021.......3-4-0........42.85%........- 7.00
10/21/2021.......3-2-0........60.00%........+ 4.00
10/20/2021.......8-3-0........72.72%........+23.50
10/19/2021.......1-2-0........33.33%..........- 6.00


TOTALS............15-11-0.......57.69%........+14.50


UPDATED 10/22/2021
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— MTSU 44, UConn 13— UConn is 0-7 vs I-A teams.
— UCF 24, Memphis 7— UCF had 80 passing yards, 104 penalty yards.
— Nets 114, 76ers 109— Brooklyn closed game on a 16-1 run.
— Knicks 121, Magic 96— New York was up 30 at the half.
— Wizards 135, Pacers 134, OT— Indiana is 0-2, with two 1-point losses.
— Suns 115, Lakers 105— Phoenix was up 27 after third quarter.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t really get into rumors — Tua is our quarterback. We’re happy with the quarterback, our quarterback situation. I’ll leave it at that, which I’ve said multiple times.”
Dolphins coach Brian Flores

Saturday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the #1 pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; what QB was the #2 pick?

Friday’s quiz
Steph Curry’s dad Dell is a TV analyst for the Charlotte Hornets.

Thursday’s quiz
Dusty Baker was on deck when Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind and our first set of NHL trends…….

13) Astros 5, Red Sox 0:
— Houston wins ALCS, 4-2
— Yordan Alvarez went 4-4, scored twice.
— Luis Garcia allowed one hit in 5.2 IP.

12) July 30 of this year, Braves traded Pablo Sandoval to Cleveland for Eddie Rosario, who was hurt at the time. Weird trade; Rosario was hurt (he didn’t play for Atlanta until August 28), and the Indians immediately cut Sandoval. At the time, it seemed like a nothing trade.

Except that Rosario is 18-38 for Atlanta in the playoffs this month, batting leadoff since they lost Jorge Soler to COVID. He is a huge reason why the Braves lead the NLCS, 3-2.

11) There have been only five games in NFL history with no punts:
1992— Bills 34, 49ers 31
2003— Colts 38, Chiefs 31 (playoffs)
2014— Saints 44, Packers 23
2014— Packers 38, Bears 17
2021— Chiefs 42, Eagles 30

10) In the 5+ years since Peyton Manning retired, Denver Broncos have started 10 different quarterbacks, and it doesn’t look like they’ve found their guy yet. Ironic that a team run by John Elway can’t find a franchise QB.

9) Braves’ OF Joc Pederson is in his 8th major league season; must be quite a thrill for his dad to watch him play. Stu Pederson played in eight games for the Dodgers in 1985, getting five AB’s in his month in the major leagues- he scored a run and had an RBI, but never got a hit.

8) Cleveland Browns became the Baltimore Ravens in 1996; in 1999, the new Browns came into being. Baker Mayfield is the 30th QB to start for the Browns in 22+ seasons. Obviously, Case Keenum became starting QB #31 Thursday night.

7) Want to win a bar bet? Only one player EVER has hit for the cycle in a postseason game:

Brock Holt, in Game 3 of the 2018 ALDS, for Boston.

6) Las Vegas Raiders play home games on a grass field at Allegiant Stadium; the grass is wheeled outside the domed stadium afterwards, so it can get lot of sun.

When UNLV plays football at Allegiant Stadium, they play on an artificial turf field that is on the floor of the stadium- the grass field stays outside.

5) Wednesday night in New York, Jayson Tatum of the Celtics went 7-30 from the floor in a double OT loss to the Knicks. At some point, when you’re on your way to shooting 7 for 30, you have to stop taking off-balance jumpers and either drive the ball to the hoop or pass the damn thing.

Tatum only took five foul shots the whole game (he played 44:39) so he wasn’t doing a whole lot of driving. Just because you’re the best player doesn’t mean you always to take the key shots.

4) Speaking of the Knicks, they should wear the same uniforms they wore back when they won NBA titles in 1970 and ’73- the Walt Frazier/Willis Reed era. Uniforms they wore in the season opener looked like they were from the 50’s- not good.

3) AAC poached six teams away from Conference USA, giving the AAC team 14 teams when all the dust settles in couple of years. Not sure it makes the league better just makes it lot more attractive to TV networks that need programming.

School like Texas-El Paso is totally screwed right now; read on Twitter where they’re 800 miles away from their closest remaining C-USA rival. Miners need to hook up with the Mountain West or the Sun Belt, just so they have some affordable travel. Mountain West would be preferable.

I’m going to post NHL/NBA trends/stats every so often in this space; it is still way early in the season, but here’s what we’ve got so far. (stats are thru Thursday’s games)
— Teams on 2nd night of a back/back are 2-7 this season.
— Home teams are 5-5 in overtime, 2-2 in shootouts.

— Anaheim— Lost 3 of last 4 games.
— Arizona is 0-4, giving up 5+ goals three times.
— Chicago is 0-5; over is 2-0-1 in their road games; under is 2-0 at home.
— Colorado lost last three games, outscored 15-7.

— Columbus is 3-0 at home, with two of those wins in OT.
— Under is 4-0 in Dallas games (all on road).
— Last three Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Edmonton won its first four games, scoring 18 goals.

— Florida is 4-0, giving up three goals in last three games.
—Minnesota is 3-0, with all three wins by one goal.
— Montreal is 0-5, scoring total of 4 goals (under 4-1).
— Nashville lost 3 of first 4 games- their last three games stayed under.

— Islanders lost three of first four games, all on road.
— Rangers won last three games; their last four games stayed under.
— All four Ottawa games stayed under the total.
— All three Philly games went over the total.

— Over is 3-1 in Penguin games.
— St Louis won its first three games, all on road.
— San Jose won its first three games.
— Seattle lost four of first five games, all on road (over 3-1-1).

— Tampa Bay is 2-0 at home, 0-2 on road.
— All four Toronto games stayed under the total.
— Washington won three of first four games.
— Last three Winnipeg games went over the total.
 

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CLEVELAND is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) against Southwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 39-21 ATS (15.9 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, October 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Cleveland
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Miami @ Indiana
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Toronto
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

Detroit @ Chicago
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Detroit

New Orleans @ Minnesota
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Orleans's last 15 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Milwaukee @ San Antonio
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Phoenix @ Portland
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home

Memphis @ LA Clippers
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



ATL at CLE 06:00 PM
ATL -7.5
U 222.5
+500 +500


MIA at IND 07:00 PM
IND +3.5
+500


DAL at TOR 07:30 PM
DAL -3.5
+500


NO at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -6.5
U 227.5
+500 +500


DET at CHI 08:00 PM
DET +9.0
O 214.0
+500 +500


MIL at SA 08:30 PM
MIL -6.0
U 224.5
+500 +500


PHO at POR 10:00 PM
PHO +2.5
+500


MEM at LAC 10:30 PM
LAC -3.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER NBA OPINONS AND BEST BETS


Date W-L-T % Units


10/23/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%.........-8.50
10/22/2021.......5-5-0.......50.00%........- 2.50
10/21/2021.......2-3-0.......40.00%........- 6.50
10/20/2021.....13-8-1.......61.90%.......+21.00
10/19/2021......1-3-0 .......25.00%........-11.50


TOTALS.........27-26-1........50.94%.......- 8.00




BEST BETS:


10/23/2021.......1-5-0........16.66%........-.22.50
10/22/2021.......3-4-0........42.85%..........- 7.00
10/21/2021.......3-2-0........60.00%.........+ 4.00
10/20/2021.......8-3-0........72.72%........+23.50
10/19/2021.......1-2-0........33.33%..........- 6.00


TOTALS............16-16-0.......50.00%........- 8.00


UPDATED 10/23/2021
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Odds to score first TD in Sunday’s NFL games (from SouthPoint):
6-1— Ravens, Packers, Chiefs, Patriots
8-1— Titans
10-1— Falcons, Dolphins
12-1— Panthers, Giants
18-1— Bengals, Jets, Washington

Quote of the Day
“Everything’s under evaluation at this point. Everybody’s got to show up every day, and we’ve got to take it one day at a time. We’ll practice and see who has the best practice, and that’s the guy who’ll run out there first at every position.”
Clemson coach Dabo Swinney

Sunday’s quiz
Atlanta Braves last won the World Series in 1995; who did they beat that year?

Saturday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the #1 pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the #2 pick.

Friday’s quiz
Steph Curry’s dad Dell is a TV analyst for the Charlotte Hornets.

***************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy sports Saturday

13) Illinois 20, Penn State 18 OT
— They played nine innings of OT, the longest college game ever.
— Illinois ran ball for 357 yards, outgained Penn State 395-227.
— Illinois was minus-3 in turnovers, threw for only 38 yards.
— Penn State led 10-0 with 3:00 left in first half.

— When was last time a 24-point underdog (that wasn’t a service academy) ran for 350+ yards?
— The college overtime rules are weird; I’ll get into that more this coming week.

12) Oklahoma 35, Kansas 23:
— Jayhawks led 10-0 at halftime; they were a 38-point underdog.
— Oklahoma didn’t score until there was 7:57 left in third quarter.
— Sooners scored TD with 0:42 left to create misleading final score.
— This was Oklahoma’s first I-A win this year by more than 7 points.

11) Pitt 27, Clemson 17:
— Last 10 years, Clemson was 121-18 SU; they’re 4-3 this year.
— Tigers are scoring only 15.2 ppg against I-A teams.
— QB Uiagalelei was benched after throwing two interceptions.

10) Oregon 34, UCLA 31:
— UCLA led 14-0 in first quarter.
— Oregon converted 7-9 on 3rd down, UCLA 10-19.
— Both teams turned ball over three times.

9) Fresno State 34, Nevada 32:
— Nevada scored TD with 0:02 left; the WR’s foot came down just out of bounds on 2-point play.
— Nevada threw for 476 yards, but lost.
— Wolf Pack WR Doubs caught 19 passes for 203 yards; busy night.

8) Virginia 48, Georgia Tech 40:
— QB Armstrong threw for 396 yards, four TD’s.
— Virginia outgained Tech, 636-570- they were 7-11 on third down
— Tech scored two TD’s in last 1:16 to create misleading final score.

7) Upsets of the Week:
— Illinois (+24.5) 20, Penn State 18 OT
— Rice (+24) 30, UAB 24
— New Mexico (+20) 14, Wyoming 3
— UL-Monroe (+13.5) 41, South Alabama 31
— Northern Illinois (+6) 39, Central Michigan 38
— West Virginia (+4.5) 29, TCU 17

6) Syracuse 41, Virginia Tech 36:
— Syracuse scored 14 points in last 2:28 for the win.
— Shrader threw 45-yard TD pass with 0:19 left.

5) Wake Forest 70, Army 56:
— Demon Deacons are 7-0, but giving up 56 points to Army?
— Hartman was 23-29/458 passing, 15.8 yards/attempt.
— Army ran the ball 70 times for 416 yards.

4) Cincinnati 27, Navy 20:
— Hard to blow out service academy teams; they don’t quit.
— Will this score hurt Bearcats in the rankings?

3) Northern Illinois 39, Central Michigan 38:
— Chippewas led 35-18 with 9:53 left in third quarter.
— NIU kicked field goal with 0:54 left for the win.
— Total yardage: NIU 520, CMU 500.

2) Kansas State 25, Texas Tech 24:
— Red Raiders led 14-0 3:29 into the game.
— K-State outscored Tech 15-0 in second half.
— K-State QB Thompson was 24-30/296 passing.

1) Braves 4, Dodgers 2:
— Atlanta wins NLCS, 4-2, goes to first World Series since 1999.
— Braves won NL title despite Ozuna/Acuna playing combined 130 games (40.1% of regular season, none in playoffs).
 

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ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON
is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 49-80 ATS (-39 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.

Frank Vogel is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders (Coach of LA LAKERS)
 

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NBA

Sunday, October 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Charlotte @ Brooklyn
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Brooklyn is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home


Boston @ Houston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Boston


Orlando @ New York
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
New York is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home


Philadelphia @ Oklahoma City
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Oklahoma City is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing Philadelphia


Golden State @ Sacramento
Golden State
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State


Memphis @ LA Lakers
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 11 games when playing Memphis
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


 

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SUNDAY, OCTOBER 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



CHA at BK 04:00 PM
CHA +9
+500


PHI at OKC 07:00 PM
PHI -8.0
+500


BOS at HOU 07:00 PM
BOS -5.5
+500


ORL at NY 07:00 PM
NY -12.0
+500


GS at SAC 09:00 PM
SAC +3.0
+500


MEM at LAL 09:30 PM
MEM +5.0
+500
 

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Messages
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OCTOBER NBA OPINONS AND BEST BETS


Date W-L-T % Units


10/24/2021.......4-2-0.......66.66%.......+9.00
10/23/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%.........-8.50
10/22/2021.......5-5-0.......50.00%........- 2.50
10/21/2021.......2-3-0.......40.00%........- 6.50
10/20/2021.....13-8-1.......61.90%.......+21.00
10/19/2021......1-3-0 .......25.00%........-11.50


TOTALS.........31-28-1........52.54%........+1.00




BEST BETS:


10/24/2021.......2-2-0........50.00%.........- 1.00
10/23/2021.......1-5-0........16.66%........-.22.50
10/22/2021.......3-4-0........42.85%..........- 7.00
10/21/2021.......3-2-0........60.00%.........+ 4.00
10/20/2021.......8-3-0........72.72%........+23.50
10/19/2021.......1-2-0........33.33%..........- 6.00


TOTALS............18-18-0.......50.00%........- 9.00


UPDATED 10/24/2021
 

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Messages
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Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for Week 8 NFL games:
— Green Bay @ Arizona (-3.5)
— Miami @ Buffalo (-13.5)
— Carolina @ Atlanta (-2.5)
— Philadelphia (-3) @ Detroit
— Bengals (-9.5) @ Jets
— Patriots @ Chargers (-5)

Quote of the Day
“I’m worried about giving these guys a chance to win, OK? We ain’t going down that road, OK? So everybody up and down that hallway is selling out to give these kids a chance to win. So I’m not worried about any of that, OK? So, can’t be focused on things we can’t control. What we can control is our attitude and our effort, and our kids have been incredible with all of that. And our job now is to get ’em to do the exact same thing for next week.”
Virginia Tech coach Justin Fuente

Monday’s quiz
Which NFL franchise is the youngest?

Sunday’s quiz
Atlanta Braves last won the World Series in 1995; they beat Cleveland that year.

Saturday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the #1 pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the #2 pick.

*****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cincinnati 41, Baltimore 17:
— Burrow threw for 416 yards; Chase caught 8 balls for 201 yards.
— Bengals started 2nd half with TD’s on four of first five drives.
— Bengals have had a TD play of 31+ yards in all seven games.
— Cincy won four of last five games, is tied with Ravens atop AFC North.

— Bengals averaged 10.6 yards per pass attempt.
— Ravens converted only 5-16 third down plays.
— Bengals outgained Baltimore, 520-393.
— Last 6+ years, Ravens are 18-23-2 ATS as home favorites.

NY Giants 25, Carolina 3:
— Carolina lost last four games after 3-0 start, giving up 29 ppg.
— Last four games, Panthers were outscored 80-35 in second half.
— Carolina converted only 2-15 third down plays.
— Darnold got benched; his backup went 3-14/33 passing. Not good.

— First TD for either side came with 0:59 left in third quarter.
— Giants’ last four drives: TD-FG-FG-TD.
— Panthers went 3/out on 8 of their 12 drives.
— Giants outgained Carolina, 302-173.

Green Bay 24, Washington 10:
— Washington had ball in red zone 4 drives in row, scored total of 3 points.
— Washington outgained Packers, 430-304, scored only ten points.
— Washington opponents converted 58-102 on third down (56.9%).
— Last 2+ years, Washington is 8-16-1 ATS coming off a loss.

— Green Bay won last six games (5-0-1 ATS), scoring 27.5 ppg.
— Packers scored a touchdown on three of first five drives.
— Green Bay is 13-6 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Last four Packer games stayed under the total.

Tennessee 27, Kansas City 3:
— Titans outgained Chiefs 296-52 in first half.
— Chiefs have 17 turnovers this year; they had 16 all of last year.
— KC had scored 23 TD’s on 54 drives before this game.
— Mahomes got KO’d, but passed concussion test later.

— Tennessee won five of last six games, scoring 30.0 ppg.
— Titans in first half; five drives- three TD’s, two FG’s.
— Tennessee converted 8-12 on on third down, Chiefs 4-11.
— Last four years, Titans are 8-3 ATS as home underdogs.

Atlanta 30, Miami 28:
— Falcons kicked 36-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Atlanta kicked FG on last play of both halves.
— Falcons scored two TD’s, two FG’s on first five drives.
— Last 11 years, Atlanta is 8-3 ATS coming off a bye.

— Miami lost last six games, giving up 31.8 ppg.
— Dolphins converted 7-11 on third down, Atlanta 6-13.
— Miami scored TD’s on 3 of last 5 drives, took 28-27 lead with 2:27 left.
— Miami has given up 45 plays of 20+ yards, has 26 themselves.

New England 54, NJ Jets 13:
— Jets have been outscored 44-0 in first quarter of games.
— Rookie QB Wilson got hurt; rookie White replaced him.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; they’re 9-21 ATS so far this season (6-21 without Patriots’ three wins).
— Last six years, Jets are 11-24-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Patriots are 3-0 vs rookie QB’s, 0-4 vs everyone else.
— NE in first half: five drives- four TDs and a field goal.
— Jones threw for 307 yards and two TD’s.
— New England scored 36 ppg last three games, after 17.8 ppg in first four.

LA Rams 28, Detroit 19:
— Lions recovered an onside kick, had two successful fake punts.
— Detroit was in red zone five times, scored only nine points.
— Lions gave up at least 7.3 yards/pass attempt in every game.
— Detroit is winless, but is 4-3 against the spread.

— Ramsey had game-sealing INT in end zone with 4:53 left.
— LA converted 9-13 third down plays.
— Kupp caught ten passes for 156 yards, two TD’s.
— Rams won last three games, scoring 26-38-28 points.

Las Vegas 33, Philadelphia 22:
— Eagles lost five of their last six games.
— Last six weeks, Eagles were outscored 101-43 in first half.
— Last four years, Eagles are 6-10 ATS as road underdogs.
— Only nine of Raiders’ 63 plays came on third down.

— Carr completed 31-34 passes for 323 yards, two TD’s.
— Raiders had 15-yard edge in field position.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, over is 9-1-1 in Raider home games.
— Raiders are 2-0 since Gruden left, scoring 34-33 points.

Arizona 31, Houston 5:
— Texans lost last six games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Last six games, Houston was outscored 109-17 in 2nd half.
— Texans had only 8 first downs, averaged 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Houston is 0-4 on road, losing last three by a combined 102-8.

— Houston actually led this game 5-0 in second quarter.
— Zach Ertz caught a 47-yard TD pass in his Arizona debut.
— Cardinals ran for 172 yards, outgained Houston 397-160.
— Cardinals are 7-0 for first time since 1974.

Tampa Bay 38, Chicago 3:
— Chicago’s first 6 drives: 3 first downs, 2 lost fumbles, INT, no points.
— Bears turned ball over five times (minus-4)
— Last four games, Bears converted 14-54 third down plays.
— Chicago averaged 4.7 or less yards/pass attempt in six of seven games.

— Only one of Tampa Bay’s five TD drives was longer than 48 yards.
— Buccaneers had a 20-yard edge in field position.
— Tampa Bay has 28 TD’s on 75 drives this season.
— Bucs are 4-0 at home this year, winning by 2-23-28-35 points.

Indianapolis 30, San Francisco 18:
— Game was played in a quagmire in Santa Clara.
— Colts had TD drives of 28-33-39 yards.
— Indy converted 6-14 on third down, 49ers 1-11.
— Colts covered five of their last six games.

— 49ers lost last four games, giving up 26.3 ppg.
— 49ers’ first three drives: 19 plays, 129 yards, 12 points.
— 49ers’ last nine drives: 32 plays, 134 yards, 6 points.
— Niners are 0-8 ATS last eight games as home favorites.

Cleveland 17, Denver 14:
— Broncos in 1st half: 15 plays, 71 yards, two first downs, no points.
— Broncos in 2nd half: 33 plays, 162 yards, two TD’s on three drives.
— Denver lost last four games, outscored 61-20 in first half.
— Five of seven Denver games stayed under the total.

— Johnson ran ball for 146 yards in his first NFL start.
— Cleveland converted 9-15 third down plays.
— Browns outgained Denver, 376-233.
— Cleveland ran ball for 5.5 yards/attempt.

Opening line on World Series: Astros -125
 

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