Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in rushing attempts:
241— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
227— Joe Mixon, Cin
219— Derrick Henry, Tenn
217— Najee Harris, Pitt
206— Antonio Gibson, Wash
171— Ezekiel Elliott, Dal

Quote of the Day
“I think that’s my thing. People are going to talk about it, yes or no, but I know I gotta do better. I had a long summer, I think I relaxed a little bit, not taking care, but I gotta be better. I had a long summer. I had the Olympics, took three weeks off and then I said I relaxed a little bit, maybe too much, and I just gotta get back on track.”
Luka Doncic

Thursday’s quiz
What QB that is eligible for the Hall of Fame had the most passing yards, but isn’t in the Hall of Fame?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano won a national title coaching NC State; he coached at Iona before NC State.

Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the second pick in that draft.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) They were telling a story on TV Tuesday night that helps explain the current state of college basketball. Kid on Texas Tech goes to an NBA combine last spring, trying to determine if he would get drafted last summer. He didn’t get good news, so he is back in Lubbock.

But while he was at the combine, he talked to a kid who played at Oral Roberts last year, and they became friends. The Texas Tech kid talks the Oral Roberts kid into bolting to Tech, making the Red Raiders a stronger team this season.

The ESPN sideline reporter is telling this story like it is a great thing, but if you’re the coach at Oral Roberts, it ain’t so great- they lost one of their best players because he did so well that he tried out for the NBA, and a bigger school peached him.

Coaches have to have their heads on a swivel these days, to make sure bigger schools aren’t going to steal their players. Happens all the time.

12) There hasn’t been a punt return TD in the NFL this season; this would be the first time in at least 50 years that the league didn’t have any punt return scores.

11) Last fifteen Army-Navy games have stayed under the total, mostly because neither team throws the ball very much. This year’s total is only 34; supposed to be warm on Saturday.

10) Wisconsin 64, Indiana 59:
— Hoosiers led this game 42-20 late in first half.
— Indiana has lost 19 straight games at Wisconsin
— Davis had 23 for Wisconsin, the only Badger in double figures.
— Indiana was only 6-13 on foul line.

9) Marquette 64, Kansas State 63:
— Marquette was 11-37 on arc, 15-28 inside arc, 1-3 on line.
— Marquette played 8 guys 15:00+; five of them are freshmen.

8) West Virginia 56, UConn 53:
— Mountaineers survived 12-27 shooting on foul line.
— UConn outrebounded West Virginia, 45-31.
— Two guards on West Virginia played all 40:00.

7) Tennessee lost 57-52 in OT to Texas Tech Tuesday night, and they looked awful doing it, going 6-40 on arc, 13-31 inside arc. But at this time of year, things can be deceiving.

Tennessee won 69-54 at Colorado Saturday, then flew to New York City, worked out at the Brooklyn Nets’ facility Sunday, practiced Monday, then played Tuesday. Too much travel for a college team this early in the season.

6) Fresno State hired Jeff Tedford as its new football coach; he coached the Bulldogs from 2017-19, but quit for health reasons. Tedford was 26-14 in his first stint with Fresno; he’s also been a head coach for the BC Lions in the CFL, and was Aaron Rodgers’ coach with the Cal Bears, leading Cal to an 82-57 record.

5) If the NFL Draft was today (it isn’t), these would be the top 7 picks:
Lions, Jaguars, Texans, Jets, Giants, Jets, Giants.

4) Speaking of the Giants, they’re spending this week in Arizona, as they prepare to play the Chargers at SoFi Stadium Sunday. No word yet whether Jake Fromm will play in his first NFL game, or whether Mike Glennon will clear concussion protocol and get the start.

3) During the pandemic, when there were no ballgames on TV, I became more interested in movies, and the career paths that actors/actresses have.

Was watching A League of Their Own the other night, the 1992 movie about the women’s baseball league, and the character who ran the league was Ira Lowenstein, played by veteran actor David Strathairn.

Turn the clock ahead 27-28 years, and David Strathairn was in eight episodes of Billions, playing political operative Black Jack Foley. Quite a career he has had; you might not know the name, but you’ve probably seen him in at least 1-2 movies.

2) Las Vegas Raiders signed K Daniel Carlson to a 4-year extension worth $18.4M, with $10.2M of that money guaranteed.

1) In the NFL, under is 40-21-1 this season in AFC-NFC games, 69-62-1 in all other games.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 17-30 ATS (-16 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Thursday, December 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Utah @ Philadelphia
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

LA Lakers @ Memphis
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games at home

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Antonio is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Denver


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 9


9kJM6FP.png
 

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Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in five straight home games.
Utah has won five straight games.
Utah has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.
 

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 9
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

UTA at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI +3.0
O 216.0

+500 +500

LAL at MEM 08:00 PM
LAL -3.5
U 223.5
+500 +500

DEN at SA 08:30 PM
SA -2.5
U 216.0

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............44-54-1...........44.89%............-88.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............24-43-0................35.82%..........-116.50


UPDATED 12/09/2021
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:

— Vikings 36, Steelers 28— Minnesota led 29-7 after three quarters.
— Rutgers 70, Purdue 68— Another #1 goes down on the road.
— Seton Hall 64, Texas 60— 2nd top 20 win for the Pirates.
— Iowa State 73, Iowa 53— Cyclones have four top 100 wins.
— Pelicans’ PG Kira Lewis tore his ACL, is out for the year.
— NHL’s most valuable franchise? New York Rangers ($2 billion)

Quote of the Day
“I’m not going to tell you the name of the restaurant, but I had a terrible steak in San Antonio. I’ve had like food poisoning stuff, just can’t move. I have to get right tomorrow, and I have a day off tomorrow to feel better.”
Evan Fournier, blaming a bad game on some bad food

Friday’s quiz
Minnesota Vikings have played in four Super Bowls; Fran Tarkenton started three of them; who started the other game?

Thursday’s quiz
Vinny Testaverde has the most passing yards of any QB who is eligible for the Hall of Fame, but isn’t in it.

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano won a national title coaching NC State; he coached at Iona before NC State.

*************************

Friday’s Den: NBA trends…..

NBA trends (thru Wednesday’s games)

Hawks (13-12):

— 2-3 SU last five games.
— 0-4 ATS four at home, 4-0 last four on road.
— road team covered their last eight games.
— over 7-2 last nine on road
— 2-4 ATS if they played night before.

Celtics (13-13):
— lost three of last four games.
— 4-6 ATS at home, 9-7 on road.
— 3-6 ATS as home favorite, 5-2 ATS as road favorite.
— 5-1 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Nets (17-8):
— 2-3 last five games.
— 1-5 ATS last six at home
— 5-4 ATS as road favorites.
— over 5-2 last seven on road.
— under 4-1 last five games overall

Hornets (14-13):
— lost five of last six games
— 9-2 ATS at home, 3-9 last 12 on road.
— over 6-0-1 last seven games
— 7-1 ATS as home underdog.
— 1-5 ATS if they played night before.

Bulls (17-9):
— won four of last five games.
— 8-4 ATS at home, 9-5 on road.
— under 7-4 last 11 home games.
— 3-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Cavaliers (14-12):
— covered their last nine games.
— 5-2 SU last seven games
— 10-3 ATS at home, 10-3 on road.
— under 9-3 last 12 home games

Mavericks (12-12):
— Lost five of last seven games SU.
— 3-9 ATS at home
— 6-1 ATS last seven road games.
— Under 4-0 last four home games

Nuggets (12-12):
— Lost 8 of their last 11 games
— 5-6 ATS at home, 5-8 on road.
— over 10-2 last 12 games.
— 4-6 ATS as a favorite.

Pistons (4-20):
— Lost last ten games (6-4 ATS)
— 5-5 ATS as home underdog, 6-6 as road underdog.
— covered three of last four road games.
— over 5-2 last seven home games.

Warriors (21-4):
— won 10 of last 12 games SU
— 13-4 ATS last 17 games.
— 12-3-1 ATS at home, 6-3 on road.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games

Rockets (8-16):
— won last seven games, after a 1-16 start.
— over 3-1 last four games.
— 5-1 ATS last six home games.
— 7-2 ATS last nine games overall.

Pacers (8-12):
— 6-2 ATS as a road underdog
— 6-4 ATS as a home favorite, 0-5 as a road favorite.
— over 7-1 last eight games.
— 4-1 ATS if they played night before

Clippers (14-12):
— won three of last four games
— under 4-1 last five on road.
— over 5-2 last seven home games.
— 8-10 ATS at home, 4-4 on road.

Lakers (13-12):
— 3-1 SU since triple OT loss Nov 26th.
— 3-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 7-2 last nine home games
— 4-1 SU in overtime games.

Grizzlies (14-11):
— won five of last six games SU.
— four of last five games stayed under total.
— 8-6 ATS at home, 7-4 on road.
— 7-5 ATS as an underdog

Heat (15-11):
— lost four of last six games SU
— over 3-0 last four road games.
— 2-4 ATS last six home games.
— 7-2 ATS as an underdog.

Bucks (16-10):
— won 10 of last 12 games SU.
— 4-9 ATS at home, 7-6 on road
— over 5-1-1 last seven games overall
— 1-3 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Timberwolves (11-14):
— lost last four games SU
— 6-9 ATS at home, 5-5 on road
— 4-6 ATS as a home favorite
— over 6-2 last eight games

Pelicans (7-20):
— lost three of last four games SU
— 6-5 ATS home underdog, 6-9 ATS road underdog
— over 5-1 last six games
— 2-4 ATS on front end of back/back

Knicks (12-13):
— lost six of last eight games SU.
— over last five games overall
— 1-8 ATS last nine home games
— 3-1 ATS last four road games.

Thunder (8-16):
— won last two games, after an 0-8 skid
— 14-7 ATS last 21 games overall.
— 6-3 ATS as home underdog, 8-5 as road dog
— last four games overall went over total.

Magic (5-21):
— lost 10 of last 11 games SU
— over 4-0 last four games overall
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— 3-7 ATS as a home underdog, 8-8 as road dog.

76ers (14-11):
— won four of last five games SU
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— 3-7 ATS at home, 9-6 ATS on road
— 5-6 ATS when favored, 7-7 as underdog.

Suns (20-4):
— won 19 of last 20 games SU
— Despite that, they’re 4-8 ATS last dozen games
— 2-4 ATS last seven home games
— under 4-1 last five games overall

Trailblazers (11-15):
— lost four in row, seven of last eight games SU
— 2-10 ATS on the road
— 2-4 ATS last six home games
— under 5-2 last seven home games

Kings (11-14):
— 5-3 SU/ATS since coaching change
— under 9-4 at home
— over 4-1 last five road games
— 2-4 ATS as home underdog, 5-3 as road dog.

Spurs (8-15):
— won four of last six games SU
— covered five of those six games
— over 9-1-1 on road, 3-9-1 at home.
— 6-4 ATS as a road underdog

Raptors (11-14):
— 5-11 SU last sixteen games
— 3-10 ATS at home, 7-5 on road.
— under 4-1 last five home games
— 3-6 ATS as a favorite

Jazz (17-7):
— won last five games SU
— over 8-2 last ten games
— 7-6 ATS as home favorite, 6-4 as road favorite
— 0-3 ATS on front end of back/back

Wizards (15-11):
— lost three of last four games (0-4 ATS)
— over 6-1 last seven games
— 8-3 ATS at home
— 4-11 ATS on road
 

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SACRAMENTO is 39-24 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 20-8 ATS (11.2 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

NEW YORK
is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

HOUSTON is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 45-24 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less since 1996.

NEW ORLEANS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

PHOENIX is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, December 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sacramento @ Charlotte
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Dallas @ Indiana
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games

Brooklyn @ Atlanta
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

New York @ Toronto
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New York's last 16 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

Milwaukee @ Houston
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Detroit @ New Orleans
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games

Boston @ Phoenix
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Brooklyn has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games.
Atlanta has seen the road team cover the spread in eight straight games.
Atlanta has lost eight of its last nine games when facing a team with a winning record.
 

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Phoenix has won 19 of its last 20 games.
The underdog has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 games played between both teams.
Phoenix has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games.
 

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 10
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DAL at IND 07:00 PM
IND -2.0
+500

SAC at CHA 07:00 PM
SAC -1.5
O 231.0

+500 +500

BK at ATL 07:30 PM
BK +2.0
O 227.5
+500 +500

NY at TOR 07:30 PM
NY +1.5
+500

LAL at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +5.0
U 218.0
+500 +500

CLE at MIN 08:00 PM
CLE -1.5
O 213.0

+500 +500

MIL at HOU 08:00 PM
MIL -9.0
+500

DET at NO 08:00 PM
DET +6.5
+500

BOS at PHO 10:00 PM
BOS +4.0
+500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............50-60-1...........45.45%............-91.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............28-48-0................35.89%..........-124.00


UPDATED 12/10/2021
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:

Early moves in bowl game spreads:
— Nevada started -6.5, now -1 vs Western Michigan
— Tennessee was +3, now -3 vs Purdue
— Minnesota was -7, now -4 vs West Virginia
— North Carolina was -5, now -7.5 vs South Carolina
— Kentucky was +1, now -2.5 vs Iowa
— Texas A&M was -3.5, now -6.5 vs Wake Forest

Quote of the Day
“It’s not really my job. To me that goes up to Coach Tomlin. That’s what he needs to do. That’s his job as the head coach. As the quarterback, it’s my job to help manage what we do on the field and getting 1st downs and trying to score. Dealing with player issues and whatever else you want to say, that’s the coach’s job, not mine.”
Ben Roethlisberger, talking about WR Chase Claypool’s antics during Thursday’s game

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Chris Paul play his college basketball?

Friday’s quiz
Minnesota Vikings have played in four Super Bowls; Fran Tarkenton started three of them; Joe Kapp started the other game, Super Bowl IV

Thursday’s quiz
Vinny Testaverde has the most passing yards of any QB who is eligible for the Hall of Fame, but isn’t in it.

**************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

13) Nets 113, Hawks 105— Enjoyed listening to this game, with the great Hubie Brown as analyst; it is fun listening to a basketball genius talk about the game.

Flashing back to October 1984, Brown was coaching the Knicks- they had an exhibition game in Glens Falls, an hour north of where I live. Friend and I went up to Glens Falls during day and walk into the Civic Center while the Knicks are practicing.

There is zero security there, we go down on the floor of the arena and sit on the end of the Knicks’ bench; when I stretched my legs, my feet were on the court. We didn’t say a freakin’ word and just watched— no one threw us out, so we stayed until the end.

After practice, I met coach Brown and Knicks’ star Bernard King; that night, Knicks played the Bulls, who had a rookie named Michael Jordan.

All in all, a pretty fun day.

12) Rutgers 70, Purdue 68:
— Ron Harper Jr hit a 35-footer at the buzzer to upset the #1-ranked Boilers.
— Purdue led by 10 with 7:50 left in game.

This is modern college sports: Friday afternoon, Harper posted pics of a t-shirt he is selling to commemorate the upset. With the new NIL rules in college sports, Harper banks the profits from selling those shirts.

11) College football coaching hires
— Virginia hired Clemson OC Tony Elliott as its head coach
— Duke hired Texas A&M DC as its head coach.

In last two weeks, Clemson lost both coordinators and its athletic director.

10) Penn State got good news Friday; QB Sean Clifford will be back next season, his 6th year in college, his fourth year as Penn State’s starting QB

9) MLB Network has put the kibosh on its daily talk shows, they show old games instead, which to me, is a vast improvement over talk shows.

8) Vikings 36, Steelers 28:
— Steelers’ first 7 drives: 33 plays, 79 yards, no points.
— Steelers’ last 6 drives: 37 plays, 293 yards, 28 points.
— Minnesota scored TD or tried FG on seven of first eight drives.

Minnesota led 29-0 late in third quarter; game ended with Steelers throwing pass into end zone that could’ve tied game hard it been caught.

7) Christmas Day 2022 is a Sunday; last time Christmas was on a Sunday, they played a full schedule on Saturday (Christmas Eve) then played two nationally televised games later in the day on Christmas.

I was in Las Vegas that week, remember sitting in the Aria sportsbook and talking to an Asian lady sitting next to me— she counted out $7,700 in cash, then showed me two more bets she had, with a combined $3,500 that were both going to win, so she was sitting on $11,000 or so.

She had a sheet of paper ripped out a notebook with her bets for the 4:00 games; lot of bets. For some reason, she bet on the Rams (this was the year before Sean McVay got there) but from what I could tell, she mostly broke even on all those late bets.

We talked for a while; I asked her, since she was having such a good day, if she wanted to buy me dinner. She answered in a foreign language and left a few minutes later, never to be seen again. I’m assuming her answer was no.

6) So far this season, Syracuse has played schedule #39, a pretty big difference from how they usually schedule; they’ve even played five of nine games away from the Carrier Dome.

Last time Syracuse’s non-league schedule ranked in the top 100 was 2008; last time it ranked in top 150 was 2009.

Why the big change this year? They’re not a deep team (bench minutes #351) and only have three more games before ACC play begins, so that non-conference schedule will finish in the top 100. Am curious to see how it affects their chances on Selection Sunday.

5) Atlanta Braves won the World Series this year; their players/staff cashed in.

Braves split the $32.57M postseason pool into 66 full shares, 14.25 partial shares, and 38 cash awards. Each full share was worth $397,391, third highest ever behind the 2017 Astros ($438,902) and 2018 Red Sox ($416,838).

4) Former big league OF Yasiel Puig is taking his talents to Korea next year; Puig hit .277 in seven years in the majors, but hasn’t been there since 2019.

Mike Tauchman is also headed to the KBO; he hit .284 for Giants/Bronx last year.

Both guys will make $1M next year, the maximum a foreign player can make in the KBO.

3) You know you’re watching an old movie if you see phone booths instead of cellphones.

2) Iowa State 73, Iowa 53:
— Cyclones are 9-0, vs schedule #238; they have four top 70 wins.
— Iowa State has played only one road game, and doesn’t hit the road again until January 8.
— Iowa lost last three games, all to top 50 teams, after a 7-0 start.
— Hawkeyes have only one win against a team ranked higher than #200.

1) Tip of the cap to Brian Williams, who left NBC Thursday after 28 years as a broadcaster. He hosted The 11th Hour for the last 5-6 years; I dislike politics and politicians, but I’ve learned a lot listening to Williams and his guests the last few years. He’ll be missed.
 

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ORLANDO is 53-74 ATS (-28.4 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 207-158 ATS (33.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game since 1996.

MEMPHIS are 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, December 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Orlando @ LA Clippers
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Orlando
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando

Utah @ Washington
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Utah
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

Sacramento @ Cleveland
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ Memphis
Houston
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Chicago @ Miami
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Chicago

Golden State @ Philadelphia
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Antonio is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Denver

Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 18 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Hoop Trends for Saturday, December 11
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Golden State at Philadelphia (ABC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 8-0-2 ATS since January 2018 coming off a double-digit home loss where they did not cover.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chicago at Miami (NBA League Pass, 8:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-9 OU since September 30, 2020 with rest coming off a win as at least a three-point underdog.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Golden State at Philadelphia (ABC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-7 OU since 2015-16 in the regular season coming off a win where they shot less than 41% from the field.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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Golden State has won seven of its last eight games in Philadelphia, but have failed to cover 11 of 14 in Wells Fargo.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in six straight home games.
Golden State has gone UNDER the point total in seven of its last eight road games.
Steph Curry has scored 33 points or more in seven of his last eight road games when facing a team with a winning record.
 

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